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December 2011

With contribution from
National Association of
Manufacturers




At a glance
Lower feedstock and energy
costs from shale gas could
help US manufacturers.
More chemical, metal, and
industrial manufacturers are
communicating to investors
that shale gas developments
have driven demand for
their products.
US manufacturers could
employ approximately
one million more workers
by 2025.
Introduction
                    The economic environment remains difficult for many US
                    manufacturers, with soft demand and margin pressures making it
                    harder to grow their domestic workforces. In this analysis, we present
                    our point of view on how shale gas resources can help the sector
                    address these challenges and create more jobs in the United States.




Executive summary
An increase in
domestic investment




                      Figure 1: Estimated shale gas and reported natural gas reserves, trillion cubic
                      feet (tcf), 2009
                                                                           Proved natural Technically recoverable
                                                                             gas reserves               shale gas
                      United States                                                        273                               862

                      Total of regions surveyed                                          1,274                             6,622

                      Total world                                                       6,069                                N/A

                      Source: EIA, “World Shale Gas Resources: An Initial Assessment of 14 Regions Outside the United States,”
                      April 2011; Total world technically recoverable shale gas reserve estimate not available as Russia, Central
                      and Southeast Asia, Middle East, and Central Africa were not included in the EIA assessment due to
                      conventional reserves and limitations of information/funding.
Revival of a domestic
energy source




                        1 http://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/
                          worldshalegas/




                                                                 2 http://www.eia.gov/pub/oil_gas/natural_gas/
                                                                   data_publications/crude_oil_natural_gas_
                                                                   reserves/current/pdf/table13.pdf
                                                                 3 http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.
                                                                   asp?ID=2893
                                                                 4 http://www.potentialgas.org/
                                                                 5 http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/_
                                                                   Documents/EB-2010-0199/ICF_Market_
                                                                   Report_20100820.pdf
                                                                 6 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
Affordable
feedstock/energy
and more demand
from energy end
market




                   7 http://www.eia.gov/emeu/mecs/
                     mecs2006/2006tables.html
                   8 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
“The safe production of shale gas has been a game-
changer in a variety of regions and among a variety
of sectors throughout our economy—notably
manufacturers. At a time when national economic and
employment indicators are uncertain at best, shale gas
producers and their vast and dynamic supply chain are
providing families and communities jobs and economic
development at a time when they’re needed most. The
Marcellus Shale is a case study in the transformative
impact of the natural gas industry. In Pennsylvania
and surrounding states, tens of thousands of jobs are
now supported by our industry and dozens of sectors—
from steel to construction firms—have been revitalized
through the promise of clean-burning and abundant
American energy.”
Kathryn Z. Klaber
President, Marcellus Shale Coalition
Investment story in
the United States
begins to play out




                                                                            11 “Contracts and Projects: May 2011.” Process
                                                                               Engineering. June 6, 2011
                                                                            12 Katz, Jonathan. “The New Black Gold.” Industry
                                                                               Week. May 1, 2011
                                                                            13 Chemweek’s Business Daily. April 11, 2011
                                                                            14 Begos, Kevin. “Shell to decide by end of year
                                                                               where to locate huge new gas plant: Pa., Ohio or
                                                                               W. Va.” Associated Press. September 2, 2011
                                                                            15 “Nucor breaks ground in Louisiana DRI project.”
                                                                               Steel Times International. March 10, 2011
                      9 Esposito, Frank. “Feedstock boon may aid
                         processors.” Plastics News, May 2, 2011 and
                         “Dow Unveils Plans to Integrate and Grow North
                         America Performance Business with Shale Gas
                         Liquids.” Manufacturing Close-up. April 30, 2011
                      10 Chemweek’s Business Daily. August 1, 2011
16 “Valley can be heart of industries.” Tribune       20 “Nucor Announced Ground Breaking in St.
   Chronicle. June 17, 2011                              James Parish Project.” Nucor Corporation,
17 Mitchell, Adam. “From Exporter to Local Partner;      accessed October 17, 2011. http://www.nucor.
   French Steel-Tube-Maker Vallourec is Expanding        com/investor/news/releases/?rid=1536511
   Production Beyond its European Heartland,          21 “U.S. Steel making play to reduce coke
   Says CEO Crouzet.” The Wall Street Journal.           consumption, use natural gas.” nwtimes.
   July 18, 2011                                         com, accessed October 17, 2011. http://www.
18 Feser, Katherine. “Deal of the Week: Pipe maker       nwitimes.com/business/local/article_788e5feb-
   to build home for research.” Houston Chronicle.       2bf1-5748-82a8-30789d943196.html
   May 9, 2011
19 Kath, Jonanthan. “The New Black Gold.” Industry
   Week. May 1, 2011
Significant job
creation potential
…we expect that manufacturing employment could
                     increase by approximately one million workers at
                     several future points in time in a high shale recovery
                     scenario compared to low shale recoveries.




