11. Emerging Event-Decision Architecture Customer Profiles Purpose-Built Analytics Distributed Multisensor Infrastructure Internet/Extranet Sensors Human Sensors Edge/POC Sensors Operations Center Other References Complex Event Processors Sensors are Everywhere!
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13. Event-Inference Hierarchy 22 Impact Assessment Situational Assessment Relationship of Events Identify Events Location, Times and Rates of Events of Interest Existence of Possible Event of Interest Data/Event Cloud Analysis of Situation & Plans Contextual and Causal Analysis Causal Analysis, Bayesian Belief Networks, NNs, Correlation, State Estimation, Classification Use of Distributed Sensors for Estimations Raw Sensor Data (Passive and Active) Adapted from: Waltz, E. & Llinas, J., Multisensor Data Fusion, 1990 HIGH LOW MED
14. Event-Decision High Level Architecture 22 EVENT CLOUD (DISTRIBUTED DATA SET) KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS KS Adapted from: Engelmore, R. S., Morgan, A.J., & and Nii, H. P., Blackboard Systems, 1988 & Luckham, D., The Power of Events, 2002
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16. Event-Decision Architecture 24 Adapted from JDL: Steinberg, A., & Bowman, C., Handbook of Multisensor Data Fusion, CRC Press, 2001 EVENT PRE-PROCESSING EVENT SOURCES EXTERNAL . . . LEVEL ONE EVENT REFINEMENT USER INTERFACE COMPLEX EVENT PROCESSING (CEP) DB MANAGEMENT Historical Data Profiles & Patterns DISTRIBUTED LOCAL EVENT SERVICES . . EVENT PROFILES . . DATA BASES . . OTHER DATA LEVEL TWO SITUATION REFINEMENT LEVEL THREE IMPACT ASSESSMENT LEVEL FOUR PROCESS REFINEMENT
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26. Processing Patterns Business Context Inference Processing Techniques Processing Patterns for PredictiveBusiness TM
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29. Example Bayes Network I Identity Theft Detection / Phishing Source: Bass, T., TIBCO Software Inc., January 2006 Uses Proxy Alert Service Account Lockout Profile Mismatch Brand Phishing Alert Security Alert Customer Known Fraud IP Identity Theft Login Success Phishing Alert Brand Misuse
30. Example Bayes Network II Simple Web-Click Behavior Click Pg Subtype Click Elapsed Associate Session ID Stores Visited Click Pg Type Click to Purchase Session Time # Items Purchased ID Browser Recognize Session ID OS Total Purchase Session ID Code Click Price Price Click Count Source: Ambrosio, B., CleverSet Inc., December 2004
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32. Event-Decision Processing Characteristics Adapted (this and the next slide) from: Steinberg, A., & Bowman, C., Handbook of Multisensor Data Fusion, CRC Press, 2001 Sensor Output Individual Event Aggregation (situation) Effect (situation, given plan) (Action) Entity Estimate Sensor Processing Event Processing Situation Assessment Impact Assessment Decision Making Activity Detection Assignment (L0) Event Preprocessing Attribution Assignment (L1) Event Refinement Relational Aggregation (L2) Situation Refinement Plan Interaction Aggregation (L3) Impact Assessment (Control) Planning (L4) Process Refinement Estimation Process Association Process JDL Model Levels