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#coupontrends
Devora Rogers

• Senior Director, Retail Marketing
  Insights
• New to Inmar (and North
  Carolina!)
• Previously with IPG Media Lab
  and Shopper Sciences

• devora.rogers@inmar.com
• 336.770.3495
• Twitter: @devoraerogers                                     Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn
                                                                       Promotions Room!

    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                       2
®

                                              #coupontrends
© 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   3
®

                                              #coupontrends
Inmar’s Portfolio of Services

                                                                         $20.4 billion
                                                                         in transaction
                                                                         value
                                                                             700+
                                                                             retailers
                                                                               1000+
                                                                           manufacturers
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                         #coupontrends                    4
Real-Time
Relationship
  Platform




®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends   5
Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn
                                                                       Promotions Room!

®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends                                       6
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                              7
                                              #coupontrends
Key Takeaways: Distribution (in billions)

                                                 310
                                                                     313
                                     305                               315
                                                   ‘12         ‘11

          300                                                                         320

                                              DOWN 1.2%
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                      8
®

                                               #coupontrends
                                                                           Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Key Takeaways: Redemption
                                                      5

                                                      4
                                                       2011: 3.5B
                                                     3 2012: 3.0B

                                                     2

                                                     1             DOWN 14.3%
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                          #coupontrends                         9
                                                                          Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
200                                     2008        2009       2010
                                                                      2011        2012
                              180
Distribution by Month
                              160


                              140


                              120


                              100


                                80


                                60


                                40


                                20


                                  0




          © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
     ®

                                                    #coupontrends                        1010
                                                                    Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
160                                     2008        2009        2010
                                                                     2011        2012
Redemption by Month
                             140


                             120


                             100


                               80


                               60


                               40


                               20


                                 0




         © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                        11
     ®

                                                   #coupontrends
                                                                   Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Distribution vs. Redemption      180                                             Distribution
                                                                                 Redemption
                                 160


                                 140


                                 120


                                 100


                                   80


                                   60


                                   40


                                   20


                                     0




      ®
             © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                            12
                                                       #coupontrends
                                                                       Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Magazine On Page
                                                            1.2% Others
                                                   Internet         7.0%
                                                   0.4%
                                           In-ad
                                       2.6%
2012 Distribution




                                                                            Free-standing
                                                                                Insert
                                                                              88.8%




        © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                             13
    ®

                                                            #coupontrends
Direct
                                                                       Internet    Mail

                                                                         4.6% 3.7%                 Other
                                                            Shelf Pad
                                                             6.1%
2012 Redemption


                                                                                           15.6%
                                                     Electronic
                                                     Checkout
                                                      8.0%


                                                    Instant
                                                  Redeemable
                                                   18.1%
                                                                                  Free-standing
                                                                                      Insert
                                                                                     43.9%
        © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                            14
    ®

                                                                  #coupontrends
Redemption down across the board




                                                               NON-
                                                               FOOD
    FOOD

                                              2.0
                                              billion
                                                                               1.0
                                                                               billion

             65.8% of Total                                             34.2% of Total
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                        #coupontrends                                15
                                                                                Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
The redemption roller coaster (in billions)
                  4.4

                                       3.9
                                              3.7
                                                    3.5                                               3.5
                                                                                              3.3
                                                                                      3.3
                                                          3.2
                                                                3.0                                              3.0

                                                                        2.6 2.6 2.6



®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                #coupontrends                                      16
                                                                                        Source: 2000-2012 Inmar Coupon Reports
So what’s driving the
                         decline?




    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   17
®

                                              #coupontrends
© 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   18
®

                                              #coupontrends
Paid Sunday newspaper subscription impact
                                                                          Coupon Redemptions vs. Paid Circ
                                      9.0                                                                                                                            70.0


                                      8.0
                                                                                                                                                                     60.0

                                      7.0

                                                                                                                                                                     50.0
                                      6.0
            Billions of Redemptions




                                                                                                                                                                            Millions in Circulation
                                                                                                                                                                     40.0
                                      5.0


                                      4.0
                                                                                                                                                                     30.0


                                      3.0
                                                                                                                                                                     20.0

                                      2.0

                                                                                                                                                                     10.0
                                      1.0


                                      0.0                                                                                                                            0.0
                                            1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

