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GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
GROWTH, USAGE AND THE FUTURE
AGENDA


 DIGITAL LANDSCAPE

 MACRO TRENDS

 REGIONAL ANALYSIS

 THE FUTURE

 DISCUSSION



                     2
DIGITAL LANDSCAPE




                    3
THE NUMBERS ARE ASTOUNDING



                                                       20
         # OF TYPICAL HHS AT THE END OF 2011 THAT GENERATED
               MORE TRAFFIC THAN THE ENTIRE INTERNET IN 2008



                               50,000,000,000
            # OF THINGS CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET BY 2020



      340,282,366,920,938,463,463,
           374,607,431,768,211,456
                           # OF POSSIBLE INTERNET ADDRESSES


                                                          4
IN A MINUTE YOU CAN...




                         5
GROWTH / DEVELOPMENT AT
AN UNPRECEDENTED PACE




             SILICON VALLEY & SILICON ALLEY INNOVATION

           INTENSITY / FOCUS / LEADERSHIP OF USA-BASED
     COMPANIES - APPLE, GOOGLE, AMAZON.COM, FACEBOOK

     COMBINATION OF TECHNOLOGY AND ELEGANT DESIGN

                                                         6
WE’RE SEEING THINGS LIKE




                    200MM+ FARMERS IN INDIA
                       RECEIVE GOVERNMENT
                     PAYMENTS / SUBSIDIES VIA
                             MOBILE DEVICES




                                                7
PEOPLE DIDN’T KNOW WHAT
TO EXPECT FOR 2012

           2011 WAS A YEAR OF VOLATILITY
                MAJOR MARKETS SAW ANOTHER RECESSION
                                                                US & UK


          PRESSURE ON THE ENTIRE EUROPEAN FINANCIAL
                                    INFRASTRUCTURE
         GREECE, IRELAND, ITALY, PORTUGAL & SPAIN SANK FURTHER INTO DEBT


                                             NATURAL DISASTERS
         JAPAN STRUGGLED REGAIN ITS FOOTING AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE AND
                                                TSUNAMI IN MARCH 2011

                                       POLITICAL REVOLUTIONS
                                                                  EGYPT




                                                                      8
DIGITAL EMERGED AS A MORE
INFLUENTIAL GLOBAL CHANNEL
THAN EVER THOUGHT




                             9
A MEANS OF PRIMARY
COMMUNICATION




                     10
A WAY TO INSPIRE &
ORGANIZE ACTIVISM




                     11
A WAY TO IDENTIFY
INFLUENCERS




                    12
WHAT MACRO TRENDS CAN
WE EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
TWO TO THREE YEARS?




                          13
MAJOR GROWTH IN TRAFFIC




                          14
FURTHER DEVICE DIVERSIFICATION




                  THE PROLIFERATION OF SMART
                        DEVICES IS DRIVING AN
                   INCREASE IN CONNECTIVITY

                 THERE WILL BE MORE THAN TWO
                      CONNECTIONS FOR EACH
                             PERSON ON EARTH




                                            15
INCREASED AD SPENDING


              2012 GLOBAL AD SPENDING
            WILL APPROACH $500 BILLION

            EMERGING MARKETS CONTINUE TO CLAIM EVER-
              INCREASING SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPENDING

              ADVERTISERS SHIFTING FOCUS TO COUNTRIES
              WITH EXPANDING POPULATIONS AND RISING
                                LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION

               ONLINE AD SPEND GROWTH OUTPACED ALL
                   CHANNELS IN MOST MATURE MARKETS




                                                    16
DRILLING MORE SPECIFICALLY
INTO KEY MARKETS, WHAT
DOES THE FUTURE HOLD?




                             17
THINK GLOBALLY, ACT LOCALLY




              WIDE VARIATIONS ON INTERNET PENETRATION &
                                           MOBILE USAGE

                     NO GLOBAL LINK BETWEEN AFFLUENCE &
                      SMARTPHONE / MOBILE WEB ADOPTION

           LATIN AMERICA LAGS IN INTERNET USAGE, BUT LEADS
                            SOCIAL NETWORK PENETRATION
                            NORTH AMERICA SEES THE OPPOSITE TREND

            NORTH AMERICA LEADS GLOBAL DIGITAL SPENDING
                             ONLINE SPEND & ONLINE SPEND PER USER




                                                              18
ASIA-PACIFIC




               19
MARKET OVERVIEW



            WORLD’S FOREMOST GROWTH ENGINE
                        DUE TO RISING ECONOMIC OUTPUT

            HUGE OPPORTUNITY TO ENGAGE WITH
                        ASPIRING CONSUMERS
             CHINA AND INDIA POPULATIONS OVER 1 BILLION

              SETTING THE PACE FOR DIGITAL AND
                            MOBILE INNOVATION
                       HONG KONG, JAPAN & SOUTH KOREA




