SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 41
Truman National Security Project
Congressional Oversight
                                                                                                         The majority of Department of
                                                                                                         Energy (DOE) investigations in
                                                                                                         the 112th Congress have
                                                                                                         originated in the Republican-led
                                                                                                         House of Representatives.
                                                                                                         House committees with
                                                                                                         jurisdiction to investigate DOE
 Source: Huffington Post, “House Oversight Committee To Hold McPherson Square Hearing,” January 17, 2012
                                                                                                         include Energy & Commerce;
 House Oversight and Government Reform                                                                   Science, Space & Technology;
 Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-CA)                                                                  Armed Services; and Oversight
                                                                                                         & Government Reform.
Their main responsibilities include:

1. Oversight: akin to a check-up at the doctor’s office – an opportunity to verify that
   everything is functioning as it should be

1. Investigations: more like exploratory surgery – sometimes they find a problem,
   often they don’t


  Truman National Security Project
DOE and the 112th Congress
From January 2011 - April 2012,
the House has:

 conducted 26 investigations of
DOE; 9 of those investigations
have focused on the DOE loan
guarantee program

 sent the department over 40
letters requesting documents or
interviews                         Source: C-SPAN, “Senate Energy Cmte. Hearing on President's 2012 Budget Request
                                   with Energy Sec. Steven Chu,” February 16, 2011


received over 680,000 pages of    Energy Secretary Steven Chu testifies
documents from DOE agencies.       before the Senate Energy Committee



Truman National Security Project                                            3
DOE Loan Guarantee Program
                                                                            DOE Loan Guarantee Program Quick Facts:

                                                                             The program was enacted as part of the
                                                                            Bush Administration’s 2005 energy bill to
                                                                            support the development of innovative
                                                                            technology at a scale that is too risky for the
                                                                            private sector to finance
Source: Gigaom, DOE offers $359M loan guarantee to Sempra for solar farm,
June 15, 2011

 Congress contemplated the possibility of loss under the program and in the
2009 Recovery Act appropriated over $3 billion to cover these potential losses

 DOE has guaranteed $34.7 billion in loans which have created over 60,000
jobs

 The program supports the world’s largest wind farm, the first all-electric
vehicle manufacturing plant in the U.S. and the first nuclear power plant to be
built in over 30 years
Truman National Security Project                              4
Solyndra: exception or rule?
Critics of the DOE loan guarantee
program spotlight the bankruptcy of
solar panel manufacturer, Solyndra

Since January 2011, at least 50 staff
members from 8 DOE offices have
spent thousands of hours responding to
congressional inquiries including:       Source: Gigaom, DOE offers $359M loan guarantee to Sempra for solar farm, June 15, 2011




 28 requests for documents (almost 2      Solyndra Quick Facts:
requests/month for the past year)
resulting in the production of 200,000      Solyndra represents only 1.3% of
pages                                      loans dispersed by the DOE loan
                                           guarantee program
 6 congressional briefings
                                           The majority of the loan guarantee
 5 congressional hearings (including      portfolio is in electrical generation
other executive branch agencies)           projects, which are structured to have
                                           very low risk.
  Truman National Security Project                                 5
And don’t forget…
Other topics of congressional investigation include Yucca mountain, high gas
prices, Environmental Protection Agency regulations, renewable energy tax
grants, the Keystone pipeline, hydraulic fracking and weatherization of low-
income homes




 Sources: Lander County Yucca Mountain Oversight Program, ABC News, Salon, mLive

Truman National Security Project                                                   6
Truman National Security Project
How do we pay for all this?
                                      2010 - $1.2 trillion




                                                                                                            Consumer Expenditures
Production Costs




                                            Figures are in quadrillion BTUs,
                                            Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 2010



                   ANS: Each in their own way, due to practical differences,
                      business customs, market structures and policy
                      decisions over the last 100 years.
Truman National Security Project
The Central Problem
      Production Costs vary
       widely – anticipated supply,
       weather, geopolitics, shipping
       costs, wages
      But if Consumption
       Prices vary widely, we
       are not happy
       campers…
      So the Industry of Financing the
       Energy Industry exists to smooth
       out one end of the equation to
       minimize “spikes” at the other


Truman National Security Project
Why is government involved?