                                                                                  Tot. Coupon Red.       Paid Sunday News Circ

®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                          #coupontrends                                                                    19
                                                                                                                                 Source: Editor and Publisher International Yearbook
January decline wipes out 2012 gains
                 Consumer Confidence Index – January 2002 through January 2013
120
                                                                                                                Previous
110
                                                                                                                Restated
100
    90
                                                                     90
    80
    70
    60                                                                                                                            58
    50
    40
    30                                                                               25
    20
              2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009                                        2010 2011 2012 2013


    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                         20
®

                                                    #coupontrends
                                              The Conference Board - Nine census regions, 5,000 US households; 1985 = 100; conducted by Nielsen
CPG prices on the rise
       5
                                              Percent Change in Unit Prices
       4

       3

       2

       1

       0

     -1

     -2
                                                   17 periods of price gains;
                                                 4.9% increase in latest period
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                          #coupontrends                                                                   21
                                                       Source: Nielsen Scantrack, (U.S. FDM w/ Walmart) 4 week increments (vs. prior year); UPC-coded
Consumers shifting spend or buying less
                        Alcoholic Bevs                                                                                                     6
                        Fresh Produce                                                                                         4
                                   HBA                                                                      1
                                   Deli                                                                 1
                       Packaged Meat                                                              0
                     Non-Food Grocery                                            -1
                                  Dairy                                       -1
                           Fresh Meat                                         -1                         Unit Volume
                          Dry Grocery
                        General Merch
                                                                            -2
                                                                           -2
                                                                                                         % change
                         Frozen Foods                                     -2                             vs. year ago
                        Total All Depts                                        -1
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                      #coupontrends                                                                   22
                                              Source: Nielsen Scantrack, Total U.S. – All Outlets Combined, 52 weeks ending 12/22/2012 (vs. prior year), UPC-coded
Misery index improving…but not for younger
                      and less educated
                            Ages 20 to 24 years                                                                                 Age 55 and over
18                                                                                                    18
15                                                                                                    15
12                                                                                                    12
 9                                                                                                     9
 6                                                                                                     6
 3                                                                                                     3
 0                                                                                                     0
     Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.                 Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.                        Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.      Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
     2011                                                                       2012                        2011                                                            2012


         High School graduates, no college                                                                          Bachelor's degree and higher
18                                                                                                    18
15                                                                                                    15
12                                                                                                    12
 9                                                                                                     9
 6                                                                                                     6
 3                                                                                                     3
 0                                                                                                     0
     Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.                 Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.                        Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.      Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
     2011                                                                       2012                        2011                                                            2012


                                                      misery index = unemployment rate + inflation

     ®
         © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                       #coupontrends                                                                     23
                                              Source: Nielsen, 2012 U.S. Retail Trends U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CPI non-seasonally adjusted, unempl. rate seasonally adjusted
Shoppers relying
                                                               on coupons to
                                                                help in down
                                                                 economy


                                                              54% of shoppers say
                                                              they increased their
                                                              coupon usage because
                                                              their financial situation
                                                              changed


    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                       24
®

                                              #coupontrends
                                                                             Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
The payroll tax is back…
                                                Will consumers feel the bite?




                                    Average
                                  $400-$2,200
                                     a year
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                           #coupontrends                                25
                                                                                Source: Congressional Budget Office
© 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   26
®

                                              #coupontrends
Offer Attractiveness


®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends   27
Marketers tightening budgets after hot ’11

                                                   2011
                                              Q1   -3%

                                              Q2   +4%

                                              Q3   +16%
                                              Q4   +5%

®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                     #coupontrends                        28
                                                                     Source: 2011 Inmar Coupon Trends
Marketing tactics impacting redemption

                                                                           Average
                       Average                  Average Purchase
                                                                       Redemption
                Face Value                      Requirement
                  Distributed                      Distributed           Period
                                                                         Distributed
    Distributed:                              Distributed:          Distributed:
    $1.56/coupon                              1.57 units/coupon     2.2 months
    (-1.9%)                                   (+4%)                 (-8.3%)



    “I usually won’t use a coupon if I have to purchase multiple items”                34.36%

    “There are too many rules/exclusions for using coupons”                            37.64%


