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Improving SEM Results through
Multi-Channel Conversion Attribution
November 2012



Sponsored by




    Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |
Webinar information                                                                                  Webinar Information




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                                               Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   2
[Daniel Morgan]
                                                  Head of Search
                                                  Accor


Presenters                                        [Ariel Rosenstein]
                                                  Director of Marketing
                                                  Research
                                                  Kenshoo


                                                  [Yossi Synett]
                                                  Research Analytics
                                                  Team Lead
                                                  Kenshoo




             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   3
Importance of Multi-Channel
                      Approach
                      History of Attribution

Agenda                Reinvestment = Attribution
                      Types of Attribution Models
                      Viewing Data Via Different
                      Models
                      Accor Case Study
                      Choosing the Right Model




         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   4
About Kenshoo

✔Controlled Automation   ✔Algorithmic Optimization   ✔Holistic Attribution                ✔Infrastructure Integration
                                                            ✔




                                                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   5
Kenshoo.com/ForresterWave
      Forrester Wave™: Bid Management Software Providers, Q4 '12




                                                                The Forrester Wave is copyrighted by Forrester
                                                                Research, Inc. Forrester and Forrester Wave are
                                                                trademarks of Forrester Research, Inc. The Forrester
                                                                Wave is a graphical representation of Forrester's call
                                                                on a market and is plotted using a detailed
                                                                spreadsheet with exposed scores, weightings, and
                                                                comments. Forrester does not endorse any vendor,
                                                                product, or service depicted in the Forrester Wave.
                                                                Information is based on best available resources.
                                                                Opinions reflect judgment at the time and are subject
                                                                to change.




                                           Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 6
Importance of
Multi-Channel Approach




                          Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   7
More important now, more than ever


                               1996                                          2011
        20 millions U.S. internet users             245 millions U.S. internet users
         Average usage: 30 minutes/month            Average usage: 27 hours/month

                                                    Top rated TV show
        Top rated TV show
                                                     Sunday Night Football
         ER
                                                     10.7% of household per average
         35% of household per average week
                                                      week

                                                   92% of surfers use a search engine

                                                    Average Facebook user
                                                     15.5 hours/month on site


                                                    Video game usage matures
                                                     Average gamer is 32 years old
                                                     2 out of 5 gamers are female



Source: OnlineUniversity.net                  Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   8
Increased mobile activity
but results differ by device

                Kenshoo Aggregate U.S. Client Metrics Q3 2012




                  COMPUTER               PHONE                                          TABLET




  CLICKS           79%                  11%                                             10%
  AD SPEND         87%                   6%                                               7%
  CPC             $0.48                $0.23                                           $0.31
  CONVERSIONS    91.72%                .061%                                         8.67%

                                        Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   9
Search engines performance varies

                                                  QUARTERLY U.S. SEARCH ENGINE
                                                  AVERAGE CLICK-THROUGH RATES

       1.80%
                                                                                                                                               1.61%
                                                                                                                    1.56%
       1.60%                                                              1.49%            1.49%

       1.40%
                                                                                                                                   1.25%
                                                     1.18%
       1.20%                   1.09%        1.08%                 1.10%
                     1.03%                                                                                1.01%
       1.00%                                                                      0.89%

       0.80%

       0.60%

       0.40%

       0.20%

       0.00%
                        Q2 2011                Q3 2011               Q4 2011       Q1 2012                   Q2 2012                     Q3 2012

                                                           Google         Yahoo Bing Network




Source: Kenshoo Global Search Advertising Trends, © 2012, Kenshoo, Inc.            Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |    10
Search engines’ performance varies

                                          QUARTERLY U.S. SEARCH ADVERTISING
                                         RETURN ON AD SPEND BY SEARCH ENGINE

                1.27                                                            1.30                      1.29
                                                                 1.24                                                                  1.23
                                        1.20


                                        1.14
                                                                                1.04                      1.05
                1.00                                             0.99                                                                  0.96




