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Dr.Reddy's Laboratories 
Strong sales in key markets drive growth, margins
July 31, 2014 
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. and/or its associates (the 'Firm') does and/or seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that 
the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. 
Please refer to important disclosures and disclaimers at the end of the report 
 
Q1FY15 Result Update 
Surajit Pal 
surajitpal@plindia.com 
+91‐22‐66322259 
  
  
  
Rating  Accumulate 
Price  Rs2,823 
Target Price  Rs3,023 
Implied Upside   7.1% 
Sensex   26,087 
Nifty  7,791 
(Prices as on July 30, 2014) 
Trading data 
Market Cap. (Rs bn)  478.7 
Shares o/s (m)  169.6 
3M Avg. Daily value (Rs m)  2606.4 
Major shareholders 
Promoters   25.49% 
Foreign   35.29% 
Domestic Inst.  5.44% 
Public & Other   33.78% 
Stock Performance 
 (%)  1M  6M  12M 
Absolute  7.6  7.8  29.7 
Relative   3.7  (18.6)  (3.5) 
How we differ from Consensus 
EPS (Rs)  PL  Cons.  % Diff. 
2015  136.5  135.5  0.8 
2016  153.8  156.0  ‐1.5 
 
Price Performance (RIC: REDY.BO, BB: DRRD IN) 
 
Source: Bloomberg 
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
2,900
3,100
Jul‐13
Sep‐13
Nov‐13
Jan‐14
Mar‐14
May‐14
Jul‐14
(Rs)
 Q1FY15 result in line: Dr Reddy’s sales reached Rs35.2bn in Q1FY15, in line with 
our  estimate  of  Rs36.2bn.  Adjusted  EBITDA  margin  was  at  23%and  PAT  at 
Rs5.5bn  in  Q1FY15.  Strong  traction  in  key  geographies  such  as  US,  India  and 
ROW  markets  helped  in  24%  YoY  growth  in  sales  and  EBITDA  expansion  of 
140bps.  Benefits  of  limited  competition  drugs  helped  in  US  generics  growth, 
while  volume  expansion  in  focus  brands  drove  15%  YoY  growth  in  domestic 
formulations.  Quality  of  sales  growth  in  Russia  (18%  YoY  in  local  currency) 
improved in Q1FY15 as OTC contributed 37% of sales with 27% YoY growth. 
 Limited  competition  drugs  drive  US  sales:  Dr  Reddy’s  launch  of  limited 
competition generics in 2014 continued to drive its sales and reached 43% YoY 
growth (in local currency) in Q1FY15. Product mix of sole generics in Vidaza and 
Dacogen, limited competition in Reclast and Aricept 23mg, higher demand and 
price rise in Depakote ER and Rx growth in Toprol XL and Geodon helped robust 
growth in US generic in Q1FY15. The company expects its injectable portfolio to 
continue  to  provide  strong  traction,  while  new  generics,  launched  in  2014, 
would support growth in H2FY15E.       
 Valuation‐Mid‐teen  US  growth  in FY15E,  maintain  ‘Accumulate’,  TP  Rs3,023: 
Management  expects  mid‐teen  growth  in  US  generics,  while  overall  sales 
growth is guided to be muted in FY15. We expect 8% growth in US sales due to 
growing  competition  in  limited  competition  drugs  in  FY15.  The  company, 
however, could provide positive surprise to our earnings estimate with launch of 
Nexium and Copaxone in FY15E. With benefits of lower base, Dr Reddy’s may 
achieve  12‐15%  growth  in  domestic  formulations  in  FY15.  Strategy  of  focus 
geography  will  drive  ROW  sales  at  37%  growth  in  FY15.  With  11%  R&D 
expensess to build strong portfolio, we maintain ‘Accumulate’ and retain TP at 
Rs3,023.  
 
