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Chapter 1

1-1
IT and Modern Day Project Management

1940s
First
Electronic
Computer

1950s

1960s

EDP
Era

1970s

1980s

PC
Era

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1990s

2000s

Network
Era

2010s

Globalization

1-2
Introduction






Information Technology (IT) projects are organizational investments that require
 Time
 Money
 And other resources such as people, technology, facilities, etc.
Organizations expect some type of value in return for this investment
IT Project Management is a relatively new discipline that attempts to make IT
projects more successful andcombines traditional Project Management with
Software Engineering/Management Information Systems

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-3
An ITPM Approach
Organizational resources are limited, so
organizations must choose among competing
interests to fund specific projects
 This decision should be based on the value a
competing project will provide to an organization


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-4
Modern Project Management
Often credited to the U.S. Navy as an outgrowth of
the Polaris Missile Project in the 1950’s.
 Focuses on reducing costs and product cycle time.
 Provides an important link between an organization’s
strategy and the deployment of that strategy.
 Can have a direct impact on an organization’s
bottom line and competitiveness.


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-5
Which Situation is Worse?
Successfully building and implementing a system that
provides little or no value to the organization?
Or…
 Failing to implement an information system that could
have provided value to the organization, but was
underdeveloped or poorly managed?


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-6
Why Do IT Projects Fail?
Larger projects have the lowest success rate and
appear to be more risky than medium and smaller
projects
 Technology, business models, and markets change
too rapidly so projects that take more than a year
can be obsolete before they are completed
 The CHAOS studies also provides some insight as to
the factors that influence project success


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-7
The Software Crisis


The CHAOS study published in 1995 by The Standish
Group found that although the U.S spent over $250 billion
on IT projects, approximately…
 31% were cancelled before completion
 53% were completed but over budget, over schedule, &
did not meet original specifications
○ For mid-size companies, average cost overruns were 182%, while average

schedule overruns were 202%!

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-8
Has the Current State of IT Projects Changed
Since 1994?
The Standish Group has continued to study IT
projects over the years.
 In general, IT Projects are showing higher success
rates due to









Better project management tools & processes
Smaller projects
Improved communication among stakeholders
More skillful IT project managers

But there is still ample opportunity for improvement!

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-9
Figure 1.1 - Summary of the Chaos Studies from 1994 to 2008
Sucessful

Challenged

32%

2008

44%

35%

2006

1998

27%

1994

16%

15%

49%

26%

1996

18%

51%

28%

2000

19%

53%

34%

2002

24%

46%

29%

2004

Failed

23%

46%
33%
53%

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

28%
40%
31%

1-10
Table 1.1 Summary of CHAOS Study Factor Rankings for Successful Projects
Sources: Adapted from the Standish Group. CHAOS (West Yarmouth, MA: 1995, 2010) & http://www.infoq.com/articles/Interview-Johnson-Standish-CHAOS

2008

Rank

1994

2001

2006

1

User Involvement

Executive Support

User Involvement

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

User Involvement

1-11
Table 1.2: IT Project Success Criteria
Source: Source: http://www.drdobbs.com/architecture-and-design/202800777.

Criteria

Response

Schedule

61.3% said it is more important to deliver a system when it is ready to be shipped
than to deliver it on time.

Scope

87.3% said that meeting the actual needs of stakeholders is more important than
building the system to specification.

Money

79.6% said that providing the best return on investment (ROI) is more important than
delivering a system under budget.

Quality

87.3% said that delivering high quality is more important than delivering on time and
on budget.

Staff

75.8% said that having a mentally and physically healthy workplace is more important
than delivering on time and on budget.

