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An Analysis of US Venture Capital Investment Trends in
                 Cleantech Startups
                      July 22, 2011




                                                 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                            All rights reserved
Table of Contents

1. What is Smart Grid?
2. Smart Grid Associated Technologies
3. US Venture Capitals
    • Investment Trends
    • Portfolio Analysis
4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups
5. Conclusion




                               2                  ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                             All rights reserved
Introduction
Purpose
We analyze each portfolio of the selected US venture capitals. In
doing so, we sort those startups into some categories based on
technologies such as Renewable Energy and Energy Management.
We then evaluate opportunities for Japanese cleantech startups.
Conclusion
1. VC investment concentrates on “Energy production”, “Egergy
Management Systems (EMS)”, and “Batteries.”
2. For Japanese cleantech startups, it seems that “Demand Side” of
Smart Grid presents more business opportunities than Supply side
due to the following three reasons: direct contact to consumers,
technological overlaps, and required capital.

                                 3                       ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                    All rights reserved
1. Smart Grid’s Concept




                                              4   ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
Source: Toshiba Home Page                                    All rights reserved
1. A Defenition of Smart Grid


  A “smart grid” is a set of software and hardware tools that enable
generators to route power more efficiently, reducing the need for
excess capacity and allowing two-way, real time information
exchange with their customers for real time demand side management
(DSM).
*SMART 2020: "Enabling the low carbon economy in theinformation age" Global Sustainability Initiative




     From a business perspective, we need to divide the composition
     elements of smart grid into some meaningful classifications.
                                                       5                                       ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                                                          All rights reserved
2.Technical Domains of Smart Grid
       Generation                                     Transmission                                      Distribution                                   Consumption
  1                                               2                                                                                                   3       Energy Consumption
        Energy Production                                      Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply
      1) Renewable Energies                           4)   Wide Area Monitoring System               5)Distribution Automation                               6)        EMS

      2) Alternative Energies                                                                                                                                7)         EV
                                                  4
                                                              Effective Operation of System Power Supply
      3)Fossil Fuel Efficiency                                                                                                                               8)      Recycle
                                                      10)Superconducting Transmission
                                                                                                                                                             9) Energy Saving
                                                      11)              Power Electronics Applied Equipment


                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                                       Advanced Interface Technologies
                                                                                                                                                          12)     AMI・Smart Meter

                                                                                                      13)                  Power Conditioner Technologies

  6
                                                                                    Energy Storage
      14)                                                                    Energy Storage Technologies


                                                                                                6                                                                 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”                   All rights reserved
2. Six Main Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV1)
   Technological
                                                                                      Description                                                                 Companies
     Domain
                                  Includes renewable energies and bio fuels. It also includes fossil fuel                                                    Sharp, Kyocera
①Energy Production                efficiency. Difference in business structures such as manufacturing solar                                                  BrightSource Energy
                                  panels and operating a power plant are not taken into account.                                                             Altarock Energy


②Monitoring&Control               Refers to monitoring & control technology used at central load dispatching                                                 Toshiba, GE,
of System Power Supply            center and local transformer substations.                                                                                  SIEMENS

                                  Refers to various technologies that control energy consumption of consumers. IBM, EnerNOC、
③Energy
Consumption
                                  It includes HEMS, FEMS, BEMS, and Demand Response. It also includes          Tendrill, Opower,
                                  EVs and affiliated technologies such as V2G.                                 Tesla

④Effective Operation Refers to technologies that concern effective and flexible operation of system
                                                                                                    Sumitomo Electric,
of System Power      power supply. It includes such technologies as superconducting transmission, ABB
Supply               ultra‐high voltage power transmission, and power electronics.
                                  Refers to advanced interface technologies that connect between distributed                                                 Siver Spring Networks,
⑤Advanced Interface
Technologies
                    generation and system power supply. It deals with sending & receiging                                                                    Itron, Landis+Gyr,
                                  information and include such things as smart meters power conditioners.                                                    Mitsubishi Electric

