The document discusses using quantitative usability testing data to understand why users behave in certain ways. It emphasizes that quantitative findings are more powerful when accompanied by qualitative explanations. Theories and hypotheses can provide these "why" explanations by predicting how users will interact with a design and what barriers they may face. Different types of hypotheses are outlined, including ones based on the design itself, other data sources, stakeholder views, and methods used. Remote unmoderated usability testing is presented as a way to gather data to evaluate these hypotheses and better understand users' motivations and challenges.

1. Discovering
WHY
from numbers
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2. Why Numbers?
Really, the question is: Why not?
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3. 20th Anniversary
of Nielson’s Law.
20 years ago it
was expensive.
There was a
diminishing
return.
N (1-(1- .31 ) n )
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4. Discoverability Gap based on the Theory
Likelihood of discovering an issue
100%
Lab Testing with 10 users
80%
Remote Testing with 80 users
60%
40%
N (1-(1- .31 ) n )
20%
0%
0%
5%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100%
Visibility of the issue
The above Lab testing numbers mean that 10 users will find 85% of the issues with a visibility of 17%. The these numbers use
the formula from Nielsen, Jakob, and Landauer, Thomas K.: "A mathematical model of the finding of usability problems,“.
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5. 56%
18%
30%
Issues that can be reliably found in the Lab
(5 respondents)
27%
25%
5 respondents find 80% of issues with 30% visibility
BUT that is only 18% of ALL issues
21%
Issue Distribution
Issue distribution is the % of issues that fall into each category of issue visibility
Discoverability Gap based on data
20%
18% of interactions with issues identified
27% of interactions have no issue
= 45.5% coverage
15%
14%
56% of interactions that have issues get missed.
10%
8%
5%
6%
5%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100%
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Likelihood of an issue occurring
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6. 45%
28%
30%
Issues that can be reliably found in the Lab
(10 respondents)
27%
25%
10 respondents find 85% of issues with 17% visibility
BUT that is only 28% of ALL issues
21%
Issue Distribution
Issue distribution is the % of issues that fall into each category of issue visibility
Discoverability Gap based on data
20%
28% of interactions with issues identified
27% of interactions have no issue
= 55% coverage
15%
14%
45% of interactions that have issues get missed.
10%
8%
5%
6%
5%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100%
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Likelihood of an issue occurring
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7. Benefits: Prioritise findings
Margin of error
45%
Because Remote Un-moderated
40%
Testing evaluates designs with
40%
large numbers of users, actionable
35%
metrics have a small margin of
30%
error. This allows the prioritisation
of insights and high level
25%
decision making.
20%
15%
The findings from the lab have a
large margin of error because they
9%
10%
are evaluated with only a few
5%
users. This makes it hard to
Number of participants
0%
0
50
Lab Testing
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100
150
200
250
Remote Un-moderated Testing
300
350
prioritise the findings.
The chart uses Sauro’s 20/20 rule. The rule states
that Testing with 20 users will produce a margin of
error of +/-20%. Also see
http://www.measuringusability.com/test-margin.php
for an explanation of the 20/20 rule.
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8. Why, why?
Why care about WHY in
quantitative research?
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9. Quant research is powerless without why
• If you know 50% of customers can’t find what they
need. What can you change?
• If you cannot explain a finding, it is powerless.
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10. The 2 Cultures
Science vs. humanities
One without the other is dangerous
C P Snow
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11. How to get WHY
from numbers?
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12. WISDOM
KNOWLEDGE
HOW
INFORMATION
WHAT
DATA
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WHY
THAT
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13. Theory first
Socrates
Karl Popper
The Socratic method influenced scientific
method where you start with a hypothesis.
A hypothesis is proven in the negative.
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14. Finding out
WHY
customers
want your
product
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15. Nobel Prize
Winners of the Nobel prize in science were able to explain
phenomenons in the world through theory first
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16. 4 types of hypothesis for UX research
Design
as hypothesis
Hypothesis for
why you are RIGHT
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Other data
as hypothesis
Stakeholder
Views
as hypothesis
Review
methods
as hypothesis
Hypothesis for
why you are WRONG
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17. Design as hypothesis
Optimum Path:
• Is the shortest possible path to the target page.
• Is the hypothesis of the designer of how customers behave.
1
Click on
Broadband &
Internet in Help
and Support
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Reached the
Help hub page
3
Click on My
connection is
slow
4
Reach the “Slow
connection” page
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18. Design as hypothesis
Lostness
There may be other alternative routes to the target
page which are longer.
x
x
However, the interface should help people find the
shortest path to the information. Customers do not
want the scenic route. They want to get stuff done.
x
1
2
Click on
Broadband &
Internet in Help
and Support
3
Reached the
Help hub page
x
x
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Reach the “Slow
connection” page
Click on My
connection is
slow
x
x
x
Longer routes can be
an indication for the
interface facilitating
error recovery.
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19. Other Data as Hypothesis
Survey data
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Lab test findings
Web analytics data
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20. Stakeholder Hypothesis
CONFUSION
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UNDERSTANDING
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21. Review Methods as Hypothesis
Heuristic Evaluation, Cognitive Walkthrough,
or GOMS for each step of the design hypothesis
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22. Create a UX Hypothesis
The hypothesis is the theory
WHY something happens.
•
Write down a hypothesis for
how customers behave
•
What evidence do you need
to support your hypothesis?
•
What evidence do you need
to disprove your hypothesis?
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23. Test your hypothesis through un-moderated remote usability testing
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2
To evaluate the research
questions, participants are asked to
complete a Webtask on the website.
The Webtask presents participants with
a task to perform using the website.
While they navigate through the site
their interactions are recorded with our
remote usability testing tool.
3
4
Remote usability testing records all
interactions with the website, such as
clicks, hovering, keystrokes, back
press, page scrolling, time in each form
item, errors per item, time on
page, pages visited, task completion
rate, time on task.
Participant’s interaction with the website
allows us to collect comprehensive
information regarding website
usability, and customer behaviours.
Webtasks provide thus valuable insights
on where and why customers are
experiencing problems, and casts light
on ways to improve website usability.
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24. ©2013 Webnographer Limited
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25. Remote Usability Testing Can
When using the right method
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26. Thank you.
sabrina@webnographer.com
@sabrinamach
james@webnographer.com
@jamespage
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