                                                          20
GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
& BEST IN CLASS MOBILE
          TOP SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPENDING REGION BY 2015
                                            2011             2015
                 SHARE - GLOBAL SPENDING    29.0%      10%   31.7%
                   TOTAL MEDIA SPENDING    $146.3B     31%   $191.4B


                 KNOWN FOR THE WORLD’S MOST ADVANCED
                                 MOBILE TECHNOLOGIES
                                  INTERNET ACCESS & PAYMENT SERVICES


                                      2011 MOBILE USAGE VARIES
                                                                            CHI
                           SMALLER COUNTRIES WILL QUICKLY CATCH UP
                                                                            MOB
                                                     2011      2015
                                                                            FRO
                                    HONG KONG        95%        96%          TO
                                   SOUTH KOREA       85%        87%
                                          JAPAN      83%        87%
                                         CHINA       57%        78%
                                          INDIA      52%        72%


                                                                       21
KEY MARKET SPEND
OVERVIEW: CHINA
                          INTERNET LEADS AD SPEND GROWTH
                                       DESPITE ONLY 40% PENETRATION

                    TV STILL RECEIVES THE MAJORITY OF SPEND

     NEWSPAPER REPRESENTS A STRONG OPPORTUNITY IN CHINA,
                                    GIVEN ITS SPEND LEVEL
                PRINT IS THE ONLY CHANNEL SEEING SINGLE-DIGIT GROWTH




                                                                       22
NORTH AMERICA




                23
MARKET OVERVIEW

                                                                    REG
           ECONOMIC GROWTH EXPECTED TO DOUBLE                       EX
                                        IN 2012                     201
                   PRIMARILY DUE TO US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

                                                                    DES
                                                                    REC
             WORST US ECONOMY IN RECENT YEARS -
                                                                    SU
                 CANADA IS MORE SELF-SUFFICIENT
                                                                    TO

                                                                    CU
                    CURRENTLY THE LARGEST GLOBAL
                                                                    MA
                              ADVERTISING MARKET
             MORE THAN ONE-THIRD OF TOTAL GLOBAL AD SPEND           OF

                                                                    MA
             NEW TECHNOLOGIES LAUNCH HERE FIRST                     EN
            MAJOR POTENTIAL FOR WEB-ENABLED MOBILE DEVICES          SMA
                                                                    HER


                                                               24
MOST DIVERSIFIED MEDIA LANDSCAPE
& WORLD’S DIGITAL LEADER

                      OMNIPRESENT MEDIA OFFERS MORE
                    OPPORTUNITY TO REACH CONSUMERS

             HIGH MULTITASKING & SIMULTANEOUS USAGE
                           PENETRATION OF EACH CHANNEL IS >60%

               HIGHEST BROADBAND, MOBILE & INTERNET
                                       PENETRATION

             CONTINUED USAGE GROWTH THROUGH 2015
                  INTERNET +14% IN 2015 TO 79% / MOBILE +4% TO 78%

             DIGITAL SPENDING PROVEN RECESSION-PROOF

                  2ND LARGEST # OF SOCIAL MEDIA USERS
                                                          164.2MM



                                                                     25
KEY MARKET SPEND
OVERVIEW: NORTH AMERICA
                    NO ONE COUNTRY DRIVES THE TREND IN SPEND
                            US & CANADA AD SPEND BY CHANNEL IS VERY SIMILAR

          TV LEADS IN TOTAL SPEND, WHILE INTERNET DOMINATES
                                            GROWTH IN SPEND
                                           INTERNET SPEND IS STILL 36% BEHIND TV

                   PRINT IS THE ONLY CHANNEL TO SHOW DECLINE
               NEWSPAPERS REPRESENT THE LARGEST OPPORTUNITY IN THE SPACE



       !"#$%&'()#*+,&'-&./)0-*01&2#)0-
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                                                                                   26
WESTERN EUROPE




                 27
MARKET OVERVIEW


          THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC RECESSION IS STILL
                            FELT ACROSS MOST OF EUROPE
                                      THE EXCEPTION IS GERMANY


              DIVERSE CULTURES DRAMATICALLY INFLUENCE
                           MEDIA HABITS & PENETRATION

               WESTERN EUROPE TENDS TO MIRROR NORTH
                                            AMERICA
            EASTERN EUROPE BALANCES NEW & OLD WORLD TRADITIONS

               SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPEND CONTINUES TO
                                             DECLINE




                                                                 28
DECLINING GLOBAL SHARE
  & REGIONAL DISPARITY

                                 SHARE OF AD SPEND WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
                                       SPEND WILL GROW BY +4% BUT SHARE WILL DROP -7%




