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July 2010
APCO Brief:
China Goes West
Introduction to China‟s Western Region
China‟s „Go West‟ Policy
Opportunities for Foreign Business
Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces
 80% of China‟s water resources
 70% of natural gas reserves
 69% of overall land area
 60% of coal reserves
 27% of population
 19% of GDP
 17% of consumer spending
 14% of FDI
 10% of applied patents
 6% of registered foreign
enterprises
 4% of exports
Source: China’s National Bureau of Statistics 2009, 2011
China‟s 12 Western
Provinces account for:
3
West More Reliant on Raw Materials
Source: China Statistical Handbook
2011 4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Greater China Eastern
Provinces
Western
Provinces
Primary Sector
Secondary Sector
Tertiary Sector
Composition on China’s Economy
47
43
10 6
49
45
13
51
36
Urban Household Income is dramatically
less in the western provinces
Source: China’s National Bureau of Statistics 2011
Xinjiang
Beijing
Tianjin
Shanghai
Chongqing
Guangdong
Fujian
Tibet
Qinghai
Gansu
Inner Mongolia
Heilongjiang
Sichuan
Yunnan
Guizhou
Guangxi
Ningxia
Shaanxi
Shanxi
Hebei
Liaoning
Jilin
Shandong
Henan
Anhui
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
JiangxiHunan
Hubei
Hainan
< RMB 20k
RMB 20k-25k
RMB 25k-30k
> RMB 30k
5
Western Consumerism Lags Behind the
East
Source: National Bureau of Statistics 2011
Per Capita Annual Living Expenditure
6
Total
Consumptio
n
Food Education and
Recreation
Household
Items
RM
B
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
Eastern Provinces
Western Provinces
Economic Overview
Regional Policies for Investment
黑
龙
江吉
林辽
宁
河
北山
东
福
建
江
西
安
徽
湖
北
湖
南
广
东
广
西
河
南
山
西
内
蒙
古
陕
西
宁
夏
甘
肃
青
海
四
川
贵
州云
南
西
藏
新
疆
浙
江
北
京
重
庆
• 12 provinces
• 27% of total
population
• 71% of total land area
• Leverage
infrastructure
investment to drive
economic
development
• Attract foreign
investment
• China‟s rust belt
• 3 provinces and 5 cities
of Inner Mongolia
• 8% of total population
• 11% of total land area
• Revitalize old industrial
base
• 10 provinces and cities
• 60% of total GDP
• 38% of total population
• 7% of total land area
• Leverage SEIs and R&D
investment to lead innovative
& sustainable development
• Link of East Coast and Western China
• 6 provinces
• 27% of total population, 30% of total rural
population
• 10% of total land area, 23.8% of total cultivated
area
• Promote industrialization, urbanization, and
modernization of agriculture
“Go West” (1997)
“Rise of Central China” (2006)
“Northeast
Revitalization”
(2003)
Developed East
Coast
Western Provinces face numerous
challenges
Source: Social and Economic Atlas of Western Provinces, China Business Handbook 2009
Geography
- Extended distances between economic
centers
- Low population density
- Some extreme altitudes
- Water shortages, particularly in the north
- Inhospitable conditions in some areas and
relatively little arable land
Nature & Climate
- Extreme temperatures, particularly in the north
- Threat of natural disasters (e.g. earthquake in
Sichuan)
- Degradation of the environment (particularly
deforestation, desertification)
Ethnic Situation
- Ethnically diverse regions
- Persistent conflicts among ethnic groups (e.g.
Tibetans, Uyghurs)
Politics
- Western provinces were politically neglected
for a long time, only regaining serious political
focus for the last 10 years
- Political problems are hinder economic
progress (e.g. Tibet, Xinjiang)
Specific
Challenges in
Western China
8
Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces
China‟s „Go West‟ Policy
Opportunities for Foreign Business
China has been implementing the “Go
West” policy for more than a decade
The Chinese government under Premier Zhu Rongji first clarified the guidelines of
its “Go West” policy in 1999; after which developments have steadily followed…
“Western Development” plan begins2000
Construction of the “West-East Gas Pipeline” initiated2002
Policy of “Returning Grazing Land to Grassland” takes effect2003
Law on Promoting Western Development is listed on the
legislative plan of the 10th National People’s Congress
2004
Compulsory education tuition and fees exempted in Western
areas
2005
Qinghai-Tibet Railway begins operation2006
The Ministry of Finance invests RMB 280 billion in the west to support key
projects
2007
NDRC announced US$100 billion in 23 new infrastructure projects
including airports, roads, railways, coal mines, and nuclear power
stations
2010
10
Go West Policy has several key priorities
• Construction of railway lines, highways, airport
expansion projects, and gas pipelines, hydropower
plants, telecommunications, etc.
