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The High Cost of
Poor Forecasting

Bruce Ellis | President | Bee Group
Introductions



                Bruce Ellis
                President & CEO
                Bee Group, Inc.




                  © The TAS Group 2012
Poll #1

How accurate are your Sales Forecasts?

A: 80% +
B: 60% - 80%
C: 40% - 60%
D: Less than 40%
E: What’s a Sales Forecast?




                          © The TAS Group 2012
Romania may get even tougher on witches




                 © The TAS Group 2012
The Threat
A month after Romanian authorities
began taxing them for their trade, the
country’s soothsayers and fortune
tellers are cursing a new bill that
threatens fines or even prison if their
predictions don’t come true.



Would fines or punishment make Sales Forecasts more accurate?




                              © The TAS Group 2012
Sales Rep Response

 • Dudley Do-Right

 • Over-Achiever

 • The Sand-Bagger

 • Rebel Without a Clause

 • Ghost-Rep




                     © The TAS Group 2012
Poll #2
How much time do you spend on your Sales Forecast?


A: Not very much – No problem
B: I wish I could spend less time
C: I spend way too much time
D: I try to get through it as fast as I can, but the data is not
   accurate




                               © The TAS Group 2012
The Organizational Approach

  • No Bad News

  • Over-Assign Quota

  • Feet-to-the Fire

  • The Gambler




                        © The TAS Group 2012
The Excuses
Superstition, the Associated Press notes, is a
serious matter in the land of Dracula, and at
least one witch argues that practitioners
shouldn’t be blamed for the failure of their
tools.

“They can’t condemn witches, they should
condemn the cards,” queen witch Bratara
Buzea tells the AP.

She also says witches shouldn’t be blamed
for bad predictions if clients don’t provide
their real identifies or dates of birth.




                                 © The TAS Group 2012
The Excuses… Continued


• Don’t Blame Me… Blame the Tools

• But, we have a CRM

• Blame the Customer




                       © The TAS Group 2012
Poll #3

How Confident are you about your Sales Forecast?

A: Our Forecast is Universally Trusted
B: Our Forecast is Not Universally Trusted




                           © The TAS Group 2012
Sales Forecast Confidence & Sales Performance




                   © The TAS Group 2012
Barriers to Effective Sales Forecasting




                    © The TAS Group 2012
Forecast Analysis is a best practice




                    © The TAS Group 2012
Predictive Analytics Increases Quota
Achievement




                   © The TAS Group 2012
What shall we do?
•   Sales Process & Sales
    Methodology
•   You have to “Nail your Sales
    Process”
•   Map sales activity to buyer
    behavior
•   Identify “choke points” where
    the sales cycle slows
•   Replace intuition based
    forecasting with fact-based
    predictive analytics




                            © The TAS Group 2012
© The TAS Group 2012
Free Resources
• www.dealmakerindex.com
 Score your sales effectiveness. Get advice. See how you compare.

• www.dealmakergenius.com
 Create a customized sales process.

• www.dealmaker365.com
 Read our blog featuring insights on sales effectiveness.

• @dealmaker365
  @thetasgroup
 Follow us on Twitter.

• www.thetasgroup.com
 Learn more on our website.

                                  © The TAS Group 2012
Where You Can Find Us




 www.thetasgroup.com                           www.beegrp.com
 • US 866.570.3836                             • US 855.921.0022 | 720-921-0022
 • UK 01189 253 251                            • info@beegrp.com
 • International +353 1 631 6140               • Twitter: @beegrp
 • marketing@thetasgroup.com                   • Blog: www.beegrp.com/blog
 • Twitter: @thetasgroup




                                   © The TAS Group 2012
The High Cost of Poor
Forecasting

Bruce Ellis | President | Bee Group

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Sales Webinar | The High Cost Of Poor Forecasting

  • 1. The High Cost of Poor Forecasting Bruce Ellis | President | Bee Group
  • 2. Introductions Bruce Ellis President & CEO Bee Group, Inc. © The TAS Group 2012
  • 3. Poll #1 How accurate are your Sales Forecasts? A: 80% + B: 60% - 80% C: 40% - 60% D: Less than 40% E: What’s a Sales Forecast? © The TAS Group 2012
  • 4. Romania may get even tougher on witches © The TAS Group 2012
  • 5. The Threat A month after Romanian authorities began taxing them for their trade, the country’s soothsayers and fortune tellers are cursing a new bill that threatens fines or even prison if their predictions don’t come true. Would fines or punishment make Sales Forecasts more accurate? © The TAS Group 2012
  • 6. Sales Rep Response • Dudley Do-Right • Over-Achiever • The Sand-Bagger • Rebel Without a Clause • Ghost-Rep © The TAS Group 2012
  • 7. Poll #2 How much time do you spend on your Sales Forecast? A: Not very much – No problem B: I wish I could spend less time C: I spend way too much time D: I try to get through it as fast as I can, but the data is not accurate © The TAS Group 2012
  • 8. The Organizational Approach • No Bad News • Over-Assign Quota • Feet-to-the Fire • The Gambler © The TAS Group 2012
  • 9. The Excuses Superstition, the Associated Press notes, is a serious matter in the land of Dracula, and at least one witch argues that practitioners shouldn’t be blamed for the failure of their tools. “They can’t condemn witches, they should condemn the cards,” queen witch Bratara Buzea tells the AP. She also says witches shouldn’t be blamed for bad predictions if clients don’t provide their real identifies or dates of birth. © The TAS Group 2012
  • 10. The Excuses… Continued • Don’t Blame Me… Blame the Tools • But, we have a CRM • Blame the Customer © The TAS Group 2012
  • 11. Poll #3 How Confident are you about your Sales Forecast? A: Our Forecast is Universally Trusted B: Our Forecast is Not Universally Trusted © The TAS Group 2012
  • 12. Sales Forecast Confidence & Sales Performance © The TAS Group 2012
  • 13. Barriers to Effective Sales Forecasting © The TAS Group 2012
  • 14. Forecast Analysis is a best practice © The TAS Group 2012
  • 15. Predictive Analytics Increases Quota Achievement © The TAS Group 2012
  • 16. What shall we do? • Sales Process & Sales Methodology • You have to “Nail your Sales Process” • Map sales activity to buyer behavior • Identify “choke points” where the sales cycle slows • Replace intuition based forecasting with fact-based predictive analytics © The TAS Group 2012
  • 17. © The TAS Group 2012
  • 18. Free Resources • www.dealmakerindex.com Score your sales effectiveness. Get advice. See how you compare. • www.dealmakergenius.com Create a customized sales process. • www.dealmaker365.com Read our blog featuring insights on sales effectiveness. • @dealmaker365 @thetasgroup Follow us on Twitter. • www.thetasgroup.com Learn more on our website. © The TAS Group 2012
  • 19. Where You Can Find Us www.thetasgroup.com www.beegrp.com • US 866.570.3836 • US 855.921.0022 | 720-921-0022 • UK 01189 253 251 • info@beegrp.com • International +353 1 631 6140 • Twitter: @beegrp • marketing@thetasgroup.com • Blog: www.beegrp.com/blog • Twitter: @thetasgroup © The TAS Group 2012
  • 20. The High Cost of Poor Forecasting Bruce Ellis | President | Bee Group