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Best practices for reducing speed
The role of speed limits and low-cost physical
changes to the road environment

Rune Elvik, Institute of Transport Economics, Oslo,
Norway (re@toi.no)
Effects of changes in speed limits on the mean speed of traffic

                                                                                                                           15.0
                                                                                                                                                          Dotted straight line = line of
                                                                                                                                                          proportionality = equal
                                                                                                                                                          percentage changes
                                                                                                                           10.0
Change in the mean speed of traffic (km/h) - vertical line




                                                                                                                            5.0


                                                                                                                            0.0
                                                             -40                -30               -20       -10                   0                 10               20                    30

                                                                                                                           -5.0


                                                                                                                          -10.0


                                                                                                                          -15.0
                                                               y = -0.0058x2 + 0.2781x - 0.2343
                                                                          R² = 0.5404
                                                                                                                          -20.0


                                                                                                                          -25.0
                                                                                                         Change in speed limit (km/h) - horizontal line

                                                                                                                                      Page 2
Speed limits are effective
 The speed of traffic almost always changes in the same
  direction as the speed limit (up and up, down and down)
 The changes are not strictly proportional – the speed of
  traffic changes less than the nominal change of speed
  limit
 Reductions of speed limits have larger effects than
  increases of speed limits
 The effects of changes in speed limits can be increased
  by introducing supplementary measures:
     Enforcement (automatic or by police officers)
     Physical measures on the road


                                           Page 3
Low-cost physical measures
 Speed humps
    Cheap, effective and require minimal maintenance
    Need to be placed densely to keep speed down on longer sections
 Raised pedestrian crossings
    Have similar effects as humps, but make crossing the road easier
 Street narrowing – broader sidewalks
    Also make crossing the road easier, but reduces its capacity
 Chicanes – road narrowings in zigzag pattern
    Are less effective than humps if the street has to remain wide
     enough for two cars to be able to pass without one of them having
     to stop and wait for the other


                                           Page 4
Effects of physical measures
                                                               Percentage change in the number of accidents
                                                                                   Best     95% confidence
Accident severity               Types of accidents affected                      estimate      interval
                                                 Speed humps
Injury accidents                All accidents on roads with speed humps            -41         (-57; -34)
                                All accidents on roads nearby roads with speed
Injury accidents                                                                    -7         (-14; -0)
                                humps
                                                Raised junctions
Injury accidents                Accidents at junctions                             +5         (-34; +68)
Property damage only accidents Accidents at junctions                              +13        (-55; +183)
                                     Rumble strips in front of junctions
Injury accidents                Accidents at junctions                             -33         (-40; -25)
Property damage only accidents Accidents at junctions                              -25         (-45; -5)
Unspecified                     Accidents at junctions                             -20         (-25; -5)
                                                 Speed zones
Injury accidents                All accidents                                      -27         (-30; -24)
Property damage only accidents All accidents                                       -16         (-19; -12)




                                                                   Page 5

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Best practices for reducing speed rune elvik

  • 1. Best practices for reducing speed The role of speed limits and low-cost physical changes to the road environment Rune Elvik, Institute of Transport Economics, Oslo, Norway (re@toi.no)
  • 2. Effects of changes in speed limits on the mean speed of traffic 15.0 Dotted straight line = line of proportionality = equal percentage changes 10.0 Change in the mean speed of traffic (km/h) - vertical line 5.0 0.0 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 y = -0.0058x2 + 0.2781x - 0.2343 R² = 0.5404 -20.0 -25.0 Change in speed limit (km/h) - horizontal line Page 2
  • 3. Speed limits are effective  The speed of traffic almost always changes in the same direction as the speed limit (up and up, down and down)  The changes are not strictly proportional – the speed of traffic changes less than the nominal change of speed limit  Reductions of speed limits have larger effects than increases of speed limits  The effects of changes in speed limits can be increased by introducing supplementary measures:  Enforcement (automatic or by police officers)  Physical measures on the road Page 3
  • 4. Low-cost physical measures  Speed humps  Cheap, effective and require minimal maintenance  Need to be placed densely to keep speed down on longer sections  Raised pedestrian crossings  Have similar effects as humps, but make crossing the road easier  Street narrowing – broader sidewalks  Also make crossing the road easier, but reduces its capacity  Chicanes – road narrowings in zigzag pattern  Are less effective than humps if the street has to remain wide enough for two cars to be able to pass without one of them having to stop and wait for the other Page 4
  • 5. Effects of physical measures Percentage change in the number of accidents Best 95% confidence Accident severity Types of accidents affected estimate interval Speed humps Injury accidents All accidents on roads with speed humps -41 (-57; -34) All accidents on roads nearby roads with speed Injury accidents -7 (-14; -0) humps Raised junctions Injury accidents Accidents at junctions +5 (-34; +68) Property damage only accidents Accidents at junctions +13 (-55; +183) Rumble strips in front of junctions Injury accidents Accidents at junctions -33 (-40; -25) Property damage only accidents Accidents at junctions -25 (-45; -5) Unspecified Accidents at junctions -20 (-25; -5) Speed zones Injury accidents All accidents -27 (-30; -24) Property damage only accidents All accidents -16 (-19; -12) Page 5