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Norden The Green Valley of Europe:
         Global Trends For Electric Vehicles




Presentation to Nordic Council Programme on Energy Transport Programme, Iceland,
                                  August 29, 2011
          Jørn Bang Andersen, Senior Advisor Innovation
           Nordic Innovation: www.nordicinnovation.org
                  j.andersen@nordicinnovation.org                               2
                                                                © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Why the’Green Valley of Europe’?

        To Make Norden

  • A Leading Test Bed for Green
    Transport and Green Energy

 • Attractive to Green Investments
                                              3
                              © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
4
© Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Megatrends for Vehicle Electrification
- Reduce Local Pollution

- Oil Prices and Shortage

- Global Climate

- Technology Advancements

- Smart Grid


                                                 5
                                 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Public Vehicles In Use Five Times
    More Than Private Ones
                                           6
                           © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
7
© Jørn B. Andersen 2011
8
© Jørn B. Andersen 2011   © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Global Policies For
Electric Transport




                                      9
                      © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Economics and Environment Drivers For Electric
Vehicles Market
100
 90
 80
 70
 60                                                                                                                      Global All
 50                                                                                                                      USA
                                                                                                                         EU
 40
                                                                                                                         Japan
 30
                                                                                                                         China
 20
 10
   0
                            Environment    Government incentives
              Fuel savings Environmental impact
                                            Government incentives

Source: http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Newsroom/News-releases/Global-demand-for-electric-cars-could-outweigh-near-term-supply        10
U.S. Government Electric Vehicle Policy (2010)

                                                                      Incentives                                Financial     Non-
                                                                                                                            financial
Manufacturing                              •     $ 25 billion for an Advanced Manufacturing
                                                 Vehicle incentive program to technology that
R&D Investment                                   achieves 25% higher fuel economy
                                                                                                                  X

                                           •     $ 2.4 billion in grants for electric vehicle
                                                 development in 2009
                                           •     $400 million for demonstration projects and
                                                 evaluation of plug-in hybrid and electric
Infrastructure                                   infrastructure
Investment                                                                                                        X
                                           •      $54 million for tax credits on alternative
                                                 refueling property, including charging

                                           •      $100 million grant for 5-City “EV Project”
                                                 infrastructure deployment

                                           •     $7,500 consumer tax credits for new purchase
                                                 of PHEV/EV
Vehicle Purchase
                                           •     Additional state level purchase incentives up to                 X
                                                 $5,000 for PHEV/EV

                                           •     Many states provide HOV lane access,
                                                 designated parking space programs                                             X
                                                                                                                               11
Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,
China Government Electric Vehicle Policy 2011

                                                        Incentives                   Financial             Non-
                                                                                                         financial
Manufacturing                        •    China is committed to spending $15
                                          billion on building and selling electric     X
R&D Investment
                                          cars from 2011-2016


                                     •    Hangzhou plans to have 23,000 EVs on
                                          its streets by the end of 2012, and
Infrastructure
                                          3,500 charging poles                         X
Investment
                                     •    Authorities are building infrastructure
                                          and trialing EV taxis and buses


                                     •    China offers $9,000 in subsidies
                                          toward full electric cars in EV trial
Vehicle Purchase
                                          cities of Shanghai, Changchun,               X
                                          Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Hefei and
                                          Beijing.



                                                                                                                12
Source: http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/epaper/2011-05/19/content_12539963.htm                      © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
European Electric Vehicle Policies 2011
                                       Incentives                         Financial     Non-
                                                                                      financial
Manufacturing      •   £350 million for research and demonstration
                       projects
R&D Investment                                                                X
                   •   Germany + 1 billion Euros for R&D in Electric
                       Vehicles in 2013

                   •   UK £25,000 charging points in London

Infrastructure     •   France to invest 1.5 billion Euros in
Investment             infrastructure for Electric Vehicles                   X


                   •   Private electric vehicles are exempt from annual
                       circulation tax in the( UK)
Vehicle Purchase
                   •   Company electric cars are exempt for the
                       company car tax for first five years after
                       purchase (UK)                                          X
                   •   Starting from 2011, purchasers of electric and
                       PHEVs will receive a discount of 25% of vehicle
                       list price with a cap of £ 5,000; the
                   •   government has set aside £230 million for the
                       incentive
                                                                                        X
                                                                                         13
                   •   Electric vehicles are exempt from congestion
Asia                                                     Europe                                   North America

Coordinated City Pilots                                    Independent City Pilots                              Coordinated City Pilots
- China 20 city pilots                                     - London                                             - EV project: Tennesse,
  program & national EV                                    - Paris                                                Arizona, California,
  program                                                  - Berlin                                               Oregon, Washington
- Japan - Yokohoma                                                                                              - 5-15 EV deployment
                                                                                                                  Communities
Fleets                                                     Fleets                                               Fleets
- Bus/garbage trucks                                       - Passenger cars                                     - Passenger cars
- Taxis                                                    - Delivery fleets                                    - Commercial vehicles
- Private cars

Public/ Depot Charging                                     Public Charging                                      More Emphasis on Home
Infrastructure                                             Infrastructure                                       Charging

- Fast charging                                            - Street/garage                                      - Home/appartment
- Bus/Fast Swap Stations                                   - Train stations                                       garage
- Public charge points                                     - Stores/shopping centers                            - Some public charging


                                                                                                                                         14
Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,
Consideration of Use?

