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WELCOME to the webinar
      “Evaluation of Climate Change
        Interventions for Excluded
               Populations.”
                            11 June 2012

   This Live Webinar will start at 1:00 PM New York time.

All microphones & webcams are disabled and we will only enable microphones during
                                    the Q&A portion.
     Therefore, you will not hear any sound/noise till the beginning of the webinar.
Series of 17 live webinars on
       “Equity-focused Evaluations”
              Interact live with 28 world-level evaluators



    This series of webinars addresses the challenges and
opportunities in evaluating the effects of policies, programmes
and projects to enhance equitable development results, with a
special focus on the effects to the most excluded, marginalized
                     and deprived groups.
The books are available for free at
MyM&E Virtual Library: www.mymande.org
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2011
Colin KIRK                Evaluation to accelerate progress towards         6 September 2011
                          equitable development                             9:30 AM NY time
Penny HAWKINS

Belen SANZ
                          Human rights and Gender equality in evaluations   21 September 2011
Flaminia MINELLI                                                            9:30 AM NY time



Marco SEGONE              How to design, implement and use equity-          4 October 2011
                          oriented evaluations                              11:30 AM NY time
Michael BAMBERGER


Saville KUSHNER           Case study evaluation as an intervention for      11 October 2011
                          promoting equity                                  9:30 AM NY time



Bob WILLIAMS              Systems approach (CSH) to address ethical         14 November 2011
                          issues                                            3:00 PM NY time
Martin REYNOLDS


Patricia ROGERS           Program theories and LogFrames to evaluate        22 November 2011
                          pro-poor and equity programs                      4:00 PM NY time
Richard HUMMELBRUNNER


Michael Quinn PATTON      Developmental Evaluation                          6 December 2011
                                                                            11:30 AM NY time
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012
Donna MERTENS               Methodological guidance in evaluation for Social   24 January 2012
                            Justice                                            9:30 AM NY time


Jennifer GREENE             Values-Engaged Evaluation                          15 February 2012
                                                                               1:00 PM NY time



Michael Quinn PATTON        How to evaluate interventions in complex           28 February 2012
                            dynamic environments?                              11:30 AM NY time


Rodney HOPSON               Cultural Responsiveness in Applied Research        15 March 2012
                            and Evaluation Settings
                                                                               2:00 PM NY time
Katrina BLEDSOE

Juha UITTO                  Evaluating equity-focused public policies. The     27 March 2012
                            case of Brazil and Mexico                          9:30 AM NY time
Oscar A. GARCIA

Katherine HAY               Strengthening Equity-focused evaluations           15 May 2012
                            through insights from feminist theory and          8:30 AM Delhi (India) time
Ratna SUDARSHAN             approaches                                         10:00 AM Bangkok (Thailand) time
                                                                               11:00 AM Manila (Philippines) time
Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012

Julian BARR                 Evaluation of climate change interventions for   11 June 2012
                            excluded populations                             1:00 PM NY time
Robbie GREGOROWSKI

Sulley GARIBA               Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions       28 June 2012
                                                                             1:00 PM NY time



Guy THIJS                   Evaluation of the ILO’s strategy to eliminate    To be announced.
                            discrimination in employment and occupation
Francisco GUZMAN
The recordings are available at
      www.mymande.org
The recordings are available at
      www.mymande.org
The recordings are available at
      www.mymande.org
Interact with
            Questions and Answers




Type here
Keynote Speakers
“Evaluation of climate change interventions for excluded populations”


                    Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD)




                    Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
Agenda
1:00 – 1:05 PM   Welcome and introduction
                 Marco Segone, Systemic Management,
                 UNICEF Evaluation Office

1:05 – 1:20      Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD)

1:20 – 1:35      Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD)

1:35 – 1:55      Questions and Answers
                 Moderator: Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology
                 School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences,
                 Claremont Graduate University

