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Peek into the Future




© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public
                                                           Cisco          1
More Mobile Connections                                                     Faster Mobile Speeds




          More Mobile Users                                                   More Mobile Video




     Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                          Cisco Public   2
By 2016, nearly three-
fourth’s (71%) of the
world’s mobile data
traffic will be video.
Mobile video traffic
will double every
year between 2011
and 2016.



     Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
  2011                                                                                            Cisco Public
                                                                                                  Cisco          3
By 2016, 60 percent of
mobile users (3 billion
people) will belong to
the Gigabyte Club,
generating more than
one gigabyte of mobile
data traffic per month.

In 2011, 0.5 percent of
mobile users belonged
to the Gigabyte Club.
     Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
  2011                                                                                            Cisco Public
                                                                                                  Cisco          4
(kbps)                                                  2011     2012    2013     2014     2015     2016       CAGR
                                                                                                                2011-2016

   Global
  Global Speed –
                                                             315     504      792     1,236    1,908    2,873     56%
  Avg. Mobile Connection

  Global Speed –
                                                            1,344   1,829    2,425    3,166    4,102    5,244     31%
  Avg. Smartphone Connection
   By Region

  Middle East & Africa                                        89     206      434      850     1,555    2,618     97%

  Central & Eastern Europe                                   205     396      739     1,316    2,228    3,476     76%

  Latin America                                              125     227      396      673     1,082    1,627     67%

  Western Europe                                             667    1,196    1,967    2,960    4,163    5,549     53%

  Asia-Pacific                                               337     497      732     1,101    1,697    2,608     51%

  North America                                             1,138   1,712    2,485    3,531    4,923    6,785     43%

     Source: Cisco Global Internet Speed Test (GIST) results and other independent speed test findings
© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                           Cisco Public   5
16
                                                                  Offload Traffic from Mobile Devices
                                                14                Cellular Traffic from Mobile Devices

                                                12                                                              22%
                           Exabytes per Month




                                                10

                                                 8

                                                 6                                                              78%

                                                 4

                                                 2

                                                 0
                                                           2011        2012       2013       2014        2015   2016
     Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016
© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                               Cisco Public   6
Location of Mobile Usage
                                                                       percentage of total time spend in activity



                                                       In-transit                                        16%
                                                                          20%

                                            Other Indoor
                                                                                                         21%
                                                Location                  20%

                                                                                                         14%                 WiFi Addressable
                                                            Office        17%
                                                                                                                              80% Internet

                                                                                                                              84% Video

                                                            Home                                         49%
                                                                          42%




                                                                     Mobile Internet                 Mobile Video
Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011
                                                                                                         Base: Respondents engaged in activity
 © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                                                        Cisco Public   7
3G-like experience
                                                           Extend the mobile
                                                           service in a          New revenues
                                                           transparent           Generate new
                                                           manner                revenue streams via
 High-speed access                                                               innovative wireless
                                                                                 services
 Provide higher
 speeds for
 smartphone users
 cost-effectively


                                                                                 Reduce churn
                                                           Brand enhancement
                                                                                 Increase customer
                                                           Associate service     loyalty & stickiness
                                                           provider brand with   offering a
                                                           innovation &          complementary service
                                                           consumer experience

© 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                        Cisco Public   8
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public   9
Integrated Small Cell                               Next Gen Hotspot (HS 2.0)
                                                                                              Community
              Solution                                                                          WiFi




         • 3G+LTE+WiFi Radio                               • Seamless roaming and        • Infrastructure owned by 1
                                                             secure authentication         Operator with a shared
         • Integrated packet core for                        between operators             SSID
           macro radio, Wi-Fi and
           Femto                                           • Solution available to       • Residential and HD
                                                             software upgrade majority
         • Common subscriber                                                             • Crowdsourced WiFi:
                                                             of 12M Cisco Access
           mgmt/policy/authentication                                                      Share a little WiFi at home
                                                             points
           for seamless service                                                            and enjoy access to
           integration                                     • Validated as 1st HotSpot      millions of hotspot
                                                             2.0 solution by WBA           everywhere


                                    Cisco has 65% Market Share in Global WiFi Deployments
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                        Cisco Public   10
Four Pillars


                                                                         Key SP Wi-Fi
                                                                         Requirements


                                                           Mobility, Carrier-Grade, Scalability, Security




                                  Intelligent                       Unified          Seamless           Converged
                                    Radio                         Architecture       Experience           Core




                                                                Cisco Solution Pillars
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                            Cisco Public   11
• Over 200 Service Provider customers worldwide
                                     • Business models: Hotspot, venue, off-load, customer
                                            retention and service extension


