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Knowledge, Policy and Power

Understanding the role of context and
 actors in the Nepal petroleum sector




      ‘Knowledge, Policy and Power
      in International Development’
           European Book launch
               1st May 2012

        Harry Jones (ODI, RAPID)
Study context


‘Prospecting policy issues’ for the Nepal Centre
   for Inclusive Growth (CIG)
• Sector analysis and policy options
• Institutional arrangements
• Knowledge-policy interface

Has been used to:
• Select policy issues for CIG engagement
• Identify entry points, opportunities & risks for
  CIG projects
Petroleum in Nepal
Petroleum in Nepal: 3 issues


o Nepal – India import regime             £40M
                                           p.a
   Bad deal for Nepal

                                         £100M
o Price setting                           p.a
   De facto subsidy

                                         £10-50M
o Petrol supply chains
   Corruption, theft and inefficiency
Knowledge, policy and power


Key dimensions:

•   Political context

•   Actors

•   Knowledge (different types)

•   Knowledge interaction processes
Political context

Dimension            Price setting           Supply chain
Capacity to          Turmoil & instability
absorb change

Informal political      Elite subsidy          Syndicates and
relationships                                    patronage

Separation of         Power of cabinet         Many oversight
state powers                                   bodies for NOC

External forces      South Asian petrol
                         subsidies

Formal political                                Lack of local
participation                                     elections
Actors: spread of interests




       Price setting
                       Supply chain
Actors: interests vs. values




              Supply chain


                             Price setting
Actors: credibility and values




                        Supply chain




        Price setting
Implications?


What is this useful for?

•   Guides policy engagement and dialogue,
    highlights sub-issues and windows

•   Highlights topics and key actors for
    knowledge/research to influence change

•   Guidance for policy-making, especially for
    knowledge-based tools
Thank you


h.jones@odi.org.uk
ODI is the UK’s leading independent think tank on
international development and humanitarian issues.
We aim to inspire and inform policy and practice to
reduce poverty by locking together high-quality
applied research and practical policy advice.

The views presented here are those of the speaker,
and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI or
our partners.

         111 Westminster Bridge Road, London, SE1 7JD
                                  T: +44 207 9220 300

                               www.odi.org.uk
                           h.jones@odi.org.uk

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ODI Knowledge Policy and Power event presentation Harry Jones

  • 1. Knowledge, Policy and Power Understanding the role of context and actors in the Nepal petroleum sector ‘Knowledge, Policy and Power in International Development’ European Book launch 1st May 2012 Harry Jones (ODI, RAPID)
  • 2. Study context ‘Prospecting policy issues’ for the Nepal Centre for Inclusive Growth (CIG) • Sector analysis and policy options • Institutional arrangements • Knowledge-policy interface Has been used to: • Select policy issues for CIG engagement • Identify entry points, opportunities & risks for CIG projects
  • 4. Petroleum in Nepal: 3 issues o Nepal – India import regime £40M p.a  Bad deal for Nepal £100M o Price setting p.a  De facto subsidy £10-50M o Petrol supply chains  Corruption, theft and inefficiency
  • 5. Knowledge, policy and power Key dimensions: • Political context • Actors • Knowledge (different types) • Knowledge interaction processes
  • 6. Political context Dimension Price setting Supply chain Capacity to Turmoil & instability absorb change Informal political Elite subsidy Syndicates and relationships patronage Separation of Power of cabinet Many oversight state powers bodies for NOC External forces South Asian petrol subsidies Formal political Lack of local participation elections
  • 7. Actors: spread of interests Price setting Supply chain
  • 8. Actors: interests vs. values Supply chain Price setting
  • 9. Actors: credibility and values Supply chain Price setting
  • 10. Implications? What is this useful for? • Guides policy engagement and dialogue, highlights sub-issues and windows • Highlights topics and key actors for knowledge/research to influence change • Guidance for policy-making, especially for knowledge-based tools
  • 12. ODI is the UK’s leading independent think tank on international development and humanitarian issues. We aim to inspire and inform policy and practice to reduce poverty by locking together high-quality applied research and practical policy advice. The views presented here are those of the speaker, and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI or our partners. 111 Westminster Bridge Road, London, SE1 7JD T: +44 207 9220 300 www.odi.org.uk h.jones@odi.org.uk

