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Gas Development Master Plan
Introduction
Capacity Building Workshop
Bali, 1-2 July 2013
2
The project team
Funding from AusAID through Indii
Quality assurance by World Bank
David Aron
Team leader
John Bowers
Gas transportation expert
Rita Jolly
Petroleum economist
Abdul Waheed
Reservoir engineer
Iyayi Osayi
Project co-ordinator
Ray Tomkins
Economist
Tatiana Tumenggung
Economist
Fred Beeltz
Economic Modeller
William Derbyshire
Economist
David Braithwaite
Local Advisor
Ferry Median
Legal Advisor
Model
team
3
Objectives of the project
Prepare a long-term Gas Development Master Plan
(GDMP)
• gas demand-supply projections
• substitution of export gas with domestic supply
• flow patterns from existing fields to demand centers
• expansion of gas supply and transmission infrastructure
Recommend the policy, legal, regulatory, and institutional
framework for long-term gas sector development
• review existing policies, rules and regulations,
• initiate new policies attracting private sector
participation.
• review gas utilization options in the domestic market
4
Components of the project
Task A – Preparation of GDMP
• supply-demand scenarios
• identification and ranking of infrastructure projects
• economic benefits of gas
• investment requirements
Task B – Policy notes
• PNs 1-6 – Review of the existing framework
• PNs 7-10 – Recommendations on PSC provisions, incentives for
private investment, price regulation and the balance between
export and domestic consumption of gas
Task C – Training programme
This workshop forms part of Tasks A and C
5
GDMP Model (DASS – TIM)
The GDMP model is the key tool developed under Task A,
and is used to
• identify the optimal infrastructure investment plan
• test the impacts of alternative policies on gas market
growth, government revenues and economic benefits
to Indonesia
There are two components to the model
• DASS – Demand and Supply Scenarios
• TIM – Transport Infrastructure Model
At the conclusion of the project, the model will be
transferred to our Indonesian counterparts
6
Workshop objectives
Introduce DASS-TIM to our counterpart team
• presentation of the model
• practical exercises for participants
• further training in DASS-TIM will take place later in the
project
Agree scenarios to be modelled using DASS-TIM
• subsequently these will be used to develop the draft
infrastructure plan (Task A)
• the analysis will also feed into the development of the
Policy Notes (Task B)
7
Agenda
Monday, 1 July
Morning
• Overview
• Introduction to DASS
Afternoon
• Scenarios for analysis
• DASS practical exercise
Tuesday, 2 July
Morning
• Introduction to TIM
• TIM practical exercise
Afternoon
• Integrating DASS and TIM
• Interpreting the results
8
Further information
The consultant team is available throughout the workshop
and is always happy to meet and discuss with participants
We are readily contactable by email
Ray Tomkins (ray@eca-uk.com)
William Derbyshire (william.derbyshire@eca-uk.com)
Tatiana Tumenggung (tatiana.tumenggung@eca-uk.com)
Or you can contact us through the PIU

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Gdmp model workshop 1 - introduction

  • 1. Gas Development Master Plan Introduction Capacity Building Workshop Bali, 1-2 July 2013
  • 2. 2 The project team Funding from AusAID through Indii Quality assurance by World Bank David Aron Team leader John Bowers Gas transportation expert Rita Jolly Petroleum economist Abdul Waheed Reservoir engineer Iyayi Osayi Project co-ordinator Ray Tomkins Economist Tatiana Tumenggung Economist Fred Beeltz Economic Modeller William Derbyshire Economist David Braithwaite Local Advisor Ferry Median Legal Advisor Model team
  • 3. 3 Objectives of the project Prepare a long-term Gas Development Master Plan (GDMP) • gas demand-supply projections • substitution of export gas with domestic supply • flow patterns from existing fields to demand centers • expansion of gas supply and transmission infrastructure Recommend the policy, legal, regulatory, and institutional framework for long-term gas sector development • review existing policies, rules and regulations, • initiate new policies attracting private sector participation. • review gas utilization options in the domestic market
  • 4. 4 Components of the project Task A – Preparation of GDMP • supply-demand scenarios • identification and ranking of infrastructure projects • economic benefits of gas • investment requirements Task B – Policy notes • PNs 1-6 – Review of the existing framework • PNs 7-10 – Recommendations on PSC provisions, incentives for private investment, price regulation and the balance between export and domestic consumption of gas Task C – Training programme This workshop forms part of Tasks A and C
  • 5. 5 GDMP Model (DASS – TIM) The GDMP model is the key tool developed under Task A, and is used to • identify the optimal infrastructure investment plan • test the impacts of alternative policies on gas market growth, government revenues and economic benefits to Indonesia There are two components to the model • DASS – Demand and Supply Scenarios • TIM – Transport Infrastructure Model At the conclusion of the project, the model will be transferred to our Indonesian counterparts
  • 6. 6 Workshop objectives Introduce DASS-TIM to our counterpart team • presentation of the model • practical exercises for participants • further training in DASS-TIM will take place later in the project Agree scenarios to be modelled using DASS-TIM • subsequently these will be used to develop the draft infrastructure plan (Task A) • the analysis will also feed into the development of the Policy Notes (Task B)
  • 7. 7 Agenda Monday, 1 July Morning • Overview • Introduction to DASS Afternoon • Scenarios for analysis • DASS practical exercise Tuesday, 2 July Morning • Introduction to TIM • TIM practical exercise Afternoon • Integrating DASS and TIM • Interpreting the results
  • 8. 8 Further information The consultant team is available throughout the workshop and is always happy to meet and discuss with participants We are readily contactable by email Ray Tomkins (ray@eca-uk.com) William Derbyshire (william.derbyshire@eca-uk.com) Tatiana Tumenggung (tatiana.tumenggung@eca-uk.com) Or you can contact us through the PIU