1. Intel Analysis
Discussion
Maj Ted Corbeill
This brief is: UNCLASSIFIED

2. Agenda
• Leadership Philosophy
• Expectations of a MAGTF Intel Analyst
• Predicative Analysis 101
• Career Management 101
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3. Leadership Philosophy
• Mission Accomplishment
• Troop Welfare
– Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.
– Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.
– Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not meeting
expectations.
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4. What is expected of a
MAGTF Intel Analyst?
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Troop Welfare
• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.
• Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.
• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not meeting
expectations.
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5. MAGTF Intel Analyst
• Job Description: Reduce commander’s uncertainty in
order to aid decision making.
• Required skills:
– Conduct basic research on Weather, Enemy, and Terrain.
– Excellent oral and written skills.
– Teamwork, collaboration, and networking.
– Proficiency with IOS FOS software, Microsoft Office (Word,
Excel, PowerPoint, Outlook), and Microsoft SharePoint.
• Preferred skills:
– Develop and maintain an Analytic Line.
– Predicative Analysis.
– Leadership, Training, and Mentorship skills.
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6. What is analysis?
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Troop Welfare
• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.
• Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.
• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not meeting
expectations.
UNCLASSIFIED

7. Types of Analysis
• Information (Some value)
– Country briefs, weapons briefs, SIGACTs,
MISREPS, etc.
• Basic Analysis (More value)
– Trend analysis, Threat Matrix, TTPs
• Predicative Analysis (Most value)
– Enemy COA
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Capabilities + Intent = Threat
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8. Analysis Example
Event: Patrol receives indirect fire.
• Information (Some value)
– Time, location of event, type of weapon system
• Basic Analysis (More value)
– Pattern of activity in that area
– What enemy unit?
– What TTPs were used?
• Predicative Analysis (Most value)
– What will the enemy do next time we patrol there?
– When/where will the next attack occur?
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9. Predicative Analysis Example
“Capt Corbeill, when will the 2012 insurgent spring
offensive in Helmand Provence begin?”
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Afghanistan
Pakistan

10. How should you evaluate
an analyst?
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Troop Welfare
• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.
• Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.
• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not
meeting expectations.
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11. Contribution to Mission
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ContributesDetracts
Where are you on this scale?
Disciplinary Problem
• Consumes leaders time
• Useful for:
 Working parties
 Converting chow into feces
Substandard/Incompetent
• Consumes leaders time
• Useful for:
 Working parties
 Duty
Average
• Useful for:
 Basic research
 Basic production
 Working parties
 Duty
Proficient
• Useful for:
 Advanced research
 Advanced production
 Basic Analysis
 Briefing
 Conducting Training
SME
• Useful for:
 Predicative Analysis
 Final production
 Supporting OPTs
 Developing Training
No Value Some Value Most Value
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12. Career Management Advice
• No one cares about your career more than you!
– If it’s not in your Official Military Personnel File (OMPF), then it
didn’t happen.
• No excuses- it’s all a click away:
– MoL, MyPay, MarineNet, www.usmc.mil (orders, MARADMINS)
• Advice
– Marine first
• High first class PFT/CFT
• PME (one grade up)
• Seek out and pursue opportunities (don’t close doors)
– Intel analyst second
• Master your tradecraft
• Read, read, read
• Inquisitive mind
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13. Life Advice
• Periodically reevaluate your priorities.
• Make a conscious decision where to allocate your limited
time and resources.
• Own your decision.
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Personal
Development
Professional
Development
Relationships

14. Questions?
14This brief is: UNCLASSIFIED