   
Key financials (Y/e March)    2013 2014  2015E 2016E
Revenues (Rs m)  116,266 133,473  146,919 158,998
     Growth (%)  20.2 14.8  10.1 8.2
EBITDA (Rs m)  24,762 32,517  35,261 38,955
PAT (Rs m)  16,776 22,815  23,217 26,153
EPS (Rs)  98.8 134.1  136.5 153.8
     Growth (%)  17.5 35.8  1.8 12.6
Net DPS (Rs)  15.0 15.0  15.0 —
 
Profitability & Valuation    2013 2014  2015E 2016E
EBITDA margin (%)  21.3 24.4  24.0 24.5
RoE (%)  25.7 27.8  23.1 21.5
RoCE (%)  17.3 18.2  16.8 17.5
EV / sales (x)  4.4 3.9  3.4 3.1
EV / EBITDA (x)  20.7 16.0  14.3 12.8
PE (x)  28.6 21.0  20.7 18.4
P / BV (x)  6.6 5.3  4.4 3.6
Net dividend yield (%)  0.5 0.5  0.5 —
Source: Company Data; PL Research 
   
July 31, 2014  2
  Dr.Reddy's Laboratories 
Exhibit 1: Q1Y15 Result Overview (Rs m) 
Y/e March  Q1FY15  Q1FY14 YoY gr. (%) Q4FY14 FY15E  FY14 YoY gr. (%)
Net Sales   35,175   28,449   23.6   34,809   146,919   132,170   11.2 
Raw Material   7,843   7,500   4.6   8,072   38,199   31,432   21.5 
  % of Net Sales   22.3   26.4   23.2   26.0   23.8 
Personnel Cost   6,488   5,930   9.4   6,815   24,976   24,936   0.2 
  % of Net Sales   18.4   20.8   19.6   17.0   18.9 
Others   12,682   9,610   32.0   12,336   48,483   44,587   8.7 
  % of Net Sales   36.1   33.8   35.4   33.0   33.7 
Total Expenditure   27,014   23,040   17.2   27,223   111,659   100,956   10.6 
EBITDA   8,162   5,409   50.9   7,586   35,261   31,214   13.0 
  Margin (%)   23.2   19.0   21.8   24.0   23.6 
Depreciation   1,872   1,613   16.1   1,956   7,533   6,598   14.2 
EBIT    6,290   3,796   65.7   5,630   27,727   24,616   12.6 
Other Income   185   376   (50.8)  471   2,498   1,839   35.8 
Interest   (481)   70  NA  81   1,046   24  NA
PBT   6,955   4,102   69.6   6,020   29,179   26,432   10.4 
Extra‐Ord. Inc./Exps.   (54)   (36)  (48)  (165)   (174)
Total Taxes   1,505   528   185.1   1,252   6,128   5,094   20.3 
  ETR (%)   21.6   12.9   20.8   21.0   19.3 
Reported PAT   5,504   3,609   52.5   4,816   23,217   21,512   7.9 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
   
   
July 31, 2014  3
  Dr.Reddy's Laboratories 
Exhibit 2: Major Sources of Revenues (Rs m) 
Y/e March  Q1FY15  Q1FY14 YoY gr. (%) Q4FY14 FY15E  FY14 YoY gr. (%)
PSAI (CPS & API)   5,537   5,868   (5.6)  6,641   24,551   23,974   2.4 
  % of Net Sales    15.7   20.6   19.1   16.7   18.1 
India   775   791   (2.0)  979   3,993   3,787   5.4 
  % of Net Sales    2.2   2.8   2.8   2.7   2.9 
International   4,762   5,077   (6.2)  5,662   20,557   20,187   1.8 
  % of Net Sales    13.5   17.8   16.3   14.0   15.3 
North America   547   1,093   (50.0)  1,538   3,883   4,354   (10.8)
  % of Net Sales    1.6   3.8   4.4   2.6   3.3 
Europe   2,681   2,093   28.1   2,370   8,993   8,770   2.5 
  % of Net Sales    7.6   7.4   6.8   6.1   6.6 
ROW   1,534   1,891   (18.9)  1,754   7,681   7,063   8.8 
  % of Net Sales    4.4   6.6   5.0   5.2   5.3 
     
