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Financial Results Q4 2013
CEO Jouko Karvinen and CFO Seppo Parvi
5 February 2014
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without
limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth
and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “foresees”, or similar
expressions, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and
projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from
those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: (1)
operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services
by the Group’s targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements,
changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection
created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on
acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition,
prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto.
price fluctuations in raw materials, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the
Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)
general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

2
Strong cash flow, dividend proposal EUR 0.30
Q4 2013
•

Operational EBIT EUR 152 million Q4, margin 5.8%

•

Cash flow from Operations EUR 470 million, after investing activities EUR 310
million

•

New Ostrołęka containerboard machine reached its targeted profitability of
EBITDA margin 20% by the end of 2013

•

Net debt/Operational EBITDA LTM 2.3x, net debt reduced by EUR 320 million
year-on-year

•

Net Non-recurring items EUR 392 million

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

3
Strong cash flow maintained in 2013 due to operative
working capital reduction
350

27.0 %

300

25.0 %
23.0 %

250

21.0 %
200

19.0 %

150

17.0 %

100

15.0 %

Cash flow from operations, 4Q rolling

OWC%, 4 Q rolling

*Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

4
Fixed cost decreased by EUR 60 million in 2013
compared to 2012
Fixed cost 4 quarter rolling average

700
695
690

685
680
675
670
665
660
655
650
11Q1

11Q2

11Q3

11Q4

12Q1

12Q2

12Q3

12Q4

13Q1

13Q2

13Q3

13Q4

4 Quarter rolling average

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

5
Thiele Kaolin divestment

•

Capital gain of EUR 37 million
recorded as NRI to Q1 2014

•

Proceeds EUR 56 million paid fully in
cash

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

6
Printing and Reading
2013
MEUR

•

Weak earnings
600

•

Continued strong cash generation
EUR 382 million

500
400

•

Three machines closed

•

Further capacity restructuring
plans in early 2014

300

200
100
0
2011
CF from Operations

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

2012

2013
CF after Capex

7
Biomaterials
2013
•

•

•

Softwood pulp prices increased in
2013

18%
16%

14%

Hardwood pulp prices stable
towards the end of the year
Montes del Plata start-up during
first months of 2014

12%
10%
8%
6%
4%

•

Biorefinery investment to Sunila

2%
0%
2011
ROOC - %

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

2012

2013

ROOC - % excl Str. Projects

8
Building and Living
2013
MEUR

•

Sales price and mix improved

80

70

•
•

Fixed costs savings started early

60
50

Building Solutions growing rapidly
in Finland

40
30

•

Stora Enso is working with
feasibility study to start the
production of CLT in Finland

20
10
0

2011

2012

2013

Op. EBIT

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

9
Renewable Packaging
2013
•

3-5% demand growth continues

MEUR
350

•

Record operational EBIT and
strong cash flow

300
250

•

Ostrołęka in full swing

•

Inpac growing in fast moving
consumer goods by 30%

•

Guangxi project in implementation

200
150

100
50
0

•

2011

Bulleh Shah started LPB
deliveries

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

2012

2013

Op. EBIT

5 February 2014

10
Summary financials
Q4 2013
Change %

Change %

EUR million

Q4/13

Q3/13

Q4/12

Sales

2 604

2 556

2 727

-4.5

1.9

Operational EBITDA

246

311

276

-10.9

-20.9

Operational EBITDA, %

9.4

12.2

10.1

-6.9

-23.0

Operational EBIT

152

184

158

-3.8

-17.4

Operational EBIT margin, %

5.8

7.2

5.8

-

-19.4

110
0.15
-0.18
7.6

125
0.13
0.11
9.0

83
0.11
0.33
7.3

32.5
36.4
-154.5
4.1

-12.0
15.4
-263.6
-15.6

9.1

10.4

8.4

8.3

-12.5

470

331

473

-0.6

42.0

2.3

2.5

2.5

-8.0

-8.0

Profit before tax excl. NRI
EPS excl. NRI, EUR
EPS (basic), EUR
Operational ROCE, %
Operational ROCE, % excl. transformation
investments
Cash Flow from Operations
Net debt/last 12 months’ operational EBITDA

