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Russian Book Market
2012-2013

Statistics and Trends

                 Book Industry Magazine, Russia
                                www.bookind.ru
                                book@bookind.ru
Russian Book Market: Trends 2008 - 2013 (F)

In 2012 Russian book market declined

  By 3.7% percent in net revenue in Rubles ($US – 10.5%)
  By 2.1% percent in overall units

    15,0

    10,0    11,5

                              2,1
     5,0

     0,0                                                                                         -2,1
                    -1,0            -3,1                                                  -0,5
                                                                 -3,0                                   -5,5
    -5,0                                           -7,1                          -8,0
                                           -10,5                         -10,0
   -10,0

   -15,0
                   в денежном в ыражении                            в натуральном в ыражении
                           In value                                            In volume

           2008            2009            2010           2011          2012                  F
                                                                                        2013 (прогноз)
Russian Book Market: Current Conditions

Two major factors contributed to decrease in the Russian book market in
  2012: shutting down of bookstores all over Russia and sagging of book
  sales in Moscow (Moscow traditionally accounted for 35% of the total
  sales revenue)



Book sales in Moscow were affected by:

 Change in demographics
 High business operating expenses
 Public and school libraries are bypassing
bookstores and buy directly from the publishers
 Book prices went up by 18.6% in 2012
Russian Book Market: Production of Titles

                    130000
   Number of book   128000
                                        127596
titles dropped by
                    126000
4.8%
                    124000   123336                       122915
  Production of     122000
                                                 121738

hardcover books     120000
dropped by 10%
                    118000                                         116888
  Number of re-     116000
editions was up     114000
(15.2% in 2012 vs   112000
13.7% in 2011)
                    110000
                              2008       2009     2010     2011     2012


                    Source: RF Book Chamber
Market Share of Top Book Publishers


  Top 5 Russian book
publishers hold around                               AST/Astrel
42.1% market share                                     13%
(41.94% in 2011)                                            Ripol Classic
                                                                 1%
  The combined market                                        Prosveschenie
share of Russia’s top                                            10%

leading groups, AST and      Others
                              49%                                 Drofa
Eksmo, dropped by 3%.                                              4%
                                                                  Balass
   Educational publishers,                                         4%
Ballas, Prosveschenie and                                   Rosmen
Titul, improved their                                 Eksmo   3%
positions in the market by            Examen Titul     11%
                                             3%
0.8% - 2%                               2%
Sales of Paper Books: Main Book Distribution
Channels, 2012

                                Supermarkets
                                    9%
                                                  Libraries
                                 Kiosks             15%
                                   5%
                     Internet-stores
                           7%

                      Book chains
                          7%
                                                              Independent
                                                               bookstores
                                                                  29%


                                W holesales
                                   28%




     Source: BI market research, December, 2012
Sales of Paper Books: Average Price

An average book price went up 11.8% across the country
in 2012
                                                                                                                             Average retail
                                                                                                              405,11р.
                                                               365,80р.
                                                                                                                          book price, 2012

                 265,28р.                                                                                                Russia in total –
                                        235,31р.
                                                                                                                         195.69 Rub
                                                                                        177,20р.
                                                                                                                         Regions – 151.86
      175,20р.




                                                    158,49р.




                                                                                                                         Rub




                                                                                                   158,41р.
                                                                             152,11р.
                             142,35р.




                                                                                                                         Moscow – 307.16
                                                                                                                         Rub
Adult fiction               Books for       Professional                  STM and education            Non-fiction
                            children and YA
                                                   Regions                Moscow


Retail book prices in regions were up by 3,5–5,0%, in Moscow - by
18.6%
Sales of Paper Books: Moscow and Regions
                                                                 76.9%


Regions:
                                                       72.7%



                                                                                           62.2%
  Heavy discounting
  Customer traffic is up,
  average purchase amount is
  up by 5-10%, turnover is up,
  profit margin is down                      25.3%

                                                                                                    18.2%



                                                                                                              7.7%

Moscow:
                                      Av erage purchase amount is up by at least   Av erage purchase amount is down by 5-10%
  Moderate discounting                                   5%




  Customer traffic is down by 3-9%,                  2010                      2011                      2012
  average purchase amount is up by       Source: BI market research, February, 2013
  6-11%
Sales of Paper Books through Brick-and-
mortar Bookstores – Broad Categories
(January – December, 2012)
                                               17.3% (-3.1)




  Source: BI market research, February, 2013
Sales of Paper Books through Brick-and-
   mortar Bookstores: the Most Popular
   Categories


          92% booksellers are optimistic about books for children and YA

          57% booksellers expect sales in adult fiction category to remain stable

          40% booksellers will continue to sell school textbooks

          only 3,8% booksellers sell business books




Source: BI market research, February, 2013
Non-book Complementary Products in Brick-
and-mortar Bookstores

                Bookstores allocate on average about 30% of their floor space for
                                                 non-book products (up to 50%)

                                        Stationery
                                                     4,9


                                                                       Office supplies
 Newspapers and magazines

                                                                 3,4
                                            1,5



                                3,1
                                                                       3,9
  Gifts                                                                      Toys and Games   Source: BI market
                                                                                              research, February,
                                                           2,1                                2013

                                      4,2
          Posters, Calendars, Cards
                                                                             DVD, CD
E-Book Market in Russia: Market Value

   Market Value, mil. of Rubles


     B2B (ЭБС)       B2C (trade market)