®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                    #coupontrends                                 29
                                                                             Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Trends
Redemption period by method type
                                          2012 Coupon Fact Book
                         Average Redemption Period Distributed by Method (in months)
                     Method                         2008         2009        2010      2011   2012
Beginnings Magazine                                  n/a          4.6         4.5       3.0    6.0
Bounceback                                          14.0         12.1        17.0      10.3   13.9
Color Run-of-press                                   2.9          2.9         1.7       7.3    2.5
Consumer Relations                                  13.8         10.9        11.1       3.3    5.0
Direct Home Delivery                                 6.0          3.5         3.5       4.4    4.7
Direct Mail                                          3.9          4.2         3.0       3.8    2.6
Direct Mail Co-op                                    3.9          3.3         3.0       2.8    2.7
Direct Mail with Sample                              8.5          7.0         7.1       6.6    7.9
Electronic Checkout                                  4.5          4.6         4.5       4.6    4.0
Electronic Kiosk                                     3.5          3.5         4.5       3.8    2.1
Electronic On-cart                                   5.5          5.0         n/a       n/a    1.0
Electronic Shelf                                     2.8          3.3         3.3       3.5    3.1
Free-standing Insert                                 2.6          2.3         2.2       2.1    1.9
Handout                                              6.6          6.8         6.4       6.3    6.2
Handout Co-op                                        4.4          3.8         3.8       5.2    2.4
Handout In-store with Sample                        10.0         12.9        12.4      13.6    8.9
Handout Off-store Location                           5.2          5.3         9.8       9.0    9.7
Handout Off-store Location Co-op                    14.1          8.7        10.5       4.3    3.1
Handout Off-store Location with Sample               6.2         10.8        15.8      10.3   13.2
Hospital Sample                                     15.8         16.7        17.2      16.2   16.4
In-ad
In-pack
In-pack Cross Ruff
                                                     0.9
                                                    15.7
                                                    15.4
                                                                  1.4
                                                                 15.6
                                                                 16.9
                                                                              0.9
                                                                             15.4
                                                                             18.3
                                                                                        1.0
                                                                                       16.2
                                                                                       14.1
                                                                                               1.1
                                                                                              14.4
                                                                                              12.7
                                                                                                                         My coupons
Instant Redeemable
Instant Redeemable Cross Ruff
Internet
                                                     7.6
                                                     6.7
                                                     6.5
                                                                  8.7
                                                                  8.7
                                                                  7.2
                                                                              9.7
                                                                              7.4
                                                                              7.1
                                                                                        9.0
                                                                                        9.8
                                                                                        7.9
                                                                                               8.3
                                                                                               5.1
                                                                                               6.1
                                                                                                                          often expire
Magazine On-page
Magazine Pop-up
Military Handout
                                                     3.6
                                                     6.2
                                                     4.7
                                                                  4.4
                                                                  4.7
                                                                  5.2
                                                                              3.9
                                                                              8.2
                                                                              4.6
                                                                                        4.7
                                                                                        5.1
                                                                                        4.7
                                                                                               4.7
                                                                                               3.8
                                                                                               4.2
                                                                                                                        before I have
Military Magazine
Military Shelf Pad
Newspaper Co-op
                                                     5.5
                                                     8.1
                                                     5.0
                                                                  3.2
                                                                  8.3
                                                                  2.4
                                                                              4.3
                                                                              7.7
                                                                              3.7
                                                                                        3.4
                                                                                        8.0
                                                                                        1.5
                                                                                               3.9
                                                                                               7.7
                                                                                               n/a
                                                                                                              the chance to use them.
Newspaper Run-of-press                               2.9          1.9         2.8       2.5    3.0
On-pack                                             10.1         13.2        10.0       9.7    8.4
On-pack Cross Ruff                                   8.2          8.4        12.9       8.1    6.8
Prenatal                                            24.0          n/a        20.9       n/a    n/a
Shelf Box                                            5.0          5.9         6.9       6.5    6.7
Shelf Pad                                            5.1          4.8         5.1       4.7    4.8
Sunday Comics                                        n/a          n/a         n/a       3.0    n/a
Sunday Supplement                                    3.2          2.0         1.4       2.0    3.7

  ®
      © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                              #coupontrends                                   30
                                                                                                                         Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
New product trial dampening redemption


                        190 727                                                93
                       Manufacturers                New Product                Categories
                       Promoting New               Event Dates in            Featuring New
                       Products via FSI                2012                  Product Events
                           in 2012                                              in 2012
                        (+9.9% over 2011)        (+23.2% over 2011)          (+13.4% over 2011)



                     “I can’t find coupons for the products I want to buy”   52.83%


®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                 #coupontrends                                  31
                                                                                Source: Kantar Media (Marx)
Shopper Behavior


    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   32
®

                                              #coupontrends
Changing shopper sentiment:
                                       From effort to entitlement


                                                      “If I put in the effort, I can get
                                                      deals on the brands I buy.”




