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Back	
  to	
  the	
  Future:	
  What	
  Old	
  Thinkers	
  can	
  teach	
  
us	
  about	
  making	
  Innova;on	
  Succeed	
  Today	
  
Dr.	
  Emma	
  Langman,	
  Manager	
  of	
  HR	
  &	
  Performance	
  
Thursday	
  6th	
  March,	
  2014	
  
1	
  
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Dedica;on	
  
In	
  loving	
  memory	
  of	
  my	
  mentor	
  and	
  friend	
  
2	
  
Nigel	
  Clements	
  
Focus	
  
Just	
  3	
  ques:ons	
  
3	
  
1.  What	
  are	
  our	
  21st	
  Century	
  Problems?	
  
2.  What	
  are	
  the	
  lessons	
  from	
  history?	
  
3.  How	
  can	
  we	
  apply	
  those	
  ideas	
  today?	
  
What	
  are	
  our	
  21st	
  Century	
  Problems?	
  
4	
  
What	
  are	
  our	
  21st	
  Century	
  Problems?	
  
Some	
  thoughts	
  
5	
  
•  Precipitous	
  >	
  
•  Lack	
  of	
  <	
  
•  Ignorance	
  of	
  ≈	
  
•  Denial	
  of	
  p	
  =	
  x	
  +	
  z(x)	
  
•  Insufficient	
  analysis	
  of	
  Y5	
  
What	
  are	
  the	
  lessons	
  from	
  history?	
  
[some	
  examples]	
  
6	
  
What	
  are	
  the	
  lessons	
  from	
  history?	
  
There	
  are	
  many	
  –	
  3	
  examples	
  of	
  great	
  teachers	
  from	
  the	
  50s	
  (and	
  beyond):	
  
7	
  
1.  Deming	
  –	
  System	
  of	
  Profound	
  Knowledge	
  
2.  Ackoff	
  –	
  Idealized	
  Design	
  
3.  Ishiwaka	
  –	
  The	
  7	
  Tools	
  
Who	
  affects	
  Performance	
  most?	
  
What	
  if	
  it	
  is	
  what,	
  not	
  who?	
  
8	
  
Deming’s	
  System	
  of	
  Profound	
  Knowledge 	
  	
  
Bad	
  name	
  –	
  fantas:c	
  concept	
  
9	
  
SoPK	
  
Varia:on	
  
Psychology	
  
Learning	
  
System	
  
How	
  can	
  we	
  Innovate	
  best?	
  
An	
  “old	
  thinker”	
  leads	
  the	
  way	
  
10	
  
Russell	
  Ackoff	
  
Are	
  you	
  siUng	
  comfortably?	
   	
  	
  
Then	
  I	
  shall	
  begin…	
  
11	
  
•  Once	
  upon	
  a	
  :me	
  –	
  in	
  1951	
  
•  Bell	
  Labs,	
  New	
  Jersey	
  
•  Peter	
  Myers	
  “said	
  that	
  no	
  one	
  would	
  know	
  the	
  difference”	
  
•  He	
  was	
  a	
  big	
  man,	
  extroverted,	
  and	
  voluble.	
  He	
  could	
  not	
  get	
  near	
  someone	
  
without	
  punching,	
  pinching,	
  pushing,	
  hugging,	
  or	
  pounding	
  them	
  on	
  the	
  back.	
  	
  
•  He	
  was	
  obviously	
  very	
  upset.	
  He	
  was	
  a	
  pasty	
  gray	
  and	
  bent	
  over	
  as	
  he	
  slowly	
  
shuffled	
  down	
  the	
  aisle	
  without	
  a	
  word	
  to	
  anyone.	
  He	
  mounted	
  the	
  plamorm,	
  
stood	
  behind	
  the	
  podium,	
  put	
  his	
  elbows	
  on	
  it,	
  and	
  held	
  his	
  head	
  in	
  his	
  two	
  
hands,	
  looking	
  down.	
  
•  “Gentlemen,	
  the	
  telephone	
  system	
  of	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  was	
  destroyed	
  last	
  
night.”	
  	
  
S;ll	
  Comfy? 	
  	
  
Then	
  I	
  shall	
  con:nue.	
  
