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Micro-serendipity:
Meaningful Coincidences
in Everyday Life Shared on Twitter
iConference 2013, Fort Worth, TX
Toine Bogers & Lennart Björneborn
Royal School of Library and Information Science, Copenhagen
2
motivation (1/3)

why is serendipity interesting?
l 

serendipity: finding interesting things in unplanned ways

l 

important role in many scientific discoveries

l 

also integral part in everyday information behavior
l 
l 

l 

how we get new impressions, ideas, insights in everyday life
the very way we learn many new things in life since infanthood

design for stimulating and supporting serendipity
l 

search engines, recommender systems (e.g., music), microblogging, …
3
motivation (2/3)

needed: better understanding
l 

different definitions focus on different aspects:
l 

include active (foreground) interest?

l 

relate to latent (background) interest alone?

l 

better understanding of how people experience and
communicate serendipitous occurrences in everyday life

l 

naturalistic studies of everyday serendipity
l 

based on data generated by users themselves (Erdelez, 2004)

l 

most previous studies based on data elicited from interviews

l 

everyday serendipitous experiences of bloggers (Rubin et al., 2011)
4
motivation (3/3)

micro-serendipity on Twitter
l 

micro-serendipity: investigating contexts and attributes of
everyday serendipity as shared on Twitter

l 

we use non-elicited, self-motivated user data from Twitter

l 

we omit a preset definition of serendipity
l 

l 

understand what users themselves consider as serendipitous
experiences and how they actually describe these experiences

Twitter: window into everyday life of millions of users
l 

everyday experiences, interests, conversations, language use
5
research questions
RQ 1 What types of serendipity do Twitter users
experience?
RQ 2 How often do people share serendipitous
experiences on Twitter?
RQ 3 What terminology do people use on Twitter to
describe their serendipitous experiences?

6
methodology (1/4)

data collection
l 

crawled 30,000+ English-language tweets containing the
term ‘serendipity’ from Aug 2011–Feb 2012

l 

used Topsy, social media search engine to access tweets
l 

can search further back in time than Twitter

l 

access to max. 1% of all tweets

l 

no obvious crawling bias, so assumed to be representative

7
methodology (2/4)

coding tweets
l 

open coding approach to develop coding categories
on Feb 2012 tweets

l 

category of interest: PERS (personal)
l 

clearly describe personal insight or experience of a
serendipitous occurrence on the part of the tweeter

l 

we tried to eliminate our pre-conceptions of what serendipity is

l 

used context (included URLs and surrounding tweet stream)
to disambiguate

8
methodology (3/4)

coding tweets
l 

applied coding scheme to last three months of tweets
with the hashtag #serendipity (Dec 2011–Feb 2012)
l 

l 

inter-annotator agreement of 0.65

l 

l 

open coding phase showed #serendipity more likely to contain
PERS tweets
remaining differences resolved through discussion

coded 1073 tweets with 14.9% (N=160) in PERS category

9
methodology (4/4)

‘serendipity’ noise

10
findings: RQ1 (1/4)

serendipity context: leisure vs. work
RQ 1 What types of serendipity do users experience?
l 

qualitative analysis of 160 tweets in PERS category

l 

distinction between leisure- and work-related activities
l 
l 

14 tweets (8.8%) work-related

l 

l 

141 tweets (88.1%) leisure-related
1 tweet coded as both; 4 tweets too ambiguous to code

rich diversity in leisure-related activities connected to
serendipitous experiences
l 

all kinds of digital and physical spaces

l 

including media, shopping, sports and transportation
11
work- and
leisurerelated

12
work-related

13
leisurerelated

14
findings: RQ1 (2/4)

serendipity thresholds & continuum
l 

different serendipity thresholds
l 

l 

plain novelty or pleasant diversion may sometimes be enough

l 

l 

when does a user find something unusual, unexpected, or surprising
enough to consider it as serendipity?
serendipity is a highly subjective phenomenon

serendipity continuum
l 

different degrees of surprise:
unplanned
everyday incidents

l 

unanticipated eureka
moments in science

serendipity is not a discrete concept
15
serendipity thresholds

16
findings: RQ1 (3/4)

background + foreground serendipity
l 

background serendipity (‘traditional’ serendipity)
l 

unexpectedly finding something meaningful related to a background
interest; changing a person’s focus and direction

l 

foreground serendipity (‘synchronicity’)
l 

unexpectedly finding something meaningful related to a foreground
interest/preoccupation; confirming a person’s focus and direction

l 

l 

in everyday experiences and in science (e.g., Makri & Blandford, 2012)

both types of serendipity deal with people experiencing
meaningful coincidences
l 

people considering an occurrence as both meaningful and incidental
17
foreground serendipity (‘synchronicity’)