                                                                                                                                                             Panasonic,
⑥Energy Storage                   Refers to energy storage technologies such as batteries.                                                                   NGK Insulators

                                                                                                7                                                             ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”               All rights reserved
2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-1)
    Technological
      Domain
                                                                                      Description                                                                  Companies
                      Renewable enegies(photovoltaic generation, solar thermal power, wind power, geothermal Sharp, Kyocera
①Energy Production
                      power, etc). Business structures such as manufacturing solar panels and operating a    BrightSource Energy
1) Renewable Energies
                      power plant are not taken into account.                                                Altarock Energy

①Energy Production                                                                                                                                           Amyris Biotechnologies
                        Bio Fuels (ie. Ethanol), and their affiliated businesses
2) Alternative Energies                                                                                                                                      Mascoma, Gevo, KiOR


①Energy Production                Fossil fuel efficiency technologies such as decreasing CO2 emission, and conversion                                        GreatPoint Energy
3) Fossil Fuel Efficiency         technologies to natural gas.                                                                                               Luca Technologies

②Monitoring&Control               Monitor & control of system power supply such as PMU (Pharos Measurement Unit)collects
of System Power Supply            data of electric current & voltage and thus monitoring the conditions of system power supply.                              Toshiba, GE, Siemens
4) WASA                           It controls system power supply optimally, and deters & prevents the system’s collapse.

②Monitoring&Control               Monitos electric current and voltage running through distribution lines and electric
of System Power Supply            power substations, automatically controls the swich of distribution lines, and therefore                                   Toshiba, GE, Siemens
5) Distribution Automation        increases the reliability of distribution lines as well as softening maintenance work.

③Energy Consumption Process of managing the consumption of energy, generally to optimize available and                                                       EnerNOC, Tendrill,
6) EMS Techonologies planned generation resources. It includes HEMS, BEMS, FEMS, and Demand Response.                                                        Opower


③Energy Consumption                                                                                                                                          Tesla, Fisker Automotive
                    Refers to EVs. It also includes affiliated technologis such as V2G and G2V.
7) EV                                                                                                                                                        Better Place

                                                                                                8                                                             ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”               All rights reserved
2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-2)
      Tenonological
        Domain
                                                                                      Description                                                                  Companies

 ③Energy Consumption                                                                                                                                         Lehigh Technologies,
 8) Recycle
                     Various recycling technoclogies, including financial services.                                                                          RecycleBank

                                    Various energy saving devices & services such as LED lighting.
 ③Energy Consumption                                                                                                                                         Luminus Devices
 9) Energy Saving
                     It also includes improving existing automobiles (development of low CO2                                                                 SeaMicro, Caitin
                                    emission engines).
 ④Effective Operation               Uses direct current for the bulk transmission of electrical power, in contrast
 of System Power Supply
 10) Superconducting                with the more common alternating current systems. For long-distance                                                      Sumitomo Electric, ABB
 Transmission                       transmission, it may be less expensive and suffer lower electrical losses.
 ④Effective Operation               Refers to Electric voltage control by reactive power control and Electric
 of System Power Supply             current control of distribution lines by impedance changes in distribution
 11) Power Electronics              lines.
 ⑤Advanced Interface                Monitors & measures electricity demand, send the data using IT
                                                                                                                                                             Siver Spring Networks,
 Technologies                       technologies periodically. Sometimes equipped with the capability to                                                     Itron, Landis+Gyr
 12) AMI                            control household appliances.
 ⑤Advanced Interface                Conversion technologies from DC to AC.
 Technologies                       We expect to see the rise of this technology along with the increase in                                                  Sharp, Kyocera
 13) Power Conditioner
                                    distributed generation.
 ⑥Energy Storage                    Used both sides of smart grid: both supply side and demand side need                                                     Panasonic,
 14) Batteries                      batteries to even out generation.                                                                                        NGK Insulators

