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Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
MARTA KLEPKA
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
mobile
internet
3
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
the use of the internet on mobile devices
allowing users to access the internet
even when they are on the move
applicationsmobile browsers mobile websites
What is the mobile internet?
What is a mobile device?
5
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
‘Today, 4G and long-term evolution (LTE) network is to
the mobile industry with regard to mobile internet as GSM (Global
System for Mobile communications) service used to be with regard
to voice.’
Christopher Mattheisen, Chief Executive, Magyar Telekom
‘I take notes and tweet with my iPad, shoot video and
photos with my iPhone and edit and write with my
MacBook Pro. Thank you, Steve Jobs, for changing the way
we tell stories.’
Ayee Macaraig, journalist from Philippines on Twitter
Technology driven business
6
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
but it’s happening now
it takes more time than we expected
evolution of communication
What is the result?
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
market
size
8
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
• Globally, mobile
data traffic will
increase 26 times
between 2010 and
2015.
• Mobile video
traffic will exceed
50 percent for the
first time in 2011.
• Mobile network
connection speeds
doubled in 2010.
Source: Cisco, „Visual Networking Index – Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update,
2010-2015” (February 2011).
Global mobile data traffic by type (petabytes per month)
Mobile internet: how big is it?
9
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
2009 2010 2011 2012
Mobile
search
advertising
Mobile
display
advertisings
Mobile
message
advertising
Source: eMarketer (March 2008).
Total mobile
adspends (mm$)
2007 2,695
2008 4,586
2009 7,375
2010 11,179
2011 15,250
2012 19,149
Mobile internet ad spends worldwide: which
formats? 2007-2012 (in millions)
10
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOWSource of data: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (August 2011).
CEE – share of page views generated by visitors using mobile devices and PC computers
Samsung = 21.1% Apple = 35.7%
website-averaged percentage share of page views generated by Samsung and Apple products in Hungary
Source of data: Gemius, gemiusTraffic, 26.09.2011 – 02.10.2011
Mobile internet: how big is it?
1,57
%
Hungary
Page views - mobile devices
Page views - PC computers and other
2,10
%
Czech Republic 4,16
%
Slovakia
7,21
%
Denmark 1,96
%
Ukraine
11
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
Philippines
30 M internet
users, ~30%
penetration
5% - 1.5 M using
mobile internet
The social
networking
capital of the
world
Poland
19 M internet
users, 54%
penetration
21% - 4 M using
mobile internet
E-mail,
geolocation - 44%,
Social networking &
video – over 30%
Australia
17 M internet
users, 78%
penetration
>50% - >8 M using
mobile internet
Mobile
entertainment,
news, search
Source of data: Philippines – Nielsen Media, internetworldstats.com, June 2010; Poland – TNS Media
Exposure 2010; Australian Interactive Media Industry Association, 2009
CEE vs. Other regions
12
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Japan 3G
Subscribers
USA 3G
Subscribers
Source of data: Morgan Stanley Research
USA and Japan 3G subscribers
USA
surpassed
Japan in the
number of
3G users in
Q1 2009
Mobile internet – Tortoise vs. Hare?
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
3Gsubscribers(MM)
Japan 3G
Subscibers as
% of Total
Population
USA 3G
Subscibers as
% of Total
Population
13
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Desktop Internet Users Mobile Internet Users
Internetusers
Internetusers[MM]
Source of data: Morgan Stanley Research
Global mobile vs. desktop internet user projection over several years
Mobile users > desktop users within a few years
14
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
great need for mobile audience measurement
usage patterns are different
not quite…
Mobile internet: still a niche?
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
market
characteristics
16
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Ukraine (26.09.2011–
02.10.2011).
CEE – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged percentage share of page views
generated on websites monitored by Gemius
21.1%
Apple iPad
13.9%
Apple iPhone
2.6% 2.2% 1.9%
SamsungGT-i9000
(GalaxyS)
SamsungGT-i9100
(GalaxySII)
Preferences of mobile internet users: devices
HTCDesire
17
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Slovenia, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Hungary (January 2011-
September 2011).
)
CEE – growth of average share of page views generated by iPad among all mobile page views
iPad – the big boost…
12.64%
13.37% 13.84% 14.90%
16.45%
17.60%
18.50%
19.69%
20.62%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
01.2011 02.2011 03.2011 04.2011 05.2011 06.2011 07.2011 08.2011 09.2011
previous month ∆ (current month, previous month)
18
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
The website-averaged percentage share of page views
generated from iPad and iPhone on the selected markets
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Apple iPad, Q3 2011
Apple iPhone, Q3 2011
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic, Hungary, Denmark, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Poland, Russia, Slovenia, Slovakia, Ukraine,
Q3 2011.
