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Cost of Capital and Leverage.
           WACC

         Chapter 4
Outline

Project selection for a levered firm
Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm
  Hamada equation
WACC
Project selection in a diversified firm
  Mensac case



                                            2
What types of capital do firms use?


Debt
Preferred stock
Common equity
  Existing shareholders
  New stock



                                        3
Do different investors ask for the same
                return?
Example: A company has the following EBIT
every year (see the table next page). kRF=4%,
the market risk premium is 6%. If the company
is all-equity financed, its beta is 1
 • What is the cost of equity in this case? What is
   the company value? If there are 1,000 shares
   outstanding, what is the share price?
 • If company wants to issue 40,000 of debt to
   buy back some shares, what is the cost of debt
   and the new cost of equity assuming no taxes?


                                                  4
Example (2)
                       Economy
                 Bad     Avg.         Good
Prob.             0.25     0.50          0.25
EBIT              5,000 10,000         15,000
Cost of equity is
 • 4%+6%x1=10%
The company value is
 • (0.25x5,000 + 0.5x10,000 + 0.25x15,000)/.1 =100,000
 The share price is 100

                                                   5
Example (3)
Probability                     0.25               0.5           0.25
EBIT                 $     5,000.00    $   10,000.00     $ 15,000.00
Interest             $          -      $         -       $       -
EBT                  $     5,000.00    $   10,000.00     $ 15,000.00
Taxes                $          -      $         -       $       -
NI                   $     5,000.00    $   10,000.00     $ 15,000.00
EPS                  $         5.00    $       10.00     $     15.00
Average NI           $       10,000
Average EPS          $           10
Standard deviation              3.54

Value of equity      $     100,000
Share price          $      100.00


                                                                   6
Example (4)

For the levered firm let us assume that the
debt is risk-free and check, whether this is
the case or not:
 Debt                 $     40,000
 Interest rate                  4%
 Number of shares              600
 Probability                   0.25               0.5           0.25
 EBIT                 $   5,000.00    $   10,000.00     $ 15,000.00
 Interest             $   1,600.00    $    1,600.00     $ 1,600.00
 EBT                  $   3,400.00    $    8,400.00     $ 13,400.00
 Taxes                $        -      $         -       $       -
 NI                   $   3,400.00    $    8,400.00     $ 13,400.00
 EPS                  $       5.67    $       14.00     $     22.33
 Average NI           $      8,400
 Average EPS          $      14.00
 Standard deviation            5.89
                                                                       7
Example (5)

The cost of equity of the levered firm
becomes
cost of equity kLS = EPS/Share price = 14/100
  = 14%
Why?
  Return to shareholders is riskier now (look
  at EPS volatility)
  It should be higher

                                                8
Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm:
   Hamada equation (risk-free debt)

Because the increased use of debt causes both
the costs of debt and equity to increase, we need
to estimate the new cost of equity
The Hamada equation attempts to quantify the
increased cost of equity due to financial leverage
It uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which
represents the risk of a firm as if it had no debt
Hamada equation assumes that the debt is risk-
free


                                                     9
Hamada equation (cont’d)

              βL = βU [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]

where T is the tax rate; D/E is the debt-equity
ratio and βU is the beta of equity of an unlevered
firm with the same operating cash flow
In our example βU = 1, D/E = 400/600 = 2/3
βL = 1(1+0.67)=1.67
kLS = 4% + 1.67 x 6% = 14 %
Notice that
    kLS = kUS [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-kRF (1 – T)(D/E)
                                                    10
Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm:
               risky debt

     If debt is risky, the cost of equity of a
     levered firm is found using the following
     equation:
        L
        S
               U
               S
                       D U
       k = k + (1 − T ) k S − k D
                       E
                                  (           )
       where kD is the cost of risky debt. Similarly,
       for beta we can write

                   D           D
β = β 1 + (1 − T )
 L
 S
         U
         S           − (1 − T ) β D
                   E           E
                                                    11
Example

The risk-free rate is 6%, as is the market
risk premium. The unlevered beta of the
firm is 1.0. The total assets are 2,000,000
 • Find the cost of equity of a levered firm if it
   has 250,000 of a risk-free debt
 • The same if the beta of debt is 0.2




                                                     12
Example (2)

For riskless debt we have


  βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]




                       β
  kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL

                              13
Example (3)

For riskless debt we have


  βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
  βL = 1.0[1 + (1 – 0.4)( 250/ 1,750)]


                       β
  kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL
  kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857
                                         14
Example (4)

For riskless debt we have


  βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
  βL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]= 1.0857


                       β
  kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL
  kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857 = 12.51%
                                        15
Example (5)

For risky debt we have
                       β
  kD = kRF + (kM – kRF)βD=6%+(6%)0.2 =7.2%

  βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-(1 – T)(D/E)βD
                                        β

  βL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]- (0.6)(0.1429)0.2
  = 1.0857-0.0171 = 1.0686

  kL = kU + (1 – T)(D/E)(kU - kD)

  kL = 12% + (0.6)(0.1429)(4.8%) = 12.411%
                                             16
How to determine the cost of equity for a
            new company?

