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Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 761n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Montana. The
interviews were conducted June 4th
and 5th
, 2014. This survey has a margin
of error of +/- 3.55% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was
weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote?
Yes........................................................................100%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
Extremely likely.......................................................95%
Very likely.................................................................3%
Somewhat likely........................................................2%
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on
Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power
plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new
regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
Total Support ..........................................................36%
Total Oppose .........................................................53%
Strongly Support......................................................27%
Somewhat Support....................................................9%
Strongly Oppose .....................................................45%
Somewhat Oppose....................................................8%
Unsure or No Opinion ...........................................11%
Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on
creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his
attention on creating jobs and growing our economy?
Focus on creating jobs and growing economy.........71%
Focus on new regulation for power plants...............22%
Unsure or No Opinion..............................................7%
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After
hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the
new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030,
which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
More likely to support the new regulation...............23%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............51%
No difference in your decision................................23%
Unsure or No Opinion .............................................3%
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target
limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
More likely to support the new regulation...............21%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............55%
No difference in your decision................................19%
Unsure or No Opinion .............................................5%
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills
will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy
herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers.
More likely to support the new regulation...............18%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............60%
No difference in your decision................................20%
Unsure or No Opinion .............................................2%
Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar
carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030,
and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy.
More likely to support the new regulation...............13%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............63%
No difference in your decision................................22%
Unsure or No Opinion .............................................2%