• By 2009, China had invested more than US$322
billion
• This month, the NDRC announced US$100 billion in
23 new infrastructure projects including
airports, roads, railways, coal mines, and nuclear
power stations
Infrastructure
• Preferential tax rates and flexible policies
• Chongqing Liangjiang New AreaForeign Investment
• Converting farmland to grassland and forest areasEcological Protection
• Compulsory education
Education & Retention of
Educated Workforce
11
Go West Policy‟s Focus Regions &
Industries
 Energy
 Chemicals
 Mineral mining and processing
 Agricultural goods processing
 Engineered products
 High-tech sectors
 Tourism
Several focus industries:
Three focus regions:
Chongqing-Chengdu
Guangxi “North Bay”
Guanzhong-Tianshui
12
The Go West policy has yielded
impressive results…
Source: China Statistical Yearbook, Yearbook of China Transportation and Communications
32.5
118
2000 2008
FlightPassengers(m)
3500
16500
25320
2000 2008 2011
Freeways(km)
76 233 299
2000 2008 2011
PowerGeneration
Capacity(GW)
22000
29500
36307
2000 2008 2011
RailTracks(km)
CAGR: 18% CAGR: 21%
CAGR: 4%
CAGR: 15%
13
…However, it has insufficiently closed the
development gap
73.30%
60.87%
79%
1990 2000 2011
West’sRelativeLevelof
GDPper Capita
20.88%
17.13% 19%
1990 2000 2011
West’sContributionto
GDP
14
Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces
China‟s „Go West‟ Policy
Opportunities for Foreign Business
Corporations have prioritized several key
locations for potential investment
LOW HIGH
HIGH
Corporate Perspective
AnalyticalPerspective
Ningxi
a
Qingha
i
Tibet
Guizho
u
Xinjia
ng
Gansu
Yunnan
Inner
Mongolia
Guangx
i
Shaanx
i
Chongqi
ng
Sichua
n
Source: Roland
Berger,
16
Chengdu:
City Overview
 Most prosperous and populous
city in western China, with 2009
GDP of RMB 450 billion (USD
66.17 billion), representing
14.7% growth year on year;
 Economic hub in Western China
for electronics and IT
manufacturing.
Transportation
China‟s sixth largest aviation hub
centered around Shuangliu
International Airport;
Competing with Chongqing to build
largest transportation hub in
Western China;
Investment RMB 20-50 billion (USD
3-7.3 billion) per year to build 5,400
km of new railways to 2020.
DevelopmentZones
Two national level development
zones:
• Chengdu High-tech
Development Zone –
electronics and IT
• Chengdu Economic and
Technological Development
Zone – auto manufacturing
Chengdu:
Industries and Policies
Pillar industries: electronics & IT, telecom and auto manufacturing
• Sales revenue of electronics and IT industry in 2009 reached RMB 143.3 billion (USD 21.07
billion), making up 31% of total GDP;
• Major consumer electronics and IT companies in Chengdu include
Nokia, Siemens, Samsung, Sony, Cisco Systems, Intel, HP and Foxconn;
• Chengdu has a complete auto manufacturing supply chain with 8 major manufacturers
including FAW-Volkswagen and over 150 auto components suppliers.
• Chengdu also announced plans to build electric vehicle charging facilities by 2012 and
manufacture 910,000 electric vehicles by 2017, planning to generate RMB 193 billion (USD
28.38 billion) in sales revenue.
• Chengdu municipal government had decided to invest RMB 50 billion (USD 7.35 billion) to
build a national-level telecom hub in 2008. By 2011, Chengdu will become, after
Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, the fourth information broadcasting base in China.
Sustainability: Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone and Tianfu New Area
• Chengdu‟s Tianfu New Area is slated to become a major industrial and economic center in
Western China enjoying similar preferential policies as Pudong New Area;
• The State Council approved Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone to be a new twin-city
Special Economic Zone (SEZ), one of China‟s three western economic zones created to
spur regional growth.