                           High


                                                          Bohrs Quadrant                 Pasteur’s Quadrant


 Quest for
 Fundamental
                                                                                   Nordic
 Understanding?                                                                    Electric
                                                                                 Transport?

                                                          Common Man’s                   Edison’s Quadrant
                                                            Quadrant

                             Low


                                                  Low                                               High

                                                                                                              15
Donald E. Stokes: Pasteur's Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation, 1997
What Avenues Open For Nordic Electric Transport?




                                                       16
                                        © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
Thank You


            www.jornbangandersen.com

                                                      17
                                       © Jørn B. Andersen 2011

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Electric Vehicle Transport - Global Trends

  • 1. Norden The Green Valley of Europe: Global Trends For Electric Vehicles Presentation to Nordic Council Programme on Energy Transport Programme, Iceland, August 29, 2011 Jørn Bang Andersen, Senior Advisor Innovation Nordic Innovation: www.nordicinnovation.org j.andersen@nordicinnovation.org 2 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 2. Why the’Green Valley of Europe’? To Make Norden • A Leading Test Bed for Green Transport and Green Energy • Attractive to Green Investments 3 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 3. 4 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 4. Megatrends for Vehicle Electrification - Reduce Local Pollution - Oil Prices and Shortage - Global Climate - Technology Advancements - Smart Grid 5 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 5. Public Vehicles In Use Five Times More Than Private Ones 6 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 6. 7 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 7. 8 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 8. Global Policies For Electric Transport 9 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 9. Economics and Environment Drivers For Electric Vehicles Market 100 90 80 70 60 Global All 50 USA EU 40 Japan 30 China 20 10 0 Environment Government incentives Fuel savings Environmental impact Government incentives Source: http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Newsroom/News-releases/Global-demand-for-electric-cars-could-outweigh-near-term-supply 10
  • 10. U.S. Government Electric Vehicle Policy (2010) Incentives Financial Non- financial Manufacturing • $ 25 billion for an Advanced Manufacturing Vehicle incentive program to technology that R&D Investment achieves 25% higher fuel economy X • $ 2.4 billion in grants for electric vehicle development in 2009 • $400 million for demonstration projects and evaluation of plug-in hybrid and electric Infrastructure infrastructure Investment X • $54 million for tax credits on alternative refueling property, including charging • $100 million grant for 5-City “EV Project” infrastructure deployment • $7,500 consumer tax credits for new purchase of PHEV/EV Vehicle Purchase • Additional state level purchase incentives up to X $5,000 for PHEV/EV • Many states provide HOV lane access, designated parking space programs X 11 Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,
  • 11. China Government Electric Vehicle Policy 2011 Incentives Financial Non- financial Manufacturing • China is committed to spending $15 billion on building and selling electric X R&D Investment cars from 2011-2016 • Hangzhou plans to have 23,000 EVs on its streets by the end of 2012, and Infrastructure 3,500 charging poles X Investment • Authorities are building infrastructure and trialing EV taxis and buses • China offers $9,000 in subsidies toward full electric cars in EV trial Vehicle Purchase cities of Shanghai, Changchun, X Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Hefei and Beijing. 12 Source: http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/epaper/2011-05/19/content_12539963.htm © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 12. European Electric Vehicle Policies 2011 Incentives Financial Non- financial Manufacturing • £350 million for research and demonstration projects R&D Investment X • Germany + 1 billion Euros for R&D in Electric Vehicles in 2013 • UK £25,000 charging points in London Infrastructure • France to invest 1.5 billion Euros in Investment infrastructure for Electric Vehicles X • Private electric vehicles are exempt from annual circulation tax in the( UK) Vehicle Purchase • Company electric cars are exempt for the company car tax for first five years after purchase (UK) X • Starting from 2011, purchasers of electric and PHEVs will receive a discount of 25% of vehicle list price with a cap of £ 5,000; the • government has set aside £230 million for the incentive X 13 • Electric vehicles are exempt from congestion
  • 13. Asia Europe North America Coordinated City Pilots Independent City Pilots Coordinated City Pilots - China 20 city pilots - London - EV project: Tennesse, program & national EV - Paris Arizona, California, program - Berlin Oregon, Washington - Japan - Yokohoma - 5-15 EV deployment Communities Fleets Fleets Fleets - Bus/garbage trucks - Passenger cars - Passenger cars - Taxis - Delivery fleets - Commercial vehicles - Private cars Public/ Depot Charging Public Charging More Emphasis on Home Infrastructure Infrastructure Charging - Fast charging - Street/garage - Home/appartment - Bus/Fast Swap Stations - Train stations garage - Public charge points - Stores/shopping centers - Some public charging 14 Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,
  • 14. Consideration of Use? High Bohrs Quadrant Pasteur’s Quadrant Quest for Fundamental Nordic Understanding? Electric Transport? Common Man’s Edison’s Quadrant Quadrant Low Low High 15 Donald E. Stokes: Pasteur's Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation, 1997
  • 15. What Avenues Open For Nordic Electric Transport? 16 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011
  • 16. Thank You www.jornbangandersen.com 17 © Jørn B. Andersen 2011