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        Lecture 2
The ASEAN and ASIAN Region
Economic Comparison of Major ASEAN Countries
                        (Source https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook)


Country                  Thailand         Malaysia        Singapore        Philippines          Indonesia         Vietnam

Population              65,068,149       24,821,286       4,553,009        91,077,287          234,693,997       85,262,356

Age Structure          0-14 21.6%        0-14 32.2%      0-14 15.2%       0-14 34.5%           0-14 28.7%       0-14 26.3%
                       15-64 70.1%      15-64 62.9%      15-64 76.3%      15-64 61.3%          15-64 65.6%      15-64 67.9%
                        65+ 8.2%          65+ 4.8%        65+ 8.5%         65+ 4.1%             65+ 5.7%         65+ 5.8%
Sex Ratio               0.979M/F          1.027M/F        0.954M/F          0.999M/F             1.05M/F          1.07M/F

Pop. Growth              0.663%           1.759%           1.275%            1.764%               1.213%           1.004%

GDP                    US$596.5 B       US$132.3B        US$122.1B         US$449.8B           US$948.3 B       US $262.5 B

Budget Expenditure      US$36.61B        US38.89 B         US18.8B        US $19.07 B          US $77.39B        US $15.9 B

Exports                US $128.2 B      US$160.8B        US$289.4 B       US $46.16 B          US $102.4B        US $39.9 B

Imports                US $113.4 B       US $124 B       US$244.6B         US 53.13 B            US 73 B         US $40.6 B

GDP Per capita          US$9,200         US$12,800        US$31,400         US$5,000            US $3,900        US $3,100
(PPP)
Income Distribution    Lowest 10%       Lowest 10%           N/A          Lowest 10%           Lowest 10%       Lowest 10%
                           2.7%            1.4%                               2.2%                 3.6%             2.9%
                       Highest 10%      Highest 10%                       Highest 10%          Highest 10%      Highest 10%
                          33.4%            39.2%                             34.2%                28.5%            28.9%
Poverty                    10%              5.1%             N/A               40%                17.8%            19.5%
Mobile Phone Users      40.8 million   19.424 Million    4.789 Million    42.869 Million       63,809 Million   15.505 Million

Internet Users         8.466 million   11,292 Million    1.71 Million     4.615 Million          16 Million     14.658 Million
Economic Comparison of ASEAN Countries
                           to Other Major Economies
                    (Source https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook)

Country           Selected             US             China             India               Japan         EU
                  ASEAN
Population       505,476,084      301,139,947     1,321,851,888     1,129,866,154     127,433,494     490,426,060
Age Structure                      0-14 20.2%      0-14 20.4%       0-14 31.8%        0-14 13.8%      0-14 15.72%
                                  15-64 67.2%      15-64 71.1%      15-64 63.1%       15-64 65.2%        15-64
                                   65+ 12.8%        65+ 7.9%         65+ 5.1%           65+ 21%         67.16%
                                                                                                      65+ 17.11%
Sex Ratio                           1.027M/F         1.06M/F          1.064M/F             0.953M/F     0.96M/F
Pop. Growth                          0.894%          0.606%            1.606%              -0.088%      0.16%
GDP              US2,511.5 B      US$13.16 Tr      US$10.21 Tr       US$4.164 T       US$4.218 T      US $13.08 T
Budget           US$766.86B        US2.655 Tr       US515.8B        US $127.8 B       US $1.586 T
Expenditure
Exports          US 766.86 B      US$1.023Tr       US$969.7 B       US $123.1 B       US $615.8B      US $1.33 T
Imports          US 648.73 B      US $1.861 T      US$751.9 B         US 184 B         US 543.5 B     US $1.466 T
GDP Per capita    US $4,900        US$43,800        US$7,800          US$3,800        US $33,100      US $29,900
(PPP)
Income           Lowest 10%       Lowest 10%       Lowest 10%       Lowest 10%        Lowest 10%      Lowest 10%
Distribution        2.9%            1.9%              1.6%             3.6%              4.8%            2.8%
                 Highest 10%        Highest        Highest 10%      Highest 10%       Highest 10%     Highest 10%
                   30.49%         10% 29.9%           34.9%            31.1%             21.7%           25.1%
Poverty             19.3%             12%              10%               25%                 N/A
Mobile Phone     187.2 million     233 Million      461 Million      166.1 Million    101.7 Million   466 Million
Users
Internet Users   56.65 million     208 Million      131 Million       60 Million      87.55 Million   247 Million
Income for Middle & Upper Economic Classes



                     Thailand     Malaysia    Indonesia     Philippines     Vietnam       Australia

Middle Class
Per capita Income   US $7,551    US $3,957    US $3,429     US $4,535      US $3,078      US $29,959
Population          52,054,519   19,857,028   187,755,197   72,861,829     58,148,926     16,347,340

Upper Class

Per Capita Income   US $30,618   US $20,894   US $11,515    US $16,890     US8,8975       US $83,853
Population          6,506,814    2,482,126    23,469,399    9,107,728      8,526,235      2,043,417

                                                                                        Wealthy
                                                                                        Transition
                                                                                          Middle
                                                                                           Class

                                                                                          Poverty

                LDCs                          NIEs                        China
Some Other ASEAN Indicators