                                  SOCIAL NETWORK PENETRATION RIVALS NORTH
                                                     AMERICA & ASIA PACIFIC


BROADBAND         55%   85%   BROADBAND AND INTERNET PENETRATION CAN VARY
INTERNET          35%   78%                          COUNTRY TO COUNTRY


INTERNET          35%   78%     MOBILE INTERNET USAGE CONTINUES TO GROW IN
MOBILE INTERNET   36%   37%        COUNTRIES WITH LOW ONLINE PENETRATION




                                                                                        29
KEY MARKET SPEND
OVERVIEW: WESTERN EUROPE
   EUROPE IS SEEING THE MOST SUBTLE RATES OF CHANGE IN SPEND
                                                     PRIMARILY SINGLE DIGITS

              SPENDING TRENDS VERY SIMILAR TO NORTH AMERICA
                         INCLUDING DECLINES IN PRINT, BUT AT A SLOWER RATE

         INTERNET MAKES UP 85% (+$2.9B) OF THE TOTAL AD SPEND
                                                     INCREASE
                                             LEADS AD SPEND GROWTH AS WELL


            !"#$%&'()*+),%&(+-(.)/#&(+
            012)3#'(4&2)5&#6'(72)89':7
            !"#$!%%!&"'
               !"#$%        &'((         &'()    *+,-%./"
                        /;  <=>?>        <==?=       @A
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                N"9+$$#     <E?>         <E?I        EA
                 8(9&#(&9   <>I?@        <>O?E     ==A
                                                                               30
LATIN AMERICA




                31
MARKET OVERVIEW


           AFTER A HEALTHY REBOUND FROM THE RECESSION,
                     LATIN AMERICA’S GROWTH IS SLOWING

            MULTINATIONAL ADVERTISERS MAY DEVOTE MORE
                           ATTENTION TO LATIN AMERICA
          PENDING ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY IN NORTH AMERICA & EUROPE

          CONSUMERS WILLINGNESS TO SPEND DAMPENED BY
                                 HIGHER INTEREST RATES

                    GLOBAL SHARE OF ADVERTISING WILL RISE




                                                               32
BIGGEST CHALLENGE IS INFRASTRUCTURE,
BUT THERE ARE POCKETS OF OPPORTUNITY


                THE WEB MAY REMAIN A NICHE CHANNEL IN THE
                                              SHORT TERM
                TRADITIONAL IMPORTANT AS INTERNET PENETRATION IS LOW

                                                   WEALTH = ACCESS
              AFFLUENT CONSUMERS = HIGHER %AGE OF ONLINE POPULATION

                      MOBILE PENETRATION IS HIGH, BUT MOBILE
                               INTERNET PENETRATION IS LOW

                              BRAZIL IS DRIVING MOBILE GROWTH
             MOBILE AD SPEND IN BRAZIL DOUBLED YOY IN 2011 ($23.8MM) AND
                                     IS EXPECTED TO REACH $175MM IN 2015

                                       GLOBAL SOCIAL LEADERSHIP
                  OF INTERNET USERS, 88% ARE ACTIVE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS




                                                                           33
KEY MARKET SPEND
OVERVIEW: LATIN AMERICA
   CONTRARY TO OTHER MARKETS, TRADITIONAL MEDIA CHANNELS SEE
                                 DOUBLE DIGIT SPEND INCREASES

   TV AND NEWSPAPERS LEAD ALL CHANNELS IN TOTAL SPEND INCREASE
                                            LAG BEHIND DIGITAL IN TOTAL % INCREASE

                                                 INTERNET SPENDING IS UP +25%
                                                       DRIVEN LARGELY BY ARGENTINA



            !"#$%&'()*$+"&',&-.)%,$%/&0*)%,
            '*/)%#$%"1&2)3$+4&"%,&5*"6$7
            !"#$!%%!&"'
               !"#$%        &'((         &'()       *+,-%./"
                        08  9:;<=        9:><=         :>?
            @)AB.".)*B       9C<=        9C<D          :>?
                     E",$4   9:<:        9:<C          :C?
              2"/"6$%)B      9:<D        9=<F          :F?
               GH#,44*I      9F<J        9F<;         K:;?
               L%#)*%)#I     9F<>        9:<=          =M?
            IN4)B&%4#&$%+7H,)&2)3$+4
                                                                                     34
WHAT DO WE SEE AS
THE FUTURE OF
GLOBAL DIGITAL?