 Government significantly
  regulates to limit
  “negative externalities” –
  environmental and socio-
  economic
 Government also wants
  to support “positive
  externalities” (non-financial
    benefits)
        Schools, hospitals and
         businesses open later and safer,
         benefitting the society as a whole.
      Ex: rural electrification



Truman National Security Project
Sources of cash
 Consumption Prices – you know these all too well
 Production Costs - two main buckets:
     Feedstock (raw oil, coal, gas):
                Manage through futures trading
                Pass on to customer
            Building new facilities - very capital intensive with
             upfront costs of construction and permitting running
             into the billions of dollars




Truman National Security Project
Cost of New Generation
Funds for new facilities (“CapEx”) can come from:
       Venture capital – high risk tolerance – but expects a
        very high return
       Corporate Finance:
           Public Stock Markets – ok, with some risk, but also expects
            high return
           Corporate Debt – bonds or institutional loans
       Project finance for individual power or energy projects
•       Government loans or guarantees
    •       In order to get a lower rate, the government may guarantee a lender
            that it will cover certain slice of the risk
    •       Especially for innovative projects

Truman National Security Project
Corporate Debt – what is it?
   This is a basic business loan – when an energy company (like Exxon) takes a loan from a bank
    for various corporate needs.
       Lenders will only lend to Exxon if Exxon demonstrates to the lenders that it has sufficient
          assets on its balance sheet to pay back the loan (which is why this is sometimes called
          “balance sheet” financing).
   Structure: There IS typically recourse to the energy company. The money is leant to the energy
    company, which then invests the money in the Project Company.
       This means that if there is a default under the loan, then the lenders can foreclose / sue the
          energy company itself.




Truman National Security Project
Corporate Finance – why use it?

 Energy company can use the money largely how
  it sees fit for any project, rather than being
  limited to a specific project.
 Simpler, more straightforward then project
  finance (so less costly to put together the
  financing).
 Best to use when the energy company has a
  strong balance sheet (much greater assets than
  liabilities).

Truman National Security Project
Project finance – what is it?
   Debt financing of the development, site acquisition, construction and initial
    operation of a power plant, wind farm, terminal, and other energy projects.
      Usually for capital-intensive industries.
      Projects themselves generate cash to pay off debt. So project finance is
        most suitable for an energy project where there is a predictable revenue
        stream to support debt repayment.
   Typically Non-recourse (like a typical mortgage in the U.S.)
      Structure: the lender typically provides the loan to the actual project
        (typically referred to as the “Project Company”).




Truman National Security Project
Project finance – why use it?
 Non-recourse nature provides companies or developers
  flexibility to separate projects (so that each project can
  succeed, or fail, on its own merits).
      Often good to separate energy projects so that any regulatory
       problems, natural disasters, and other events only impact a
       specific project.
      Developer often does not have great credit, but the project itself
       may be a good investment and generate enough cash to pay off
       the debt.
 Separating projects allows developers to manage them
  better (both operationally and financially).
        Lender typically can only make a claim (foreclose) on the assets of the Project Company and
         not those of the entire energy company.




Truman National Security Project
Bottom line
 Financing energy is as complex as creating and
  distributing it – all with the goal of taming the naturally
  cyclic nature of energy (and nature)
 Government is involved all along the way – and can help
  that goal by encouraging sustainable methods of
  production and consistent price signals to the
  marketplace; OR
 Government can make things worse by constantly
  shifting policies or putting decisions on hold




Truman National Security Project
Truman National Security Project
Installation Energy
 DoD has committed to producing or buying 3
  Gigawatts of renewable energy, enough to
  power 750,000 homes
 Powering bases with locally-generated
  renewable energy makes bases and
  operations resilient to grid vulnerabilities
 Long-term power purchase agreements with
  renewable generators allow for cost-
  competitive, clean and secure energy for
  bases

Truman National Security Project
Biofuels
 When the price of oil goes up, DoD’s fuel
  expenses skyrocket
 Navy and Air Force have ambitious goals to
  diversify fuels sources for ships and planes
  and reduce budgetary risk of oil price shocks
 DoD is buying “drop-in” biofuels, which don’t
  require new or modified engines and run a jet
  or marine diesel engine the same as
  petroleum
 Navy has set a goal to sail a “Great Green
  Fleet” on biofuels by 2016

Truman National Security Project
Energy Efficient Platforms
 When forces have to be resupplied with fuel by
  tankers or convoys, those fuel supply lines are at
  risk of attack by the enemy.
 If supply lines are cut by enemy attack, our forces
  are left without fuel, water, and supplies
 Planes, ships, and tanks that use less fuel don’t
  have to be resupplied as often
 DoD is working to make sure that the next
  generations of platforms are more efficient. This
  will reduce resupply risk, avoid costs, and save
  lives.

Truman National Security Project
NEPA
 NEPA is a law that requires the government
  to assess potential environmental impacts
  when it takes an action that may affect the
  environment
 Renewable technologies in certain areas
  have potential environmental effects”
      Windmills may threaten birds or bats
      Large solar panel arrays may threaten species by
       disrupting their movements (e.g. desert tortiose)
      Renewable facilities may obstruct or interfere with
       views or create noise issues

Truman National Security Project
NEPA, continued
 If an analysis shows that there is a significant
  environmental impact by the renewable
  project, the government may be required to
  implement mitigation measures, or the project
  may be stopped completely.
 The government is working hard to identify
  federal renewable projects’ potential
  environmental effects early and to consult
  with environmental organizations and local
  communities to resolve the issues

Truman National Security Project
Truman National Security Project
Fossil fuel dependence is the greatest
long-term threat to national security --
not just from foreign sources, but all
sources.
 The U.S. consumes 25% of the world’s oil
  for 5% of the global population

 The U.S. military is the world’s largest
  industrial consumer of fossil fuel.