1:55 – 2:00      Wrap-up: Penny Hawkins, Evaluation Office,
                 The Rockefeller Foundation
Evaluation of climate
change interventions for
 excluded populations
  Julian Barr and Robbie Gregorowski
International Trade & Development (ITAD)
Outline
•   The nature of climate change interventions
•   Excluded populations
•   Climate change evaluation challenges
•   Climate change evaluation frameworks
•   Addressing the challenges
Climate Change (CC)
The nature of CC interventions
• IPCC identifies two main responses to CC change:
  mitigation and adaptation
• Adaptation shares common ground with Disaster
  Risk Reduction (DRR)
  • Sudden onset climate-related events (floods, cyclones, etc)
  • But note, slow onset climate-related events (sea-level rise,
    changing rain-fall patterns)
• Now major focus on Climate Change Resilience
• Our main focus: adaptation and resilience
Categories of Adaptation
Type of Adaptation        Type of Action      Example
Addressing the            Coping / resilience Livelihood diversification;
adaptation deficit        building            crop insurance; DRR early
                                              warning systems

Adapting to               Climate proofing    Improved drainage
incremental changes                           systems; adapting cropping
                                              systems (short seasons)

Adapting to qualitative   Transformational    Resettlement;
changes                   change              transformation of
                                              agricultural systems


                                              Brooks et al, 2011. IIED
Excluded populations
• In CC terms, excluded populations seen as those most
  vulnerable to climate-related shocks and stresses
  •    i.e “susceptible to, or unable to cope with, adverse effects of
       climate change”
       low adaptive capacity
• Adaptive capacity: function of both individual & societal
  capacity
  •    household resources + institutions & policy
• Climate vulnerability and poverty closely linked
  •    also gender, age, ethnic minority dimensions
  •    drivers of CC vulnerability not all climate-related
Climate
     change,
Vulnerability,
   & Poverty

   Change in length
   of cropping
   season, 2000 -
   2050.
          ILRI, 2002
Evaluating what?
Climate change adaptation frameworks
Two main aspects:

Result                          Indicator
1. Capacity of govt &           Existence of policy & other
   institutions to understand   mechanisms that promote
   CC & integrate Adaptation    knowledge & action on CC
   into decision making
2. Climate change               - Adaptive capacity
   adaptation keeps             - Development outcomes
   development ‘on track’
Adaptation: evaluation challenges
1. Timescale disconnects:
  • Adaption: project timescale
  • Climate change: longer timescale (slow onset risks)
2. Declining baseline:
  • Climate is changing: measuring development success against a
    worsening situation; normalise for vulnerability
3. Uncertainty:
  • climate scenarios still highly uncertain at local, national and
    regional levels.
4. Unintended consequences:
  • Maladaptation
5. Focus of CCA on coping strategies and climate
   proofing (short sighted)
Addressing the challenges:
three approaches to evaluating CCA
  UNDP:
    • Proposed Framework for Monitoring Adaptation to Climate
      Change. Draft. (2008)
  Strengthening Climate Resilience (SCR)
   consortium:
    • Learning to ADAPT: monitoring and evaluation approaches
      in climate change adaptation and DRR. Silva Villaneuva
      (2011)
  IIED:
    • Tracking adaptation and measuring development. Brooks et al
      (2011).
UNDP
SCR consortium: ADAPT framework




 An integrated set of outcome and process based indicators that
 consider environmental, disaster, climate change and developmental
 domains of decision-making
ADAPT approach
    • Framework of questions and indicators
    • Learning approach
    • Employs constant monitoring to allow flexibility
      and enhance capacities to deal with uncertainty
IIED: Adaptation measurement
In practice: Rockefeller ACCCRN




                        www.acccrn.org
Linking the streams


             Indicators of
          Adaptive Capacity:
         society, communities,
        households, individuals
Indicators of adaptive capacity
 Main characteristics which enhance adaptive capacity
 identified as:
      •     Promoting diversity
      •     Creating flexible effective institutions
      •     Accepting non-equilibrium (?)
      •     Adopting multi-level perspectives
      •     Integrating uncertainty
      •     Ensuring community involvement
      •     Promoting learning
      •     Advocating for equity
      •     Recognizing the importance of social values and structures
      •     Working towards preparedness, planning and readiness

