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Is organisational inertia in SMEs
resolved by better management
   while the incompetent get
          weeded out?
         Stephen Herman
         23rd January 2013
Adaptation v selection
        Summary of the debate-1

• For the strategy school (Cyert and
  March, 1963; Child, 1972; Chandler, 1977;
  Pfeffer and Salancik,1978; Miles and
  Snow, 1978; Porter, 1980, Levinthal, 1991)
  , organisational inertia is a management
  problem that, though not easy to solve, does
  get resolved by better managers, while
  incompetent management gets weeded out
Adaptation v selection
       Summary of the debate-2

• In the organisational ecology
  paradigm,(Hannan and Freeman
  1977, 1984, 1989), firms fail not because of
  bad management but because the effort to
  overcome inertia involves trade-offs to the key
  survivability markers of accountability and
  reliability such that better management
  cannot actually deal with the structural
  problem
Neoclassical economics

• The neoclassical view of firm survival and
  industrial change is the survival of the fittest
  leading to equilibrium market outcomes
  (Friedman, 1953)

• The focus is on market structure as a proxy for
  the degree of competition, with whatever is
  inside the ‘black box’ of the firm as a side issue
Organisation science v.
            organisational ecology
• The conversation between organisation science
  and organisational ecology is sparse because:
• Differences in theoretical and empirical
  approaches
• Use of different datasets and firm sizes
• The differences in granularity make it hard for
  strategists to see the relevance of organisational
  ecology to their work if there is no role for
  management choice
Adaptation v selection
         Evolutionary perspective
• Adaptation and selection are neither opposite
  processes nor are they mutually exclusive

• Adaptation is an essential an unavoidable part of
  any relevant evolutionary process

• Any evolutionary process that involves selection
  must also involve adaptation as well and
  adaptation matters with regard to selection
Does it matter?
• Government policy is focused on high-growth
  firms
• Evolutionary economics, encompassing both
  adaptability and inertia, can shed further light
  on the issues
• Methodology – large-scale cross industry
  study
• SMEs are not adequately studied
Why SMEs?
• UK economy has 4.3 million businesses, of
  which:
• 1.2 million have employees
• only 26,000 (0.6 per cent) were classified as
  medium-sized (50–249 employees)
• only 6,000 (0.1 per cent) were classified as
  large (250+ employees).
• 99.3 per cent were small (0–49 employees)
Agenda
• Look at the issues of adaptability and survival from an
  evolutionary perspective

• Present recent research findings on the
  adaptability/inertia/survival nexus as it relates to the SME
  market

• Challenge any exclusive role of selection in explaining industry
  attributes. Even if selection generates larger industry-level
  outcomes, adaptability is still important

• In a sharp recession, however, only the firms with more
  potential to adapt their output have an advantage relative to
  their rivals that can confer relatively greater longevity and
  survivability
Terms – 1
• Adaptation - some structure or behaviour that
  makes it more likely a firm will survive in its
  environment(Maynard-Smith,1976) . A firm that
  is adapted displays fit with the demands of its
  environment (Toulmin,1981)

• Adaptability - the potential to adjust to changing
  circumstances in a way that is relevant.
  Adaptability is about the capacity to respond to
  changes in the selection environment
Terms - 2
• Stability - the state or quality of being
  stable, with the strength to stand without
  being moved or overthrown

• Inertia - the inability to move or, more
  weakly, an inability to shift from current
  momentum
Terms-3
• Routines - dispositions or capacities that shape the
  way various overlapping cohorts within the firm
  actually proceed in response to a series of signals to
  act, rather than actual processes
  (Hodgson, 2004, 2007)

• Organisational adaptability is then specifically defined
  as:
   – the capacity of an organisation to change its
     strategies, structures, procedures or other core
     attributes, in anticipation of, or in response to, a change in
     its environment, including changes in relations with other
     organisations
Evolutionary economics -1
• Darwinian notions of evolution and ideas of non-equilibrium through
  inheritance, variation and selection

• More generally, variation and selection act on different entities, variation
  on the replicator (genotype/‘routines’) and selection on the interactor
  (phenotype/the firm). If the entity or organism survives to reproduce, the
  process restarts

• Evolutionary economics assumes that the adaptability of firms can be a
  positive source of increased survivorship

• At the same time, evolutionary economics also acknowledges stability and
  inertia as an integral part of the story (Simon, 1955; Nelson and
  Winter, 1982)