Truman National Security Project             25
The U.S. exports $1 billion per day
for its oil, 40% of which goes to
unstable or unfriendly nations.

 Iran uses its oil revenues to:
      finance IED’s that have killed and wounded
       our toops
      supply night vision goggles and other
       equipment to the Taliban



Truman National Security Project                    26
Transportation of fuel to the front
lines requires great expense in
blood and treasure.
 One service member is killed for every 24
  convoys.

 The cost to deliver one gallon of fuel to
  remote locations overseas may be as high as
  $400.


Truman National Security Project              27
The U.S. devotes enormous
expense to safeguarding the free
flow of fuel worldwide.

 Defense costs
      Straights of Hormuz


 Diplomatic costs
      appeasing dictators


Truman National Security Project   28
Fossil fuel consumption causes
environmental instability to which
our military will be forced to
respond:
    Resource scarcity
    Civil unrest
    Refugee and other humanitarian crises
    Extremism


Truman National Security Project             29
Truman National Security Project
Renewable Energy Myths and Realities
First: What Do We Mean by Renewable
Energy?
 In this context we use the term renewable
  energy to refer to electricity generated by
  renewable resources. These include:
        Wind
        Solar
        Hydro
        Biomass




Truman National Security Project            31
Myth: Renewable Energy is Too Expensive
                    Reality: Certain Renewables are Competitive With Natural Gas
                    Even Without Incentives and Prices Continue to Drop
                 $350

                                           LCOE 2008                                 Note : solar produces largely
                                                                                                                     $324

                 $300                                                                during peak hours so it often
                                                                                         competes with more
                                          LCOE 2012                                  expensive peak power plants
                 $250
                                          LCOE 2016 (estimate)
Cost per $/MWH




                 $200

                                                                                  Wind: shown for average wind
                 $150
                                                                                  resource – the best wind (ie,
                                                                                      TX, OK, KS) already
                                                                                   competitive with natural gas

                 $100                              $106
                                                                       $87                      $88
                            $84

                                                                                                  1
                  $50



                  $0

                           Coal                  CCGT                Nuclear                    Wind                 Solar PV
                           Note: The cost of renewable energy is largely a function of manufacturing scale in
                         addition to technological improvements. The cost of natural gas generation is largely
                        dependent on the price of a commodity that has large price swings over the last decade.
                    Truman National Security Project
Myth: Renewable Energy is Too Expensive
Reality: Natural Gas Generation is a Competitor to Renewables
but Also a Necessary Partner
   Renewable energy without storage requires natural gas generation as back-up power as natural
    gas, unlike coal or nukes, can be ramped up and down quickly.
   Although there are benefits to natural gas the primary (non climate-change related) drawback is
    that natural gas pricing has historically been volatile. Prices are now 20% of what they were at the
    peak in 2008. Current gas curves anticipate a future of cheap gas but there is no price certainty.
   Many factors could throw off the current low natural gas curve:
        Increased switching from coal to natural gas generation.
        Increased use of natural gas as a transport fuel.
        Export of natural gas to countries with high natural gas prices.
        A price on carbon
        Changes in available resource estimates (the U.S. EIA recently
         cut their estimate by 42%) and extraction costs.
   Utilities can use renewables to hedge against future price shocks. A generation fleet entirely
    exposed to natural gas would be as irresponsible as a stock portfolio manager investing in only
    one company. Many utilities agree. Xcel Energy recently noted that “by displacing natural gas with
    fixed priced wind energy, the Company has less exposure to potentially volatile natural gas
    pricing.”
   A utility’s planning horizon is much longer than a natural gas day traders – or a weekly news cycle.
    To responsibly meet their customers needs under a range of fuel price scenarios renewables are a
    responsible choice.



Truman National Security Project                                                                     33
Myth #3: The Government Shouldn’t Pick Winners
Reality: Renewables Aren’t the Only Area the
Government is Supporting




Truman National Security Project             34
Myth #5: Intermittent Renewables Are Useless
Reality: Renewable Energy Doesn’t Create Jobs

 Center for American Progress study shows a dollar spent on
  renewable generation creates 3x as many jobs as a dollar spent on
  fossil generation.
 The same study shows the jobs created tend to be higher paying
  than those in fossil generation.
 Many jobs are construction related and “temporary” just as any
  housing construction related jobs are temporary. Even so, to reach
  20% renewable energy in the U.S. would result in lots of jobs over a
  multi-decade timeframe.