Chengdu:
Tax Incentives
Corporate
Income Tax
(CIT)
• Encouraged sector firms: 15%
• Non-encouraged sector firms:
25%
• Refund Rate: 100% refund of
local portion (40%) of CIT for 3
years and 50% for the following
5 years
• NPV=19%
Value Added
Tax (VAT)
• Standard Rate: 17%
• Refund Rate: 100% refund of
local portion of VAT (16%) for 2
years, and 50% refund for the
following 3 years.
• NPV=8.41%
• Free duty and VAT for imported
equipment: eligible equipment
Others Based On TE Project
Description:
R&D subsidies: negotiable based on
R&D investment capital and product;
Employee training subsidies:
Company is grant subsidy RMB 200 per
employee for signing contract with local
resident for a minimum of one year;
Individual income tax merits for high-
level management: 100% refund of
local portion (26%) of individual income
tax;
Business tax: 100% refund of local
portion (65%) of business tax for 2 years;
50% refund rate for the following 3 years.
Significant incentives provided by central
and local governments
 Corporate income tax reductions
 Personal income tax rebates
 Rental discounts
 Subsidies for employee training
 Subsidies for employee relocation
 Financing support
 R&D funding support
 Subsidy for standards certification
 Tax exemptions for equipment importation
23
Advantages and challenges for foreign
business
ADVANTAGES  Market access: Western provinces provide access to
quickly-growing local and regional markets
CHALLENGES
 Lower wages: Western regions wages are significantly below those
in China‟s east
 Government support: Wide-spread support for foreign investment can be
found at both the national and local level
 Level of familiarity: Local authorities are less experienced in working with
foreigner and foreign companies
 Personal relationships: “Guanxi” more important in Western regions
which requires time and patience to develop
 Quality of Staff: Staff qualification level comparatively lower
than found in China‟s eastern region
24
Success in the West depends on your
preparation and execution
In order for a company to take advantage of the opportunities in China’s west and
the ‘Go West’ policy it needs to be prepared and committed…
Conduct thorough market analysis
Perform solid technical and location due diligence
Thoroughly vet partner and key customers
Build solid government relationships
Develop a dedicated and motivated team of managers and workers
Be flexible to the changing environment
Monitor and track new opportunities and evolving government
priorities
25
China goes West

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China goes West

  • 2. Introduction to China‟s Western Region China‟s „Go West‟ Policy Opportunities for Foreign Business
  • 3. Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces  80% of China‟s water resources  70% of natural gas reserves  69% of overall land area  60% of coal reserves  27% of population  19% of GDP  17% of consumer spending  14% of FDI  10% of applied patents  6% of registered foreign enterprises  4% of exports Source: China’s National Bureau of Statistics 2009, 2011 China‟s 12 Western Provinces account for: 3
  • 4. West More Reliant on Raw Materials Source: China Statistical Handbook 2011 4 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Greater China Eastern Provinces Western Provinces Primary Sector Secondary Sector Tertiary Sector Composition on China’s Economy 47 43 10 6 49 45 13 51 36
  • 5. Urban Household Income is dramatically less in the western provinces Source: China’s National Bureau of Statistics 2011 Xinjiang Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Chongqing Guangdong Fujian Tibet Qinghai Gansu Inner Mongolia Heilongjiang Sichuan Yunnan Guizhou Guangxi Ningxia Shaanxi Shanxi Hebei Liaoning Jilin Shandong Henan Anhui Jiangsu Zhejiang JiangxiHunan Hubei Hainan < RMB 20k RMB 20k-25k RMB 25k-30k > RMB 30k 5
  • 6. Western Consumerism Lags Behind the East Source: National Bureau of Statistics 2011 Per Capita Annual Living Expenditure 6 Total Consumptio n Food Education and Recreation Household Items RM B 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Eastern Provinces Western Provinces
