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Evolving Issues with Japan-U.S. Arms Exports and its Implications to

                Japan’s Future Defense Capabilities:

      Towards Synergistic Defense Capabilities for the Alliance



                               Col. Koji Imaki
                Visiting Fellow, Japan Air Self Defense Force
Outline

Survey of Japan’s Defense Capability
   Current System Inventory of Japan Self Defense Force
   Controversial Development of Key Defense Systems

Defense Capability of U.S. Allies and Partners
   United Kingdom
   Taiwan
   Republic of Korea

External and Internal Environment of Japanese and U.S. Defense Initiatives
   Anti-Access/Area Denial Environment
   Japan’s Decision on Relaxing Arms Export Principles
   U.S. Defense Strategic Guidance and its implication
                                     for the Defense Industrial Base

Japan’s Future Defense Capability
   Strategic Vision in Shaping Defense Capability
   Strategic Goals in Defense Capability
   Guideline for Shaping Defense Capability
Japan’s Defense Inventories

              Offshore Development                 Joint Development            Indigenous Development
                U.S.           Others
               F-15                          F-2                                         JADGE *
Air Power       F-4                                                                        C-1
               E-767
              KC-767

              Offshore Development                 Joint Development            Indigenous Development
                U.S.           Others
Maritime        P-3         MCH-101           SM-3*                                  P-1 (ASW**)
            Aegis System                                                         Soryu-class Submarine
Power
                                                                                Hatakaze-class Destroyer
                                                                                  US-2 (Amphibious
                                                                                       Aircraft)


              Offshore Development                 Joint Development            Indigenous Development
                U.S.            Others
Ground         AH-64                                                               Type-10 & -90 Tank
Power         Helicopter                                                            OH-1 Helicopter
                                                                                     Type-03 SAM*
                                                                                        SSM-1*

                             <Source> IISS, The Military Balance, 2010, & Jane’s, All the World’s Aircraft, 2009-2010
U.S. Allies’/Partner’s Defense Inventories (Summary)
                      Offshore Development                Joint Development      Indigenous Development
                        U.S.              Others
          Air            E-3                                  Typhoon                     Harrier
         Force                                                Tornado
UK                                                             (F-35)
         Navy       Trident SLBM                                                 Invincible-class Carrier
                                                                                Sheffield-class Destroyer
                                                                                Vanguard-class Submarine
         Army    WAH-64 Helicopter                                                  Challenger-2 Tank

                               Offshore Development                     Joint              Indigenous
                                                                     Development          Development
                      U.S.                    Others
          Air       F-16A/B                 Mirage2000                                          IDF*
Taiwan   Force        E-2
         Navy       Kidd-class        La Fayette-class Frigate
                    Destroyer        Zwaardvis-class Submarine
         Army       M-60 Tank
                   Patriot SAM

                        Offshore Development                   Joint          Indigenous Development
                                                            Developmen
                      U.S.                Others
          Air        F-15K                                     Missile                 A/T-50
         Force      F-16C/D                                    System
ROK                  E-737                                    (Russia)
         Navy    Aegis Destroyer    209-class Submarine                   Sejong the Great -class Destroyer
                       P-3          213-class Submarine                   Yi Sun Shin-class Destroyer
         Army    AH-1 Helicopter       T-80U (Russia)                                 K-2 Tank
                  Patriot SAM
U.S. Developed Fighter Aircraft in Allies’ Inventory
Percentage of U.S. Fighter




                                               ★
                                              FS-X




                                                                 Year



                                      <Source> Defense of Japan White Paper, 1975-2011, Japan Ministry of Defense.
                                               Hura, et. al., 2000, Interoperability: A Continuing Challenge in Coalition Air Operations, RAND.
Japan’s Defense-Related System Development Overview




<Source> IISS, The Military Balance, 2010, & Jane’s, All the World’s Aircraft, 2009-2010, The World Defence Almanac 2009.
Geopolitical Landscape of Anti-Access Environment in Asia




                                                                                             Okinawa                       Guam




                                                                      South China Sea




<Source> Department of Defense, Office of the Secretary of Defense, Annual Report to Congress on the Military Power of the People’s Republic
of China, 2009, p. 18, accessed at http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/China_Military_Power_Report_2009.pdf), on February 28, 2012.
Geographical Environments in Southwestern Japan




                                           1000km


                  350km




      <Source> BBC News, Asia-Pacific. Retrieved on March 8, 2012 from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-11341139
Layered Capability in Defense System




                 LO*
                                Tier-3
           Enhanced Sensor


            Connectivity                 Tier-2


       Range      Fire Power
                                                    Tier-1
Mobility     Persistency   Resilience             (Baseline)