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or
oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama
Administration’s new carbon emission regulation?
More likely to support a candidate..........................31%
More Likely to oppose a candidate..........................58%
Unsure or No Opinion ...........................................11%
T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else?
Something Else........................................................39%
Republican..............................................................33%
Democrat................................................................28%
T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................53%
Man ........................................................................47%
T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................4%
30-44......................................................................16%
45-54......................................................................17%
55-64......................................................................26%
65+.........................................................................36%
Refused.....................................................................1%
Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you
belong to another racial group.
White......................................................................89%
Another ethnic group ................................................6%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................3%
Black or African American ........................................2%
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Montana voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The
interviews were conducted on June 4th
– 5th
, 2014. Three attempts were made to
interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.55% at
the 95 percent confidence interval.
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
YES 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 721
94.7
337
94.3
383
95.0
29
93.7
115
94.2
122
94.2
184
92.8
266
97.0
240
95.5
105
96.5
135
94.8
200
93.8
85
93.3
115
94.2
281
94.6
147
93.5
134
95.9
639
94.7
21
100.0
18
92.0
42
93.6
VERY LIKELY 26
3.4
11
3.1
15
3.6
2
6.3
4
3.1
4
3.5
9
4.7
6
2.2
9
3.4
3
2.6
6
4.0
5
2.4
2
2.1
3
2.7
12
4.0
6
3.9
6
4.1
23
3.4
3
6.4
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 15
1.9
9
2.6
5
1.4
3
2.6
3
2.4
5
2.5
2
0.7
3
1.1
1
0.9
2
1.2
8
3.8
4
4.6
4
3.1
4
1.4
4
2.6
13
2.0
2
8.0
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration's Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you
have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
TOTAL SUPPORT 272
35.8
126
35.2
147
36.4
12
40.5
51
41.8
43
33.0
72
36.2
93
33.8
33
13.2
17
15.9
16
11.2
142
66.6
60
66.0
82
67.0
97
32.8
48
30.6
49
35.2
239
35.4
12
57.7
5
25.5
16
35.3
TOTAL OPPOSE 405
53.3
210
58.7
195
48.4
13
44.3
61
50.2
74
57.5
107
53.9
146
53.3
187
74.4
87
79.5
100
70.5
47
21.9
26
28.3
21
17.2
172
57.9
97
61.8
74
53.4
359
53.1
9
42.3
12
61.1
26
57.5
STRONGLY SUPPORT 206
27.1
97
27.2
109
27.0
7
21.6
30
24.5
38
29.1
58
29.2
72
26.3
23
9.2
11
9.9
12
8.7
119
55.6
52
57.5
66
54.2
65
21.7
34
21.6
30
21.9
183
27.1
6
30.0
5
25.5
12
26.9
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 66
8.7
28
7.9
38
9.4
6
18.9
21
17.2
5
3.9
14
7.0
21
7.5
10
4.0
7
6.0
4
2.5
23
11.0
8
8.5
16
12.8
33
11.0
14
9.0
19
13.3
57
8.4
6
27.6
4
8.4
STRONGLY OPPOSE 340
44.7
166
46.5
173
43.0
12
39.8
43
35.4
68
52.4
91
45.9
122
44.6
160
63.8
74
67.8
86
60.8
32
15.1