                 Thailand           Malaysia           Singapore          Indonesia         Philippines           Vietnam
   Ethnic     Thai 75% Chinese      Malay 50.4%,     Chinese 76.8%,        Javanese        Tagalog 28.1%,         Kinh (Viet)
Backgrounds    14% Other 11%       Chinese 23.7%,     Malay 13.9%,          40.6%,             Cebuano           86.2%, Tay
                                  Indigenous 11%,     Indian 7.9%,        Sundanese         13.1%, Ilocano       1.9%, Thhai
                                    Indian 7.1%,       Other 1.4%       15%, Madurese             9%,           1.7%, Muong
                                    Others 7.8%                              3.3%,         Bisaya/Binisaya      1.5%, Khome
                                                                         Minankabau              7.6%,            1.4%, Hoa
                                                                         2.7%, Betawi         Hiligaynon          1.1%, Nun
                                                                          2.4%, Bugis       Ilonggo 7.5%,       1.1%, Hmong
                                                                             2.4%          Bikol 6%, Waray           1%
                                                                                                 3.4%
 Religions     Buddhist 94.6%      Muslim 60.4%,     Buddhist 42.5%,     Muslim 86.1%,     Roman Catholic       Buddhist 9.3%,
                Muslim 4.6%       Buddhist 19.2%,     Muslim 14.9%,     Protestant 5.7%,   80.8%, Muslim        Catholic 6.7%,
               Christian 0.7%     Christian 9.1%,      Taoist 8.5%,     Roman Catholic     5%, Evangelical     Hoa Hao 1.5%,
                                    Hindu 6.3%,         Hindu 4%,       3%, Hindu 1.8%     2.8%, Iglesia ni     Cao Dai 1.1%,
                                     Traditional      Catholic 4.8%,                         Kristo 2.3%,      Protestant 0.5%,
                                   Chinese 2.6%       other Christian                       Aglipayan 2%         Muslim 0.1%,
                                                          9.8%                              other Christian      none 80.8%
                                                                                                 4.5%
Languages     Thai, English and       Bahasa         Mandarin 35%,           Bahasa        Tagalog, with 8       Vietnamese,
               ethnic, regional      Malaysia,        English 23%,         Indonesia,      dialects, English    English, some
                   dialects           English,        Malay 14.1%,           English                           French, Chinese
                                  Chinese, Tamil,    Hokkien 11.4%,                                              and Khmer,
                                  Telugu, Punjabi,     Cantonese                                                   mountain
                                    Thai, Iban,      5.7%, Teochew                                                languages
                                     Kadazan           4.9%, Tamil
                                                          3.2%
    %             71/28%              37/63%             0/100%             54/46%             39/61%              75/25%
Rural/Urban
Geography
                                                   (Climate, Topography, Flora, Fauna, Microbiology)


                                                                              Adapted from Cateora & Graham P. 99
                                                   History
Adaptation




                                                     Technology and
                                                    Political Economy



                                                                    Social Institutions
             Socialisation




                                              (Family, Religion, School, Media, Government, Corporations)
                             Application




                                                      Imitation
                                                                                    Elements of Culture
                                           Peers
                                                                  (Values, rituals, symbols, beliefs, though processes

                                                                        Consequences

                                            Consumption decisions                                                Market
                                               and behaviours                 Management Styles                 Structure
Malaysia, Thailand
                                                                                    Singapore, Brunei                  Indo, Philip, Viet
                                      Fulfillment: (dreams)
                   Actualisation
                    (The Artist)
                                                                          Study after retirement
                   Self-fulfillment
                                                                          Fresh vegetables (Organic)
                                                                      Books
Fine Dining & Processed Foods                                                            Aromatherapy products                     Camb,
                                                                                              Luxury cars
                                                       Esteem                            Nutraceuticals & herbs
                                                                                                                                    Laos
  Travel & Vacations                                (The Executive)
                                                      Achievement,              Fine Fragrances
                                                   prestige,fulfillment
Car Air Fresheners                           Responsibility: (hope)
                                                                                           Fashion Clothes (e.g.
                                                  Social (Worker)                                Jeans)
  Chewing Gum                                   Family, relationships,
                                                    workgroups
                                             Community: (acceptance)
                                                                                                          Most
        Water                                                                                          Household
       Purifiers
                                            Safety (The Farmer)
                                          Home, Security and stability                                  Cleaning
                               Necessities: based on what is good (existence)                           Products
                                                                                                            Fresh
Soap                                                                                                      Vegetables
                                         Physiological (The Hunter)                                          Rice
                                      Basic Biological Needs – Food, water, air
                                        Staples: based on survival (fear)
The Forces of                                                      Primary
Change in the                 Technology




                                                                                                                      In
  Business




                                                                                                                        sp
                         n




                                                                                                                          ira
 Landscape
                    a tio                                                                                                        Digitization




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                  re




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                 C




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                                                                                   Ac




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                                                                                     co




                                                      ct
                                                   ru
                                                                                          m




                                             st
                                                                                           m




                                       on
                                                         Destruction          Adoption      od




                                   ec
                                                                                                 at
                                                                                                      io




                                  D
                                                                                                         n


     Political               Coordination                                                                                   Social
      legal                                                                                                                Cultural
                                                                  Economy
                                                                  (Central)
                                                                                                                              Globalization
  Immediate                                                                                                                   Incremental
                              Acceleration                                              Rationalization


                                 Re




                                                                                                   n
                                                                                               tio
                                      de                 Realization      Formation




                                                                                              ap
                                           f in




                                                                                         Ad
                                                  itio
                                                         n


           R                                                     Prosperity




                                                                                                                              n
             eg Peace




                                                                                                                           tio
               ul                                               (Economic                                         People
                                                                                                                       Futurization




                                                                                                                          a
                 at
              (Regional




                                                                                                                       uc
                    io                                       integration and                                 (Human and social



                                                                                                                    Ed
             Peace andn                                                                                        development๗
                                                               cooperation) Market
               security)
                                                                 Ultimate                                    Kotler, et. Al., Think ASEAN
Value Migrator
                                               Change
                     Certain/Uncertain         Technology              Important/Unimportant



                       Political Legal          Economy                Social-Cultural



                                                     Market


    Value Supplier                                                                           Value Determiner

   Competitor                                                                                  Customer
                                            TOWS Examination
   Winner, Loser,                                                                         Committed, Lost, New
     Emerging