18
findings: RQ1 (4/4)

key elements in serendipity
l 

unexpectedness + insight + value (Makri & Blandford, 2012)

l 

unexpectedness + value + preoccupation
l 

some degree of insight always present in order to consider an
occurrence as both unexpected/incidental and valuable/meaningful;
– i.e., considering the occurrence as a meaningful coincidence

19
unexpectedness + value + preoccupation

20
21
findings: RQ2

frequency of sharing serendipity
RQ 2 How often do people share serendipitous
experiences on Twitter?
l 

160 PERS tweets from 146 different users
l 

l 

tweets from all users with >1 PERS tweets were identical
repetitions

extended this to the full 7-month, 30,000+ tweet crawl
l 

only a handful users had more than one tweet about serendipity

l 

not that common a (re-)occurrence on Twitter!

l 

we only focused on only one way of describing serendipity
22
findings: RQ3 (1/3)

describing serendipity
RQ 3 What terminology do people use on Twitter to
describe their serendipitous experiences?
l 

two reasons for answering this question
l 
l 

l 

focused on three ways of signaling serendipity
l 
l 
l 

l 

general interest in how people describe serendipitous occurrences
can we train an automatic classifier to pick out PERS tweets?
words
part-of-speech tags (e.g., noun, past tense verb, …)
hashtags (e.g., #serendipitous, #insight, …)

used log-likelihood to extract representative signals
l 

measures how surprising the usage of a signal between two text
collections is
23
findings: RQ3 (2/3)

describing serendipity
l 

words
l 

l 

l 

l 

PERS:
just, found, noticed, bumped, simultaneously, immediately, omg
non-PERS:
watching, serendipity, Kate, John, movie, chocolate, sundae
no conclusive identification of serendipity vocabulary

parts-of-speech
l 
l 
l 

past tense verbs more often used in PERS tweets
present tense verbs more often used in non-PERS tweets
nouns more likely in non-PERS tweets

24
findings: RQ3 (3/3)

describing serendipity
l 

hashtags
l 

l 

l 

hashtags most commonly co-occurring with #serendipity belong
to events: #nyc, #superbowl, #weezercruise, #saints
promising hashtags for future work:
#serendipitous, #synchronicity, #chance, #insight,
#randomness, #accident, #wtf, #lucky, #surprise

combination of different signals seems to show promise
in automatic classification of PERS tweets

25
conclusions
RQ 1: no single type of serendipity
l 

people experience this along a continuum with different thresholds

RQ 2: serendipity appears to be a rarely tweeted phenomenon
l 
l 

perhaps because it is uncommon or in fact too common?
longitudinal studies are necessary to confirm this though

RQ 3: no single signal singles out serendipitous occurrences
l 

combination of different signals shows promise for automatic
classification

26
future work
l 

actual word usage on Twitter may suggest terms for other
serendipity studies

l 

developing an automatic serendipity classifier
l 

l 

include data from surrounding tweets in tweet stream

investigate how people describe matches between
environmental factors and foreground/background interests
l 

include differences between physical and digital environments

27
questions? comments?

Lennart Björneborn @connecto

Toine Bogers @toinebogers

28
extra
31
findings / RQ1: experiencing serendipity

serendipity context: leisure vs. work

32
findings / RQ3: describing serendipity

terms signaling serendipity

33
motivation: 1(4)

why is serendipity interesting?
l 

serendipity: the accidental yet beneficial discovery
of something one was not looking for directly

l 

important role in many scientific discoveries

l 

also integral part in everyday information behavior
l 

l 

when our “chance encounters with information, objects, or people
[...] lead to fortuitous outcomes” (Rubin et al. 2011)

technologies for stimulating and supporting serendipity
l 

search engines, music recommender systems, micro-blogging, etc.