16
17.1
17
13.6
147
49.6
77
48.8
70
50.5
300
44.4
9
42.3
11
54.1
20
45.2
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 65
8.6
43
12.1
22
5.5
1
4.4
18
14.8
7
5.0
16
8.0
24
8.7
26
10.6
13
11.8
14
9.6
14
6.8
10
11.1
4
3.5
24
8.2
20
13.0
4
2.9
59
8.7
1
6.9
6
12.3
UNSURE
NO OPINION
83
11.0
22
6.2
61
15.2
5
15.2
10
8.1
12
9.6
20
9.9
35
12.9
31
12.4
5
4.5
26
18.4
24
11.5
5
5.7
19
15.8
28
9.4
12
7.6
16
11.4
77
11.5
3
13.5
3
7.2
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our
economy?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
FOCUS ON NEW
REGULATION FOR
POWER PLANTS
163
21.5
75
21.0
88
21.8
5
15.5
33
27.0
29
22.2
44
22.5
50
18.4
17
7.0
12
10.9
6
4.0
80
37.8
35
38.7
45
37.0
65
22.1
28
17.9
37
26.8
142
21.0
7
32.9
6
29.7
9
19.4
FOCUS ON CREATING
JOBS AND GROW
ECONOMY
539
70.8
257
71.8
282
69.9
20
65.8
79
65.1
92
71.1
139
70.3
205
74.7
218
86.9
88
80.6
130
91.6
106
49.9
51
55.4
56
45.8
214
72.2
118
75.2
96
68.8
487
72.1
9
45.1
10
51.2
32
71.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
59
7.7
26
7.2
33
8.3
6
18.6
10
8.0
9
6.7
14
7.3
19
6.9
16
6.2
9
8.5
6
4.4
26
12.3
5
5.9
21
17.2
17
5.8
11
7.0
6
4.4
47
6.9
5
22.0
4
19.1
4
8.7
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in
your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
172
22.6
82
22.8
90
22.3
9
29.6
32
26.6
24
18.9
51
25.6
53
19.3
17
6.9
8
7.2
9
6.6
95
44.5
43
47.0
52
42.6
60
20.1
31
19.6
29
20.7
152
22.5
6
30.0
4
20.0
10
21.6
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 391
51.3
188
52.5
203
50.3
11
34.7
57
46.4
62
48.3
98
49.5
160
58.2
188
74.8
80
73.1
108
76.1
42
19.5
23
25.3
19
15.3
161
54.3
85
54.0
76
54.7
348
51.5
9
44.9
12
62.3
21
47.6
NO DIFFERENCE 176
23.1
84
23.5
91
22.7
11
35.7
29
23.9
42
32.8
43
21.6
49
17.8
38
15.2
21
19.7
17
11.8
67
31.2
22
24.6
44
36.2
71
23.9
40
25.6
31
21.9
153
22.6
5
25.1
3
17.7
14
30.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
23
3.0
4
1.2
19
4.7
4
3.1
7
3.3
13
4.6
8
3.1
8
5.4
10
4.8
3
3.1
7
6.0
5
1.7
1
0.9
4
2.7
23
3.4
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
163
21.4
84
23.6
79
19.5
10
33.4
20
16.7
28
21.3
51
25.9
52
19.1
22
8.6
8
7.2
14
9.7
89
41.7
45
49.9
43
35.5
52
17.7
31
19.7
21
15.4
148
21.9
3
14.1
4
20.0
8
17.4
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 418
55.0
200
56.0
218
54.0
15
50.6
65
53.7
70
54.3
103
51.8
161
58.7
191
76.0
86
78.8
105
73.9
50
23.5
21
23.3
29
23.7
177
59.7
93
59.2
84
60.3
371
55.0
15
70.0
13
66.5
19
42.7
NO DIFFERENCE 146
19.1
64
17.9
82
20.2
5
16.0
25
20.9
28
21.8
35
17.6
50
18.1
27
10.9
14
13.0
13
9.2
60
28.0
21
22.9
39
31.7
59
19.8
29
18.3
30
21.4
122
18.0
3
15.9
3
13.5
18
39.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
34
4.5
9
2.5
25
6.3
11
8.7
3
2.5
9
4.7
11
4.0
11
4.5
1
0.9
10
7.2
15
6.8
4
3.9
11
9.0
8
2.8
4
2.8
4
2.9
34
5.1
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer's and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a
short-term hit to consumers.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
133
17.5
72
20.0
62
15.3
2
6.1
29
24.0
17
13.5
38
19.5
45
16.5
17
6.7
7
6.3
10
7.0
73
34.0
40
43.4
33
27.0
44
14.9
25
15.9
19
13.7
114
16.9
5
24.7
4
22.7
9
20.8
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 457
60.1
216
60.5
241
59.8
16
51.2
70
57.1
76
58.6
118
59.6
175
63.8
205
81.4
88
80.3
117
82.3
59
27.8
30
33.1
29
23.8
194
65.3
99
62.5
95
68.4
407
60.2
12
59.3
12
59.5
27
59.3
NO DIFFERENCE 156
20.5
66
18.5
90
22.4
13
42.7
20
16.4
35
26.8
39
19.7
47
17.1
29
11.4
15
13.4
14
9.8
73
34.1
19
20.9
54
43.9
55
18.6
33
20.7
23
16.3
141
20.8
3
15.9
3
17.7
9
19.9
UNSURE
NO OPINION
14
1.8
4