             Q2 2011                 Q3 2011                 Q4 2011          Q1 2012                  Q2 2012                    Q3 2012

                                                           Google         Yahoo Bing Network




Source: Kenshoo Global Search Advertising Trends, © 2012, Kenshoo, Inc.          Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   11
Facebook makes customers reachable
 at all times of day

                                      CONVERSIONS BY TIME OF DAY (FACEBOOK)



  8.0%

  7.0%

  6.0%

  5.0%

  4.0%

  3.0%

  2.0%

  1.0%

  0.0%




Source: Kenshoo Social DSP partners                       Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   12
History of
Conversion Attribution




                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   13
The early days of PPC



                                                                               a       company




                                                                                   2003 Yahoo!
                                                                                   buys Overture




                                                2002 AdWords
                                                goes to PPC Model




                        Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   14
The assumption: One Conversion = One Click




                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   15
Discovering the need for conversion attribution



                              Blue T-Shirt                Red T-Shirt
              Green T-Shirt                                 XL Size
               Great Prices   Great Prices
                              T-shirt.com                  Available
               T-shirt.com                                T-shirt.com

              Keyword 1       Keyword 2                 Keyword 3




    Last-Click Attribution Model:
    • Solves conversion duplication issue
    • Assumes last click is most important


                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   16
Reinvestment =
Conversion Attribution




                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   17
Reinvestment based on data


                     Forecasting & Scenarios

               Bid      Algorithm Configuration
              Mgmt        Algorithm Selection

                            Geographies

            Targeting         Devices
              Mgmt               Sites and Content

                                   Campaign Structure

            Campaign                 Ad Copy & Testing
           Management                    Keyword Selection

                                              Attribution Model

        Data Management &                         Mutli-Channel Data Connections
            Integration                                Mutli-Source Data Reconciliation


                                     Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   18
GroovyTravel.com investment strategy
(with Last-Click attribution)




                                                                                                  £1,500.00
  cheap flights to Mexico   GroovyTravel.com




                                                                                        £800.00
                                           Revenue
          Investment                        £1000
             £600
                                                                                       Total ROAS =
                                                                                            1.88


          Revenue
           £500


                                          Investment
                                             £200




      ROAS = 0.83                    ROAS = 5

                            Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   19
GroovyTravel.com investment strategy
(with Last-Click attribution)



  cheap flights to Mexico   GroovyTravel.com




                                                                                                  £980.00
                                                                                        £600.00
                                           Revenue
                                            £800
          Investment
             £200                                                                      Total ROAS =
                                           Intended                                         1.63
                                          Investment
                                             £600

          Revenue
           £180
                                            Actual
                                          Investment
                                             £400




       ROAS = 0.9                    ROAS = 2

                            Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   20
GroovyTravel.com path to conversion

                                           cheap
                     GroovyTrav
                                         flights to    £50
                       el.com
                                          Mexico




                                                                   cheap
                                                                 flights to                    £450
                                                                  Mexico




  cheap
             GroovyTrav
flights to                        £900
               el.com
 Mexico


                                                                                GroovyTrav
                                                                                                                 £100
                                                                                  el.com




                                                      Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   21
GroovyTravel.com investment strategy
(with Distribute-Evenly attribution)




                                                                                                  £1,500.00
  cheap flights to Mexico   GroovyTravel.com




                                                                                        £800.00
           Revenue
            £925
                                           Revenue
                                            £575                                       Total ROAS =
                                                                                            1.88




          Investment
                                          Investment
             £600
                                             £200




      ROAS = 1.54                ROAS = 2.88

                            Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   22
GroovyTravel.com investment strategy
(with Distribute-Evenly attribution)




                                                                                                    £1,800.00
  cheap flights to Mexico   GroovyTravel.com




                                                                                        £1,100.00
                                                                                       Total ROAS =
                                                                                            1.64




