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Alternative Energy:
The time is Nigh
ArvindTiwary
Co-chair, Clean Tech SIG, TiE Bangalore
SangEnnovate
Background
 This presentation is intended for
Sep 21 2013 event for Apartments in Bangalore
under Tie & IIHS, Sustainable City
 Numbers quoted are illustrative and taken from end 2013 and early 2013
 Credits to TiE members
 Uday / Trueskill
 Manasij / EnerPlus
 Ramesh / Buildmet
 Gautam, Pamli , Ashok ..
Note: Volatility in Exchange rates will alter the numbers a bit !!
Grid Power: A implosion waiting to happen
 India has a net deficit of Electric power
 Demand exceeds Supply esp in South by 16-22%.
(Source Central Electricity Authority)
 Distribution companies are loosing Money
 Grid power charged at Rs5-10/Unit
 Accounting for T&D losses etc DISCOM
will need 10-12 /Unit to break even
 Future is Not BRIGHT
 Losses mean less “investment” in Operational maintenance
 Losses dis–incentive to more generation capacity
 Grid Blackout, Increasing brownout likely
 MNRE
 Natn Renewable Energy 12%
 30% Subsidy
 SCI Solar Corporation of India
Economics of Electricity
Item Current Situation
Grid • Domestic 5.6 Rs /unit
• Commercial 7-12 Rs /unit
• Inflation 6-8%  Rs 8 ++ by 2017
Diesel ~3-6 KwH /L  Rs 13-22 /Unit (OPEX also Efficiency varies by Load% )
Solar PV
Merchant or
Utility Level
( MW Scale)
• Gujarat 2010-2012 Tenders Rs 12.54/unit LCOE ( leveled cost
over 20 -25 years CAPEX planned 16.5 Crore /MW)
• now seeking tariff for purchase by State Electricity Board
around Rs 9/Unit (Actual CAPEX 11.2 Crore /MW)
• Residential Roof Top Solar in Bangalore expected at LCOE
around Rs 6-7/Unit ( Grid Connected No Batteries)
Wind Rs 3.5-5.5 /Unit @ MW Scale . Avg 20% utilization
BioGas Rs 2.5 – 4/unit Gas Electricity Generator
Economics of Electricity
FIT
Feed in Tariffs
• Utility (BESCOM) to
pay Consumers for
feeding Electricity to
Grid
• Allows BESCOM to
delay capacity
Addition, Peak power
reduces Distribution
loses as distributed
generation and local
usage
• Needs smart grid.
Metering, Demand
and supply forecasting
and dispatching
Net Metering
( Lets Pray it is in Pipeline!!)
• Meter of power
consumed from Grid
• Meter of power fed to
Grid
• Net Power used is
billed by BESCOM
• No payment from
BESCOM if you
supplied more then
used
Grid Feeding
• Pilot with 440V 3
Phase balanced and
conditioned ( Voltage
and frequency bands )
• Later 220V single
phase
Comparison
• CAPEX Rs 1.5 L/KW
• LCOE 6-7/Unit
• Most suitable for
urban Bangalore.
Proven technology
and vibrant supplier
eco system.
Probably low point
in TCO cycle
Solar
• Rs 1.0-3 L/KW
• 4-5/Unit
• Mainstream at MW
scale. Wind Farms.
Urban settings need
new approach. Few
vendors for Sub MW
scale
Wind
• Rs 0,8 – 1.5L/KW
• Rs 2.5-4 /unit
• Bio to cooking gas
Robust mass adoption.
• Convert to power
using gas generator
• Older designs need
constant care and
manual intervention.
