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BEYOND COAL
Kansas, Holcomb and What’s Next
One third of US Greenhouse Gas comes from coal
                                                                                         Why	
  coal?	
  
         CO2 Emissions from the Electric Power Sector (2011)




Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration; Annual Energy Review 2011; Table 11.2e
Why	
  coal?	
  

   Emissions	
  from	
  Fossil-­‐Fueled	
  Power	
  Plants	
  as	
  a	
  Percent	
  of	
  Total	
  U.S.	
  Air	
  Emissions	
  




Source: U.S. EPA, “Reducing Toxic Pollution from Power Plants,” March 16, 2011, p. 6.
Note: The figure includes emissions from oil-fired units as well as coal-fired, but oil-fired units account for only 1% of U.S. electric generation. Air emissions are
not necessarily the major source of exposure for each of these pollutants.
          	
        	
             	
  	
          What	
  types	
  of	
  air	
  pollu?on	
  are	
  
      	
           	
        	
             	
  	
                   caused	
  by	
  burning	
  coal?    	
  
                                      Primary	
  Pollutants	
  from	
  Coal	
  

Pollu:on	
                 Chemical	
  Culprits	
                                 Health	
  and	
  Environmental	
  
                                                                                  Effects	
  
Acid	
  Rain	
             Sulfur	
  dioxides	
  (SOx)	
                          Harms	
  aqua?c	
  life,	
  forests,	
  
                           Nitrogen	
  oxides	
  (NOx)	
  	
                      crops,	
  buildings	
  	
  
Smog	
  and	
  ozone	
     Nitrogen	
  oxides	
  (NOx)	
  	
                      Respiratory	
  ailments	
  
                           Vola?le	
  organic	
  compounds	
  (VOC’s)	
           (asthma	
  aGacks,	
  bronchi?s)	
  
Soot	
                     Par?culate	
  maGer	
                                  Respiratory	
  ailments	
  and	
  
                           Sulfur	
  dioxides	
  (SOx)	
                          heart	
  condi?ons	
  (asthma	
  
                           Nitrogen	
  oxides	
  (NOx)	
  	
                      aGacks,	
  bronchi?s,	
  heart	
  
                                                                                  aGacks	
  and	
  strokes)	
  
Hazardous	
  air	
         Mercury,	
  arsenic,	
  benzene,	
  heavy	
            Neurotoxic,	
  carcinogenic,	
  
pollutants	
  	
           metals,	
  etc.	
                                      radioac?ve	
  or	
  corrosive	
  
Greenhouse	
  gases	
      CO2,	
  methane	
                                      Climate	
  change	
  
Why	
  coal?	
  

"Coal	
  pollutants	
  affect	
  all	
  major	
  body	
  organ	
  systems	
  and	
  contribute	
  to	
  four	
  of	
  
the	
  five	
  leading	
  causes	
  of	
  mortality	
  in	
  the	
  US:	
  heart	
  disease,	
  cancer,	
  stroke,	
  and	
  
chronic	
  lower	
  respiratory	
  diseases."	
  
                                                                                    	
  	
  -­‐	
  Physicians	
  for	
  Social	
  Responsibility	
  


• More	
  than	
  50%	
  of	
  Americans	
  live	
  within	
  30	
  miles	
  of	
  a	
  coal	
  plant	
  


• Mercury	
  poisoning	
  impacts	
  at	
  least	
  one	
  in	
  twelve	
  U.S.	
  women	
  and	
  places	
  their	
  children	
  
at	
  risk	
  


• 	
  $100	
  billion	
  in	
  health	
  costs	
  annually	
  


• 	
  13,000	
  premature	
  deaths	
  annually	
  
Why	
  coal?	
  


David	
  and	
  Charles	
  Koch	
  
Three	
  Steps	
  to	
  BeGer,	
  Cleaner	
  Electricity	
  

Phase	
  1:	
  Stop	
  the	
  rush	
  to	
  build	
  new	
  coal	
  (2005-­‐2012)	
  
• 	
  Stop	
  90%	
  of	
  all	
  new	
  plants	
  
• 	
  Build	
  an	
  an?-­‐coal	
  movement	
  and	
  infrastructure	
  



Phase	
  2:	
  Re:re	
  vulnerable,	
  dirty	
  exis:ng	
  coal	
  plants	
  (2010-­‐2015)	
  
• 	
  Re?re	
  1/3	
  fleet	
  (2020);	
  reduce	
  carbon	
  and	
  health	
  impacts;	
  	
  
• 	
  Replace	
  as	
  much	
  of	
  that	
  coal	
  with	
  true	
  clean	
  energy;	
  
• 	
  End	
  coal	
  exports	
  



Phase	
  3:	
  Accelerate	
  deployment	
  of	
  clean	
  energy	
  (2015-­‐2030)	
  
•  Set	
  up	
  re?rement	
  of	
  rest	
  of	
  fleet	
  
• 	
  Clean	
  energy	
  displaces	
  coal
 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Our	
  team	
  of	
  staff,	
  volunteers,	
  students,	
  	
  
 and	
  allies	
  have	
  built	
  this	
  winning	
  campaign	
  
What	
  we	
  will	
  do:	
  
