Effective use of spatial data and models to empower decision making
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Richard Bernknopf's presentation to: Roundtable - A National Framework for Natural Hazard Risk Reduction and Management: Developing a Research Agenda
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Effective use of spatial data and models to empower decision making
- 1. Effective use of spatial data and models to empower decision making Identifying data, information, and modeling needs Richard Bernknopf Western Geographic Science Center A National Framework for Risk Reduction and Management November 15, 2006
- 3. Policies and Decisions at Local Scale Insurance – Private / Public Exposure, Coverage, and Cost Mitigation – Private and Public Protection Strategies Land Use – Zoning and Land Transfers Emergency Preparedness - Warnings and Response Adaptation - Resilience Comparison of frequency and size of loss by decade for all natural hazards at national scale Source: Nishenko and Silves, 2006
- 4. Seismic Events and Probabilities (in 50 years) Repeat of 1811-1812 (magnitude 7.7): 10% Magnitude about 6.0 or greater: 25% Liquefaction Zone: Probability greater than 60% Issues: strengthening building codes for new commercial and industrial development to mitigate the consequences of seismic events; estimating the economic impact of scientific uncertainty on loss estimation Seismic risk mitigation in Memphis, TN: Quantitative policy analysis at local scale
- 6. CommunityViz Natural hazard risks for sustainable development of Squamish, British Columbia, Canada
Notas del editor
- UsGS partnership with Natural Resources Canada. Two companies are involved: Emergeo (hazard vulnerability risk assessment) and CommunityViz Scenario 360 is the integration platform. United States Geological Survey (land use portfolio risk reduction decisions) What is new? Unique combination of tools Handles Multiple hazards (becoming a popular trend) Inclusion of natural hazard risk considerations into community/local planning sgog decisions for sustainable development. With an eye to scale up to higher levels of government. Needs a tool for Risk acceptability/policy process?
- Squamish structures Exposure to hazard (200 year flood, Murray’s earthquake, Murray’s debris flow : earthquake most wide spread) Vulnerability (Flood and debris flow dominate earthquake) Risk (shift to floodplain)