12	
  
•  “I’ve	
  made	
  a	
  list	
  of	
  those	
  contribu:ons	
  to	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  telephonic	
  
communica:ons	
  that	
  I	
  believe	
  have	
  earned	
  us	
  this	
  reputa:on.	
  Before	
  I	
  share	
  my	
  
list	
  with	
  you,	
  I’d	
  like	
  your	
  opinions.	
  What	
  do	
  you	
  think	
  are	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  
contribu:ons	
  we	
  have	
  ever	
  made	
  to	
  this	
  development?”	
  
•  The	
  dial	
  	
  
–	
  introduced	
  in	
  the	
  1930s	
  
•  Mul:plexing	
  	
  
–	
  between	
  the	
  two	
  world	
  wars	
  
•  The	
  coaxial	
  cable	
  that	
  connected	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  and	
  Great	
  Britain	
  	
  
-­‐	
  1882	
  
•  “Doesn’t	
  it	
  strike	
  you	
  as	
  odd,”	
  he	
  said,	
  “that	
  the	
  three	
  most	
  important	
  
contribu:ons	
  this	
  laboratory	
  has	
  ever	
  made	
  to	
  telephonic	
  communica:ons	
  were	
  
made	
  before	
  any	
  of	
  you	
  were	
  born?	
  What	
  have	
  you	
  been	
  doing?”	
  	
  
Not	
  quite	
  as	
  Comfy? 	
  	
  
Is	
  this	
  telephone	
  story	
  ringing	
  true?	
  
13	
  
•  “You	
  have	
  been	
  improving	
  the	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  system	
  taken	
  separately,	
  but	
  you	
  
have	
  not	
  significantly	
  improved	
  the	
  system	
  as	
  a	
  whole”	
  
•  “The	
  deficiency,”	
  he	
  said,	
  “is	
  not	
  yours	
  but	
  mine.	
  We’ve	
  had	
  the	
  wrong	
  
research-­‐and-­‐development	
  strategy.	
  We’ve	
  been	
  focusing	
  on	
  improving	
  parts	
  of	
  
the	
  system	
  rather	
  than	
  focusing	
  on	
  the	
  system	
  as	
  a	
  whole.	
  As	
  a	
  result,	
  we	
  have	
  
been	
  improving	
  the	
  parts,	
  but	
  not	
  the	
  whole.	
  We	
  have	
  got	
  to	
  restart	
  by	
  focusing	
  
on	
  designing	
  the	
  whole	
  and	
  then	
  designing	
  parts	
  that	
  fit	
  it	
  rather	
  than	
  vice	
  
versa”	
  
•  “Therefore,	
  gentlemen,	
  we	
  are	
  going	
  to	
  begin	
  by	
  designing	
  the	
  system	
  with	
  
which	
  we	
  would	
  replace	
  the	
  exis:ng	
  system	
  right	
  now	
  if	
  we	
  were	
  free	
  to	
  replace	
  
it	
  with	
  whatever	
  system	
  we	
  wanted,	
  subject	
  to	
  only	
  two	
  not-­‐very-­‐restric:ve	
  
constraints”	
  
On	
  the	
  edge	
  of	
  your	
  seat? 	
  	
  
What	
  are	
  the	
  two	
  constraints?	
  
14	
  
•  “First,”	
  he	
  con:nued,	
  “let	
  me	
  explain	
  why	
  we	
  will	
  focus	
  on	
  what	
  we	
  want	
  right	
  
now,	
  not	
  out	
  five	
  or	
  ten	
  years.	
  Why?	
  Because	
  we	
  know	
  that	
  where	
  we	
  say	
  today	
  
we	
  would	
  like	
  to	
  be	
  five	
  years	
  from	
  now	
  is	
  not	
  where	
  we	
  will	
  want	
  to	
  be	
  when	
  
we	
  get	
  there.	
  Things	
  will	
  happen	
  between	
  now	
  and	
  then	
  that	
  will	
  affect	
  our	
  
goals	
  and	
  objec:ves.	
  By	
  focusing	
  on	
  what	
  we	
  want	
  right	
  now,	
  we	
  can	
  eliminate	
  
that	
  poten:al	
  source	
  of	
  error.”	
  