                                              “If I shop a store a lot, I shouldn’t
                                              have to work for deals I deserve.”


    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                33
®

                                                                #coupontrends
Shopper attitudes to coupons


    65%
                                              Don’t think they
                                              should have to

                                                                         80%
                                              work for deals.                     Using coupons
                                                                                  makes me feel
                                                                                  smarter.
                                              I would use

    66%                                       coupons more if
                                              they were more                      I am not sure where

                                                                          36%
                                              available online.                   to get coupons for
                                                                                  the products that I
                                                                                  want to buy.


    37%                                       I wish all coupons
                                              were digital.

    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                  34
®

                                                                  #coupontrends
                                                                                        Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
Why shoppers use coupons
                 Compared to 2011, shoppers reported coupon usage in 2012:
               INCREASED                         STAYED THE SAME           DECREASED
               54%                                        41%            4%




    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                     35
®

                                                       #coupontrends
                                                                           Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
Shoppers want easy and personalized offers
                                                      “I want coupons loaded to my
                                              65%     store loyalty card for
                                                      products that I normally buy.”


                                              65%
                                                      “I want stores to email me
                                                      with coupons for products
                                                      that I normally buy.”

                                                      “I want all available store
                                              63%     coupons to be loaded onto my
                                                      store loyalty card.”




    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                   36
®

                                               #coupontrends
                                                                         Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
Rise of the Mansumer                                                                #mansumer


         Participation in holiday meal planning

                                      6%
                                                      Not involved
                                                35%   Share
           59%                                        All Decisions


                                                                           86% 44% 40%
                                                      18%
           Not involved
           Share                              44%
           All Decisions
                                                        38%



®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                #coupontrends                                                                   37
                                                                Sources: 2012 Inmar Holiday Study, KSDK, Men’s Health, Spike Network’s ‘State of Men’ study
Digital Fragmentation


    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   38
®

                                              #coupontrends
One word to describe the digital offer
                                  landscape




                                                              Artist credit: Morten Fangok Olesen




®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends                                         39
7 Ways to Receive a Digital Offer
         1                                2      3           4              5         6        7
 Text
Message                                        Brand,
                                               Retailer
                                     Email       or
                                              Publisher
                                              Website
                                                            QR
                                                           Code

                                                                          In Store
                                                                                     Social
                                                                                              Mobile
                                                                                               App




®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                          #coupontrends                            40
How digitally discovered coupons are
                                     redeemed
              Redeemed like paper                                           Paperlessly redeemed
                                                                          Retailer Loyalty Program (i.e. eWallet/
                                                                          Direct-to-Card / Save-to-Card)

           Text                               Email        Website        Unique Identifier (10-digit mobile)

                                                                          Loyalty Aggregator (AOL shortcuts,
                                                                          SavingStar, etc.)

                                                                          “Closed” Retailer Program (Target,
              Social                          QR (et al)     Apps         Walgreens, Starbucks, etc.)

                     Manifests as a paper coupon                                Never manifests as paper
                     Redeems as a paper coupon                               Redemption recorded separately
                      Settles as a paper coupon

®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                 #coupontrends                                  41
So many choices or too many choices?




                                              Source: MediaPost & Company websites
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
®

                                                         #coupontrends
In 2013, the number of
            retailer storefronts
            which accept paperless
            coupons is expected to
            grow 50% or more
            depending on channel.