                                                                                                9                                                             ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”               All rights reserved
3. US Venture Capitals’ Investments
          (Unit:
          Million)
          $4,500                                                                                                          20%
                                                                 $3,987
          $4,000                                                                                  $3,668                  18%
          $3,500                                                                                                 17.67%   16%
                                                                      13.91%                       15.77%                 14%
          $3,000
                                                    $2,605                          10.95%                                12%
          $2,500
                                                                                    $2,122                                10%
          $2,000                $1,647                  8.59%                                                             8%
          $1,500                        6.30%                                                                    $1,038   6%
          $1,000                                                                                                          4%
             $500                                                                                                         2%
             $-                                                                                                           0%
                                 2006               2007          2008               2009          2010        Q1 2011

                                                Amount Invested (Cleantech)          Cleantech % in Overall Invest



                          Between 2006 and 2010, Cleantech Investments increased at CAGR 22%
                                 *In Q1 2011, investment equals that of Web companies
                                                                               10
Source: National Venture Capital Association
3. Venture Capitals Active in Cleantech Investment



                              Venture Investor        # deals
                        Draper Fisher Partners          16
                      Chrysalix Energy Venture
                                                        16
                                  Capital
                   Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers     12
                                                                     We select these three firms,
                   Carbon Trust Investment Partners     12           plus Nth Power specialized
                              Element Partners          12           in cleantech investment for
                     Emerald Technology Ventures        10           our research.
                          RockPort Capital Partners     10
                             Good Energies AG           10
                    Vantage Point Venture Partners      10
                              Khosla Ventures           8
                            SET Venture Partners        8


                                                                11                    ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
Source: Cleantech Group                                                                          All rights reserved
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
                                          Smart Grid (LEV1-1)
 (Unit: Deal)
  70                                                                                                                                             :# of deals
                 60
  60                                                                                                                                              :# of deals over $100M

  50
  40
                                                  31
  30
                                          18
  20                                                             13                                                                                                         15
  10                                                         4                              3
                                                                                       0                       2      2            0        0           0                                 0
    0




                                                                                                                                                                                 Others
                                                                                                                                           Monitoring&Control
                                                                      Energy Storage




                                                                                                Advanced Interface




                                                                                                                     Effective Operation
                      Energy Production




                                                   Consumption




                                                                                                                      of System Power




                                                                                                                                            of System Power
                                                     Energy




                                                                                                   Technology




                                                                                                                            Supply




                                                                                                                                                 Supply
                                               Energy Consumption takes up about 50% of VC investment.
                                               Almost zero investment in System Power Supply.
                                                                                           12                                                                   ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.                                                                                                                           All rights reserved
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
                         Smart Grid (LEV1-2)

                                                              Number of Investment                    Number of Investment Over $100M                  LEV 1 Total
                          LEV1                     KPCB          Nth        DFJ         Khosla       KPCB       Nth       DFJ       Khosla       # Invest        # Over $100M
Energy Production                                     16               11         14         19             8         0         4            6              60             18
Energy Consumption                                        8            7          11             5          2         0         2            0              31              4
Energy Storage                                            3            0          6              4          0         0         0            0              13              0
Advanced Interface Technology                             2            0          1              0          1         0         1            0              3               2
Effective Operation of System Power Supply                1            0          0              1          0         0         0            0              2               0
Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply                 0            0          0              0          0         0         0            0              0               0
Others                                                    0            5          1              9          0         0         0            0              15              0
Total                                                 30               23         33         38          11           0         7            6           124               24




          No noticeable differences among VCs and their investment trends at LEV 1.
          Investment deals for energy production tends to be big! About 30% of Energy
        Production deals are over $100M deals (cumulative amount of capital raised).


