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« The Quaternary Marketing »
               The end of traditional marketing !




Paris, 29th may 2012                    Bruno TEBOUL
The author: Bruno Teboul



Corporate Digital Marketing Director
(The european leader in ICT)

Master of Epistemology
(1993 - University of Paris 12)

Post Graduate Diploma in Cognitive Neurosciences
(1994 - Ecole Polytechnique)

Executive MBA
(2003 - HEC/UCLA)

PhD student in Marketing & Management Science
(2012 University Paris-Dauphine)

                                                   Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing




                                   Bruno Teboul
Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing

 Marketing success in a turbulent environment
 requires an approach that is different to that
 recommended by traditional strategic marketing
 theory, which is insufficient to guide marketers in
 markets in varying states of change and turbulence.

 This criticism of the traditional approach to
 marketing strategy is based on the fact that
 sequential strategic marketing planning does not
 suit a changing environment because it is too slow
 and unresponsive for a fast changing marketplace.
 Furthermore, it cannot keep up with customers'
 requirements nor with aggressive competitors.

 In addition, traditional market research and
 traditional marketing mix models are too simplistic
 in order to understand complex marketing
 situations, as such models assume linear
 relationships between mix variables and the
 resultant outcomes !                                Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing


Since the simplistic approaches recommended by
traditional theories can be dangerous, marketers
should consider the overall environmental position
when designing their strategies and adopt non-
traditional marketing methodologies.

In current complex and turbulent environments, speed
in recognizing opportunities and developing new
products, as well as reducing the time to market, is
essential !

Traditional marketing is an inadequate response to the
marketing opportunities emerging in a modern
economy and is inappropriate for dominate economical
scientific and technical revolutions: Digital & NBIC !



                                                       Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing

This is similar to the economic theory that is at the
heart of Philip Kotler’s Cognitive Marketing. But
Kotler utilizes this concept of Cognitive Marketing in
the wrong sense: he believes that consumers are
cognitive, thus rational and Bayesian.

It's not a marketing inspired by the discoveries of
cognitive science, but one that considers the
consumer as a rational agent, capable of reasoning,
a cognitive consumer, an understanding and
knowing consumer.

The contribution of psychology has awarded more
and more attention to the assumptions of an agent
who is not perfectly capable of emitting sound
judgments.




                                                         Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing


Marketers have to be able to anticipate, cope with, and
adapt to changes in the external environment.

I believe, like an ever-increasing number of authors,
that the new sciences, specifically the chaos and
complexity theories, can provide a better
understanding of marketing theory.

For example, Wollin and Perry (2004) maintain that:
“Complexity theory in the form of complex adaptive
systems has implications for marketing managers as a
holistic, self-consistent framework for understanding
profound forces within a market and provides some
guides for action when operating within such a
system.”



                                                        Bruno Teboul
Bruno Teboul
The end of the traditional marketing
          The limits                        The myths
        of marketing:                      of marketing:

     (1) Difficult to Measure          (1) The rational consumer,

   (2) Difficult to understand         (2) Consumer is a bayesian
      customer behaviour                        agent,

   (3) Fragmented audience              (3) Homo Oeconomicus

(4) Difficult to predict campaign        (4) The mix-marketing
               results                      paradigm (n P’s),

(5)The right product, at the right      (5) The objectivity of the
 price, for the right target, at the      customer responses,
right time, via the right media…
                                        (6) Behaviour customer
          (6) Expensive                      segmentation,

            (7) Churn                       (7) CRM and BI.
                                                               Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing




                       of the
                       Marketing
                       Idols…
Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing




  The model "problem/solution" invented in the
  1960s in the USA, aimed to educate consumers
  on the basis of a new product. In a consumer
  society where technology evolves every single
  day, consumers need to be prepared for such
  advancements. However, they don’t seem to
  understand how to use it or how to keep up.

  The idea is, based on an analysis of consumers
  (search for insight) to develop a logic of
  persuasion starring a problem, a dissatisfaction
  with their experience of consumers in the use
  of the product category. Procter & Gamble
  Model: procterian marketing was born...            Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing




 It formulates the law of effect: so that the
 connection between a situation and a behavior is
 reinforced (that is to say to increase the probability
 of such behavior in this situation), it is necessary
 that such behavior in such situations will produce a
 satisfaction for the organization.

 The innovation of the brand advertised bringing
 them a solution. Hence the name model "problem /
 solution" inspired by experimental psychology and
 Behaviourism.
 Thorndike (1874 - 1949) first formulated the S > R
 (stimulus> response) and the law to strengthen this
 connection by studying the reward in rats.
 Thorndike in 1898 published the results of his early
 research in Animal Intelligence.                         Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing

Indeed, the concept of behavioral type "stimulus>
response" has been scientifically refuted by the rise of
neuroscience and cognitive paradigm.