1.1
10
2.5
3
2.5
1
1.1
2
1.2
7
2.6
1
0.5
1
0.9
9
4.1
2
2.6
6
5.3
4
1.2
1
0.9
2
1.7
14
2.0
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs
to the economy.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
99
13.0
54
15.1
45
11.2
5
15.0
14
11.7
16
12.3
30
15.2
33
12.2
15
5.8
7
6.5
7
5.3
62
28.9
32
34.7
30
24.5
23
7.8
15
9.8
8
5.5
87
12.8
2
8.8
4
22.7
6
14.2
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 481
63.3
230
64.3
252
62.4
18
60.6
79
65.2
77
59.7
121
61.2
182
66.3
216
85.9
92
84.2
124
87.2
67
31.2
32
35.0
35
28.4
199
67.1
106
67.3
93
66.9
428
63.3
16
75.3
13
66.5
25
55.6
NO DIFFERENCE 164
21.5
65
18.3
98
24.4
4
14.0
25
20.7
36
28.1
44
22.2
51
18.8
21
8.3
10
9.3
11
7.6
76
35.7
24
26.4
52
42.6
67
22.5
31
19.8
36
25.6
145
21.5
3
15.9
2
10.8
13
29.0
UNSURE
NO OPINION
17
2.2
8
2.3
8
2.1
3
10.4
3
2.5
3
1.5
8
2.8
9
4.2
3
3.8
5
4.5
8
2.6
5
3.1
3
2.0
16
2.4
1
1.2
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
237
31.1
110
30.6
127
31.6
13
44.3
40
33.2
43
32.9
66
33.5
72
26.3
24
9.7
13
11.9
11
8.0
134
63.0
57
62.2
77
63.5
79
26.5
40
25.3
39
27.8
206
30.6
10
45.9
6
29.7
15
33.6
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 444
58.4
212
59.2
233
57.7
16
51.2
70
57.7
84
65.0
105
53.2
166
60.4
210
83.5
86
79.0
124
87.0
45
21.0
23
24.7
22
18.1
190
64.0
103
65.5
87
62.4
402
59.5
11
54.1
12
59.5
20
44.3
UNSURE
NO OPINION
79
10.4
36
10.1
43
10.7
1
4.4
11
9.2
3
2.2
26
13.2
36
13.3
17
6.8
10
9.1
7
5.0
34
16.1
12
13.1
22
18.3
28
9.5
14
9.2
14
9.9
67
10.0
2
10.8
10
22.1
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 11-1
T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
SOMETHING ELSE 297
39.0
158
44.0
139
34.5
15
50.3
45
37.0
63
48.9
88
44.4
83
30.3
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
256
37.9
8
39.6
12
59.9
21
46.8
REPUBLICAN 251
33.0
109
30.5
142
35.2
6
19.2
38
31.4
40
30.7
59
29.6
105
38.3
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
241
35.6
2
8.8
5
23.5
4
8.8
DEMOCRAT 213
28.0
91
25.5
122
30.2
9
30.5
38
31.6
26
20.5
51
25.9
86
31.4
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
179
26.5
11
51.6
3
16.6
20
44.4
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 12-1
T11. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
WOMAN 403
53.0
403
100.0
16
52.1
75
62.0
66
51.1
98
49.6
144
52.5
142
56.6
142
100.0
122
57.2
122
100.0
139
46.9
139
100.0
362
53.6
19
89.4
6
31.2
17
36.8
MAN 358
47.0
358
100.0
15
47.9
46
38.0
63
48.9
100
50.4
130
47.5
109
43.4
109
100.0
91
42.8
91
100.0
158
53.1
158
100.0
314
46.4
2
10.6
13
68.8
29
63.2
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 13-1
T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
18-29 30
4.0
15
4.1
16
3.9
30
100.0
6
2.3
2
1.5
4
3.0
9
4.4
4
4.2
5
4.4
15
5.2
9
5.8
6
4.4
24
3.6
2
8.8
4
23.0
30-44 122
16.0
46
12.9
75
18.7
122
100.0
38
15.2
11
9.7
28
19.4
38
18.1
26
28.3
13
10.4
45
15.2
10
6.3
35
25.2
98
14.5
11
54.1
5
26.2
7
16.4
45-54 129
17.0
63
17.7
66
16.4
129
100.0
40
15.8
17
15.7
23
15.9
26
12.4
13
13.8
14
11.4
63
21.3
34
21.4
30
21.3
114
16.8
3
15.3
2
9.1
11
23.5
55-64 198
26.0
100
27.9
98
24.3
198
100.0
59
23.3
26
24.0
32
22.8
51
24.1
18
20.2
33
27.0
88
29.6
55
35.0
33
23.5
174
25.8
4
19.4
2
9.2
18
40.0
65+ 274
36.0
130
36.4
144
35.7
274
100.0
105
41.8
51
46.9
54
37.9
86
40.3
30
33.4
55
45.5
83
28.0
49
30.8
34
24.7
261
38.6 2.4
5
24.5
8
17.5
REFUSED 8
1.0
4
1.0
4
1.0
4
1.5
2
2.2
1
1.0
2
0.7
2
1.3
2
0.8
1
0.7
1
0.8
5
0.7
2
8.0
1
2.7
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 14-1
T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 761
100.0
358
100.0
403
100.0
30
100.0
122
100.0
129
