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Telefónica I+D
Trends analysis in
technological research
Javier Carbonell Pérez June 22, 2011
Telefónica I+D
Technological Observatory TID
email: techobs@tid.es
twitter: @telefonicaid
Telefónica I+D
TID Who are
we?
Technological
observatory
role
Example of
collaboration
in trend
analysis:
Value-it
Trend studies
examples:
Trends 2011-2014
Tendencias 2020
Digital Spain
1 2
43
Telefónica I+D
Who are we?
Telefónica I+D
Structure of Telefonica Digital
Telefonica Digital
Chairman & CEO
Product
Development
& Innovation
“To connect, develop and deliver
the best digital products to
maximise the benefit to
Telefonica”
Strategy & Business
Development
Chief Commercial
Officer
Business & Legal
Affairs
Finance
Human Resources
External & Public
Affairs
3
Digital Services
Telefónica I+D
Telefónica I+D
A
multidisciplinary
and international
staff
97% university graduates, 10% PhDs,
from 34 international universities with
10+ years of average industry experience.
Highly
qualified
Telefónica I+D has a staff of researchers,
technologists, developers and
designers, from 18 nationalities.
A network of innovation centres:
• 5 centres in Spain: Madrid, Barcelona,
Valladolid , Granada and Huesca
• A center in Brazil (Sao Paulo) jointly with the
local operator (Telefonica Brasil)
• A center in UK formed by TID - O2 UK - Jajah
An
International
company
Telefónica I+D
© 2010 Telefónica I+D S.A.U / Slide 5
Mobile
Broadband
Security IT Evolution
Ultra
Broadband
Network Platforms Services
Cloud
Computing
M2M
Service
Layer Arch.
User
Modelling
Video
Services
eHealth
Future
Comms.
Telefónica I+D innovation areas
Telefónica I+D
Using Open Innovation framework
6
V1.0 V.2.0+
Insight and
foresight
Scientific
Research
Idea generation and
concept trial P/S development
Conceptualization
Applied Research
Update & maintenance
Technology
Make or Buy Go /no Go
SCIENTIFIC
GROUPS
PATENT
OFFICE
USER EXPERIENCE
LAB
• Trendspotting
• Customer insight
• Living Labs
PROCESS
IMPROVEMENT
• Internal idea
marketplaceTECHNOLOGY
OBSERVATORY
PROCESS
IMPROVEMENT
• agile development
Telefónica I+D
Scientific groups and technology observatory identify
emerging technologies that can provide a competitive
advantage
7
TECHNOLOGY OBSERVATORYSCIENTIFIC GROUPS
Anticipate new business opportunities and
potential risks, provide technical evaluation
to take strategic decisions and create
competitive advantages based on
technological innovation
The observatory is based on a technological network of
internal and external observers working for Telefónica I + D
These groups follow an open research
model in collaboration with
universities and other research
centres, and disseminate the results of
their work through publications
and technical transfer.
Internet
Multimedia
Data Mining and
User Modeling
Telefónica I+D
Technological
observatory
role
Telefónica I+D
TI+D TechObs
Innovation cycle and TechObs
9
Identify
knowledge
sources
Collect
technology
opportunities
Evaluate
ideas
Define
innovation
plan and
detailed
projects
proposals
Manage
innovation
projects Analysis of
the results
obtained
Transfer
technology
Monitoring
of returns
(18-36m)
Define
technology map
Selection of best
business
opportunities
Innovation focus
approval
Selection of
best ideas
ideas for new
product/services
innovation
project results
Evaluation of
best ideas
PROJECTS
IDEAS
Telefónica I+D
TechObs is based on three distinctive assets
to help both Telefónica I+D and Telefónica
Group
10
 Integrated in
the area of
technology
strategy.