                                                                                       13                                                        ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.                                                                                                            All rights reserved
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
                         Smart Grid (LEV2-1)
             (Unit:Deal)                                                                                                              :# of deals
              35                                                                                                                      :# of deals over $100M
                       30
              30
              25
                                  20
              20                                          16                                                                                   15
              15                                                                                     13
                                             10
              10           8                                         8
                                       6
                                                   4                            4        32
               5                                                 1       1                                22   10        2
                                                                                    0                 0             00       0   00     00          0
                0




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                          VCs’ investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, Batteries,
                          taking up 72% of the overall investment.
                                                                                                     14                                      ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.                                                                                                        All rights reserved
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
                           Smart Grid (LEV2-2)
                                                                                Number of Investment                   Number of Investment Over $100M                 LEV 1 Total
              LEV1                                   LEV2            KPCB          Nth        DFJ        Khosla       KPCB       Nth       DFJ       Khosla       # Invest        # Over $100M
Energy Production                     Renewable Energies                    7             7         8             8          4         0         3            1              30              8
                                      Alternative Energies                  5             2         4             9          2         0         0            4              20              6
                                      Fossil Fuel Efficiency                4             2         2             2          2         0         1            1              10              4
Energy Consumption                    EMS                                   5             6         5             0          1         0         0            0              16              1
                                      Energy Saving                         0             1         2             5          0         0         1            0              8               1
                                      Recycling                             2             0         2             0          0         0         0            0              4               0
                                      EV                                    1             0         2             0          1         0         1            0              3               2
Energy Storage                        Batteries                             3             0         6             4          0         0         0            0              13              0
Advanced Interface Technology         AMI/Smart Meters                      1             0         1             0          1         0         1            0              2               2
                                      Power Conditioner                     1             0         0             0          0         0         0            0              1               0
Effective Operation of System         Superconducting Transmission          0             0         0             0          0         0         0            0              0               0
Power Supply                          Power Electronics                     1             0         0             1          0         0         0            0              2               0
Monitoring&Control of System          WASA                                  0             0         0             0          0         0         0            0              0               0
Power Supply                          Distribution Automation               0             0         0             0          0         0         0            0              0               0
Others                                Others                                0             5         1             9          0         0         0            0              15              0
Total                                 Total                             30               23         33        38          11           0         7            6          124                24




                           Noticeable differences among VCs and their investment areas.
                           →Khosla clearly focuses on energy production while zero investment in the area of EMS.
                           Very few over $100M deals for investments in EMS and batteries. (1 out of 29 deals)
                                                                                              15                                                              ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
  Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.                                                                                                                       All rights reserved
3. Summary of US VCs’ Investment Trends

    Investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, and Batteries.
               Energy Production:Various policies and governmental aids enacted to create demands for such energies.
               EMS:              US smart grid was envisioned to avoid huge investment required to replace old
                                 distribution lines, emphasizing demand control.
               Batteries:        Batteries are used all phases of smart grid: Generation-Transmission-Consumption.

 On the other hand, almost zero investment was made into such technological domains as
Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply or Superconducting Transmission.
            Dominated by large companies such as GE, Siemens and Toshiba with long history of joint development
           with electric companies.

  While investments deals in energy production tend to require huge capital (over
$100M), this is not the case for those of EMS and batteries.
               30% of investment deals in energy production are over $100M deals.
               Only 1 deal out 29 is an over $100M deals in EMS and batteries.




                                                                                                        16   ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
¹State of California mandates that 33% of electricity must be produced by renewable energies by 2020.                   All rights reserved
4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups

              (
   Supply Side(Generation-
                                                    (
                                         Demand Side(Consumption))
                           )
  Transmission-Distribution)
                                           Technological Domains
    Technological Domains
Renewable Energies
Alternative Energies
                                         EMS
Fossil Fuels Efficiency
WAMS
Distribution Automation
Superconducting Transmission
                                <        AMI・Smart Meters
                                         EV
                                         Recycle
                                         Energy Saving
Batteries
                                         Batteries
Power Electronics
Power Conditioners

Hypothesis: Demand side of smart grid (especially red-fonted
            domains) may present more business opportunities for
            startups than supply side of smart grid.
                               17                           ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                       All rights reserved
4. Analysis of Hypothese ~1~

Smart Grid = Internet of Power Network
Especially technological & service domains of EMS are those
directly contact with consumers.
             Power shift from supply side to demand side would occur, once every consumer in
             would produce and consume energy, becoming so-called prosumers of energy.
             Nega-watt (savings from energy saving) and Posi-watt (generation from renewable
             such as PV) would connect to EMS, enabling electricity trade. This new
             environment, so-called “You Energy (everyone can produce & consume energy)”
             would create a new paradigm that would foster innovation, growth and
             employment, incentivizing businesses¹.