Potential limiting
factors
“More and more Americans are beginning to recognize
the enormous potential of shale gas. The impact of
increased shale gas development will ripple through
our economy, with manufacturers, in particular, seeing
great benefits. Shale gas development has the potential
to boost manufacturing employment by one million
jobs by the middle of the next decade.”
Jay Timmons
President & CEO, National Association of Manufacturers
Conclusion
About the PwC
network




About PwC’s
Industrial Products
practice
Contributions to this
paper were made by
To have a deeper conversation
about shale gas, please contact:

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Shale Gas: A renaissance in US manufacturing?

  • 1. December 2011 With contribution from National Association of Manufacturers At a glance Lower feedstock and energy costs from shale gas could help US manufacturers. More chemical, metal, and industrial manufacturers are communicating to investors that shale gas developments have driven demand for their products. US manufacturers could employ approximately one million more workers by 2025.
  • 2. Introduction The economic environment remains difficult for many US manufacturers, with soft demand and margin pressures making it harder to grow their domestic workforces. In this analysis, we present our point of view on how shale gas resources can help the sector address these challenges and create more jobs in the United States. Executive summary
  • 3. An increase in domestic investment Figure 1: Estimated shale gas and reported natural gas reserves, trillion cubic feet (tcf), 2009 Proved natural Technically recoverable gas reserves shale gas United States 273 862 Total of regions surveyed 1,274 6,622 Total world 6,069 N/A Source: EIA, “World Shale Gas Resources: An Initial Assessment of 14 Regions Outside the United States,” April 2011; Total world technically recoverable shale gas reserve estimate not available as Russia, Central and Southeast Asia, Middle East, and Central Africa were not included in the EIA assessment due to conventional reserves and limitations of information/funding.
  • 4. Revival of a domestic energy source 1 http://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/ worldshalegas/ 2 http://www.eia.gov/pub/oil_gas/natural_gas/ data_publications/crude_oil_natural_gas_ reserves/current/pdf/table13.pdf 3 http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article. asp?ID=2893 4 http://www.potentialgas.org/ 5 http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/_ Documents/EB-2010-0199/ICF_Market_ Report_20100820.pdf 6 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
  • 5. Affordable feedstock/energy and more demand from energy end market 7 http://www.eia.gov/emeu/mecs/ mecs2006/2006tables.html 8 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
  • 6.
  • 7. “The safe production of shale gas has been a game- changer in a variety of regions and among a variety of sectors throughout our economy—notably manufacturers. At a time when national economic and employment indicators are uncertain at best, shale gas producers and their vast and dynamic supply chain are providing families and communities jobs and economic development at a time when they’re needed most. The Marcellus Shale is a case study in the transformative impact of the natural gas industry. In Pennsylvania and surrounding states, tens of thousands of jobs are now supported by our industry and dozens of sectors— from steel to construction firms—have been revitalized through the promise of clean-burning and abundant American energy.” Kathryn Z. Klaber President, Marcellus Shale Coalition
  • 8. Investment story in the United States begins to play out 11 “Contracts and Projects: May 2011.” Process Engineering. June 6, 2011 12 Katz, Jonathan. “The New Black Gold.” Industry Week. May 1, 2011 13 Chemweek’s Business Daily. April 11, 2011 14 Begos, Kevin. “Shell to decide by end of year where to locate huge new gas plant: Pa., Ohio or W. Va.” Associated Press. September 2, 2011 15 “Nucor breaks ground in Louisiana DRI project.” Steel Times International. March 10, 2011 9 Esposito, Frank. “Feedstock boon may aid processors.” Plastics News, May 2, 2011 and “Dow Unveils Plans to Integrate and Grow North America Performance Business with Shale Gas Liquids.” Manufacturing Close-up. April 30, 2011 10 Chemweek’s Business Daily. August 1, 2011
  • 9. 16 “Valley can be heart of industries.” Tribune 20 “Nucor Announced Ground Breaking in St. Chronicle. June 17, 2011 James Parish Project.” Nucor Corporation, 17 Mitchell, Adam. “From Exporter to Local Partner; accessed October 17, 2011. http://www.nucor. French Steel-Tube-Maker Vallourec is Expanding com/investor/news/releases/?rid=1536511 Production Beyond its European Heartland, 21 “U.S. Steel making play to reduce coke Says CEO Crouzet.” The Wall Street Journal. consumption, use natural gas.” nwtimes. July 18, 2011 com, accessed October 17, 2011. http://www. 18 Feser, Katherine. “Deal of the Week: Pipe maker nwitimes.com/business/local/article_788e5feb- to build home for research.” Houston Chronicle. 2bf1-5748-82a8-30789d943196.html May 9, 2011 19 Kath, Jonanthan. “The New Black Gold.” Industry Week. May 1, 2011
  • 11. …we expect that manufacturing employment could increase by approximately one million workers at several future points in time in a high shale recovery scenario compared to low shale recoveries. Potential limiting factors
  • 12. “More and more Americans are beginning to recognize the enormous potential of shale gas. The impact of increased shale gas development will ripple through our economy, with manufacturers, in particular, seeing great benefits. Shale gas development has the potential to boost manufacturing employment by one million jobs by the middle of the next decade.” Jay Timmons President & CEO, National Association of Manufacturers
  • 14. About the PwC network About PwC’s Industrial Products practice
  • 16. To have a deeper conversation about shale gas, please contact: