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South East Europe Rail conference - Predrag Janković
1. “SERBIAN RAILWAYS”
As a Transport Chain Participant and
Economy Driver
Predrag Janković, MScTransp.Eng
Biljana Stantić Rakić, MSc Transp Eng
June 5, 2013, Metropol Palace, Belgrade, Serbia
2. 3809 km
1286 km electrified - 1/3 of network
875 km – Corridor X lines
Maximum designed speed 120 km/h
696 stations and stops, 334 tunnels, 981
bridges, 2135 level crossings
INFRASTRUCTURE
of railway lines
in operation 3162 km
283 km double track lines - 7.5 % of network
3. 3
To avoid this, we all need higher passenger and
freight transport volumes
WHAT IF THE CHAIN BREAKS ???
All the transport chain participants will face
problems
4. Average speeds by year – trunk lines
Prescribed average speeds amounted to 66% of average designed speeds i.e. they were
by 1/3 less than in 2012
Significant impact on
operational costs and
required mobile
capacities
NETWORK CONDITION
Far from the optimal
for the Timetable
implementation
Year
5. SERIOUS WARNING
REQUIRES A RESPONSE!
- Main repairs to be annually performed 191 km,
- Overhauled on average from 1981 to 2010 38 km or 20%,
and in the last 20 years only 11% out of the necessary.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1981-1985 1986-1990 1991-1995 1996-2000 2001-2005 2006-2010
58
83
28
18 22 16
191 191 191 191 191 191
Remontovano Potrebno
km
LINE OVERHAUL PERFORMED IN THE PERIOD
1981 – 2010
Overhauled Required
6. 111
48
48
51
24 16
136
36 20
14 10 111
36 26
6 4
107
3 11
109
13 12
125
14 19
50
14 9
138
16 17
72
12 10
16 5
48
6 11
111 Designed line capacity
Average daily number of trains in service in 2012:
FREIGHT TRAINS
PASSENGER TRAINS (including seasonal trains and not including the Beo and
BG voz system trains)
16
16
Average daily number of trains in service and line
capacity utilization in 2012
Line or line section
Designed
line capacity
No of
trains in
service
Capacity
utilization
Trains per 24h
On Average
Daily
Novi Sad- Subotica 51 40 65,6%
Niš- Preševo 50 23 46,0%
Požega - Vrbnica 48 21 43,8%
Stara Pazova- Novi Sad 136 56 41,2%
Niš- Dimitrovgrad 48 17 35,4%
Resnik- Požega 72 22 30,6%
Resnik- Mlad.- V.Plana 109 25 22,9%
Pančevo gl.-Vršac 48 10 20,8%
V.Plana- Stalać - Niš 125 (76) 17 13,6%
Rakovica - M.Krs- V.Plana 107 14 13,1%
Šid - Beograd 111 12
78,4%
10,8%
7. Commercial Speeds on “Serbian Railways” Lines
Steam
traction
1956-1957
Diesel
traction
1978-1979
Electrical
traction
1980 1991-1995 1995-2000 2000-2008 2008-2010 2010-2013 TARGET 2020
4h 2h 30min 2h 30min 2h 30min 2h 50min 3h 10min 3h 30min 4h 120/160 km/h < 2 h
Average travelling times for express trains on Beograd – Subotica route (176.5 km)
32.2
23.6
25.2
40.3
45.1
41.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Komercijalna brzina vozova za prevoz robe
Komercijalna brzina vozova za prevoz putnika
Prosečna komercijalna brzina vozova za prevoz ROBE 1995.-2012.god 27,9 km/h
Prosečna komercijalna brzina vozova za prevoz PUTNIKA 1995.-2012.god 43.4 km/h
27,9
43,4
1995 PERIOD 1995 – 2012 2012
km/h
8. 99.06
117.41
133.78
125.37
131.25
117.54
123.67
121.44
101.44
121.90
133.46
119.02
90.30
100.64 102.85
83.41
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Prihodi od subvencija redovna sredstva Bruto operativni transportni prihodi
106.62
121.19
year subsidy revenue
2005 49,4% 50,6%
2006 47,0% 53,0%
2007 50,1% 49,9%
2008 51,3% 48,7%
2009 59,2% 40,8%
2010 53,9% 46,1%
2011 54,6% 45,4%
2012 59,3% 40,7%
2013 54,9%
PLAN
45,1%
2014 54,2%
PROGNOZA
45,8%
2015 53,5% 46,5%
2016 51,2% 48,8%
2017 48,6% 51,4%
2018 46,0% 54,0%
2019 44,6% 55,4%
In EUR mil
Percentual ratio of
subsidies and ŽS actual
transport revenue
Transport Revenues and Direct State Subsidies
Average direct subsidy in the past 8 years – approx. EUR 121 milion
Planned subsidy for 2013 is RSD 14,565 billion (approx. EUR 130 milion)