                                               Value Decider
                                              Company
                                           Existing competence,
                                              Risk, Attitude,
                                            Stretch Possibility
The Diamond 4C
   Sub-Model                     Choice
                                         Go invest       No-Go/Hold
                                         Harvest              Divest
                                                                             Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 6
Casualties
Disparity Between the “Traditional” Economies and the
                         “Knowledge-Based” Economies


                               Traditional Economies                     New Economies

Markets                                 Stable                                Dynamic

Scope of competition            National (or regional)                         Global

Organizational form           Hierarchical / Bureaucratic          Networked/Entrepreneurial

Key production factor            Labour and Capital                 Knowledge and innovation

Importance of research                Moderate                                 Critical

Nature of employment                    Stable                         Risk and opportunity

Regulation                      Commend and Control                Market Orientated Flexibility




                                                 Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 49
Changing Business Landscape


                                    Traditional Businesses                     Future Businesses

Markets                      National, Overseas subject to tariffs    Trading block, free trade zones

Scope of Competition         National or regional: Protectionist      Global, liberalised

Organisational Structure     Hierarchical, bureaucratic, specific     Networked, entrepreneurial,
                             scope, localised                         multidisciplinary, empowerment
Key Productivity Factor      Labour (skills), capital, in-house       Knowledge, innovation, outsourcing,
                             expertise, durability                    offshoring, time to market
Importance of Research       Moderate, imitate and improve            Critical, innovate and invent

Nature of engagement         Mandate, relationship, intuition         Opportunistic, free trade, due
                                                                      diligence
Regulation/Governance        Top down silo, closed group              Connected matrix, transparency

Strategic Management         Inside out- SWOT-strengths,              Outside in – TOWS- threats,
                             weaknesses, opportunities, threats       opportunities, weaknesses, strengths
Strategic Marketing          3 Cs – customer, competition,            4 Cs – change, customer,
                             company, 4 Ps – product, place,          competition, company PDB triangle –
                             promotion, pricing                       positioning, differentiation, brand
Marketing Focus              Product centric distribution             Customer centric service
Growth Strategy              Market share                             Sustainability


                                                     Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 54-55
Value Migrator
                                                                         The New Landscape
                                                                            Configuration
                                               Significant
                                                forces of
                                                 change



                                             New rules of
                                              the game

    New                                                                              New
Competitive                            New Value Winning New value                Customer
                                       Propositions Value requirements
   setting                                           app                            profile
 indications                                                                      indicators

                                              F8 + E8     “Total Get”
                                    Value = __________ = __________
                                              P + Oe     “Total Give”




Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 77
                                                Company

                        Existing competence Risk-attitude Stretch possibility
Regulation
                                                                                       SCCP placed lemongrass oil
                                                                                       under scrutiny as a cosmetic
   Trends & Technology                                                                 ingredient in EU.
Alternative technologies to




                                        Trends & Technology
steam distillation (CO2)                                                                           Substitutes
can make much smoother                                                                   Citral (main constituents) can




                                                                     Regulation
oil but will increase capital                                                            be produced from a number of
needs greatly.                                                                           chemical feed stocks.
Natural, exotic, organic,                                                                Alternative oils (litsea cubeba)
FAIRTRADE could                                                                          cost much less to produce.
increase oils popularity (?)                                                             Lemon myrtle oil much
if seen as exotic.                                                                       smoother and acceptable to
                                                                                         end users
                                                                                         Many alternatives to
                                                                                         lemongrass in product
                                                                                         formulations.
                                                              Substitutes




                                      Industry Competitors
                                                                                        Bargaining
     Bargaining                                                                          power of
      power of                                                                            buyers
      suppliers
                                Intensity of Rivalry




                        Competitive
                         Rivalries                                                     Bargaining Power of Buyers
                                                                                     Currently small item of trade in
                                                                                     flavour industry, strong
                                                                                     relationships with established
                                                                                     producers.


        Bargaining Power of Suppliers
        Collecting the most suitable                                         Competitive Rivalries
        planting material require effort.                             Lemongrass quick yield and
        Extraction and                                                straightforward to cultivate and distil
        harvest .technology needs to be                               – expect high elasticity of supply
        acquired or developed                                         from both existing and new
        Analytical equipment or service                               producers.
        maybe expensive/remote.                                       Producers of substitutes very
                                                                      aggressive
Competitors in Asia
Scope

Global
                                                                     Multinational firms




                                       Regional National Champions
Regional                                 CP, Singapore Telecom




            Domestic players both large and small –
            Chinese SMEs, overseas Chinese firms,
                      national companies

 Local


            Contextual and
                                            Low resource costs
           political knowhow                                                Technology and Marketing

                           Basis of Competitive Advantage
MNC Development According to Country Development
Sourcing Countries          Sourcing office           Offshore factories
South China ASEAN                                                                    Integrate into
                            OEM Contracts               in export zones
                                                                                    global/regional
                                                 JV with resource rich partners
Key Countries                                                                          operations
Japan
China                        Joint venture
Taiwan                        Acquisition                   Expand
South Korea                   Greenfield


Emerging Countries
Thailand                    Joint ventures            Initiate several
Indonesia               representative offices       business activities            Rationalization
Malaysia                     Distributors            multiple presence
India
Philippines
Vietnam
                             Agents                    Establish initial
Marketing Countries       Representative             investment through
Myanmar                       office                JV or local subsidiary
Laos, Cambodia


Platform Countries
Singapore               Establish a base
                        to learn, collect                                           Regional office
Hong Kong                                             Set up a regional
                        information and                                            for administration
                                                 office to coordinate efforts
                        set up contracts                                              of synergies