                                                       500


                                                +70%
                                          290

                         150      +95%
                                                +65%   450
            80                            270
            80           140

          2010         2011              2012   2013 (прогноз)
                                                     F
E-Book Market in Russia: Market Share


Factors
constraining the development of e-                                   Market Share
book market

   LitRes holds
   a monopoly on e-                                                  1,2%
   book sales
   First signs of a price war
   among e-libraries                                    0,8%
   Uneven Internet
   coverage and poor
   quality of Internet-
   connection in many                           0,3%
   regions of the Russian               0,0%

   Federation
   Publishers are slow to            2010      2011    2012    2013 (прогноз)

   grab new opportunities

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Russian book market 2012

  • 1. Russian Book Market 2012-2013 Statistics and Trends Book Industry Magazine, Russia www.bookind.ru book@bookind.ru
  • 2. Russian Book Market: Trends 2008 - 2013 (F) In 2012 Russian book market declined By 3.7% percent in net revenue in Rubles ($US – 10.5%) By 2.1% percent in overall units 15,0 10,0 11,5 2,1 5,0 0,0 -2,1 -1,0 -3,1 -0,5 -3,0 -5,5 -5,0 -7,1 -8,0 -10,5 -10,0 -10,0 -15,0 в денежном в ыражении в натуральном в ыражении In value In volume 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 (прогноз)
  • 3. Russian Book Market: Current Conditions Two major factors contributed to decrease in the Russian book market in 2012: shutting down of bookstores all over Russia and sagging of book sales in Moscow (Moscow traditionally accounted for 35% of the total sales revenue) Book sales in Moscow were affected by: Change in demographics High business operating expenses Public and school libraries are bypassing bookstores and buy directly from the publishers Book prices went up by 18.6% in 2012
  • 4. Russian Book Market: Production of Titles 130000 Number of book 128000 127596 titles dropped by 126000 4.8% 124000 123336 122915 Production of 122000 121738 hardcover books 120000 dropped by 10% 118000 116888 Number of re- 116000 editions was up 114000 (15.2% in 2012 vs 112000 13.7% in 2011) 110000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: RF Book Chamber
  • 5. Market Share of Top Book Publishers Top 5 Russian book publishers hold around AST/Astrel 42.1% market share 13% (41.94% in 2011) Ripol Classic 1% The combined market Prosveschenie share of Russia’s top 10% leading groups, AST and Others 49% Drofa Eksmo, dropped by 3%. 4% Balass Educational publishers, 4% Ballas, Prosveschenie and Rosmen Titul, improved their Eksmo 3% positions in the market by Examen Titul 11% 3% 0.8% - 2% 2%
  • 6. Sales of Paper Books: Main Book Distribution Channels, 2012 Supermarkets 9% Libraries Kiosks 15% 5% Internet-stores 7% Book chains 7% Independent bookstores 29% W holesales 28% Source: BI market research, December, 2012
  • 7. Sales of Paper Books: Average Price An average book price went up 11.8% across the country in 2012 Average retail 405,11р. 365,80р. book price, 2012 265,28р. Russia in total – 235,31р. 195.69 Rub 177,20р. Regions – 151.86 175,20р. 158,49р. Rub 158,41р. 152,11р. 142,35р. Moscow – 307.16 Rub Adult fiction Books for Professional STM and education Non-fiction children and YA Regions Moscow Retail book prices in regions were up by 3,5–5,0%, in Moscow - by 18.6%
  • 8. Sales of Paper Books: Moscow and Regions 76.9% Regions: 72.7% 62.2% Heavy discounting Customer traffic is up, average purchase amount is up by 5-10%, turnover is up, profit margin is down 25.3% 18.2% 7.7% Moscow: Av erage purchase amount is up by at least Av erage purchase amount is down by 5-10% Moderate discounting 5% Customer traffic is down by 3-9%, 2010 2011 2012 average purchase amount is up by Source: BI market research, February, 2013 6-11%
  • 9. Sales of Paper Books through Brick-and- mortar Bookstores – Broad Categories (January – December, 2012) 17.3% (-3.1) Source: BI market research, February, 2013
  • 10. Sales of Paper Books through Brick-and- mortar Bookstores: the Most Popular Categories 92% booksellers are optimistic about books for children and YA 57% booksellers expect sales in adult fiction category to remain stable 40% booksellers will continue to sell school textbooks only 3,8% booksellers sell business books Source: BI market research, February, 2013
  • 11. Non-book Complementary Products in Brick- and-mortar Bookstores Bookstores allocate on average about 30% of their floor space for non-book products (up to 50%) Stationery 4,9 Office supplies Newspapers and magazines 3,4 1,5 3,1 3,9 Gifts Toys and Games Source: BI market research, February, 2,1 2013 4,2 Posters, Calendars, Cards DVD, CD
  • 12. E-Book Market in Russia: Market Value Market Value, mil. of Rubles B2B (ЭБС) B2C (trade market) 500 +70% 290 150 +95% +65% 450 80 270 80 140 2010 2011 2012 2013 (прогноз) F
  • 13. E-Book Market in Russia: Market Share Factors constraining the development of e- Market Share book market LitRes holds a monopoly on e- 1,2% book sales First signs of a price war among e-libraries 0,8% Uneven Internet coverage and poor quality of Internet- connection in many 0,3% regions of the Russian 0,0% Federation Publishers are slow to 2010 2011 2012 2013 (прогноз) grab new opportunities