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

Q4 13 / Q4 12 Q4 13 / Q3 13

12
Transformation continues
Group operational EBIT 2012 vs 2013 in EUR million
EUR
million

EUR
million

630

2012

578

Printing Biomaterials Building Renewable
and
and Living Packaging
Reading
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

Other

2013

13
Change in Net Debt from 2012 to 2013

76

424
66

377

237
219
76
2 434

2 757

1 044

Net debt Operational
Dec 2012
EBITDA

Change in
Cash
working restructuring
capital
payments

CAPEX

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

EAI
injections

5 February 2014

Dividend

Tax and net
financials
paid

Other

Net debt
Dec 2013

14
Capex and Equity Injections

EUR million

Actual 2013

Forecast 2014*

Capital expenditure

425

820-900

Equity injections

66

30

Total

491

850-930

Depreciation

564

550-580

* Capital expenditure includes approximately EUR 300 million for the project in Guangxi, China and approximately EUR 150
million for Montes del Plata Pulp Mill. As of 2014 Stora Enso will consolidate Veracel and Montes del Plata line-by-line in
accordance with IFRS11.

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

15
Guidance
Compared to Q4 2013
• Sales expected to be similar

• Operational EBIT from similar to
somewhat higher
• Pricing improving
• Fixed cost decreasing
• Renewable Packaging affected by
Guangxi project and Skoghall Mill
boiler incident

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

16
Strategy in action 2013
EUR 1.25 billion cash flow, fixed costs down and a lot more to come

• Ostrołęka
•
•
•
•

at 20% EBITDA Q4/13
coming real soon
growing 30%+ in focused segments
world class LPB delivered
accelerating growth

Montes del Plata
Inpac Packaging
Bulleh Shah
Building Solutions

• Guangxi Packaging
• Sunila Biorefinery

implementation started
implementation started

Nothing is ever good enough
- endless focus on productivity, working capital, capacity management &
cash generation, never stop
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

17
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

18
Operational EBIT by segments

Change %

EUR million

Printing and Reading
% of sales
Biomaterials
% of sales
Building and Living
% of sales
Renewable Packaging
% of sales
Other
% of sales

Q4/13

Q3/13

36
3.4
24
9.3
19
4.1
73
9.3
-

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

13
1.2
17
7.0
24
5.2
100
12.1
30
4.9

5 February 2014

Q4/12

59
4.9
28
10.9
7
1.5
55
6.9
9
1.3

Change %

Q4 13 / Q4 12 Q4 13 / Q3 13

-39.0
-30.6
-14.3
-14.7
171.4
173.3
32.7
34.8
-100.0
-100.0

176.9
183.3
41.2
32.9
-20.8
-21.2
-27.0
-23.1
-100.0
-100.0

19
Solid cash flow across businesses in Q4 2013
Cash flow from Operations

Cash flow after investments

200
180

160
EUR million

140

120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Printing and
Reading

Biomaterials

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

Building and Living

5 February 2014

Renewable
Packaging
20
All businesses contributed to cash flow generation in
2013
Cash flow from Operations

Cash flow after investments

600

EUR million

500

400
300
200
100
0

Printing and
Reading

Biomaterials

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

Building and Living

5 February 2014

Renewable
Packaging
21
Paper demand decline continued in Europe

4%

38000

2%

37000

0%

36000

-2%

35000

-4%

34000

-6%

33000

-8%

32000

-10%

Y-o-Y change %

6%

39000

Y-o-Y Paper
31000

-12%

Annualized Paper

SA = seasonally adjusted

Oct-13

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

-14%

Apr-11

30000

Jan-11

Annualized demand [kt/a]

