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Africa Forum, Paris 5 June, 2009 “ Innovation and ICTs to build tomorrow’s  Africa” Laura Recuero Virto  Economist OECD Development Centre
African innovation is building tomorrow’s Africa Key issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ICTs contribute to Africa’s development  by overcoming traditional infrastructural constraints  and reducing business costs   African innovation to build tomorrow’s Africa
Innovation  ICTs and the Millennium Development Goals    phoner~1.gif   Best Practice Innovation in ICTs is enabling many African to access basic services for the first time and hence, to increase countries’ performance on the Millennium Development Goals for 2015  ,[object Object]
Innovation Bringing people and markets together in agriculture Source :  Does Digital Divide or Provide? The Impact of Cell Phones on Grain Markets in Niger, Jenny Aker, 2008, African Economic Outlook 2009, OECD Development Center, 2009.    phoner~1.gif   Bakin Birgi (Monday) Zinder (Thursday) Tanout (Friday)   Niamey (Sunday) 65 km ~ 3 hours 20 km ~ 1 hour 750 km ~  not accessible Home market ,[object Object], 2 mins  2 mins Farmer in Niger
Demographic bank branches Demographic cash machines Mobile phones Innovation Mobile payments for migrants The key success of mobile payments is the size of their distribution networks % Source :  Wireless Intelligence (2008), Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Martinez Peria (2005) Size of distribution networks
Innovation Mobile payments drop transaction costs Source :  World Bank (2008), OECD Development Center 2009 Transactions costs in Africa  (% for USD 200) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],12 % 10 %
Innovation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],European importers are going paperless from January 2011     African countries must convert to e-trade to continue exporting to Europe  E-trade: The reform not to miss ,[object Object],[object Object]
Innovation E-trade: Sub-Saharan Africa can benefit the most Sub-Saharan Africa is currently the worse in terms of cost and time in trade activities  Import and exports Source:  World Bank 2009
Innovation E-Government for donor support United Nations E-Government Readiness Indicator (2008) Source:  United Nations (2008), “The United Nations E-Government Survey 2008: From E-Government to Connected Governance,” United  Nations Press ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sub-Saharan Africa is lagging behind in e-governance    governments’  ICT skills ,  ICT infrastructure access  and  online presence
Investment Innovation in ICTs enables to reach the poor  Africa’s Exponential Growth in Mobile Telephony  Source : OECD Development Centre, based on Wireless Intelligence, 2009. Africa is the fastest growing mobile market in the world   Today, 4 out of 10 Africans have a mobile phone line; by 2012 they will 6 out of 10 Source :  Wireless Intelligence (www. wirelessintelligence.com), 08, African Economic Outlook 2009
Innovation Reaching the poor through new business models Trickling down the Global Income Pyramid Postpaid 1.3 billion people with US$1/day 1.4 billion people with US$2/day 1.5 billion people with US$4-40/day 0.8 billion  >US$40/day 2 billion mobile users in 2005 3 billion mobile users in 2007  4 billion mobile users in 2008  1.3 billion people with US$4/day Microfinance Prepaid Micropaid Phone Sharing By  2012,  there will be  6,1 billion mobile subscribers  reaching ever lower income populations Source:  New Growth Markets, Nokia Siemens Networks, 2008, Wireless Intelligence, 2009 6.1 billion mobile users in 2012
Innovation  Africa pioneer in networks without boundaries Source :  African Economic Outlook 2009 Africa is the  first continent in the world  to implement a service where any user in a  foreign country to receive and send calls and messages at local rates Zain MTN Safaricom - Vodacom - MTN Forthcoming Networks without boundaries
Impact of the crisis on ICT investment commitments Source :  World Bank, 2009, African Economic Outlook 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Investment ICTs are resilient to the global financial crisis in Africa With private investments resilient to the crisis,   new  business models should multiply   despite the crisis %
Investment Connecting Africa to the world  in 2009-10 Source :  World Bank Group 2008, www.manypossibilities.net (Steven Song), African Economic Outlook 2009 SAT3 THE MISSING LINK As of March 2009 How to further reach the poor
Investment Connecting Africa to the world  in 2009-10 Source :  World Bank Group 2008, www.manypossibilities.net (Steven Song), African Economic Outlook 2009 MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS AT LEAST  ONE LINK How to further reach the poor  Wholesale  prices will start decreasing between  4 to 10 times  from June 2009!
Investment Connecting Africa to the world  in 2009-10 Business climate has room for improvement While it is legitimate to raise taxes through mobile phone revenues  in countries with on average 70 % of informal labour force, private investment has not to be neglected  for this strategy to be sustainable  Contribution of taxation on mobile operators  (% of government revenues) Perceived ICT regulatory environment Source:   Esselaar, S., Gillwald, A. and C. Stork (2007), “Towards an Africa e-Index: Telecommunications Sector Performance in 16 African Countries,” Research ICT Africa, GSM World, 2006, “Taxation and Growth of Mobile Services in Sub-Saharan Africa”.