Truman National Security Project                                    35
Truman National Security Project
Sustainability




                                                 Source: SustainVU, www.vanderbilt.edu



UN Brundtland Commission Definition (1987): Sustainable development is
development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet their own needs.
   Truman National Security Project
    Truman National Security Project
Sustainability Programs




Sustainability programs becoming the norm at U.S.
universities; corporations; & federal, state, county, and
local governments
  Truman National Security Project
   Truman National Security Project
                                                       3
Executive Order 13514: Federal Leadership in
  Environmental, Energy, & Economic Performance
Signed by: President Obama on 5 October 2009. Builds on Executive Order 13423,
which was signed by President Bush on 24 January, 2007.
Goal: to establish an integrated strategy towards sustainability in the Federal
Government and to make reduction of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) a priority for
Federal agencies.


Federal agencies required to:
- Select Senior Sustainability Officer
- Set percentage reduction target of agency-wide reductions of Scope 1 and 2
Greenhouse Gas emissions in absolute terms by FY 2020, relative to FY 2008 baseline
- Create a Strategic Sustainability Performance Plan
- Increase energy efficiency; increase renewable energy generation
- Reduce petroleum consumption, potable water intensity, landscaping/industrial
water; increase recycling and waste reduction efforts
- Incorporate sustainability elements into procurement (energy-efficiency, biobased,
environmentally preferable, recycled content, etc.)



 Truman National Security Project
  Truman National Security Project
                                                                              3
Military’s Sustainability Programs
All 5 branches addressing E.O. 13514, while building
their own customized sustainability efforts




                                                      Source: U.S. Army Sustainability Office, www.sustainability.army.mil/



             Source: Congressional Research Service

Truman National Security Project
 Truman National Security Project
                                                                                                                         4
Truman National Security Project
                                   4

Más contenido relacionado

Destacado

Energy 101 - transportation
Energy 101 - transportationEnergy 101 - transportation
Energy 101 - transportation
TrumanEnergy
 
Energy 101 - electricity
Energy 101 - electricityEnergy 101 - electricity
Energy 101 - electricity
TrumanEnergy
 
Energy 101 - natural gas
Energy 101 - natural gasEnergy 101 - natural gas
Energy 101 - natural gas
TrumanEnergy
 
Faisa l making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
Faisa l  making job description hrm (kelompok 10)Faisa l  making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
Faisa l making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
Faisal Paeys
 
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Dwight D. EisenhowerDwight D. Eisenhower
Dwight D. Eisenhower
gingersnap515
 

Destacado (13)

Param uxd
Param uxdParam uxd
Param uxd
 
Energy 101 - transportation
Energy 101 - transportationEnergy 101 - transportation
Energy 101 - transportation
 
Au pair usa
Au pair usaAu pair usa
Au pair usa
 
Menu Pane E Vino 2011
Menu Pane E Vino 2011Menu Pane E Vino 2011
Menu Pane E Vino 2011
 
Param Infocatalyst
Param InfocatalystParam Infocatalyst
Param Infocatalyst
 
Law firm's Logo
Law firm's LogoLaw firm's Logo
Law firm's Logo
 
Energy 101 - electricity
Energy 101 - electricityEnergy 101 - electricity
Energy 101 - electricity
 
Energy 101 - natural gas
Energy 101 - natural gasEnergy 101 - natural gas
Energy 101 - natural gas
 
Faisa l making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
Faisa l  making job description hrm (kelompok 10)Faisa l  making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
Faisa l making job description hrm (kelompok 10)
 
Menu Pane E Vino
Menu Pane E Vino Menu Pane E Vino
Menu Pane E Vino
 
Re-branding Cartoon Networks
Re-branding Cartoon NetworksRe-branding Cartoon Networks
Re-branding Cartoon Networks
 
Optica geometrica
Optica geometricaOptica geometrica
Optica geometrica
 
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Dwight D. EisenhowerDwight D. Eisenhower
Dwight D. Eisenhower
 

Similar a Energy 101 - misc

Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
Eliot Norman
 
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012 Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
Patton Boggs LLP
 
Court's judging on solar FIT appeal
Court's judging on solar FIT appealCourt's judging on solar FIT appeal
Court's judging on solar FIT appeal
wjafrazer
 

Similar a Energy 101 - misc (20)

Courtney Hanson Nuclear Economics-20120630
Courtney Hanson Nuclear Economics-20120630Courtney Hanson Nuclear Economics-20120630
Courtney Hanson Nuclear Economics-20120630
 
Essay
EssayEssay
Essay
 
Mill Pond = Mill Stone?
Mill Pond = Mill Stone?Mill Pond = Mill Stone?
Mill Pond = Mill Stone?
 