100.0
198
100.0
274
100.0
251
100.0
109
100.0
142
100.0
213
100.0
91
100.0
122
100.0
297
100.0
158
100.0
139
100.0
675
100.0
21
100.0
19
100.0
45
100.0
WHITE 675
88.8
314
87.7
362
89.7
24
79.3
98
80.4
114
88.0
174
87.9
261
95.2
241
95.9
106
97.4
135
94.7
179
84.0
74
81.1
105
86.1
256
86.2
133
84.7
122
87.8
675
100.0
OTHER 45
5.9
29
8.0
17
4.1
7
6.1
11
8.2
18
9.1
8
2.9
4
1.6
1
1.1
3
2.0
20
9.4
13
14.6
7
5.5
21
7.1
14
8.9
7
5.1
45
100.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
21
2.8
2
0.6
19
4.7
2
6.1
11
9.3
3
2.5
4
2.1 0.2
2
0.7
2
1.3
11
5.1
2
2.4
9
7.1
8
2.8
8
6.0
21
100.0
BLACK
AFRICAN AMERICAN
19
2.6
13
3.7
6
1.5
4
14.6
5
4.2
2
1.4
2
0.9
5
1.7
5
1.8
2
1.5
3
2.1
3
1.5
2
1.8
2
1.3
12
3.9
10
6.4
2
1.1
19
100.0

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Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

  • 1. ! ! ! ! ! Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 761n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Montana. The interviews were conducted June 4th and 5th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.55% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote? Yes........................................................................100% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely.......................................................95% Very likely.................................................................3% Somewhat likely........................................................2% T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support ..........................................................36% Total Oppose .........................................................53% Strongly Support......................................................27% Somewhat Support....................................................9% Strongly Oppose .....................................................45% Somewhat Oppose....................................................8% Unsure or No Opinion ...........................................11%
  • 2. Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focus on creating jobs and growing economy.........71% Focus on new regulation for power plants...............22% Unsure or No Opinion..............................................7% I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation...............23% More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............51% No difference in your decision................................23% Unsure or No Opinion .............................................3% T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation...............21% More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............55% No difference in your decision................................19% Unsure or No Opinion .............................................5% T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation...............18% More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............60% No difference in your decision................................20% Unsure or No Opinion .............................................2%