                    35
LOCAL AND SOCIAL MARKETING

  BRANDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE APPS TO TAP INTO
   GEO-LOCATION SERVICES AND SOCIAL NETWORKING




                                                    36
SOCIAL & MOBILE E-COMMERCE




  SECURITY IS THE #1 CONSUMER CONCERN WITH
SOCIAL / E-COMMERCE - WHOEVER CRACKS THAT
                         CODE WILL DOMINATE
     83% OF PEOPLE THINK BY 2015, MOBILE PAYMENT WILL BE
                                            MAINSTREAM




                                                           37
B TO B E-COMMERCE




     MERCHANTS WILL CONTINUE TO SELL
  GOODS ACROSS GLOBAL BORDERS IN THE
     MOST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, WHILE
EMERGING COUNTRIES GET THEIR FOOTING




                                       38
CLIENT IMPLICATIONS

  GLOBAL MARKETING IS                        DON’T IGNORE
NOT A ONE-SIZE FITS ALL                 TRADITIONAL MEDIA
MEDIA OPPORTUNITIES, TECHNOLOGIES         WHERE RELEVANT
 AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOR VARY NOT        TRENDS POINT TOWARD DIGITAL,
ONLY BY MARKET, BUT BY REGION AND         HOWEVER, IN MANY MARKETS
                         COUNTRY          NEWSPAPER & TV ARE STRONG




                                        IT’S ALL ABOUT THE
TEST BEFORE YOU SCALE                            CONSUMER
 SMALLER, MORE DEVELOPED MARKETS        AS DIGITAL GROWS, MORE AND
   MAY BE BEST AREAS TO TEST DIGITAL     MORE OPTIONS WILL PRESENT
  INNOVATION BEFORE ROLLING OUT          THEMSELVES TO CONSUMERS -
                      TO THE MASSES    KNOWING THOSE OPTIONS AND
                                         HOW CONSUMERS ARE USING
                                         THEM IS CRITICAL TO SUCCESS


                                                                       39
DISCUSSION / SCENARIOS




                         40
HOW CAN CLIENTS CAPITALIZE
ON...




                             41
REAL-TIME BUSINESS TRACKING?




                               42
AUTOMATED DOMINO EFFECT?




                           43
SOCIAL MEDIA GROWTH?




                       44
APPENDIX




           45
SOURCES


CHINA
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• Sinomonitor, "China Marketing and Media Study," 2000, 2006 & Spring 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, April 2011, March 2010; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, March 2011, Jan 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011

ARGENTINA
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• TGI Latina, "Argentina Study," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, March 2011, March 2010; various, as noted, 2010
• comScore Media Metrix, "The State of the Internet in Argentina,," June 14, 2011
• comScore Inc., "The Brazilian Online Audience," Feb 9, 2011; Pew Research Center's Global Attitudes Project, "Computer and Cell Phone Usage Up
Around the World: Global Publics Embrace Social Networking," Dec 15, 2010
• TGI Latina, "Argentina Study," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/ ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest
Group, July 2011
• Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011

ITALY
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• GfK Eurisko, "Sinottica Survey," 2009 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, July 2011, June 2011
• ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011




                                                                                                                                                   46
SOURCES
BRAZIL
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• eMarketer, March 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, April 2011
• ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011

MEXICO
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• TGI Latina, "Mexico Study," Dec 2005 & Jan 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, March 2011 , various, as noted, 2010 & 2011
• ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011

CANADA
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• Newspaper Audience Databank Inc. (NADbank), 2010; PMB Print Measurement Bureau, 2000, 2005 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group,
July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011
• comScore MobiLens, March 2011; PMB Print Measurement Bureau, 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011; International Telecommunication Union (ITU), "World Telecommunication Indicators Database," June 2011/ PMB Print
Measurement Bureau, 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/eMarketer, March 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011
• eMarketer, April 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, April 2011, June 2011
• comScore MobiLens, March 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
•Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011

US
• eMarketer 2010 & 2011; GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2000, 2005 & 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July
2011
• eMarketer, Dec 2010, Jan 2011 Feb 2011, June 2011, Aug 2011, March 2011, Sept 2011. various, as noted, 2010 & 2011
• GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• comScore, "Demographic Profile Report for All Conversational Media," June 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• comScore M:Metrics, May 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Mary Meeker: Internet Trends - Web 2.0 Summit Oct 18, 2011
• Cisco IBSG. Jim Cicconi. AT&T, Steve Leibson, Computer History Museum, CNN

                                                                                                                                          47
SOURCES
FRANCE
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• Médiamétrie, "MMW Consultation Interface," 2000, 2005 & 2010; Médiamétrie, "Mobile Consumer Insight," "Observatoire des Usages Internet,"
"Téléphonie et Services Mobiles" and "126000 Radio," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, June 2011
• AudiPresse SAS, "AEPM," 2010; Médiamétrie, "MMW Consultation Interface" and "Observatoire des Usages Internet," 2010; provided by Starcom
MediaVest Group, July 2011
• ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/ Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011

GERMANY
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)," 2000, 2005 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011,March 2011, June 2011
• Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Axel Springer AG & Bauer Media Group, "VerbraucherAnalyse Klassik III," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach, "Allensbacher Computer- und Technik-Analyse (ACTA) 2010,” Oct 2010/ Media Market Insights, "Typologie der
Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011