Five Local Stories to Do on the Green Stimulus
Five Local Stories to Do on the Green StimulusFive Local Stories to Do on the Green Stimulus
Five Local Stories to Do on the Green Stimulus
 
Analysis of global nuclear industry with emphasis on dte energy
Analysis of global nuclear industry with emphasis on dte energyAnalysis of global nuclear industry with emphasis on dte energy
Analysis of global nuclear industry with emphasis on dte energy
 
Breakthrough Energy Technologies Summary - SiriusDisclosure.com
Breakthrough Energy Technologies Summary - SiriusDisclosure.comBreakthrough Energy Technologies Summary - SiriusDisclosure.com
Breakthrough Energy Technologies Summary - SiriusDisclosure.com
 
Sharon Harris Reaction Paper
Sharon Harris Reaction PaperSharon Harris Reaction Paper
Sharon Harris Reaction Paper
 
Energy & SB3 Presentation to NC Legislators
Energy & SB3 Presentation to NC LegislatorsEnergy & SB3 Presentation to NC Legislators
Energy & SB3 Presentation to NC Legislators
 
CEI Email 3.1.05 (b)
CEI Email 3.1.05 (b)CEI Email 3.1.05 (b)
CEI Email 3.1.05 (b)
 
Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
Growth Opportunities For International Companies In 2010
 
Blog posts, 2011
Blog posts, 2011Blog posts, 2011
Blog posts, 2011
 
W6energy
W6energyW6energy
W6energy
 
W6energy
W6energyW6energy
W6energy
 
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012 Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012
 
CEI Email 4.4.03 (a)
CEI Email 4.4.03 (a)CEI Email 4.4.03 (a)
CEI Email 4.4.03 (a)
 
US Department of Energy FY2013 Proposed Budget
US Department of Energy FY2013 Proposed BudgetUS Department of Energy FY2013 Proposed Budget
US Department of Energy FY2013 Proposed Budget
 
Public Power Magazine - January/February 2015
Public Power Magazine - January/February 2015Public Power Magazine - January/February 2015
Public Power Magazine - January/February 2015
 
Court's judging on solar FIT appeal
Court's judging on solar FIT appealCourt's judging on solar FIT appeal
Court's judging on solar FIT appeal
 
Document from UtiliTree
Document from UtiliTreeDocument from UtiliTree
Document from UtiliTree
 
CEI Email 3.1.05 (a)
CEI Email 3.1.05 (a)CEI Email 3.1.05 (a)
CEI Email 3.1.05 (a)
 

Último

EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
Earley Information Science
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
Enterprise Knowledge
 
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and MythsArtificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Joaquim Jorge
 
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slideHistor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
vu2urc
 

Último (20)

Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
 
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a FresherStrategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
 
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdfBoost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
 
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
 
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt RobisonData Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
 
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and MythsArtificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
 
What Are The Drone Anti-jamming Systems Technology?
What Are The Drone Anti-jamming Systems Technology?What Are The Drone Anti-jamming Systems Technology?
What Are The Drone Anti-jamming Systems Technology?
 
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdfThe Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
 
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slideHistor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
 
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone ProcessorsExploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
 