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-12
Table 1.3: Summary of Factor Rankings for Challenged and Failed (Impaired) Projects
Source: Adapted from the Standish Group. CHAOS (West Yarmouth, MA: 1995)

Rank

Factors for Challenged Projects

Factors for Failed (Impaired) Projects

1

Lack of user input

Incomplete requirements

2

Incomplete requirements

Lack of user involvement

3

Changing requirements & specifications

Lack of resources

4

Lack of executive support

Unrealistic expectations

5

Technology incompetence

Lack of executive support

6

Lack of resources

Changing requirements & specifications

7

Unrealistic expectations

Lack of planning

8

Unclear objectives

Didn’t need it any longer

9

Unrealistic time frames

Lack of IT management

10

New technology

Technology illiteracy
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-13
Tata Consultancy Services 2007 Report


Included 800 senior IT managers from the UK, US,
France, Germany, India, Japan, & Singapore:
 62% of the IT projects failed to meet their
schedules
 49% experienced budget overruns
 47% experienced higher-than expected
maintenance costs
 41% failed to deliver the expected business value
and ROI
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-14
Figure 1.2 - When IT projects have gone wrong, what has
been the reaction from the business managers and the
Board of Directors?
Don't know
None
Looked for a scapegoat among IT…
Sought compensation from IT…

1%
2%
9%

13%

Reluctant to fund new IT projects
Reduced IT budgets
Tend to accept problems as the…
Continued to provide support to…
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

19%

21%
43%
69%
1-15
Improving the likelihood of success








A Value-Driven Approach
 Plain & Simple: IT Projects must provide value to the organization
Socio-technical Approach
 It’s not just about the technology or building a better mouse trap
Project Management Approach
 processes and infrastructure (Methodology)
 resources
 expectations
 competition
 efficiency and effectiveness
Knowledge Management Approach
 lessons learned, best practices & shared knowledge

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-16
The PMBOK® Guide’s Definitions for Project and
Project Management
A project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to create a
unique product, service, or result.
 Project management is the application of
knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project activities
to meet project requirements.
 A project manager is the person assigned by the
performing organization to achieve the project objectives.


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-17
The Context of Project Management – Project
Attributes













Time Frame
Purpose (to provide value!)
Ownership
Resources (the triple constraint)
Roles
 Project Manager
 Project Sponsor
 SME (domain & technical)
Risk & Assumptions
Interdependent Tasks
 progressive elaboration – steps & increments
Planned Organizational Change
Operate in Environments Larger than the Project Itself

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-18
The Triple Constraint

Figure 1.3

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-19
Extreme Project Management (XPM)






A new approach & philosophy to project management that is becoming
increasingly popular
Characterizes many of today’s projects that exemplify
speed, uncertainty, changing requirements, and high risks
Traditional project management often takes an orderly approach while, XPM
embraces the fact that projects are often chaotic and unpredictable
XPM focuses on flexibility, adaptability, and innovation
Traditional and new approaches together can provide us with a better
understanding of how to improve the likelihood of project success

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-20
The Project Management Body of Knowledge
(PMBOK®)







The Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) documents
9 project management knowledge areas
The PMBOK® Guide is published and maintained by the Project Management Institute
(PMI)
 http://www.pmi.org
PMI provides a certification in project management called the Project Management
Professional (PMP) that many people today believe will be as relevant as a CPA
certification
PMP certification requires that you pass a PMP certification exam to demonstrate a level
of understanding about project management, as well as satisfy education & experience
requirements and agree to a professional code of conduct

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-21
Project Management Body of Knowledge Areas

Figure 1.8
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-22
Project Life Cycle


Evaluate Project
 Lessons learned to determine those things to do the
same and those things to change
 Evaluate team member performance
 May be audited by an outside third party
Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC)
Planning
 Identifying and responding to a problem or opportunity
 Incorporates the project management and system development
processes and activities
 Ensures that the
goal, scope, budget, schedule, technology, and system
development processes, methods, and tools are in place
 Analysis
 A closer look at the problem or opportunity
 Documents the specific needs and requirements for the new
system

Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC)
Design
 The project team uses the requirements and “to be” logical
models to design the architecture to support the new
information system
 This includes designing the network, hardware
configuration, databases, user interface, and application
programs
 Implementation
 The development or construction of the system, testing, and
installation
 Training, support, and documentation must also be in place.
 Maintenance and Support
 The system is updated to respond to bugs, new features, or to
adjust to a changing business environment.