       ROAS = 1.38                ROAS = 2.33

                            Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   23
Types of Attribution Models




                              Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   24
Attribution Models: Last-Click


                              Blue T-Shirt                Red T-Shirt
              Green T-Shirt                                 XL Size
               Great Prices   Great Prices
                              T-shirt.com                  Available
               T-shirt.com                                T-shirt.com

              Keyword 1       Keyword 2                 Keyword 3




    Industry Default Model




                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   25
Attribution Models: Linear


                             Blue T-Shirt                 Red T-Shirt
            Green T-Shirt                                   XL Size
             Great Prices    Great Prices
                             T-shirt.com                   Available
             T-shirt.com                                  T-shirt.com

            Keyword 1       Keyword 2                   Keyword 3




5%            10% 25%                                   60%


                            Attribution Models
                                    Linear
                                  U-Shaped
                             Distribute-Evenly
                     Single Click Only (First or Last)



                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   26
Attribution Models: Non-Linear


                             Blue T-Shirt                 Red T-Shirt
            Green T-Shirt                                   XL Size
             Great Prices    Great Prices
                             T-shirt.com                   Available
             T-shirt.com                                  T-shirt.com

            Keyword 1       Keyword 2                   Keyword 3




40%           10% 10%                                   40%


                            Attribution Models
                                    Linear
                                  U-Shaped
                             Distribute-Evenly
                     Single Click Only (First or Last)



                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   27
Attribution Models: Distribute-Evenly


                             Blue T-Shirt                 Red T-Shirt
            Green T-Shirt                                   XL Size
             Great Prices    Great Prices
                             T-shirt.com                   Available
             T-shirt.com                                  T-shirt.com

            Keyword 1       Keyword 2                   Keyword 3




25%           25% 25%                                   25%


                            Attribution Models
                                    Linear
                                  U-Shaped
                             Distribute-Evenly
                     Single Click Only (First or Last)



                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   28
Attribution Models: Single Click Only
(First or Last)


                             Blue T-Shirt                 Red T-Shirt
            Green T-Shirt                                   XL Size
             Great Prices    Great Prices
                             T-shirt.com                   Available
             T-shirt.com                                  T-shirt.com

            Keyword 1       Keyword 2                   Keyword 3




0%              0%          0%                       100%


                            Attribution Models
                                    Linear
                                  U-Shaped
                             Distribute-Evenly
                     Single Click Only (First or Last)



                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   29
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                              Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                              Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


          First      Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
          Only        First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch




      • Last Touch
                              20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                 Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   30
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                               Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                               Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


           First      Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
           Only        First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch




      • Prefer Last

      • Last Touch
                               20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                  Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   31
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                               Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                               Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


           First      Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
           Only        First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch




      • U-Shaped

      • Prefer Last

      • Last Touch
                               20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                  Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   32
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                                Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                                Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


           First       Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
           Only         First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch




      • Distribute Evenly

      • U-Shaped

      • Prefer Last

      • Last Touch
                                20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                   Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   33
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                                Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                                Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


           First       Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
           Only         First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch




      • Prefer First

      • Distribute Evenly

      • U-Shaped

      • Prefer Last

      • Last Touch
                                20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                   Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   34
Last Click Attribution Undervalues
FB Performance

                                Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail
                                Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution


           First       Prefer         Distribute   U-Shaped                 Prefer                  Last
           Only         First          Evenly                                Last                  Touch


      • First Only

      • Prefer First

      • Distribute Evenly

      • U-Shaped

      • Prefer Last

      • Last Touch
                                20%       40%        60%                 80%                 100%



                                                   Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   35
Case Study: Major US Retailer
Interplay between search & social channels

20% of all conversion paths showed ad clicks from more than one channel
(search and social)
• Over 1/3 had brand queries in the path to conversion
• Consumers discover brand on FB and then search for it by name




       Logarithmic Distribution of Keywords in Multi-Channel Conversion Paths




                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   36
Viewing Data via
Different Models