    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                   43
®

                                              #coupontrends
Clips:
                  250 Million
                  Digital coupons
                  redeemed:
                  27.5 million
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                        44
®

                                              #coupontrends
                                                              Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Average
                  redemption
                  rate:
                  11%
                  Average
                  face value:
                  $0.91
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                        45
®

                                              #coupontrends
                                                              Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Digital paperless coupon
                                               distribution is on the rise
                300

                                                                                                                      250.0
                250
                                                                  FSI
                                                                  2011-15 CAGR
                200                                               - 3%
     Billions




                150
                                                                                             Digital Paperless
                                              FSI                                                                      99.0
                100                                                                          2011-15 CAGR
                                              Print at home                                  898%
                                              Digital Paperless       PAH
                 50
                                                                      2011-15 CAGR
                                                                      17%                                               3.0
                    0
                                   2008             2009      2010       2011         2012                             2015
®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                      #coupontrends                                            46
                                                                                                          Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
Conclusion section slide



®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends   47
Slight to modest
                Conclusion section slide
                    increase in redemption
                    volume over 2012


®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                              #coupontrends   48
Thank you.
                                              Questions?


                                                       Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn
                                                                Promotions Room!



®
    © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                #coupontrends                                    49
Devora Rogers
            devora.rogers@inmar.com
            336.770.3495

              @devoraerogers


@InmarInc

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Inmar coupon trends report analysis