                            Entry                      Growth                     Consolidation
Banking & Financial                     Finance
Typical Evolution of         Services
  Chinese Groups
     in ASEAN
                                                                   he en d
                                                                  T ld n
                                               Property                                Trade
                            Real Estate                             o o
                                                                   G am
                                                                     i
                                                                    D


                            Progressive                      Manufacturing
                              vertical
                           integration in                          Diversified
                         upstream activities                        Activities




                       Investment in industrial
                           activities, either                      Diversified
                          direct or through                         Activities
Start up in Trading         joint ventures

                                                          Lasserre & Schutte, P. 132
Salim Group (Lim Soe Liong)


   Cement, Automobiles, flour, floods, chemicals,
           banking, property, insurance




        Sinar Mas (Eka Tiga Wijaya):

                  Paper, pulp,
   chemicals, agribusiness, finance, property

            Asta (W. Soeryadjaya):

                 Automobiles,
heavy equipment, office equipment, agribusiness,
              property, finance
The Kuok Group (Robert Kuok)

     Plantations, edible, flour, shipping,
  hotels, mining, computer services, retail,
               film distribution



        Hong Leong (Quek Leng Chan)

     Banking, Insurance, car distribution,
 construction, building materials, manufacturing




      Genting Group (Lim Goh Tong)

Hotels, Casinos, resorts, plantations, property,
         paper mills, power generation
Charoen Pokphand (Dhanin Chearavanont)

 Feed Mills, poultry, chemicals, automatics,
   telecommunications, textiles, property




    Bangkok Bank (Charti Sophonpanich)

     Banking, Insurance, financial services




      Siam Motors (Khunying Phornthip)

        Automobiles, musical instruments
China
Ownership of Consumer Durable Goods in China (2002)

                                      Units per 100             Units per 100         National Average
                                    Households (Rural)       households (Urban)

Bicycle                                   121.3                     142.7                  128.1

Motorcycle                                 28.1                     22.2                    26.2

Car                                        N/A                       0.9                    N/A

Radio Cassette Recorder                    20.4                     47.9                    26.2

Colour Television                          60.5                     126.4                   81.2

B/W Television                             48.1                      N/A                    N/A

Telephone                                  40.8                     93.7                    57.4

Mobile Phone                               13.7                     62.9                    29.2

Air conditioner                            2.3                      44.1                    16.2

Camera                                     3.3                      44.1                    16.2

Electric fan                              134.3                     182.6                  149.5

Hi-Fi System                               9.7                      25.2                    14.6

Refrigerator                               14.8                     87.4                    37.7

Video Recorder                             3.3                      18.4                    8.1

Washing Machine                            31.8                     92.8                    51.1

                                                         China Statistics Handbook 2003
Change in Consumer    Differentiation
    Behaviour in China                         Yuppie
                                               Fashion




Traditionalism                                        Modernisation




    Thoughts of
   Chairman Mao
                         Egalitarianism    Lasserre & Schutte, P. 74
Chinese Culture in Flux and Transformation




                           Traditional Values   Communist Values
                                                                             Egalitarianism
                                                                           Country Orientation
   Hierarchy                                                                     Party
Family orientation                                                         Class Background
 Societal order                                                                Sacrifice
  Relationships
   Harmony
    Seniority
  Face Saving
                                       Emerging Values


                                                                   Less Hierarchical
                                                                Individualist/Materialist
                                                                  Hero Entrepreneur
                                                               Here and now orientation
                                                               More direct communication




                                                           Lasserre & Schutte, P. 80
Sales Response Function to Income
Sales


                      Marketing Potential


         Concave Function:
           Elite Segment                                          S-Curve Function:
                                                                 Traditional Segment


                                        S-Curve Function:
                                        Transition Segment




Lasserre & Schutte, P. 71
                                                             Marketing Effort/Time
Differentiated Positioning
   High            Applied to high end
                        segments                                 Emerging Battlefield
                      Price premium                                  Low Cost
                       Low Volume                                 Mass Distribution
                        High costs                                 Differentiated
                        High Tech
                      Strong Brands                    Large Chinese Companies, (Huawei, TGL),
                                                             and some Western companies
                Most Western Competitors

 Technology
and Marketing
 Advantages


                                                                           Cost Leadership
                                                                      Positioning applied to high
                                                                      volume low-end segments
                   Advantages based                                            Low Cost
                                                                          Mass distribution
                 on local knowledge only
     Low
                         Cottage Industries                           Large Chinese competitors
                                                                            (Kanko, Haier)



                  No Specific cost                                         Based on volume
                 advantages based
                                              Cost Advantages             and local knowledge
                     on volume

                                                Competitive Positioning in China
A Look at the Malaysian Retail Market Channels
Malaysian Retail
                            Manufacturer
Market
Channels & Structure
                                                  National
                                                 Distributors




                                                Wholesalers




                   Super-      Sundry      Convenience          Chinese
   Hypermarkets   markets      Stores        Stores             Medical
                                                                 Halls