• Continuous process
Bio
Bio Gas
Gas and Power Output
1 Tonne/Day
= 60
kWh/day3
1m3 Biogas
= 0.4 kg of
LPG
1m3 Biogas
= 1 kWh
Electricity
1
Tonne/Day
= 24-28 kg
of LPG
1 Tonne
Municipal
Waste ~
60-70 m
1
Tonne/Day
= 100 kg
fertilizer
Feedstock Typical Gas Output
(m3 per tonne)
Cattle &
Animal
Waste
15-25
Chicken
Litter
30-100
Grass &
Farm Waste
160-220
Food Waste 200-600
• % of Wet Wastes in MSW – 40-50%
• Household – 40%
• Hotels/ Resorts / Malls – 50%
• Fruit & Vegetable Markets – 10%
400gm/Person/day
IISc Slug Flow Biogas Plant
1 tpd plant at BITS Goa Campus, 2009: Mess and kitchen wastes
Wind
Wind
 Large scale Wind farm deployments
 Peak power varies as cube of wind speed
 Intermittent 20% utilization
 Wind shadows and turbulence in urban setting
 Common Horizontal Axis. Large MW range
 Avg Annual Wind speed 15-26 MPH
 30 year Life cycle
 Wear tear on moving parts. SW optimization for direction etc.
 Leveled costs can be low
 Need to extrapolate from Airport wind measurements or do annual data
collection
Wind Energy Utilization
7.3% March 99
50.6 July 2006
Micro Vertical Wind Turbine :
Old Wine in New Bottle for urban settings
 650Wp to 5 KWp
 3-7 meters height. Avoid 10 X Ht wind shadow on roof top.
 Power from 10 Mph + . Optimum around 15-25 Mph
 160 Kg /2KWp to 600 Kg 5KWp
Solar PV
Types of Solar PV usage
 Direct DC loads.
 Low power. No BIG Startup surge ( AC, Pump)
 Grid Connected
 Direct AC inverter
 Needs Grid Reference Voltage, Frequency for Invertors
 220V single phase or 3 phase 440V.
 Special Invertors for Indian volatile grid conditions
 Off Grid
 Battery Backup ( Special Battery !!)
 Offload Diesel
 Low penetration < 20%
 High penetration > 70% Overload from Solar PV, Dump load
 Charger Control
 Under , Over charge, Deep Discharge cycle
 Conditioning Load, Frequency, Voltage
Recommendation
Goal for Energy Security
 Reduce consumption by 5-12%
 Energy Audit
 Source 25-33% from alternative sources
 Solar, Wind, Bio
 Dedicated usage only if very clear ROI and robust
 Solar Pump, STP
 Hybrid or Mixed usage
 Power produced is converted to AC and Voltage and Frequency stabilized to
grid level
 DG Set is rarely used for full backup as Solar, etc provide
 Modularize DG to work efficiently at different loads
 Priority to use Own Produced energy before Grid
Types of Renewable
Energy Usage Hybrid ( Recommended )
Multiple Energy
Sources
Grid (100%) ,
GenSet ( 20-
80%)
Solar PV,
Optional Wind
Bio (20-33%)
Battery (Small 5-
10%)
MultipleWiring
Grid / GenSet
Only Load, DC
only Load
Conditioning,
Trackers, Islanding
Voltage ,
Amperage and
frequency
variance
Ability to Isolate
subsystem,
component
Track peak
demand (
Pump, AC
startup) and
generation
(Very bright
sunny day)
Prioritization
User defined :
Solar, Grid,
GenSet
Use cases :
No Grid
Genset+PV, No
GenSet Grid
+PV , No Grid &
No Genset only
PV,
KEY Question
Willingness to
pay for CAPEX to
secure lower
cost power then
genset
Summary
 Consider 20KWp+ Hybrid.
 Solar PV between 15-50KWp Hybrid grid .Small 2-10 KWp Wind/ Bio
 Feed to grid 440V 3 phase to benefit for future net Metering
 Use existing Genset backup rather then “overinvest” in Battery
 Contracting Approach
 Quality over cost as expensive if failures over 20-25 year cycle
 Invertors and Installation (Wiring, enclosures) are hotspots.
 IP6 Open Enclosures wind, water, hail, earthing, High DC Amperage flow …
 Failure points and replacements costed in . Invertors etc
 Need to arrange credible support for long term supply 15-20 years.
 Consider some form of power purchase to keep engagement
 We will buy Power at agreed rates for 10-12 years.
 We will need to invest 30% of CAPEX ( 20-30L) for reasonable rates.
 Alternative Energy projects are financed at 13%+ by Commercial banks
 Subsidy may go away. So please start NOW….
