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2009 Internet Advertising Revenue Report

Rethinking the Market Opportunity


April 7, 2010


Terence Kawaja
GCA Savvian Advisors
Interactive Advertising is on a Long Term Growth Path…



             $40

             $35

             $30

                                                                                 GR = 12%
             $25                                                          CA                                            $23.4   $22.7
$ Billions




                                                                                                                $21.2
             $20
                                                                                                        $16.9
             $15                                                                               $12.5
                                                                               $9.6
             $10   $8.1       $7.1                             $7.3
                                              $6.0
             $5

             $0
                   2000        2001            2002             2003            2004             2005    2006    2007   2008     2009




                                                                     Online Ad Spend ($Bn)

                          Notes:
                          Source: IAB / PricewaterhouseCoopers internet advertising revenue reports.
…But Has Much More Upside Potential


                              Media Consumption vs. Ad Spend, 2009


             TV

Newspapers

       Radio

 Magazines

      Online


                  0%                   10%                   20%                   30%                   40%                     50%
   % ad spending by media                                         % of time households spend by media




    Notes:
    Source: Wall Street research, 2010.
    (1) As a percentage of ad spending on the media channels indicated above only: TV, Newspaper, Radio, Magazines and Online.
The Crowded Display Ad Tech Landscape
    Agencies     Media Buying                        Ad              Ad Networks                      Sharing Data /
                                      DSPs
                  Platforms                       Exchanges                                            Social Tools
                                                                      Horizontal

                  Trading Desk


A                                                                                                                      P
D                                                                                                                      U   A
                                                                   Video / Rich Media                    Yield
V                                                                                                     Optimization
                                                                                                                       B   U
E                                                                                                                      L   D
R                                                                       Vertical                                       I   I
T                                                                                                                          E
                                                                                                                       S   N
I                                                                      Targeted                         Publisher      H   C
S                 Creative           Data
                                 Optimization
                                                     Data
                                                  Exchanges /
                                                                                                         Tools
                                                                                                                       E   E
                 Optimization                     Aggregators
E                                                                                                                      R
                                                                      Performance
R                                                                                                                      S
S
    Ad Servers                                                                                          Ad Servers


                  Analytics      Verification /   Data Suppliers        Mobile
                                  Attribution




                                                                            Ad Ops / Infrastructure
Deals are Back and Consolidation is Coming


   Recent
Digital Media
Acquisitions:                                                     Global Tech Transactions $10MM - $1.0Bn (1)

                                                                                         54
                                Transaction Volume ($Bn)
                                                           $16   50                                                                                                                         60




                                                                                                                                                                                                    Number of Transactions
                                                                          49
                                                                                                                                                                              45            50
                                                           $12
                                                                                                                                                             34                             40
                                                                                                          30                                30
                                                           $8    $10                    $10                                                                                                 30
                                                                          $9                                               20
                                                                                                                                                                              $8
                                                                                                                                                             $7                             20
                                                           $4
                                                                                                          $4                                $4                                              10
                                                                                                                           $3
                                                           $0                                                                                                                               0
                                                                 Q1       Q2             Q3               Q4               Q1               Q2               Q3               Q4
                                                                               2008                                                                2009


                                                                       Transaction Volume ($Bn)                                       Number of Transactions




                Notes:
                (1) Source: FactSet as of 2/28/10; Includes global announced acquisitions in the specified range of transaction sizes; excludes minority investments, JVs etc.; includes all transactions
                with target in Electronic Technology, Technology Services, and Communications sectors as defined by FactSet.
Convergence in the Purchase Funnel



       Purchase Funnel      Metric   Example Companies


        Impression          CPM

          Search            CPC

           Lead              CPL
Data
         Customer            CPA

            Sale          Transaction
Going After the Elephant in the Room: TV


US Video & Display Advertising, 2009 ($MM)
                                                                            • Online video is currently a
                      $0.5                                                    fraction of total TV and
              $6.7
                                                                              online spending

                                                                            • The holy grail is achieved
                                                                              when digital video is part of
                                                                              the television budget

                                                                            • Much of the media
                           $73.2                                              optimization techniques
                                                                              honed in online can be
                                                                              applied to TV audiences
              Television
              Display & In-Page Video
              In-Stream Video
                                                                            • Shift in agency dynamic and
                                                                              marketer mindset is key


                Notes:
                Source: VSS Communications, August 2009; eMarketer, December 2009.
Achieving the Holy Grail: Solving for Attribution

TELEVISION    Several links in the attribution chain are missing:
                – Online to online (the last click phenomenon)
                – Online to offline
                – Offline to online


              Technology is improving data collection and analysis
 DIGITAL      which will allow for the discovery of “digital footprints”

              Once attribution is achieved, there is no reason all media
              cannot be optimized

              Already, several interesting technologies have been
 RETAIL       deployed:
                – TV set top box measurement
                – Mobile location-based services
Rethinking the Market Opportunity

 Forecasts show the interactive channel growing to $50+
 billion in 5 years
   –   Represents an linear, evolutionary approach
   –   The challenge is to think revolution, not evolution
   –   How does interactive get to a $100 billion marketplace?
   –   Think new definition for “interactive” to go beyond online
        • Digitally-addressable video (aka TV)
        • Offline commerce enablement
        • Mobile


 Several reasons for a revolution
   –   Innovation (eg. media optimization, real time phenomenon)
   –   Simplification (less point solutions)
   –   Consolidation (entry of larger players)
   –   Attribution (eg. TV, offline retail)
Putting $100 Billion in Perspective




     Healthcare reform for one year



      War in Iraq and Afghanistan for a year



     Cost of recent bank failures to the FDIC



     A controlling stake in Google (at market)
GCA Savvian’s Digital Media Advisory Business


Terence Kawaja
Managing Director
+1 212.999.7082
tkawaja@gcasavvian.com


John Lambros
Managing Director
+1 212.999.7083
jlambros@gcasavvian.com


Steven Fletcher              TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • CHICAGO • NEW YORK • LONDON
Managing Director
+1 415.318.3661
sfletcher@gcasavvian.com

                            Leading investment banking firm with over 200
                            professionals worldwide
                            Services include advice on mergers and acquisitions,
                            private capital finance and restructurings
                            Advised on over $60 billion in transactions since 2006
                            Advisor to media companies new and old

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Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

  • 1. 2009 Internet Advertising Revenue Report Rethinking the Market Opportunity April 7, 2010 Terence Kawaja GCA Savvian Advisors
  • 2. Interactive Advertising is on a Long Term Growth Path… $40 $35 $30 GR = 12% $25 CA $23.4 $22.7 $ Billions $21.2 $20 $16.9 $15 $12.5 $9.6 $10 $8.1 $7.1 $7.3 $6.0 $5 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Online Ad Spend ($Bn) Notes: Source: IAB / PricewaterhouseCoopers internet advertising revenue reports.
  • 3. …But Has Much More Upside Potential Media Consumption vs. Ad Spend, 2009 TV Newspapers Radio Magazines Online 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% % ad spending by media % of time households spend by media Notes: Source: Wall Street research, 2010. (1) As a percentage of ad spending on the media channels indicated above only: TV, Newspaper, Radio, Magazines and Online.
  • 4. The Crowded Display Ad Tech Landscape Agencies Media Buying Ad Ad Networks Sharing Data / DSPs Platforms Exchanges Social Tools Horizontal Trading Desk A P D U A Video / Rich Media Yield V Optimization B U E L D R Vertical I I T E S N I Targeted Publisher H C S Creative Data Optimization Data Exchanges / Tools E E Optimization Aggregators E R Performance R S S Ad Servers Ad Servers Analytics Verification / Data Suppliers Mobile Attribution Ad Ops / Infrastructure
  • 5. Deals are Back and Consolidation is Coming Recent Digital Media Acquisitions: Global Tech Transactions $10MM - $1.0Bn (1) 54 Transaction Volume ($Bn) $16 50 60 Number of Transactions 49 45 50 $12 34 40 30 30 $8 $10 $10 30 $9 20 $8 $7 20 $4 $4 $4 10 $3 $0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 Transaction Volume ($Bn) Number of Transactions Notes: (1) Source: FactSet as of 2/28/10; Includes global announced acquisitions in the specified range of transaction sizes; excludes minority investments, JVs etc.; includes all transactions with target in Electronic Technology, Technology Services, and Communications sectors as defined by FactSet.
  • 6. Convergence in the Purchase Funnel Purchase Funnel Metric Example Companies Impression CPM Search CPC Lead CPL Data Customer CPA Sale Transaction
  • 7. Going After the Elephant in the Room: TV US Video & Display Advertising, 2009 ($MM) • Online video is currently a $0.5 fraction of total TV and $6.7 online spending • The holy grail is achieved when digital video is part of the television budget • Much of the media $73.2 optimization techniques honed in online can be applied to TV audiences Television Display & In-Page Video In-Stream Video • Shift in agency dynamic and marketer mindset is key Notes: Source: VSS Communications, August 2009; eMarketer, December 2009.
  • 8. Achieving the Holy Grail: Solving for Attribution TELEVISION Several links in the attribution chain are missing: – Online to online (the last click phenomenon) – Online to offline – Offline to online Technology is improving data collection and analysis DIGITAL which will allow for the discovery of “digital footprints” Once attribution is achieved, there is no reason all media cannot be optimized Already, several interesting technologies have been RETAIL deployed: – TV set top box measurement – Mobile location-based services
  • 9. Rethinking the Market Opportunity Forecasts show the interactive channel growing to $50+ billion in 5 years – Represents an linear, evolutionary approach – The challenge is to think revolution, not evolution – How does interactive get to a $100 billion marketplace? – Think new definition for “interactive” to go beyond online • Digitally-addressable video (aka TV) • Offline commerce enablement • Mobile Several reasons for a revolution – Innovation (eg. media optimization, real time phenomenon) – Simplification (less point solutions) – Consolidation (entry of larger players) – Attribution (eg. TV, offline retail)
  • 10. Putting $100 Billion in Perspective Healthcare reform for one year War in Iraq and Afghanistan for a year Cost of recent bank failures to the FDIC A controlling stake in Google (at market)
  • 11. GCA Savvian’s Digital Media Advisory Business Terence Kawaja Managing Director +1 212.999.7082 tkawaja@gcasavvian.com John Lambros Managing Director +1 212.999.7083 jlambros@gcasavvian.com Steven Fletcher TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • CHICAGO • NEW YORK • LONDON Managing Director +1 415.318.3661 sfletcher@gcasavvian.com Leading investment banking firm with over 200 professionals worldwide Services include advice on mergers and acquisitions, private capital finance and restructurings Advised on over $60 billion in transactions since 2006 Advisor to media companies new and old