Systems Development Life Cycle
Planning

Maintenance &
Support

Implementation

Analysis

Design
An IT Project Methodology

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

2-27
Phases
Phase 1: Conceptualize and Initialize
 Phase 2: Develop the Project Charter and Detailed Project
Plan defined in terms of project’s:
 scope
 schedule
 budget
 quality objectives


2-28

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Phases continued
Phase 3: Execute and Control the Project using
approach such as the SDLC.
 Phase 4: Close Project
 Phase 5: Evaluate Project Success


 Post mortem by project manager and team of entire project
 Evaluation of team members by project manager
 Outside evaluation of project, project leader, and team members
 Evaluate project’s organizational value

2-29

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
IT Project Management Foundation



Project Management
Processes



Project Objectives

 Initiating processes
 Planning processes
 Executing processes

 Controlling processes
 Closing processes

Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

2-30
IT Project Management Foundation
Tools - e.g. Microsoft Project ®, Computer Aided Software
Engineering (CASE)
 Infrastructure


 Organizational Infrastructure
 Project Infrastructure
○ Project Environment
○ Roles and Responsibilities of team members
○ Processes and Controls

 Technical Infrastructure



Project Management Knowledge Areas
Nonnumeric Selection Methods
 The “Sacred Cow”- a pet project advocated by a senior

executive of the firm.
 The operating/competitive necessity
 Comparative benefits

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-32
The Q-Sort Method

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-33
Numeric Selection Methods
 Financial assessment methods
• payback period
• discounted cash flow
• future opportunity analysis
 Scoring methods
• unweighted 0-1 factor method
• weighted factor scoring method

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-34
Payback Period

Initial
Annual

Fixed

Investment

Net Cash Inflows

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-35
The Life Cycle of Projects


All organisms have a life cycle (i.e., they are
born, grow, wane, and die) … and so do projects
 Some projects follow an S-shaped curve … they start
slowly, develop momentum, and then finish slowly
 Other project follow a J-shaped curve … they start slowly
, proceed slowly, and then finish rapidly

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-36
The Project Life Cycle

Figure 1-3

1-37
Time Distribution of Project Effort

Figure 1-4

1-38
Another Possible Project Life Cycle

Figure 1-5

1-39
Modern Project Management
Often credited to the U.S. Navy as an outgrowth of
the Polaris Missile Project in the 1950’s.
 Focuses on reducing costs and product cycle time.
 Provides an important link between an organization’s
strategy and the deployment of that strategy.
 Can have a direct impact on an organization’s
bottom line and competitiveness.


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-40
Which Situation is Worse?
Successfully building and implementing a system that
provides little or no value to the organization?
Or…
 Failing to implement an information system that could
have provided value to the organization, but was
underdeveloped or poorly managed?


Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-41
Uncertainties Encountered in Project Management.








Time required to complete a project
Availability and cost of key resources
Timing of solutions to technological problems
Macroeconomic variables
The whims of clients
Actions taken by competitors
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-42
Can Uncertainty be Eliminated?


No … uncertainty cannot be eliminated.
However, if managed properly, it can be
minimized

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-43
Risk Analysis


Estimate probabilities or distributions associated with key
parameters
 Construct a mathematical model of the situation and run a
simulation ... given various scenarios
 Analyze distribution of outcomes generated by model

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-44
Risk Analysis with Crystal Ball

 Assumption Cells
 Distribution Gallery
 Forecast Cells

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-45
Steps in the Project Portfolio
Process



Establish a project council
Identify project categories and criteria
 Collect project data
 Assess resource availability
 Reduce the project and criteria set
 Prioritize the projects within categories
 Select the projects to be funded and those to be held in
reserve
 Implement the process
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-46
Categories of Projects
Derivative projects … those that are only incrementally
different from existing offerings
 Platform projects … major departures from existing offerings
… the next generation
 Breakthrough projects … involving a newer technology …
possibly a “disruptive” technology
 R&D projects … “blue sky” or visionary endeavors


Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1-47
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond
that permitted in section 117 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act
without express permission of the copyright owner is unlawful.
Request for further information should be addressed to the
Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The purchaser
may make back-up copies for his/her own use only and not for
distribution or resale. The Publisher assumes no responsibility for
errors, omissions, or damages caused by the use of these programs
or from the use of the information herein.
Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