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
 

Energy 101 - misc

  • 2. Congressional Oversight The majority of Department of Energy (DOE) investigations in the 112th Congress have originated in the Republican-led House of Representatives. House committees with jurisdiction to investigate DOE Source: Huffington Post, “House Oversight Committee To Hold McPherson Square Hearing,” January 17, 2012 include Energy & Commerce; House Oversight and Government Reform Science, Space & Technology; Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-CA) Armed Services; and Oversight & Government Reform. Their main responsibilities include: 1. Oversight: akin to a check-up at the doctor’s office – an opportunity to verify that everything is functioning as it should be 1. Investigations: more like exploratory surgery – sometimes they find a problem, often they don’t Truman National Security Project
  • 3. DOE and the 112th Congress From January 2011 - April 2012, the House has:  conducted 26 investigations of DOE; 9 of those investigations have focused on the DOE loan guarantee program  sent the department over 40 letters requesting documents or interviews Source: C-SPAN, “Senate Energy Cmte. Hearing on President's 2012 Budget Request with Energy Sec. Steven Chu,” February 16, 2011 received over 680,000 pages of Energy Secretary Steven Chu testifies documents from DOE agencies. before the Senate Energy Committee Truman National Security Project 3
  • 4. DOE Loan Guarantee Program DOE Loan Guarantee Program Quick Facts:  The program was enacted as part of the Bush Administration’s 2005 energy bill to support the development of innovative technology at a scale that is too risky for the private sector to finance Source: Gigaom, DOE offers $359M loan guarantee to Sempra for solar farm, June 15, 2011  Congress contemplated the possibility of loss under the program and in the 2009 Recovery Act appropriated over $3 billion to cover these potential losses  DOE has guaranteed $34.7 billion in loans which have created over 60,000 jobs  The program supports the world’s largest wind farm, the first all-electric vehicle manufacturing plant in the U.S. and the first nuclear power plant to be built in over 30 years Truman National Security Project 4
  • 5. Solyndra: exception or rule? Critics of the DOE loan guarantee program spotlight the bankruptcy of solar panel manufacturer, Solyndra Since January 2011, at least 50 staff members from 8 DOE offices have spent thousands of hours responding to congressional inquiries including: Source: Gigaom, DOE offers $359M loan guarantee to Sempra for solar farm, June 15, 2011  28 requests for documents (almost 2 Solyndra Quick Facts: requests/month for the past year) resulting in the production of 200,000  Solyndra represents only 1.3% of pages loans dispersed by the DOE loan guarantee program  6 congressional briefings The majority of the loan guarantee  5 congressional hearings (including portfolio is in electrical generation other executive branch agencies) projects, which are structured to have very low risk. Truman National Security Project 5
  • 6. And don’t forget… Other topics of congressional investigation include Yucca mountain, high gas prices, Environmental Protection Agency regulations, renewable energy tax grants, the Keystone pipeline, hydraulic fracking and weatherization of low- income homes Sources: Lander County Yucca Mountain Oversight Program, ABC News, Salon, mLive Truman National Security Project 6
  • 8. How do we pay for all this? 2010 - $1.2 trillion Consumer Expenditures Production Costs Figures are in quadrillion BTUs, Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 2010 ANS: Each in their own way, due to practical differences, business customs, market structures and policy decisions over the last 100 years. Truman National Security Project
  • 9. The Central Problem  Production Costs vary widely – anticipated supply, weather, geopolitics, shipping costs, wages  But if Consumption Prices vary widely, we are not happy campers…  So the Industry of Financing the Energy Industry exists to smooth out one end of the equation to minimize “spikes” at the other Truman National Security Project
  • 10. Why is government involved?  Government significantly regulates to limit “negative externalities” – environmental and socio- economic  Government also wants to support “positive externalities” (non-financial benefits)  Schools, hospitals and businesses open later and safer, benefitting the society as a whole.  Ex: rural electrification Truman National Security Project
  • 11. Sources of cash  Consumption Prices – you know these all too well  Production Costs - two main buckets:  Feedstock (raw oil, coal, gas):  Manage through futures trading  Pass on to customer  Building new facilities - very capital intensive with upfront costs of construction and permitting running into the billions of dollars Truman National Security Project
  • 12. Cost of New Generation Funds for new facilities (“CapEx”) can come from:  Venture capital – high risk tolerance – but expects a very high return  Corporate Finance:  Public Stock Markets – ok, with some risk, but also expects high return  Corporate Debt – bonds or institutional loans  Project finance for individual power or energy projects • Government loans or guarantees • In order to get a lower rate, the government may guarantee a lender that it will cover certain slice of the risk • Especially for innovative projects Truman National Security Project
  • 13. Corporate Debt – what is it?  This is a basic business loan – when an energy company (like Exxon) takes a loan from a bank for various corporate needs.  Lenders will only lend to Exxon if Exxon demonstrates to the lenders that it has sufficient assets on its balance sheet to pay back the loan (which is why this is sometimes called “balance sheet” financing).  Structure: There IS typically recourse to the energy company. The money is leant to the energy company, which then invests the money in the Project Company.  This means that if there is a default under the loan, then the lenders can foreclose / sue the energy company itself. Truman National Security Project
  • 14. Corporate Finance – why use it?  Energy company can use the money largely how it sees fit for any project, rather than being limited to a specific project.  Simpler, more straightforward then project finance (so less costly to put together the financing).  Best to use when the energy company has a strong balance sheet (much greater assets than liabilities). Truman National Security Project
  • 15. Project finance – what is it?  Debt financing of the development, site acquisition, construction and initial operation of a power plant, wind farm, terminal, and other energy projects.  Usually for capital-intensive industries.  Projects themselves generate cash to pay off debt. So project finance is most suitable for an energy project where there is a predictable revenue stream to support debt repayment.  Typically Non-recourse (like a typical mortgage in the U.S.)  Structure: the lender typically provides the loan to the actual project (typically referred to as the “Project Company”). Truman National Security Project
  • 16. Project finance – why use it?  Non-recourse nature provides companies or developers flexibility to separate projects (so that each project can succeed, or fail, on its own merits).  Often good to separate energy projects so that any regulatory problems, natural disasters, and other events only impact a specific project.  Developer often does not have great credit, but the project itself may be a good investment and generate enough cash to pay off the debt.  Separating projects allows developers to manage them better (both operationally and financially).  Lender typically can only make a claim (foreclose) on the assets of the Project Company and not those of the entire energy company. Truman National Security Project
  • 17. Bottom line  Financing energy is as complex as creating and distributing it – all with the goal of taming the naturally cyclic nature of energy (and nature)  Government is involved all along the way – and can help that goal by encouraging sustainable methods of production and consistent price signals to the marketplace; OR  Government can make things worse by constantly shifting policies or putting decisions on hold Truman National Security Project
  • 19. Installation Energy  DoD has committed to producing or buying 3 Gigawatts of renewable energy, enough to power 750,000 homes  Powering bases with locally-generated renewable energy makes bases and operations resilient to grid vulnerabilities  Long-term power purchase agreements with renewable generators allow for cost- competitive, clean and secure energy for bases Truman National Security Project