  Identify the peer companies
  For each peer, find its unlevered β and cost
  of equity using their cost of debt and D/E
  ratio
   • Try using market values of debt and equity
  Find the average unlevered β and kSU
  Find β and kSL for your company, using its
  cost of debt and D/E ratio


                                                  17
Determining levered cost of equity, kLs
Find kU directly
                              D
             k + (1 − t c )
                   L
                   S            kD
       kS =
        U                     E
                              D
               1 + (1 − t c )
Find average kUs              E
Find kLs

        L
        S
             U
             S
                       D U
                       E
                          (
      k = k + (1 − tC ) k S − k D    )
                                           18
WACC



      E L D
WACC = k S + (1 − tc )k D
      V     V
                              E             D
if k D = k f , WACC = k   U
                          S     + (1 − tc )
                              V             V



                                                19
Example: Find WACC, given these inputs:

Target D/E ratio = 66.7 %
kD = 10%
kRF = 7%
Tax rate = 40%
Market risk premium = 6%
Industry Beta = 0.95


                                     20
Example: Find WACC



                      2
βL = 0.95× 1+ (1− 0.4) = 1.33
                      3
k = .07 +1.33×.06 = 0.15 = 15%
 L
 S

         1                    .67
WACC=        ×.15 + (1− .4)×        ×.10
      1+ .67                 1+ .67
WACC= 11.4%
                                           21
WACC Estimates for Some Large
 U. S. Corporations, Nov. 1999
 Company             WACC
 Intel               12.9%
 General Electric    11.9
 Motorola            11.3
 Coca-Cola           11.2
 Walt Disney         10.0
 AT&T                 9.8
 Wal-Mart             9.8
 Exxon                8.8
 H. J. Heinz          8.5
 BellSouth            8.2

                                 22
Should the company use the composite
(company average) WACC as the hurdle
      rate for each of its projects?

NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk
of an average project undertaken by the
firm. Therefore, the WACC only represents
the “hurdle rate” for a typical project with
average risk.
Different projects have different risks. The
project’s WACC should be adjusted to
reflect the project’s risk.
                                               23
Risk and the Cost of Capital

Rate of Return
     (%)                            Acceptance Region

                                                          W ACC

   12.0                                     H

   10.5                        A                 Rejection Region
   10.0
    9.5                        B
    8.0               L




                                                  Risk
      0           Risk L   Risk A       Risk H
                                                            24
Divisional Cost of Capital

Rate of Return
      (%)

                                                                    WACC
   13.0
                                          Division H’s WACC

                                                                    Composite WACC
   11.0                                                             for Firm A
                                                                Project H
   10.0

    9.0           Project L


    7.0
                      Division L’s WACC




                                                                    Risk
          0   RiskL                                      Risk   H
                                          RiskAverage
                                                                            25
What are the types of project risk?

Stand-alone risk
Corporate risk
Market risk




                                        26
How is each type of risk used?

Market risk is theoretically best in most
situations.
However, creditors, customers, suppliers,
and employees are more affected by
corporate risk
Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant




                                             27
How to determine the risk-adjusted cost of
capital for a particular project or division?

 By making subjective adjustments to the
 firm’s composite WACC
   Not very scientific!
 By attempting to estimate what the cost of
 capital would be if the project/division were
 a stand-alone firm with the same capital
 structure. This requires estimating the
 project’s beta


                                             28
Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta

Pure play:
  Find several publicly traded companies
  exclusively in project’s business
  Use average of their betas as proxy for
  project’s beta
Difficulties: Sometimes it is hard to find
such companies



                                             29
Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta

  Using Accounting beta (won’t use in the
  class)
   • Estimate the project’s beta by running
     regression between project’s ROA and
     market ROA (S&P index)
  Problems:
   • Accounting betas are not perfectly
     correlated with market betas (correlation is
     about 0.5–0.6)
   • Normally can’t get data on new projects’
     ROAs before the capital budgeting decision
     has been made
                                                    30
Example

Find the division’s market risk and cost of
capital based on the CAPM, given these
inputs
  Target debt/value ratio = 40% (D/E = 66.7%)
  kD = 10%
  kRF = 7%
  Tax rate = 40%
  betaDivision = 1.7
  Market risk premium = 6%.
                                              31
Example (contd.)