• Routines generate both adaptability and inertia and both contribute to the
  mechanisms of selection and retention (Hodgson, 2007)
Evo-devo
• Evo-devo - the argument that both evolutionary (evo) and
  developmental (devo) process are likely to be equally
  fundamental to understanding change in a broad range of
  complex systems

• Variation in genes may also arise by mutation-driven
  changes in gene regulation (Goodman and Cochlin, 2000)

• New features of organisms are made and run by various
  ‘core processes’ but used in different combinations at
  different times and to different extents of their output, just
  as a box of Lego can create a variety of different results
  (Gerhart and Kirschner,2007)
Evolutionary economics - 2
• Selection operates on firms, which are themselves the
  result of the development of progressively expressed
  routine behaviours over the lifetime of the firm

• The ‘routines within a firm’ framework (the replicator-
  interactor nexus) shows both competitive selection and
  developmental adaptability combining to explain industrial
  change

• Given that Darwinian evolution is all about populations of
  entities rather than the study of single developing
  entities, then the replicator and interactor concepts
  provide a good link for understanding the development of
  both individual entities and the evolution of whole
  populations (Hodgson and Knudsen, 2007, 2010)
Lamarckian’ adaptability and
             ‘Darwinian’ selection.
• Darwinism is a causal theory of evolution that requires the inheritance of
  genetic guidelines, variation of those genotypes (replicators/routines) and
  the subsequent selection of the resulting phenotype (interactor/firm)

• Lamarckism is the inheritance within the genome of characteristics
  acquired by the phenotype/firm interacting with its environment.
  Lamarckism proposes that physical changes lead to changes in the genetic
  coding and that these changes are inherited

• Organisational scientists expresses the ability of firms to change both their
  routines and structures so as to avoid being selected out, whereas
  organisational organisational ecologists insist that most firms have a
  negligible zone of strategic discretion to avoid being selected out

• Lamarckian inheritance, within a Darwinian framework, implies that some
  development in a phenotype impacts on its own genotype in some
  epigenetic fashion
Methodology
• Concentration on the four constituent areas of any firm: sales and
  marketing, production, administration and human resources, and
  corporate strategy

• Examined not the quantities of operation in routines but the levels of
  adaptability firms perceive they actually achieve or believe they would
  experience in the face of both continuous and discontinuous internal and
  external change

• The adaptability instrument is the composite measure of the potential to
  adapt routines across the four constituent areas, capturing a picture of the
  interactions between the strategies, structures and procedures within the
  firm

• A relatively large sample of observations of a representative set of small
  and medium-sized enterprises (909)

• Re-sample respondents in the depths of recession 18 months on to look at
  the relationship between previously calculated adaptability and the
  subsequent degree of survival
Results - 1
• Older firms more adaptable than younger
• No relationship between adaptability and
  revenues, profits and employees
• Higher congruence of routines associated with
  higher adaptability
• No relationship between adaptability and
  levels of formal procedures
• Higher adaptability associated with
  implementation of innovation
Results - 2
• Higher adaptability associated with flexibility
  of senior team and willingness to use external
  consultants
• Adaptability not associated with number of
  new managers in last 5 years
• No relationship with competitive advantage
• No relationship between adaptability and
  dynamic or price competition
Recession survey results -1
• Survivability not related to overall adaptability

• Survivability associated with adaptability in
  production

• Survivability related to % change in revenues

• Survivability not related to % change in profits
Survey of those gone out of business
• Fatal hazard of a rapid and significant loss in revenues for whatever
  reason in firms that were unable to adjust their cost of sales and/or
  had relatively high fixed costs to variable costs

• Flexibility in managing output more important than attempting
  ambidextrous strategies?

• Not cash flow problem initially caused by withdrawal of banking
  facilities. This followed as a result of a significantly reduced trading
  position and the likelihood firm it would not survive in the short or
  medium term

• There were also no reports that bad debts or late payments by
  customers caused problems and there were no significant non-
  financial effects contributing to business failure, other than the
  unhelpful fall in the value of sterling for importers
Conclusions - 1
• Both competitive selection and developmental adaptability
  combine to explain industrial change and differences in
  adaptability between firms are of significance. Routines can
  be observed and measured even when defined as behavioural
  tendencies

• In a sharp recession, only those with more adaptability in
  outputs have an advantage relative to their rivals that can
  confer relatively greater longevity and survivability. At the
  population level, the effects of structural inertia that hinder
  adaptation when the environment changes are magnified and
  the mollifying effects of adaptability are reduced
Conclusions - 2
• Merit in a different theoretical framework from textbook
  economics, strategy-choice theory and organisational
  ecology in which to view adaptability in the economic
  analysis of the firm