Subsidy revenues – regular funds Gross operational transport revenues
9. WHY Rail has Future?
Transport caused environmental damages in the EU:
Amount to 4.6% of national income
Participation in external costs(pollution, noise, vibrations.....) is:
• 92% ( whereof 1/3 freight and 2/3 passenger) road
• 6% air
• 2% rail
IT IS CLEAR THAT RAIL HAS NO ALTERNATIVE IN TERMS OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION !!!
ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECT
Population number worldwide
• 2001. – 6.1 billion
• 2015. – 7.3 billion
Globalization impact on transport activities:
Cities worldwide take approx. 0.4% of the Earth surface generate 80% of global pollution which is
destroyig the climate.
It is estimated that by 2030, 60% of the global population will live in the cities
IT IS APPARENT THAT THE DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT WILL INCREASE!
GHG emissions (gigatonnes/annually)
• in 2000 42 Gt
• uin 2050 85 Gt (climate catastrophy)
Transport is accountable for the emmission of approx. 1/3 of entire CO2 in the EU
Whereof road transport alone for as much as 72% .
10. ŽS five year’s average volume of service from 1985 to
2012
with forecast by 2020
44,578
32,584
19,507
14,473
10,908
9,911
19,480
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
1985. 1990. 1995. 2000. 2005. 2010. 2015. 2020.
PASSENGER SERVICE
Passengers
Over 30,000
34,230
15,892
8,814
9,986
13,232
10,940
13,150
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
1985. 1990. 1995. 2000. 2005. 2010. 2015. 2020.
FREIGHT SERVICE
Tonnes
Over 16,000
11. Restriction is a SERIOUS THREAT!
Competition- CORRIDOR IV
VIDIN- CALAFAT MOST
ISTANBUL CROSSING UNDER
BOSPHORUS
Asian side
European
side
GEBZE
HALKALI
12. Border procedure participants: police, customs, inspection, railway
• Huge time savings may be achieved with good work organization and technology
• Reduction of delays requires good synchronization of operation in the joint border station
• Additional time reduction is achieved by simultaneous operation of both countries’ services
Restriction
BORDER DELAYS
Route Pravac/ Via Border crossings
Number of
borders
Number of
delays
Austria
Turkey
Corridor IV AT-HU-RO-BG-TR 4 1
Corridor X AT-SLO-HR-SRB-BR-TR 5 4
Corridor Xb AT-HU-SRB-BG-TR 4 3
Austria
Greece
Corridor IV AT-HU-RO-BG-GR 4 0
Corridor X AT-SLO-HR-SRB-FYROM-GR 5 4
Corridor Xb AT-HU-SRB-FYROM-GR 4 3
Corridor Xc AT-SLO-HR-SRB-BG-GR 5 3
13. MAIN OBJECTIVE AND TASKS
Reduce the share of
subsidy i.e. increase
own revenues
Renew
infrastructure and
modernize mobile
capacities
Increase volume
of service
Efficient and quality fulfillment of customer and economy demand for
transport – strive for increased share of market
Rail infrastructure as a prerequisite for construction and development of
commercial capacities
Creation of conditions for competitive economy
Maksimally engage the local economy for the rail system needs (infrastructure,
wagon manufacturing, meallurgic complex, new technologies etc)
14. Project lists in the 2009-2027 General Transport Master Plan for Serbia, represent the result of the current condition and
anticipated development.