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
what
we know
21
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOWSource: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (26.09.2011 – 02.10.2011).
Hungary – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged
percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius
17.9% 16.3% 4.0%
3.9% 3.5%
AppleiPhone
AppleiPad
SamsungGT-S5570
SamsungGT-i9000(GalaxyS)
Preferences of mobile internet users: devices
SonyEricssonE15i
22
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
browsers
dedicated
for mobile devices
are becoming
more visible
on CEE markets
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (26.09.2011 – 02.10..2011).
Hungary – top 8 web browsers by share of page views generated on websites monitored
by Gemius
Firefox 47.0%
MSIE 25.3%
Chrome 22.3%
Opera 2.8%
SafariMobile 1.0%
Safari 0.7%
OperaMini 0.4%
Symbian 0.1%
Signs of change: browsers
23
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
the most
popular operating
systems – the
emergence
of mobile products
Hungary – top 9 operating systems by share of page views generated on websites monitored
by Gemius
Windows XP 58.9%
Windows 7 32.9%
Windows Vista 4.5%
Mac OS X 1.2%
Linux 0.9%
Android 0.7%
iOS 0.3%
Symbian 0.2%
Windows 2003 0.2%
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (12 September 2011 – 18 September 2011).
Signs of change: systems
24
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
we observe
mobile users very
closely
they get up
earlier and
go to bed later
than traditional
internet users
8 selected CEE markets – average daily distribution of mobile and non-mobile page views
Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Slovenia, Bulgaria, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Ukraine, Slovakia (08.2011).
Daily activity of mobile internet users
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
other device mobile device
25
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
Top 10 Polish domains
according to the number of Real
Users
Name Reach Percentage
of mobile
Page Views
1. onet.pl 64.34% 1.47%
2. allegro.pl 59.69% 0.27%
3. wp.pl 57.93% 2.61%
4. gazeta.pl 43.71% 3.04%
5. interia.pl 40.73% 1.39%
6. chomikuj.pl 27.30% 1.33%
7. zumi.pl 26.53% 2.01%
8. ceneo.pl 24.81% 0.29%
9. wrzuta.pl 23.66% 0.46%
10. o2.pl 22.64% 1.09%
Top 10 Polish domains according to the number
mobile page views made
Name Percentage of
mobile Page
Views
Category
1. lajt.pl 93.99% light version of onet.pl
2. mtraffic.pl 80.77% light version of targeo.pl
3. pixelfun.pl 64.54% mobile social network
4. mobini.pl 52.72% mobile social network
5. 3gplay.pl 25.64%
service with mobile
gadgets
6. hitmax.pl 19.58%
service with mobile
gadgets
7. kontastudenckie.pl 14.33%
service about students'
banking
8. applemania.pl 12.78% service for Apple fans
9. simblog.pl 11.02%
service about mobile
phones
10. wcipy.pl 10.99% sites with jokes
vs.
Source: Megapanel PBI/Gemius, 07.2011, n=12 253
Top 10 Polish websites according to the number of RU vs. top 10
websites according to the percentage of mobile page views made
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
research
opportunities
27
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
gate-way data
from
operators
site-centric measurement
mobile socio-
-demographic
panel
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
28
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
measurement based on tags implemented on the
mobile websites participating in the project
key indicators:
• page impressions
• visits
• time spent
• users
• technical information
• device type
• device producer
• browser
• operating system
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
29
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
logs from servers:
• time
• URL address
• user ID
(eg. hashed MSISDN)
• technical data
(eg. mobile device, browser)
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
Anonymised and aggregated data provided by
operators and processed by Gemius
30
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
operator
link to the recruitment survey (matched
with ID number of the user)
user
• survey
• consent to deliver internet activity
logs to Gemius
Gemius
data saved in Gemius central database
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
31
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
SCRIPT PANELIST
(COOKIE)
GEMIUS
ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE
GEMIUS
SERVERS
Measurement based on traffic data
PUBLISHER
Implementation: option I
32
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
CATI STUDIOPANELIST
(COOKIE)
GEMIUS
ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE
GEMIUS
SERVERS
SCRIPT
Measurement using CATI method
PUBLISHER
Implementation: option II
33
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
OPERATORSCRIPT
PANELIST
(COOKIE)
GEMIUS
ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE
GEMIUS
SERVERS
Measurement involving mobile operators
PUBLISHER
Implementation: option III
market
size
research
opportunities
what
we know
main
conclusions
market
characteristics
mobile
internet
main
conclusions
35
Smart, Intelligent and Mobile
THE TIME IS NOW
Why?