 End of Life disposal issues
Disruptive Future
 Producer
 Centralized, Utility Newspaper
 Consumer
 Distributed, Mass
 ProSumer
 Citizen Journalist
 Differentiated Niches
 Distributed Power generation and consumption
Thank You
Event Sponsors & Partners

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Alternative Energy: The time is Nigh

  • 1. Alternative Energy: The time is Nigh ArvindTiwary Co-chair, Clean Tech SIG, TiE Bangalore SangEnnovate
  • 2. Background  This presentation is intended for Sep 21 2013 event for Apartments in Bangalore under Tie & IIHS, Sustainable City  Numbers quoted are illustrative and taken from end 2013 and early 2013  Credits to TiE members  Uday / Trueskill  Manasij / EnerPlus  Ramesh / Buildmet  Gautam, Pamli , Ashok .. Note: Volatility in Exchange rates will alter the numbers a bit !!
  • 3. Grid Power: A implosion waiting to happen  India has a net deficit of Electric power  Demand exceeds Supply esp in South by 16-22%. (Source Central Electricity Authority)  Distribution companies are loosing Money  Grid power charged at Rs5-10/Unit  Accounting for T&D losses etc DISCOM will need 10-12 /Unit to break even  Future is Not BRIGHT  Losses mean less “investment” in Operational maintenance  Losses dis–incentive to more generation capacity  Grid Blackout, Increasing brownout likely  MNRE  Natn Renewable Energy 12%  30% Subsidy  SCI Solar Corporation of India
  • 5. Item Current Situation Grid • Domestic 5.6 Rs /unit • Commercial 7-12 Rs /unit • Inflation 6-8%  Rs 8 ++ by 2017 Diesel ~3-6 KwH /L  Rs 13-22 /Unit (OPEX also Efficiency varies by Load% ) Solar PV Merchant or Utility Level ( MW Scale) • Gujarat 2010-2012 Tenders Rs 12.54/unit LCOE ( leveled cost over 20 -25 years CAPEX planned 16.5 Crore /MW) • now seeking tariff for purchase by State Electricity Board around Rs 9/Unit (Actual CAPEX 11.2 Crore /MW) • Residential Roof Top Solar in Bangalore expected at LCOE around Rs 6-7/Unit ( Grid Connected No Batteries) Wind Rs 3.5-5.5 /Unit @ MW Scale . Avg 20% utilization BioGas Rs 2.5 – 4/unit Gas Electricity Generator Economics of Electricity
  • 6. FIT Feed in Tariffs • Utility (BESCOM) to pay Consumers for feeding Electricity to Grid • Allows BESCOM to delay capacity Addition, Peak power reduces Distribution loses as distributed generation and local usage • Needs smart grid. Metering, Demand and supply forecasting and dispatching Net Metering ( Lets Pray it is in Pipeline!!) • Meter of power consumed from Grid • Meter of power fed to Grid • Net Power used is billed by BESCOM • No payment from BESCOM if you supplied more then used Grid Feeding • Pilot with 440V 3 Phase balanced and conditioned ( Voltage and frequency bands ) • Later 220V single phase
  • 7. Comparison • CAPEX Rs 1.5 L/KW • LCOE 6-7/Unit • Most suitable for urban Bangalore. Proven technology and vibrant supplier eco system. Probably low point in TCO cycle Solar • Rs 1.0-3 L/KW • 4-5/Unit • Mainstream at MW scale. Wind Farms. Urban settings need new approach. Few vendors for Sub MW scale Wind • Rs 0,8 – 1.5L/KW • Rs 2.5-4 /unit • Bio to cooking gas Robust mass adoption. • Convert to power using gas generator • Older designs need constant care and manual intervention. • Continuous process Bio
  • 9. Gas and Power Output 1 Tonne/Day = 60 kWh/day3 1m3 Biogas = 0.4 kg of LPG 1m3 Biogas = 1 kWh Electricity 1 Tonne/Day = 24-28 kg of LPG 1 Tonne Municipal Waste ~ 60-70 m 1 Tonne/Day = 100 kg fertilizer Feedstock Typical Gas Output (m3 per tonne) Cattle & Animal Waste 15-25 Chicken Litter 30-100 Grass & Farm Waste 160-220 Food Waste 200-600 • % of Wet Wastes in MSW – 40-50% • Household – 40% • Hotels/ Resorts / Malls – 50% • Fruit & Vegetable Markets – 10% 400gm/Person/day
