1. Disruptions in a complex ecology:
the future of scholarly
communications?
Michael Jubb
Research Information Network
UKSG: Harrogate
14 and 15 April 2014

2. Purposes of scholarly
communications
 registering research findings, their timing,
and the person(s) responsible
 reviewing and certifying findings before
publication
 disseminating new knowledge
 preserving a record of findings for the long
term efficiency and effectiveness of research
 rewarding researchers for their work

3. Purposes of scholarly
communication (2)
 discoverable
 accessible
 intelligible
 assessable
 usable
 Royal Society, Science as an Open Enterprise, 2012

4. Mechanisms for scholarly
communication
 oral: lectures, seminars, conference
presentations, tele-conferences
 written: theses, working papers, pre-
prints, books, journal articles, blogs, wikis,
emails
 public vs restricted audience
 peer-reviewed/quality-assured or not?

5. Players and stakeholders:
and their interests
 researchers
 universities and research institutes
 funders
 libraries
 publishers
 learned societies

6. The Research Landscape:
Funders and Do-ers
Elsevier, International Comparative Performance of the UK Research Base, 2013: a Report for BIS

7. Sources of funds: international
differences

8. Where research is done

9. Collaboration

10. Research Data

11. Publishers
 no. of publishers: c 2k
 no. of journals: c 28k (10k in WoK, 18k
in SCOPUS)
 no. of articles: c 2m a year

12. Publishers (2)
revenues (geog): c52% US
c32% EMEA
c12% Asia/Pacific
c 4% other
revenues (source): 70+%library subs
16% corporate
4% adverts
3% memberships
4% other
Mark Ware and Michael Mabe, The STM Report: An overview of scientific and scholarly journal publishing, 2013

13. Quality assurance and peer review
 who?
 editors and editorial boards
 publishers’ editorial staff
 reviewers
 types
 single-blind, double blind, open

14. Quality assurance and peer review (2)
 issues
 fairness and bias
 delays
 inefficiency (repeat submissions and reviews)
 data and reproducibility
 overload
 new types
 soundness not significance
 cascade
 portable
 open and interactive
 post-publication
Mark Ware Peer Review: An Introduction and Guide, Publishing Research Consortium 2013

15. Open Access: the routes
 Fully-OA journals with APC
 Fully-OA journals no APC
 Hybrid journals
 Delayed free access journals
 Repository pre-print
 Repository accepted ms

16. Open Access: Global take-up 2012
 Fully-OA journals with APC 5.5%
 Fully-OA journals no APC 4.2%
 Hybrid journals 0.5%
 Delayed free access journals 1.0%
 Repository pre-print 6.4%
 Repository accepted ms 5.0%

17. Service infrastructure
 subscription agents and other intermediaries
 navigation:
 abstracts and indexes
 citation services
 linking services
 library systems
 reference management services
 semantic enrichment
 OA infrastructure
 green and gold
 metadata standards
 text and data mining

18. Some issues for the future
 balance between sustainability and
innovation
 future of peer review
 future of journals

19. Thank you
Questions?
Michael Jubb and Debby Shorley, The Future of Scholarly Communications, Facet, 2013