  • 7. Economic Overview Regional Policies for Investment 黑 龙 江吉 林辽 宁 河 北山 东 福 建 江 西 安 徽 湖 北 湖 南 广 东 广 西 河 南 山 西 内 蒙 古 陕 西 宁 夏 甘 肃 青 海 四 川 贵 州云 南 西 藏 新 疆 浙 江 北 京 重 庆 • 12 provinces • 27% of total population • 71% of total land area • Leverage infrastructure investment to drive economic development • Attract foreign investment • China‟s rust belt • 3 provinces and 5 cities of Inner Mongolia • 8% of total population • 11% of total land area • Revitalize old industrial base • 10 provinces and cities • 60% of total GDP • 38% of total population • 7% of total land area • Leverage SEIs and R&D investment to lead innovative & sustainable development • Link of East Coast and Western China • 6 provinces • 27% of total population, 30% of total rural population • 10% of total land area, 23.8% of total cultivated area • Promote industrialization, urbanization, and modernization of agriculture “Go West” (1997) “Rise of Central China” (2006) “Northeast Revitalization” (2003) Developed East Coast
  • 8. Western Provinces face numerous challenges Source: Social and Economic Atlas of Western Provinces, China Business Handbook 2009 Geography - Extended distances between economic centers - Low population density - Some extreme altitudes - Water shortages, particularly in the north - Inhospitable conditions in some areas and relatively little arable land Nature & Climate - Extreme temperatures, particularly in the north - Threat of natural disasters (e.g. earthquake in Sichuan) - Degradation of the environment (particularly deforestation, desertification) Ethnic Situation - Ethnically diverse regions - Persistent conflicts among ethnic groups (e.g. Tibetans, Uyghurs) Politics - Western provinces were politically neglected for a long time, only regaining serious political focus for the last 10 years - Political problems are hinder economic progress (e.g. Tibet, Xinjiang) Specific Challenges in Western China 8
  • 9. Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces China‟s „Go West‟ Policy Opportunities for Foreign Business
  • 10. China has been implementing the “Go West” policy for more than a decade The Chinese government under Premier Zhu Rongji first clarified the guidelines of its “Go West” policy in 1999; after which developments have steadily followed… “Western Development” plan begins2000 Construction of the “West-East Gas Pipeline” initiated2002 Policy of “Returning Grazing Land to Grassland” takes effect2003 Law on Promoting Western Development is listed on the legislative plan of the 10th National People’s Congress 2004 Compulsory education tuition and fees exempted in Western areas 2005 Qinghai-Tibet Railway begins operation2006 The Ministry of Finance invests RMB 280 billion in the west to support key projects 2007 NDRC announced US$100 billion in 23 new infrastructure projects including airports, roads, railways, coal mines, and nuclear power stations 2010 10
  • 11. Go West Policy has several key priorities • Construction of railway lines, highways, airport expansion projects, and gas pipelines, hydropower plants, telecommunications, etc. • By 2009, China had invested more than US$322 billion • This month, the NDRC announced US$100 billion in 23 new infrastructure projects including airports, roads, railways, coal mines, and nuclear power stations Infrastructure • Preferential tax rates and flexible policies • Chongqing Liangjiang New AreaForeign Investment • Converting farmland to grassland and forest areasEcological Protection • Compulsory education Education & Retention of Educated Workforce 11
  • 12. Go West Policy‟s Focus Regions & Industries  Energy  Chemicals  Mineral mining and processing  Agricultural goods processing  Engineered products  High-tech sectors  Tourism Several focus industries: Three focus regions: Chongqing-Chengdu Guangxi “North Bay” Guanzhong-Tianshui 12
  • 13. The Go West policy has yielded impressive results… Source: China Statistical Yearbook, Yearbook of China Transportation and Communications 32.5 118 2000 2008 FlightPassengers(m) 3500 16500 25320 2000 2008 2011 Freeways(km) 76 233 299 2000 2008 2011 PowerGeneration Capacity(GW) 22000 29500 36307 2000 2008 2011 RailTracks(km) CAGR: 18% CAGR: 21% CAGR: 4% CAGR: 15% 13
  • 14. …However, it has insufficiently closed the development gap 73.30% 60.87% 79% 1990 2000 2011 West’sRelativeLevelof GDPper Capita 20.88% 17.13% 19% 1990 2000 2011 West’sContributionto GDP 14
  • 15. Introduction to China‟s Western Provinces China‟s „Go West‟ Policy Opportunities for Foreign Business
  • 16. Corporations have prioritized several key locations for potential investment LOW HIGH HIGH Corporate Perspective AnalyticalPerspective Ningxi a Qingha i Tibet Guizho u Xinjia ng Gansu Yunnan Inner Mongolia Guangx i Shaanx i Chongqi ng Sichua n Source: Roland Berger, 16
