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Reducing feral camel impacts across remote
Australia:
Australian Feral Camel Management Project
21st November 2013, Parliament House Theatre, Canberra
Session Three: Achievements and Outcomes
Speakers:
Mark Lethbridge, Ecoknowledge
Jayne Brim Box, Northern Territory Government
Sam Rando, Central Land Council
Karl Hampton, Ninti One
Lyndee Severin, Curtin Springs Station
Jan Ferguson, Ninti One
What have we learnt about feral camel movements,
population dynamics and management

Dr Mark Lethbridge
Camel monitoring and removal planning
•

Satellite Tracking
Habitat utilisation – removal planning
Finding animals – Judas collars

•

Aerial surveys
Monitor changes in the population
Distribution – removal planning

•

Decision Support Tools
Removal cost estimation
Finding animals – Judas collars
Satellite Tracking
Dunes
2007 Aerial
Survey
and
2007-09
Tracking
data

+
• From conference
Mandora

DeGrey

Rudall
George Hill

Petermanns

West MacDonnell
Glen Helen
West Finke

Hay River

Channel

Uluru
Dalhousie
Goyder

Algebuckina
Serpentine

Eyre
Mound springs

Bulloo
Aerial Surveys
400 metres - added for low
densities

200m strip
32%
30%
200 metre strips

600 metres strips

28%

Estimated Precision

26%
24%
22%
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
0

0.1

0.2

0.3

Esimated density of camels

0.4

0.5

0.6
Simpson culled mobs (av=15.1)

100

GVD recorded mobs (av= 4.7)

80
70
60
50
40

Ξ 200 m

30
20
10

Sample effort % (transect width dependent)

8.3

8

7.8

7.5

7.2

7

6.7

6.5

6.2

6

5.7

5.5

5.2

5

4.7

4.5

4.2

4

3.7

3.5

3.2

3

2.7

2.4

2.2

1.9

1.7

1.4

1.2

0.9

0.7

0
0.4

Percentage +/- error of abundance estimate

90
Target assets
Now
Buffer
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
0-50km
50-100km
50-100km
50-100km
50-100km
50-100km
50-100km
50-100km

2008

Density
Serpine Lakes
Algebuckina Waterhouse, Lake Eyre, Lake Eyre Mount Springs
Goydor Lagoon
Dalhousie Spring
Hay River & channel Country
Western MacDonnell Ranges, Glen Helen Mound Springs, Uluru Kata
Tjuta, Petermann Ranges
Rundall River National Park
DeGrey River
Mandora Salt Marsh
Bulloo River and Lake
Serpine Lakes
Goydor Lagoon, Algebuckina Waterhouse, Lake Eyre, Lake Eyre Mount
Springs, Dalhousie Spring, Hay River & channel Country
Western MacDonnell Ranges, Glen Helen Mound Springs, Uluru Kata
Tjuta, Petermann Ranges
Rundall River National Park
DeGrey River
Mandora Salt Marsh

Abundance

Density

Abundance

0.21
0.03
0.04
0.10
0.04

4172

0.40
0.22
0.21
0.24
0.26

7779

0.22
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.22

24748
1439

744
1043
3136

6669

0.05
0.30
0.03
0.00
0.01

0.74
0.27
0.02
0.04
0.00
0.36

4251
2596
18518
82423
12239

11074

0.28
25959
1418

0.74
0.11
0.03
0.04

64581
5121
In target asset areas + 100kms
Aerial Survey and Kriging interpolation/extrapolation
•
•

Population in 2008 208,582
Population in 2013 69,328
139,254

•

Known Removals

Unaccounted for

~123,000 or 58.9% loss
~16,000
Uncertainty away from asset areas
•

Aerial surveys targeted changes in density in and around assets
– good agreement with removal data

•

Much greater uncertainty of camel densities well away from survey
areas.
– project focus was on removals, thus limited aerial survey coverage

•

The 2008 map used older survey data back to 2001, corrected for a 9%
per annum increase in population growth rate.
–

Assumed no movement and constant growth rate – the latter now unlikely

•

Accordingly, the 2013 map only uses 2013 data – thus conservative

•

Analysis methodologies have improved.
??

?? ??

2008

?? ??

??
??

??

2013
Other findings
•

Large losses of camels in the Simpson Desert and poor condition animals
seen further to the west
- Very low rainfall period after good season and fire

•

Population modelling now suggests rainfall has an influence and the average
population growth rate may be as low as 5%
- A research question but currently no funding to support this work
Kriging estimate

2008

Improved estimate

600,000

2013

Now more likely

300,000 – 400,000

Unlikely there has been a net population growth over the period of the project
with more recent fire and drought conditions.
600,000 – 160,000 known removals = 440,000
- so 40,000 – 130,000 unaccounted for.
SA – Simpson Desert May 2010
SA – Simpson Desert October 2010
NT – Simpson Desert Sept 2012
NT – Western Desert March 2012
NT – Western Desert July 2012
WA – Ngaanyatjarra/Kiwirrkurra October 2011
WA – Ngaanyatjarra/Kiwirrkurra March 2012
Decision Support Systems
22
20

