"The best way to predict the future, is to create it". We live in very interesting times, of radical changes whilst we try, collectively, to design a society that doesn't have the profound contradictions which are becoming increasingly obvious. What are the alternatives that are being proposed and what do each have that is viable and desirable, and for whom?
Human Factors of XR: Using Human Factors to Design XR Systems
A World in Transition
1. Global change accelerates as contradictions deepen. We urgently need new ways of thinking, acting and being . But as surely as NEED is the stimulus which propels us toward a Great Transition, the historic OPPORTUNITY to give form to a just world of peace, liberty & sustainability .. is the magnet that attracts . This is the promise and the attraction of the 21st century. thinking: linear > systemic acting: individualist > collective being: atomised > holístic INTEGRITY Preface – The Great Transition: the promise & attraction of the future
2. CONFERENCES END . o f t h e Intro to Integral Permaculture Design Techniques Transition Care of People Energy & EcoTechnology Care of the Earth Eco Economics P D C + + +
6. H olons > Natural Succession Development of Social Forms Economic complexity Includes & Transcends Knowledge & Technologies Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
7. Psychological Development & complexity Includes & transcends in Power (ability to achieve things) Maturity Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps H olons > Natural Succession Child >>> Adolescent >>> Adult >>> Citizen
8. Development of World-Views >> Socio-psychological complexity Includes & transcends Ideas(models) Ways of relating H olons > Natural Succession Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
10. Mapamundi to scale in function of estimated oil reserves Another interesting pattern …
11. Extinction of biodiversity & The gray wave PEAK PETROL CLIMATE CHANGE Monetary instability & The information revolution 2000 2020 “ In times of extraordinary change, the problem does not lie in NOT realising all that we can dream, But in NOT dreaming all that we could achieve” (Dee Hock) In the last 20 yrs, the 500 largest companies in the world increased their production & sales 700% whilst REDUCING their labour force Now are alive 3/4 of the people of 65+ years of the whole of humanity . A fundamental economic problem of the 21st century. “ May you live in interesting times” (Bernard Lietaer)
12. Old models are …. TYPE 1 ERROR Points of internvention in a system 1) the menal models or paradigms from which flow the aims, rules, feedback structures (Dana Meadows) SYMPTOMS – Effects or Consequences (“system failure”) 1) 2) 3)
16. Mad Max etc. ... Apocaliptic cinema David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? The Book of Eli
17. The Jetsons etc. ... “high tech” David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? Venus Project
18. The Green Planet... Permaculture cinema? David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? Avatar
19. PMI Analysis … (formulate good questions) David Holmgren DESIGN is conscious creAction Credible, Desirable or Viable?
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22. Mythology Symbolic stories Maps of psychological development Comunications in ‘code’? The engine of Evolution? (& the 5th Force) Love - Fear Ken Wilber
27. H olons > Natural Succession Development of Social Forms Economic complexity Includes & Transcends Knowledge & Technologies Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
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29. On…... The Information Era Industrial Era Paradoxes The ‘leaves’ (hojas) between paradigms For the Great Change we need to learn (rapidly) new forms of thinking, doing & being “ Problems cannot be solved with the same kind of thinking that created them.” Einstein
30. The Work that Reconnects (Joanna Macey) Reconnected Empowered vital FEEL & discharge the fear, pain, rage, desperation ... Disconnection, disempowerment denial CHANGE!! We need to LIBERATE painful emotions in order to not be-live them & so re-create them
31. zzzzzz .. Comfort zone Challenge zone (& max. learning) Panic ! A model for action-learning
32. zzzzzz We can consciously amplify this learning zone with GOOD DESIGN MAPS In order to navigate an uncertain & changing future… & welcome surprises: the adventure “ the best way to predict the future is … design it”
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35. A fleet of life-boats is not enough The Destructo-Culture the Titanic An excellent symbol of our actual society a. Enjoying their holiday, b. re-organising deck-chairs There are those who are .. c. Trying to persuade the captains ... on the Titanic
36. Historico-mythical precedent Re-designing a just, really evolutionary human society is too important a job to leave to the experts Remember that the ark was built by amateurs … & the Titanic by professionals PermaCultureScience.com
colectivo .. no solo en grupo ... ENTRE grupos (individualismo con ‘mi’ grupo es fácil..) también OTRAS ESPECIES atomizado (esquizofrénico .. una serie de valores en el trabajo, otro en casa, uno con amigos, otro con ‘enemigos’ ..) holy - sagrado ... separado es ‘demónico’, LITERALMENTE .. la dimensión espiritual no se encuentra en el este, o yendo de compras en prácticas espirituales estrañas .. todas comparten el esfuerzo y DISCIPLINA del actuar con INTEGRIDAD (conciencia es nuestro indicador de integridad: si se rompe el equilibrio lo sabemos .. no escuchamos)
UN modelo (usando lenguaje y simbolismo de mitología - PATRONES) de como está diseñada la DC HAY una realidad y una pseudo-realidad. MUCHA de la habilidad de un buen permacultor ES el reconocimiento de los patrones, entender el lenguaje de los patrones - es un tipo de ‘visión’ especial, y una habilidad que se puede aprender
cuantas especies al día?? instabilidad monetaria ...
si el diseño tiene un fallo básico importante, hay que re-empezar de nuevo... si no te pegas toda una vida intentando re-equilibrar un fallo sistémico
Holmgren propone estos 4 escenarios.. y ¿puedes identificarlos en nuestra cultura?
Holmgren propone estos 4 escenarios.. y ¿puedes identificarlos en nuestra cultura?
Libro de Ely, 2012, apocalypse cinema
Star Treck,
muy pocos de este genre... primitivismo o futurismo?
muy pocos de este genre... primitivismo o futurismo?
Gestación v Confusión ... a veces la aparencia de confusión es simplemente un vacío necesario pre-creativo. NO es lo mismo de la inabilidad de pensar que sucede cuando estamos siendo esclavizados por un patrón.
las addicciones son un GRAN impedimento a este proceso ...
vamos a tener que aprender muchas cosas nuevas sobre la marcha ..
así que las emociones son otra clave importante ... amor como fuerza evolutiva, miedo puede ser destructivo
Lo que podemos aprender tiene a que ver con cómo mejorar el diseño de las sociedades humanas para el futuro. Es un trabajo demasiado importante como para "dejárselo a los expertos", todos tenemos que convertirnos en expertos en diseño sostenible.
Lo que podemos aprender tiene a que ver con cómo mejorar el diseño de las sociedades humanas para el futuro. Es un trabajo demasiado importante como para "dejárselo a los expertos", todos tenemos que convertirnos en expertos en diseño sostenible.