                                     2011-­‐2015	
  outcomes	
  

1.  End coal rush

2.  Secure retirement of approximately one-third
    (105,000 MW) of the existing coal fleet

3.  Block new coal export infrastructure in West and
    Alaska

4.  Replace majority of coal with clean energy (wind,
    solar, geothermal and energy efficiency) and
    minimize use of natural gas and biomass, and no
    coal or nukes.
What	
  we	
  will	
  do:	
  
                                           2020	
  results	
  

1.  Coal’s carbon pollution reduced by at least 28
    percent (500Mmt) and reduce coal’s share of
    electricity from 45 to 30 percent

2.  Slash sulfur dioxide and mercury emissions from
    the electric sector by at least 50 and 90 percent,
    respectively

3.  Install at least [129,000 MW] of clean energy

4.  Poised to retire remaining coal fleet no later than
    2030
How	
  we	
  will	
  do	
  it:	
  
                                our	
  theory	
  of	
  change	
  


Grassroots
                                     Communications
Pressure     Strong EPA Rules




Grassroots
                                      Communications
Pressure     State-based Coal
                  Fights
Coal	
  is	
  vulnerable	
  and	
  the	
  ?me	
  is	
  right	
  

Age	
  of	
  Coal	
  Power	
  Plants	
  in	
  United	
  States	
  




                                                                                                      167*




*If	
  not	
  for	
  the	
  Beyond	
  Coal	
  Campaign	
  167	
  coal	
  units	
  would	
  have	
  been	
  built	
  genera?ng	
  over	
  86,000	
  MW	
  
How	
  we	
  will	
  do	
  it:	
  
        Replace	
  coal	
  with	
  clean	
  energy	
  

Wind                     Energy efficiency




Solar
Wind	
  and	
  solar	
  provide	
  more,	
  safe	
  jobs	
  


                       U.S.	
  Job	
  Market	
  in	
  Solar	
  and	
  Wind	
  vs.	
  Coal	
  Plants	
  and	
  Coal	
  Mining	
  




Source: AWEA U.S. Wind Industry Annual Market Report 2010; Solar Foundation National Solar Jobs Census 2010; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Clean	
  energy:	
  	
  
                                                        What	
  it’s	
  going	
  to	
  take?	
  	
  


Annual	
  Growth	
  Needed	
  To	
  Meet	
  2030	
  No	
  Coal	
  Target	
  (MW)	
  
                                                                                Goal:	
  	
  
                  2009	
  	
          2010	
  	
          2011	
  	
            Annual	
  MW	
  
                  MW	
  Installed	
   MW	
  Installed	
   MW	
  Installed	
     Installed	
  by	
  
                                                                                2030	
  

Solar	
           600	
               1,000	
  	
          1,900	
              13,500	
  


Wind	
            10,000	
            5,000	
              7,000	
              10,000	
  


Geothermal	
      0	
                 15	
  	
             1.6	
                1,000	
  
Our	
  job:	
  
Show	
  strong	
  public	
  support	
  for	
  EPA	
  rules	
  
EPA	
  rules	
  in	
  the	
  Obama	
  Administra?on	
  


  RULE	
  OR	
  STANDARD	
                       FINAL	
  RULE	
                                 EPA	
  ESTIMATE	
  OF	
  COSTS/IMPACTS*	
  
  Cross-­‐State	
  Air	
  Pollu?on	
  Rule	
     Finalized	
  July	
  6,	
  2011	
               $2.4	
  billion/year**	
  

  Mercury	
  and	
  Air	
  Toxics	
  Rule	
      Finalized	
  Feb.	
  16,	
  2012	
              $10-­‐$11	
  billion/year	
  

                                                                                                 $19-­‐$25	
  billion/year	
  for	
  all	
  sources	
  but	
  limited	
  
  NAAQS	
  for	
  ozone	
                        Delayed	
  to	
  2013	
  
                                                                                                 impact	
  on	
  EGUs*	
  
                                                 Not	
  yet	
  proposed,	
  expected	
  in	
  
  NAAQS	
  for	
  par?culate	
  maGer	
                                                          Unknown	
  
                                                 2012	
  
  New	
  Source	
  Performance	
                 Dran	
  in	
  March	
  2012,	
  finalized	
  
                                                                                                 Unknown	
  
  Standards	
  for	
  GHGs	
                     Nov	
  2012	
  
  Cooling	
  Water	
  Intake	
  Structure	
      Dran	
  released,	
  finalized	
  
                                                                                                 Unknown	
  
  Rule	
                                         summer	
  2012	
  
  Clean	
  Water	
  Effluent	
  Limita?on	
        Not	
  yet	
  proposed;	
  expected	
  
                                                                                                 Unknown	
  
  Guidelines	
  Rule	
                           January	
  31,	
  2014	
  
  Coal	
  Combus?on	
  Waste	
  Rule	
           Delayed	
  un?l	
  2012	
  or	
  later	
        $587	
  million-­‐$1.5	
  billion/year	
  