 Adapted from GEF: Tracking Progress for Effective Action - A Framework for Monitoring and Evaluating Adaptation to Climate Change. Sanahuja (2011)
Evaluation lessons
All 3 approaches broadly focus on:
 • combining top down and bottom up approaches
 • link: integrating CC into policy/institutions  actions at
   the households/community level


Evaluation should not separate the two streams
 • Top: policy environment
 • Bottom: development outcomes
 • Missing middle: assessing the adaptive capacity / behavior
   of people and society
 • adaptive capacity encompasses knowledge, attitudes and
   practices (KAP) at a number of levels
Further evaluation challenges
M&E frameworks for CC still in infancy.

Needs:
•   approaches to satisfactorily join upstream and downstream
•   to develop and test indicators of adaptive capacity at different
    levels and for different groups to fill the missing middle
•   develop methods for assessing the relationship between adaptation
    and equity (zero-sum games)
•   explore existing indicator frameworks, such as the Sustainable
    Livelihoods Framework, to clarify relationships between
    determinants of adaptive capacity along the results chain
•   establish mechanisms for M&E to empower excluded populations by
    feeding-back between the upstream and downstream tracks, as part
    of increasing climate accountability and transparency
Questions and Answers
          MODERATOR




      Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology
      School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences,
      Claremont Graduate University
Audience Questions
Wrap-up

Penny Hawkins, Rockefeller Foundation Evaluation
Office, is the former Head of Evaluation for the New
Zealand Aid Program, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and
Trade and Vice-Chair of the OECD-DAC Network on
Development Evaluation. She is a past President of the
Australasian Evaluation Society, a founding board
member of the International Organization for Cooperation
in Evaluation (IOCE) and an IPDET (International
Program for Development Evaluation Training) faculty
member.
The recording will be available at
       www.mymande.org
The recording will be available at
       www.mymande.org
Next webinar, 28 June 2012,
  1:00PM New York time
 “Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions”


            Sulley Gariba, Institute for Policy Alternatives (IPA), Ghana
Evaluation of Webinars
           Survey
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we ask that you complete this short evaluation on
today’s webinar.

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UNICEF Webinar - Climate Change M&E for Excluded Populations (2012) - Julian Barr and Robbie Gregorowski