•  “Second,	
  why	
  remove	
  prac:cally	
  all	
  constraints?	
  Because	
  if	
  we	
  don’t	
  know	
  
what	
  we	
  would	
  do	
  now	
  if	
  we	
  could	
  do	
  whatever	
  we	
  wanted,	
  how	
  can	
  we	
  
know	
  what	
  to	
  do	
  when	
  we	
  can’t	
  do	
  everything	
  we	
  want?	
  If	
  we	
  knew	
  what	
  we	
  
would	
  do	
  with	
  virtually	
  no	
  constraints,	
  we	
  could	
  modify	
  it,	
  if	
  necessary,	
  to	
  
become	
  feasible	
  and	
  adapt	
  it	
  to	
  changing	
  internal	
  and	
  external	
  condi:ons	
  as	
  
:me	
  goes	
  on.”	
  
Curious	
  to	
  know	
  how	
  it	
  works?	
  
This	
  is	
  what	
  they	
  did	
  
15	
  
•  The	
  vice	
  president	
  then	
  said,	
  “This	
  group	
  is	
  too	
  large	
  to	
  operate	
  as	
  a	
  single	
  group.	
  
Therefore,	
  I	
  am	
  going	
  to	
  divide	
  you	
  into	
  six	
  subgroups	
  of	
  about	
  six	
  each,	
  each	
  with	
  
responsibility	
  for	
  a	
  subsystem.	
  Each	
  group	
  will	
  select	
  a	
  representa:ve	
  to	
  meet	
  with	
  
other	
  representa:ves	
  at	
  least	
  once	
  a	
  week	
  to	
  discuss	
  interac;ons.	
  Let	
  me	
  explain.	
  
•  “Each	
  group	
  will	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  design	
  whatever	
  it	
  wants	
  as	
  long	
  as	
  it	
  does	
  not	
  affect	
  any	
  
other	
  group’s	
  design.	
  If	
  what	
  a	
  group	
  wants	
  to	
  do	
  does	
  affect	
  one	
  or	
  more	
  other	
  
groups’	
  designs,	
  it	
  must	
  get	
  their	
  agreement	
  before	
  it	
  can	
  be	
  included	
  in	
  their	
  
design.	
  I	
  can	
  tell	
  you	
  in	
  advance,”	
  he	
  said,	
  “that	
  the	
  groups	
  will	
  do	
  livle	
  that	
  does	
  not	
  
affect	
  other	
  groups.	
  At	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  year,”	
  he	
  said,	
  “I	
  want	
  to	
  see	
  one	
  completely	
  
integrated	
  system	
  design,	
  not	
  six	
  subsystem	
  designs.	
  I	
  don’t	
  even	
  want	
  to	
  know	
  
what	
  the	
  individual	
  teams	
  came	
  up	
  with.	
  Is	
  that	
  clear?”	
  he	
  asked.	
  
•  He	
  created	
  a	
  “long	
  lines”	
  (inter-­‐city	
  communica:on)	
  team,	
  a	
  “short	
  lines”	
  (within	
  
city	
  communica:on)	
  team,	
  a	
  switching	
  sta:ons	
  team,	
  two	
  other	
  teams,	
  and	
  finally	
  
the	
  telephone	
  set	
  team,	
  on	
  which	
  I	
  found	
  myself	
  with	
  my	
  friend	
  Peter	
  Meyers.	
  
And	
  they	
  all	
  lived	
  Happily	
  Ever	
  A]er…. 	
  	
  
[have	
  we	
  learnt?]	
  
16	
  
•  Every	
  call	
  I	
  receive	
  is	
  intended	
  for	
  me	
  —	
  no	
  wrong	
  numbers.	
  
•  I	
  want	
  to	
  know	
  who	
  is	
  calling	
  before	
  I	
  answer	
  the	
  phone	
  so	
  I	
  need	
  not	
  answer	
  it	
  if	
  
I	
  don’t	
  want	
  to	
  speak	
  to	
  the	
  caller.	
  
•  A	
  phone	
  I	
  can	
  use	
  with	
  no	
  hands.	
  
•  A	
  phone	
  that	
  comes	
  with	
  me	
  wherever	
  I	
  am,	
  not	
  one	
  I	
  have	
  to	
  go	
  to	
  in	
  a	
  fixed	
  
locaAon.	
  