• 65%+ market share in Wi-Fi
• Nearly 12 million APs deployed
• Nearly 700 engineering resources focused on Wi-Fi

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                     Cisco Public   12
• In-flight Wi-Fi                                        • Over 80,000       • Over 25,000      • Over 100,000
          access service                                     Cisco APs           Cisco APs          Cisco APs
  • Same service                                           • Retail Hotspots   • Indoor +         • Wholesale off-
          is customized                                       Starbucks          Outdoor +          load
          for each airline                                    McDonalds          Venue mix
                                                                                                  • Over 25,000
  • Complete                                               • 3G Off-load       • Complete           Cisco Aps
          Cisco solution                                                         Cisco Solution
                                                           • Stadiums                             • Over 10,000
                                                                                                    locations
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                        Cisco Public   13
Roam, Authenticate, Monetize
              1                                                 2                        3                4


                                                           802.1x , EAP-SIM
                                                              Auto SIM
                                                              credentials


                                                              Encrypted
                                                              Wi-Fi Link                                      Mobile “concierge” service
                                                               802.11i                                  Mobile Service Advertisement Protocol
                 802.11u
                                                                                                                       (MSAP)




              RELIABLE                                               SEAMLESS                  SECURE                  PROFITABLE
               Carrier-class                                        Simplifies network       Extends existing          Enables location-
                 solution                                             discovery and             SIM-based              based and value-
                                                                       selection for          authentication            added services
                                                                    seamless cellular        techniques over
                                                                       data offload          encrypted Wi-Fi



© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                                               Cisco Public   14
UNTRUSTED WI-FI NETWORK                                          TRUSTED WI-FI
                                                           Web-Based Auth/No Encryption                        NETWORK
                                                           Mostly Hotspot Side Business                    802.1x/802.11i 3G Offload


                                                                        Auto               Auto
                          Portal                                                                                     802.1x
                                                                        Portal             Portal
                          Page                                                                                       902.11i
                                                                        Page               Page


                     Username                                         Username         Username                     EAP-FAST
                     Password                                         Password         Password                      EAP-SIM
                                                                                       EAP-SIM                       EAP-TLS


                                                           Apple            Web    WISPr         Apple      WISPr
                      802.11                               Airport          Auth    1.0         iPhone       2.0         HS2.0

                          1997                                       1999           2003            2007     2010         2011



© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                                         Cisco Public   15
Hotspot today      Hotspot 2.0
  Automatic network selection                                 MCC MNC                             802.11u

  Transparent authentication
                                                             EAP-SIM/AKA                          EAP-SIM/AKA
  Secured air interface
                                                             A5                                   802.1x
  Security: rogue prevention
                                                             A3/A8                                802.1x
  Transparent roaming
                                                                                                  802.11u
  Full mobility & portability




                                          Hotspot 2.0 and Service Provider WiFi:
                                          Same transparent experience as the mobile network ...


© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                              Cisco Public   16
1                                                          2                                         3
             User steps into                                   Network automatically                     User is now
             Movistar Wi-Fi                                    detects & authenticates                   connected to the
             service area                                      device (no user intervention)             Internet over Wi-Fi




  * Starting from the 2nd access and initial device registration; User oriented to leave Wi-Fi on;


© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                                             Cisco Public   17