Source: Compiled by CRS. *Costs as estimated by EPA. See text for discussion of costs and impacts of specific rules. **Of the $2.4 billion annual cost, $1.6
billion is attributed to the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), a 2005 rule that the Cross-State Rule is replacing.
Our	
  job:	
  
        Hard-­‐hirng	
  local	
  campaigns	
  
CHICAGO	
  
Since Jan 1 2010…
                                                 Declining Coal Capacity
                                (Existing Coal Capacity - Retirements and Announcements)
                 358,000
                           Duke Energy, Xcel
                                                    AEP &
                             & First Energy
                                                 San Antonio
                                                           GenOn,
                 338,000
                                               TVA       Dominion, LGE
                                                          & Kentucky
                                                            Utilities
                 318,000
Megawatts (MW)




                                                        First Energy

                 298,000




                 278,000




                 258,000




                 238,000
CO2 Reductions with BCC

                 Projected U.S. Energy-Related CO2 Emissions (million metric tons)
                             with Beyond Coal Campaign Outcomes
6,500

                                                                                AEO 2012 BAU with
                                                                                168 new coal plants
6,000
                                                                                AEO 2012 BAU
                                                                                BCC 25% replacement
5,500                                                                           with CE
                                                                               BCC 100% replacement
                                                                               with CE
5,000



4,500
                                                                          13% (2020) and 27% (2030)
        Historical Data         Projections                               below 2005 levels
4,000
                                                                          14% (2020) and 35% (2030)
                                                                          below 2005 levels

3,500



3,000
 Exis?ng	
  Coal	
  Re?red	
  
Coal	
  loses	
  as	
  playing	
  field	
  leveled	
  
                                               Solar	
  PV	
                                                                                                                                               $136-­‐192	
  
                                    Crystalline	
  Roo6op	
  
                                               Solar	
  PV	
  
RENEWABLE	
  ENERGY	
  




                            Crystalline	
  Ground	
  Mount	
                                                                                     $80	
                     $109	
  -­‐	
  124	
   $157	
  
                                               Solar	
  PV	
                                                                    $73	
                                          $89	
  -­‐	
  179	
  
                                                 Thin-­‐Film	
  

                                       Solar	
  Thermal	
                                                                                                                                                $120	
  -­‐	
  198	
  

                                               Fuel	
  Cell	
                                                                                                                                                  $96-­‐248	
  

                                     Biomass	
  Direct	
                                                                                                               $77-­‐150	
  

                                         Geothermal	
                                                                                              $73-­‐135	
  

                                                      Wind	
                                         $30-­‐79	
  

                                 Energy	
  Efficiency	
                    $0-­‐50	
  

                                          Gas	
  Peaking	
                                                                                                                                                                                                  $196-­‐258	
  
CONVENTIONAL	
  




                                                        IGCC	
                                                                                                     $90-­‐134	
  

                                                 Nuclear	
                                                                                        $76-­‐115	
  

                                                      Coal	
                                                                                                  $63-­‐161	
  

                          Gas	
  Combined	
  Cycle	
                                                                               $58-­‐109	
  

                                                                   0	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  50	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  75	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  100	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  150	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  200	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  250	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  300	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  350	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  400	
  
                                                                   Levelized	
  Cost	
  ($/MWh)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Source:	
  Lazard,	
  June	
  2011	
  
2011	
  Highlights	
  

• No new coal, coal-to-gas, or coal-to-liquid plants broke ground
• Defeated new coal plants: 161 (88,147 MW) since 2002
• Announced retirements: 88 plants (37,000 MW) since 2010 – 1/3 2015 goal
• EPA issued strong mercury rule, Cross State Air Pollution Rule
• Defeated all Congressional attempts to weaken Clean Air Act
• Record amounts of clean energy installed (1.8 GW of solar alone)
• EPA vetoed largest mountaintop removal permit ever proposed
• Blocked Western coal export port expansions
• Campus coal plant retirements (19 out of 60 total)
• Ran hard-hitting communications campaigns
Making	
  mountaintop	
  removal	
  a	
  thing	
  of	
  the	
  past	
  	
  
Stopping	
  the	
  expansion	
  of	
  coal	
  exports	
  


Export	
  image	
  
Communica?ons	
  strategy:	
  	
  
Branding	
  coal	
  as	
  the	
  next	
  tobacco	
  


     •  	
  	
  
2012 Preview

• No new coal, coal-to-gas, coal-to-liquids plants break ground
• By the end of 2012, secure an additional 13,000 MW of announced
  retirements
• Successfully defend Mercury and Cross State Air Pollution rules
• EPA adopts greenhouse gas standards for new coal plants
• Extend federal incentives for clean energy
• Record deployment of wind, solar and geothermal (10,000 MW)
• No new coal export infrastructure constructed in Northwest and Alaska
Kansas	
  	
  