                                                         Consumers
Hypermarkets
• Hypermarkets make up approximately
  15% of the national market. Tesco (12),
  Carrefour (12) and Giant (20), dominate
  this sector. Makro (8) is a closed system
  for wholesalers and small business
  customers, although this policy varies from
  time to time. There are approximately 50
  hypermarkets in Malaysia.
Supermarkets
• Supermarkets can be broken down into
  two categories. Those foreign owned and
  part of a chain like Jaya Jusco (7) and
  Giant (numbering around 65), locally
  owned groups like Fajar (16), Suiwah (6)
  and Econsave (16),(numbering around
  100) and those locally owned independent
  supermarkets with no affiliations
  (numbering around 220). This is
  approximately 25% of the market.
Sundry Stores
• Approx. 80,000 in Malaysia in both urban
  and rural areas, majority independently
  owned small family businesses. Attempts
  have been made to franchise or develop
  chains like Felda and Pernama, but not so
  successful. This is about 30% of the
  market.
Convenience Stores
• These usually franchised stores are
  rapidly growing in numbers as both 7-
  Eleven & the petrol companies have seen
  opportunities to enter into the retail trade.
  Their market share is approximately 6%
  but rapidly rising.
Chinese Medical Halls
• Traditional Chinese medical halls are
  scattered across the country and often
  develop into a small supermarket or
  sundry store. They, together with
  pharmacies have around 14% market-
  share but this is losing out to the
  convenience stores and chain
  pharmacies. About 6,000.
Pharmacy
• Pharmacies primarily part of chains like
  giant, but still number of independents.
  They are specialist stores usually selling
  OTC and widening ranges to include
  herbs and nutraceuticals.
Other
• A specialist group that sells confectionary,
  OTC drugs and FMCG goods. Number
  around 200.
• Sell books, magazines, Newspapers,
  drinks, etc.
• An emporium group with 10 stores
  throughout Malaysia specialising in
  emporium items and some FMCG.
FMCG Market Fragmentation/Concentration
 Comparison Between Malaysia, Thailand, Hong Kong
                            and Australia
  Outlet Type    Malaysia      Thailand     Hong Kong   Australia
Hyper &           20%            68%           91%        85%
Supermarkets
(Chain Owned)
Independent        20%            2%           2%         10%
Hyper &
Supermarkets
Wholesale          57%           10%           2%         3%
Trade – Sundry
& convenience
Stores
Other              3%            20%           5%         2%
                              Convenience
                                Chains
Kedah/Perlis 15%
              Kelantan/Terengganu 8%
                   Perak 8%                  East Malaysia 6%

                    Pahang 8%
                            Klang Valley &
                            Central Region
                            (N. Sembilan)
                                    35%




Penang 5%

                      Southern Region
                      (Johor & Melaka)        Approximate National
                                              Market Break-Up
                              15%
Barriers to Entry
Market Fragmentation
Centralisation
Merchandising
The way of doing business
Guanxi
Financial Issues
Clear
                              Competitive
                                Context                                   Perceptions of the
                             Clarity of Rules                            Accessibility of the
                                                                         Asian Pacific Region


    Political,                                                                             Singapore
   Legal, and
                                                                     Hong Kong
 Ethical Context                              Taiwan
   Familiarity
                                            Malaysia

                                                             Japan
                             Philippine
Not Familiar       Vietnam                                                                      Familiar
                                                  Thailand
                    South Korea
                                   India
               Indonesia



                                          China




                                                               Unclear     Lasserre & Schutte, P. 184
Definitely yes
                   Reliability                                 Strategic Market
                                                                Information the
                                                              Asian Pacific Region


                                                                  Japan

                                                  Taiwan
  Easy to Obtain                                                 South Korea
                                                     Hong Kong

                                                           Singapore

                     Philippine           Malaysia
Definitely No                                                                     Definitely yes
                     India                    Vietnam
                             China
                      Thailand


                    Indonesia




                                  Definitely No
                                                                 Lasserre & Schutte, P. 189

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International Marketing Lecture 2