•  We	
  con:nued	
  to	
  add	
  to	
  this	
  list	
  for	
  several	
  weeks,	
  ending	
  with	
  just	
  more	
  than	
  
ninety	
  proper:es	
  we	
  wanted	
  a	
  phone	
  to	
  have.	
  These	
  proper:es	
  became	
  very	
  
complicated	
  near	
  the	
  end.	
  For	
  example,	
  we	
  wanted	
  to	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  talk	
  
simultaneously	
  to	
  groups	
  in	
  mul:ple	
  loca:ons,	
  see	
  all	
  of	
  them,	
  and	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  
transmit	
  documents	
  or	
  charts	
  instantaneously.	
  
Footnote	
  
For	
  those	
  who	
  want	
  the	
  full	
  story	
  
17	
  
•  They	
  went	
  on,	
  “We	
  went	
  back	
  and	
  built	
  a	
  push-­‐buvon	
  telephone	
  and	
  tested	
  it	
  on	
  a	
  
very	
  large	
  number	
  of	
  people.	
  It	
  turns	
  out	
  to	
  take	
  about	
  twelve	
  seconds	
  less	
  to	
  put	
  in	
  
seven	
  digits	
  by	
  pushing	
  buvons	
  than	
  turning	
  a	
  dial,	
  and	
  addi:onal	
  :me	
  is	
  saved	
  by	
  
not	
  occupying	
  a	
  line	
  un:l	
  awer	
  the	
  number	
  is	
  put	
  in	
  and	
  the	
  receiver	
  is	
  picked	
  up.	
  
The	
  combined	
  saving	
  in	
  :me	
  is	
  worth	
  millions	
  to	
  AT&T,”	
  they	
  said,	
  “so	
  we	
  have	
  
started	
  a	
  project	
  to	
  develop	
  that	
  telephone.	
  We	
  have	
  given	
  it	
  a	
  code	
  name	
  that	
  is	
  
being	
  kept	
  secret	
  for	
  now.”	
  They	
  looked	
  around	
  the	
  room	
  to	
  be	
  sure	
  no	
  one	
  was	
  
listening	
  and	
  then	
  told	
  us,	
  “Touch	
  tone.”	
  
•  Before	
  the	
  year	
  was	
  over,	
  the	
  groups	
  had	
  established	
  the	
  technological	
  feasibility	
  of	
  
each	
  of	
  our	
  many	
  design	
  features.	
  The	
  group	
  of	
  design	
  teams	
  con:nued	
  to	
  work	
  
awer	
  I	
  was	
  no	
  longer	
  a	
  par:cipant,	
  and	
  they	
  an:cipated	
  every	
  change	
  in	
  the	
  
telephone	
  system,	
  except	
  two,	
  that	
  has	
  appeared	
  since	
  then.	
  Among	
  these	
  are	
  
touch-­‐tone	
  phones,	
  consumer	
  ownership	
  of	
  phones,	
  call	
  wai;ng,	
  call	
  forwarding,	
  
voice	
  mail,	
  caller	
  ID,	
  conference	
  calls,	
  speaker	
  phones,	
  speed	
  dialing	
  of	
  numbers	
  in	
  
memory,	
  and	
  mobile	
  phones.	
  They	
  did	
  not	
  an:cipate	
  photography	
  by	
  the	
  phone	
  or	
  
an	
  Internet	
  connec:on.	
  
Idealized	
  Design 	
  	
  
In	
  a	
  nutshell	
  
18	
  
Idealized	
  design	
  is	
  a	
  way	
  of	
  thinking	
  about	
  
change	
  that	
  is	
  decepAvely	
  simple	
  to	
  state:	
  In	
  
solving	
  problems	
  of	
  virtually	
  any	
  kind,	
  the	
  way	
  to	
  
get	
  the	
  best	
  outcome	
  is	
  to	
  imagine	
  what	
  the	
  ideal	
  
soluAon	
  would	
  be	
  and	
  then	
  work	
  backward	
  to	
  
where	
  you	
  are	
  today.	
  	
  
	
  
This	
  ensures	
  that	
  you	
  do	
  not	
  erect	
  imaginary	
  
obstacles	
  before	
  you	
  even	
  know	
  what	
  the	
  ideal	
  is.	
  
Remember 	
  	
  
2	
  rules	
  
19	
  
1.  What	
  we	
  want	
  right	
  now	
  
2.  Prac:cally	
  no	
  constraints	
  
What	
  tools	
  can	
  we	
  use	
  every	
  day?	
  