• This is one based on operationalising the context-specific
  mechanisms of evolutionary economics under the umbrella
  of Darwinian evolutionary principles

• Suggests further research that blends the abstract
  framework of evolutionary economics with an empirical
  look at the detailed processes of routines in real firms
Thank you



Discussion /Questions

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Adaptability and Survival in SMEs

  • 1. Is organisational inertia in SMEs resolved by better management while the incompetent get weeded out? Stephen Herman 23rd January 2013
  • 2. Adaptation v selection Summary of the debate-1 • For the strategy school (Cyert and March, 1963; Child, 1972; Chandler, 1977; Pfeffer and Salancik,1978; Miles and Snow, 1978; Porter, 1980, Levinthal, 1991) , organisational inertia is a management problem that, though not easy to solve, does get resolved by better managers, while incompetent management gets weeded out
  • 3. Adaptation v selection Summary of the debate-2 • In the organisational ecology paradigm,(Hannan and Freeman 1977, 1984, 1989), firms fail not because of bad management but because the effort to overcome inertia involves trade-offs to the key survivability markers of accountability and reliability such that better management cannot actually deal with the structural problem
  • 4. Neoclassical economics • The neoclassical view of firm survival and industrial change is the survival of the fittest leading to equilibrium market outcomes (Friedman, 1953) • The focus is on market structure as a proxy for the degree of competition, with whatever is inside the ‘black box’ of the firm as a side issue
  • 5. Organisation science v. organisational ecology • The conversation between organisation science and organisational ecology is sparse because: • Differences in theoretical and empirical approaches • Use of different datasets and firm sizes • The differences in granularity make it hard for strategists to see the relevance of organisational ecology to their work if there is no role for management choice
  • 6. Adaptation v selection Evolutionary perspective • Adaptation and selection are neither opposite processes nor are they mutually exclusive • Adaptation is an essential an unavoidable part of any relevant evolutionary process • Any evolutionary process that involves selection must also involve adaptation as well and adaptation matters with regard to selection
  • 7. Does it matter? • Government policy is focused on high-growth firms • Evolutionary economics, encompassing both adaptability and inertia, can shed further light on the issues • Methodology – large-scale cross industry study • SMEs are not adequately studied
  • 8. Why SMEs? • UK economy has 4.3 million businesses, of which: • 1.2 million have employees • only 26,000 (0.6 per cent) were classified as medium-sized (50–249 employees) • only 6,000 (0.1 per cent) were classified as large (250+ employees). • 99.3 per cent were small (0–49 employees)
  • 9. Agenda • Look at the issues of adaptability and survival from an evolutionary perspective • Present recent research findings on the adaptability/inertia/survival nexus as it relates to the SME market • Challenge any exclusive role of selection in explaining industry attributes. Even if selection generates larger industry-level outcomes, adaptability is still important • In a sharp recession, however, only the firms with more potential to adapt their output have an advantage relative to their rivals that can confer relatively greater longevity and survivability
  • 10. Terms – 1 • Adaptation - some structure or behaviour that makes it more likely a firm will survive in its environment(Maynard-Smith,1976) . A firm that is adapted displays fit with the demands of its environment (Toulmin,1981) • Adaptability - the potential to adjust to changing circumstances in a way that is relevant. Adaptability is about the capacity to respond to changes in the selection environment
  • 11. Terms - 2 • Stability - the state or quality of being stable, with the strength to stand without being moved or overthrown • Inertia - the inability to move or, more weakly, an inability to shift from current momentum
  • 12. Terms-3 • Routines - dispositions or capacities that shape the way various overlapping cohorts within the firm actually proceed in response to a series of signals to act, rather than actual processes (Hodgson, 2004, 2007) • Organisational adaptability is then specifically defined as: – the capacity of an organisation to change its strategies, structures, procedures or other core attributes, in anticipation of, or in response to, a change in its environment, including changes in relations with other organisations
  • 13. Evolutionary economics -1 • Darwinian notions of evolution and ideas of non-equilibrium through inheritance, variation and selection • More generally, variation and selection act on different entities, variation on the replicator (genotype/‘routines’) and selection on the interactor (phenotype/the firm). If the entity or organism survives to reproduce, the process restarts • Evolutionary economics assumes that the adaptability of firms can be a positive source of increased survivorship • At the same time, evolutionary economics also acknowledges stability and inertia as an integral part of the story (Simon, 1955; Nelson and Winter, 1982) • Routines generate both adaptability and inertia and both contribute to the mechanisms of selection and retention (Hodgson, 2007)