  • 1. International Marketing 463-441 (3-0-3) Lecture 2 The ASEAN and ASIAN Region
  • 2.
  • 3. Economic Comparison of Major ASEAN Countries (Source https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook) Country Thailand Malaysia Singapore Philippines Indonesia Vietnam Population 65,068,149 24,821,286 4,553,009 91,077,287 234,693,997 85,262,356 Age Structure 0-14 21.6% 0-14 32.2% 0-14 15.2% 0-14 34.5% 0-14 28.7% 0-14 26.3% 15-64 70.1% 15-64 62.9% 15-64 76.3% 15-64 61.3% 15-64 65.6% 15-64 67.9% 65+ 8.2% 65+ 4.8% 65+ 8.5% 65+ 4.1% 65+ 5.7% 65+ 5.8% Sex Ratio 0.979M/F 1.027M/F 0.954M/F 0.999M/F 1.05M/F 1.07M/F Pop. Growth 0.663% 1.759% 1.275% 1.764% 1.213% 1.004% GDP US$596.5 B US$132.3B US$122.1B US$449.8B US$948.3 B US $262.5 B Budget Expenditure US$36.61B US38.89 B US18.8B US $19.07 B US $77.39B US $15.9 B Exports US $128.2 B US$160.8B US$289.4 B US $46.16 B US $102.4B US $39.9 B Imports US $113.4 B US $124 B US$244.6B US 53.13 B US 73 B US $40.6 B GDP Per capita US$9,200 US$12,800 US$31,400 US$5,000 US $3,900 US $3,100 (PPP) Income Distribution Lowest 10% Lowest 10% N/A Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Lowest 10% 2.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% Highest 10% Highest 10% Highest 10% Highest 10% Highest 10% 33.4% 39.2% 34.2% 28.5% 28.9% Poverty 10% 5.1% N/A 40% 17.8% 19.5% Mobile Phone Users 40.8 million 19.424 Million 4.789 Million 42.869 Million 63,809 Million 15.505 Million Internet Users 8.466 million 11,292 Million 1.71 Million 4.615 Million 16 Million 14.658 Million
  • 4. Economic Comparison of ASEAN Countries to Other Major Economies (Source https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook) Country Selected US China India Japan EU ASEAN Population 505,476,084 301,139,947 1,321,851,888 1,129,866,154 127,433,494 490,426,060 Age Structure 0-14 20.2% 0-14 20.4% 0-14 31.8% 0-14 13.8% 0-14 15.72% 15-64 67.2% 15-64 71.1% 15-64 63.1% 15-64 65.2% 15-64 65+ 12.8% 65+ 7.9% 65+ 5.1% 65+ 21% 67.16% 65+ 17.11% Sex Ratio 1.027M/F 1.06M/F 1.064M/F 0.953M/F 0.96M/F Pop. Growth 0.894% 0.606% 1.606% -0.088% 0.16% GDP US2,511.5 B US$13.16 Tr US$10.21 Tr US$4.164 T US$4.218 T US $13.08 T Budget US$766.86B US2.655 Tr US515.8B US $127.8 B US $1.586 T Expenditure Exports US 766.86 B US$1.023Tr US$969.7 B US $123.1 B US $615.8B US $1.33 T Imports US 648.73 B US $1.861 T US$751.9 B US 184 B US 543.5 B US $1.466 T GDP Per capita US $4,900 US$43,800 US$7,800 US$3,800 US $33,100 US $29,900 (PPP) Income Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Lowest 10% Distribution 2.9% 1.9% 1.6% 3.6% 4.8% 2.8% Highest 10% Highest Highest 10% Highest 10% Highest 10% Highest 10% 30.49% 10% 29.9% 34.9% 31.1% 21.7% 25.1% Poverty 19.3% 12% 10% 25% N/A Mobile Phone 187.2 million 233 Million 461 Million 166.1 Million 101.7 Million 466 Million Users Internet Users 56.65 million 208 Million 131 Million 60 Million 87.55 Million 247 Million
  • 5. Income for Middle & Upper Economic Classes Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Australia Middle Class Per capita Income US $7,551 US $3,957 US $3,429 US $4,535 US $3,078 US $29,959 Population 52,054,519 19,857,028 187,755,197 72,861,829 58,148,926 16,347,340 Upper Class Per Capita Income US $30,618 US $20,894 US $11,515 US $16,890 US8,8975 US $83,853 Population 6,506,814 2,482,126 23,469,399 9,107,728 8,526,235 2,043,417 Wealthy Transition Middle Class Poverty LDCs NIEs China
  • 6. Some Other ASEAN Indicators Thailand Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Ethnic Thai 75% Chinese Malay 50.4%, Chinese 76.8%, Javanese Tagalog 28.1%, Kinh (Viet) Backgrounds 14% Other 11% Chinese 23.7%, Malay 13.9%, 40.6%, Cebuano 86.2%, Tay Indigenous 11%, Indian 7.9%, Sundanese 13.1%, Ilocano 1.9%, Thhai Indian 7.1%, Other 1.4% 15%, Madurese 9%, 1.7%, Muong Others 7.8% 3.3%, Bisaya/Binisaya 1.5%, Khome Minankabau 7.6%, 1.4%, Hoa 2.7%, Betawi Hiligaynon 1.1%, Nun 2.4%, Bugis Ilonggo 7.5%, 1.1%, Hmong 2.4% Bikol 6%, Waray 1% 3.4% Religions Buddhist 94.6% Muslim 60.4%, Buddhist 42.5%, Muslim 86.1%, Roman Catholic Buddhist 9.3%, Muslim 4.6% Buddhist 19.2%, Muslim 14.9%, Protestant 5.7%, 80.8%, Muslim Catholic 6.7%, Christian 0.7% Christian 9.1%, Taoist 8.5%, Roman Catholic 5%, Evangelical Hoa Hao 1.5%, Hindu 6.3%, Hindu 4%, 3%, Hindu 1.8% 2.8%, Iglesia ni Cao Dai 1.1%, Traditional Catholic 4.8%, Kristo 2.3%, Protestant 0.5%, Chinese 2.6% other Christian Aglipayan 2% Muslim 0.1%, 9.8% other Christian none 80.8% 4.5% Languages Thai, English and Bahasa Mandarin 35%, Bahasa Tagalog, with 8 Vietnamese, ethnic, regional Malaysia, English 23%, Indonesia, dialects, English English, some dialects English, Malay 14.1%, English French, Chinese Chinese, Tamil, Hokkien 11.4%, and Khmer, Telugu, Punjabi, Cantonese mountain Thai, Iban, 5.7%, Teochew languages Kadazan 4.9%, Tamil 3.2% % 71/28% 37/63% 0/100% 54/46% 39/61% 75/25% Rural/Urban
  • 7.
  • 8. Geography (Climate, Topography, Flora, Fauna, Microbiology) Adapted from Cateora & Graham P. 99 History Adaptation Technology and Political Economy Social Institutions Socialisation (Family, Religion, School, Media, Government, Corporations) Application Imitation Elements of Culture Peers (Values, rituals, symbols, beliefs, though processes Consequences Consumption decisions Market and behaviours Management Styles Structure
  • 9. Malaysia, Thailand Singapore, Brunei Indo, Philip, Viet Fulfillment: (dreams) Actualisation (The Artist) Study after retirement Self-fulfillment Fresh vegetables (Organic) Books Fine Dining & Processed Foods Aromatherapy products Camb, Luxury cars Esteem Nutraceuticals & herbs Laos Travel & Vacations (The Executive) Achievement, Fine Fragrances prestige,fulfillment Car Air Fresheners Responsibility: (hope) Fashion Clothes (e.g. Social (Worker) Jeans) Chewing Gum Family, relationships, workgroups Community: (acceptance) Most Water Household Purifiers Safety (The Farmer) Home, Security and stability Cleaning Necessities: based on what is good (existence) Products Fresh Soap Vegetables Physiological (The Hunter) Rice Basic Biological Needs – Food, water, air Staples: based on survival (fear)