  • 10. IISc Slug Flow Biogas Plant 1 tpd plant at BITS Goa Campus, 2009: Mess and kitchen wastes
  • 11. Wind
  • 12. Wind  Large scale Wind farm deployments  Peak power varies as cube of wind speed  Intermittent 20% utilization  Wind shadows and turbulence in urban setting  Common Horizontal Axis. Large MW range  Avg Annual Wind speed 15-26 MPH  30 year Life cycle  Wear tear on moving parts. SW optimization for direction etc.  Leveled costs can be low  Need to extrapolate from Airport wind measurements or do annual data collection
  • 13. Wind Energy Utilization 7.3% March 99 50.6 July 2006
  • 14. Micro Vertical Wind Turbine : Old Wine in New Bottle for urban settings  650Wp to 5 KWp  3-7 meters height. Avoid 10 X Ht wind shadow on roof top.  Power from 10 Mph + . Optimum around 15-25 Mph  160 Kg /2KWp to 600 Kg 5KWp
  • 16. Types of Solar PV usage  Direct DC loads.  Low power. No BIG Startup surge ( AC, Pump)  Grid Connected  Direct AC inverter  Needs Grid Reference Voltage, Frequency for Invertors  220V single phase or 3 phase 440V.  Special Invertors for Indian volatile grid conditions  Off Grid  Battery Backup ( Special Battery !!)  Offload Diesel  Low penetration < 20%  High penetration > 70% Overload from Solar PV, Dump load  Charger Control  Under , Over charge, Deep Discharge cycle  Conditioning Load, Frequency, Voltage
  • 18. Goal for Energy Security  Reduce consumption by 5-12%  Energy Audit  Source 25-33% from alternative sources  Solar, Wind, Bio  Dedicated usage only if very clear ROI and robust  Solar Pump, STP  Hybrid or Mixed usage  Power produced is converted to AC and Voltage and Frequency stabilized to grid level  DG Set is rarely used for full backup as Solar, etc provide  Modularize DG to work efficiently at different loads  Priority to use Own Produced energy before Grid
  • 19. Types of Renewable Energy Usage Hybrid ( Recommended ) Multiple Energy Sources Grid (100%) , GenSet ( 20- 80%) Solar PV, Optional Wind Bio (20-33%) Battery (Small 5- 10%) MultipleWiring Grid / GenSet Only Load, DC only Load Conditioning, Trackers, Islanding Voltage , Amperage and frequency variance Ability to Isolate subsystem, component Track peak demand ( Pump, AC startup) and generation (Very bright sunny day) Prioritization User defined : Solar, Grid, GenSet Use cases : No Grid Genset+PV, No GenSet Grid +PV , No Grid & No Genset only PV,
  • 20.
  • 21. KEY Question Willingness to pay for CAPEX to secure lower cost power then genset Summary  Consider 20KWp+ Hybrid.  Solar PV between 15-50KWp Hybrid grid .Small 2-10 KWp Wind/ Bio  Feed to grid 440V 3 phase to benefit for future net Metering  Use existing Genset backup rather then “overinvest” in Battery  Contracting Approach  Quality over cost as expensive if failures over 20-25 year cycle  Invertors and Installation (Wiring, enclosures) are hotspots.  IP6 Open Enclosures wind, water, hail, earthing, High DC Amperage flow …  Failure points and replacements costed in . Invertors etc  Need to arrange credible support for long term supply 15-20 years.  Consider some form of power purchase to keep engagement  We will buy Power at agreed rates for 10-12 years.  We will need to invest 30% of CAPEX ( 20-30L) for reasonable rates.  Alternative Energy projects are financed at 13%+ by Commercial banks  Subsidy may go away. So please start NOW….  End of Life disposal issues
  • 22. Disruptive Future  Producer  Centralized, Utility Newspaper  Consumer  Distributed, Mass  ProSumer  Citizen Journalist  Differentiated Niches  Distributed Power generation and consumption