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Presented By
The Nutcrackers
       Nihar Routray
     Manjesh Bharati
    Shankar Narayan
    Chinmay Sharma
Rupee Depreciation
Rupee Depreciation
Recession in developed economies like US
made big institutions to pull out their money
from India
Default concerns of European nations has
resulted in loss of confidence in the Euro and
appreciation of dollar
The fear of bubble bursting in gold has
resulted in investors viewing dollar as a safe
currency
• Trade deficit has widened by 40,000 crores in
  the last quarter. This has resulted in increased
  imports and spike in dollar demand
Rupee Depreciation
Expecting current account deficit to
settle at 3.0-3.1% of GDP by Mar 2012
Rupee Depreciation
Rupee Depreciation
Rupee Depreciation
Rupee Depreciation
Q> In 2008, we saw a drastic Rupee Devaluation
against the USD. Is the current scenario similar?

A> No. Last time around, the devaluation was
driven mainly by rise in oil prices. The price of oil
reached USD 147 per barrel and was one of the
key contributing factors. However, risk aversion
was also a part which affected the value of the
Indian Rupee.
Q> Has the Risk Aversion among the Investor
Public changed when we compare the times in
2008 to now?
A> The concept of risk aversion is the same.
But, the current situation is much more riskier.
Back then, the problem was due to debt
problems in US. Right now, the problem is more
profound and markets world-over are in a crisis.
So, people are much more risk averse than what
they were in 2008.
Q> If investors take out their investment from
European countries to invest in US, would it have
any effect on the exchange rate of rupee?
A> Not much. Only the US Dollar investments
made in India will affect the exchange value
between US Dollar and Indian Rupee. US Dollar
investment in Europe will not affect the
exchange rate in India.
Q> What can the RBI do?



A> Raise policy rates
A> Use FOREX reserves
A> Ease capital controls
A> Administrative measures
Rupee Depreciation

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Rupee Depreciation

  • 1. Presented By The Nutcrackers Nihar Routray Manjesh Bharati Shankar Narayan Chinmay Sharma
  • 4. Recession in developed economies like US made big institutions to pull out their money from India
  • 5. Default concerns of European nations has resulted in loss of confidence in the Euro and appreciation of dollar
  • 6. The fear of bubble bursting in gold has resulted in investors viewing dollar as a safe currency
  • 7. • Trade deficit has widened by 40,000 crores in the last quarter. This has resulted in increased imports and spike in dollar demand
  • 9. Expecting current account deficit to settle at 3.0-3.1% of GDP by Mar 2012
  • 14. Q> In 2008, we saw a drastic Rupee Devaluation against the USD. Is the current scenario similar? A> No. Last time around, the devaluation was driven mainly by rise in oil prices. The price of oil reached USD 147 per barrel and was one of the key contributing factors. However, risk aversion was also a part which affected the value of the Indian Rupee.
  • 15. Q> Has the Risk Aversion among the Investor Public changed when we compare the times in 2008 to now? A> The concept of risk aversion is the same. But, the current situation is much more riskier. Back then, the problem was due to debt problems in US. Right now, the problem is more profound and markets world-over are in a crisis. So, people are much more risk averse than what they were in 2008.
  • 16. Q> If investors take out their investment from European countries to invest in US, would it have any effect on the exchange rate of rupee? A> Not much. Only the US Dollar investments made in India will affect the exchange value between US Dollar and Indian Rupee. US Dollar investment in Europe will not affect the exchange rate in India.
  • 17. Q> What can the RBI do? A> Raise policy rates A> Use FOREX reserves A> Ease capital controls A> Administrative measures

Notas del editor

  1. Due to this demand of dollar is rising and rupee is depreciating