  • 10. The Forces of Primary Change in the Technology In Business sp n ira Landscape a tio Digitization t io re n C n Ac io co ct ru m st m on Destruction Adoption od ec at io D n Political Coordination Social legal Cultural Economy (Central) Globalization Immediate Incremental Acceleration Rationalization Re n tio de Realization Formation ap f in Ad itio n R Prosperity n eg Peace tio ul (Economic People Futurization a at (Regional uc io integration and (Human and social Ed Peace andn development๗ cooperation) Market security) Ultimate Kotler, et. Al., Think ASEAN
  • 11.
  • 12. Value Migrator Change Certain/Uncertain Technology Important/Unimportant Political Legal Economy Social-Cultural Market Value Supplier Value Determiner Competitor Customer TOWS Examination Winner, Loser, Committed, Lost, New Emerging Value Decider Company Existing competence, Risk, Attitude, Stretch Possibility The Diamond 4C Sub-Model Choice Go invest No-Go/Hold Harvest Divest Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 6
  • 14. Disparity Between the “Traditional” Economies and the “Knowledge-Based” Economies Traditional Economies New Economies Markets Stable Dynamic Scope of competition National (or regional) Global Organizational form Hierarchical / Bureaucratic Networked/Entrepreneurial Key production factor Labour and Capital Knowledge and innovation Importance of research Moderate Critical Nature of employment Stable Risk and opportunity Regulation Commend and Control Market Orientated Flexibility Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 49
  • 15. Changing Business Landscape Traditional Businesses Future Businesses Markets National, Overseas subject to tariffs Trading block, free trade zones Scope of Competition National or regional: Protectionist Global, liberalised Organisational Structure Hierarchical, bureaucratic, specific Networked, entrepreneurial, scope, localised multidisciplinary, empowerment Key Productivity Factor Labour (skills), capital, in-house Knowledge, innovation, outsourcing, expertise, durability offshoring, time to market Importance of Research Moderate, imitate and improve Critical, innovate and invent Nature of engagement Mandate, relationship, intuition Opportunistic, free trade, due diligence Regulation/Governance Top down silo, closed group Connected matrix, transparency Strategic Management Inside out- SWOT-strengths, Outside in – TOWS- threats, weaknesses, opportunities, threats opportunities, weaknesses, strengths Strategic Marketing 3 Cs – customer, competition, 4 Cs – change, customer, company, 4 Ps – product, place, competition, company PDB triangle – promotion, pricing positioning, differentiation, brand Marketing Focus Product centric distribution Customer centric service Growth Strategy Market share Sustainability Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 54-55
  • 16. Value Migrator The New Landscape Configuration Significant forces of change New rules of the game New New Competitive New Value Winning New value Customer Propositions Value requirements setting app profile indications indicators F8 + E8 “Total Get” Value = __________ = __________ P + Oe “Total Give” Kotler, et. al, Think ASEAN P. 77 Company Existing competence Risk-attitude Stretch possibility
  • 17. Regulation SCCP placed lemongrass oil under scrutiny as a cosmetic Trends & Technology ingredient in EU. Alternative technologies to Trends & Technology steam distillation (CO2) Substitutes can make much smoother Citral (main constituents) can Regulation oil but will increase capital be produced from a number of needs greatly. chemical feed stocks. Natural, exotic, organic, Alternative oils (litsea cubeba) FAIRTRADE could cost much less to produce. increase oils popularity (?) Lemon myrtle oil much if seen as exotic. smoother and acceptable to end users Many alternatives to lemongrass in product formulations. Substitutes Industry Competitors Bargaining Bargaining power of power of buyers suppliers Intensity of Rivalry Competitive Rivalries Bargaining Power of Buyers Currently small item of trade in flavour industry, strong relationships with established producers. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Collecting the most suitable Competitive Rivalries planting material require effort. Lemongrass quick yield and Extraction and straightforward to cultivate and distil harvest .technology needs to be – expect high elasticity of supply acquired or developed from both existing and new Analytical equipment or service producers. maybe expensive/remote. Producers of substitutes very aggressive
  • 18. Competitors in Asia Scope Global Multinational firms Regional National Champions Regional CP, Singapore Telecom Domestic players both large and small – Chinese SMEs, overseas Chinese firms, national companies Local Contextual and Low resource costs political knowhow Technology and Marketing Basis of Competitive Advantage
  • 19. MNC Development According to Country Development Sourcing Countries Sourcing office Offshore factories South China ASEAN Integrate into OEM Contracts in export zones global/regional JV with resource rich partners Key Countries operations Japan China Joint venture Taiwan Acquisition Expand South Korea Greenfield Emerging Countries Thailand Joint ventures Initiate several Indonesia representative offices business activities Rationalization Malaysia Distributors multiple presence India Philippines Vietnam Agents Establish initial Marketing Countries Representative investment through Myanmar office JV or local subsidiary Laos, Cambodia Platform Countries Singapore Establish a base to learn, collect Regional office Hong Kong Set up a regional information and for administration office to coordinate efforts set up contracts of synergies Entry Growth Consolidation
  • 20.
  • 21. Banking & Financial Finance Typical Evolution of Services Chinese Groups in ASEAN he en d T ld n Property Trade Real Estate o o G am i D Progressive Manufacturing vertical integration in Diversified upstream activities Activities Investment in industrial activities, either Diversified direct or through Activities Start up in Trading joint ventures Lasserre & Schutte, P. 132
  • 22. Salim Group (Lim Soe Liong) Cement, Automobiles, flour, floods, chemicals, banking, property, insurance Sinar Mas (Eka Tiga Wijaya): Paper, pulp, chemicals, agribusiness, finance, property Asta (W. Soeryadjaya): Automobiles, heavy equipment, office equipment, agribusiness, property, finance