growth
potential
characteristic
Who?
advertisers
marketers
analysts
What?
behavior
real users
Main conclusions
Contact:
Join us @:
Facebook.com/GemiusGroup
Twitter.com/Gemius
Slideshare.net/Gemius_com
YouTube.com/WwwGemiusCom
THANK YOU
marta.klepka@gemius.com

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2011_10_Mobile_Time_is_Now_Marta_Klepka_Gemius_InternetHungary_conference

  • 1. Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW MARTA KLEPKA
  • 3. 3 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW the use of the internet on mobile devices allowing users to access the internet even when they are on the move applicationsmobile browsers mobile websites What is the mobile internet?
  • 4. What is a mobile device?
  • 5. 5 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW ‘Today, 4G and long-term evolution (LTE) network is to the mobile industry with regard to mobile internet as GSM (Global System for Mobile communications) service used to be with regard to voice.’ Christopher Mattheisen, Chief Executive, Magyar Telekom ‘I take notes and tweet with my iPad, shoot video and photos with my iPhone and edit and write with my MacBook Pro. Thank you, Steve Jobs, for changing the way we tell stories.’ Ayee Macaraig, journalist from Philippines on Twitter Technology driven business
  • 6. 6 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW but it’s happening now it takes more time than we expected evolution of communication What is the result?
  • 8. 8 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW • Globally, mobile data traffic will increase 26 times between 2010 and 2015. • Mobile video traffic will exceed 50 percent for the first time in 2011. • Mobile network connection speeds doubled in 2010. Source: Cisco, „Visual Networking Index – Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010-2015” (February 2011). Global mobile data traffic by type (petabytes per month) Mobile internet: how big is it?
  • 9. 9 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mobile search advertising Mobile display advertisings Mobile message advertising Source: eMarketer (March 2008). Total mobile adspends (mm$) 2007 2,695 2008 4,586 2009 7,375 2010 11,179 2011 15,250 2012 19,149 Mobile internet ad spends worldwide: which formats? 2007-2012 (in millions)
  • 10. 10 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOWSource of data: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (August 2011). CEE – share of page views generated by visitors using mobile devices and PC computers Samsung = 21.1% Apple = 35.7% website-averaged percentage share of page views generated by Samsung and Apple products in Hungary Source of data: Gemius, gemiusTraffic, 26.09.2011 – 02.10.2011 Mobile internet: how big is it? 1,57 % Hungary Page views - mobile devices Page views - PC computers and other 2,10 % Czech Republic 4,16 % Slovakia 7,21 % Denmark 1,96 % Ukraine
  • 11. 11 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW Philippines 30 M internet users, ~30% penetration 5% - 1.5 M using mobile internet The social networking capital of the world Poland 19 M internet users, 54% penetration 21% - 4 M using mobile internet E-mail, geolocation - 44%, Social networking & video – over 30% Australia 17 M internet users, 78% penetration >50% - >8 M using mobile internet Mobile entertainment, news, search Source of data: Philippines – Nielsen Media, internetworldstats.com, June 2010; Poland – TNS Media Exposure 2010; Australian Interactive Media Industry Association, 2009 CEE vs. Other regions
  • 12. 12 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Japan 3G Subscribers USA 3G Subscribers Source of data: Morgan Stanley Research USA and Japan 3G subscribers USA surpassed Japan in the number of 3G users in Q1 2009 Mobile internet – Tortoise vs. Hare? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 3Gsubscribers(MM) Japan 3G Subscibers as % of Total Population USA 3G Subscibers as % of Total Population
  • 13. 13 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Desktop Internet Users Mobile Internet Users Internetusers Internetusers[MM] Source of data: Morgan Stanley Research Global mobile vs. desktop internet user projection over several years Mobile users > desktop users within a few years
  • 14. 14 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW great need for mobile audience measurement usage patterns are different not quite… Mobile internet: still a niche?
  • 16. 16 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Ukraine (26.09.2011– 02.10.2011). CEE – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius 21.1% Apple iPad 13.9% Apple iPhone 2.6% 2.2% 1.9% SamsungGT-i9000 (GalaxyS) SamsungGT-i9100 (GalaxySII) Preferences of mobile internet users: devices HTCDesire
  • 17. 17 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Slovenia, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Hungary (January 2011- September 2011). ) CEE – growth of average share of page views generated by iPad among all mobile page views iPad – the big boost… 12.64% 13.37% 13.84% 14.90% 16.45% 17.60% 18.50% 19.69% 20.62% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 01.2011 02.2011 03.2011 04.2011 05.2011 06.2011 07.2011 08.2011 09.2011 previous month ∆ (current month, previous month)
  • 18. 18 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW The website-averaged percentage share of page views generated from iPad and iPhone on the selected markets 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Apple iPad, Q3 2011 Apple iPhone, Q3 2011 Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic, Hungary, Denmark, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Poland, Russia, Slovenia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Q3 2011.