                   Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   37
Considering multiple channels using
Kenshoo Attribution Model Simulator

                                                                      ROI – Display

                                                                                               2.29

• Leading US pet supply cataloger using
  last-click attribution                                                                           2.31

• Brought data from various channels
                                                                                       2.24
  (email, CSE, display) into Kenshoo
                                            Total
• Using Kenshoo Attribution Model
                                                                                                                    2.47
  Simulator, saw best and worst case ROI
  for each channel under different models
                                                                         2.12
• Determined which model was best fit by
  seeing how different channels would                                                       2.27
  benefit or lose from changing models
                                                 1.90         2.00         2.10        2.20          2.30     2.40         2.50

                                                             U Shape            Prefer First         Prefer Last
                                                             First Only         Last Only            Divide Equal




                                             Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |    38
Case Study: Moving away from Last-Click

U.S. national service center chain increases ROI by changing attribution model
following a multi-model attribution analysis


Key Lessons
 Different regions have
  different behaviors
 Last-Click model was
  holding back potential
  new to file customers
 Prefer last model better
  allocated money




                                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   39
82% Increase in Revenues
Year-on-Year using
Kenshoo’s U-shaped Model
(Generic Keywords Jan-Mar 2011 Vs 2012)




    Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |
About Accor




 Present in 92 countries, with more than 3,500 hotels and 440,000
 rooms, Accor’s brands offer hotel stays tailored to the specific needs of
 each business and leisure customer.

                                                                      41
Introduction


  • Accor Group began working with Kenshoo in April 2011

  • Accor run paid search campaigns across all 13 brands in over 80
    countries on the Kenshoo Platform

  • In combination with Kenshoo, Accor use 2 other tracking softwares –
    TARS & Xiti

  • Campaigns are optimised using Kenshoo data but internal reports
    continue to use TARS




                                                              42
The Rest of
        Online
        Media


                Above-
Search
               the-Line
Engines
                Media




                     43
• The user clicks on an Accor
  Search      Paid Search Ad
  Engine


            • They arrive on the
              Accorhotels.com site and
 On-Site      search for a hotel – No
 Search       Reservation



            • They then access the Brand
Reservation   website directly AND Reserve   No Internal Sales
 on Sister                                     Attribution
    site


                                                        44
Accor Turns to Kenshoo for a Solution...



                                                       Partners/Affil;
                                                            5%           Maps; 4%
                                              Other Search
                                             Campaigns, 8%

                                           Cross-site
                                          Conversions
                                          attributed as                                  Direct SEA
                                         "Direct Entry"                                  Sales, 66%
                                        internally, 18%




What we found
• Cross site conversion - SEA is directly affecting the direct access of all Accor’s websites
• Maps , Affiliation, Email -The more we spend on SEA the higher our revenues




                                                                                    45
No more conspiracy theories…




                                       40%            U-Shaped Model - attributes greater value
                                       6.7%           to the first and last clicks in the path with
                                       6.7%           both the starting and the closing keywords
                                       6.7%           getting the same credit regardless of the
                                       40%            length of the conversion path.



What we found:
•   Generic affects brand – 10% of Brand sales started searches on generics
•   Brand affects generic – Surprisingly 20% of brand searches generated generic clicks
•   Brand affects other brand – Multiple Accor Brand Searches e.g. ibis then etap,then accor
•   Generic affects generic – From broad searches to long tail e.g. “hotel paris” TO hotel “paris
    with pool, excepts cats”


                                                                                46
Optimisation becomes easier…



   No need to spend in hope - Accor can optimise campaigns
   by pausing any keywords or campaigns that do not
   contribute to any conversion.
   But the next challenge is to see if those campaigns that
   don’t covert have a positive affect outside the cookie
   period?




                                                              47
Developing an online relationship is key…




     Success still heavily relies upon generating
     awareness, which at the moment Search does not do well!