34
motivation: 2(4)

tricky phenomenon & concept
l 

studying the phenomenon and using the concept
in information science are not without difficulties

l 

different definitions focus on different aspects
l 

include active (foreground) information seeking task?

l 

or relate to background interest alone?

l 

different weights to personal and environmental factors

l 

different thresholds for calling something serendipitous

l 

used synonymously with synchronicity, diversity, novelty

35
! #serendipity
36
37

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Micro-Serendipity: Meaningful Coincidences in Everyday Life Shared on Twitter

  • 1. Micro-serendipity: Meaningful Coincidences in Everyday Life Shared on Twitter iConference 2013, Fort Worth, TX Toine Bogers & Lennart Björneborn Royal School of Library and Information Science, Copenhagen
  • 2. 2
  • 3. motivation (1/3) why is serendipity interesting? l  serendipity: finding interesting things in unplanned ways l  important role in many scientific discoveries l  also integral part in everyday information behavior l  l  l  how we get new impressions, ideas, insights in everyday life the very way we learn many new things in life since infanthood design for stimulating and supporting serendipity l  search engines, recommender systems (e.g., music), microblogging, … 3
  • 4. motivation (2/3) needed: better understanding l  different definitions focus on different aspects: l  include active (foreground) interest? l  relate to latent (background) interest alone? l  better understanding of how people experience and communicate serendipitous occurrences in everyday life l  naturalistic studies of everyday serendipity l  based on data generated by users themselves (Erdelez, 2004) l  most previous studies based on data elicited from interviews l  everyday serendipitous experiences of bloggers (Rubin et al., 2011) 4
  • 5. motivation (3/3) micro-serendipity on Twitter l  micro-serendipity: investigating contexts and attributes of everyday serendipity as shared on Twitter l  we use non-elicited, self-motivated user data from Twitter l  we omit a preset definition of serendipity l  l  understand what users themselves consider as serendipitous experiences and how they actually describe these experiences Twitter: window into everyday life of millions of users l  everyday experiences, interests, conversations, language use 5
  • 6. research questions RQ 1 What types of serendipity do Twitter users experience? RQ 2 How often do people share serendipitous experiences on Twitter? RQ 3 What terminology do people use on Twitter to describe their serendipitous experiences? 6
  • 7. methodology (1/4) data collection l  crawled 30,000+ English-language tweets containing the term ‘serendipity’ from Aug 2011–Feb 2012 l  used Topsy, social media search engine to access tweets l  can search further back in time than Twitter l  access to max. 1% of all tweets l  no obvious crawling bias, so assumed to be representative 7
  • 8. methodology (2/4) coding tweets l  open coding approach to develop coding categories on Feb 2012 tweets l  category of interest: PERS (personal) l  clearly describe personal insight or experience of a serendipitous occurrence on the part of the tweeter l  we tried to eliminate our pre-conceptions of what serendipity is l  used context (included URLs and surrounding tweet stream) to disambiguate 8
  • 9. methodology (3/4) coding tweets l  applied coding scheme to last three months of tweets with the hashtag #serendipity (Dec 2011–Feb 2012) l  l  inter-annotator agreement of 0.65 l  l  open coding phase showed #serendipity more likely to contain PERS tweets remaining differences resolved through discussion coded 1073 tweets with 14.9% (N=160) in PERS category 9
  • 11. findings: RQ1 (1/4) serendipity context: leisure vs. work RQ 1 What types of serendipity do users experience? l  qualitative analysis of 160 tweets in PERS category l  distinction between leisure- and work-related activities l  l  14 tweets (8.8%) work-related l  l  141 tweets (88.1%) leisure-related 1 tweet coded as both; 4 tweets too ambiguous to code rich diversity in leisure-related activities connected to serendipitous experiences l  all kinds of digital and physical spaces l  including media, shopping, sports and transportation 11
  • 15. findings: RQ1 (2/4) serendipity thresholds & continuum l  different serendipity thresholds l  l  plain novelty or pleasant diversion may sometimes be enough l  l  when does a user find something unusual, unexpected, or surprising enough to consider it as serendipity? serendipity is a highly subjective phenomenon serendipity continuum l  different degrees of surprise: unplanned everyday incidents l  unanticipated eureka moments in science serendipity is not a discrete concept 15