 A small head
office of size
coordinating
resources
Definition
 Worldwide
network of scouts
(Japan, China,
India, South
Africa, South
Korea, Brazil ,
Europe & USA)
Assets
 Worldwide scouting of
services and
technologies
 Scouting for VC
corporate initiative
Results
 Tools for
automatic
monitoring
 Patents/publications
analysis
 Automatic trend
discovering in “top
analysts” reports
 A network of TID
experts organized
around T3 – TID
Think Tanks
 TID Technology Map
 TID technology future
vision
MIT-ILP
Telefónica Spain
Telefónica I+D
5
Headoffice
Telefónica I+D
Scoutsin LATAM
TPD (Brasil)
Scoutsin Europe
O2 UK
O2 Germany
O2 Czech
1
2
3
4
Scoutsin Asia
China
Japan
India
1
2
3
4
5
7
Scoutsin
California(SV)
7
5
5
6 Scoutsin Africa
South Africa
6
Telefónica I+D
For fulfilling this commitment, we are
monitoring a broad number of sources of
information
11
Exploratory
developmen
t
Piloting
Support /
Maintenanc
e
Product
Developmen
t
Applied
Research
Basic
Research
Research Development / Advisory
TID
•University
research
•Patents &
publications
•Startups
(Sillicon Valley)
•Medium / long
term events
•TID experts
participating in
standarisation,
EU projects, …
•Patents &
publications
•Early deployments worldwide (network of scouts)
•Events
Telefónica I+D
Most of the activity is proactive
12
Worldwide
network of scouts
Automatic
monitoring
T3
TID Think Tanks
Continuous process of
observation:
• daily activity is
reported to every TID
employee
• intermediate results
are distributed across
whole TEF
Technology
map
Internal micro-
blogging
(Yammer)
Event reports
Patent reports
Area report
DAILY
ACTIVITY
INTERMEDIATE
RESULTS
Internal blog
Input Process Output
TECHNOLOGICAL
TRENDS (yearly)
POSITION PAPERS
(linked to strategy
definiton)
TECHNOLOGY ALERTS
(continuous process)
AD HOC REPORT (on
demand)
Telefónica I+D
Trend
studies
examples:
Trends (2011-2014)
Trends (2020)
Digital Spain
Telefónica I+D 14
Trends (2011-2014): Map of trends
Telefónica I+D
Trends (2011-2014): Evolution of trends
15
Telefónica I+D 16
Trends 2011-2014: Individual trend analysis
Telefónica I+D 17
Trends (2020)
Telefónica I+D 18
Trends (2020): Social perspective
Telefónica I+D 19
Trends (2020): Technological perspective
Telefónica I+D 20
Digital Spain
Digital impulse Digital Reality
Digital
perspective
Sectorial studies The Information society
in Spain
Speficic monographic
about trends
150 pág80 pg / monographic
Digital Spain: Information society in Spain ,analysis and
dissemination initiative
Telefónica I+D 21
Digital Spain:
10 keys about Information Society in Spain
The information society through the most
representative indicators
Digital life by Telefónica
The information society in Spanish regions
http://e-libros.fundacion.telefonica.com/sie10/aplicacion_sie.html
Telefónica I+D 22
Digital Spain: specific monographics
Execution of a preliminary version considering
both market and technology point of view
Debate with experts in different knowledge areas :
psychologist, sociologist, engineers …
Results integration
Telefónica I+D
Example of
collaborati
on in trend
analysis:
Value-it
Telefónica I+D
To accomplish ambitious goals the
collaboration is required
24
Tim Keppens
Telefónica I+D
One example: Analysis of semantic technologies in
the enterprise scope
25
Inmark (Spain): Marketing
specialist
Project coordination and market
studies
DFKI (Germany): Artificial
intelligence specialist
Semantic technologies state of the
art
OVUM (UK): IT consulting
Study of semantic technolgies in
the market
ISOCO (Spain): Semantic
solutions provider
Demand forecast for semantic
technologies
TID (Spain): Telecomm
research and development
Roadmap, dissemination
7 Framework programme
(UE):
Public organism to promote
R&D
Project orientation, review
Partner Role
Supply a vision of the
semantic technologies
potential in the enterprise
world
Foster the interest
among stakeholders
implied in its development
Set up bridges between
suppliers and possible
user companies
Telefónica I+D
Holistic vision is required: offer and demand…
26
 Research of semantic
technologies situation at present
 Main research areas
 Commercialization trends
 Research centers and suppliers
database
Offer point of view
 Personalized interviews with
experts
 CATI, with 625 enterviews
 Vertical Industry solutions
 Opportunities and threats
Demand point of view
Telefónica I+D
 Estudio de las tecnologías
semánticas actuales
 Principales líneas de investigación
 Modelos de comercialización
 Catálogo de centros de
investigación y empresas
proveedoras
Punto de vista OFERTA
 Entrevistas personalizadas con
expertos
 CATI, con 625 entrevistas