Branded Formulation   29,002   21,903   32.4   27,318   119,375   105,164   13.5 
India   3,999   3,493   14.5   4,101   17,297   15,713   10.1 
  % of Net Sales    11.4   12.3   11.8   11.8   11.9 
International   25,003   18,410   35.8   23,217   102,078   89,451   14.1 
  % of Net Sales    71.1   64.7   66.7   69.5   67.7 
Russia & CIS   4,861   4,489   8.3   4,519   23,416   19,819   18.1 
  % of Net Sales    13.8   15.8   13.0   15.9   15.0 
Europe   1,459   1,573   (7.2)  1,774   7,398   6,970   6.1 
  % of Net Sales    4.1   5.5   5.1   5.0   5.3 
North America Generics   16,468   10,871   51.5   14,964   61,194   55,303   10.7 
  % of Net Sales    46.8   38.2   43.0   41.7   41.8 
Emerging Mkt Generics   2,215   1,477   50.0   1,960   10,070   7,359   36.8 
  % of Net Sales    6.3   5.2   5.6   6.9   5.6 
     
Innovative Prod. (Proprietary Prod.)   634   679   (6.6)  851   2,994   3,032   (1.3)
  % of Net Sales    1.8   2.4   2.4   2.0   2.3 
     
Net Sales   35,173   28,450   23.6   34,810   146,919   132,170   11.2 
Source: Company Data, PL Research 
 
 
   
   
July 31, 2014  4
  Dr.Reddy's Laboratories 
Income Statement (Rs m)           
Y/e March   2013  2014  2015E 2016E
Net Revenue  116,266  133,473  146,919 158,998
Raw Material Expenses  35,274  31,432  38,199 41,022
Gross Profit  80,992  102,041  108,720 117,977
Employee Cost  20,413  24,936  24,976 25,440
Other Expenses  35,817  44,587  48,483 53,582
EBITDA  24,762  32,517  35,261 38,955
Depr. & Amortization  3,859  4,804  4,848 5,142
Net Interest  1,018  24  1,046 973
Other Income  4,170  3,633  5,183 5,569
Profit before Tax  24,055  31,322  34,551 38,408
Total Tax  4,900  5,094  6,128 6,699
Profit after Tax  19,155  26,229  28,423 31,709
Ex‐Od items / Min. Int.  1,003  174  (165) (175)
Adj. PAT  16,776  22,815  23,217 26,153
Avg. Shares O/S (m)  169.8  170.1  170.1 170.1
EPS (Rs.)  98.8  134.1  136.5 153.8
 
Cash Flow Abstract (Rs m)    
Y/e March     2013  2014  2015E 2016E
C/F from Operations  13,317  7,168  35,007 19,079
C/F from Investing  (13,944)  (12,984)  (12,333) (12,835)
C/F from Financing  (1,792)  10,198  (17,584) (7,011)
Inc. / Dec. in Cash  (2,419)  4,382  5,089 (768)
Opening Cash  7,379  5,054  9,436 14,525
Closing Cash  5,054  9,436  14,525 13,758
FCFF  5,768  14,203  15,442 18,722
FCFE  10,140  25,877  (1,611) 15,674
 
 
 
