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Nigerian	
  Financial	
  Services
                                	
  

                   A	
  snapshot
                               	
  
What	
  this	
  isn’t
                                                                           	
  

ᵠ  A	
  comprehensive	
  industry	
  overview	
  an	
  analysis	
  of	
  
   the	
  entire	
  financial	
  services	
  industry	
  in	
  Nigeria	
  
ᵠ  An	
  in-­‐depth	
  competitive	
  review	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  sectors	
  in	
  
   which	
  you	
  play	
  
ᵠ  A	
  primer	
  on	
  ARM	
  and	
  the	
  Nigerian	
  marketplace	
  
What	
  this	
  is
                                                                               	
  

ᵠ  An	
  overview	
  of	
  the	
  big	
  stories	
  with	
  system	
  	
  
   wide	
  implications	
  
ᵠ  A	
  snapshot	
  of	
  current	
  events	
  that	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  
   impact	
  your	
  business	
  in	
  the	
  short	
  to	
  medium	
  term	
  
In	
  Nigeria,	
  it’s	
  still
                                 	
  
[mostly]	
  about	
  Banks       	
  
After	
  the	
  crisis	
  

                             ᵠ    Tightening	
  of	
  risk	
  management	
  
                                  procedures	
  led	
  to	
  a	
  lot	
  less	
  liquidity	
  
                                  in	
  the	
  marketplace	
  

                             ᵠ    Companies	
  increasingly	
  turning	
  to	
  
                                  private	
  equity	
  as	
  a	
  source	
  of	
  
                                  funding	
  

                             ᵠ    Shook	
  confidence	
  in	
  the	
  stock	
  
                                  market	
  (revealed	
  the	
  extent	
  to	
  
                                  which	
  the	
  ‘success’	
  was	
  driven	
  by	
  
                                  bad	
  loans)	
  

                             ᵠ    Nigerian	
  brokers	
  began	
  to	
  take	
  
                                  positions	
  during	
  the	
  bubble;	
  when	
  
                                  the	
  crash	
  came,	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  them	
  ran	
  
                                  into	
  trouble	
  

                             ᵠ    Risk	
  management	
  now	
  an	
  
                                  important	
  niche,	
  currently	
  being	
  
                                  filled	
  by	
  international	
  expertise	
  
The	
  shakeout	
  continues?
                                                                                          	
  
ᵠ    Conventional	
  wisdom	
  is	
  that	
  further	
  
     consolidation	
  is	
  likely	
  in	
  the	
  Banking	
  sector	
  

ᵠ    The	
  cream	
  should	
  rise	
  to	
  the	
  top	
  

       ᵠ  Fewer,	
  stronger,	
  better	
  run	
  institutions	
  

       ᵠ  Greater	
  transparency,	
  efficiency,	
  better	
  
          service	
  

       ᵠ  Deeper	
  talent	
  pools	
  
The	
  end	
  of	
  	
  
universal	
  banking	
  
The	
  Americans	
  are	
  coming   	
  
                             (well,	
  actually,	
  they’re	
  already	
  here)
                                                                              	
  

ᵠ    The	
  big	
  American	
  investment	
  banks	
  
     are	
  setting	
  up	
  permanent	
  shop	
  

       ᵠ  Citigroup,	
  JP	
  Morgan,	
  Morgan	
  
          Stanley	
  all	
  already	
  have	
  offices	
  or	
  
          have	
  plans	
  

       ᵠ  Goldman	
  Sachs	
  doesn’t	
  have	
  an	
  
          office	
  but	
  is	
  committing	
  significant	
  
          resources	
  

ᵠ    Means	
  there	
  are	
  enough	
  large,	
  
     private	
  sector	
  deals	
  to	
  justify	
  a	
  
     permanent	
  presence	
  

ᵠ    Adding	
  to	
  competition,	
  but	
  also	
  
     mean	
  more	
  sophisticated	
  skill	
  set	
  
     and	
  deeper	
  experience	
  in	
  the	
  
     market	
  
Legislative	
  influence:	
  the	
  good	
  &	
  the	
  bad	
  

                                      ᵠ    Liberalization	
  of	
  restrictions	
  on	
  
                                           Pension	
  Funds	
  would	
  significantly	
  
                                           deepen	
  the	
  pool	
  money	
  available	
  
                                           for	
  investment	
  

                                      ᵠ    Legislation	
  pending	
  in	
  the	
  House	
  
                                           that	
  threatens	
  the	
  autonomy	
  of	
  the	
  
                                           CBN	
  and	
  potentially	
  politicize	
  fiscal	
  
                                           policy	
  
Outrageous	
  behaviour	
  and	
  skeletons      	
  
                              coming	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  closet
                                                                 	
  
ᵠ    The	
  pension	
  scandal	
  

ᵠ    The	
  fuel	
  subsidy	
  scandal	
  

ᵠ    The	
  Otedola/Lawan	
  scandal	
  

ᵠ    The	
  financial	
  services	
  industry	
  (especially	
  
     the	
  banks)	
  are	
  assumed	
  complicit	
  in	
  
     some	
  way	
  

ᵠ    Feeds	
  a	
  general	
  sense	
  of	
  distrust	
  and	
  
     uncertainty	
  

ᵠ    Reinforces	
  the	
  international	
  perception	
  
     of	
  uncontrolled	
  corruption	
  
…and?
                                                                                         	