Cognitivism takes the foot against behaviorism by
looking at what exists between stimulus and behavior,
the mental functioning of the individual ("black box").

Stimulti >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Response (Kotler, Procter).


Stimuli >>>>       >>>>> Response (Neuroscience,
heuristics ...).

Behaviorists doubted the possibility of a scientific
investigation of what they called the "black box".
Cognitivists from the 50s will try to exceed the project
seeking to identify the structures and processes
responsible for the hypothetical behavior.

                                                           Bruno Teboul
Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing
 Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ?




Philip Kotler still considers the Mix as one of the
elements of the Marketing strategy, yet this approach
has developed gradually over the years from the
“academic” perspective (Kotler 1976) to a more
“practical” one (Kotler 1984).

In his more recent books the author becomes more
critical by underlining one of the main limitations of the
Mix namely the internal orientation arguing that “the
four P’s represent the sellers’ view of the marketing
tools available for influencing buyers” (Kotler 2003).     Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing
 Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ?




Since the 1960s, there has been an inflation in the number
of P constituting the model of the Marketing Mix classical:
indeed, since Kotler we went from 4P's to 10P's and it still
does not address the inherent problem of this obsolete
model. It is not the number of members or parts of the
model that make the relevance and validity.

It is the model definition and its underlying rules that make
it a paradigm or not. Outside, in the case of Paradigm
Marketing Mix, it is his logic that is lacking today: because
it is impossible to build a reliable marketing plan following
the simplistic approach of the Marketing Mix!                   Bruno Teboul
The end of traditional marketing
 Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ?

What Marketing Director can claim to have found the
grail using this formula: “the right product at the
right price, right place, right time, right promotion,
via the right medium” !

The Marketing Mix is rather dangerous because it
blinds the Marketing Director, its hierarchy, and
ignores the deep emotions of customers and their
decision making!

The Marketing Mix inflicts a double penalty: if you
distill a poison that you would spend for a cure, that
poison can be prescribed by a charlatan who would
like to be a doctor!

The Marketing Mix that ignores all the non-rational
consumers likes to believe that it is the basic
structure of marketing: but it is the precipice, the
ultimate end, the medieval castle that collapses !       Bruno Teboul
The end of the traditional marketing


               Obsolete traditional CRM approach:




Bruno Teboul
The end of the traditional marketing
                               New CRM Big Data approach…
Reporting, Analytics,                                                         Data
Visualisation & Statisitics                                                Management



Data Access




Data Processing                                                              ZooKeeper*




Data Storage




                                           Data   Customer   Store Data
                                          eCRM    Accounts
Social Networks               Web sites




                                                                          Bruno Teboul
The end of the traditional marketing

             To a SmartData CRM approach…


Data enables us to understand customers and to manage
contact and content strategy. Data is a core component of
integrated marketing and, via an integrated approach, we can
speak with a single voice across channels and lines of
business.

However, to succeed in a meaningful way at that level of
customer centricity, we have to manage all that data in a way
that holistically fuels customer engagement and experience.
That effort requires a whole ecosystem of people, processes,
and technology.

Even the most sophisticated and modern businesses today
are surprisingly ill equipped to manage even the most basic
digital marketing standards and activities, let alone jettison
forward into the new world of Big Data techniques.             Bruno Teboul
From the Quaternary Economy to the
    « Quaternary Marketing »…




                               Bruno Teboul
From the Quaternary Economy to the
          « Quaternary Marketing »…




Michèle Debonneuil




                                      Bruno Teboul
From the Quaternary Economy to the
    « Quaternary Marketing »…




   Quaternary Economy essentially incorporates an
   economic sector combining the secondary and the
   tertiary sectors whose products are neither goods nor
   services, but "new services incorporating property, the
   temporary provision of goods, persons, or
   combinations of goods and people.“ Besides these
   products, the quaternary sector includes information,
   technology, and communication (ICT) , the training
   associated with them, and the actions of the State to
   support its development.

                                                             Bruno Teboul
Quaternary Economy and NBIC…

 Nanotechnology, Biology, Information and Cognition
 (NBIC)
 M.C. Roco and W.S. Bainbridge (2002)

 “We stand at the threshold of a new renaissance in
 science and technology, based on a comprehensive
 understanding of the structure and behavior of matter
 from the nanoscale up to the most complex system
 yet discovered, the human brain.