  • 1. WELCOME to the webinar “Evaluation of Climate Change Interventions for Excluded Populations.” 11 June 2012 This Live Webinar will start at 1:00 PM New York time. All microphones & webcams are disabled and we will only enable microphones during the Q&A portion. Therefore, you will not hear any sound/noise till the beginning of the webinar.
  • 2. Series of 17 live webinars on “Equity-focused Evaluations” Interact live with 28 world-level evaluators This series of webinars addresses the challenges and opportunities in evaluating the effects of policies, programmes and projects to enhance equitable development results, with a special focus on the effects to the most excluded, marginalized and deprived groups.
  • 3.
  • 4. The books are available for free at MyM&E Virtual Library: www.mymande.org
  • 5.
  • 6. Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2011 Colin KIRK Evaluation to accelerate progress towards 6 September 2011 equitable development 9:30 AM NY time Penny HAWKINS Belen SANZ Human rights and Gender equality in evaluations 21 September 2011 Flaminia MINELLI 9:30 AM NY time Marco SEGONE How to design, implement and use equity- 4 October 2011 oriented evaluations 11:30 AM NY time Michael BAMBERGER Saville KUSHNER Case study evaluation as an intervention for 11 October 2011 promoting equity 9:30 AM NY time Bob WILLIAMS Systems approach (CSH) to address ethical 14 November 2011 issues 3:00 PM NY time Martin REYNOLDS Patricia ROGERS Program theories and LogFrames to evaluate 22 November 2011 pro-poor and equity programs 4:00 PM NY time Richard HUMMELBRUNNER Michael Quinn PATTON Developmental Evaluation 6 December 2011 11:30 AM NY time
  • 7. Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012 Donna MERTENS Methodological guidance in evaluation for Social 24 January 2012 Justice 9:30 AM NY time Jennifer GREENE Values-Engaged Evaluation 15 February 2012 1:00 PM NY time Michael Quinn PATTON How to evaluate interventions in complex 28 February 2012 dynamic environments? 11:30 AM NY time Rodney HOPSON Cultural Responsiveness in Applied Research 15 March 2012 and Evaluation Settings 2:00 PM NY time Katrina BLEDSOE Juha UITTO Evaluating equity-focused public policies. The 27 March 2012 case of Brazil and Mexico 9:30 AM NY time Oscar A. GARCIA Katherine HAY Strengthening Equity-focused evaluations 15 May 2012 through insights from feminist theory and 8:30 AM Delhi (India) time Ratna SUDARSHAN approaches 10:00 AM Bangkok (Thailand) time 11:00 AM Manila (Philippines) time
  • 8. Webinars on Equity-focused Evaluation 2012 Julian BARR Evaluation of climate change interventions for 11 June 2012 excluded populations 1:00 PM NY time Robbie GREGOROWSKI Sulley GARIBA Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions 28 June 2012 1:00 PM NY time Guy THIJS Evaluation of the ILO’s strategy to eliminate To be announced. discrimination in employment and occupation Francisco GUZMAN
  • 9. The recordings are available at www.mymande.org
  • 10. The recordings are available at www.mymande.org
  • 11. The recordings are available at www.mymande.org
  • 12. Interact with Questions and Answers Type here
  • 13. Keynote Speakers “Evaluation of climate change interventions for excluded populations” Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD) Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD)
  • 14. Agenda 1:00 – 1:05 PM Welcome and introduction Marco Segone, Systemic Management, UNICEF Evaluation Office 1:05 – 1:20 Julian Barr, International Trade & Development (ITAD) 1:20 – 1:35 Robbie Gregorowski, International Trade & Development (ITAD) 1:35 – 1:55 Questions and Answers Moderator: Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences, Claremont Graduate University 1:55 – 2:00 Wrap-up: Penny Hawkins, Evaluation Office, The Rockefeller Foundation
  • 15. Evaluation of climate change interventions for excluded populations Julian Barr and Robbie Gregorowski International Trade & Development (ITAD)
  • 16. Outline • The nature of climate change interventions • Excluded populations • Climate change evaluation challenges • Climate change evaluation frameworks • Addressing the challenges
  • 17. Climate Change (CC) The nature of CC interventions • IPCC identifies two main responses to CC change: mitigation and adaptation • Adaptation shares common ground with Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) • Sudden onset climate-related events (floods, cyclones, etc) • But note, slow onset climate-related events (sea-level rise, changing rain-fall patterns) • Now major focus on Climate Change Resilience • Our main focus: adaptation and resilience
  • 18. Categories of Adaptation Type of Adaptation Type of Action Example Addressing the Coping / resilience Livelihood diversification; adaptation deficit building crop insurance; DRR early warning systems Adapting to Climate proofing Improved drainage incremental changes systems; adapting cropping systems (short seasons) Adapting to qualitative Transformational Resettlement; changes change transformation of agricultural systems Brooks et al, 2011. IIED