Levered beta = 1.7, so division has more
market risk than the company on average
(1.33).
Division’s required return on equity:
  ks = kRF + (kM – kRF)βDiv.
   = 7% + (6%)1.7 = 17.2%
  WACCDiv. = wdkd(1 – T) + wcks
         = 0.4(10%)(0.6) + 0.6(17.2%)
         = 12.72%                          32
Mensac case




              33

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Cost of Capital and Leverage Fundamentals

  • 1. Cost of Capital and Leverage. WACC Chapter 4
  • 2. Outline Project selection for a levered firm Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm Hamada equation WACC Project selection in a diversified firm Mensac case 2
  • 3. What types of capital do firms use? Debt Preferred stock Common equity Existing shareholders New stock 3
  • 4. Do different investors ask for the same return? Example: A company has the following EBIT every year (see the table next page). kRF=4%, the market risk premium is 6%. If the company is all-equity financed, its beta is 1 • What is the cost of equity in this case? What is the company value? If there are 1,000 shares outstanding, what is the share price? • If company wants to issue 40,000 of debt to buy back some shares, what is the cost of debt and the new cost of equity assuming no taxes? 4
  • 5. Example (2) Economy Bad Avg. Good Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25 EBIT 5,000 10,000 15,000 Cost of equity is • 4%+6%x1=10% The company value is • (0.25x5,000 + 0.5x10,000 + 0.25x15,000)/.1 =100,000 The share price is 100 5
  • 6. Example (3) Probability 0.25 0.5 0.25 EBIT $ 5,000.00 $ 10,000.00 $ 15,000.00 Interest $ - $ - $ - EBT $ 5,000.00 $ 10,000.00 $ 15,000.00 Taxes $ - $ - $ - NI $ 5,000.00 $ 10,000.00 $ 15,000.00 EPS $ 5.00 $ 10.00 $ 15.00 Average NI $ 10,000 Average EPS $ 10 Standard deviation 3.54 Value of equity $ 100,000 Share price $ 100.00 6
  • 7. Example (4) For the levered firm let us assume that the debt is risk-free and check, whether this is the case or not: Debt $ 40,000 Interest rate 4% Number of shares 600 Probability 0.25 0.5 0.25 EBIT $ 5,000.00 $ 10,000.00 $ 15,000.00 Interest $ 1,600.00 $ 1,600.00 $ 1,600.00 EBT $ 3,400.00 $ 8,400.00 $ 13,400.00 Taxes $ - $ - $ - NI $ 3,400.00 $ 8,400.00 $ 13,400.00 EPS $ 5.67 $ 14.00 $ 22.33 Average NI $ 8,400 Average EPS $ 14.00 Standard deviation 5.89 7
  • 8. Example (5) The cost of equity of the levered firm becomes cost of equity kLS = EPS/Share price = 14/100 = 14% Why? Return to shareholders is riskier now (look at EPS volatility) It should be higher 8
  • 9. Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm: Hamada equation (risk-free debt) Because the increased use of debt causes both the costs of debt and equity to increase, we need to estimate the new cost of equity The Hamada equation attempts to quantify the increased cost of equity due to financial leverage It uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which represents the risk of a firm as if it had no debt Hamada equation assumes that the debt is risk- free 9
  • 10. Hamada equation (cont’d) βL = βU [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)] where T is the tax rate; D/E is the debt-equity ratio and βU is the beta of equity of an unlevered firm with the same operating cash flow In our example βU = 1, D/E = 400/600 = 2/3 βL = 1(1+0.67)=1.67 kLS = 4% + 1.67 x 6% = 14 % Notice that kLS = kUS [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-kRF (1 – T)(D/E) 10
  • 11. Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm: risky debt If debt is risky, the cost of equity of a levered firm is found using the following equation: L S U S D U k = k + (1 − T ) k S − k D E ( ) where kD is the cost of risky debt. Similarly, for beta we can write D D β = β 1 + (1 − T ) L S U S − (1 − T ) β D E E 11
  • 12. Example The risk-free rate is 6%, as is the market risk premium. The unlevered beta of the firm is 1.0. The total assets are 2,000,000 • Find the cost of equity of a levered firm if it has 250,000 of a risk-free debt • The same if the beta of debt is 0.2 12
  • 13. Example (2) For riskless debt we have βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)] β kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL 13
  • 14. Example (3) For riskless debt we have βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)] βL = 1.0[1 + (1 – 0.4)( 250/ 1,750)] β kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857 14
