Opportunities for Distressed Funds in South Africa
1. Opportunities for
Distressed Funds in
South Africa
April 2013
Eric Levenstein & Shayne Krige
Follow this event on Twitter: #WerksmansDistressedFunds
4. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
4
5. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
5
7. 7
Defining Distressed Assets
‣ Shares, bonds or debt instruments issued by
companies that are either already in default,
under bankruptcy protection or heading towards
such a condition.
‣ In the US, fixed income debt is considered
distressed when:
‣ yield to maturity > 1,000 basis points above
the risk-free rate of return; or
‣ rated CCC or worse.
8. 8
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Distressed private equity investors believe that an
asset is not as bad as the market believes it to be
and either the company will survive or there will be
enough money upon liquidation to cover the
original investment.
10. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
10
11. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
11
12. 12
Distressed Private Equity Strategies
DPE Strategies
Non-Control Control
Single Credits Pools
Passive
Trading
Active
Trading
Restructure Turnaround
13. Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Single CreditsSingle CreditsSingle CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
13
14. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
Distressed Private Equity Strategies
14
Alternative Funds
15. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
Distressed Private Equity Strategies
15
Alternative/
Private Equity Funds
16. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
Distressed Private Equity Strategies
16
Private Equity Funds
17. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
Distressed Private Equity Strategies
17
Private Equity Funds
18. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
18
Prerequisites for DPE Strategies
Access to banks
Law of Contract
19. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
19
Prerequisites for DPE Strategies
Access to financial information
Market
Shareholder activism (Companies law)
20. Single CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Summary
Invest in companies
that will rebound on
their own.
Take a non-
controlling interest,
influence the
process.
Obtain controlling
interest,
restructure.
Obtain controlling
interest, improve
operations.
Purchase packages
of assets from
banks, settle.
Instruments Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Equity/Debt Equity/Debt Debt
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Timeframe
Days or weeks
>2 years
1-2 years 2-5 years 2-5 years or longer To maturity
Returns 12-18% 15-20% 18-25% 20-25% 25% / 1.75x
20
Prerequisites for DPE Strategies
Bankruptcy Law
Access to financial information
Companies Law
21. 21
Legal Prerequisites for Control Strategy
The law must stress re-organising a
company so it can continue to operate
instead of focusing on liquidating a
company (US 1978 Chapter 11 of
Bankruptcy Code).
Necessitates a deep knowledge &
experience in bankruptcy law.
Supply of transactions.
22. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
22
23. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
Structuring Points
US & Europe
Emerging Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
23
26. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
Structuring Points
US & Europe
Emerging Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
26
27. Location of Private Equity Firms Considering DPE
27
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
54%46%
US
Europe
28. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
28
Investor appetite for distressed
private equity investments is
increasing.
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
29. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
29
Distressed private equity raised
$92bn in 2007/2008 in US
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
30. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
30
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
2011 2012
Number of DPE Funds 64 68
Total Commitments Sought $47.8bn $49.2bn
31. 2011 2012
Number of DPE Funds 64 68
Total Commitments Sought $47.8bn $49.2bn
Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
31
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
Record Year
32. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
32
Average fund target size is:
$724m (US)
€478m (EU)
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
33. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
33
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
Name Target Size
GSO Capital Solutions F $5bn
Cerberus Institutional Partners V $3.75bn
European Principal Finance Fund II €2.5bn
34. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
34
TPG Opportunities Partners II (Texas Pacific Group)
raised $2.1bn in December 2012 ($600m over
target). Fund focusses on control, non-control and
NPL strategies.
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
35. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
35
KKR (Kohlberg Kravis Roberts) has raised
$60bn in 10 years.
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
Oaktree has raised
$53bn in 10 years.
36. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
36
28% of new funds
being raised by first time
managers.
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
37. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
37
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
Distressed Debt
43% Special Situations
37%
Turnaround Funds
20%
Distressed Debt
Special Situations
Turnaround Funds
38. Distressed Private Equity in the US and Europe
38
As at December
2012,
Turnaround Strategy
is the most popular
with investors.
Preqin, Funds in Market Report
39. 39
Why is Europe Lagging the US?
Each country has its own bankruptcy laws making cross-EU
bankruptcies difficult to navigate.