Japanese	
  thinkers	
  have	
  been	
  thinking	
  about	
  this	
  for	
  over	
  60	
  years	
  
20	
  
Dr	
  Kaoru	
  Ishikawa	
  
Ishikawa’s	
  List	
  of	
  7	
  Tools	
  
“Everyone	
  should	
  know	
  these”	
  
21	
  
1.  Pareto	
  analysis:	
  which	
  are	
  the	
  20%	
  that	
  cause	
  the	
  80%	
  
2.  Cause	
  and	
  effect	
  diagrams:	
  what	
  are	
  the	
  root	
  causes?	
  
3.  Stra;fica;on:	
  how	
  is	
  the	
  data	
  aggregated?	
  
4.  Check	
  sheets:	
  how	
  owen	
  does	
  this	
  happen?	
  
5.  Histograms:	
  what	
  do	
  overall	
  paverns	
  look	
  like?	
  
6.  Scaeer	
  charts:	
  what	
  are	
  the	
  poten:al	
  rela:onships	
  
between	
  factors?	
  
7.  Process	
  control	
  charts:	
  what	
  is	
  special,	
  common	
  –	
  and	
  
what	
  can	
  we	
  do	
  about	
  it?	
  
Something	
  Fishy 	
  	
  
Cause	
  and	
  effect	
  analysis	
  (also	
  useful	
  for	
  design)	
  
22	
  
Watch	
  out	
  for	
  Bears!	
  
What	
  is	
  special	
  and	
  common	
  cause	
  varia:on?	
  
23	
  
Control	
  Chart	
  
A	
  simple	
  tool	
  for	
  helping	
  to	
  spot	
  special	
  and	
  common	
  cause	
  varia:on	
  
24	
  
How	
  can	
  we	
  apply	
  those	
  ideas	
  today?	
  
[some	
  thoughts]	
  
25	
  
What	
  our	
  role	
  be	
  if	
  it	
  was	
  working	
  from	
  a	
  Quality	
  perspec;ve?	
  
Some	
  thoughts	
  to	
  take	
  away	
  
26	
  
Process	
  improvement	
  
End-­‐to-­‐end	
  change	
  across	
  a	
  system	
  
Involving	
  teams	
  and	
  different	
  departments	
  
Focus	
  on	
  the	
  whole	
  -­‐	
  not	
  the	
  parts	
  
Less	
  fear	
  and	
  blame	
  
Daring	
  to	
  dream	
  –	
  Idealized	
  Design	
  
How	
  can	
  we	
  apply	
  those	
  ideas	
  today?	
  
3	
  sugges:ons	
  
27	
  
•  Expand	
  the	
  boundaries	
  of	
  our	
  thinking/behaving	
  
about	
  our	
  ‘team’	
  and	
  role	
  
•  Understand	
  varia;on	
  and	
  use	
  the	
  quality	
  tools	
  
where	
  appropriate	
  
•  Dare	
  to	
  dream	
  –	
  and	
  use	
  idealized	
  design	
  and	
  
divergent	
  thinking	
  
Conclusion	
  
“there	
  is	
  nothing	
  new	
  under	
  the	
  sun,	
  great	
  leaps	
  can	
  be	
  
made	
  by	
  revisi;ng	
  older	
  ideas	
  with	
  fresh	
  eyes”	
  
28	
  
Old	
  Ideas	
   Innova:on	
  
29	
  
Watch the video with slide synchronization on
InfoQ.com!
http://www.infoq.com/presentations/philosophy
-quality-lessons