Key Financial Metrics 
Y/e March             2013  2014  2015E 2016E
Growth     
Revenue (%)  20.2  14.8  10.1 8.2
EBITDA (%)  4.3  31.3  8.4 10.5
PAT (%)  17.6  36.0  1.8 12.6
EPS (%)  17.5  35.8  1.8 12.6
Profitability     
EBITDA Margin (%)  21.3  24.4  24.0 24.5
PAT Margin (%)  14.4  17.1  15.8 16.4
RoCE (%)  17.3  18.2  16.8 17.5
RoE (%)  25.7  27.8  23.1 21.5
Balance Sheet     
Net Debt : Equity  0.4  0.5  0.2 0.1
Net Wrkng Cap. (days)  189  53  241 265
Valuation     
PER (x)  28.6  21.0  20.7 18.4
P / B (x)  6.6  5.3  4.4 3.6
EV / EBITDA (x)  20.7  16.0  14.3 12.8
EV / Sales (x)  4.4  3.9  3.4 3.1
Earnings Quality     
Eff. Tax Rate  23.7  18.4  21.0 20.5
Other Inc / PBT  12.0  6.6  8.6 8.3
Eff. Depr. Rate (%)  7.4  8.1  7.5 7.3
FCFE / PAT  60.4  113.4  (6.9) 59.9
Source: Company Data, PL Research. 
 
   
Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)   
Y/e March      2013  2014  2015E 2016E
Shareholder's Funds  73,085  90,800  110,143 133,315
Total Debt  37,688  49,362  32,309 29,261
Other Liabilities  (1,649)  —  (3,492) (4,052)
Total Liabilities  109,124  140,162  138,960 158,524
Net Fixed Assets  52,322  65,670  65,190 71,000
Goodwill  —  —  — —
Investments  17,644  25,889  17,782 23,794
Net Current Assets  39,158  48,603  55,987 63,730
     Cash & Equivalents  5,136  8,451  8,727 9,698
     Other Current Assets  63,615  70,213  81,167 90,449
     Current Liabilities  29,593  30,061  33,907 36,416
Other Assets  —  —  — —
Total Assets  109,124  140,162  138,960 158,524
 
 
 
 
Quarterly Financials (Rs m)     
Y/e March      Q2FY14  Q3FY14  Q4FY14 Q1FY15
Net Revenue  33,575  35,338  34,809 35,175
EBITDA  8,456  9,762  7,586 8,162
% of revenue  25.2  27.6  21.8 23.2
Depr. & Amortization  1,733  1,793  1,956 1,872
Net Interest  (291)  (15)  81 (481)
Other Income  637  177  471 185
Profit before Tax  7,651  8,161  6,020 6,955
Total Tax  793  2,521  1,252 1,505
Profit after Tax  6,903  6,185  4,816 5,504
Adj. PAT  6,903  6,185  4,816 5,504
 
Key Operating Metrics (Rs m) 
Y/e March       2013  2014  2015E 2016E
India Formulations  14,560  15,713  17,297 19,373
US Formulations  37,846  56,606  61,194 62,930
Russia  14,050  16,300  19,232 22,116
PSAI  30,702  23,974  24,551 26,177
Source: Company Data, PL Research. 
 
   
July 31, 2014  5
  Dr.Reddy's Laboratories 
 
 
 
 
 
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. 
3rd Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Worli, Mumbai‐400 018, India 
Tel: (91 22) 6632 2222 Fax: (91 22) 6632 2209 
Rating Distribution of Research Coverage   
29.4%
51.4%
19.3%
0.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
BUY Accumulate Reduce Sell
% of Total Coverage
 
PL’s Recommendation Nomenclature     
BUY   :  Over 15% Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Accumulate  :  Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months 
Reduce  :  Underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Sell  :  Over 15% underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months 
Trading Buy  :  Over 10% absolute upside in 1‐month  Trading Sell  :  Over 10% absolute decline in 1‐month 
Not Rated (NR)  :  No specific call on the stock  Under Review (UR)  :  Rating likely to change shortly 
This  document  has  been  prepared  by  the  Research  Division  of  Prabhudas  Lilladher  Pvt.  Ltd.  Mumbai,  India  (PL)  and  is  meant  for  use  by  the  recipient  only  as 
information and is not for circulation.  This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of PL. It should not be 
considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. 
The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, PL has not independently verified the accuracy 
or completeness of the same. Neither PL nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accept any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, 
statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. 
Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The 
suitability  or  otherwise  of  any  investments  will  depend  upon  the  recipient's  particular  circumstances  and,  in  case  of  doubt,  advice  should  be  sought  from  an 
independent expert/advisor. 
Either PL or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or 
engage in transactions of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication. 
We may from time to time solicit or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document. 