40000

Source: Euro-Graph
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

22
Despite lower EBIT cash flow remained strong in 2013
Active working capital management

Cash flow from operations
1300
1250

EUR million

1200
1150

1100
1050
1000
950

900
850
800
2009

2010

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

2011

5 February 2014

2012

2013

23
Fixed costs to sales

110%
108%
106%
104%

102%
100%
98%
96%
94%
92%
90%

88%
11Q1

11Q2

11Q3

11Q4

12Q1

12Q2

12Q3

12Q4

13Q1

13Q2

13Q3

13Q4

Fixed costs to Sales 11Q1 = 100

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

24
Balance Sheet strength
Q1 2011 – Q4 2013

Net Debt

Net Debt/Operational EBITDA*

3 500

3.0

3 000

2.7

EUR million

2.7
2.5

2 500
2 000

2.8

2.3
1.8

1.9

2.0

2.5

2.7
2.5
2.3

2.1

2.0
1.5

1 500
1.0

1 000
500

0.5

0

0.0
11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4
*Last twelve months’ operational EBITDA
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

25
Permanent pulp, paper and board capacity reductions
since 2006
Mill

Date

Grade

Capacity reduction, t

Corbehem PM 3 and PM 4

Jun 2006

LWC

250 000

Varkaus PM 1

End 2006

WFC

95 000

Berghuizer Mill

Oct 2007

WFU

235 000

Reisholz Mill

End 2007

SC

215 000

Summa Mill

Jan 2008

Newsprint, uncoated mag, book paper

415 000

Anjala Mill PM1

Feb 2008

Coated magazine paper

155 000

Baienfurt Mill

End 2008

FBB

190 000

Kabel Mill PM 3

End 2008

Coated magazine

140 000

Kemijärvi Pulp Mill

April 2008

Long-fibre (SW) pulp

250 000

Norrsundet Pulp Mill

Dec 2008

Long-fibre (SW), pulp

300 000

Varkaus Mill coreboard machine

Dec 2008

Coreboard

100 000

Imatra PM 8

Mar 2010

WFU

210 000

Varkaus PM 2 and PM 4

Sep 2010

Newsprint, directory paper

290 000

Maxau PM 7

Nov 2010

Newsprint

195 000

Hylte PM1

Dec 2012

Newsprint

180 000

Ostroleka PM2

Jan 2013

Containerboard

Hylte PM2

May 2013

Newsprint

205 000

Kvarnsveden PM11

May 2013

Newsprint

270 000

Total

85 000

3 780 000

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

26
Permanent sawn wood capacity reductions
since 2006
Capacity reduction, m3

Mill

Date

Veitsiluoto Sawmill

2006

100 000

Honkalahti Sawmill

2006

90 000

Sauga Sawmill

Jun 2007

130 000

Sollenau Sawmill

2007

110 000

Näpi Sawmill

2007-2008

100 000

Kotka Sawmill

2007-2008

70 000

Paikuse Sawmill

End 2008

220 000

Zdirec Sawmill

2008

120 000

Ybbs Sawmill

2008 & Jun 2009

200 000

Kitee Sawmill

2008 & Jun 2009

130 000

Varkaus Sawmill

Jun 2009

60 000

Tolkkinen Sawmill

End 2009

260 000

Kopparfors Sawmill

End 2011

310 000

Total

1 900 000

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

27
Net Financial Items
EUR million

Change % Change %
Q413/Q412 Q413/Q313

Q4/2013

Q3/2013

Q4/2012

-48

-52

-47

-2

8

9

7

-1

n/m

29

-25

-11

-2

n/m

-127

-

3

3

-8

-4

-9

Fair valuation of long-term debt

1

-

-

NewPage lease provision

-

-

11

Pension costs (IAS 19R)

-4

-4

-3

-14

-6

-4

-64

-56

-50

-28

-14

Net interest expense
Foreign exchange gains and losses

Other financial items. of which
PIK notes

Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives*

Other items
Total net financial items

*Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

28
Transaction risk and hedges
as at 31 December 2013

USD

SEK

GBP

950

-780

530

Transaction hedges as at 31 Dec 2013

-450

450

-260

Hedging percentage as at 31 Dec 2013 for the next 12 months

47%

58%

49%

EUR million
Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure

Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10 % EUR million
USD

95

SEK

-78

GBP

53

The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The
calculation does not take into account currency hedges, and assumes no changes occur
other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the
opposite impact.