Notas del editor

  1. Research on the policy process Talk about the approach we’re using ...useful for understanding
  2. PEA is used to understand reform processes, p-m, national balance of power Incentives: e.g. A prevailing perspective that political parties engage in pp not to try and solve ‘policy problems’ but to capture resources and maximise their own power Institutions: e.g. Structure of CA and Ministries, gives certain spaces for influence on policy Structures: e.g. Historical patterns of wealth and deprivation in the country Point is: power battles, bargaining and negotiation and politics, NOT analysis and problem-solving
  3. PEA is used to understand reform processes, p-m, national balance of power Incentives: e.g. A prevailing perspective that political parties engage in pp not to try and solve ‘policy problems’ but to capture resources and maximise their own power Institutions: e.g. Structure of CA and Ministries, gives certain spaces for influence on policy Structures: e.g. Historical patterns of wealth and deprivation in the country Point is: power battles, bargaining and negotiation and politics, NOT analysis and problem-solving
  4. Dimensions which shape policy making on an issue, or in a country Actors: interests, values and beliefs, and credibility+capacities Political context: e.g. Level of competition, decentralisation shapes opps+cons’s for knowledge Knowledge: role of research-based, practical and citizen knowledge KI processes: how links between K and P are ‘wired’, dissemination, consulting, collaboration, CB etc
  5. Dimensions which shape policy making on an issue, or in a country Actors: interests, values and beliefs, and credibility+capacities Political context: e.g. Level of competition, decentralisation shapes opps+cons’s for knowledge Knowledge: role of research-based, practical and citizen knowledge KI processes: how links between K and P are ‘wired’, dissemination, consulting, collaboration, CB etc
  6. INTEREST GROUP: This involves the competition of well-organised rival groups. Policy making takes place largely behind the scenes, in informal meetings and networks, or in closed spaces. Decision makers being forced to take sides, with shifting alliances and bargaining, with incremental changes rather than major confrontations, won depending on the energy and strength of groups. CLIENT: Small groups benefit directly from policies where the general public is often the loser. Well-organised clients can secure political support largely in private; those who stand to lose out are often unaware of the issue, or hard to organise. politicians using government spending to reward their constituents ENTREPRENEURIAL: very broad groups in society, are pitted against concentrated special interests. This is likely to involve political entrepreneurs identifying opportunities and bringing together a large coalition of beneficiaries, framing issues to capture the public imagination. Examples : environmental standards on companies. MAJORITARIAN: policy making is more likely to play out in public fora such as legislative debates or policy debates around an election. The public debate often addresses questions of whether social benefits exceed the costs, and basic ideological beliefs and values may come into play, in potentially partisan dialogues.
  7. INTEREST GROUP: This involves the competition of well-organised rival groups. Policy making takes place largely behind the scenes, in informal meetings and networks, or in closed spaces. Decision makers being forced to take sides, with shifting alliances and bargaining, with incremental changes rather than major confrontations, won depending on the energy and strength of groups. CLIENT: Small groups benefit directly from policies where the general public is often the loser. Well-organised clients can secure political support largely in private; those who stand to lose out are often unaware of the issue, or hard to organise. politicians using government spending to reward their constituents ENTREPRENEURIAL: very broad groups in society, are pitted against concentrated special interests. This is likely to involve political entrepreneurs identifying opportunities and bringing together a large coalition of beneficiaries, framing issues to capture the public imagination. Examples : environmental standards on companies. MAJORITARIAN: policy making is more likely to play out in public fora such as legislative debates or policy debates around an election. The public debate often addresses questions of whether social benefits exceed the costs, and basic ideological beliefs and values may come into play, in potentially partisan dialogues.
  8. INTEREST GROUP: This involves the competition of well-organised rival groups. Policy making takes place largely behind the scenes, in informal meetings and networks, or in closed spaces. Decision makers being forced to take sides, with shifting alliances and bargaining, with incremental changes rather than major confrontations, won depending on the energy and strength of groups. CLIENT: Small groups benefit directly from policies where the general public is often the loser. Well-organised clients can secure political support largely in private; those who stand to lose out are often unaware of the issue, or hard to organise. politicians using government spending to reward their constituents ENTREPRENEURIAL: very broad groups in society, are pitted against concentrated special interests. This is likely to involve political entrepreneurs identifying opportunities and bringing together a large coalition of beneficiaries, framing issues to capture the public imagination. Examples : environmental standards on companies. MAJORITARIAN: policy making is more likely to play out in public fora such as legislative debates or policy debates around an election. The public debate often addresses questions of whether social benefits exceed the costs, and basic ideological beliefs and values may come into play, in potentially partisan dialogues.
  9. Policy making different from issue to issue, Will help you engage in that issue, understand how to work towards preferred outcomes or to improve PM on it 2. Country-wide structures, landscape of the knowledge-policy interface, improve ‘governance’ and policy making