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Dr. Reddy's 1FY15: Strong sales in key markets drive growth, margins

  • 1.     Dr.Reddy's Laboratories  Strong sales in key markets drive growth, margins July 31, 2014  Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. and/or its associates (the 'Firm') does and/or seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that  the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.  Please refer to important disclosures and disclaimers at the end of the report    Q1FY15 Result Update  Surajit Pal  surajitpal@plindia.com  +91‐22‐66322259           Rating  Accumulate  Price  Rs2,823  Target Price  Rs3,023  Implied Upside   7.1%  Sensex   26,087  Nifty  7,791  (Prices as on July 30, 2014)  Trading data  Market Cap. (Rs bn)  478.7  Shares o/s (m)  169.6  3M Avg. Daily value (Rs m)  2606.4  Major shareholders  Promoters   25.49%  Foreign   35.29%  Domestic Inst.  5.44%  Public & Other   33.78%  Stock Performance   (%)  1M  6M  12M  Absolute  7.6  7.8  29.7  Relative   3.7  (18.6)  (3.5)  How we differ from Consensus  EPS (Rs)  PL  Cons.  % Diff.  2015  136.5  135.5  0.8  2016  153.8  156.0  ‐1.5    Price Performance (RIC: REDY.BO, BB: DRRD IN)    Source: Bloomberg  1,500 1,700 1,900 2,100 2,300 2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 Jul‐13 Sep‐13 Nov‐13 Jan‐14 Mar‐14 May‐14 Jul‐14 (Rs)  Q1FY15 result in line: Dr Reddy’s sales reached Rs35.2bn in Q1FY15, in line with  our  estimate  of  Rs36.2bn.  Adjusted  EBITDA  margin  was  at  23%and  PAT  at  Rs5.5bn  in  Q1FY15.  Strong  traction  in  key  geographies  such  as  US,  India  and  ROW  markets  helped  in  24%  YoY  growth  in  sales  and  EBITDA  expansion  of  140bps.  Benefits  of  limited  competition  drugs  helped  in  US  generics  growth,  while  volume  expansion  in  focus  brands  drove  15%  YoY  growth  in  domestic  formulations.  Quality  of  sales  growth  in  Russia  (18%  YoY  in  local  currency)  improved in Q1FY15 as OTC contributed 37% of sales with 27% YoY growth.   Limited  competition  drugs  drive  US  sales:  Dr  Reddy’s  launch  of  limited  competition generics in 2014 continued to drive its sales and reached 43% YoY  growth (in local currency) in Q1FY15. Product mix of sole generics in Vidaza and  Dacogen, limited competition in Reclast and Aricept 23mg, higher demand and  price rise in Depakote ER and Rx growth in Toprol XL and Geodon helped robust  growth in US generic in Q1FY15. The company expects its injectable portfolio to  continue  to  provide  strong  traction,  while  new  generics,  launched  in  2014,  would support growth in H2FY15E.         Valuation‐Mid‐teen  US  growth  in FY15E,  maintain  ‘Accumulate’,  TP  Rs3,023:  Management  expects  mid‐teen  growth  in  US  generics,  while  overall  sales  growth is guided to be muted in FY15. We expect 8% growth in US sales due to  growing  competition  in  limited  competition  drugs  in  FY15.  The  company,  however, could provide positive surprise to our earnings estimate with launch of  Nexium and Copaxone in FY15E. With benefits of lower base, Dr Reddy’s may  achieve  12‐15%  growth  in  domestic  formulations  in  FY15.  Strategy  of  focus  geography  will  drive  ROW  sales  at  37%  growth  in  FY15.  