  • 19. Excluded populations • In CC terms, excluded populations seen as those most vulnerable to climate-related shocks and stresses • i.e “susceptible to, or unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change”  low adaptive capacity • Adaptive capacity: function of both individual & societal capacity • household resources + institutions & policy • Climate vulnerability and poverty closely linked • also gender, age, ethnic minority dimensions • drivers of CC vulnerability not all climate-related
  • 20. Climate change, Vulnerability, & Poverty Change in length of cropping season, 2000 - 2050. ILRI, 2002
  • 21. Evaluating what? Climate change adaptation frameworks Two main aspects: Result Indicator 1. Capacity of govt & Existence of policy & other institutions to understand mechanisms that promote CC & integrate Adaptation knowledge & action on CC into decision making 2. Climate change - Adaptive capacity adaptation keeps - Development outcomes development ‘on track’
  • 22. Adaptation: evaluation challenges 1. Timescale disconnects: • Adaption: project timescale • Climate change: longer timescale (slow onset risks) 2. Declining baseline: • Climate is changing: measuring development success against a worsening situation; normalise for vulnerability 3. Uncertainty: • climate scenarios still highly uncertain at local, national and regional levels. 4. Unintended consequences: • Maladaptation 5. Focus of CCA on coping strategies and climate proofing (short sighted)
  • 23. Addressing the challenges: three approaches to evaluating CCA UNDP: • Proposed Framework for Monitoring Adaptation to Climate Change. Draft. (2008) Strengthening Climate Resilience (SCR) consortium: • Learning to ADAPT: monitoring and evaluation approaches in climate change adaptation and DRR. Silva Villaneuva (2011) IIED: • Tracking adaptation and measuring development. Brooks et al (2011).
  • 24. UNDP
  • 25. SCR consortium: ADAPT framework An integrated set of outcome and process based indicators that consider environmental, disaster, climate change and developmental domains of decision-making
  • 26. ADAPT approach • Framework of questions and indicators • Learning approach • Employs constant monitoring to allow flexibility and enhance capacities to deal with uncertainty
  • 28. In practice: Rockefeller ACCCRN www.acccrn.org
  • 29. Linking the streams Indicators of Adaptive Capacity: society, communities, households, individuals
  • 30. Indicators of adaptive capacity Main characteristics which enhance adaptive capacity identified as: • Promoting diversity • Creating flexible effective institutions • Accepting non-equilibrium (?) • Adopting multi-level perspectives • Integrating uncertainty • Ensuring community involvement • Promoting learning • Advocating for equity • Recognizing the importance of social values and structures • Working towards preparedness, planning and readiness Adapted from GEF: Tracking Progress for Effective Action - A Framework for Monitoring and Evaluating Adaptation to Climate Change. Sanahuja (2011)
  • 31. Evaluation lessons All 3 approaches broadly focus on: • combining top down and bottom up approaches • link: integrating CC into policy/institutions  actions at the households/community level Evaluation should not separate the two streams • Top: policy environment • Bottom: development outcomes • Missing middle: assessing the adaptive capacity / behavior of people and society • adaptive capacity encompasses knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) at a number of levels
  • 32. Further evaluation challenges M&E frameworks for CC still in infancy. Needs: • approaches to satisfactorily join upstream and downstream • to develop and test indicators of adaptive capacity at different levels and for different groups to fill the missing middle • develop methods for assessing the relationship between adaptation and equity (zero-sum games) • explore existing indicator frameworks, such as the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework, to clarify relationships between determinants of adaptive capacity along the results chain • establish mechanisms for M&E to empower excluded populations by feeding-back between the upstream and downstream tracks, as part of increasing climate accountability and transparency
  • 33. Questions and Answers MODERATOR Stewart Donaldson, Dean & Chair of Psychology School of Behavioral & Organizational Sciences, Claremont Graduate University
  • 35. Wrap-up Penny Hawkins, Rockefeller Foundation Evaluation Office, is the former Head of Evaluation for the New Zealand Aid Program, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Vice-Chair of the OECD-DAC Network on Development Evaluation. She is a past President of the Australasian Evaluation Society, a founding board member of the International Organization for Cooperation in Evaluation (IOCE) and an IPDET (International Program for Development Evaluation Training) faculty member.
  • 36. The recording will be available at www.mymande.org
  • 37. The recording will be available at www.mymande.org
  • 38. Next webinar, 28 June 2012, 1:00PM New York time “Evaluation of pro-poor urban interventions” Sulley Gariba, Institute for Policy Alternatives (IPA), Ghana
  • 39. Evaluation of Webinars Survey Your opinion/feedback is important to us, therefore we ask that you complete this short evaluation on today’s webinar. http://6.11.questionpro.com/