  • 3. Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation...............13% More likely to oppose the new regulation ...............63% No difference in your decision................................22% Unsure or No Opinion .............................................2% T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate..........................31% More Likely to oppose a candidate..........................58% Unsure or No Opinion ...........................................11% T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else? Something Else........................................................39% Republican..............................................................33% Democrat................................................................28% T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................53% Man ........................................................................47% T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................4% 30-44......................................................................16% 45-54......................................................................17% 55-64......................................................................26% 65+.........................................................................36% Refused.....................................................................1%
  • 4. Magellan ID#: MTNMA-060314 Montana NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.55%, 761n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White......................................................................89% Another ethnic group ................................................6% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................3% Black or African American ........................................2% Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Montana voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 4th – 5th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.55% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 5. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 YES 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0
  • 6. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 721 94.7 337 94.3 383 95.0 29 93.7 115 94.2 122 94.2 184 92.8 266 97.0 240 95.5 105 96.5 135 94.8 200 93.8 85 93.3 115 94.2 281 94.6 147 93.5 134 95.9 639 94.7 21 100.0 18 92.0 42 93.6 VERY LIKELY 26 3.4 11 3.1 15 3.6 2 6.3 4 3.1 4 3.5 9 4.7 6 2.2 9 3.4 3 2.6 6 4.0 5 2.4 2 2.1 3 2.7 12 4.0 6 3.9 6 4.1 23 3.4 3 6.4 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 15 1.9 9 2.6 5 1.4 3 2.6 3 2.4 5 2.5 2 0.7 3 1.1 1 0.9 2 1.2 8 3.8 4 4.6 4 3.1 4 1.4 4 2.6 13 2.0 2 8.0
  • 7. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration's Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 TOTAL SUPPORT 272 35.8 126 35.2 147 36.4 12 40.5 51 41.8 43 33.0 72 36.2 93 33.8 33 13.2 17 15.9 16 11.2 142 66.6 60 66.0 82 67.0 97 32.8 48 30.6 49 35.2 239 35.4 12 57.7 5 25.5 16 35.3 TOTAL OPPOSE 405 53.3 210 58.7 195 48.4 13 44.3 61 50.2 74 57.5 107 53.9 146 53.3 187 74.4 87 79.5 100 70.5 47 21.9 26 28.3 21 17.2 172 57.9 97 61.8 74 53.4 359 53.1 9 42.3 12 61.1 26 57.5 STRONGLY SUPPORT 206 27.1 97 27.2 109 27.0 7 21.6 30 24.5 38 29.1 58 29.2 72 26.3 23 9.2 11 9.9 12 8.7 119 55.6 52 57.5 66 54.2 65 21.7 34 21.6 30 21.9 183 27.1 6 30.0 5 25.5 12 26.9 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 66 8.7 28 7.9 38 9.4 6 18.9 21 17.2 5 3.9 14 7.0 21 7.5 10 4.0 7 6.0 4 2.5 23 11.0 8 8.5 16 12.8 33 11.0 14 9.0 19 13.3 57 8.4 6 27.6 4 8.4 STRONGLY OPPOSE 340 44.7 166 46.5 173 43.0 12 39.8 43 35.4 68 52.4 91 45.9 122 44.6 160 63.8 74 67.8 86 60.8 32 15.1 16 17.1 17 13.6 147 49.6 77 48.8 70 50.5 300 44.4 9 42.3 11 54.1 20 45.2 SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 65 8.6 43 12.1 22 5.5 1 4.4 18 14.8 7 5.0 16 8.0 24 8.7 26 10.6 13 11.8 14 9.6 14 6.8 10 11.1 4 3.5 24 8.2 20 13.0 4 2.9 59 8.7 1 6.9 6 12.3 UNSURE NO OPINION 83 11.0 22 6.2 61 15.2 5 15.2 10 8.1 12 9.6 20 9.9 35 12.9 31 12.4 5 4.5 26 18.4 24 11.5 5 5.7 19 15.8 28 9.4 12 7.6 16 11.4 77 11.5 3 13.5 3 7.2