Minimum Scenario
ASSETS
Development Scenario
ASSETS
Transport
mode
Investment Mainten.
Total costs
milion €
Rail 112 28 2240
Road 336 4600 4936
Air 66 250 316
Waterways 9 43 52
Intermodal 17 9 26
TOTAL 540 7030 7570
Transport
mode
Invest. Maintenance Total costs
milion €
Rail 5100 2346 7446
Road 8707 5044 13751
Air 105 270 376
Waterways 349 126 475
Intermodal 88 48 136
TOTAL 14349 7833 22183
Data clearly show that RAILWAY INFRASTRUCTURE MAINTENANCE is a priority
modernization will depend on the State’s decision and its orientation with respect to investing into Rail in the period after
2027
2128 2346
HOW TO REACH THE
OBJECTIVE
1.1. Investment in maintenance of infrastructure and mobile capacities - continuous
1.2. Investment in renewal of infrastructure and mobile capacities
1. Investment steps 2. Organizational steps
15. Overhauled single track electrified
New electrified single track sections
Double track lines
Our Orientation
1) Elimination of “weak spots” and general
upgrading of line technical properties. Creation of
conditions for provision of a more quality service.
2) Construction of 154.5 km of new lines. New
length of lines in service of 3316.5 km.
3) Doubling of tracks on the existing lines in the
length of 257.5 km – TOTAL 540.5 km i.e. 16% of
lines in operation.
4) Electrification of 254 km i.e. total 46 % of
network in operation.
5) Gradual use of material obtained by
overhauling would be applied in maintenance of
regional lines.
Final Objective
Modern double track lines for mixed passenger and
freight traffic on Corridor X with designed speed of
160 km/h
Restoring of designed speeds on regional lines
Kragujevac
Timok region
Kragujevac
BG:train
16. Phase 1
1. Niš – Dimitrovgrad, Reconstruction and electrification
Length 106 km
Budget - 120 mil €
2. Beograd Centar – Pančevo, Double track line
Length 16 km
Budget - 34 mil €
3. Stara Pazova –Novi Sad, Double track line
Length 45 km
Budget - 340 mil €
4. Stalać – Đunis, Double track line
Length 18 km
Budget - 105 mil €
5. Niš –Preševo, Capital overhaul with upgrading of particular sections
Length 166 km
Budget - 270 mil €
6. Pančevo – Vršac, Modernization and electrification
Length 80 km
Budget - 50 mil €
7. Resnik – Vrbnica, Capital overhaul
Length 285 km
Budget - 250 mil €
8. Valjevo – Loznica, Construction of new line
Length 68 km
Budget - 259 mil €
Phase 2
1. Novi Sad – Subotica, Reconstruction of existing and doubling of tracks
Length 110 km
Budget – 360 mil €
2. Resnik – Velika Plana, Construction of new double track line
Length 76 km
Budget – 370 mil €
Infrastructure Investments Corridor X
Bottle necks and priority sections for
modernization
Lines Beograd-Vrbnica and
Beograd-Vrsac (Corridor XI)
LEGEND
17. CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE over the Danube in Novi Sad instead of the pulled down
“Žeželj Bridge”
Sources of finance: EU IPA fund 26.2 mil.€ and Republic of Serbia 19.1 mil.€
PROJECT VALUE EUR 45.3 milion.
Commencement of works: April 2012.
Deadline for completion of works: 2013
The bridge will be 450 m long, 31 m wide with 2 road lanes, 2 tracks and 2 pedestrian
lanes.
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
18. RAILWAY REHABILITATION II
Sources of finance: European Investment Bank EIB
Reconstruction and modernization of section Gilje -Ćuprija - Paraćin on Beograd – Niš
line
1. Construction of double track bridge over the Velika Morava river – 322 meter span
TOTAL VALUE OF WORKS 8.9 mil. €
Deadline for completion of works: end of 2013
2. Construction of new double track line in the length of 10.5 kilometres.
Civil engineering component: 16.162.200 €, Contract was signed, works are
under way
Electrical engineering component: 6.500.000 € tender is under way.