  • 20. 21 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOWSource: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (26.09.2011 – 02.10.2011). Hungary – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius 17.9% 16.3% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% AppleiPhone AppleiPad SamsungGT-S5570 SamsungGT-i9000(GalaxyS) Preferences of mobile internet users: devices SonyEricssonE15i
  • 21. 22 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW browsers dedicated for mobile devices are becoming more visible on CEE markets Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (26.09.2011 – 02.10..2011). Hungary – top 8 web browsers by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius Firefox 47.0% MSIE 25.3% Chrome 22.3% Opera 2.8% SafariMobile 1.0% Safari 0.7% OperaMini 0.4% Symbian 0.1% Signs of change: browsers
  • 22. 23 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW the most popular operating systems – the emergence of mobile products Hungary – top 9 operating systems by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius Windows XP 58.9% Windows 7 32.9% Windows Vista 4.5% Mac OS X 1.2% Linux 0.9% Android 0.7% iOS 0.3% Symbian 0.2% Windows 2003 0.2% Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic (12 September 2011 – 18 September 2011). Signs of change: systems
  • 23. 24 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW we observe mobile users very closely they get up earlier and go to bed later than traditional internet users 8 selected CEE markets – average daily distribution of mobile and non-mobile page views Source: Gemius, gemiusTraffic: Slovenia, Bulgaria, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Ukraine, Slovakia (08.2011). Daily activity of mobile internet users 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 other device mobile device
  • 24. 25 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW Top 10 Polish domains according to the number of Real Users Name Reach Percentage of mobile Page Views 1. onet.pl 64.34% 1.47% 2. allegro.pl 59.69% 0.27% 3. wp.pl 57.93% 2.61% 4. gazeta.pl 43.71% 3.04% 5. interia.pl 40.73% 1.39% 6. chomikuj.pl 27.30% 1.33% 7. zumi.pl 26.53% 2.01% 8. ceneo.pl 24.81% 0.29% 9. wrzuta.pl 23.66% 0.46% 10. o2.pl 22.64% 1.09% Top 10 Polish domains according to the number mobile page views made Name Percentage of mobile Page Views Category 1. lajt.pl 93.99% light version of onet.pl 2. mtraffic.pl 80.77% light version of targeo.pl 3. pixelfun.pl 64.54% mobile social network 4. mobini.pl 52.72% mobile social network 5. 3gplay.pl 25.64% service with mobile gadgets 6. hitmax.pl 19.58% service with mobile gadgets 7. kontastudenckie.pl 14.33% service about students' banking 8. applemania.pl 12.78% service for Apple fans 9. simblog.pl 11.02% service about mobile phones 10. wcipy.pl 10.99% sites with jokes vs. Source: Megapanel PBI/Gemius, 07.2011, n=12 253 Top 10 Polish websites according to the number of RU vs. top 10 websites according to the percentage of mobile page views made
  • 26. 27 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW gate-way data from operators site-centric measurement mobile socio- -demographic panel Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
  • 27. 28 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW measurement based on tags implemented on the mobile websites participating in the project key indicators: • page impressions • visits • time spent • users • technical information • device type • device producer • browser • operating system Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
  • 28. 29 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW logs from servers: • time • URL address • user ID (eg. hashed MSISDN) • technical data (eg. mobile device, browser) Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience Anonymised and aggregated data provided by operators and processed by Gemius
  • 29. 30 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW operator link to the recruitment survey (matched with ID number of the user) user • survey • consent to deliver internet activity logs to Gemius Gemius data saved in Gemius central database Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience
  • 30. 31 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW SCRIPT PANELIST (COOKIE) GEMIUS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE GEMIUS SERVERS Measurement based on traffic data PUBLISHER Implementation: option I
  • 31. 32 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW CATI STUDIOPANELIST (COOKIE) GEMIUS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE GEMIUS SERVERS SCRIPT Measurement using CATI method PUBLISHER Implementation: option II
  • 32. 33 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW OPERATORSCRIPT PANELIST (COOKIE) GEMIUS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE GEMIUS SERVERS Measurement involving mobile operators PUBLISHER Implementation: option III
  • 34. 35 Smart, Intelligent and Mobile THE TIME IS NOW Why? growth potential characteristic Who? advertisers marketers analysts What? behavior real users Main conclusions