                 *LO: Low Observatory
Supplemental Slides
Japan’s Future Arms Development


           Offshore            Joint                   Indigenous
         Development        Development               Development



            F-35
                               BMD                       Soryu-
Tier-3                        System                   Submarine
                                                              P-1
            E-767
Tier-2
          F-15 P-3              F-2

                                                               10-
                                                              Tank
Tier-1
                                                         C-2 SAM


                                       Developing/Producing          Aerial
                                                                     Maritime
                                       Existing                      Ground

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Evolving issues with japan us arms exports and its implications to japans future defense capabilities

  • 1. Evolving Issues with Japan-U.S. Arms Exports and its Implications to Japan’s Future Defense Capabilities: Towards Synergistic Defense Capabilities for the Alliance Col. Koji Imaki Visiting Fellow, Japan Air Self Defense Force
  • 2. Outline Survey of Japan’s Defense Capability Current System Inventory of Japan Self Defense Force Controversial Development of Key Defense Systems Defense Capability of U.S. Allies and Partners United Kingdom Taiwan Republic of Korea External and Internal Environment of Japanese and U.S. Defense Initiatives Anti-Access/Area Denial Environment Japan’s Decision on Relaxing Arms Export Principles U.S. Defense Strategic Guidance and its implication for the Defense Industrial Base Japan’s Future Defense Capability Strategic Vision in Shaping Defense Capability Strategic Goals in Defense Capability Guideline for Shaping Defense Capability
  • 3. Japan’s Defense Inventories Offshore Development Joint Development Indigenous Development U.S. Others F-15 F-2 JADGE * Air Power F-4 C-1 E-767 KC-767 Offshore Development Joint Development Indigenous Development U.S. Others Maritime P-3 MCH-101 SM-3* P-1 (ASW**) Aegis System Soryu-class Submarine Power Hatakaze-class Destroyer US-2 (Amphibious Aircraft) Offshore Development Joint Development Indigenous Development U.S. Others Ground AH-64 Type-10 & -90 Tank Power Helicopter OH-1 Helicopter Type-03 SAM* SSM-1* <Source> IISS, The Military Balance, 2010, & Jane’s, All the World’s Aircraft, 2009-2010
  • 4. U.S. Allies’/Partner’s Defense Inventories (Summary) Offshore Development Joint Development Indigenous Development U.S. Others Air E-3 Typhoon Harrier Force Tornado UK (F-35) Navy Trident SLBM Invincible-class Carrier Sheffield-class Destroyer Vanguard-class Submarine Army WAH-64 Helicopter Challenger-2 Tank Offshore Development Joint Indigenous Development Development U.S. Others Air F-16A/B Mirage2000 IDF* Taiwan Force E-2 Navy Kidd-class La Fayette-class Frigate Destroyer Zwaardvis-class Submarine Army M-60 Tank Patriot SAM Offshore Development Joint Indigenous Development Developmen U.S. Others Air F-15K Missile A/T-50 Force F-16C/D System ROK E-737 (Russia) Navy Aegis Destroyer 209-class Submarine Sejong the Great -class Destroyer P-3 213-class Submarine Yi Sun Shin-class Destroyer Army AH-1 Helicopter T-80U (Russia) K-2 Tank Patriot SAM
  • 5. U.S. Developed Fighter Aircraft in Allies’ Inventory Percentage of U.S. Fighter ★ FS-X Year <Source> Defense of Japan White Paper, 1975-2011, Japan Ministry of Defense. Hura, et. al., 2000, Interoperability: A Continuing Challenge in Coalition Air Operations, RAND.
  • 6. Japan’s Defense-Related System Development Overview <Source> IISS, The Military Balance, 2010, & Jane’s, All the World’s Aircraft, 2009-2010, The World Defence Almanac 2009.
  • 7. Geopolitical Landscape of Anti-Access Environment in Asia Okinawa Guam South China Sea <Source> Department of Defense, Office of the Secretary of Defense, Annual Report to Congress on the Military Power of the People’s Republic of China, 2009, p. 18, accessed at http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/China_Military_Power_Report_2009.pdf), on February 28, 2012.
  • 8. Geographical Environments in Southwestern Japan 1000km 350km <Source> BBC News, Asia-Pacific. Retrieved on March 8, 2012 from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-11341139
  • 9. Layered Capability in Defense System LO* Tier-3 Enhanced Sensor Connectivity Tier-2 Range Fire Power Tier-1 Mobility Persistency Resilience (Baseline) *LO: Low Observatory
  • 11. Japan’s Future Arms Development Offshore Joint Indigenous Development Development Development F-35 BMD Soryu- Tier-3 System Submarine P-1 E-767 Tier-2 F-15 P-3 F-2 10- Tank Tier-1 C-2 SAM Developing/Producing Aerial Maritime Existing Ground