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

29
Curtailments
of capacity
Paper and Board

Wood Products

20

18
16

% of the capacity

14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

Q111

Q211

Q311

Q411

Q112

Q212

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

Q312

5 February 2014

Q412

Q113

Q213

Q313

Q413

30
Softwood pulp prices
Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood
1 050

950

Bleached softwood kraft
pulp

750

Bleached hardwood kraft
pulp

650

550

450

07Q1
07Q2
07Q3
07Q4
08Q1
08Q2
08Q3
08Q4
09Q1
09Q2
09Q3
09Q4
10Q1
10Q2
10Q3
10Q4
11Q1
11Q2
11Q3
11Q4
12Q1
12Q2
12Q3
12Q4
13Q1
13Q2
13Q3
13Q4

USD/tonne

850

Source: FOEX

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

31
Pulp wood and saw log prices
Wood prices in Finland

Pulpwood, Pine

Sawlogs, Pine

80
70

50
40
30

20

13Q4

13Q3

13Q2

13Q1

12Q4

12Q3

12Q2

12Q1

11Q4

11Q3

11Q2

11Q1

10Q4

10Q3

10Q2

10Q1

09Q4

09Q3

09Q2

09Q1

08Q4

08Q3

08Q2

08Q1

07Q4

07Q3

07Q2

07Q1

06Q4

06Q3

0

06Q2

10
06Q1

EUR/m3

60

Source: METLA

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

32
Paper for Recycling prices
Mixed

OCC

De-inking

200

120
80
40

0
07Q1
07Q2
07Q3
07Q4
08Q1
08Q2
08Q3
08Q4
09Q1
09Q2
09Q3
09Q4
10Q1
10Q2
10Q3
10Q4
11Q1
11Q2
11Q3
11Q4
12Q1
12Q2
12Q3
12Q4
13Q1
13Q2
13Q3
13Q4

EUR/tonne

160

German RCP price development. free delivered
Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

33
Maturity profile Q4 2013
€ million

Bonds

Other loans / liabilities

Commercial paper

1 000
900

800

€ 500m 5.0% 2018

SEK 2.2 bn S+3.9% 2017
SEK 500m 5.75% 2017

700
600

€ 500m 5.5% 2019

500
400
300

200
100
0
2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021-2035

2036

Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2015 and is fully undrawn

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

34
Energy balance* Q4 2013

Impact** on operating profit from
10% change in:

EUR million p.a.

Electricity market price

~1

Fossil fuel price

~12

**) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume

*) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas

Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

35
Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q4 2013

*) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas
Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results

5 February 2014

36

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Stora Enso's Q4 and Full Year 2013 Results