• 	
  	
  Total	
  MW	
  exis?ng	
  coal	
  capacity	
  =	
  5474	
  MW	
  
               • 	
  	
  5	
  opera?ng	
  u?li?es	
  
               • 	
  	
  8	
  primary	
  genera?ng	
  sta?ons	
  
               • 	
  	
  7	
  local	
  communi?es	
  
               • 	
  	
  Several	
  smaller,	
  less-­‐controlled	
  units	
  (Tecumseh,	
  Riverton,	
  part	
  of	
  Lawrence,	
  
               Holcomb	
  1,	
  Quindaro,	
  Nearman)	
  
• 	
  	
  One	
  new	
  unit	
  (Holcomb	
  2	
  –	
  895MW)	
  proposed	
  
• 	
  	
  Regulatory,	
  poli?cal,	
  legal,	
  economic,	
  and	
  advocacy	
  opportuni?es	
  at	
  (and	
  unique	
  to)	
  each	
  
unit	
  
               • 	
  CSAPR	
  future	
  equivalent	
  and	
  MATS	
  will	
  impact	
  all	
  KS	
  u?li?es	
  (legal	
  ac?on	
  pending)	
  
               • 	
  NSPS	
  will	
  impact	
  Holcomb	
  (legal	
  ruling	
  pending)	
  
               • 	
  	
  Sierra	
  Club	
  NOI	
  focused	
  on	
  KCBPU	
  
               • 	
  	
  Sierra	
  Club	
  challenged	
  LaCygne	
  retrofit	
  at	
  KCC	
  
• 	
  	
  2nd	
  best	
  wind	
  resource	
  na?onally	
  >	
  10x	
  state	
  annual	
  peak	
  load	
  
               • 	
  	
  9th	
  among	
  states	
  in	
  installed	
  wind	
  capacity	
  
• 	
  	
  ACEEE	
  ranks	
  KS	
  45th	
  out	
  of	
  50	
  na?onally	
  for	
  EE	
  policy	
  and	
  outcomes	
  
• 	
  	
  Ranked	
  10th	
  na?onally	
  in	
  solar	
  energy	
  poten?al	
  (NREL	
  sun	
  index,	
  not	
  policy)	
  
Coal-­‐to-­‐Clean	
  Energy	
  


        What’s	
  figh:ng	
  new	
  coal	
  got	
  to	
  do	
  with	
  clean	
  energy?                  	
  
•  1400	
  MW	
  new	
  coal	
  plant	
  proposed	
  in	
  KS	
  in	
  2007	
  
      –  Currently	
  permiGed	
  but	
  not	
  built,	
  not	
  under	
  construc?on,	
  and	
  facing	
  
         major	
  challenges	
  
•  KS	
  had	
  364	
  MW	
  installed	
  wind	
  in	
  2007.	
  	
  Currently	
  1274	
  MW	
  
   wind	
  installed,	
  1189	
  MW	
  under	
  construc?on,	
  13,191	
  MW	
  in	
  
   the	
  cue	
  
      –  New	
  coal	
  in	
  KS	
  =	
  0,	
  new	
  wind	
  in	
  KS	
  =	
  almost	
  1000MW	
  
•  No	
  coal	
  =	
  clean	
  energy	
  =	
  no	
  coal	
  
Holcomb,	
  Of	
  Note	
  

•    Originally	
  would	
  have	
  been	
  the	
  single	
  largest	
  sta?onary	
  source	
  of	
  GHGs	
  west	
  of	
  the	
  
     Mississippi.	
  
•    Bremby's	
  denial	
  the	
  first	
  and	
  only	
  instance	
  of	
  a	
  US	
  state	
  regulator	
  denying	
  a	
  permit	
  
     to	
  construct	
  a	
  coal	
  plant	
  on	
  the	
  grounds	
  of	
  harm	
  to	
  public	
  health	
  from	
  climate	
  
     change.	
  
•    Tri-­‐State	
  Genera?on	
  &	
  Transmission	
  (a	
  very	
  large	
  Rural	
  Electric	
  Coop	
  based	
  in	
  
     Colorado	
  and	
  serving	
  CO,	
  NM,	
  WY	
  and	
  NE)	
  is	
  the	
  100%	
  owner	
  of	
  the	
  project	
  and	
  all	
  
     of	
  its	
  power.	
  
•    Sunflower	
  Electric	
  owes	
  hundreds	
  of	
  millions	
  $	
  in	
  unpaid	
  taxpayer-­‐funded	
  loans	
  
     through	
  the	
  Rural	
  U?lity	
  Service	
  for	
  the	
  exis?ng	
  coal	
  plant	
  at	
  the	
  Holcomb	
  Sta?on.	
  
•    A	
  federal	
  district	
  court	
  recently	
  ruled	
  (mostly)	
  in	
  favor	
  of	
  Sierra	
  Club	
  that	
  RUS	
  
     violated	
  NEPA	
  by	
  allowing	
  the	
  current	
  project	
  to	
  move	
  forward	
  without	
  an	
  EIS.	
  