 Unification of science based on unity in nature and its
 holistic investigation will lead to technological
 convergence and a more efficient societal structure
 for reaching human goals. In the early decades of the
 twenty-first century, concentrated effort can bring
 together nanotechnology, biotechnology, information
 technology, and new technologies based in cognitive
 science”.

                                                           Bruno Teboul

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The end of traditional marketing bt.20120606 slide_share1

  • 1. « The Quaternary Marketing » The end of traditional marketing ! Paris, 29th may 2012 Bruno TEBOUL
  • 2. The author: Bruno Teboul Corporate Digital Marketing Director (The european leader in ICT) Master of Epistemology (1993 - University of Paris 12) Post Graduate Diploma in Cognitive Neurosciences (1994 - Ecole Polytechnique) Executive MBA (2003 - HEC/UCLA) PhD student in Marketing & Management Science (2012 University Paris-Dauphine) Bruno Teboul
  • 3. The end of traditional marketing Bruno Teboul
  • 5. The end of traditional marketing Marketing success in a turbulent environment requires an approach that is different to that recommended by traditional strategic marketing theory, which is insufficient to guide marketers in markets in varying states of change and turbulence. This criticism of the traditional approach to marketing strategy is based on the fact that sequential strategic marketing planning does not suit a changing environment because it is too slow and unresponsive for a fast changing marketplace. Furthermore, it cannot keep up with customers' requirements nor with aggressive competitors. In addition, traditional market research and traditional marketing mix models are too simplistic in order to understand complex marketing situations, as such models assume linear relationships between mix variables and the resultant outcomes ! Bruno Teboul
  • 6. The end of traditional marketing Since the simplistic approaches recommended by traditional theories can be dangerous, marketers should consider the overall environmental position when designing their strategies and adopt non- traditional marketing methodologies. In current complex and turbulent environments, speed in recognizing opportunities and developing new products, as well as reducing the time to market, is essential ! Traditional marketing is an inadequate response to the marketing opportunities emerging in a modern economy and is inappropriate for dominate economical scientific and technical revolutions: Digital & NBIC ! Bruno Teboul
  • 7. The end of traditional marketing This is similar to the economic theory that is at the heart of Philip Kotler’s Cognitive Marketing. But Kotler utilizes this concept of Cognitive Marketing in the wrong sense: he believes that consumers are cognitive, thus rational and Bayesian. It's not a marketing inspired by the discoveries of cognitive science, but one that considers the consumer as a rational agent, capable of reasoning, a cognitive consumer, an understanding and knowing consumer. The contribution of psychology has awarded more and more attention to the assumptions of an agent who is not perfectly capable of emitting sound judgments. Bruno Teboul
  • 8. The end of traditional marketing Marketers have to be able to anticipate, cope with, and adapt to changes in the external environment. I believe, like an ever-increasing number of authors, that the new sciences, specifically the chaos and complexity theories, can provide a better understanding of marketing theory. For example, Wollin and Perry (2004) maintain that: “Complexity theory in the form of complex adaptive systems has implications for marketing managers as a holistic, self-consistent framework for understanding profound forces within a market and provides some guides for action when operating within such a system.” Bruno Teboul
  • 10. The end of the traditional marketing The limits The myths of marketing: of marketing: (1) Difficult to Measure (1) The rational consumer, (2) Difficult to understand (2) Consumer is a bayesian customer behaviour agent, (3) Fragmented audience (3) Homo Oeconomicus (4) Difficult to predict campaign (4) The mix-marketing results paradigm (n P’s), (5)The right product, at the right (5) The objectivity of the price, for the right target, at the customer responses, right time, via the right media… (6) Behaviour customer (6) Expensive segmentation, (7) Churn (7) CRM and BI. Bruno Teboul
  • 11. The end of traditional marketing of the Marketing Idols… Bruno Teboul
  • 12. The end of traditional marketing The model "problem/solution" invented in the 1960s in the USA, aimed to educate consumers on the basis of a new product. In a consumer society where technology evolves every single day, consumers need to be prepared for such advancements. However, they don’t seem to understand how to use it or how to keep up. The idea is, based on an analysis of consumers (search for insight) to develop a logic of persuasion starring a problem, a dissatisfaction with their experience of consumers in the use of the product category. Procter & Gamble Model: procterian marketing was born... Bruno Teboul
  • 13. The end of traditional marketing It formulates the law of effect: so that the connection between a situation and a behavior is reinforced (that is to say to increase the probability of such behavior in this situation), it is necessary that such behavior in such situations will produce a satisfaction for the organization. The innovation of the brand advertised bringing them a solution. Hence the name model "problem / solution" inspired by experimental psychology and Behaviourism. Thorndike (1874 - 1949) first formulated the S > R (stimulus> response) and the law to strengthen this connection by studying the reward in rats. Thorndike in 1898 published the results of his early research in Animal Intelligence. Bruno Teboul