UK
• US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010
• Office of Communications (Ofcom) - UK, "UK Adults' Media Literacy" conducted by Saville Rossiter-Base, April 2011
• Radio Joint Audience Research Limited (RAJAR) - UK, "Quarterly Summary of Radio Listening," April-Sep 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest
Group, July 2011
• Institute of Practitioners in Advertising (IPA) "Touchpoints," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• National Readership Survey (NRS) - UK, 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• eMarketer, Jan 2011, Jan 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, June 2011
• UKOM/Nielsen Online, July 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
• UKOM/Nielsen Online, July 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011
•Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011



                                                                                                                                                  48

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Global Technology Trends Growth, Usage and the Future

  • 1. GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY TRENDS GROWTH, USAGE AND THE FUTURE
  • 2. AGENDA DIGITAL LANDSCAPE MACRO TRENDS REGIONAL ANALYSIS THE FUTURE DISCUSSION 2
  • 4. THE NUMBERS ARE ASTOUNDING 20 # OF TYPICAL HHS AT THE END OF 2011 THAT GENERATED MORE TRAFFIC THAN THE ENTIRE INTERNET IN 2008 50,000,000,000 # OF THINGS CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET BY 2020 340,282,366,920,938,463,463, 374,607,431,768,211,456 # OF POSSIBLE INTERNET ADDRESSES 4
  • 5. IN A MINUTE YOU CAN... 5
  • 6. GROWTH / DEVELOPMENT AT AN UNPRECEDENTED PACE SILICON VALLEY & SILICON ALLEY INNOVATION INTENSITY / FOCUS / LEADERSHIP OF USA-BASED COMPANIES - APPLE, GOOGLE, AMAZON.COM, FACEBOOK COMBINATION OF TECHNOLOGY AND ELEGANT DESIGN 6
  • 7. WE’RE SEEING THINGS LIKE 200MM+ FARMERS IN INDIA RECEIVE GOVERNMENT PAYMENTS / SUBSIDIES VIA MOBILE DEVICES 7
  • 8. PEOPLE DIDN’T KNOW WHAT TO EXPECT FOR 2012 2011 WAS A YEAR OF VOLATILITY MAJOR MARKETS SAW ANOTHER RECESSION US & UK PRESSURE ON THE ENTIRE EUROPEAN FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE GREECE, IRELAND, ITALY, PORTUGAL & SPAIN SANK FURTHER INTO DEBT NATURAL DISASTERS JAPAN STRUGGLED REGAIN ITS FOOTING AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI IN MARCH 2011 POLITICAL REVOLUTIONS EGYPT 8
  • 9. DIGITAL EMERGED AS A MORE INFLUENTIAL GLOBAL CHANNEL THAN EVER THOUGHT 9
  • 10. A MEANS OF PRIMARY COMMUNICATION 10
  • 11. A WAY TO INSPIRE & ORGANIZE ACTIVISM 11
  • 12. A WAY TO IDENTIFY INFLUENCERS 12
  • 13. WHAT MACRO TRENDS CAN WE EXPECT OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE YEARS? 13
  • 14. MAJOR GROWTH IN TRAFFIC 14
  • 15. FURTHER DEVICE DIVERSIFICATION THE PROLIFERATION OF SMART DEVICES IS DRIVING AN INCREASE IN CONNECTIVITY THERE WILL BE MORE THAN TWO CONNECTIONS FOR EACH PERSON ON EARTH 15
  • 16. INCREASED AD SPENDING 2012 GLOBAL AD SPENDING WILL APPROACH $500 BILLION EMERGING MARKETS CONTINUE TO CLAIM EVER- INCREASING SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPENDING ADVERTISERS SHIFTING FOCUS TO COUNTRIES WITH EXPANDING POPULATIONS AND RISING LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION ONLINE AD SPEND GROWTH OUTPACED ALL CHANNELS IN MOST MATURE MARKETS 16
  • 17. DRILLING MORE SPECIFICALLY INTO KEY MARKETS, WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD? 17
  • 18. THINK GLOBALLY, ACT LOCALLY WIDE VARIATIONS ON INTERNET PENETRATION & MOBILE USAGE NO GLOBAL LINK BETWEEN AFFLUENCE & SMARTPHONE / MOBILE WEB ADOPTION LATIN AMERICA LAGS IN INTERNET USAGE, BUT LEADS SOCIAL NETWORK PENETRATION NORTH AMERICA SEES THE OPPOSITE TREND NORTH AMERICA LEADS GLOBAL DIGITAL SPENDING ONLINE SPEND & ONLINE SPEND PER USER 18
