4. Administrivia Breaks at 345, 515 PM (Kingston time) Slides at slideshare.com (search for MBUS902) and on portal – after class Twitter hashtag #mbus902 Agenda Quick recap Internationalization - process Rationale Attractiveness Mode Course stuff
13. Why go abroad? Globalization rests on the multinational’s ability to exploit know-how and expertise gained in one market elsewhere at lower cost. Michael Porter, Competition in Global Industries: A Conceptual Framework
45. What? Can VC be fragmented? Can fragmented VC be controlled? Cost of re-location? Competitive risks? FSA leverage with new location? Effect on WTP / cost?
46. What Activities? Moderately attractive Most attractive Low Required degree of local adaptation Moderately attractive Least attractive High High Low Expected payoff from going international Source: Gupta and Govindarajan
47. The Value Chain Control – mechanism and cost Capital required Experience in country, nearby
48. Assuming compliance with local rules… …and a cost-benefit calculation… What are the big drivers of mode choice?
49. Mode Escalating commitment Wholly-owned subsidiary Level of Control over Foreign Activities Joint venture Franchising Licensing Export through agent Occasional export Resources Committed to Foreign Market Source: Bartlett and Ghoshal
52. Export Why Low cost means of internationalization Existence of market entry barriers prevents direct investment Low sales potential in host market May be high political risk How Usually, first order is unsolicited (“e” raises likelihood) May be supported by host country sales agent or rep Pros Cost effective, especially for small firms Cons Low returns Vulnerable to host country domestic competitors Relatively little useful learning about host market potential
54. Licensing Why Insufficient capital to enter direct Codifiable IP (a valuable intangible asset) Great geographical distance to host country market Some adaptation required for host country consumption How Through partner who has manufacturing / sales capabilities Royalty and licensing fee negotiated Pros Return on IP (new revenue stream) Cons IP dissipation (create competitor) Governance and monitoring costs reduce profits Relatively little useful learning about host market potential
56. Joint Venture Why May be only way to enter market Attractive locational advantages -- high sales potential, low political risk, culturally proximate, partner with valuable IP How “Parents” A and B form “child” C, a host-country incorporated entity with own assets, management Pros Tremendous opportunity to learn about market potential Greater returns, usually, than export or licensing Cons Cost of expatriate management ($$$ and career path) Shared control IP dissipation, risk of creating powerful competitor Exit venture may mean exiting market
58. WOS – Greenfield Why Unsatisfied demand in host market (growing market) Sufficient knowledge about host market to enter confidently Low political risk Lots of resources Market leader, or strongly advantaged in some key way Ability to customize for host market exists (or isn’t needed) How Transfer money, resources, management to new operation Integrate into global production system Pros Keep all returns Relatively low IP dissipation Possibly, lower risk of retaliation by incumbents Cons New facility is “sunk cost” – changes negotiating power with host country government Cost of expatriates ($$$ and career path) Need to hire host country nationals (employment risk) Need to set up systems to comply with host country laws
60. WOS – Acquisition Why Attractive candidate facility, or can be upgraded at reasonable cost Host country demand slowing or flat Low investment controls Low political risk More favourable cost / benefit than greenfield entry Window of opportunity How M&A with local advisors (legal, accounting, GR) Pros Acquire going concern (lower set-up risk) Existing relationships, systems, employees, revenues Few approvals (usually) beyond acquisition May block competitor from buying target Faster time-to-value Cons Administrative heritage is inertial force that may resist change Cost of expatriates ($$$ and career path) Loss of key host country staff if career path blocked Overpayment “Skeletons in the closet”
63. Assignments 3 and 4 3. 10-15 minute presentation and worked example of decision making tool (class 6) 4: Final version of decision making tool, plus descriptive write up, user instructions
64. What is a decision making tool in our context? Decision Foci Whether to internationalize Part of value chain to internationalize Where How Tool forms Conceptual model (e.g. 5 forces) Questionnaire (e.g. Suutari) Decision tree Foci * forms = 12 combinations…
65.
66. Key Evaluative Criteria Reflects underlying ideas and theory correctly Usefulness to a non-expert Ability of a non-expert to use it Breadth (i.e., beyond a single industry setting) Hooked to other ideas (what precedes/follows you?)