  
ᵠ    Influx	
  of	
  skills,	
  potential	
  deepening	
  of	
  the	
  well	
  should	
  lead	
  to	
  a	
  more	
  
     sophisticated	
  market	
  

       ᵠ  Opportunity	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  way	
  in	
  complex	
  transactions,	
  niche	
  
          competencies	
  

ᵠ    Continued	
  caution	
  by	
  banks	
  remains	
  an	
  opportunity	
  for	
  private	
  
     equity	
  

ᵠ    Continued	
  softness	
  in	
  stock	
  market	
  represents	
  an	
  opportunity	
  to	
  
     broaden	
  portfolios	
  of	
  wealth	
  management	
  clients	
  

ᵠ    A	
  crowded	
  marketplace	
  (in	
  the	
  short	
  term)	
  means	
  more	
  
     competition,	
  but	
  also	
  an	
  opportunity	
  to	
  leverage	
  experience,	
  skill	
  
     and	
  delivery	
  to	
  ‘widen	
  the	
  gap’	
  

ᵠ    As	
  always,	
  in	
  Nigeria,	
  there’s	
  a	
  hint	
  of	
  uncertainty:	
  CBN’s	
  autonomy	
  
     in	
  question,	
  more	
  surprises	
  from	
  the	
  banking	
  sector	
  (and	
  of	
  course,	
  
     Boko	
  Haram,	
  Power	
  and	
  all	
  the	
  other	
  macro	
  issues)	
  
DALU    	
  
           Ẹ	
  SE	
  
    NA	
  GODE    	
  
[THANK	
  YOU]    	
  

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Financial services in Nigeria

  • 1. Nigerian  Financial  Services   A  snapshot  
  • 2. What  this  isn’t   ᵠ  A  comprehensive  industry  overview  an  analysis  of   the  entire  financial  services  industry  in  Nigeria   ᵠ  An  in-­‐depth  competitive  review  of  all  the  sectors  in   which  you  play   ᵠ  A  primer  on  ARM  and  the  Nigerian  marketplace  
  • 3. What  this  is   ᵠ  An  overview  of  the  big  stories  with  system     wide  implications   ᵠ  A  snapshot  of  current  events  that  are  likely  to   impact  your  business  in  the  short  to  medium  term  
  • 4. In  Nigeria,  it’s  still   [mostly]  about  Banks  
  • 5. After  the  crisis   ᵠ  Tightening  of  risk  management   procedures  led  to  a  lot  less  liquidity   in  the  marketplace   ᵠ  Companies  increasingly  turning  to   private  equity  as  a  source  of   funding   ᵠ  Shook  confidence  in  the  stock   market  (revealed  the  extent  to   which  the  ‘success’  was  driven  by   bad  loans)   ᵠ  Nigerian  brokers  began  to  take   positions  during  the  bubble;  when   the  crash  came,  a  lot  of  them  ran   into  trouble   ᵠ  Risk  management  now  an   important  niche,  currently  being   filled  by  international  expertise  
  • 6. The  shakeout  continues?   ᵠ  Conventional  wisdom  is  that  further   consolidation  is  likely  in  the  Banking  sector   ᵠ  The  cream  should  rise  to  the  top   ᵠ  Fewer,  stronger,  better  run  institutions   ᵠ  Greater  transparency,  efficiency,  better   service   ᵠ  Deeper  talent  pools  
  • 7. The  end  of     universal  banking  
  • 8. The  Americans  are  coming   (well,  actually,  they’re  already  here)   ᵠ  The  big  American  investment  banks   are  setting  up  permanent  shop   ᵠ  Citigroup,  JP  Morgan,  Morgan   Stanley  all  already  have  offices  or   have  plans   ᵠ  Goldman  Sachs  doesn’t  have  an   office  but  is  committing  significant   resources   ᵠ  Means  there  are  enough  large,   private  sector  deals  to  justify  a   permanent  presence   ᵠ  Adding  to  competition,  but  also   mean  more  sophisticated  skill  set   and  deeper  experience  in  the   market  
  • 9. Legislative  influence:  the  good  &  the  bad   ᵠ  Liberalization  of  restrictions  on   Pension  Funds  would  significantly   deepen  the  pool  money  available   for  investment   ᵠ  Legislation  pending  in  the  House   that  threatens  the  autonomy  of  the   CBN  and  potentially  politicize  fiscal   policy  
  • 10. Outrageous  behaviour  and  skeletons   coming  out  of  the  closet   ᵠ  The  pension  scandal   ᵠ  The  fuel  subsidy  scandal   ᵠ  The  Otedola/Lawan  scandal   ᵠ  The  financial  services  industry  (especially   the  banks)  are  assumed  complicit  in   some  way   ᵠ  Feeds  a  general  sense  of  distrust  and   uncertainty   ᵠ  Reinforces  the  international  perception   of  uncontrolled  corruption  
  • 11. …and?   ᵠ  Influx  of  skills,  potential  deepening  of  the  well  should  lead  to  a  more   sophisticated  market   ᵠ  Opportunity  to  lead  the  way  in  complex  transactions,  niche   competencies   ᵠ  Continued  caution  by  banks  remains  an  opportunity  for  private   equity   ᵠ  Continued  softness  in  stock  market  represents  an  opportunity  to   broaden  portfolios  of  wealth  management  clients   ᵠ  A  crowded  marketplace  (in  the  short  term)  means  more   competition,  but  also  an  opportunity  to  leverage  experience,  skill   and  delivery  to  ‘widen  the  gap’   ᵠ  As  always,  in  Nigeria,  there’s  a  hint  of  uncertainty:  CBN’s  autonomy   in  question,  more  surprises  from  the  banking  sector  (and  of  course,   Boko  Haram,  Power  and  all  the  other  macro  issues)  
  • 12. DALU   Ẹ  SE   NA  GODE   [THANK  YOU]