  • 20. MARKET OVERVIEW WORLD’S FOREMOST GROWTH ENGINE DUE TO RISING ECONOMIC OUTPUT HUGE OPPORTUNITY TO ENGAGE WITH ASPIRING CONSUMERS CHINA AND INDIA POPULATIONS OVER 1 BILLION SETTING THE PACE FOR DIGITAL AND MOBILE INNOVATION HONG KONG, JAPAN & SOUTH KOREA 20
  • 21. GLOBAL POWERHOUSE & BEST IN CLASS MOBILE TOP SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPENDING REGION BY 2015 2011 2015 SHARE - GLOBAL SPENDING 29.0% 10% 31.7% TOTAL MEDIA SPENDING $146.3B 31% $191.4B KNOWN FOR THE WORLD’S MOST ADVANCED MOBILE TECHNOLOGIES INTERNET ACCESS & PAYMENT SERVICES 2011 MOBILE USAGE VARIES CHI SMALLER COUNTRIES WILL QUICKLY CATCH UP MOB 2011 2015 FRO HONG KONG 95% 96% TO SOUTH KOREA 85% 87% JAPAN 83% 87% CHINA 57% 78% INDIA 52% 72% 21
  • 22. KEY MARKET SPEND OVERVIEW: CHINA INTERNET LEADS AD SPEND GROWTH DESPITE ONLY 40% PENETRATION TV STILL RECEIVES THE MAJORITY OF SPEND NEWSPAPER REPRESENTS A STRONG OPPORTUNITY IN CHINA, GIVEN ITS SPEND LEVEL PRINT IS THE ONLY CHANNEL SEEING SINGLE-DIGIT GROWTH 22
  • 24. MARKET OVERVIEW REG ECONOMIC GROWTH EXPECTED TO DOUBLE EX IN 2012 201 PRIMARILY DUE TO US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION DES REC WORST US ECONOMY IN RECENT YEARS - SU CANADA IS MORE SELF-SUFFICIENT TO CU CURRENTLY THE LARGEST GLOBAL MA ADVERTISING MARKET MORE THAN ONE-THIRD OF TOTAL GLOBAL AD SPEND OF MA NEW TECHNOLOGIES LAUNCH HERE FIRST EN MAJOR POTENTIAL FOR WEB-ENABLED MOBILE DEVICES SMA HER 24
  • 25. MOST DIVERSIFIED MEDIA LANDSCAPE & WORLD’S DIGITAL LEADER OMNIPRESENT MEDIA OFFERS MORE OPPORTUNITY TO REACH CONSUMERS HIGH MULTITASKING & SIMULTANEOUS USAGE PENETRATION OF EACH CHANNEL IS >60% HIGHEST BROADBAND, MOBILE & INTERNET PENETRATION CONTINUED USAGE GROWTH THROUGH 2015 INTERNET +14% IN 2015 TO 79% / MOBILE +4% TO 78% DIGITAL SPENDING PROVEN RECESSION-PROOF 2ND LARGEST # OF SOCIAL MEDIA USERS 164.2MM 25
  • 26. KEY MARKET SPEND OVERVIEW: NORTH AMERICA NO ONE COUNTRY DRIVES THE TREND IN SPEND US & CANADA AD SPEND BY CHANNEL IS VERY SIMILAR TV LEADS IN TOTAL SPEND, WHILE INTERNET DOMINATES GROWTH IN SPEND INTERNET SPEND IS STILL 36% BEHIND TV PRINT IS THE ONLY CHANNEL TO SHOW DECLINE NEWSPAPERS REPRESENT THE LARGEST OPPORTUNITY IN THE SPACE !"#$%&'()#*+,&'-&./)0-*01&2#)0- 3.&4&5,0,-, !"#$!%%!&"' !"#$% &'(( &'() *+,-%./" 26 789:; 78;:< ;= !)>?/,/)#? 7@9:A 7@@:9 BC= D,-*" 7E<:@ 7E;:C <= F,1,G*0)? 7EA:C 7E9:@ BH= IJ$-""# 78:H 7<:< E@= K0$)#0)$ 799:9 7A9:H 9@= 26
  • 28. MARKET OVERVIEW THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC RECESSION IS STILL FELT ACROSS MOST OF EUROPE THE EXCEPTION IS GERMANY DIVERSE CULTURES DRAMATICALLY INFLUENCE MEDIA HABITS & PENETRATION WESTERN EUROPE TENDS TO MIRROR NORTH AMERICA EASTERN EUROPE BALANCES NEW & OLD WORLD TRADITIONS SHARE OF GLOBAL AD SPEND CONTINUES TO DECLINE 28
  • 29. DECLINING GLOBAL SHARE & REGIONAL DISPARITY SHARE OF AD SPEND WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE SPEND WILL GROW BY +4% BUT SHARE WILL DROP -7% SOCIAL NETWORK PENETRATION RIVALS NORTH AMERICA & ASIA PACIFIC BROADBAND 55% 85% BROADBAND AND INTERNET PENETRATION CAN VARY INTERNET 35% 78% COUNTRY TO COUNTRY INTERNET 35% 78% MOBILE INTERNET USAGE CONTINUES TO GROW IN MOBILE INTERNET 36% 37% COUNTRIES WITH LOW ONLINE PENETRATION 29
  • 30. KEY MARKET SPEND OVERVIEW: WESTERN EUROPE EUROPE IS SEEING THE MOST SUBTLE RATES OF CHANGE IN SPEND PRIMARILY SINGLE DIGITS SPENDING TRENDS VERY SIMILAR TO NORTH AMERICA INCLUDING DECLINES IN PRINT, BUT AT A SLOWER RATE INTERNET MAKES UP 85% (+$2.9B) OF THE TOTAL AD SPEND INCREASE LEADS AD SPEND GROWTH AS WELL !"#$%&'()*+),%&(+-(.)/#&(+ 012)3#'(4&2)5&#6'(72)89':7 !"#$!%%!&"' !"#$% &'(( &'() *+,-%./" /; <=>?> <==?= @A B&CD%'%&#D <>E?F <>E?E G=A H'+-$ <I?E <I?@ EA J'.'K-(&D <L?M <L?L G=A N"9+$$# <E?> <E?I EA 8(9&#(&9 <>I?@ <>O?E ==A 30
  • 32. MARKET OVERVIEW AFTER A HEALTHY REBOUND FROM THE RECESSION, LATIN AMERICA’S GROWTH IS SLOWING MULTINATIONAL ADVERTISERS MAY DEVOTE MORE ATTENTION TO LATIN AMERICA PENDING ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY IN NORTH AMERICA & EUROPE CONSUMERS WILLINGNESS TO SPEND DAMPENED BY HIGHER INTEREST RATES GLOBAL SHARE OF ADVERTISING WILL RISE 32