                                                    18                           ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
¹Source: Toshiharu Kato, “Smart Grid Revolutuon.”                                           All rights reserved
4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~
Engineering skill sets needed in the Demand Side overlap with those in IT industry.
Most IT companies can enter the Demand side with marketing strategies tailored for
the energy industry.
Backgrounds of Executives in Smart                                         Necessary skill sets of
        Grid Companies                                                     Smart Grid Engineers
                     Others
                      12%                                                                        、
                                                               Renewable Energies (PV, wind power、Geothermal power)
                                                                                                                  )
                                           IT Hardware                                                                               Additional
           Telecom                                                                                                                   skills
                                               30%
              8%                                                           Electrical Engineering (circuit, etc)
                                                                                                               )
          Finance
             6%                                                         Network Technology (WAN, LAN, etc )

                                                                                                                                     Skill sets that
                                                               Control & Communication Technology of Smart Appliance
                                                                                                                                     IT engineers
              Energy
               19%                                                                                                                   already have
                                      IT Software                           WEB Application Technology
                                          25%                   (e-commerce, power consumption management software)


   Majority have IT industry backgrounds                              Similar technological skill sets
 Source:Greentech Grid “Smart Grid2.0: the Soft Grid”          Source:http://engineer.typemag.jp/slive/2011/05/-se5.php
 http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/smart-grid-2.0-
 the-soft-grid1/
                                                                 19                                                       ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                                                                                     All rights reserved
4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~

  Supply side businesses such as Energy Production tend to require
large amount of capital.
    Average investment size of Japanese VCs is between $1M and $3M, raising the
  financial bar for Japanese startups to enter the supply side of smart grid.




                                          20                             ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                                    All rights reserved
5. Conclusion

  US VCs’ investment concentrates in the three technological
domains: Energy Production (renewable & alternative energies,
fossil fuel efficiency), EMS, Batteries. On the other hand, some
domains receive no investment, a great split.
  About 30% of Energy Production are over $100M deals,
requiring huge amount of money to run business. This is not the
case in the other two domains, EMS and Batteries.
  Demand side of smart grid seem to present more business
opportunities than supply side due to the following three reasons:
“direct connections to consumers,” “technological affinity with IT
technology,” and “required capital.

                                 21                      ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                                    All rights reserved
TO BE CONTINUED
We will analyze in detail various EMS technologies and
             companies in those domains




                        22                      ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
                                                           All rights reserved

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20110722 Usvc Portfolio English