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Back to the Future

  • 1. Back  to  the  Future:  What  Old  Thinkers  can  teach   us  about  making  Innova;on  Succeed  Today   Dr.  Emma  Langman,  Manager  of  HR  &  Performance   Thursday  6th  March,  2014   1  
  • 2. InfoQ.com: News & Community Site • 750,000 unique visitors/month • Published in 4 languages (English, Chinese, Japanese and Brazilian Portuguese) • Post content from our QCon conferences • News 15-20 / week • Articles 3-4 / week • Presentations (videos) 12-15 / week • Interviews 2-3 / week • Books 1 / month Watch the video with slide synchronization on InfoQ.com! http://www.infoq.com/presentations /philosophy-quality-lessons http://www.infoq.com/presentati ons/nasa-big-data http://www.infoq.com/presentati ons/nasa-big-data
  • 3. Presented at QCon London www.qconlondon.com Purpose of QCon - to empower software development by facilitating the spread of knowledge and innovation Strategy - practitioner-driven conference designed for YOU: influencers of change and innovation in your teams - speakers and topics driving the evolution and innovation - connecting and catalyzing the influencers and innovators Highlights - attended by more than 12,000 delegates since 2007 - held in 9 cities worldwide
  • 4. Dedica;on   In  loving  memory  of  my  mentor  and  friend   2   Nigel  Clements  
  • 5. Focus   Just  3  ques:ons   3   1.  What  are  our  21st  Century  Problems?   2.  What  are  the  lessons  from  history?   3.  How  can  we  apply  those  ideas  today?  
  • 6. What  are  our  21st  Century  Problems?   4  
  • 7. What  are  our  21st  Century  Problems?   Some  thoughts   5   •  Precipitous  >   •  Lack  of  <   •  Ignorance  of  ≈   •  Denial  of  p  =  x  +  z(x)   •  Insufficient  analysis  of  Y5  
  • 8. What  are  the  lessons  from  history?   [some  examples]   6  
  • 9. What  are  the  lessons  from  history?   There  are  many  –  3  examples  of  great  teachers  from  the  50s  (and  beyond):   7   1.  Deming  –  System  of  Profound  Knowledge   2.  Ackoff  –  Idealized  Design   3.  Ishiwaka  –  The  7  Tools  
  • 10. Who  affects  Performance  most?   What  if  it  is  what,  not  who?   8  
  • 11. Deming’s  System  of  Profound  Knowledge     Bad  name  –  fantas:c  concept   9   SoPK   Varia:on   Psychology   Learning   System  
  • 12. How  can  we  Innovate  best?   An  “old  thinker”  leads  the  way   10   Russell  Ackoff  
  • 13. Are  you  siUng  comfortably?       Then  I  shall  begin…   11   •  Once  upon  a  :me  –  in  1951   •  Bell  Labs,  New  Jersey   •  Peter  Myers  “said  that  no  one  would  know  the  difference”   •  He  was  a  big  man,  extroverted,  and  voluble.  He  could  not  get  near  someone   without  punching,  pinching,  pushing,  hugging,  or  pounding  them  on  the  back.     •  He  was  obviously  very  upset.  He  was  a  pasty  gray  and  bent  over  as  he  slowly   shuffled  down  the  aisle  without  a  word  to  anyone.  He  mounted  the  plamorm,   stood  behind  the  podium,  put  his  elbows  on  it,  and  held  his  head  in  his  two   hands,  looking  down.   •  “Gentlemen,  the  telephone  system  of  the  United  States  was  destroyed  last   night.”    
  • 14. S;ll  Comfy?     Then  I  shall  con:nue.   12   •  “I’ve  made  a  list  of  those  contribu:ons  to  the  development  of  telephonic   communica:ons  that  I  believe  have  earned  us  this  reputa:on.  Before  I  share  my   list  with  you,  I’d  like  your  opinions.  What  do  you  think  are  the  most  important   contribu:ons  we  have  ever  made  to  this  development?”   •  The  dial     –  introduced  in  the  1930s   •  Mul:plexing     –  between  the  two  world  wars   •  The  coaxial  cable  that  connected  the  United  States  and  Great  Britain     -­‐  1882   •  “Doesn’t  it  strike  you  as  odd,”  he  said,  “that  the  three  most  important   contribu:ons  this  laboratory  has  ever  made  to  telephonic  communica:ons  were   made  before  any  of  you  were  born?  What  have  you  been  doing?”    