  • 33. BIGGEST CHALLENGE IS INFRASTRUCTURE, BUT THERE ARE POCKETS OF OPPORTUNITY THE WEB MAY REMAIN A NICHE CHANNEL IN THE SHORT TERM TRADITIONAL IMPORTANT AS INTERNET PENETRATION IS LOW WEALTH = ACCESS AFFLUENT CONSUMERS = HIGHER %AGE OF ONLINE POPULATION MOBILE PENETRATION IS HIGH, BUT MOBILE INTERNET PENETRATION IS LOW BRAZIL IS DRIVING MOBILE GROWTH MOBILE AD SPEND IN BRAZIL DOUBLED YOY IN 2011 ($23.8MM) AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH $175MM IN 2015 GLOBAL SOCIAL LEADERSHIP OF INTERNET USERS, 88% ARE ACTIVE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS 33
  • 34. KEY MARKET SPEND OVERVIEW: LATIN AMERICA CONTRARY TO OTHER MARKETS, TRADITIONAL MEDIA CHANNELS SEE DOUBLE DIGIT SPEND INCREASES TV AND NEWSPAPERS LEAD ALL CHANNELS IN TOTAL SPEND INCREASE LAG BEHIND DIGITAL IN TOTAL % INCREASE INTERNET SPENDING IS UP +25% DRIVEN LARGELY BY ARGENTINA !"#$%&'()*$+"&',&-.)%,$%/&0*)%, '*/)%#$%"1&2)3$+4&"%,&5*"6$7 !"#$!%%!&"' !"#$% &'(( &'() *+,-%./" 08 9:;<= 9:><= :>? @)AB.".)*B 9C<= 9C<D :>? E",$4 9:<: 9:<C :C? 2"/"6$%)B 9:<D 9=<F :F? GH#,44*I 9F<J 9F<; K:;? L%#)*%)#I 9F<> 9:<= =M? IN4)B&%4#&$%+7H,)&2)3$+4 34
  • 35. WHAT DO WE SEE AS THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL DIGITAL? 35
  • 36. LOCAL AND SOCIAL MARKETING BRANDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE APPS TO TAP INTO GEO-LOCATION SERVICES AND SOCIAL NETWORKING 36
  • 37. SOCIAL & MOBILE E-COMMERCE SECURITY IS THE #1 CONSUMER CONCERN WITH SOCIAL / E-COMMERCE - WHOEVER CRACKS THAT CODE WILL DOMINATE 83% OF PEOPLE THINK BY 2015, MOBILE PAYMENT WILL BE MAINSTREAM 37
  • 38. B TO B E-COMMERCE MERCHANTS WILL CONTINUE TO SELL GOODS ACROSS GLOBAL BORDERS IN THE MOST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, WHILE EMERGING COUNTRIES GET THEIR FOOTING 38
  • 39. CLIENT IMPLICATIONS GLOBAL MARKETING IS DON’T IGNORE NOT A ONE-SIZE FITS ALL TRADITIONAL MEDIA MEDIA OPPORTUNITIES, TECHNOLOGIES WHERE RELEVANT AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOR VARY NOT TRENDS POINT TOWARD DIGITAL, ONLY BY MARKET, BUT BY REGION AND HOWEVER, IN MANY MARKETS COUNTRY NEWSPAPER & TV ARE STRONG IT’S ALL ABOUT THE TEST BEFORE YOU SCALE CONSUMER SMALLER, MORE DEVELOPED MARKETS AS DIGITAL GROWS, MORE AND MAY BE BEST AREAS TO TEST DIGITAL MORE OPTIONS WILL PRESENT INNOVATION BEFORE ROLLING OUT THEMSELVES TO CONSUMERS - TO THE MASSES KNOWING THOSE OPTIONS AND HOW CONSUMERS ARE USING THEM IS CRITICAL TO SUCCESS 39
  • 41. HOW CAN CLIENTS CAPITALIZE ON... 41
  • 45. APPENDIX 45
  • 46. SOURCES CHINA • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • Sinomonitor, "China Marketing and Media Study," 2000, 2006 & Spring 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, April 2011, March 2010; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, March 2011, Jan 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011 ARGENTINA • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • TGI Latina, "Argentina Study," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, March 2011, March 2010; various, as noted, 2010 • comScore Media Metrix, "The State of the Internet in Argentina,," June 14, 2011 • comScore Inc., "The Brazilian Online Audience," Feb 9, 2011; Pew Research Center's Global Attitudes Project, "Computer and Cell Phone Usage Up Around the World: Global Publics Embrace Social Networking," Dec 15, 2010 • TGI Latina, "Argentina Study," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/ ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 ITALY • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • GfK Eurisko, "Sinottica Survey," 2009 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, July 2011, June 2011 • ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 46