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Cisco mts

  • 1. Peek into the Future © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Cisco 1
  • 2. More Mobile Connections Faster Mobile Speeds More Mobile Users More Mobile Video Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016 © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 2
  • 3. By 2016, nearly three- fourth’s (71%) of the world’s mobile data traffic will be video. Mobile video traffic will double every year between 2011 and 2016. Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016 © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2011 Cisco Public Cisco 3
  • 4. By 2016, 60 percent of mobile users (3 billion people) will belong to the Gigabyte Club, generating more than one gigabyte of mobile data traffic per month. In 2011, 0.5 percent of mobile users belonged to the Gigabyte Club. Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016 © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2011 Cisco Public Cisco 4
  • 5. (kbps) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CAGR 2011-2016 Global Global Speed – 315 504 792 1,236 1,908 2,873 56% Avg. Mobile Connection Global Speed – 1,344 1,829 2,425 3,166 4,102 5,244 31% Avg. Smartphone Connection By Region Middle East & Africa 89 206 434 850 1,555 2,618 97% Central & Eastern Europe 205 396 739 1,316 2,228 3,476 76% Latin America 125 227 396 673 1,082 1,627 67% Western Europe 667 1,196 1,967 2,960 4,163 5,549 53% Asia-Pacific 337 497 732 1,101 1,697 2,608 51% North America 1,138 1,712 2,485 3,531 4,923 6,785 43% Source: Cisco Global Internet Speed Test (GIST) results and other independent speed test findings © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 5
  • 6. 16 Offload Traffic from Mobile Devices 14 Cellular Traffic from Mobile Devices 12 22% Exabytes per Month 10 8 6 78% 4 2 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2011–2016 © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 6
  • 7. Location of Mobile Usage percentage of total time spend in activity In-transit 16% 20% Other Indoor 21% Location 20% 14% WiFi Addressable Office 17% 80% Internet 84% Video Home 49% 42% Mobile Internet Mobile Video Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011 Base: Respondents engaged in activity © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 7
  • 8. 3G-like experience Extend the mobile service in a New revenues transparent Generate new manner revenue streams via High-speed access innovative wireless services Provide higher speeds for smartphone users cost-effectively Reduce churn Brand enhancement Increase customer Associate service loyalty & stickiness provider brand with offering a innovation & complementary service consumer experience © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 8
  • 9. © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 9
  • 10. Integrated Small Cell Next Gen Hotspot (HS 2.0) Community Solution WiFi • 3G+LTE+WiFi Radio • Seamless roaming and • Infrastructure owned by 1 secure authentication Operator with a shared • Integrated packet core for between operators SSID macro radio, Wi-Fi and Femto • Solution available to • Residential and HD software upgrade majority • Common subscriber • Crowdsourced WiFi: of 12M Cisco Access mgmt/policy/authentication Share a little WiFi at home points for seamless service and enjoy access to integration • Validated as 1st HotSpot millions of hotspot 2.0 solution by WBA everywhere Cisco has 65% Market Share in Global WiFi Deployments © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 10
  • 11. Four Pillars Key SP Wi-Fi Requirements Mobility, Carrier-Grade, Scalability, Security Intelligent Unified Seamless Converged Radio Architecture Experience Core Cisco Solution Pillars © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 11
  • 12. • Over 200 Service Provider customers worldwide • Business models: Hotspot, venue, off-load, customer retention and service extension • 65%+ market share in Wi-Fi • Nearly 12 million APs deployed • Nearly 700 engineering resources focused on Wi-Fi © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 12
  • 13. • In-flight Wi-Fi • Over 80,000 • Over 25,000 • Over 100,000 access service Cisco APs Cisco APs Cisco APs • Same service • Retail Hotspots • Indoor + • Wholesale off- is customized Starbucks Outdoor + load for each airline McDonalds Venue mix • Over 25,000 • Complete • 3G Off-load • Complete Cisco Aps Cisco solution Cisco Solution • Stadiums • Over 10,000 locations © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 13
  • 14. Roam, Authenticate, Monetize 1 2 3 4 802.1x , EAP-SIM Auto SIM credentials Encrypted Wi-Fi Link Mobile “concierge” service 802.11i Mobile Service Advertisement Protocol 802.11u (MSAP) RELIABLE SEAMLESS SECURE PROFITABLE Carrier-class Simplifies network Extends existing Enables location- solution discovery and SIM-based based and value- selection for authentication added services seamless cellular techniques over data offload encrypted Wi-Fi © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 14
  • 15. UNTRUSTED WI-FI NETWORK TRUSTED WI-FI Web-Based Auth/No Encryption NETWORK Mostly Hotspot Side Business 802.1x/802.11i 3G Offload Auto Auto Portal 802.1x Portal Portal Page 902.11i Page Page Username Username Username EAP-FAST Password Password Password EAP-SIM EAP-SIM EAP-TLS Apple Web WISPr Apple WISPr 802.11 Airport Auth 1.0 iPhone 2.0 HS2.0 1997 1999 2003 2007 2010 2011 © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 15
  • 16. Hotspot today Hotspot 2.0 Automatic network selection MCC MNC 802.11u Transparent authentication EAP-SIM/AKA EAP-SIM/AKA Secured air interface A5 802.1x Security: rogue prevention A3/A8 802.1x Transparent roaming 802.11u Full mobility & portability Hotspot 2.0 and Service Provider WiFi: Same transparent experience as the mobile network ... © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 16
  • 17. 1 2 3 User steps into Network automatically User is now Movistar Wi-Fi detects & authenticates connected to the service area device (no user intervention) Internet over Wi-Fi * Starting from the 2nd access and initial device registration; User oriented to leave Wi-Fi on; © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 17