  • 15. Not  quite  as  Comfy?     Is  this  telephone  story  ringing  true?   13   •  “You  have  been  improving  the  parts  of  the  system  taken  separately,  but  you   have  not  significantly  improved  the  system  as  a  whole”   •  “The  deficiency,”  he  said,  “is  not  yours  but  mine.  We’ve  had  the  wrong   research-­‐and-­‐development  strategy.  We’ve  been  focusing  on  improving  parts  of   the  system  rather  than  focusing  on  the  system  as  a  whole.  As  a  result,  we  have   been  improving  the  parts,  but  not  the  whole.  We  have  got  to  restart  by  focusing   on  designing  the  whole  and  then  designing  parts  that  fit  it  rather  than  vice   versa”   •  “Therefore,  gentlemen,  we  are  going  to  begin  by  designing  the  system  with   which  we  would  replace  the  exis:ng  system  right  now  if  we  were  free  to  replace   it  with  whatever  system  we  wanted,  subject  to  only  two  not-­‐very-­‐restric:ve   constraints”  
  • 16. On  the  edge  of  your  seat?     What  are  the  two  constraints?   14   •  “First,”  he  con:nued,  “let  me  explain  why  we  will  focus  on  what  we  want  right   now,  not  out  five  or  ten  years.  Why?  Because  we  know  that  where  we  say  today   we  would  like  to  be  five  years  from  now  is  not  where  we  will  want  to  be  when   we  get  there.  Things  will  happen  between  now  and  then  that  will  affect  our   goals  and  objec:ves.  By  focusing  on  what  we  want  right  now,  we  can  eliminate   that  poten:al  source  of  error.”   •  “Second,  why  remove  prac:cally  all  constraints?  Because  if  we  don’t  know   what  we  would  do  now  if  we  could  do  whatever  we  wanted,  how  can  we   know  what  to  do  when  we  can’t  do  everything  we  want?  If  we  knew  what  we   would  do  with  virtually  no  constraints,  we  could  modify  it,  if  necessary,  to   become  feasible  and  adapt  it  to  changing  internal  and  external  condi:ons  as   :me  goes  on.”  
  • 17. Curious  to  know  how  it  works?   This  is  what  they  did   15   •  The  vice  president  then  said,  “This  group  is  too  large  to  operate  as  a  single  group.   Therefore,  I  am  going  to  divide  you  into  six  subgroups  of  about  six  each,  each  with   responsibility  for  a  subsystem.  Each  group  will  select  a  representa:ve  to  meet  with   other  representa:ves  at  least  once  a  week  to  discuss  interac;ons.  Let  me  explain.   •  “Each  group  will  be  able  to  design  whatever  it  wants  as  long  as  it  does  not  affect  any   other  group’s  design.  If  what  a  group  wants  to  do  does  affect  one  or  more  other   groups’  designs,  it  must  get  their  agreement  before  it  can  be  included  in  their   design.  I  can  tell  you  in  advance,”  he  said,  “that  the  groups  will  do  livle  that  does  not   affect  other  groups.  At  the  end  of  the  year,”  he  said,  “I  want  to  see  one  completely   integrated  system  design,  not  six  subsystem  designs.  I  don’t  even  want  to  know   what  the  individual  teams  came  up  with.  Is  that  clear?”  he  asked.   •  He  created  a  “long  lines”  (inter-­‐city  communica:on)  team,  a  “short  lines”  (within   city  communica:on)  team,  a  switching  sta:ons  team,  two  other  teams,  and  finally   the  telephone  set  team,  on  which  I  found  myself  with  my  friend  Peter  Meyers.  
  • 18. And  they  all  lived  Happily  Ever  A]er….     [have  we  learnt?]   16   •  Every  call  I  receive  is  intended  for  me  —  no  wrong  numbers.   •  I  want  to  know  who  is  calling  before  I  answer  the  phone  so  I  need  not  answer  it  if   I  don’t  want  to  speak  to  the  caller.   •  A  phone  I  can  use  with  no  hands.   •  A  phone  that  comes  with  me  wherever  I  am,  not  one  I  have  to  go  to  in  a  fixed   locaAon.   •  We  con:nued  to  add  to  this  list  for  several  weeks,  ending  with  just  more  than   ninety  proper:es  we  wanted  a  phone  to  have.  These  proper:es  became  very   complicated  near  the  end.  For  example,  we  wanted  to  be  able  to  talk   simultaneously  to  groups  in  mul:ple  loca:ons,  see  all  of  them,  and  be  able  to   transmit  documents  or  charts  instantaneously.  