  • 1. Financial Results Q4 2013 CEO Jouko Karvinen and CFO Seppo Parvi 5 February 2014
  • 2. It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “foresees”, or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: (1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services by the Group’s targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements, changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition, prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto. price fluctuations in raw materials, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates. Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 2
  • 3. Strong cash flow, dividend proposal EUR 0.30 Q4 2013 • Operational EBIT EUR 152 million Q4, margin 5.8% • Cash flow from Operations EUR 470 million, after investing activities EUR 310 million • New Ostrołęka containerboard machine reached its targeted profitability of EBITDA margin 20% by the end of 2013 • Net debt/Operational EBITDA LTM 2.3x, net debt reduced by EUR 320 million year-on-year • Net Non-recurring items EUR 392 million Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 3
  • 4. Strong cash flow maintained in 2013 due to operative working capital reduction 350 27.0 % 300 25.0 % 23.0 % 250 21.0 % 200 19.0 % 150 17.0 % 100 15.0 % Cash flow from operations, 4Q rolling OWC%, 4 Q rolling *Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 4
  • 5. Fixed cost decreased by EUR 60 million in 2013 compared to 2012 Fixed cost 4 quarter rolling average 700 695 690 685 680 675 670 665 660 655 650 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 4 Quarter rolling average Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 5
  • 6. Thiele Kaolin divestment • Capital gain of EUR 37 million recorded as NRI to Q1 2014 • Proceeds EUR 56 million paid fully in cash Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 6
  • 7. Printing and Reading 2013 MEUR • Weak earnings 600 • Continued strong cash generation EUR 382 million 500 400 • Three machines closed • Further capacity restructuring plans in early 2014 300 200 100 0 2011 CF from Operations Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 2012 2013 CF after Capex 7
  • 8. Biomaterials 2013 • • • Softwood pulp prices increased in 2013 18% 16% 14% Hardwood pulp prices stable towards the end of the year Montes del Plata start-up during first months of 2014 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% • Biorefinery investment to Sunila 2% 0% 2011 ROOC - % Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 2012 2013 ROOC - % excl Str. Projects 8
  • 9. Building and Living 2013 MEUR • Sales price and mix improved 80 70 • • Fixed costs savings started early 60 50 Building Solutions growing rapidly in Finland 40 30 • Stora Enso is working with feasibility study to start the production of CLT in Finland 20 10 0 2011 2012 2013 Op. EBIT Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 9
  • 10. Renewable Packaging 2013 • 3-5% demand growth continues MEUR 350 • Record operational EBIT and strong cash flow 300 250 • Ostrołęka in full swing • Inpac growing in fast moving consumer goods by 30% • Guangxi project in implementation 200 150 100 50 0 • 2011 Bulleh Shah started LPB deliveries Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 2012 2013 Op. EBIT 5 February 2014 10
  • 11.
  • 12. Summary financials Q4 2013 Change % Change % EUR million Q4/13 Q3/13 Q4/12 Sales 2 604 2 556 2 727 -4.5 1.9 Operational EBITDA 246 311 276 -10.9 -20.9 Operational EBITDA, % 9.4 12.2 10.1 -6.9 -23.0 Operational EBIT 152 184 158 -3.8 -17.4 Operational EBIT margin, % 5.8 7.2 5.8 - -19.4 110 0.15 -0.18 7.6 125 0.13 0.11 9.0 83 0.11 0.33 7.3 32.5 36.4 -154.5 4.1 -12.0 15.4 -263.6 -15.6 9.1 10.4 8.4 8.3 -12.5 470 331 473 -0.6 42.0 2.3 2.5 2.5 -8.0 -8.0 Profit before tax excl. NRI EPS excl. NRI, EUR EPS (basic), EUR Operational ROCE, % Operational ROCE, % excl. transformation investments Cash Flow from Operations Net debt/last 12 months’ operational EBITDA Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 Q4 13 / Q4 12 Q4 13 / Q3 13 12
  • 13. Transformation continues Group operational EBIT 2012 vs 2013 in EUR million EUR million EUR million 630 2012 578 Printing Biomaterials Building Renewable and and Living Packaging Reading Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 Other 2013 13