 Análisis sectorial de
soluciones
 Identificación de oportunidades
y amenazas
Punto de vista DEMANDA
... and mainly how to bridge these two worlds
27
 Rising opportunities
 Creating a roadmap
 Market forecasts according to
verticals
Telefónica I+D
The dissemination of results in all the forums related
to semantic technologies is fundamental to enhance a
COMMUNITY
28
In the traditional media In 2.0 media
Telefónica I+D 29
Doubts, questions,
comments…
Trends analysis in technological research

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Trends analysis in technological research

  • 1. Telefónica I+D Trends analysis in technological research Javier Carbonell Pérez June 22, 2011 Telefónica I+D Technological Observatory TID email: techobs@tid.es twitter: @telefonicaid
  • 2. Telefónica I+D TID Who are we? Technological observatory role Example of collaboration in trend analysis: Value-it Trend studies examples: Trends 2011-2014 Tendencias 2020 Digital Spain 1 2 43
  • 4. Telefónica I+D Structure of Telefonica Digital Telefonica Digital Chairman & CEO Product Development & Innovation “To connect, develop and deliver the best digital products to maximise the benefit to Telefonica” Strategy & Business Development Chief Commercial Officer Business & Legal Affairs Finance Human Resources External & Public Affairs 3 Digital Services
  • 5. Telefónica I+D Telefónica I+D A multidisciplinary and international staff 97% university graduates, 10% PhDs, from 34 international universities with 10+ years of average industry experience. Highly qualified Telefónica I+D has a staff of researchers, technologists, developers and designers, from 18 nationalities. A network of innovation centres: • 5 centres in Spain: Madrid, Barcelona, Valladolid , Granada and Huesca • A center in Brazil (Sao Paulo) jointly with the local operator (Telefonica Brasil) • A center in UK formed by TID - O2 UK - Jajah An International company
  • 6. Telefónica I+D © 2010 Telefónica I+D S.A.U / Slide 5 Mobile Broadband Security IT Evolution Ultra Broadband Network Platforms Services Cloud Computing M2M Service Layer Arch. User Modelling Video Services eHealth Future Comms. Telefónica I+D innovation areas
  • 7. Telefónica I+D Using Open Innovation framework 6 V1.0 V.2.0+ Insight and foresight Scientific Research Idea generation and concept trial P/S development Conceptualization Applied Research Update & maintenance Technology Make or Buy Go /no Go SCIENTIFIC GROUPS PATENT OFFICE USER EXPERIENCE LAB • Trendspotting • Customer insight • Living Labs PROCESS IMPROVEMENT • Internal idea marketplaceTECHNOLOGY OBSERVATORY PROCESS IMPROVEMENT • agile development
  • 8. Telefónica I+D Scientific groups and technology observatory identify emerging technologies that can provide a competitive advantage 7 TECHNOLOGY OBSERVATORYSCIENTIFIC GROUPS Anticipate new business opportunities and potential risks, provide technical evaluation to take strategic decisions and create competitive advantages based on technological innovation The observatory is based on a technological network of internal and external observers working for Telefónica I + D These groups follow an open research model in collaboration with universities and other research centres, and disseminate the results of their work through publications and technical transfer. Internet Multimedia Data Mining and User Modeling
  • 10. Telefónica I+D TI+D TechObs Innovation cycle and TechObs 9 Identify knowledge sources Collect technology opportunities Evaluate ideas Define innovation plan and detailed projects proposals Manage innovation projects Analysis of the results obtained Transfer technology Monitoring of returns (18-36m) Define technology map Selection of best business opportunities Innovation focus approval Selection of best ideas ideas for new product/services innovation project results Evaluation of best ideas PROJECTS IDEAS
  • 11. Telefónica I+D TechObs is based on three distinctive assets to help both Telefónica I+D and Telefónica Group 10  Integrated in the area of technology strategy.  A small head office of size coordinating resources Definition  Worldwide network of scouts (Japan, China, India, South Africa, South Korea, Brazil , Europe & USA) Assets  Worldwide scouting of services and technologies  Scouting for VC corporate initiative Results  Tools for automatic monitoring  Patents/publications analysis  Automatic trend discovering in “top analysts” reports  A network of TID experts organized around T3 – TID Think Tanks  TID Technology Map  TID technology future vision MIT-ILP Telefónica Spain Telefónica I+D 5 Headoffice Telefónica I+D Scoutsin LATAM TPD (Brasil) Scoutsin Europe O2 UK O2 Germany O2 Czech 1 2 3 4 Scoutsin Asia China Japan India 1 2 3 4 5 7 Scoutsin California(SV) 7 5 5 6 Scoutsin Africa South Africa 6