  • 23. The Kuok Group (Robert Kuok) Plantations, edible, flour, shipping, hotels, mining, computer services, retail, film distribution Hong Leong (Quek Leng Chan) Banking, Insurance, car distribution, construction, building materials, manufacturing Genting Group (Lim Goh Tong) Hotels, Casinos, resorts, plantations, property, paper mills, power generation
  • 24. Charoen Pokphand (Dhanin Chearavanont) Feed Mills, poultry, chemicals, automatics, telecommunications, textiles, property Bangkok Bank (Charti Sophonpanich) Banking, Insurance, financial services Siam Motors (Khunying Phornthip) Automobiles, musical instruments
  • 25. China
  • 26. Ownership of Consumer Durable Goods in China (2002) Units per 100 Units per 100 National Average Households (Rural) households (Urban) Bicycle 121.3 142.7 128.1 Motorcycle 28.1 22.2 26.2 Car N/A 0.9 N/A Radio Cassette Recorder 20.4 47.9 26.2 Colour Television 60.5 126.4 81.2 B/W Television 48.1 N/A N/A Telephone 40.8 93.7 57.4 Mobile Phone 13.7 62.9 29.2 Air conditioner 2.3 44.1 16.2 Camera 3.3 44.1 16.2 Electric fan 134.3 182.6 149.5 Hi-Fi System 9.7 25.2 14.6 Refrigerator 14.8 87.4 37.7 Video Recorder 3.3 18.4 8.1 Washing Machine 31.8 92.8 51.1 China Statistics Handbook 2003
  • 27. Change in Consumer Differentiation Behaviour in China Yuppie Fashion Traditionalism Modernisation Thoughts of Chairman Mao Egalitarianism Lasserre & Schutte, P. 74
  • 28. Chinese Culture in Flux and Transformation Traditional Values Communist Values Egalitarianism Country Orientation Hierarchy Party Family orientation Class Background Societal order Sacrifice Relationships Harmony Seniority Face Saving Emerging Values Less Hierarchical Individualist/Materialist Hero Entrepreneur Here and now orientation More direct communication Lasserre & Schutte, P. 80
  • 29. Sales Response Function to Income Sales Marketing Potential Concave Function: Elite Segment S-Curve Function: Traditional Segment S-Curve Function: Transition Segment Lasserre & Schutte, P. 71 Marketing Effort/Time
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. Differentiated Positioning High Applied to high end segments Emerging Battlefield Price premium Low Cost Low Volume Mass Distribution High costs Differentiated High Tech Strong Brands Large Chinese Companies, (Huawei, TGL), and some Western companies Most Western Competitors Technology and Marketing Advantages Cost Leadership Positioning applied to high volume low-end segments Advantages based Low Cost Mass distribution on local knowledge only Low Cottage Industries Large Chinese competitors (Kanko, Haier) No Specific cost Based on volume advantages based Cost Advantages and local knowledge on volume Competitive Positioning in China
  • 42. A Look at the Malaysian Retail Market Channels
  • 43. Malaysian Retail Manufacturer Market Channels & Structure National Distributors Wholesalers Super- Sundry Convenience Chinese Hypermarkets markets Stores Stores Medical Halls Consumers
  • 44. Hypermarkets • Hypermarkets make up approximately 15% of the national market. Tesco (12), Carrefour (12) and Giant (20), dominate this sector. Makro (8) is a closed system for wholesalers and small business customers, although this policy varies from time to time. There are approximately 50 hypermarkets in Malaysia.
  • 45. Supermarkets • Supermarkets can be broken down into two categories. Those foreign owned and part of a chain like Jaya Jusco (7) and Giant (numbering around 65), locally owned groups like Fajar (16), Suiwah (6) and Econsave (16),(numbering around 100) and those locally owned independent supermarkets with no affiliations (numbering around 220). This is approximately 25% of the market.
  • 46. Sundry Stores • Approx. 80,000 in Malaysia in both urban and rural areas, majority independently owned small family businesses. Attempts have been made to franchise or develop chains like Felda and Pernama, but not so successful. This is about 30% of the market.
  • 47. Convenience Stores • These usually franchised stores are rapidly growing in numbers as both 7- Eleven & the petrol companies have seen opportunities to enter into the retail trade. Their market share is approximately 6% but rapidly rising.
  • 48. Chinese Medical Halls • Traditional Chinese medical halls are scattered across the country and often develop into a small supermarket or sundry store. They, together with pharmacies have around 14% market- share but this is losing out to the convenience stores and chain pharmacies. About 6,000.
  • 49. Pharmacy • Pharmacies primarily part of chains like giant, but still number of independents. They are specialist stores usually selling OTC and widening ranges to include herbs and nutraceuticals.
  • 50. Other • A specialist group that sells confectionary, OTC drugs and FMCG goods. Number around 200. • Sell books, magazines, Newspapers, drinks, etc. • An emporium group with 10 stores throughout Malaysia specialising in emporium items and some FMCG.
  • 51. FMCG Market Fragmentation/Concentration Comparison Between Malaysia, Thailand, Hong Kong and Australia Outlet Type Malaysia Thailand Hong Kong Australia Hyper & 20% 68% 91% 85% Supermarkets (Chain Owned) Independent 20% 2% 2% 10% Hyper & Supermarkets Wholesale 57% 10% 2% 3% Trade – Sundry & convenience Stores Other 3% 20% 5% 2% Convenience Chains
  • 52. Kedah/Perlis 15% Kelantan/Terengganu 8% Perak 8% East Malaysia 6% Pahang 8% Klang Valley & Central Region (N. Sembilan) 35% Penang 5% Southern Region (Johor & Melaka) Approximate National Market Break-Up 15%
  • 57. The way of doing business
  • 60. Clear Competitive Context Perceptions of the Clarity of Rules Accessibility of the Asian Pacific Region Political, Singapore Legal, and Hong Kong Ethical Context Taiwan Familiarity Malaysia Japan Philippine Not Familiar Vietnam Familiar Thailand South Korea India Indonesia China Unclear Lasserre & Schutte, P. 184
  • 61. Definitely yes Reliability Strategic Market Information the Asian Pacific Region Japan Taiwan Easy to Obtain South Korea Hong Kong Singapore Philippine Malaysia Definitely No Definitely yes India Vietnam China Thailand Indonesia Definitely No Lasserre & Schutte, P. 189