  • 8. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS 163 21.5 75 21.0 88 21.8 5 15.5 33 27.0 29 22.2 44 22.5 50 18.4 17 7.0 12 10.9 6 4.0 80 37.8 35 38.7 45 37.0 65 22.1 28 17.9 37 26.8 142 21.0 7 32.9 6 29.7 9 19.4 FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY 539 70.8 257 71.8 282 69.9 20 65.8 79 65.1 92 71.1 139 70.3 205 74.7 218 86.9 88 80.6 130 91.6 106 49.9 51 55.4 56 45.8 214 72.2 118 75.2 96 68.8 487 72.1 9 45.1 10 51.2 32 71.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 59 7.7 26 7.2 33 8.3 6 18.6 10 8.0 9 6.7 14 7.3 19 6.9 16 6.2 9 8.5 6 4.4 26 12.3 5 5.9 21 17.2 17 5.8 11 7.0 6 4.4 47 6.9 5 22.0 4 19.1 4 8.7
  • 9. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 172 22.6 82 22.8 90 22.3 9 29.6 32 26.6 24 18.9 51 25.6 53 19.3 17 6.9 8 7.2 9 6.6 95 44.5 43 47.0 52 42.6 60 20.1 31 19.6 29 20.7 152 22.5 6 30.0 4 20.0 10 21.6 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 391 51.3 188 52.5 203 50.3 11 34.7 57 46.4 62 48.3 98 49.5 160 58.2 188 74.8 80 73.1 108 76.1 42 19.5 23 25.3 19 15.3 161 54.3 85 54.0 76 54.7 348 51.5 9 44.9 12 62.3 21 47.6 NO DIFFERENCE 176 23.1 84 23.5 91 22.7 11 35.7 29 23.9 42 32.8 43 21.6 49 17.8 38 15.2 21 19.7 17 11.8 67 31.2 22 24.6 44 36.2 71 23.9 40 25.6 31 21.9 153 22.6 5 25.1 3 17.7 14 30.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 23 3.0 4 1.2 19 4.7 4 3.1 7 3.3 13 4.6 8 3.1 8 5.4 10 4.8 3 3.1 7 6.0 5 1.7 1 0.9 4 2.7 23 3.4
  • 10. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 163 21.4 84 23.6 79 19.5 10 33.4 20 16.7 28 21.3 51 25.9 52 19.1 22 8.6 8 7.2 14 9.7 89 41.7 45 49.9 43 35.5 52 17.7 31 19.7 21 15.4 148 21.9 3 14.1 4 20.0 8 17.4 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 418 55.0 200 56.0 218 54.0 15 50.6 65 53.7 70 54.3 103 51.8 161 58.7 191 76.0 86 78.8 105 73.9 50 23.5 21 23.3 29 23.7 177 59.7 93 59.2 84 60.3 371 55.0 15 70.0 13 66.5 19 42.7 NO DIFFERENCE 146 19.1 64 17.9 82 20.2 5 16.0 25 20.9 28 21.8 35 17.6 50 18.1 27 10.9 14 13.0 13 9.2 60 28.0 21 22.9 39 31.7 59 19.8 29 18.3 30 21.4 122 18.0 3 15.9 3 13.5 18 39.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 34 4.5 9 2.5 25 6.3 11 8.7 3 2.5 9 4.7 11 4.0 11 4.5 1 0.9 10 7.2 15 6.8 4 3.9 11 9.0 8 2.8 4 2.8 4 2.9 34 5.1
  • 11. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer's and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 133 17.5 72 20.0 62 15.3 2 6.1 29 24.0 17 13.5 38 19.5 45 16.5 17 6.7 7 6.3 10 7.0 73 34.0 40 43.4 33 27.0 44 14.9 25 15.9 19 13.7 114 16.9 5 24.7 4 22.7 9 20.8 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 457 60.1 216 60.5 241 59.8 16 51.2 70 57.1 76 58.6 118 59.6 175 63.8 205 81.4 88 80.3 117 82.3 59 27.8 30 33.1 29 23.8 194 65.3 99 62.5 95 68.4 407 60.2 12 59.3 12 59.5 27 59.3 NO DIFFERENCE 156 20.5 66 18.5 90 22.4 13 42.7 20 16.4 35 26.8 39 19.7 47 17.1 29 11.4 15 13.4 14 9.8 73 34.1 19 20.9 54 43.9 55 18.6 33 20.7 23 16.3 141 20.8 3 15.9 3 17.7 9 19.9 UNSURE NO OPINION 14 1.8 4 1.1 10 2.5 3 2.5 1 1.1 2 1.2 7 2.6 1 0.5 1 0.9 9 4.1 2 2.6 6 5.3 4 1.2 1 0.9 2 1.7 14 2.0
  • 12. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 99 13.0 54 15.1 45 11.2 5 15.0 14 11.7 16 12.3 30 15.2 33 12.2 15 5.8 7 6.5 7 5.3 62 28.9 32 34.7 30 24.5 23 7.8 15 9.8 8 5.5 87 12.8 2 8.8 4 22.7 6 14.2 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 481 63.3 230 64.3 252 62.4 18 60.6 79 65.2 77 59.7 121 61.2 182 66.3 216 85.9 92 84.2 124 87.2 67 31.2 32 35.0 35 28.4 199 67.1 106 67.3 93 66.9 428 63.3 16 75.3 13 66.5 25 55.6 NO DIFFERENCE 164 21.5 65 18.3 98 24.4 4 14.0 25 20.7 36 28.1 44 22.2 51 18.8 21 8.3 10 9.3 11 7.6 76 35.7 24 26.4 52 42.6 67 22.5 31 19.8 36 25.6 145 21.5 3 15.9 2 10.8 13 29.0 UNSURE NO OPINION 17 2.2 8 2.3 8 2.1 3 10.4 3 2.5 3 1.5 8 2.8 9 4.2 3 3.8 5 4.5 8 2.6 5 3.1 3 2.0 16 2.4 1 1.2