  • 19. Footnote   For  those  who  want  the  full  story   17   •  They  went  on,  “We  went  back  and  built  a  push-­‐buvon  telephone  and  tested  it  on  a   very  large  number  of  people.  It  turns  out  to  take  about  twelve  seconds  less  to  put  in   seven  digits  by  pushing  buvons  than  turning  a  dial,  and  addi:onal  :me  is  saved  by   not  occupying  a  line  un:l  awer  the  number  is  put  in  and  the  receiver  is  picked  up.   The  combined  saving  in  :me  is  worth  millions  to  AT&T,”  they  said,  “so  we  have   started  a  project  to  develop  that  telephone.  We  have  given  it  a  code  name  that  is   being  kept  secret  for  now.”  They  looked  around  the  room  to  be  sure  no  one  was   listening  and  then  told  us,  “Touch  tone.”   •  Before  the  year  was  over,  the  groups  had  established  the  technological  feasibility  of   each  of  our  many  design  features.  The  group  of  design  teams  con:nued  to  work   awer  I  was  no  longer  a  par:cipant,  and  they  an:cipated  every  change  in  the   telephone  system,  except  two,  that  has  appeared  since  then.  Among  these  are   touch-­‐tone  phones,  consumer  ownership  of  phones,  call  wai;ng,  call  forwarding,   voice  mail,  caller  ID,  conference  calls,  speaker  phones,  speed  dialing  of  numbers  in   memory,  and  mobile  phones.  They  did  not  an:cipate  photography  by  the  phone  or   an  Internet  connec:on.  
  • 20. Idealized  Design     In  a  nutshell   18   Idealized  design  is  a  way  of  thinking  about   change  that  is  decepAvely  simple  to  state:  In   solving  problems  of  virtually  any  kind,  the  way  to   get  the  best  outcome  is  to  imagine  what  the  ideal   soluAon  would  be  and  then  work  backward  to   where  you  are  today.       This  ensures  that  you  do  not  erect  imaginary   obstacles  before  you  even  know  what  the  ideal  is.  
  • 21. Remember     2  rules   19   1.  What  we  want  right  now   2.  Prac:cally  no  constraints  
  • 22. What  tools  can  we  use  every  day?   Japanese  thinkers  have  been  thinking  about  this  for  over  60  years   20   Dr  Kaoru  Ishikawa  
  • 23. Ishikawa’s  List  of  7  Tools   “Everyone  should  know  these”   21   1.  Pareto  analysis:  which  are  the  20%  that  cause  the  80%   2.  Cause  and  effect  diagrams:  what  are  the  root  causes?   3.  Stra;fica;on:  how  is  the  data  aggregated?   4.  Check  sheets:  how  owen  does  this  happen?   5.  Histograms:  what  do  overall  paverns  look  like?   6.  Scaeer  charts:  what  are  the  poten:al  rela:onships   between  factors?   7.  Process  control  charts:  what  is  special,  common  –  and   what  can  we  do  about  it?  
  • 24. Something  Fishy     Cause  and  effect  analysis  (also  useful  for  design)   22  
  • 25. Watch  out  for  Bears!   What  is  special  and  common  cause  varia:on?   23  
  • 26. Control  Chart   A  simple  tool  for  helping  to  spot  special  and  common  cause  varia:on   24  
  • 27. How  can  we  apply  those  ideas  today?   [some  thoughts]   25  
  • 28. What  our  role  be  if  it  was  working  from  a  Quality  perspec;ve?   Some  thoughts  to  take  away   26   Process  improvement   End-­‐to-­‐end  change  across  a  system   Involving  teams  and  different  departments   Focus  on  the  whole  -­‐  not  the  parts   Less  fear  and  blame   Daring  to  dream  –  Idealized  Design  
  • 29. How  can  we  apply  those  ideas  today?   3  sugges:ons   27   •  Expand  the  boundaries  of  our  thinking/behaving   about  our  ‘team’  and  role   •  Understand  varia;on  and  use  the  quality  tools   where  appropriate   •  Dare  to  dream  –  and  use  idealized  design  and   divergent  thinking  
  • 30. Conclusion   “there  is  nothing  new  under  the  sun,  great  leaps  can  be   made  by  revisi;ng  older  ideas  with  fresh  eyes”   28   Old  Ideas   Innova:on  
  • 31. 29  
  • 32. Watch the video with slide synchronization on InfoQ.com! http://www.infoq.com/presentations/philosophy -quality-lessons