•    Sierra	
  Club	
  is	
  challenging	
  the	
  permit	
  before	
  the	
  KS	
  Supreme	
  Court	
  –	
  substan?ve	
  
     one-­‐hour	
  NOx	
  and	
  SOx	
  aGainment	
  arguments,	
  a	
  well	
  as	
  process	
  issues.	
  
•    Holcomb	
  is	
  listed	
  as	
  "transi?onal	
  source"	
  by	
  EPA	
  with	
  regard	
  to	
  the	
  newly	
  
     promulgated	
  New	
  Source	
  Performance	
  Standards	
  (essen?ally,	
  GHG	
  regula?ons).	
  	
  
Holcomb	
  Origins	
  

2001	
  –	
  VP	
  Dick	
  Cheney	
  chairs	
  NEPDG	
  behind	
  closed	
         2009	
  –	
  Parkinson	
  seGlement	
  agreement	
  
    doors	
  –	
  the	
  coal	
  rush	
  was	
  (re)born	
                                    –  ACES	
  defeated	
  
         –  	
  3rd	
  IPCC	
  Assessment	
  reported	
                                       –  Electricity	
  demand	
  begins	
  downward	
  
2002	
  –	
  Nascent	
  Beyond	
  Coal	
  Campaign	
  begins	
  in	
                                 movement	
  
    Great	
  Lakes	
  region	
                                                                –  Natural	
  gas	
  prices	
  move	
  sharply	
  
                                                                                                     downward,	
  shale	
  reserves	
  confirmed	
  
2004	
  –	
  Sunflower	
  has	
  Sand	
  Sage	
  coal	
  plant	
  permit	
  in-­‐
                                                                                   2010	
  -­‐	
  Cohesive	
  federal	
  climate	
  policy	
  abandoned	
  
    hand,	
  w/extension	
                                                             (Carol	
  Browner	
  leaves	
  WH)	
  
         –  Approx.	
  20	
  public	
  comments	
                                             –  Bremby	
  fired	
  
         –  Sierra	
  Club	
  Beyond	
  Coal	
  targets	
  every	
                            –  KDHE	
  permits	
  Holcomb	
  at	
  895	
  MW	
  
                   single	
  US	
  coal	
  plant	
                                                     •  Approx.	
  6000	
  public	
  comments	
  
2006	
  –	
  An	
  Inconvenient	
  Truth	
                                                    –  Tri-­‐State	
  G&T	
  public	
  IRP	
  shows	
  no	
  demand	
  
         –  Holcomb	
  Project	
  at	
  2100	
  MW	
                                                 for	
  Holcomb	
  
2007	
  –	
  4th	
  IPCC	
  Assessment	
  reported	
                               2011	
  –	
  Sierra	
  Club	
  files	
  suit	
  against	
  KDHE	
  permit	
  
         –  Mass.	
  v.	
  EPA	
                                                              –  Bloomberg	
  gin,	
  BCC	
  goes	
  from	
  15	
  states	
  to	
  
                                                                                                     45,	
  targets	
  1/3	
  of	
  exis?ng	
  coal	
  
         –  Bremby	
  denies	
  Holcomb	
  at	
  1400	
  MW	
  
                                                                                   2012	
  –	
  MATS,	
  CSAPR,	
  NSPS	
  
                   •  Approx.	
  750	
  public	
  comments	
                                  –  BCC	
  achieves	
  9.5%	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  
2008	
  –	
  Sebelius	
  vetoes	
  2	
  coal	
  plant	
  bills	
                                     reduc?ons,	
  federal	
  cap	
  &	
  trade	
  =	
  5%	
  
         –  Barak	
  Obama	
  elected	
  POTUS,	
  Lisa	
  Jackson	
                          –  Federal	
  court	
  rules	
  against	
  RUS	
  and	
  
                to	
  EPA	
                                                                          Sunflower	
  
                                                                                              –  KS	
  Supreme	
  Court	
  hears	
  arguments	
  re:	
  
                                                                                                     KDHE	
  permit	
  
Discussion	
  


“No one has done what we are doing before. Ever.
There is no blueprint to take delivery of and execute on.
We are creating it as we act.”




          “Nothing builds power like winning.”




       Who is the “we” from this presentation?
Discussion:
- Feedback on Plan
- Next Steps