  • 13. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 237 31.1 110 30.6 127 31.6 13 44.3 40 33.2 43 32.9 66 33.5 72 26.3 24 9.7 13 11.9 11 8.0 134 63.0 57 62.2 77 63.5 79 26.5 40 25.3 39 27.8 206 30.6 10 45.9 6 29.7 15 33.6 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 444 58.4 212 59.2 233 57.7 16 51.2 70 57.7 84 65.0 105 53.2 166 60.4 210 83.5 86 79.0 124 87.0 45 21.0 23 24.7 22 18.1 190 64.0 103 65.5 87 62.4 402 59.5 11 54.1 12 59.5 20 44.3 UNSURE NO OPINION 79 10.4 36 10.1 43 10.7 1 4.4 11 9.2 3 2.2 26 13.2 36 13.3 17 6.8 10 9.1 7 5.0 34 16.1 12 13.1 22 18.3 28 9.5 14 9.2 14 9.9 67 10.0 2 10.8 10 22.1
  • 14. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 SOMETHING ELSE 297 39.0 158 44.0 139 34.5 15 50.3 45 37.0 63 48.9 88 44.4 83 30.3 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 256 37.9 8 39.6 12 59.9 21 46.8 REPUBLICAN 251 33.0 109 30.5 142 35.2 6 19.2 38 31.4 40 30.7 59 29.6 105 38.3 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 241 35.6 2 8.8 5 23.5 4 8.8 DEMOCRAT 213 28.0 91 25.5 122 30.2 9 30.5 38 31.6 26 20.5 51 25.9 86 31.4 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 179 26.5 11 51.6 3 16.6 20 44.4
  • 15. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 WOMAN 403 53.0 403 100.0 16 52.1 75 62.0 66 51.1 98 49.6 144 52.5 142 56.6 142 100.0 122 57.2 122 100.0 139 46.9 139 100.0 362 53.6 19 89.4 6 31.2 17 36.8 MAN 358 47.0 358 100.0 15 47.9 46 38.0 63 48.9 100 50.4 130 47.5 109 43.4 109 100.0 91 42.8 91 100.0 158 53.1 158 100.0 314 46.4 2 10.6 13 68.8 29 63.2
  • 16. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 18-29 30 4.0 15 4.1 16 3.9 30 100.0 6 2.3 2 1.5 4 3.0 9 4.4 4 4.2 5 4.4 15 5.2 9 5.8 6 4.4 24 3.6 2 8.8 4 23.0 30-44 122 16.0 46 12.9 75 18.7 122 100.0 38 15.2 11 9.7 28 19.4 38 18.1 26 28.3 13 10.4 45 15.2 10 6.3 35 25.2 98 14.5 11 54.1 5 26.2 7 16.4 45-54 129 17.0 63 17.7 66 16.4 129 100.0 40 15.8 17 15.7 23 15.9 26 12.4 13 13.8 14 11.4 63 21.3 34 21.4 30 21.3 114 16.8 3 15.3 2 9.1 11 23.5 55-64 198 26.0 100 27.9 98 24.3 198 100.0 59 23.3 26 24.0 32 22.8 51 24.1 18 20.2 33 27.0 88 29.6 55 35.0 33 23.5 174 25.8 4 19.4 2 9.2 18 40.0 65+ 274 36.0 130 36.4 144 35.7 274 100.0 105 41.8 51 46.9 54 37.9 86 40.3 30 33.4 55 45.5 83 28.0 49 30.8 34 24.7 261 38.6 2.4 5 24.5 8 17.5 REFUSED 8 1.0 4 1.0 4 1.0 4 1.5 2 2.2 1 1.0 2 0.7 2 1.3 2 0.8 1 0.7 1 0.8 5 0.7 2 8.0 1 2.7
  • 17. Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 761N, 3.55% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 761 100.0 358 100.0 403 100.0 30 100.0 122 100.0 129 100.0 198 100.0 274 100.0 251 100.0 109 100.0 142 100.0 213 100.0 91 100.0 122 100.0 297 100.0 158 100.0 139 100.0 675 100.0 21 100.0 19 100.0 45 100.0 WHITE 675 88.8 314 87.7 362 89.7 24 79.3 98 80.4 114 88.0 174 87.9 261 95.2 241 95.9 106 97.4 135 94.7 179 84.0 74 81.1 105 86.1 256 86.2 133 84.7 122 87.8 675 100.0 OTHER 45 5.9 29 8.0 17 4.1 7 6.1 11 8.2 18 9.1 8 2.9 4 1.6 1 1.1 3 2.0 20 9.4 13 14.6 7 5.5 21 7.1 14 8.9 7 5.1 45 100.0 HISPANIC LATINO 21 2.8 2 0.6 19 4.7 2 6.1 11 9.3 3 2.5 4 2.1 0.2 2 0.7 2 1.3 11 5.1 2 2.4 9 7.1 8 2.8 8 6.0 21 100.0 BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN 19 2.6 13 3.7 6 1.5 4 14.6 5 4.2 2 1.4 2 0.9 5 1.7 5 1.8 2 1.5 3 2.1 3 1.5 2 1.8 2 1.3 12 3.9 10 6.4 2 1.1 19 100.0