  • 1. An Analysis of US Venture Capital Investment Trends in Cleantech Startups July 22, 2011 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 2. Table of Contents 1. What is Smart Grid? 2. Smart Grid Associated Technologies 3. US Venture Capitals • Investment Trends • Portfolio Analysis 4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups 5. Conclusion 2 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 3. Introduction Purpose We analyze each portfolio of the selected US venture capitals. In doing so, we sort those startups into some categories based on technologies such as Renewable Energy and Energy Management. We then evaluate opportunities for Japanese cleantech startups. Conclusion 1. VC investment concentrates on “Energy production”, “Egergy Management Systems (EMS)”, and “Batteries.” 2. For Japanese cleantech startups, it seems that “Demand Side” of Smart Grid presents more business opportunities than Supply side due to the following three reasons: direct contact to consumers, technological overlaps, and required capital. 3 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 4. 1. Smart Grid’s Concept 4 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: Toshiba Home Page All rights reserved
  • 5. 1. A Defenition of Smart Grid A “smart grid” is a set of software and hardware tools that enable generators to route power more efficiently, reducing the need for excess capacity and allowing two-way, real time information exchange with their customers for real time demand side management (DSM). *SMART 2020: "Enabling the low carbon economy in theinformation age" Global Sustainability Initiative From a business perspective, we need to divide the composition elements of smart grid into some meaningful classifications. 5 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 6. 2.Technical Domains of Smart Grid Generation Transmission Distribution Consumption 1 2 3 Energy Consumption Energy Production Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply 1) Renewable Energies 4) Wide Area Monitoring System 5)Distribution Automation 6) EMS 2) Alternative Energies 7) EV 4 Effective Operation of System Power Supply 3)Fossil Fuel Efficiency 8) Recycle 10)Superconducting Transmission 9) Energy Saving 11) Power Electronics Applied Equipment 5 Advanced Interface Technologies 12) AMI・Smart Meter 13) Power Conditioner Technologies 6 Energy Storage 14) Energy Storage Technologies 6 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.” All rights reserved
  • 7. 2. Six Main Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV1) Technological Description Companies Domain Includes renewable energies and bio fuels. It also includes fossil fuel Sharp, Kyocera ①Energy Production efficiency. Difference in business structures such as manufacturing solar BrightSource Energy panels and operating a power plant are not taken into account. Altarock Energy ②Monitoring&Control Refers to monitoring & control technology used at central load dispatching Toshiba, GE, of System Power Supply center and local transformer substations. SIEMENS Refers to various technologies that control energy consumption of consumers. IBM, EnerNOC、 ③Energy Consumption It includes HEMS, FEMS, BEMS, and Demand Response. It also includes Tendrill, Opower, EVs and affiliated technologies such as V2G. Tesla ④Effective Operation Refers to technologies that concern effective and flexible operation of system Sumitomo Electric, of System Power power supply. It includes such technologies as superconducting transmission, ABB Supply ultra‐high voltage power transmission, and power electronics. Refers to advanced interface technologies that connect between distributed Siver Spring Networks, ⑤Advanced Interface Technologies generation and system power supply. It deals with sending & receiging Itron, Landis+Gyr, information and include such things as smart meters power conditioners. Mitsubishi Electric Panasonic, ⑥Energy Storage Refers to energy storage technologies such as batteries. NGK Insulators 7 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.” All rights reserved
  • 8. 2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-1) Technological Domain Description Companies Renewable enegies(photovoltaic generation, solar thermal power, wind power, geothermal Sharp, Kyocera ①Energy Production power, etc). Business structures such as manufacturing solar panels and operating a BrightSource Energy 1) Renewable Energies power plant are not taken into account. Altarock Energy ①Energy Production Amyris Biotechnologies Bio Fuels (ie. Ethanol), and their affiliated businesses 2) Alternative Energies Mascoma, Gevo, KiOR ①Energy Production Fossil fuel efficiency technologies such as decreasing CO2 emission, and conversion GreatPoint Energy 3) Fossil Fuel Efficiency technologies to natural gas. Luca Technologies ②Monitoring&Control Monitor & control of system power supply such as PMU (Pharos Measurement Unit)collects of System Power Supply data of electric current & voltage and thus monitoring the conditions of system power supply. Toshiba, GE, Siemens 4) WASA It controls system power supply optimally, and deters & prevents the system’s collapse. ②Monitoring&Control Monitos electric current and voltage running through distribution lines and electric of System Power Supply power substations, automatically controls the swich of distribution lines, and therefore Toshiba, GE, Siemens 5) Distribution Automation increases the reliability of distribution lines as well as softening maintenance work. ③Energy Consumption Process of managing the consumption of energy, generally to optimize available and EnerNOC, Tendrill, 6) EMS Techonologies planned generation resources. It includes HEMS, BEMS, FEMS, and Demand Response. Opower ③Energy Consumption Tesla, Fisker Automotive Refers to EVs. It also includes affiliated technologis such as V2G and G2V. 7) EV Better Place 8 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.” All rights reserved