  • 15. Example (4) For riskless debt we have βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)] βL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]= 1.0857 β kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)βL kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857 = 12.51% 15
  • 16. Example (5) For risky debt we have β kD = kRF + (kM – kRF)βD=6%+(6%)0.2 =7.2% βL = βU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-(1 – T)(D/E)βD β βL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]- (0.6)(0.1429)0.2 = 1.0857-0.0171 = 1.0686 kL = kU + (1 – T)(D/E)(kU - kD) kL = 12% + (0.6)(0.1429)(4.8%) = 12.411% 16
  • 17. How to determine the cost of equity for a new company? Identify the peer companies For each peer, find its unlevered β and cost of equity using their cost of debt and D/E ratio • Try using market values of debt and equity Find the average unlevered β and kSU Find β and kSL for your company, using its cost of debt and D/E ratio 17
  • 18. Determining levered cost of equity, kLs Find kU directly D k + (1 − t c ) L S kD kS = U E D 1 + (1 − t c ) Find average kUs E Find kLs L S U S D U E ( k = k + (1 − tC ) k S − k D ) 18
  • 19. WACC E L D WACC = k S + (1 − tc )k D V V E D if k D = k f , WACC = k U S + (1 − tc ) V V 19
  • 20. Example: Find WACC, given these inputs: Target D/E ratio = 66.7 % kD = 10% kRF = 7% Tax rate = 40% Market risk premium = 6% Industry Beta = 0.95 20
  • 21. Example: Find WACC 2 βL = 0.95× 1+ (1− 0.4) = 1.33 3 k = .07 +1.33×.06 = 0.15 = 15% L S 1 .67 WACC= ×.15 + (1− .4)× ×.10 1+ .67 1+ .67 WACC= 11.4% 21
  • 22. WACC Estimates for Some Large U. S. Corporations, Nov. 1999 Company WACC Intel 12.9% General Electric 11.9 Motorola 11.3 Coca-Cola 11.2 Walt Disney 10.0 AT&T 9.8 Wal-Mart 9.8 Exxon 8.8 H. J. Heinz 8.5 BellSouth 8.2 22
  • 23. Should the company use the composite (company average) WACC as the hurdle rate for each of its projects? NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm. Therefore, the WACC only represents the “hurdle rate” for a typical project with average risk. Different projects have different risks. The project’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the project’s risk. 23
  • 24. Risk and the Cost of Capital Rate of Return (%) Acceptance Region W ACC 12.0 H 10.5 A Rejection Region 10.0 9.5 B 8.0 L Risk 0 Risk L Risk A Risk H 24
  • 25. Divisional Cost of Capital Rate of Return (%) WACC 13.0 Division H’s WACC Composite WACC 11.0 for Firm A Project H 10.0 9.0 Project L 7.0 Division L’s WACC Risk 0 RiskL Risk H RiskAverage 25
  • 26. What are the types of project risk? Stand-alone risk Corporate risk Market risk 26
  • 27. How is each type of risk used? Market risk is theoretically best in most situations. However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are more affected by corporate risk Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant 27
  • 28. How to determine the risk-adjusted cost of capital for a particular project or division? By making subjective adjustments to the firm’s composite WACC Not very scientific! By attempting to estimate what the cost of capital would be if the project/division were a stand-alone firm with the same capital structure. This requires estimating the project’s beta 28
  • 29. Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta Pure play: Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in project’s business Use average of their betas as proxy for project’s beta Difficulties: Sometimes it is hard to find such companies 29
  • 30. Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta Using Accounting beta (won’t use in the class) • Estimate the project’s beta by running regression between project’s ROA and market ROA (S&P index) Problems: • Accounting betas are not perfectly correlated with market betas (correlation is about 0.5–0.6) • Normally can’t get data on new projects’ ROAs before the capital budgeting decision has been made 30
  • 31. Example Find the division’s market risk and cost of capital based on the CAPM, given these inputs Target debt/value ratio = 40% (D/E = 66.7%) kD = 10% kRF = 7% Tax rate = 40% betaDivision = 1.7 Market risk premium = 6%. 31
  • 32. Example (contd.) Levered beta = 1.7, so division has more market risk than the company on average (1.33). Division’s required return on equity: ks = kRF + (kM – kRF)βDiv. = 7% + (6%)1.7 = 17.2% WACCDiv. = wdkd(1 – T) + wcks = 0.4(10%)(0.6) + 0.6(17.2%) = 12.72% 32