WA

18
Frequency as a Percentage

16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

Sighted Distance from Aircraft (m)

SA

NT
Broader Decision Tool

Estimate site-specific
removal costs
www.nintione.com.au

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Mark Lethbridge: 'What have we learnt about feral camel movements, population dynamics and management'. Reducing feral camel impacts across remote Australia: Australian Feral Camel Management Project Session 3 - Achievements and outcomes

  • 1. Reducing feral camel impacts across remote Australia: Australian Feral Camel Management Project 21st November 2013, Parliament House Theatre, Canberra
  • 2. Session Three: Achievements and Outcomes Speakers: Mark Lethbridge, Ecoknowledge Jayne Brim Box, Northern Territory Government Sam Rando, Central Land Council Karl Hampton, Ninti One Lyndee Severin, Curtin Springs Station Jan Ferguson, Ninti One
  • 3. What have we learnt about feral camel movements, population dynamics and management Dr Mark Lethbridge
  • 4. Camel monitoring and removal planning • Satellite Tracking Habitat utilisation – removal planning Finding animals – Judas collars • Aerial surveys Monitor changes in the population Distribution – removal planning • Decision Support Tools Removal cost estimation Finding animals – Judas collars
  • 6.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Mandora DeGrey Rudall George Hill Petermanns West MacDonnell Glen Helen West Finke Hay River Channel Uluru Dalhousie Goyder Algebuckina Serpentine Eyre Mound springs Bulloo
  • 14. 400 metres - added for low densities 200m strip
  • 15. 32% 30% 200 metre strips 600 metres strips 28% Estimated Precision 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Esimated density of camels 0.4 0.5 0.6
  • 16. Simpson culled mobs (av=15.1) 100 GVD recorded mobs (av= 4.7) 80 70 60 50 40 Ξ 200 m 30 20 10 Sample effort % (transect width dependent) 8.3 8 7.8 7.5 7.2 7 6.7 6.5 6.2 6 5.7 5.5 5.2 5 4.7 4.5 4.2 4 3.7 3.5 3.2 3 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0 0.4 Percentage +/- error of abundance estimate 90
  • 17. Target assets Now Buffer 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 0-50km 50-100km 50-100km 50-100km 50-100km 50-100km 50-100km 50-100km 2008 Density Serpine Lakes Algebuckina Waterhouse, Lake Eyre, Lake Eyre Mount Springs Goydor Lagoon Dalhousie Spring Hay River & channel Country Western MacDonnell Ranges, Glen Helen Mound Springs, Uluru Kata Tjuta, Petermann Ranges Rundall River National Park DeGrey River Mandora Salt Marsh Bulloo River and Lake Serpine Lakes Goydor Lagoon, Algebuckina Waterhouse, Lake Eyre, Lake Eyre Mount Springs, Dalhousie Spring, Hay River & channel Country Western MacDonnell Ranges, Glen Helen Mound Springs, Uluru Kata Tjuta, Petermann Ranges Rundall River National Park DeGrey River Mandora Salt Marsh Abundance Density Abundance 0.21 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.04 4172 0.40 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.26 7779 0.22 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 24748 1439 744 1043 3136 6669 0.05 0.30 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.74 0.27 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.36 4251 2596 18518 82423 12239 11074 0.28 25959 1418 0.74 0.11 0.03 0.04 64581 5121
  • 18. In target asset areas + 100kms Aerial Survey and Kriging interpolation/extrapolation • • Population in 2008 208,582 Population in 2013 69,328 139,254 • Known Removals Unaccounted for ~123,000 or 58.9% loss ~16,000
  • 19. Uncertainty away from asset areas • Aerial surveys targeted changes in density in and around assets – good agreement with removal data • Much greater uncertainty of camel densities well away from survey areas. – project focus was on removals, thus limited aerial survey coverage • The 2008 map used older survey data back to 2001, corrected for a 9% per annum increase in population growth rate. – Assumed no movement and constant growth rate – the latter now unlikely • Accordingly, the 2013 map only uses 2013 data – thus conservative • Analysis methodologies have improved.
  • 22. Other findings • Large losses of camels in the Simpson Desert and poor condition animals seen further to the west - Very low rainfall period after good season and fire • Population modelling now suggests rainfall has an influence and the average population growth rate may be as low as 5% - A research question but currently no funding to support this work
  • 23. Kriging estimate 2008 Improved estimate 600,000 2013 Now more likely 300,000 – 400,000 Unlikely there has been a net population growth over the period of the project with more recent fire and drought conditions. 600,000 – 160,000 known removals = 440,000 - so 40,000 – 130,000 unaccounted for.
  • 24. SA – Simpson Desert May 2010
  • 25. SA – Simpson Desert October 2010
  • 26. NT – Simpson Desert Sept 2012
  • 27. NT – Western Desert March 2012
  • 28. NT – Western Desert July 2012
  • 32. 22 20 WA 18 Frequency as a Percentage 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Sighted Distance from Aircraft (m) SA NT
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Broader Decision Tool Estimate site-specific removal costs
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.