With  11%  R&D  expensess to build strong portfolio, we maintain ‘Accumulate’ and retain TP at  Rs3,023.         Key financials (Y/e March)    2013 2014  2015E 2016E Revenues (Rs m)  116,266 133,473  146,919 158,998      Growth (%)  20.2 14.8  10.1 8.2 EBITDA (Rs m)  24,762 32,517  35,261 38,955 PAT (Rs m)  16,776 22,815  23,217 26,153 EPS (Rs)  98.8 134.1  136.5 153.8      Growth (%)  17.5 35.8  1.8 12.6 Net DPS (Rs)  15.0 15.0  15.0 —   Profitability & Valuation    2013 2014  2015E 2016E EBITDA margin (%)  21.3 24.4  24.0 24.5 RoE (%)  25.7 27.8  23.1 21.5 RoCE (%)  17.3 18.2  16.8 17.5 EV / sales (x)  4.4 3.9  3.4 3.1 EV / EBITDA (x)  20.7 16.0  14.3 12.8 PE (x)  28.6 21.0  20.7 18.4 P / BV (x)  6.6 5.3  4.4 3.6 Net dividend yield (%)  0.5 0.5  0.5 — Source: Company Data; PL Research 
  • 2.     July 31, 2014  2   Dr.Reddy's Laboratories  Exhibit 1: Q1Y15 Result Overview (Rs m)  Y/e March  Q1FY15  Q1FY14 YoY gr. (%) Q4FY14 FY15E  FY14 YoY gr. (%) Net Sales   35,175   28,449   23.6   34,809   146,919   132,170   11.2  Raw Material   7,843   7,500   4.6   8,072   38,199   31,432   21.5    % of Net Sales   22.3   26.4   23.2   26.0   23.8  Personnel Cost   6,488   5,930   9.4   6,815   24,976   24,936   0.2    % of Net Sales   18.4   20.8   19.6   17.0   18.9  Others   12,682   9,610   32.0   12,336   48,483   44,587   8.7    % of Net Sales   36.1   33.8   35.4   33.0   33.7  Total Expenditure   27,014   23,040   17.2   27,223   111,659   100,956   10.6  EBITDA   8,162   5,409   50.9   7,586   35,261   31,214   13.0    Margin (%)   23.2   19.0   21.8   24.0   23.6  Depreciation   1,872   1,613   16.1   1,956   7,533   6,598   14.2  EBIT    6,290   3,796   65.7   5,630   27,727   24,616   12.6  Other Income   185   376   (50.8)  471   2,498   1,839   35.8  Interest   (481)   70  NA  81   1,046   24  NA PBT   6,955   4,102   69.6   6,020   29,179   26,432   10.4  Extra‐Ord. Inc./Exps.   (54)   (36)  (48)  (165)   (174) Total Taxes   1,505   528   185.1   1,252   6,128   5,094   20.3    ETR (%)   21.6   12.9   20.8   21.0   19.3  Reported PAT   5,504   3,609   52.5   4,816   23,217   21,512   7.9  Source: Company Data, PL Research     
  • 3.     July 31, 2014  3   Dr.Reddy's Laboratories  Exhibit 2: Major Sources of Revenues (Rs m)  Y/e March  Q1FY15  Q1FY14 YoY gr. (%) Q4FY14 FY15E  FY14 YoY gr. (%) PSAI (CPS & API)   5,537   5,868   (5.6)  6,641   24,551   23,974   2.4    % of Net Sales    15.7   20.6   19.1   16.7   18.1  India   775   791   (2.0)  979   3,993   3,787   5.4    % of Net Sales    2.2   2.8   2.8   2.7   2.9  International   4,762   5,077   (6.2)  5,662   20,557   20,187   1.8    % of Net Sales    13.5   17.8   16.3   14.0   15.3  North America   547   1,093   (50.0)  1,538   3,883   4,354   (10.8)   % of Net Sales    1.6   3.8   4.4   2.6   3.3  Europe   2,681   2,093   28.1   2,370   8,993   8,770   2.5    % of Net Sales    7.6   7.4   6.8   6.1   6.6  ROW   1,534   1,891   (18.9)  1,754   7,681   7,063   8.8    % of Net Sales    4.4   6.6   5.0   5.2   5.3        Branded Formulation   29,002   21,903   32.4   27,318   119,375   105,164   13.5  India   3,999   3,493   14.5   4,101   17,297   15,713   10.1    % of Net Sales    11.4   12.3   11.8   11.8   11.9  International   25,003   18,410   35.8   23,217   102,078   