                                                   48   48
The Results


Accor’s Search Team can justify higher spend on paid search
Comparing the period from 1st January 2011 to 31st March 2011 when Kenshoo
tracking had not been implemented, to the same period in the year 2012:

•   82% increase in revenues
•   Only 36% increase in spend
•   14% increase in revenues across all other channels
•   33% increase from brand terms




                                                                49
How to choose the right model




                                Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   50
Attribution Model Simulation:
Inform your investment decisions



                                                           Track activity across
                                                           multiple channels
                                                           Gain target and
                                                           keyword-level insight
                                                           including contribution
                                                           in the conversion path
                                                           Empower strategic
                                                           decisions for budget
                                                           allocation, bid
                                                           management, and
                                                           keyword selection



                         Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   51
Get insights

• Any single model will only show a single viewpoint, compare different models for the
  most comprehensive view
• Lower costs by pruning ads/keywords that have no touch-points in any conversion
  attribution model
• Expand assisting keywords to find new traffic generators and widen you market reach
• Don’t miss the forest for the trees, apply real world categories and use your own
  business logic to make attribution model decisions




                                              Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   52
Download the full whitepaper




Kenshoo.com/ConversionAttributionWhitepaper




                                      Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   53
The Yahoo! Bing Network is a must-buy

Excerpt from Kenshoo GLOBAL SEARCH
ADVERTISING TRENDS, October 2012 Edition

“…with YBN consistently delivering better ROAS… the
new imperative for marketers is, at the very least, to be
active on YBN, if not make it the first place resources are
allocated and maximized.




                                Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   54
Thank you

webcast@kenshoo.com




   Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |   55

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Improving SEM Results through Multi-Channel Conversion Attribution - Kenshoo Webinar

