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Big Data Psychology
Michal Kosinski mk583@cam.ac.uk

Image source: Facebook
Cambridge University
Psychometrics Centre
• 30 years of experience in psychological
assessment
• Strategic Network of Cambridge University =
expertise in wide variety of disciplines
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT
Also:
• Email / texts
• Verbal conversations
• Physical movement data
• Credit card records
• …
Get some data
related to an
individual
(purchase history,
Facebook profile, tweets,
email, web browsing
history)

Translate it to
Facebook
Graph ID
(Oreo =
114998944652)

Send it to
ApplyMagicSauce
API

Get a detailed
psychodemographic
profile
How accurate is digital profiling?
Validation study:
1. 60.000 US Facebook users
2. Detailed psycho-demographic profiles
3. Tested the accuracy of predictive models

Kosinski, M., Stillwell, D.J., Graepel, T. (2013) Private traits and attributes are predictable from digital records of human
behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS).
Prediction Accuracy: Numeric Variables
Only Facebook Likes?
(Other digital footprints are even more informative)
Applications in marketing
Detailed psychological profiles of each
and every consumer
(both in online and offline environment)
Psychological profiles of groups
(customers/fans/audience/readers/etc)
Openness

Conservative &
traditional

Liberal &
artistic

Conscientiousness

Spontaneous &
impulsive

Well organized &
hard working

Extraversion

Contemplative &
happy with own company

Agreeableness

Competitive &
Working alone

Team working &
trusting

Neuroticism

Competitive &
Working alone

Laid back &
relaxed

Engaged with outside world
Openness

Conservative &
traditional

Liberal &
artistic

Conscientiousness

Spontaneous &
impulsive

Well organized &
hard working

Extraversion

Contemplative &
happy with own company

Agreeableness

Competitive &
Working alone

Team working &
trusting

Neuroticism

Competitive &
Working alone

Laid back &
relaxed

Intelligence

Low

Engaged with outside world

High
Target anonymous users using
psychological profiles
Extraverted &
open to experience

Well organized &
competitive

Cooperative &
happy

High IQ
Build your own predictive models
Adjust your offer and language on the
individual & group level
Agency and Communion on Facebook: An Open Vocabulary Analysis of Gender (submitted) Gregory Park, H. Andrew
Schwartz, Margaret L. Kern, Johannes C. Eichstaedt, Adam M. Croom, Lyle H. Ungar, Martin E. P. Seligman, Michal Kosinski,
David Stillwell
Language used
Language used
Language used
Language used
Language used
RISKS
•
•
•
•

Digital withdrawal
Fake footprints
Legal issues
Creepy targeting
Thank You!
mk583@cam.ac.uk
Michal Kosinski
Cambridge University

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Big data psychology