1-48

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Software project management

  • 2. IT and Modern Day Project Management 1940s First Electronic Computer 1950s 1960s EDP Era 1970s 1980s PC Era Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1990s 2000s Network Era 2010s Globalization 1-2
  • 3. Introduction    Information Technology (IT) projects are organizational investments that require  Time  Money  And other resources such as people, technology, facilities, etc. Organizations expect some type of value in return for this investment IT Project Management is a relatively new discipline that attempts to make IT projects more successful andcombines traditional Project Management with Software Engineering/Management Information Systems Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-3
  • 4. An ITPM Approach Organizational resources are limited, so organizations must choose among competing interests to fund specific projects  This decision should be based on the value a competing project will provide to an organization  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-4
  • 5. Modern Project Management Often credited to the U.S. Navy as an outgrowth of the Polaris Missile Project in the 1950’s.  Focuses on reducing costs and product cycle time.  Provides an important link between an organization’s strategy and the deployment of that strategy.  Can have a direct impact on an organization’s bottom line and competitiveness.  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-5
  • 6. Which Situation is Worse? Successfully building and implementing a system that provides little or no value to the organization? Or…  Failing to implement an information system that could have provided value to the organization, but was underdeveloped or poorly managed?  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-6
  • 7. Why Do IT Projects Fail? Larger projects have the lowest success rate and appear to be more risky than medium and smaller projects  Technology, business models, and markets change too rapidly so projects that take more than a year can be obsolete before they are completed  The CHAOS studies also provides some insight as to the factors that influence project success  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-7
  • 8. The Software Crisis  The CHAOS study published in 1995 by The Standish Group found that although the U.S spent over $250 billion on IT projects, approximately…  31% were cancelled before completion  53% were completed but over budget, over schedule, & did not meet original specifications ○ For mid-size companies, average cost overruns were 182%, while average schedule overruns were 202%! Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-8
  • 9. Has the Current State of IT Projects Changed Since 1994? The Standish Group has continued to study IT projects over the years.  In general, IT Projects are showing higher success rates due to       Better project management tools & processes Smaller projects Improved communication among stakeholders More skillful IT project managers But there is still ample opportunity for improvement! Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-9
  • 10. Figure 1.1 - Summary of the Chaos Studies from 1994 to 2008 Sucessful Challenged 32% 2008 44% 35% 2006 1998 27% 1994 16% 15% 49% 26% 1996 18% 51% 28% 2000 19% 53% 34% 2002 24% 46% 29% 2004 Failed 23% 46% 33% 53% Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 28% 40% 31% 1-10
  • 11. Table 1.1 Summary of CHAOS Study Factor Rankings for Successful Projects Sources: Adapted from the Standish Group. CHAOS (West Yarmouth, MA: 1995, 2010) & http://www.infoq.com/articles/Interview-Johnson-Standish-CHAOS 2008 Rank 1994 2001 2006 1 User Involvement Executive Support User Involvement Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. User Involvement 1-11
  • 12. Table 1.2: IT Project Success Criteria Source: Source: http://www.drdobbs.com/architecture-and-design/202800777. Criteria Response Schedule 61.3% said it is more important to deliver a system when it is ready to be shipped than to deliver it on time. Scope 87.3% said that meeting the actual needs of stakeholders is more important than building the system to specification. Money 79.6% said that providing the best return on investment (ROI) is more important than delivering a system under budget. Quality 87.3% said that delivering high quality is more important than delivering on time and on budget. Staff 75.8% said that having a mentally and physically healthy workplace is more important than delivering on time and on budget. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-12
  • 13. Table 1.3: Summary of Factor Rankings for Challenged and Failed (Impaired) Projects Source: Adapted from the Standish Group. CHAOS (West Yarmouth, MA: 1995) Rank Factors for Challenged Projects Factors for Failed (Impaired) Projects 1 Lack of user input Incomplete requirements 2 Incomplete requirements Lack of user involvement 3 Changing requirements & specifications Lack of resources 4 Lack of executive support Unrealistic expectations 5 Technology incompetence Lack of executive support 6 Lack of resources Changing requirements & specifications 7 Unrealistic expectations Lack of planning 8 Unclear objectives Didn’t need it any longer 9 Unrealistic time frames Lack of IT management 10 New technology Technology illiteracy Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-13