Restrictive employment laws (Marks & Spencer)
Lower supply of transactions because:
banks not enforcing because less pressured into writing off
loans or selling at discount and PR nightmare;
Insolvency rates are actually at a 30-year low in Europe.
40. Presentation Overview
Defining Distressed Private Equity
Overview of Distressed Private Equity Strategies
Distressed Private Equity in other Markets
Structuring Points
US & Europe
Emerging Markets
The South African Business Rescue Regime
Using the Business Rescue Regime to Implement
Distressed Strategies in South Africa
40
41. Challenges for DPE in Emerging Markets
Emerging markets ignored by
large houses.
Lack of knowledge of bankruptcy
and commercial law.
Untested new legislation.
Short supply of transactions.
41
42. Non-Control Strategies in Emerging Markets
Form the bulk of DPE strategies in emerging markets.
Focus on large entities with currency losses.
Opportunities now arising from:
tighter local credit market; and
challenging market conditions.
42
43. Control Strategies in Emerging Markets
Few deals have been executed.
Difficult to execute.
Family control model.
Restrictive employment models.
Low investor comfort with bankruptcy laws and credit
rights.
Opportunities arise.
43
44. NPL Strategies in Emerging Markets
44
Most countries
outside Asia lack
active NPL market.
45. Asia
DPE market created by 1990’s Asian crisis.
Currency devaluations and capital flight.
Governments required loan write-downs.
45
46. Asia
$7.5bn raised for DPE during Asian crisis by:
Lone Star
The Carlyle Group
Newbridge
Warburg Pincus
J.P. Morgan Partners
Larger hedge funds doing PE-style deals
46
47. Asia - China
China - Mostly NPL but now single credit non-control
opportunities.
Additional supply from struggling foreign institutions
unloading their Asian holdings.
However, systemic regulatory issues made for thinner
trading volume.
Investor recourse in bankruptcy remains unclear.
47
48. Emerging Europe
One of the most distressed regions across the globe.
Rapid escalation in foreign currency-denominated
borrowing.
Only a handful of firms are active in the region,
including: Avenue Capital Group and CRG Capital;
Little consumer debt so focus is less on NPLs and more
on turnaround strategies.
Countries with bankruptcy laws that support free
enterprise the focus:
Ukraine, Hungary, Turkey, Czech Republic;
Not Russia, Bulgaria, Romania.
48
49. Africa
Investors worried that:
Lack of developed business rescue regimes;
Lack of legal certainty including from corruption
BUT, this coupled with entry barriers creates
opportunities for local managers that understand the
landscape.
Little consumer debt and outside South Africa small
market for NPLs so focus on turnaround strategies.
49
50. South Africa
Best-placed in Africa for implementation of all DPE
strategies:
Relatively developed NPL market;
Active markets for non-control strategies;
Skilled traders;
Skilled corporate and legal personnel for turnarounds;
New business rescue regime.
50
52. South Africa - Business Rescue Regime
52
Single CreditsSingle CreditsSingle CreditsSingle Credits Pools/NPL
Non-Control/Special SituationsNon-Control/Special Situations Control/TurnaroundControl/Turnaround Distressed Debt
Passive Trading Active Trading Restructuring Turnaround
Impact of Business
Rescue
Expect increased
number of
companies that
rebound.
Companies Act
facilitates
shareholder
activism.
Buys time to
restructure.
Buys time to
improve operations.
No change.
Post-
commencement
financing.
Post-
commencement
financing.
Post-
commencement
financing.
Post-
commencement
financing.
Ability to influence
process through
practitioner.
Ability to influence
process through
practitioner.
Entry Point
Predominantly
Equity Markets,
some debt
Debt and Equity
Markets
CIPC business
rescue notices
Bus rescue
practitioners
CIPC business
rescue notices
Bus rescue
practitioners
Connections at
banks
Skills Required Trading, credit
Trading, credit,
restructuring
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal
Trading, credit,
restructuring, legal,
operational
Legal
Structures PE/Hedge Fund PE Fund PE Fund PE Fund PE/Hedge Fund
53. Conclusion
Opportunities for a range of distressed strategies
There is international interest in these assets
The returns are good
Primary challenges are identifying the opportunities early
and developing the skills to implement the strategy
53