69. What is working well? What can be improved? Steps: Discuss in team, pick top 3 for each Email me by Friday, July 15 I’ll collate / redistribute to class (no edits) Comment and commit
70. Virtual office hours Sunday, July 10 12:00 – 2:00 PM http://queensbusiness.adobeconnect.com/douglasreid/ Backup will be Skype: dreid150
Notas del editor
Where does today fit
The chart below shows a population-weighted history of the past two millennia. By this reckoning, over 28% of all the history made since the birth of Christ was made in the 20th century. Measured in years lived, the present century, which is only ten years old, is already "longer" than the whole of the 17th century. This century has made an even bigger contribution to economic history. Over 23% of all the goods and services made since 1AD were produced from 2001 to 2010.
Key learning objectives
The idea that a complete value-adding chain, from idea to final sale, should be internalized within a single company is essentially obsolete.Yet discussions of outsourcing tend to treat this as the preferred norm. It isn’t. And this won’t change soon.The location of “core activities” doesn’t need to be the home country – subsidiaries that are strategic leaders are facts as well as ideals.And there’s no reason to believe that the home country or market is or should be the dominant focus of the firm.That’s the reality of global business today. Key for you to internalize those ideas and reconceptualize how you see business being done.
Distance comes in four flavours
Liability of foreignness
Note that since all intermediate goods can’t be traded……and the existence of obstacles to perfect markets through government-defined tariff and non-tariff barriers……it must be something about skill. Something different and distinct about the MNE – call it a capabilityOr a firm-specific advantage (BUILD)That exists and possibly interacts with a location-based advantageTo create competitive advantage*** where might that FSA exist?ProductProcessBrandPrivileged access to materials (inputs)Control processesPersonnel (corporate culture)
Key idea is coping with differences – not seeing them as disastrous – but seeing them as opportunities for creative response.
Why (ADDING)What (activities, or parts of value chain)Where (locational advantage)How (modes)
March 28, 2010 definitiveagreementwith Ford signedGeelypays $1.8 billionFord bought Volvo Cars in 1999 for $6.45 billionVolvo’scurrentbook-value is $ 2.4 billion**** NB Volvo bought for lessthanbookvalue!!!Geelybenefitedfrom $ 800 million of preferentialChinesestateloansFord wasunderpressure to divestPreviouslydivested Aston Martin, Jaguar & LandRoverIP assettransferexplicitlyincluded in dealGEELYRoots in MotorbikemanufacturingAmong top 10 ChineseproducersSold327,000 carsin 20096% exportedFirststepto internationalization in 2003 throughsalesofficesImage of a low-endcarmanufacturerAmbitious5-year internationalizationplan -- 2/3 exports)Strategic goalsAcquisition of know how in building upscale car segmentAcquisition of marketing capabilities and customer base abroad Enlarge the brand portfolio and exploit the value attached to Volvo brand (safety and luxury)DriversGrowing competition in Chinese home market (need to conquer market share) pushes Geely towards resource seekingChinese government aid and supportChinese cultural long term orientation and mindsets (proactive)
What are the skills needed? Can include corporate culture, coordinative mechanisms
Q – Attractiveness relates to the purposes of internationalization…note what that sets up… -
Both stories aren’t micro enough…See Polese, wealth and poverty of regions
What are natural advantages?
Rosling talk – about 2-3 minutes inhttp://www.ted.com/talks/view/id/92
This bridges us to a new conceptual pasture in the course – from macro-level choices to operating choices, often around small things – which we’ll explore through two cases in the next three classes.
Could include any competitively differentiating factor including spatial configuration of offices, personnel practices, R&D prowess, etc.Could include corporate cultureQ – what is corporate culture? Encoded success formula – what has worked in the pastOr could more specifically reflect the value chain configuration of a company
Though this tends to undervalue the “soul” of the place, and accumulated wisdom of the place.
NaguibSawiris is their CEO
Only one thing has changed – absence of gravity on RHSContext matters
What role does time play in all of this?
Importance of activity to WTPPotential for cost reductionRisk of advantage dissipationControl, quality and brandingManagement timeOthers?
The idea that a complete value-adding chain, from idea to final sale, should be internalized within a single company is essentially obsolete.Yet discussions of outsourcing tend to treat this as the preferred norm. It isn’t. And this won’t change soon.The location of “core activities” doesn’t need to be the home country – subsidiaries that are strategic leaders are facts as well as ideals.And there’s no reason to believe that the home country or market is or should be the dominant focus of the firm.That’s the reality of global business today. Key for you to internalize those ideas and reconceptualize how you see business being done.
Mention this is the first time I’m doing this and I’m not expert on the software, so bear with meBackup will be SkypeOr, I could call your team room or youLet’s try this, see how it works