  • 47. SOURCES BRAZIL • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • eMarketer, March 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, April 2011 • ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 MEXICO • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • TGI Latina, "Mexico Study," Dec 2005 & Jan 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, March 2011 , various, as noted, 2010 & 2011 • ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 CANADA • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • Newspaper Audience Databank Inc. (NADbank), 2010; PMB Print Measurement Bureau, 2000, 2005 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011 • comScore MobiLens, March 2011; PMB Print Measurement Bureau, 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011; International Telecommunication Union (ITU), "World Telecommunication Indicators Database," June 2011/ PMB Print Measurement Bureau, 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/eMarketer, March 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011 • eMarketer, April 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, April 2011, June 2011 • comScore MobiLens, March 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 •Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 US • eMarketer 2010 & 2011; GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2000, 2005 & 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Dec 2010, Jan 2011 Feb 2011, June 2011, Aug 2011, March 2011, Sept 2011. various, as noted, 2010 & 2011 • GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • GfK MRI, "Survey of the American Consumer—Doublebase," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • comScore, "Demographic Profile Report for All Conversational Media," June 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • comScore M:Metrics, May 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Mary Meeker: Internet Trends - Web 2.0 Summit Oct 18, 2011 • Cisco IBSG. Jim Cicconi. AT&T, Steve Leibson, Computer History Museum, CNN 47
  • 48. SOURCES FRANCE • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • Médiamétrie, "MMW Consultation Interface," 2000, 2005 & 2010; Médiamétrie, "Mobile Consumer Insight," "Observatoire des Usages Internet," "Téléphonie et Services Mobiles" and "126000 Radio," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, June 2011 • AudiPresse SAS, "AEPM," 2010; Médiamétrie, "MMW Consultation Interface" and "Observatoire des Usages Internet," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011/ Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 GERMANY • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)," 2000, 2005 & 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011,March 2011, June 2011 • Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Axel Springer AG & Bauer Media Group, "VerbraucherAnalyse Klassik III," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach, "Allensbacher Computer- und Technik-Analyse (ACTA) 2010,” Oct 2010/ Media Market Insights, "Typologie der Wünsche (TdW)" 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • ZenithOptimedia, July 2011; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 UK • US Census Bureau, International Data Base, Dec 1, 2010 • Office of Communications (Ofcom) - UK, "UK Adults' Media Literacy" conducted by Saville Rossiter-Base, April 2011 • Radio Joint Audience Research Limited (RAJAR) - UK, "Quarterly Summary of Radio Listening," April-Sep 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • Institute of Practitioners in Advertising (IPA) "Touchpoints," 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • National Readership Survey (NRS) - UK, 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • eMarketer, Jan 2011, Jan 2011; various, as noted, 2010 & 2011, March 2011, Feb 2011, June 2011 • UKOM/Nielsen Online, July 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 • UKOM/Nielsen Online, July 2010; provided by Starcom MediaVest Group, July 2011 •Starcom MediaVest Group, Aug 2011 48