  • 17. findings: RQ1 (3/4) background + foreground serendipity l  background serendipity (‘traditional’ serendipity) l  unexpectedly finding something meaningful related to a background interest; changing a person’s focus and direction l  foreground serendipity (‘synchronicity’) l  unexpectedly finding something meaningful related to a foreground interest/preoccupation; confirming a person’s focus and direction l  l  in everyday experiences and in science (e.g., Makri & Blandford, 2012) both types of serendipity deal with people experiencing meaningful coincidences l  people considering an occurrence as both meaningful and incidental 17
  • 19. findings: RQ1 (4/4) key elements in serendipity l  unexpectedness + insight + value (Makri & Blandford, 2012) l  unexpectedness + value + preoccupation l  some degree of insight always present in order to consider an occurrence as both unexpected/incidental and valuable/meaningful; – i.e., considering the occurrence as a meaningful coincidence 19
  • 20. unexpectedness + value + preoccupation 20
  • 21. 21
  • 22. findings: RQ2 frequency of sharing serendipity RQ 2 How often do people share serendipitous experiences on Twitter? l  160 PERS tweets from 146 different users l  l  tweets from all users with >1 PERS tweets were identical repetitions extended this to the full 7-month, 30,000+ tweet crawl l  only a handful users had more than one tweet about serendipity l  not that common a (re-)occurrence on Twitter! l  we only focused on only one way of describing serendipity 22
  • 23. findings: RQ3 (1/3) describing serendipity RQ 3 What terminology do people use on Twitter to describe their serendipitous experiences? l  two reasons for answering this question l  l  l  focused on three ways of signaling serendipity l  l  l  l  general interest in how people describe serendipitous occurrences can we train an automatic classifier to pick out PERS tweets? words part-of-speech tags (e.g., noun, past tense verb, …) hashtags (e.g., #serendipitous, #insight, …) used log-likelihood to extract representative signals l  measures how surprising the usage of a signal between two text collections is 23
  • 24. findings: RQ3 (2/3) describing serendipity l  words l  l  l  l  PERS: just, found, noticed, bumped, simultaneously, immediately, omg non-PERS: watching, serendipity, Kate, John, movie, chocolate, sundae no conclusive identification of serendipity vocabulary parts-of-speech l  l  l  past tense verbs more often used in PERS tweets present tense verbs more often used in non-PERS tweets nouns more likely in non-PERS tweets 24
  • 25. findings: RQ3 (3/3) describing serendipity l  hashtags l  l  l  hashtags most commonly co-occurring with #serendipity belong to events: #nyc, #superbowl, #weezercruise, #saints promising hashtags for future work: #serendipitous, #synchronicity, #chance, #insight, #randomness, #accident, #wtf, #lucky, #surprise combination of different signals seems to show promise in automatic classification of PERS tweets 25
  • 26. conclusions RQ 1: no single type of serendipity l  people experience this along a continuum with different thresholds RQ 2: serendipity appears to be a rarely tweeted phenomenon l  l  perhaps because it is uncommon or in fact too common? longitudinal studies are necessary to confirm this though RQ 3: no single signal singles out serendipitous occurrences l  combination of different signals shows promise for automatic classification 26
  • 27. future work l  actual word usage on Twitter may suggest terms for other serendipity studies l  developing an automatic serendipity classifier l  l  include data from surrounding tweets in tweet stream investigate how people describe matches between environmental factors and foreground/background interests l  include differences between physical and digital environments 27
  • 28. questions? comments? Lennart Björneborn @connecto Toine Bogers @toinebogers 28
  • 29.
  • 30. extra
  • 31. 31
  • 32. findings / RQ1: experiencing serendipity serendipity context: leisure vs. work 32
  • 33. findings / RQ3: describing serendipity terms signaling serendipity 33
  • 34. motivation: 1(4) why is serendipity interesting? l  serendipity: the accidental yet beneficial discovery of something one was not looking for directly l  important role in many scientific discoveries l  also integral part in everyday information behavior l  l  when our “chance encounters with information, objects, or people [...] lead to fortuitous outcomes” (Rubin et al. 2011) technologies for stimulating and supporting serendipity l  search engines, music recommender systems, micro-blogging, etc. 34
  • 35. motivation: 2(4) tricky phenomenon & concept l  studying the phenomenon and using the concept in information science are not without difficulties l  different definitions focus on different aspects l  include active (foreground) information seeking task? l  or relate to background interest alone? l  different weights to personal and environmental factors l  different thresholds for calling something serendipitous l  used synonymously with synchronicity, diversity, novelty 35
  • 37. 37