  • 1. Improving SEM Results through Multi-Channel Conversion Attribution November 2012 Sponsored by Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |
  • 2. Webinar information Webinar Information Audio instructions • Listen via computer speakers or dial into the conference call using numbers in email from gotowebinar@citrixonline.com Still can’t hear audio? Tell us please! Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 2
  • 3. [Daniel Morgan] Head of Search Accor Presenters [Ariel Rosenstein] Director of Marketing Research Kenshoo [Yossi Synett] Research Analytics Team Lead Kenshoo Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 3
  • 4. Importance of Multi-Channel Approach History of Attribution Agenda Reinvestment = Attribution Types of Attribution Models Viewing Data Via Different Models Accor Case Study Choosing the Right Model Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 4
  • 5. About Kenshoo ✔Controlled Automation ✔Algorithmic Optimization ✔Holistic Attribution ✔Infrastructure Integration ✔ Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 5
  • 6. Kenshoo.com/ForresterWave Forrester Wave™: Bid Management Software Providers, Q4 '12 The Forrester Wave is copyrighted by Forrester Research, Inc. Forrester and Forrester Wave are trademarks of Forrester Research, Inc. The Forrester Wave is a graphical representation of Forrester's call on a market and is plotted using a detailed spreadsheet with exposed scores, weightings, and comments. Forrester does not endorse any vendor, product, or service depicted in the Forrester Wave. Information is based on best available resources. Opinions reflect judgment at the time and are subject to change. Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 6
  • 7. Importance of Multi-Channel Approach Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 7
  • 8. More important now, more than ever 1996 2011 20 millions U.S. internet users 245 millions U.S. internet users  Average usage: 30 minutes/month  Average usage: 27 hours/month Top rated TV show Top rated TV show  Sunday Night Football  ER  10.7% of household per average  35% of household per average week week 92% of surfers use a search engine Average Facebook user  15.5 hours/month on site Video game usage matures  Average gamer is 32 years old  2 out of 5 gamers are female Source: OnlineUniversity.net Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 8
  • 9. Increased mobile activity but results differ by device Kenshoo Aggregate U.S. Client Metrics Q3 2012 COMPUTER PHONE TABLET CLICKS 79% 11% 10% AD SPEND 87% 6% 7% CPC $0.48 $0.23 $0.31 CONVERSIONS 91.72% .061% 8.67% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 9
  • 10. Search engines performance varies QUARTERLY U.S. SEARCH ENGINE AVERAGE CLICK-THROUGH RATES 1.80% 1.61% 1.56% 1.60% 1.49% 1.49% 1.40% 1.25% 1.18% 1.20% 1.09% 1.08% 1.10% 1.03% 1.01% 1.00% 0.89% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00% Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Google Yahoo Bing Network Source: Kenshoo Global Search Advertising Trends, © 2012, Kenshoo, Inc. Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 10
  • 11. Search engines’ performance varies QUARTERLY U.S. SEARCH ADVERTISING RETURN ON AD SPEND BY SEARCH ENGINE 1.27 1.30 1.29 1.24 1.23 1.20 1.14 1.04 1.05 1.00 0.99 0.96 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Google Yahoo Bing Network Source: Kenshoo Global Search Advertising Trends, © 2012, Kenshoo, Inc. Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 11
  • 12. Facebook makes customers reachable at all times of day CONVERSIONS BY TIME OF DAY (FACEBOOK) 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Source: Kenshoo Social DSP partners Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 12
  • 13. History of Conversion Attribution Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 13
  • 14. The early days of PPC a company 2003 Yahoo! buys Overture 2002 AdWords goes to PPC Model Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 14
  • 15. The assumption: One Conversion = One Click Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 15
  • 16. Discovering the need for conversion attribution Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 Last-Click Attribution Model: • Solves conversion duplication issue • Assumes last click is most important Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 16
  • 17. Reinvestment = Conversion Attribution Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 17
  • 18. Reinvestment based on data Forecasting & Scenarios Bid Algorithm Configuration Mgmt Algorithm Selection Geographies Targeting Devices Mgmt Sites and Content Campaign Structure Campaign Ad Copy & Testing Management Keyword Selection Attribution Model Data Management & Mutli-Channel Data Connections Integration Mutli-Source Data Reconciliation Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 18
  • 19. GroovyTravel.com investment strategy (with Last-Click attribution) £1,500.00 cheap flights to Mexico GroovyTravel.com £800.00 Revenue Investment £1000 £600 Total ROAS = 1.88 Revenue £500 Investment £200 ROAS = 0.83 ROAS = 5 Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 19
  • 20. GroovyTravel.com investment strategy (with Last-Click attribution) cheap flights to Mexico GroovyTravel.com £980.00 £600.00 Revenue £800 Investment £200 Total ROAS = Intended 1.63 Investment £600 Revenue £180 Actual Investment £400 ROAS = 0.9 ROAS = 2 Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 20