  • 14. Evo-devo • Evo-devo - the argument that both evolutionary (evo) and developmental (devo) process are likely to be equally fundamental to understanding change in a broad range of complex systems • Variation in genes may also arise by mutation-driven changes in gene regulation (Goodman and Cochlin, 2000) • New features of organisms are made and run by various ‘core processes’ but used in different combinations at different times and to different extents of their output, just as a box of Lego can create a variety of different results (Gerhart and Kirschner,2007)
  • 15. Evolutionary economics - 2 • Selection operates on firms, which are themselves the result of the development of progressively expressed routine behaviours over the lifetime of the firm • The ‘routines within a firm’ framework (the replicator- interactor nexus) shows both competitive selection and developmental adaptability combining to explain industrial change • Given that Darwinian evolution is all about populations of entities rather than the study of single developing entities, then the replicator and interactor concepts provide a good link for understanding the development of both individual entities and the evolution of whole populations (Hodgson and Knudsen, 2007, 2010)
  • 16. Lamarckian’ adaptability and ‘Darwinian’ selection. • Darwinism is a causal theory of evolution that requires the inheritance of genetic guidelines, variation of those genotypes (replicators/routines) and the subsequent selection of the resulting phenotype (interactor/firm) • Lamarckism is the inheritance within the genome of characteristics acquired by the phenotype/firm interacting with its environment. Lamarckism proposes that physical changes lead to changes in the genetic coding and that these changes are inherited • Organisational scientists expresses the ability of firms to change both their routines and structures so as to avoid being selected out, whereas organisational organisational ecologists insist that most firms have a negligible zone of strategic discretion to avoid being selected out • Lamarckian inheritance, within a Darwinian framework, implies that some development in a phenotype impacts on its own genotype in some epigenetic fashion
  • 17. Methodology • Concentration on the four constituent areas of any firm: sales and marketing, production, administration and human resources, and corporate strategy • Examined not the quantities of operation in routines but the levels of adaptability firms perceive they actually achieve or believe they would experience in the face of both continuous and discontinuous internal and external change • The adaptability instrument is the composite measure of the potential to adapt routines across the four constituent areas, capturing a picture of the interactions between the strategies, structures and procedures within the firm • A relatively large sample of observations of a representative set of small and medium-sized enterprises (909) • Re-sample respondents in the depths of recession 18 months on to look at the relationship between previously calculated adaptability and the subsequent degree of survival
  • 18. Results - 1 • Older firms more adaptable than younger • No relationship between adaptability and revenues, profits and employees • Higher congruence of routines associated with higher adaptability • No relationship between adaptability and levels of formal procedures • Higher adaptability associated with implementation of innovation
  • 19. Results - 2 • Higher adaptability associated with flexibility of senior team and willingness to use external consultants • Adaptability not associated with number of new managers in last 5 years • No relationship with competitive advantage • No relationship between adaptability and dynamic or price competition
  • 20. Recession survey results -1 • Survivability not related to overall adaptability • Survivability associated with adaptability in production • Survivability related to % change in revenues • Survivability not related to % change in profits
  • 21. Survey of those gone out of business • Fatal hazard of a rapid and significant loss in revenues for whatever reason in firms that were unable to adjust their cost of sales and/or had relatively high fixed costs to variable costs • Flexibility in managing output more important than attempting ambidextrous strategies? • Not cash flow problem initially caused by withdrawal of banking facilities. This followed as a result of a significantly reduced trading position and the likelihood firm it would not survive in the short or medium term • There were also no reports that bad debts or late payments by customers caused problems and there were no significant non- financial effects contributing to business failure, other than the unhelpful fall in the value of sterling for importers
  • 22. Conclusions - 1 • Both competitive selection and developmental adaptability combine to explain industrial change and differences in adaptability between firms are of significance. Routines can be observed and measured even when defined as behavioural tendencies • In a sharp recession, only those with more adaptability in outputs have an advantage relative to their rivals that can confer relatively greater longevity and survivability. At the population level, the effects of structural inertia that hinder adaptation when the environment changes are magnified and the mollifying effects of adaptability are reduced
  • 23. Conclusions - 2 • Merit in a different theoretical framework from textbook economics, strategy-choice theory and organisational ecology in which to view adaptability in the economic analysis of the firm • This is one based on operationalising the context-specific mechanisms of evolutionary economics under the umbrella of Darwinian evolutionary principles • Suggests further research that blends the abstract framework of evolutionary economics with an empirical look at the detailed processes of routines in real firms