Investment Connecting Africa to the world  in 2009-10 Will Africa ever be connected to Internet? Urgent need to attract  private investment and knowhow  to fixed-line operators if Africa is to be connected to high speed internet     many fixed-line operators are close to bankruptcy in Sub-Saharan Africa! In Africa, there are extremely  few fixed lines.. % Source:  International Telecommunications Union 2009, African Economic Outlook 2009
Policy recommendations 1 The role of governments ICTs in Africa are at the  innovation frontier,  combining state-of-art technologies with African reality through  incremental innovations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Policy recommendations 2 The role of donors and NGOs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Innovation and ICT to build tomorrow’s Africa

  • 1. Africa Forum, Paris 5 June, 2009 “ Innovation and ICTs to build tomorrow’s Africa” Laura Recuero Virto Economist OECD Development Centre
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  • 5. Demographic bank branches Demographic cash machines Mobile phones Innovation Mobile payments for migrants The key success of mobile payments is the size of their distribution networks % Source : Wireless Intelligence (2008), Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Martinez Peria (2005) Size of distribution networks
  • 6.
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  • 8. Innovation E-trade: Sub-Saharan Africa can benefit the most Sub-Saharan Africa is currently the worse in terms of cost and time in trade activities Import and exports Source: World Bank 2009
  • 9.
  • 10. Investment Innovation in ICTs enables to reach the poor Africa’s Exponential Growth in Mobile Telephony Source : OECD Development Centre, based on Wireless Intelligence, 2009. Africa is the fastest growing mobile market in the world  Today, 4 out of 10 Africans have a mobile phone line; by 2012 they will 6 out of 10 Source : Wireless Intelligence (www. wirelessintelligence.com), 08, African Economic Outlook 2009
  • 11. Innovation Reaching the poor through new business models Trickling down the Global Income Pyramid Postpaid 1.3 billion people with US$1/day 1.4 billion people with US$2/day 1.5 billion people with US$4-40/day 0.8 billion >US$40/day 2 billion mobile users in 2005 3 billion mobile users in 2007 4 billion mobile users in 2008 1.3 billion people with US$4/day Microfinance Prepaid Micropaid Phone Sharing By 2012, there will be 6,1 billion mobile subscribers reaching ever lower income populations Source: New Growth Markets, Nokia Siemens Networks, 2008, Wireless Intelligence, 2009 6.1 billion mobile users in 2012
  • 12. Innovation Africa pioneer in networks without boundaries Source : African Economic Outlook 2009 Africa is the first continent in the world to implement a service where any user in a foreign country to receive and send calls and messages at local rates Zain MTN Safaricom - Vodacom - MTN Forthcoming Networks without boundaries
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  • 14. Investment Connecting Africa to the world in 2009-10 Source : World Bank Group 2008, www.manypossibilities.net (Steven Song), African Economic Outlook 2009 SAT3 THE MISSING LINK As of March 2009 How to further reach the poor
  • 15. Investment Connecting Africa to the world in 2009-10 Source : World Bank Group 2008, www.manypossibilities.net (Steven Song), African Economic Outlook 2009 MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS AT LEAST ONE LINK How to further reach the poor  Wholesale prices will start decreasing between 4 to 10 times from June 2009!
  • 16. Investment Connecting Africa to the world in 2009-10 Business climate has room for improvement While it is legitimate to raise taxes through mobile phone revenues in countries with on average 70 % of informal labour force, private investment has not to be neglected for this strategy to be sustainable Contribution of taxation on mobile operators (% of government revenues) Perceived ICT regulatory environment Source: Esselaar, S., Gillwald, A. and C. Stork (2007), “Towards an Africa e-Index: Telecommunications Sector Performance in 16 African Countries,” Research ICT Africa, GSM World, 2006, “Taxation and Growth of Mobile Services in Sub-Saharan Africa”.
  • 17. Investment Connecting Africa to the world in 2009-10 Will Africa ever be connected to Internet? Urgent need to attract private investment and knowhow to fixed-line operators if Africa is to be connected to high speed internet  many fixed-line operators are close to bankruptcy in Sub-Saharan Africa! In Africa, there are extremely few fixed lines.. % Source: International Telecommunications Union 2009, African Economic Outlook 2009
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Notas del editor

  1. This year the special topic of the African Economic Outlook is Innovation and New Technologies in Africa. What we want to highlight in this presentation is that these two features, both innovation and new technologies, have an important role to built tomorrows´Africa.