  • 21. GroovyTravel.com path to conversion cheap GroovyTrav flights to £50 el.com Mexico cheap flights to £450 Mexico cheap GroovyTrav flights to £900 el.com Mexico GroovyTrav £100 el.com Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 21
  • 22. GroovyTravel.com investment strategy (with Distribute-Evenly attribution) £1,500.00 cheap flights to Mexico GroovyTravel.com £800.00 Revenue £925 Revenue £575 Total ROAS = 1.88 Investment Investment £600 £200 ROAS = 1.54 ROAS = 2.88 Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 22
  • 23. GroovyTravel.com investment strategy (with Distribute-Evenly attribution) £1,800.00 cheap flights to Mexico GroovyTravel.com £1,100.00 Total ROAS = 1.64 ROAS = 1.38 ROAS = 2.33 Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 23
  • 24. Types of Attribution Models Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 24
  • 25. Attribution Models: Last-Click Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 Industry Default Model Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 25
  • 26. Attribution Models: Linear Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 5% 10% 25% 60% Attribution Models Linear U-Shaped Distribute-Evenly Single Click Only (First or Last) Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 26
  • 27. Attribution Models: Non-Linear Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 40% 10% 10% 40% Attribution Models Linear U-Shaped Distribute-Evenly Single Click Only (First or Last) Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 27
  • 28. Attribution Models: Distribute-Evenly Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 25% 25% 25% 25% Attribution Models Linear U-Shaped Distribute-Evenly Single Click Only (First or Last) Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 28
  • 29. Attribution Models: Single Click Only (First or Last) Blue T-Shirt Red T-Shirt Green T-Shirt XL Size Great Prices Great Prices T-shirt.com Available T-shirt.com T-shirt.com Keyword 1 Keyword 2 Keyword 3 0% 0% 0% 100% Attribution Models Linear U-Shaped Distribute-Evenly Single Click Only (First or Last) Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 29
  • 30. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 30
  • 31. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • Prefer Last • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 31
  • 32. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • U-Shaped • Prefer Last • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 32
  • 33. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • Distribute Evenly • U-Shaped • Prefer Last • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 33
  • 34. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • Prefer First • Distribute Evenly • U-Shaped • Prefer Last • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 34
  • 35. Last Click Attribution Undervalues FB Performance Increase in Facebook ROI for Retail Advertiser Based on Revenue Attribution First Prefer Distribute U-Shaped Prefer Last Only First Evenly Last Touch • First Only • Prefer First • Distribute Evenly • U-Shaped • Prefer Last • Last Touch 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 35
  • 36. Case Study: Major US Retailer Interplay between search & social channels 20% of all conversion paths showed ad clicks from more than one channel (search and social) • Over 1/3 had brand queries in the path to conversion • Consumers discover brand on FB and then search for it by name Logarithmic Distribution of Keywords in Multi-Channel Conversion Paths Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 36
  • 37. Viewing Data via Different Models Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 37
  • 38. Considering multiple channels using Kenshoo Attribution Model Simulator ROI – Display 2.29 • Leading US pet supply cataloger using last-click attribution 2.31 • Brought data from various channels 2.24 (email, CSE, display) into Kenshoo Total • Using Kenshoo Attribution Model 2.47 Simulator, saw best and worst case ROI for each channel under different models 2.12 • Determined which model was best fit by seeing how different channels would 2.27 benefit or lose from changing models 1.90 2.00 2.10 2.20 2.30 2.40 2.50 U Shape Prefer First Prefer Last First Only Last Only Divide Equal Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 38
  • 39. Case Study: Moving away from Last-Click U.S. national service center chain increases ROI by changing attribution model following a multi-model attribution analysis Key Lessons  Different regions have different behaviors  Last-Click model was holding back potential new to file customers  Prefer last model better allocated money Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 39
  • 40. 82% Increase in Revenues Year-on-Year using Kenshoo’s U-shaped Model (Generic Keywords Jan-Mar 2011 Vs 2012) Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information |
  • 41. About Accor Present in 92 countries, with more than 3,500 hotels and 440,000 rooms, Accor’s brands offer hotel stays tailored to the specific needs of each business and leisure customer. 41