  • 14. Change in Net Debt from 2012 to 2013 76 424 66 377 237 219 76 2 434 2 757 1 044 Net debt Operational Dec 2012 EBITDA Change in Cash working restructuring capital payments CAPEX Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results EAI injections 5 February 2014 Dividend Tax and net financials paid Other Net debt Dec 2013 14
  • 15. Capex and Equity Injections EUR million Actual 2013 Forecast 2014* Capital expenditure 425 820-900 Equity injections 66 30 Total 491 850-930 Depreciation 564 550-580 * Capital expenditure includes approximately EUR 300 million for the project in Guangxi, China and approximately EUR 150 million for Montes del Plata Pulp Mill. As of 2014 Stora Enso will consolidate Veracel and Montes del Plata line-by-line in accordance with IFRS11. Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 15
  • 16. Guidance Compared to Q4 2013 • Sales expected to be similar • Operational EBIT from similar to somewhat higher • Pricing improving • Fixed cost decreasing • Renewable Packaging affected by Guangxi project and Skoghall Mill boiler incident Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 16
  • 17. Strategy in action 2013 EUR 1.25 billion cash flow, fixed costs down and a lot more to come • Ostrołęka • • • • at 20% EBITDA Q4/13 coming real soon growing 30%+ in focused segments world class LPB delivered accelerating growth Montes del Plata Inpac Packaging Bulleh Shah Building Solutions • Guangxi Packaging • Sunila Biorefinery implementation started implementation started Nothing is ever good enough - endless focus on productivity, working capital, capacity management & cash generation, never stop Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 17
  • 18. Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 18
  • 19. Operational EBIT by segments Change % EUR million Printing and Reading % of sales Biomaterials % of sales Building and Living % of sales Renewable Packaging % of sales Other % of sales Q4/13 Q3/13 36 3.4 24 9.3 19 4.1 73 9.3 - Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 13 1.2 17 7.0 24 5.2 100 12.1 30 4.9 5 February 2014 Q4/12 59 4.9 28 10.9 7 1.5 55 6.9 9 1.3 Change % Q4 13 / Q4 12 Q4 13 / Q3 13 -39.0 -30.6 -14.3 -14.7 171.4 173.3 32.7 34.8 -100.0 -100.0 176.9 183.3 41.2 32.9 -20.8 -21.2 -27.0 -23.1 -100.0 -100.0 19
  • 20. Solid cash flow across businesses in Q4 2013 Cash flow from Operations Cash flow after investments 200 180 160 EUR million 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Printing and Reading Biomaterials Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results Building and Living 5 February 2014 Renewable Packaging 20
  • 21. All businesses contributed to cash flow generation in 2013 Cash flow from Operations Cash flow after investments 600 EUR million 500 400 300 200 100 0 Printing and Reading Biomaterials Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results Building and Living 5 February 2014 Renewable Packaging 21
  • 22. Paper demand decline continued in Europe 4% 38000 2% 37000 0% 36000 -2% 35000 -4% 34000 -6% 33000 -8% 32000 -10% Y-o-Y change % 6% 39000 Y-o-Y Paper 31000 -12% Annualized Paper SA = seasonally adjusted Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-11 -14% Apr-11 30000 Jan-11 Annualized demand [kt/a] 40000 Source: Euro-Graph Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 22
  • 23. Despite lower EBIT cash flow remained strong in 2013 Active working capital management Cash flow from operations 1300 1250 EUR million 1200 1150 1100 1050 1000 950 900 850 800 2009 2010 Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 2011 5 February 2014 2012 2013 23
  • 24. Fixed costs to sales 110% 108% 106% 104% 102% 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 Fixed costs to Sales 11Q1 = 100 Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 24
  • 25. Balance Sheet strength Q1 2011 – Q4 2013 Net Debt Net Debt/Operational EBITDA* 3 500 3.0 3 000 2.7 EUR million 2.7 2.5 2 500 2 000 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.5 1 500 1.0 1 000 500 0.5 0 0.0 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 *Last twelve months’ operational EBITDA Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 25
