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MARCH 6, 2015
NYC’s URBAN FUTURE
NYC's Post-Recession Bump
% Job Growth, 2009-2013
5.4%
6.3%
6.4%
9.5%
USA
NYS
NYC Metro
NYC
Sectors Slowing Down
% Job Growth 2003-2013
-0.6%
-6.3%
-14.7%
Finance and Insurance
Legal Services
Publishing Industries (except Internet)
Sectors on the Rise
% Job Growth 2003-2013
19.9%
27.0%
35.2%
41.7%
41.8%
56.2%
84.0%
Health Care & Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Educational Services
Advertising
Motion Picture & Sound Recording
Food Services & Drinking Places
Computer Systems Design
Where are the Jobs?
Job Growth, 2003-2013
15,300
19,300
27,900
50,000
72,100
92,400
102,500
Motion Picture & Sound Recording
Advertising
Computer Systems Design
Educational Services
Retail Trade
Food Services & Drinking Places
Health Care & Social Assistance
Percent Change in Number of VC Deals, 2003-2013
-17.76%
32.37%
157.89%
New England
Silicon Valley
NY Metro
Percentage of All VC Deals in the U.S., 2003 to 2013
5.3%
11.4%
14.8%
10.2%
2003
Q1
2004
Q1
2005
Q1
2006
Q1
2007
Q1
2008
Q1
2009
Q1
2010
Q1
2011
Q1
2012
Q1
2013
Q1
NY Metro Share of U.S. Total New England Share of U.S. Total
Annual Loss/Gain in NYC Manufacturing Jobs
-10
-21.3
-16.1
-12.8
-5.8
-6.9 -7.8
-5.1 -5.4
-14
-5.3
-0.6
0.6 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Average Number of Employees
Per Manufacturing Firm in Brooklyn
16.8
11.5
2q2000 2q2012
Booming Boroughs
% Job Growth, 2003-2013
10.9%
13.0%
13.9%
16.7%
24.5%
Staten Island
Manhattan
Queens
Bronx
Brooklyn
Booming Boroughs: Share of NYC’s Private Sector
Jobs in the 4 Boroughs Outside of Manhattan
32%
35%
38%
40%
1958 1988 2008 2013
New Business Incorporations by Year
1991 – 2011 – New York City
35,218
39,395
41,468
43,142
46,799
48,810
50,877 50,430
53,630 54,574
52,499
58,624
61,478
64,274
66,450 67,078 66,274
63,242
60,502
64,502 65,658
NYC: Net Gain of 38.2k Businesses btwn 2000 & 2013
82.1% of new businesses had fewer than 5 employees
82.1%
5.2% 6.1%
2.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0%
0-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-99 100-499 500+
# of Employees
Share of NYC Businesses, by Size of Firm
63.9%
15.9%
9.5%
3.5%
1.9%
1.1%
2.2%
1.7%
0.3%
66.7%
14.3%
8.9%
3.4%
1.8%
1.1%
2.1%
1.6%
0.3%
0-4
5-9
10-19
20-29
30-39
40-49
50-99
100-499
500+
#ofEmployees
Share of All NYC Firms,
2000
Self-Employment Rates by Nativity,
Manhattan vs. Other Boroughs
Self-Employment Rates by Borough,
Native Born vs. Foreign Born
NYC's Self-Employed Population
188,054
247,025
2000 2012
Annual Growth in NYC Chain Stores
2.50%
0.50%
2.40%
1.80%
4.1%
2013-20142012-20132011-20122010-20112009-2010
The Rise of Chain Stores in NYC
341 335
235 216
82
57
536
462
280
318
181
135
Dunkin Donuts Subway Starbucks Duane Reade T-Mobile 7-Eleven
2008 2014
Johnathan Bowles

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Johnathan Bowles

  • 1. MARCH 6, 2015 NYC’s URBAN FUTURE
  • 2. NYC's Post-Recession Bump % Job Growth, 2009-2013 5.4% 6.3% 6.4% 9.5% USA NYS NYC Metro NYC
  • 3. Sectors Slowing Down % Job Growth 2003-2013 -0.6% -6.3% -14.7% Finance and Insurance Legal Services Publishing Industries (except Internet)
  • 4. Sectors on the Rise % Job Growth 2003-2013 19.9% 27.0% 35.2% 41.7% 41.8% 56.2% 84.0% Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Educational Services Advertising Motion Picture & Sound Recording Food Services & Drinking Places Computer Systems Design
  • 5. Where are the Jobs? Job Growth, 2003-2013 15,300 19,300 27,900 50,000 72,100 92,400 102,500 Motion Picture & Sound Recording Advertising Computer Systems Design Educational Services Retail Trade Food Services & Drinking Places Health Care & Social Assistance
  • 6. Percent Change in Number of VC Deals, 2003-2013 -17.76% 32.37% 157.89% New England Silicon Valley NY Metro
  • 7. Percentage of All VC Deals in the U.S., 2003 to 2013 5.3% 11.4% 14.8% 10.2% 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 NY Metro Share of U.S. Total New England Share of U.S. Total
  • 8. Annual Loss/Gain in NYC Manufacturing Jobs -10 -21.3 -16.1 -12.8 -5.8 -6.9 -7.8 -5.1 -5.4 -14 -5.3 -0.6 0.6 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 9. Average Number of Employees Per Manufacturing Firm in Brooklyn 16.8 11.5 2q2000 2q2012
  • 10. Booming Boroughs % Job Growth, 2003-2013 10.9% 13.0% 13.9% 16.7% 24.5% Staten Island Manhattan Queens Bronx Brooklyn
  • 11. Booming Boroughs: Share of NYC’s Private Sector Jobs in the 4 Boroughs Outside of Manhattan 32% 35% 38% 40% 1958 1988 2008 2013
  • 12. New Business Incorporations by Year 1991 – 2011 – New York City 35,218 39,395 41,468 43,142 46,799 48,810 50,877 50,430 53,630 54,574 52,499 58,624 61,478 64,274 66,450 67,078 66,274 63,242 60,502 64,502 65,658
  • 13. NYC: Net Gain of 38.2k Businesses btwn 2000 & 2013 82.1% of new businesses had fewer than 5 employees 82.1% 5.2% 6.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-99 100-499 500+ # of Employees
  • 14. Share of NYC Businesses, by Size of Firm 63.9% 15.9% 9.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 2.2% 1.7% 0.3% 66.7% 14.3% 8.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-99 100-499 500+ #ofEmployees Share of All NYC Firms, 2000
  • 15. Self-Employment Rates by Nativity, Manhattan vs. Other Boroughs
  • 16. Self-Employment Rates by Borough, Native Born vs. Foreign Born
  • 18.
  • 19. Annual Growth in NYC Chain Stores 2.50% 0.50% 2.40% 1.80% 4.1% 2013-20142012-20132011-20122010-20112009-2010
  • 20. The Rise of Chain Stores in NYC 341 335 235 216 82 57 536 462 280 318 181 135 Dunkin Donuts Subway Starbucks Duane Reade T-Mobile 7-Eleven 2008 2014