  • 42. Introduction • Accor Group began working with Kenshoo in April 2011 • Accor run paid search campaigns across all 13 brands in over 80 countries on the Kenshoo Platform • In combination with Kenshoo, Accor use 2 other tracking softwares – TARS & Xiti • Campaigns are optimised using Kenshoo data but internal reports continue to use TARS 42
  • 43. The Rest of Online Media Above- Search the-Line Engines Media 43
  • 44. • The user clicks on an Accor Search Paid Search Ad Engine • They arrive on the Accorhotels.com site and On-Site search for a hotel – No Search Reservation • They then access the Brand Reservation website directly AND Reserve No Internal Sales on Sister Attribution site 44
  • 45. Accor Turns to Kenshoo for a Solution... Partners/Affil; 5% Maps; 4% Other Search Campaigns, 8% Cross-site Conversions attributed as Direct SEA "Direct Entry" Sales, 66% internally, 18% What we found • Cross site conversion - SEA is directly affecting the direct access of all Accor’s websites • Maps , Affiliation, Email -The more we spend on SEA the higher our revenues 45
  • 46. No more conspiracy theories… 40% U-Shaped Model - attributes greater value 6.7% to the first and last clicks in the path with 6.7% both the starting and the closing keywords 6.7% getting the same credit regardless of the 40% length of the conversion path. What we found: • Generic affects brand – 10% of Brand sales started searches on generics • Brand affects generic – Surprisingly 20% of brand searches generated generic clicks • Brand affects other brand – Multiple Accor Brand Searches e.g. ibis then etap,then accor • Generic affects generic – From broad searches to long tail e.g. “hotel paris” TO hotel “paris with pool, excepts cats” 46
  • 47. Optimisation becomes easier… No need to spend in hope - Accor can optimise campaigns by pausing any keywords or campaigns that do not contribute to any conversion. But the next challenge is to see if those campaigns that don’t covert have a positive affect outside the cookie period? 47
  • 48. Developing an online relationship is key… Success still heavily relies upon generating awareness, which at the moment Search does not do well! 48 48
  • 49. The Results Accor’s Search Team can justify higher spend on paid search Comparing the period from 1st January 2011 to 31st March 2011 when Kenshoo tracking had not been implemented, to the same period in the year 2012: • 82% increase in revenues • Only 36% increase in spend • 14% increase in revenues across all other channels • 33% increase from brand terms 49
  • 50. How to choose the right model Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 50
  • 51. Attribution Model Simulation: Inform your investment decisions Track activity across multiple channels Gain target and keyword-level insight including contribution in the conversion path Empower strategic decisions for budget allocation, bid management, and keyword selection Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 51
  • 52. Get insights • Any single model will only show a single viewpoint, compare different models for the most comprehensive view • Lower costs by pruning ads/keywords that have no touch-points in any conversion attribution model • Expand assisting keywords to find new traffic generators and widen you market reach • Don’t miss the forest for the trees, apply real world categories and use your own business logic to make attribution model decisions Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 52
  • 53. Download the full whitepaper Kenshoo.com/ConversionAttributionWhitepaper Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 53
  • 54. The Yahoo! Bing Network is a must-buy Excerpt from Kenshoo GLOBAL SEARCH ADVERTISING TRENDS, October 2012 Edition “…with YBN consistently delivering better ROAS… the new imperative for marketers is, at the very least, to be active on YBN, if not make it the first place resources are allocated and maximized. Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 54
  • 55. Thank you webcast@kenshoo.com Kenshoo: Proprietary and Confidential Information | 55

Notas del editor

  1. 2 main platformsGoto (later overture) powered most non-google search engines paid ad results until they were acquired by Yahoo in 2003. Google introduces Adwords but uses CPM model for big advertisers. In 2002 adwords shifts to PPC model and becomes widely accessible.Voiceover/NotesGoTo offers advertisers the option of bidding to appear at the top of results in response to specific searches. The bid amount was paid by the advertiser to GoTo every time a searcher clicked on a link to the advertiser’s website. By July 1998, advertisers were paying up to a dollar per click. Drawing inspiration from Goto.com, Google launches AdWords with 350 customers. AdWords allows businesses to place advertisements in boxes next to search results.
  2. Data is the base of the pyramid which holds up the campaignsAll strategic decisions in Paid Search are based on data
  3. Attribution Models Simulation report is a profile-level scheduled report providing a holistic cross-channelview of key performance indicators for the different attribution models supported in KenshooIdentify non-performing keywordsIdentify the role of each keyword in the conversion pathShow performance for the existing 6 attribution modelsDifferentiate between keywords and ad groups driving awareness and those driving intent and conversionsCharts:Attribution Model by ChannelKeyword Data — P2C Contributions & Click ContributionsZero-performing keywords