  • 12. Telefónica I+D For fulfilling this commitment, we are monitoring a broad number of sources of information 11 Exploratory developmen t Piloting Support / Maintenanc e Product Developmen t Applied Research Basic Research Research Development / Advisory TID •University research •Patents & publications •Startups (Sillicon Valley) •Medium / long term events •TID experts participating in standarisation, EU projects, … •Patents & publications •Early deployments worldwide (network of scouts) •Events
  • 13. Telefónica I+D Most of the activity is proactive 12 Worldwide network of scouts Automatic monitoring T3 TID Think Tanks Continuous process of observation: • daily activity is reported to every TID employee • intermediate results are distributed across whole TEF Technology map Internal micro- blogging (Yammer) Event reports Patent reports Area report DAILY ACTIVITY INTERMEDIATE RESULTS Internal blog Input Process Output TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS (yearly) POSITION PAPERS (linked to strategy definiton) TECHNOLOGY ALERTS (continuous process) AD HOC REPORT (on demand)
  • 15. Telefónica I+D 14 Trends (2011-2014): Map of trends
  • 16. Telefónica I+D Trends (2011-2014): Evolution of trends 15
  • 17. Telefónica I+D 16 Trends 2011-2014: Individual trend analysis
  • 19. Telefónica I+D 18 Trends (2020): Social perspective
  • 20. Telefónica I+D 19 Trends (2020): Technological perspective
  • 21. Telefónica I+D 20 Digital Spain Digital impulse Digital Reality Digital perspective Sectorial studies The Information society in Spain Speficic monographic about trends 150 pág80 pg / monographic Digital Spain: Information society in Spain ,analysis and dissemination initiative
  • 22. Telefónica I+D 21 Digital Spain: 10 keys about Information Society in Spain The information society through the most representative indicators Digital life by Telefónica The information society in Spanish regions http://e-libros.fundacion.telefonica.com/sie10/aplicacion_sie.html
  • 23. Telefónica I+D 22 Digital Spain: specific monographics Execution of a preliminary version considering both market and technology point of view Debate with experts in different knowledge areas : psychologist, sociologist, engineers … Results integration
  • 24. Telefónica I+D Example of collaborati on in trend analysis: Value-it
  • 25. Telefónica I+D To accomplish ambitious goals the collaboration is required 24 Tim Keppens
  • 26. Telefónica I+D One example: Analysis of semantic technologies in the enterprise scope 25 Inmark (Spain): Marketing specialist Project coordination and market studies DFKI (Germany): Artificial intelligence specialist Semantic technologies state of the art OVUM (UK): IT consulting Study of semantic technolgies in the market ISOCO (Spain): Semantic solutions provider Demand forecast for semantic technologies TID (Spain): Telecomm research and development Roadmap, dissemination 7 Framework programme (UE): Public organism to promote R&D Project orientation, review Partner Role Supply a vision of the semantic technologies potential in the enterprise world Foster the interest among stakeholders implied in its development Set up bridges between suppliers and possible user companies
  • 27. Telefónica I+D Holistic vision is required: offer and demand… 26  Research of semantic technologies situation at present  Main research areas  Commercialization trends  Research centers and suppliers database Offer point of view  Personalized interviews with experts  CATI, with 625 enterviews  Vertical Industry solutions  Opportunities and threats Demand point of view
  • 28. Telefónica I+D  Estudio de las tecnologías semánticas actuales  Principales líneas de investigación  Modelos de comercialización  Catálogo de centros de investigación y empresas proveedoras Punto de vista OFERTA  Entrevistas personalizadas con expertos  CATI, con 625 entrevistas  Análisis sectorial de soluciones  Identificación de oportunidades y amenazas Punto de vista DEMANDA ... and mainly how to bridge these two worlds 27  Rising opportunities  Creating a roadmap  Market forecasts according to verticals
  • 29. Telefónica I+D The dissemination of results in all the forums related to semantic technologies is fundamental to enhance a COMMUNITY 28 In the traditional media In 2.0 media
  • 30. Telefónica I+D 29 Doubts, questions, comments…