  • 26. Permanent pulp, paper and board capacity reductions since 2006 Mill Date Grade Capacity reduction, t Corbehem PM 3 and PM 4 Jun 2006 LWC 250 000 Varkaus PM 1 End 2006 WFC 95 000 Berghuizer Mill Oct 2007 WFU 235 000 Reisholz Mill End 2007 SC 215 000 Summa Mill Jan 2008 Newsprint, uncoated mag, book paper 415 000 Anjala Mill PM1 Feb 2008 Coated magazine paper 155 000 Baienfurt Mill End 2008 FBB 190 000 Kabel Mill PM 3 End 2008 Coated magazine 140 000 Kemijärvi Pulp Mill April 2008 Long-fibre (SW) pulp 250 000 Norrsundet Pulp Mill Dec 2008 Long-fibre (SW), pulp 300 000 Varkaus Mill coreboard machine Dec 2008 Coreboard 100 000 Imatra PM 8 Mar 2010 WFU 210 000 Varkaus PM 2 and PM 4 Sep 2010 Newsprint, directory paper 290 000 Maxau PM 7 Nov 2010 Newsprint 195 000 Hylte PM1 Dec 2012 Newsprint 180 000 Ostroleka PM2 Jan 2013 Containerboard Hylte PM2 May 2013 Newsprint 205 000 Kvarnsveden PM11 May 2013 Newsprint 270 000 Total 85 000 3 780 000 Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 26
  • 27. Permanent sawn wood capacity reductions since 2006 Capacity reduction, m3 Mill Date Veitsiluoto Sawmill 2006 100 000 Honkalahti Sawmill 2006 90 000 Sauga Sawmill Jun 2007 130 000 Sollenau Sawmill 2007 110 000 Näpi Sawmill 2007-2008 100 000 Kotka Sawmill 2007-2008 70 000 Paikuse Sawmill End 2008 220 000 Zdirec Sawmill 2008 120 000 Ybbs Sawmill 2008 & Jun 2009 200 000 Kitee Sawmill 2008 & Jun 2009 130 000 Varkaus Sawmill Jun 2009 60 000 Tolkkinen Sawmill End 2009 260 000 Kopparfors Sawmill End 2011 310 000 Total 1 900 000 Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 27
  • 28. Net Financial Items EUR million Change % Change % Q413/Q412 Q413/Q313 Q4/2013 Q3/2013 Q4/2012 -48 -52 -47 -2 8 9 7 -1 n/m 29 -25 -11 -2 n/m -127 - 3 3 -8 -4 -9 Fair valuation of long-term debt 1 - - NewPage lease provision - - 11 Pension costs (IAS 19R) -4 -4 -3 -14 -6 -4 -64 -56 -50 -28 -14 Net interest expense Foreign exchange gains and losses Other financial items. of which PIK notes Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives* Other items Total net financial items *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives. Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 28
  • 29. Transaction risk and hedges as at 31 December 2013 USD SEK GBP 950 -780 530 Transaction hedges as at 31 Dec 2013 -450 450 -260 Hedging percentage as at 31 Dec 2013 for the next 12 months 47% 58% 49% EUR million Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10 % EUR million USD 95 SEK -78 GBP 53 The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The calculation does not take into account currency hedges, and assumes no changes occur other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the opposite impact. Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 29
  • 30. Curtailments of capacity Paper and Board Wood Products 20 18 16 % of the capacity 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results Q312 5 February 2014 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 30
  • 31. Softwood pulp prices Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood 1 050 950 Bleached softwood kraft pulp 750 Bleached hardwood kraft pulp 650 550 450 07Q1 07Q2 07Q3 07Q4 08Q1 08Q2 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 USD/tonne 850 Source: FOEX Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 31
  • 32. Pulp wood and saw log prices Wood prices in Finland Pulpwood, Pine Sawlogs, Pine 80 70 50 40 30 20 13Q4 13Q3 13Q2 13Q1 12Q4 12Q3 12Q2 12Q1 11Q4 11Q3 11Q2 11Q1 10Q4 10Q3 10Q2 10Q1 09Q4 09Q3 09Q2 09Q1 08Q4 08Q3 08Q2 08Q1 07Q4 07Q3 07Q2 07Q1 06Q4 06Q3 0 06Q2 10 06Q1 EUR/m3 60 Source: METLA Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 32
  • 33. Paper for Recycling prices Mixed OCC De-inking 200 120 80 40 0 07Q1 07Q2 07Q3 07Q4 08Q1 08Q2 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 EUR/tonne 160 German RCP price development. free delivered Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 33
  • 34. Maturity profile Q4 2013 € million Bonds Other loans / liabilities Commercial paper 1 000 900 800 € 500m 5.0% 2018 SEK 2.2 bn S+3.9% 2017 SEK 500m 5.75% 2017 700 600 € 500m 5.5% 2019 500 400 300 200 100 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021-2035 2036 Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2015 and is fully undrawn Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 34
  • 35. Energy balance* Q4 2013 Impact** on operating profit from 10% change in: EUR million p.a. Electricity market price ~1 Fossil fuel price ~12 **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 35
  • 36. Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q4 2013 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas Stora Enso Q4 2013 Financial Results 5 February 2014 36