  • 17. Chengdu: City Overview  Most prosperous and populous city in western China, with 2009 GDP of RMB 450 billion (USD 66.17 billion), representing 14.7% growth year on year;  Economic hub in Western China for electronics and IT manufacturing. Transportation China‟s sixth largest aviation hub centered around Shuangliu International Airport; Competing with Chongqing to build largest transportation hub in Western China; Investment RMB 20-50 billion (USD 3-7.3 billion) per year to build 5,400 km of new railways to 2020. DevelopmentZones Two national level development zones: • Chengdu High-tech Development Zone – electronics and IT • Chengdu Economic and Technological Development Zone – auto manufacturing
  • 18. Chengdu: Industries and Policies Pillar industries: electronics & IT, telecom and auto manufacturing • Sales revenue of electronics and IT industry in 2009 reached RMB 143.3 billion (USD 21.07 billion), making up 31% of total GDP; • Major consumer electronics and IT companies in Chengdu include Nokia, Siemens, Samsung, Sony, Cisco Systems, Intel, HP and Foxconn; • Chengdu has a complete auto manufacturing supply chain with 8 major manufacturers including FAW-Volkswagen and over 150 auto components suppliers. • Chengdu also announced plans to build electric vehicle charging facilities by 2012 and manufacture 910,000 electric vehicles by 2017, planning to generate RMB 193 billion (USD 28.38 billion) in sales revenue. • Chengdu municipal government had decided to invest RMB 50 billion (USD 7.35 billion) to build a national-level telecom hub in 2008. By 2011, Chengdu will become, after Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, the fourth information broadcasting base in China. Sustainability: Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone and Tianfu New Area • Chengdu‟s Tianfu New Area is slated to become a major industrial and economic center in Western China enjoying similar preferential policies as Pudong New Area; • The State Council approved Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone to be a new twin-city Special Economic Zone (SEZ), one of China‟s three western economic zones created to spur regional growth.
  • 19.
  • 20. Chengdu: Tax Incentives Corporate Income Tax (CIT) • Encouraged sector firms: 15% • Non-encouraged sector firms: 25% • Refund Rate: 100% refund of local portion (40%) of CIT for 3 years and 50% for the following 5 years • NPV=19% Value Added Tax (VAT) • Standard Rate: 17% • Refund Rate: 100% refund of local portion of VAT (16%) for 2 years, and 50% refund for the following 3 years. • NPV=8.41% • Free duty and VAT for imported equipment: eligible equipment Others Based On TE Project Description: R&D subsidies: negotiable based on R&D investment capital and product; Employee training subsidies: Company is grant subsidy RMB 200 per employee for signing contract with local resident for a minimum of one year; Individual income tax merits for high- level management: 100% refund of local portion (26%) of individual income tax; Business tax: 100% refund of local portion (65%) of business tax for 2 years; 50% refund rate for the following 3 years.
  • 21. Significant incentives provided by central and local governments  Corporate income tax reductions  Personal income tax rebates  Rental discounts  Subsidies for employee training  Subsidies for employee relocation  Financing support  R&D funding support  Subsidy for standards certification  Tax exemptions for equipment importation 23
  • 22. Advantages and challenges for foreign business ADVANTAGES  Market access: Western provinces provide access to quickly-growing local and regional markets CHALLENGES  Lower wages: Western regions wages are significantly below those in China‟s east  Government support: Wide-spread support for foreign investment can be found at both the national and local level  Level of familiarity: Local authorities are less experienced in working with foreigner and foreign companies  Personal relationships: “Guanxi” more important in Western regions which requires time and patience to develop  Quality of Staff: Staff qualification level comparatively lower than found in China‟s eastern region 24
  • 23. Success in the West depends on your preparation and execution In order for a company to take advantage of the opportunities in China’s west and the ‘Go West’ policy it needs to be prepared and committed… Conduct thorough market analysis Perform solid technical and location due diligence Thoroughly vet partner and key customers Build solid government relationships Develop a dedicated and motivated team of managers and workers Be flexible to the changing environment Monitor and track new opportunities and evolving government priorities 25