89,451   14.1    % of Net Sales    71.1   64.7   66.7   69.5   67.7  Russia & CIS   4,861   4,489   8.3   4,519   23,416   19,819   18.1    % of Net Sales    13.8   15.8   13.0   15.9   15.0  Europe   1,459   1,573   (7.2)  1,774   7,398   6,970   6.1    % of Net Sales    4.1   5.5   5.1   5.0   5.3  North America Generics   16,468   10,871   51.5   14,964   61,194   55,303   10.7    % of Net Sales    46.8   38.2   43.0   41.7   41.8  Emerging Mkt Generics   2,215   1,477   50.0   1,960   10,070   7,359   36.8    % of Net Sales    6.3   5.2   5.6   6.9   5.6        Innovative Prod. (Proprietary Prod.)   634   679   (6.6)  851   2,994   3,032   (1.3)   % of Net Sales    1.8   2.4   2.4   2.0   2.3        Net Sales   35,173   28,450   23.6   34,810   146,919   132,170   11.2  Source: Company Data, PL Research         
  • 4.     July 31, 2014  4   Dr.Reddy's Laboratories  Income Statement (Rs m)            Y/e March   2013  2014  2015E 2016E Net Revenue  116,266  133,473  146,919 158,998 Raw Material Expenses  35,274  31,432  38,199 41,022 Gross Profit  80,992  102,041  108,720 117,977 Employee Cost  20,413  24,936  24,976 25,440 Other Expenses  35,817  44,587  48,483 53,582 EBITDA  24,762  32,517  35,261 38,955 Depr. & Amortization  3,859  4,804  4,848 5,142 Net Interest  1,018  24  1,046 973 Other Income  4,170  3,633  5,183 5,569 Profit before Tax  24,055  31,322  34,551 38,408 Total Tax  4,900  5,094  6,128 6,699 Profit after Tax  19,155  26,229  28,423 31,709 Ex‐Od items / Min. Int.  1,003  174  (165) (175) Adj. PAT  16,776  22,815  23,217 26,153 Avg. Shares O/S (m)  169.8  170.1  170.1 170.1 EPS (Rs.)  98.8  134.1  136.5 153.8   Cash Flow Abstract (Rs m)     Y/e March     2013  2014  2015E 2016E C/F from Operations  13,317  7,168  35,007 19,079 C/F from Investing  (13,944)  (12,984)  (12,333) (12,835) C/F from Financing  (1,792)  10,198  (17,584) (7,011) Inc. / Dec. in Cash  (2,419)  4,382  5,089 (768) Opening Cash  7,379  5,054  9,436 14,525 Closing Cash  5,054  9,436  14,525 13,758 FCFF  5,768  14,203  15,442 18,722 FCFE  10,140  25,877  (1,611) 15,674       Key Financial Metrics  Y/e March             2013  2014  2015E 2016E Growth      Revenue (%)  20.2  14.8  10.1 8.2 EBITDA (%)  4.3  31.3  8.4 10.5 PAT (%)  17.6  36.0  1.8 12.6 EPS (%)  17.5  35.8  1.8 12.6 Profitability      EBITDA Margin (%)  21.3  24.4  24.0 24.5 PAT Margin (%)  14.4  17.1  15.8 16.4 RoCE (%)  17.3  18.2  16.8 17.5 RoE (%)  25.7  27.8  23.1 21.5 Balance Sheet      Net Debt : Equity  0.4  0.5  0.2 0.1 Net Wrkng Cap. (days)  189  53  241 265 Valuation      PER (x)  28.6  21.0  20.7 18.4 P / B (x)  6.6  5.3  4.4 3.6 EV / EBITDA (x)  20.7  16.0  14.3 12.8 EV / Sales (x)  4.4  3.9  3.4 3.1 Earnings Quality      Eff. Tax Rate  23.7  18.4  21.0 20.5 Other Inc / PBT  12.0  6.6  8.6 8.3 Eff. Depr. Rate (%)  7.4  8.1  7.5 7.3 FCFE / PAT  60.4  113.4  (6.9) 59.9 Source: Company Data, PL Research.        Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)    Y/e March      2013  2014  2015E 2016E Shareholder's Funds  73,085  90,800  110,143 133,315 Total Debt  37,688  49,362  32,309 29,261 Other Liabilities  (1,649)  —  (3,492) (4,052) Total Liabilities  109,124  140,162  138,960 158,524 Net Fixed Assets  52,322  65,670  65,190 71,000 Goodwill  —  —  — — Investments  17,644  25,889  17,782 23,794 Net Current Assets  39,158  48,603  55,987 63,730      Cash & Equivalents  5,136  8,451  8,727 9,698      Other Current Assets  63,615  70,213  81,167 90,449      Current Liabilities  29,593  30,061  33,907 36,416 Other Assets  —  —  — — Total Assets  109,124  140,162  138,960 158,524         Quarterly Financials (Rs m)      Y/e March      Q2FY14  Q3FY14  Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Net Revenue  33,575  35,338  34,809 35,175 EBITDA  8,456  9,762  7,586 8,162 % of revenue  25.2  27.6  21.8 23.2 Depr. & Amortization  1,733  1,793  1,956 1,872 Net Interest  (291)  (15)  81 (481) Other Income  637  177  471 185 Profit before Tax  7,651  8,161  6,020 6,955 Total Tax  793  2,521  1,252 1,505 Profit after Tax  6,903  6,185  4,816 5,504 Adj. PAT  6,903  6,185  4,816 5,504   Key Operating Metrics (Rs m)  Y/e March       2013  2014  2015E 2016E India Formulations  14,560  15,713  17,297 19,373 US Formulations  37,846  56,606  61,194 62,930 Russia  14,050  16,300  19,232 22,116 PSAI  30,702  23,974  24,551 26,177 Source: Company Data, PL Research.   
  • 5.     July 31, 2014  5   Dr.Reddy's Laboratories            Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd.  3rd Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Worli, Mumbai‐400 018, India  Tel: (91 22) 6632 2222 Fax: (91 22) 6632 2209  Rating Distribution of Research Coverage    29.4% 51.4% 19.3% 0.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% BUY Accumulate Reduce Sell % of Total Coverage   PL’s Recommendation Nomenclature      BUY   :  Over 15% Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Accumulate  :  Outperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Reduce  :  Underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Sell  :  Over 15% underperformance to Sensex over 12‐months  Trading Buy  :  Over 10% absolute upside in 1‐month  Trading Sell  :  Over 10% absolute decline in 1‐month  Not Rated (NR)  :  No specific call on the stock  Under Review (UR)  :  Rating likely to change shortly  This  document  has  been  prepared  by  the  Research  Division  of  Prabhudas  Lilladher  Pvt.  Ltd.  Mumbai,  India  (PL)  and  is  meant  for  use  by  the  recipient  only  as  information and is not for circulation.  This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of PL. It should not be  considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.  The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, PL has not independently verified the accuracy  or completeness of the same. Neither PL nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accept any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information,  statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein.  Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The  suitability  or  otherwise  of  any  investments  will  depend  upon  the  recipient's  particular  circumstances  and,  in  case  of  doubt,  advice  should  be  sought  from  an  independent expert/advisor.  Either PL or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or  engage in transactions of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication.  We may from time to time solicit or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document.