  • 20. Biofuels  When the price of oil goes up, DoD’s fuel expenses skyrocket  Navy and Air Force have ambitious goals to diversify fuels sources for ships and planes and reduce budgetary risk of oil price shocks  DoD is buying “drop-in” biofuels, which don’t require new or modified engines and run a jet or marine diesel engine the same as petroleum  Navy has set a goal to sail a “Great Green Fleet” on biofuels by 2016 Truman National Security Project
  • 21. Energy Efficient Platforms  When forces have to be resupplied with fuel by tankers or convoys, those fuel supply lines are at risk of attack by the enemy.  If supply lines are cut by enemy attack, our forces are left without fuel, water, and supplies  Planes, ships, and tanks that use less fuel don’t have to be resupplied as often  DoD is working to make sure that the next generations of platforms are more efficient. This will reduce resupply risk, avoid costs, and save lives. Truman National Security Project
  • 22. NEPA  NEPA is a law that requires the government to assess potential environmental impacts when it takes an action that may affect the environment  Renewable technologies in certain areas have potential environmental effects”  Windmills may threaten birds or bats  Large solar panel arrays may threaten species by disrupting their movements (e.g. desert tortiose)  Renewable facilities may obstruct or interfere with views or create noise issues Truman National Security Project
  • 23. NEPA, continued  If an analysis shows that there is a significant environmental impact by the renewable project, the government may be required to implement mitigation measures, or the project may be stopped completely.  The government is working hard to identify federal renewable projects’ potential environmental effects early and to consult with environmental organizations and local communities to resolve the issues Truman National Security Project
  • 25. Fossil fuel dependence is the greatest long-term threat to national security -- not just from foreign sources, but all sources.  The U.S. consumes 25% of the world’s oil for 5% of the global population  The U.S. military is the world’s largest industrial consumer of fossil fuel. Truman National Security Project 25
  • 26. The U.S. exports $1 billion per day for its oil, 40% of which goes to unstable or unfriendly nations.  Iran uses its oil revenues to:  finance IED’s that have killed and wounded our toops  supply night vision goggles and other equipment to the Taliban Truman National Security Project 26
  • 27. Transportation of fuel to the front lines requires great expense in blood and treasure.  One service member is killed for every 24 convoys.  The cost to deliver one gallon of fuel to remote locations overseas may be as high as $400. Truman National Security Project 27
  • 28. The U.S. devotes enormous expense to safeguarding the free flow of fuel worldwide.  Defense costs  Straights of Hormuz  Diplomatic costs  appeasing dictators Truman National Security Project 28
  • 29. Fossil fuel consumption causes environmental instability to which our military will be forced to respond:  Resource scarcity  Civil unrest  Refugee and other humanitarian crises  Extremism Truman National Security Project 29
  • 31. Renewable Energy Myths and Realities First: What Do We Mean by Renewable Energy?  In this context we use the term renewable energy to refer to electricity generated by renewable resources. These include:  Wind  Solar  Hydro  Biomass Truman National Security Project 31
  • 32. Myth: Renewable Energy is Too Expensive Reality: Certain Renewables are Competitive With Natural Gas Even Without Incentives and Prices Continue to Drop $350 LCOE 2008 Note : solar produces largely $324 $300 during peak hours so it often competes with more LCOE 2012 expensive peak power plants $250 LCOE 2016 (estimate) Cost per $/MWH $200 Wind: shown for average wind $150 resource – the best wind (ie, TX, OK, KS) already competitive with natural gas $100 $106 $87 $88 $84 1 $50 $0 Coal CCGT Nuclear Wind Solar PV Note: The cost of renewable energy is largely a function of manufacturing scale in addition to technological improvements. The cost of natural gas generation is largely dependent on the price of a commodity that has large price swings over the last decade. Truman National Security Project
  • 33. Myth: Renewable Energy is Too Expensive Reality: Natural Gas Generation is a Competitor to Renewables but Also a Necessary Partner  Renewable energy without storage requires natural gas generation as back-up power as natural gas, unlike coal or nukes, can be ramped up and down quickly.  Although there are benefits to natural gas the primary (non climate-change related) drawback is that natural gas pricing has historically been volatile. Prices are now 20% of what they were at the peak in 2008. Current gas curves anticipate a future of cheap gas but there is no price certainty.  Many factors could throw off the current low natural gas curve:  Increased switching from coal to natural gas generation.  Increased use of natural gas as a transport fuel.  Export of natural gas to countries with high natural gas prices.  A price on carbon  Changes in available resource estimates (the U.S. EIA recently cut their estimate by 42%) and extraction costs.  Utilities can use renewables to hedge against future price shocks. A generation fleet entirely exposed to natural gas would be as irresponsible as a stock portfolio manager investing in only one company. Many utilities agree. Xcel Energy recently noted that “by displacing natural gas with fixed priced wind energy, the Company has less exposure to potentially volatile natural gas pricing.”  A utility’s planning horizon is much longer than a natural gas day traders – or a weekly news cycle. To responsibly meet their customers needs under a range of fuel price scenarios renewables are a responsible choice. Truman National Security Project 33
  • 34. Myth #3: The Government Shouldn’t Pick Winners Reality: Renewables Aren’t the Only Area the Government is Supporting Truman National Security Project 34
  • 35. Myth #5: Intermittent Renewables Are Useless Reality: Renewable Energy Doesn’t Create Jobs  Center for American Progress study shows a dollar spent on renewable generation creates 3x as many jobs as a dollar spent on fossil generation.  The same study shows the jobs created tend to be higher paying than those in fossil generation.  Many jobs are construction related and “temporary” just as any housing construction related jobs are temporary. Even so, to reach 20% renewable energy in the U.S. would result in lots of jobs over a multi-decade timeframe. Truman National Security Project 35
  • 37. Sustainability Source: SustainVU, www.vanderbilt.edu UN Brundtland Commission Definition (1987): Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. Truman National Security Project Truman National Security Project
  • 38. Sustainability Programs Sustainability programs becoming the norm at U.S. universities; corporations; & federal, state, county, and local governments Truman National Security Project Truman National Security Project 3
  • 39. Executive Order 13514: Federal Leadership in Environmental, Energy, & Economic Performance Signed by: President Obama on 5 October 2009. Builds on Executive Order 13423, which was signed by President Bush on 24 January, 2007. Goal: to establish an integrated strategy towards sustainability in the Federal Government and to make reduction of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) a priority for Federal agencies. Federal agencies required to: - Select Senior Sustainability Officer - Set percentage reduction target of agency-wide reductions of Scope 1 and 2 Greenhouse Gas emissions in absolute terms by FY 2020, relative to FY 2008 baseline - Create a Strategic Sustainability Performance Plan - Increase energy efficiency; increase renewable energy generation - Reduce petroleum consumption, potable water intensity, landscaping/industrial water; increase recycling and waste reduction efforts - Incorporate sustainability elements into procurement (energy-efficiency, biobased, environmentally preferable, recycled content, etc.) Truman National Security Project Truman National Security Project 3
  • 40. Military’s Sustainability Programs All 5 branches addressing E.O. 13514, while building their own customized sustainability efforts Source: U.S. Army Sustainability Office, www.sustainability.army.mil/ Source: Congressional Research Service Truman National Security Project Truman National Security Project 4