  • 2. Devora Rogers • Senior Director, Retail Marketing Insights • New to Inmar (and North Carolina!) • Previously with IPG Media Lab and Shopper Sciences • devora.rogers@inmar.com • 336.770.3495 • Twitter: @devoraerogers Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn Promotions Room! © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2 ® #coupontrends
  • 3. © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3 ® #coupontrends
  • 4. Inmar’s Portfolio of Services $20.4 billion in transaction value 700+ retailers 1000+ manufacturers ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 4
  • 5. Real-Time Relationship Platform ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 5
  • 6. Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn Promotions Room! ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 6
  • 7. ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7 #coupontrends
  • 8. Key Takeaways: Distribution (in billions) 310 313 305 315 ‘12 ‘11 300 320 DOWN 1.2% © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 8 ® #coupontrends Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 9. Key Takeaways: Redemption 5 4 2011: 3.5B 3 2012: 3.0B 2 1 DOWN 14.3% ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 9 Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 10. 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 180 Distribution by Month 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. ® #coupontrends 1010 Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 11. 160 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Redemption by Month 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 11 ® #coupontrends Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 12. Distribution vs. Redemption 180 Distribution Redemption 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12 #coupontrends Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 13. Magazine On Page 1.2% Others Internet 7.0% 0.4% In-ad 2.6% 2012 Distribution Free-standing Insert 88.8% © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13 ® #coupontrends
  • 14. Direct Internet Mail 4.6% 3.7% Other Shelf Pad 6.1% 2012 Redemption 15.6% Electronic Checkout 8.0% Instant Redeemable 18.1% Free-standing Insert 43.9% © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 14 ® #coupontrends
  • 15. Redemption down across the board NON- FOOD FOOD 2.0 billion 1.0 billion 65.8% of Total 34.2% of Total ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 15 Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 16. The redemption roller coaster (in billions) 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 16 Source: 2000-2012 Inmar Coupon Reports
  • 17. So what’s driving the decline? © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 17 ® #coupontrends
  • 18. © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 18 ® #coupontrends
  • 19. Paid Sunday newspaper subscription impact Coupon Redemptions vs. Paid Circ 9.0 70.0 8.0 60.0 7.0 50.0 6.0 Billions of Redemptions Millions in Circulation 40.0 5.0 4.0 30.0 3.0 20.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Tot. Coupon Red. Paid Sunday News Circ ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 19 Source: Editor and Publisher International Yearbook
  • 20. January decline wipes out 2012 gains Consumer Confidence Index – January 2002 through January 2013 120 Previous 110 Restated 100 90 90 80 70 60 58 50 40 30 25 20 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 20 ® #coupontrends The Conference Board - Nine census regions, 5,000 US households; 1985 = 100; conducted by Nielsen
  • 21. CPG prices on the rise 5 Percent Change in Unit Prices 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 17 periods of price gains; 4.9% increase in latest period ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 21 Source: Nielsen Scantrack, (U.S. FDM w/ Walmart) 4 week increments (vs. prior year); UPC-coded
  • 22. Consumers shifting spend or buying less Alcoholic Bevs 6 Fresh Produce 4 HBA 1 Deli 1 Packaged Meat 0 Non-Food Grocery -1 Dairy -1 Fresh Meat -1 Unit Volume Dry Grocery General Merch -2 -2 % change Frozen Foods -2 vs. year ago Total All Depts -1 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 22 Source: Nielsen Scantrack, Total U.S. – All Outlets Combined, 52 weeks ending 12/22/2012 (vs. prior year), UPC-coded
  • 23. Misery index improving…but not for younger and less educated Ages 20 to 24 years Age 55 and over 18 18 15 15 12 12 9 9 6 6 3 3 0 0 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2011 2012 2011 2012 High School graduates, no college Bachelor's degree and higher 18 18 15 15 12 12 9 9 6 6 3 3 0 0 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2011 2012 2011 2012 misery index = unemployment rate + inflation ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 23 Source: Nielsen, 2012 U.S. Retail Trends U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CPI non-seasonally adjusted, unempl. rate seasonally adjusted
  • 24. Shoppers relying on coupons to help in down economy 54% of shoppers say they increased their coupon usage because their financial situation changed © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 24 ® #coupontrends Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
  • 25. The payroll tax is back… Will consumers feel the bite? Average $400-$2,200 a year ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 25 Source: Congressional Budget Office
  • 26. © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 26 ® #coupontrends
  • 27. Offer Attractiveness ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 27
  • 28. Marketers tightening budgets after hot ’11 2011 Q1 -3% Q2 +4% Q3 +16% Q4 +5% ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 28 Source: 2011 Inmar Coupon Trends
  • 29. Marketing tactics impacting redemption Average Average Average Purchase Redemption Face Value Requirement Distributed Distributed Period Distributed Distributed: Distributed: Distributed: $1.56/coupon 1.57 units/coupon 2.2 months (-1.9%) (+4%) (-8.3%) “I usually won’t use a coupon if I have to purchase multiple items” 34.36% “There are too many rules/exclusions for using coupons” 37.64% ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 29 Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Trends