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BCC southwinds presentation

  • 1. BEYOND COAL Kansas, Holcomb and What’s Next
  • 2. One third of US Greenhouse Gas comes from coal Why  coal?   CO2 Emissions from the Electric Power Sector (2011) Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration; Annual Energy Review 2011; Table 11.2e
  • 3. Why  coal?   Emissions  from  Fossil-­‐Fueled  Power  Plants  as  a  Percent  of  Total  U.S.  Air  Emissions   Source: U.S. EPA, “Reducing Toxic Pollution from Power Plants,” March 16, 2011, p. 6. Note: The figure includes emissions from oil-fired units as well as coal-fired, but oil-fired units account for only 1% of U.S. electric generation. Air emissions are not necessarily the major source of exposure for each of these pollutants.
  • 4.           What  types  of  air  pollu?on  are             caused  by  burning  coal?   Primary  Pollutants  from  Coal   Pollu:on   Chemical  Culprits   Health  and  Environmental   Effects   Acid  Rain   Sulfur  dioxides  (SOx)   Harms  aqua?c  life,  forests,   Nitrogen  oxides  (NOx)     crops,  buildings     Smog  and  ozone   Nitrogen  oxides  (NOx)     Respiratory  ailments   Vola?le  organic  compounds  (VOC’s)   (asthma  aGacks,  bronchi?s)   Soot   Par?culate  maGer   Respiratory  ailments  and   Sulfur  dioxides  (SOx)   heart  condi?ons  (asthma   Nitrogen  oxides  (NOx)     aGacks,  bronchi?s,  heart   aGacks  and  strokes)   Hazardous  air   Mercury,  arsenic,  benzene,  heavy   Neurotoxic,  carcinogenic,   pollutants     metals,  etc.   radioac?ve  or  corrosive   Greenhouse  gases   CO2,  methane   Climate  change  
  • 5. Why  coal?   "Coal  pollutants  affect  all  major  body  organ  systems  and  contribute  to  four  of   the  five  leading  causes  of  mortality  in  the  US:  heart  disease,  cancer,  stroke,  and   chronic  lower  respiratory  diseases."      -­‐  Physicians  for  Social  Responsibility   • More  than  50%  of  Americans  live  within  30  miles  of  a  coal  plant   • Mercury  poisoning  impacts  at  least  one  in  twelve  U.S.  women  and  places  their  children   at  risk   •   $100  billion  in  health  costs  annually   •   13,000  premature  deaths  annually  
  • 6. Why  coal?   David  and  Charles  Koch  
  • 7. Three  Steps  to  BeGer,  Cleaner  Electricity   Phase  1:  Stop  the  rush  to  build  new  coal  (2005-­‐2012)   •   Stop  90%  of  all  new  plants   •   Build  an  an?-­‐coal  movement  and  infrastructure   Phase  2:  Re:re  vulnerable,  dirty  exis:ng  coal  plants  (2010-­‐2015)   •   Re?re  1/3  fleet  (2020);  reduce  carbon  and  health  impacts;     •   Replace  as  much  of  that  coal  with  true  clean  energy;   •   End  coal  exports   Phase  3:  Accelerate  deployment  of  clean  energy  (2015-­‐2030)   •  Set  up  re?rement  of  rest  of  fleet   •   Clean  energy  displaces  coal
  • 8.              Our  team  of  staff,  volunteers,  students,     and  allies  have  built  this  winning  campaign  
  • 9. What  we  will  do:   2011-­‐2015  outcomes   1.  End coal rush 2.  Secure retirement of approximately one-third (105,000 MW) of the existing coal fleet 3.  Block new coal export infrastructure in West and Alaska 4.  Replace majority of coal with clean energy (wind, solar, geothermal and energy efficiency) and minimize use of natural gas and biomass, and no coal or nukes.
  • 10. What  we  will  do:   2020  results   1.  Coal’s carbon pollution reduced by at least 28 percent (500Mmt) and reduce coal’s share of electricity from 45 to 30 percent 2.  Slash sulfur dioxide and mercury emissions from the electric sector by at least 50 and 90 percent, respectively 3.  Install at least [129,000 MW] of clean energy 4.  Poised to retire remaining coal fleet no later than 2030
  • 11. How  we  will  do  it:   our  theory  of  change   Grassroots Communications Pressure Strong EPA Rules Grassroots Communications Pressure State-based Coal Fights
  • 12. Coal  is  vulnerable  and  the  ?me  is  right   Age  of  Coal  Power  Plants  in  United  States   167* *If  not  for  the  Beyond  Coal  Campaign  167  coal  units  would  have  been  built  genera?ng  over  86,000  MW  
  • 13. How  we  will  do  it:   Replace  coal  with  clean  energy   Wind Energy efficiency Solar