  • 14. Tata Consultancy Services 2007 Report  Included 800 senior IT managers from the UK, US, France, Germany, India, Japan, & Singapore:  62% of the IT projects failed to meet their schedules  49% experienced budget overruns  47% experienced higher-than expected maintenance costs  41% failed to deliver the expected business value and ROI Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-14
  • 15. Figure 1.2 - When IT projects have gone wrong, what has been the reaction from the business managers and the Board of Directors? Don't know None Looked for a scapegoat among IT… Sought compensation from IT… 1% 2% 9% 13% Reluctant to fund new IT projects Reduced IT budgets Tend to accept problems as the… Continued to provide support to… Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 19% 21% 43% 69% 1-15
  • 16. Improving the likelihood of success     A Value-Driven Approach  Plain & Simple: IT Projects must provide value to the organization Socio-technical Approach  It’s not just about the technology or building a better mouse trap Project Management Approach  processes and infrastructure (Methodology)  resources  expectations  competition  efficiency and effectiveness Knowledge Management Approach  lessons learned, best practices & shared knowledge Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-16
  • 17. The PMBOK® Guide’s Definitions for Project and Project Management A project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product, service, or result.  Project management is the application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project activities to meet project requirements.  A project manager is the person assigned by the performing organization to achieve the project objectives.  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-17
  • 18. The Context of Project Management – Project Attributes          Time Frame Purpose (to provide value!) Ownership Resources (the triple constraint) Roles  Project Manager  Project Sponsor  SME (domain & technical) Risk & Assumptions Interdependent Tasks  progressive elaboration – steps & increments Planned Organizational Change Operate in Environments Larger than the Project Itself Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-18
  • 19. The Triple Constraint Figure 1.3 Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-19
  • 20. Extreme Project Management (XPM)      A new approach & philosophy to project management that is becoming increasingly popular Characterizes many of today’s projects that exemplify speed, uncertainty, changing requirements, and high risks Traditional project management often takes an orderly approach while, XPM embraces the fact that projects are often chaotic and unpredictable XPM focuses on flexibility, adaptability, and innovation Traditional and new approaches together can provide us with a better understanding of how to improve the likelihood of project success Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-20
  • 21. The Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK®)     The Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) documents 9 project management knowledge areas The PMBOK® Guide is published and maintained by the Project Management Institute (PMI)  http://www.pmi.org PMI provides a certification in project management called the Project Management Professional (PMP) that many people today believe will be as relevant as a CPA certification PMP certification requires that you pass a PMP certification exam to demonstrate a level of understanding about project management, as well as satisfy education & experience requirements and agree to a professional code of conduct Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-21
  • 22. Project Management Body of Knowledge Areas Figure 1.8 Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-22
  • 23. Project Life Cycle  Evaluate Project  Lessons learned to determine those things to do the same and those things to change  Evaluate team member performance  May be audited by an outside third party
  • 24. Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC) Planning  Identifying and responding to a problem or opportunity  Incorporates the project management and system development processes and activities  Ensures that the goal, scope, budget, schedule, technology, and system development processes, methods, and tools are in place  Analysis  A closer look at the problem or opportunity  Documents the specific needs and requirements for the new system 
  • 25. Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC) Design  The project team uses the requirements and “to be” logical models to design the architecture to support the new information system  This includes designing the network, hardware configuration, databases, user interface, and application programs  Implementation  The development or construction of the system, testing, and installation  Training, support, and documentation must also be in place.  Maintenance and Support  The system is updated to respond to bugs, new features, or to adjust to a changing business environment. 
  • 26. Systems Development Life Cycle Planning Maintenance & Support Implementation Analysis Design
  • 27. An IT Project Methodology Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2-27
  • 28. Phases Phase 1: Conceptualize and Initialize  Phase 2: Develop the Project Charter and Detailed Project Plan defined in terms of project’s:  scope  schedule  budget  quality objectives  2-28 Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