  • 30. Redemption period by method type 2012 Coupon Fact Book Average Redemption Period Distributed by Method (in months) Method 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Beginnings Magazine n/a 4.6 4.5 3.0 6.0 Bounceback 14.0 12.1 17.0 10.3 13.9 Color Run-of-press 2.9 2.9 1.7 7.3 2.5 Consumer Relations 13.8 10.9 11.1 3.3 5.0 Direct Home Delivery 6.0 3.5 3.5 4.4 4.7 Direct Mail 3.9 4.2 3.0 3.8 2.6 Direct Mail Co-op 3.9 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.7 Direct Mail with Sample 8.5 7.0 7.1 6.6 7.9 Electronic Checkout 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.0 Electronic Kiosk 3.5 3.5 4.5 3.8 2.1 Electronic On-cart 5.5 5.0 n/a n/a 1.0 Electronic Shelf 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.1 Free-standing Insert 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 Handout 6.6 6.8 6.4 6.3 6.2 Handout Co-op 4.4 3.8 3.8 5.2 2.4 Handout In-store with Sample 10.0 12.9 12.4 13.6 8.9 Handout Off-store Location 5.2 5.3 9.8 9.0 9.7 Handout Off-store Location Co-op 14.1 8.7 10.5 4.3 3.1 Handout Off-store Location with Sample 6.2 10.8 15.8 10.3 13.2 Hospital Sample 15.8 16.7 17.2 16.2 16.4 In-ad In-pack In-pack Cross Ruff 0.9 15.7 15.4 1.4 15.6 16.9 0.9 15.4 18.3 1.0 16.2 14.1 1.1 14.4 12.7 My coupons Instant Redeemable Instant Redeemable Cross Ruff Internet 7.6 6.7 6.5 8.7 8.7 7.2 9.7 7.4 7.1 9.0 9.8 7.9 8.3 5.1 6.1 often expire Magazine On-page Magazine Pop-up Military Handout 3.6 6.2 4.7 4.4 4.7 5.2 3.9 8.2 4.6 4.7 5.1 4.7 4.7 3.8 4.2 before I have Military Magazine Military Shelf Pad Newspaper Co-op 5.5 8.1 5.0 3.2 8.3 2.4 4.3 7.7 3.7 3.4 8.0 1.5 3.9 7.7 n/a the chance to use them. Newspaper Run-of-press 2.9 1.9 2.8 2.5 3.0 On-pack 10.1 13.2 10.0 9.7 8.4 On-pack Cross Ruff 8.2 8.4 12.9 8.1 6.8 Prenatal 24.0 n/a 20.9 n/a n/a Shelf Box 5.0 5.9 6.9 6.5 6.7 Shelf Pad 5.1 4.8 5.1 4.7 4.8 Sunday Comics n/a n/a n/a 3.0 n/a Sunday Supplement 3.2 2.0 1.4 2.0 3.7 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 30 Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
  • 31. New product trial dampening redemption 190 727 93 Manufacturers New Product Categories Promoting New Event Dates in Featuring New Products via FSI 2012 Product Events in 2012 in 2012 (+9.9% over 2011) (+23.2% over 2011) (+13.4% over 2011) “I can’t find coupons for the products I want to buy” 52.83% ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 31 Source: Kantar Media (Marx)
  • 32. Shopper Behavior © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 32 ® #coupontrends
  • 33. Changing shopper sentiment: From effort to entitlement “If I put in the effort, I can get deals on the brands I buy.” “If I shop a store a lot, I shouldn’t have to work for deals I deserve.” © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 33 ® #coupontrends
  • 34. Shopper attitudes to coupons 65% Don’t think they should have to 80% work for deals. Using coupons makes me feel smarter. I would use 66% coupons more if they were more I am not sure where 36% available online. to get coupons for the products that I want to buy. 37% I wish all coupons were digital. © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 34 ® #coupontrends Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
  • 35. Why shoppers use coupons Compared to 2011, shoppers reported coupon usage in 2012: INCREASED STAYED THE SAME DECREASED 54% 41% 4% © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 35 ® #coupontrends Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
  • 36. Shoppers want easy and personalized offers “I want coupons loaded to my 65% store loyalty card for products that I normally buy.” 65% “I want stores to email me with coupons for products that I normally buy.” “I want all available store 63% coupons to be loaded onto my store loyalty card.” © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 36 ® #coupontrends Source: 2013 Inmar Shopper Study
  • 37. Rise of the Mansumer #mansumer Participation in holiday meal planning 6% Not involved 35% Share 59% All Decisions 86% 44% 40% 18% Not involved Share 44% All Decisions 38% ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 37 Sources: 2012 Inmar Holiday Study, KSDK, Men’s Health, Spike Network’s ‘State of Men’ study
  • 38. Digital Fragmentation © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 38 ® #coupontrends
  • 39. One word to describe the digital offer landscape Artist credit: Morten Fangok Olesen ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 39
  • 40. 7 Ways to Receive a Digital Offer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Text Message Brand, Retailer Email or Publisher Website QR Code In Store Social Mobile App ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 40
  • 41. How digitally discovered coupons are redeemed Redeemed like paper Paperlessly redeemed Retailer Loyalty Program (i.e. eWallet/ Direct-to-Card / Save-to-Card) Text Email Website Unique Identifier (10-digit mobile) Loyalty Aggregator (AOL shortcuts, SavingStar, etc.) “Closed” Retailer Program (Target, Social QR (et al) Apps Walgreens, Starbucks, etc.) Manifests as a paper coupon Never manifests as paper Redeems as a paper coupon Redemption recorded separately Settles as a paper coupon ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 41
  • 42. So many choices or too many choices? Source: MediaPost & Company websites © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. ® #coupontrends
  • 43. In 2013, the number of retailer storefronts which accept paperless coupons is expected to grow 50% or more depending on channel. © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 43 ® #coupontrends
  • 44. Clips: 250 Million Digital coupons redeemed: 27.5 million © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 44 ® #coupontrends Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 45. Average redemption rate: 11% Average face value: $0.91 © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 45 ® #coupontrends Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 46. Digital paperless coupon distribution is on the rise 300 250.0 250 FSI 2011-15 CAGR 200 - 3% Billions 150 Digital Paperless FSI 99.0 100 2011-15 CAGR Print at home 898% Digital Paperless PAH 50 2011-15 CAGR 17% 3.0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 46 Source: 2012 Inmar Coupon Report
  • 47. Conclusion section slide ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 47
  • 48. Slight to modest Conclusion section slide increase in redemption volume over 2012 ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 48
  • 49. Thank you. Questions? Don’t forget to join us in the LinkedIn Promotions Room! ® © 2013 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. #coupontrends 49
  • 50. Devora Rogers devora.rogers@inmar.com 336.770.3495 @devoraerogers @InmarInc