  • 14. Wind  and  solar  provide  more,  safe  jobs   U.S.  Job  Market  in  Solar  and  Wind  vs.  Coal  Plants  and  Coal  Mining   Source: AWEA U.S. Wind Industry Annual Market Report 2010; Solar Foundation National Solar Jobs Census 2010; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 15. Clean  energy:     What  it’s  going  to  take?     Annual  Growth  Needed  To  Meet  2030  No  Coal  Target  (MW)   Goal:     2009     2010     2011     Annual  MW   MW  Installed   MW  Installed   MW  Installed   Installed  by   2030   Solar   600   1,000     1,900   13,500   Wind   10,000   5,000   7,000   10,000   Geothermal   0   15     1.6   1,000  
  • 16. Our  job:   Show  strong  public  support  for  EPA  rules  
  • 17. EPA  rules  in  the  Obama  Administra?on   RULE  OR  STANDARD   FINAL  RULE   EPA  ESTIMATE  OF  COSTS/IMPACTS*   Cross-­‐State  Air  Pollu?on  Rule   Finalized  July  6,  2011   $2.4  billion/year**   Mercury  and  Air  Toxics  Rule   Finalized  Feb.  16,  2012   $10-­‐$11  billion/year   $19-­‐$25  billion/year  for  all  sources  but  limited   NAAQS  for  ozone   Delayed  to  2013   impact  on  EGUs*   Not  yet  proposed,  expected  in   NAAQS  for  par?culate  maGer   Unknown   2012   New  Source  Performance   Dran  in  March  2012,  finalized   Unknown   Standards  for  GHGs   Nov  2012   Cooling  Water  Intake  Structure   Dran  released,  finalized   Unknown   Rule   summer  2012   Clean  Water  Effluent  Limita?on   Not  yet  proposed;  expected   Unknown   Guidelines  Rule   January  31,  2014   Coal  Combus?on  Waste  Rule   Delayed  un?l  2012  or  later   $587  million-­‐$1.5  billion/year   Source: Compiled by CRS. *Costs as estimated by EPA. See text for discussion of costs and impacts of specific rules. **Of the $2.4 billion annual cost, $1.6 billion is attributed to the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), a 2005 rule that the Cross-State Rule is replacing.
  • 18. Our  job:   Hard-­‐hirng  local  campaigns   CHICAGO  
  • 19. Since Jan 1 2010… Declining Coal Capacity (Existing Coal Capacity - Retirements and Announcements) 358,000 Duke Energy, Xcel AEP & & First Energy San Antonio GenOn, 338,000 TVA Dominion, LGE & Kentucky Utilities 318,000 Megawatts (MW) First Energy 298,000 278,000 258,000 238,000
  • 20. CO2 Reductions with BCC Projected U.S. Energy-Related CO2 Emissions (million metric tons) with Beyond Coal Campaign Outcomes 6,500 AEO 2012 BAU with 168 new coal plants 6,000 AEO 2012 BAU BCC 25% replacement 5,500 with CE BCC 100% replacement with CE 5,000 4,500 13% (2020) and 27% (2030) Historical Data Projections below 2005 levels 4,000 14% (2020) and 35% (2030) below 2005 levels 3,500 3,000
  • 22. Coal  loses  as  playing  field  leveled   Solar  PV   $136-­‐192   Crystalline  Roo6op   Solar  PV   RENEWABLE  ENERGY   Crystalline  Ground  Mount   $80   $109  -­‐  124   $157   Solar  PV   $73   $89  -­‐  179   Thin-­‐Film   Solar  Thermal   $120  -­‐  198   Fuel  Cell   $96-­‐248   Biomass  Direct   $77-­‐150   Geothermal   $73-­‐135   Wind   $30-­‐79   Energy  Efficiency   $0-­‐50   Gas  Peaking   $196-­‐258   CONVENTIONAL   IGCC   $90-­‐134   Nuclear   $76-­‐115   Coal   $63-­‐161   Gas  Combined  Cycle   $58-­‐109   0                  50                  75                  100                  150                  200                  250                  300                  350                  400   Levelized  Cost  ($/MWh)   Source:  Lazard,  June  2011  
  • 23. 2011  Highlights   • No new coal, coal-to-gas, or coal-to-liquid plants broke ground • Defeated new coal plants: 161 (88,147 MW) since 2002 • Announced retirements: 88 plants (37,000 MW) since 2010 – 1/3 2015 goal • EPA issued strong mercury rule, Cross State Air Pollution Rule • Defeated all Congressional attempts to weaken Clean Air Act • Record amounts of clean energy installed (1.8 GW of solar alone) • EPA vetoed largest mountaintop removal permit ever proposed • Blocked Western coal export port expansions • Campus coal plant retirements (19 out of 60 total) • Ran hard-hitting communications campaigns
  • 24. Making  mountaintop  removal  a  thing  of  the  past    
  • 25. Stopping  the  expansion  of  coal  exports   Export  image  
  • 26. Communica?ons  strategy:     Branding  coal  as  the  next  tobacco   •     
  • 27. 2012 Preview • No new coal, coal-to-gas, coal-to-liquids plants break ground • By the end of 2012, secure an additional 13,000 MW of announced retirements • Successfully defend Mercury and Cross State Air Pollution rules • EPA adopts greenhouse gas standards for new coal plants • Extend federal incentives for clean energy • Record deployment of wind, solar and geothermal (10,000 MW) • No new coal export infrastructure constructed in Northwest and Alaska