TOTAL VALUE OF WORKS 22.662.200 €.
Deadline for completion of works: 2014
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
19. 1. Supply of material for renewal of 6
sections on Corridor X in the length of
approx. 112 km
TOTAL VALUE 30 mil. €
Deadline for completion of works:
2014
2. Supply of track maintenance machinery
TOTAL VALUE 5 mil. €.
CORRIDOR X- EBRD IV
Sources of finance:
European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development EBRD
TENDER completed
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
20. Railway station BEOGRAD CENTAR
Phase 1 construction of infrastructure for reception, departure and movement control
Sources of finance: Kuwait Fund for Arabic Economic Development
Loan amount: KWD 10 mil. (approx. EUR 27.6 milion )
Tender issuing in July 2013
Execution of works 2013-2014
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
21. 1. Reconstruction and modernization of section Beograd-Resnik
Supply of material and execution of works
TOTAL VALUE 27 mil. €
2. Rehabilitation of civil and electro-technical infrastructure along Corridor X
2.1 Mala Krsna station
2.2 Lapovo- Bagrdan left and right tracks
2.3 Paraćin - Ćićevac right track
2.4 Ćićevac - Stalać left track
Supply of material and execution of works
TOTAL VALUE 21 mil. €
3. Rehabilitation of electro-technical facilities along Corridor X
Supply of material
TOTAL VALUE 20 mil. €
4. Supply of machinery for maintenance of civil and electro-technical infrastructure
TOTAL VALUE (8+4) 12 mil. €
REHABILITATION OF LINES – EBRD V – Contract signed in January
2012
Sources of finance: European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development EBRD
Loan amount: 95 mil. €
Tender issuing in 2013
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
22. Construction of modern telecommunicatinos infrastructure
along “Serbian Railways” lines
Laying of fiber optic cables along the trunk and main lines in the total length of 2 013 km is
planned in 3 phases.
TOTAL VALUE: 24 mil €
Sources of finance ?
Phase 1 - 444 kilometers: Beograd Node 113 km
Beograd - Niš 230 km
Beograd - Šid 101 km
ESTIMATED VALUE OF WORKS 5.33 mil €.
INFRASTRUCTURE – Underway Projects
23. Project
Potential
sources of
finance
Loan amount
1 Modernization of Stara Pazova – Novi Sad line
Loan from
the Russian
Federation
Government
840 milion
US dollars for
infrastructure
projects
2 Doubling of Pančevački Most - Pančevo Glavna section
3
Execution of works on 6 sections on Corridor X in the length
of approx. 112 km
4 Overhaul of Serbian part of Beograd – Bar line
5 Overhaul and electrification of Niš – Dimitrovgrad line
Czech
Export Bank
120 mil. €
INFRASTRUCTURE – Future Projects
24. Project Sources of
finance
Loan amount Status
1 12 DMUs 711 Eurofima 43 mil. CHF Delivery completed
2 27 DMUs 711
Russian
Federation Loan
100 mil. USD
Negotiations
underway
3 21 EMUs EBRD III 100 mil. EUR
Signed contract
delivery
IX 2014 - IX 2015
4 15 multisystem locomotives EBRD IV 64 mil. EUR underway
OBJECTIVE:
Restored passenger rolling stock fleet by 2016
Transport Capacities Investments
AVAILABLE IN TOTAL DMUs 46 Series 711: 12+27 = 39 new
Series 710: 7 keep the current number of
available ones
AVAILABLE IN TOTAL EMUs 46 21 new EMUs + keep the current number of
available EMUs 25 = 46
AVAILABLE IN TOTAL electric locomotives 125 15 new multisystem el.locs + 110 (129-19)
current el.locs
25. Reduction of border delays
(complete elimination by EU
integration)
Increased commercial speed by
better traffic organization
Maximum utilization of all
internal resources
Stronger cooperation between rail
transport chain participants – mechanisms
to increase the service volumes and
competitiveness
Alliance, Cargo 10,...
2. Organizational Steps