Notas del editor

  1. Civilians call the shots. The president decides which wars we enter, sets our strategy, and the number of troops. The Secretary of Defense decides how we fight them. These military bodies – the Joint Chiefs and the Combatant Commands - exist in an advisory capacity. They give their opinions but the military does not bear responsibility for which fights we wage. Civilians are also responsible for Social Policy surrounding the military; i.e. it is not the military that implemented Don’t Ask Don’t Tell … like all other policy, they’re just responsible for enforcing it. These are issues to take up with Congress, or the administration, not the military itself.
  2. 1 Includes lease condensate.2 Natural gas plant liquids.3 Conventional hydroelectric power, biomass, geothermal, solar/photovoltaic, and wind.4 Crude oil and petroleum products. Includes imports into the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.5 Natural gas, coal, coal coke, biofuels, and electricity.6 Adjustments, losses, and unaccounted for.7 Coal, natural gas, coal coke, electricity, and biofuels.8 Natural gas only; excludes supplemental gaseous fuels.9 Petroleum products, including natural gas plant liquids, and crude oil burned as fuel.10 Includes 0.01 quadrillion Btu of coal coke net exports.11 Includes 0.09 quadrillion Btu of electricity net imports.12 Total energy consumption, which is the sum of primary energy consumption, electricity retailsales, and electrical system energy losses. Losses are allocated to the end-use sectors inproportion to each sector’s share of total electricity retail sales. See Note, “Electrical SystemsEnergy Losses,” at end of Section 2.Notes: • Data are preliminary. • Values are derived from source data prior to rounding forpublication. • Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.Sources: Tables 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, and 2.1a.