  • 28. Kansas     •     Total  MW  exis?ng  coal  capacity  =  5474  MW   •     5  opera?ng  u?li?es   •     8  primary  genera?ng  sta?ons   •     7  local  communi?es   •     Several  smaller,  less-­‐controlled  units  (Tecumseh,  Riverton,  part  of  Lawrence,   Holcomb  1,  Quindaro,  Nearman)   •     One  new  unit  (Holcomb  2  –  895MW)  proposed   •     Regulatory,  poli?cal,  legal,  economic,  and  advocacy  opportuni?es  at  (and  unique  to)  each   unit   •   CSAPR  future  equivalent  and  MATS  will  impact  all  KS  u?li?es  (legal  ac?on  pending)   •   NSPS  will  impact  Holcomb  (legal  ruling  pending)   •     Sierra  Club  NOI  focused  on  KCBPU   •     Sierra  Club  challenged  LaCygne  retrofit  at  KCC   •     2nd  best  wind  resource  na?onally  >  10x  state  annual  peak  load   •     9th  among  states  in  installed  wind  capacity   •     ACEEE  ranks  KS  45th  out  of  50  na?onally  for  EE  policy  and  outcomes   •     Ranked  10th  na?onally  in  solar  energy  poten?al  (NREL  sun  index,  not  policy)  
  • 29. Coal-­‐to-­‐Clean  Energy   What’s  figh:ng  new  coal  got  to  do  with  clean  energy?   •  1400  MW  new  coal  plant  proposed  in  KS  in  2007   –  Currently  permiGed  but  not  built,  not  under  construc?on,  and  facing   major  challenges   •  KS  had  364  MW  installed  wind  in  2007.    Currently  1274  MW   wind  installed,  1189  MW  under  construc?on,  13,191  MW  in   the  cue   –  New  coal  in  KS  =  0,  new  wind  in  KS  =  almost  1000MW   •  No  coal  =  clean  energy  =  no  coal  
  • 30. Holcomb,  Of  Note   •  Originally  would  have  been  the  single  largest  sta?onary  source  of  GHGs  west  of  the   Mississippi.   •  Bremby's  denial  the  first  and  only  instance  of  a  US  state  regulator  denying  a  permit   to  construct  a  coal  plant  on  the  grounds  of  harm  to  public  health  from  climate   change.   •  Tri-­‐State  Genera?on  &  Transmission  (a  very  large  Rural  Electric  Coop  based  in   Colorado  and  serving  CO,  NM,  WY  and  NE)  is  the  100%  owner  of  the  project  and  all   of  its  power.   •  Sunflower  Electric  owes  hundreds  of  millions  $  in  unpaid  taxpayer-­‐funded  loans   through  the  Rural  U?lity  Service  for  the  exis?ng  coal  plant  at  the  Holcomb  Sta?on.   •  A  federal  district  court  recently  ruled  (mostly)  in  favor  of  Sierra  Club  that  RUS   violated  NEPA  by  allowing  the  current  project  to  move  forward  without  an  EIS.   •  Sierra  Club  is  challenging  the  permit  before  the  KS  Supreme  Court  –  substan?ve   one-­‐hour  NOx  and  SOx  aGainment  arguments,  a  well  as  process  issues.   •  Holcomb  is  listed  as  "transi?onal  source"  by  EPA  with  regard  to  the  newly   promulgated  New  Source  Performance  Standards  (essen?ally,  GHG  regula?ons).    
  • 31. Holcomb  Origins   2001  –  VP  Dick  Cheney  chairs  NEPDG  behind  closed   2009  –  Parkinson  seGlement  agreement   doors  –  the  coal  rush  was  (re)born   –  ACES  defeated   –   3rd  IPCC  Assessment  reported   –  Electricity  demand  begins  downward   2002  –  Nascent  Beyond  Coal  Campaign  begins  in   movement   Great  Lakes  region   –  Natural  gas  prices  move  sharply   downward,  shale  reserves  confirmed   2004  –  Sunflower  has  Sand  Sage  coal  plant  permit  in-­‐ 2010  -­‐  Cohesive  federal  climate  policy  abandoned   hand,  w/extension   (Carol  Browner  leaves  WH)   –  Approx.  20  public  comments   –  Bremby  fired   –  Sierra  Club  Beyond  Coal  targets  every   –  KDHE  permits  Holcomb  at  895  MW   single  US  coal  plant   •  Approx.  6000  public  comments   2006  –  An  Inconvenient  Truth   –  Tri-­‐State  G&T  public  IRP  shows  no  demand   –  Holcomb  Project  at  2100  MW   for  Holcomb   2007  –  4th  IPCC  Assessment  reported   2011  –  Sierra  Club  files  suit  against  KDHE  permit   –  Mass.  v.  EPA   –  Bloomberg  gin,  BCC  goes  from  15  states  to   45,  targets  1/3  of  exis?ng  coal   –  Bremby  denies  Holcomb  at  1400  MW   2012  –  MATS,  CSAPR,  NSPS   •  Approx.  750  public  comments   –  BCC  achieves  9.5%  GHG  emissions   2008  –  Sebelius  vetoes  2  coal  plant  bills   reduc?ons,  federal  cap  &  trade  =  5%   –  Barak  Obama  elected  POTUS,  Lisa  Jackson   –  Federal  court  rules  against  RUS  and   to  EPA   Sunflower   –  KS  Supreme  Court  hears  arguments  re:   KDHE  permit  
  • 32. Discussion   “No one has done what we are doing before. Ever. There is no blueprint to take delivery of and execute on. We are creating it as we act.” “Nothing builds power like winning.” Who is the “we” from this presentation?
  • 33. Discussion: - Feedback on Plan - Next Steps