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Internet Communications: A Look Ahead Jonathan Rosenberg Chief Technology Strategist
Successes ofYesterday Enterprise
Successes ofYesterday 49% Percentage of 2009 PBX line sales that are IP. Enterprise Source: Dell’Oro
Successes ofYesterday Enterprise Cable
Successes ofYesterday 16.5M Number of US homes utilizing cable IP telephony Enterprise Cable Source: MediaCensus
Successes ofYesterday Enterprise Cable ConsumerDesktop
Successes ofYesterday 521M Number of registered Skype Users at end of Q309 Enterprise Cable ConsumerDesktop
Successes ofYesterday 41% Y2Y growth in registered Skype users as of Q209 Enterprise Cable ConsumerDesktop
Successes ofYesterday 12% In 2009 Enterprise 8% Percentage of ILD traffic worldwide over Skype in 2008 Cable ConsumerDesktop Source: Telegeography
Successes ofYesterday 27.7B S2S minutes inQ309 Enterprise 71% IY2Y Increase from 2008 Cable ConsumerDesktop
Successes ofYesterday Enterprise Backhaul Cable ConsumerDesktop
Opportunities of Tomorrow Web Video Mobile
Video – Why Now?
Video – Why Now?
Video – Why Now?
Video – Why Now?
placeholder graphic 34% of Skype to Skype calls Include Video
38% in 2013 15% of the mobile phones sold worldwide in 2008 were smartphones Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, 2009
100M LTE subscribers by 2014 Source: Juniper Research
90% in 2014 45% WiFi attach rate in smartphones in 2009  Source: ABI Research
Mobile VoIP: A Perfect Storm Wifi MobileVoIP Smartphones App Stores 3g/4g
Skype partnership with Hutchison 3 3 Skypephone ,[object Object]
20% higher margin than average PAYG user on 3
79% of customers are new to 3
500M+ free Skype-to-Skype minutes on the 3 UK network since November 2006

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Internet Communications: A Look Ahead

Notas del editor

  1. New year – new decade – opportunity for introspection and for looking forward. What have been industry’s successes so far?Voice: this has been our focus – and the industry has succeeded in delivering a narrowband voice experience everywhere. Yesterday also saw the beginnings of wideband voice. Skype led this – bringing wideband to all our 500M registered users. Others came along too. We’re seeing usage in other desktop apps and within enterprises too, but its far from ubiquiitous.Enterprise: VoIP has been a shining success here. XX% of new product sales into enterprise are voip and not TDM, install base is XX% voip, expecting to be XX% by year DDDD. Market leader Cisco is all IP. Cable: VoIP has made great inroads in cable – part of triple play, focused on cost savings. Invisible to users, but there are XX millions of US users with voip in the home from cable operators (not sure I can get number).Consumer Desktop: Huge usage of VoIP on the desktop by application providers. Skype again has led here – 520M users, 27.7billion S2S minutes Q309. Market here driven primarily by app providers – Skype, Google, Microsoft.Backhaul: The biggest usage of VoIP so far – inivisble to users, the glue between networks. One piece of evidence – <next slide>