  • 29. Phases continued Phase 3: Execute and Control the Project using approach such as the SDLC.  Phase 4: Close Project  Phase 5: Evaluate Project Success   Post mortem by project manager and team of entire project  Evaluation of team members by project manager  Outside evaluation of project, project leader, and team members  Evaluate project’s organizational value 2-29 Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
  • 30. IT Project Management Foundation  Project Management Processes  Project Objectives  Initiating processes  Planning processes  Executing processes  Controlling processes  Closing processes Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2-30
  • 31. IT Project Management Foundation Tools - e.g. Microsoft Project ®, Computer Aided Software Engineering (CASE)  Infrastructure   Organizational Infrastructure  Project Infrastructure ○ Project Environment ○ Roles and Responsibilities of team members ○ Processes and Controls  Technical Infrastructure  Project Management Knowledge Areas
  • 32. Nonnumeric Selection Methods  The “Sacred Cow”- a pet project advocated by a senior executive of the firm.  The operating/competitive necessity  Comparative benefits Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-32
  • 33. The Q-Sort Method Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-33
  • 34. Numeric Selection Methods  Financial assessment methods • payback period • discounted cash flow • future opportunity analysis  Scoring methods • unweighted 0-1 factor method • weighted factor scoring method Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-34
  • 35. Payback Period Initial Annual Fixed Investment Net Cash Inflows Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-35
  • 36. The Life Cycle of Projects  All organisms have a life cycle (i.e., they are born, grow, wane, and die) … and so do projects  Some projects follow an S-shaped curve … they start slowly, develop momentum, and then finish slowly  Other project follow a J-shaped curve … they start slowly , proceed slowly, and then finish rapidly Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-36
  • 37. The Project Life Cycle Figure 1-3 1-37
  • 38. Time Distribution of Project Effort Figure 1-4 1-38
  • 39. Another Possible Project Life Cycle Figure 1-5 1-39
  • 40. Modern Project Management Often credited to the U.S. Navy as an outgrowth of the Polaris Missile Project in the 1950’s.  Focuses on reducing costs and product cycle time.  Provides an important link between an organization’s strategy and the deployment of that strategy.  Can have a direct impact on an organization’s bottom line and competitiveness.  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-40
  • 41. Which Situation is Worse? Successfully building and implementing a system that provides little or no value to the organization? Or…  Failing to implement an information system that could have provided value to the organization, but was underdeveloped or poorly managed?  Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-41
  • 42. Uncertainties Encountered in Project Management.       Time required to complete a project Availability and cost of key resources Timing of solutions to technological problems Macroeconomic variables The whims of clients Actions taken by competitors Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-42
  • 43. Can Uncertainty be Eliminated?  No … uncertainty cannot be eliminated. However, if managed properly, it can be minimized Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-43
  • 44. Risk Analysis  Estimate probabilities or distributions associated with key parameters  Construct a mathematical model of the situation and run a simulation ... given various scenarios  Analyze distribution of outcomes generated by model Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-44
  • 45. Risk Analysis with Crystal Ball  Assumption Cells  Distribution Gallery  Forecast Cells Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-45
  • 46. Steps in the Project Portfolio Process   Establish a project council Identify project categories and criteria  Collect project data  Assess resource availability  Reduce the project and criteria set  Prioritize the projects within categories  Select the projects to be funded and those to be held in reserve  Implement the process Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-46
  • 47. Categories of Projects Derivative projects … those that are only incrementally different from existing offerings  Platform projects … major departures from existing offerings … the next generation  Breakthrough projects … involving a newer technology … possibly a “disruptive” technology  R&D projects … “blue sky” or visionary endeavors  Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-47
  • 48. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond that permitted in section 117 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act without express permission of the copyright owner is unlawful. Request for further information should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The purchaser may make back-up copies for his/her own use only and not for distribution or resale. The Publisher assumes no responsibility for errors, omissions, or damages caused by the use of these programs or from the use of the information herein. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1-48