  • 14. The end of traditional marketing Indeed, the concept of behavioral type "stimulus> response" has been scientifically refuted by the rise of neuroscience and cognitive paradigm. Cognitivism takes the foot against behaviorism by looking at what exists between stimulus and behavior, the mental functioning of the individual ("black box"). Stimulti >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Response (Kotler, Procter). Stimuli >>>> >>>>> Response (Neuroscience, heuristics ...). Behaviorists doubted the possibility of a scientific investigation of what they called the "black box". Cognitivists from the 50s will try to exceed the project seeking to identify the structures and processes responsible for the hypothetical behavior. Bruno Teboul
  • 16. The end of traditional marketing Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ? Philip Kotler still considers the Mix as one of the elements of the Marketing strategy, yet this approach has developed gradually over the years from the “academic” perspective (Kotler 1976) to a more “practical” one (Kotler 1984). In his more recent books the author becomes more critical by underlining one of the main limitations of the Mix namely the internal orientation arguing that “the four P’s represent the sellers’ view of the marketing tools available for influencing buyers” (Kotler 2003). Bruno Teboul
  • 17. The end of traditional marketing Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ? Since the 1960s, there has been an inflation in the number of P constituting the model of the Marketing Mix classical: indeed, since Kotler we went from 4P's to 10P's and it still does not address the inherent problem of this obsolete model. It is not the number of members or parts of the model that make the relevance and validity. It is the model definition and its underlying rules that make it a paradigm or not. Outside, in the case of Paradigm Marketing Mix, it is his logic that is lacking today: because it is impossible to build a reliable marketing plan following the simplistic approach of the Marketing Mix! Bruno Teboul
  • 18. The end of traditional marketing Why the Mix-Marketing Paradigm is obsolete ? What Marketing Director can claim to have found the grail using this formula: “the right product at the right price, right place, right time, right promotion, via the right medium” ! The Marketing Mix is rather dangerous because it blinds the Marketing Director, its hierarchy, and ignores the deep emotions of customers and their decision making! The Marketing Mix inflicts a double penalty: if you distill a poison that you would spend for a cure, that poison can be prescribed by a charlatan who would like to be a doctor! The Marketing Mix that ignores all the non-rational consumers likes to believe that it is the basic structure of marketing: but it is the precipice, the ultimate end, the medieval castle that collapses ! Bruno Teboul
  • 19. The end of the traditional marketing Obsolete traditional CRM approach: Bruno Teboul
  • 20. The end of the traditional marketing New CRM Big Data approach… Reporting, Analytics, Data Visualisation & Statisitics Management Data Access Data Processing ZooKeeper* Data Storage Data Customer Store Data eCRM Accounts Social Networks Web sites Bruno Teboul
  • 21. The end of the traditional marketing To a SmartData CRM approach… Data enables us to understand customers and to manage contact and content strategy. Data is a core component of integrated marketing and, via an integrated approach, we can speak with a single voice across channels and lines of business. However, to succeed in a meaningful way at that level of customer centricity, we have to manage all that data in a way that holistically fuels customer engagement and experience. That effort requires a whole ecosystem of people, processes, and technology. Even the most sophisticated and modern businesses today are surprisingly ill equipped to manage even the most basic digital marketing standards and activities, let alone jettison forward into the new world of Big Data techniques. Bruno Teboul
  • 22. From the Quaternary Economy to the « Quaternary Marketing »… Bruno Teboul
  • 23. From the Quaternary Economy to the « Quaternary Marketing »… Michèle Debonneuil Bruno Teboul
  • 24. From the Quaternary Economy to the « Quaternary Marketing »… Quaternary Economy essentially incorporates an economic sector combining the secondary and the tertiary sectors whose products are neither goods nor services, but "new services incorporating property, the temporary provision of goods, persons, or combinations of goods and people.“ Besides these products, the quaternary sector includes information, technology, and communication (ICT) , the training associated with them, and the actions of the State to support its development. Bruno Teboul
  • 25. Quaternary Economy and NBIC… Nanotechnology, Biology, Information and Cognition (NBIC) M.C. Roco and W.S. Bainbridge (2002) “We stand at the threshold of a new renaissance in science and technology, based on a comprehensive understanding of the structure and behavior of matter from the nanoscale up to the most complex system yet discovered, the human brain. Unification of science based on unity in nature and its holistic investigation will lead to technological convergence and a more efficient societal structure for reaching human goals. In the early decades of the twenty-first century, concentrated effort can bring together nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology, and new technologies based in cognitive science”. Bruno Teboul