  • 9. 2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-2) Tenonological Domain Description Companies ③Energy Consumption Lehigh Technologies, 8) Recycle Various recycling technoclogies, including financial services. RecycleBank Various energy saving devices & services such as LED lighting. ③Energy Consumption Luminus Devices 9) Energy Saving It also includes improving existing automobiles (development of low CO2 SeaMicro, Caitin emission engines). ④Effective Operation Uses direct current for the bulk transmission of electrical power, in contrast of System Power Supply 10) Superconducting with the more common alternating current systems. For long-distance Sumitomo Electric, ABB Transmission transmission, it may be less expensive and suffer lower electrical losses. ④Effective Operation Refers to Electric voltage control by reactive power control and Electric of System Power Supply current control of distribution lines by impedance changes in distribution 11) Power Electronics lines. ⑤Advanced Interface Monitors & measures electricity demand, send the data using IT Siver Spring Networks, Technologies technologies periodically. Sometimes equipped with the capability to Itron, Landis+Gyr 12) AMI control household appliances. ⑤Advanced Interface Conversion technologies from DC to AC. Technologies We expect to see the rise of this technology along with the increase in Sharp, Kyocera 13) Power Conditioner distributed generation. ⑥Energy Storage Used both sides of smart grid: both supply side and demand side need Panasonic, 14) Batteries batteries to even out generation. NGK Insulators 9 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.” All rights reserved
  • 10. 3. US Venture Capitals’ Investments (Unit: Million) $4,500 20% $3,987 $4,000 $3,668 18% $3,500 17.67% 16% 13.91% 15.77% 14% $3,000 $2,605 10.95% 12% $2,500 $2,122 10% $2,000 $1,647 8.59% 8% $1,500 6.30% $1,038 6% $1,000 4% $500 2% $- 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Amount Invested (Cleantech) Cleantech % in Overall Invest Between 2006 and 2010, Cleantech Investments increased at CAGR 22% *In Q1 2011, investment equals that of Web companies 10 Source: National Venture Capital Association
  • 11. 3. Venture Capitals Active in Cleantech Investment Venture Investor # deals Draper Fisher Partners 16 Chrysalix Energy Venture 16 Capital Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers 12 We select these three firms, Carbon Trust Investment Partners 12 plus Nth Power specialized Element Partners 12 in cleantech investment for Emerald Technology Ventures 10 our research. RockPort Capital Partners 10 Good Energies AG 10 Vantage Point Venture Partners 10 Khosla Ventures 8 SET Venture Partners 8 11 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: Cleantech Group All rights reserved
  • 12. 3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of Smart Grid (LEV1-1) (Unit: Deal) 70 :# of deals 60 60 :# of deals over $100M 50 40 31 30 18 20 13 15 10 4 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 Others Monitoring&Control Energy Storage Advanced Interface Effective Operation Energy Production Consumption of System Power of System Power Energy Technology Supply Supply Energy Consumption takes up about 50% of VC investment. Almost zero investment in System Power Supply. 12 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios. All rights reserved
  • 13. 3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of Smart Grid (LEV1-2) Number of Investment Number of Investment Over $100M LEV 1 Total LEV1 KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla # Invest # Over $100M Energy Production 16 11 14 19 8 0 4 6 60 18 Energy Consumption 8 7 11 5 2 0 2 0 31 4 Energy Storage 3 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 13 0 Advanced Interface Technology 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 3 2 Effective Operation of System Power Supply 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Others 0 5 1 9 0 0 0 0 15 0 Total 30 23 33 38 11 0 7 6 124 24 No noticeable differences among VCs and their investment trends at LEV 1. Investment deals for energy production tends to be big! About 30% of Energy Production deals are over $100M deals (cumulative amount of capital raised). 13 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios. All rights reserved
  • 14. 3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of Smart Grid (LEV2-1) (Unit:Deal) :# of deals 35 :# of deals over $100M 30 30 25 20 20 16 15 15 13 10 10 8 8 6 4 4 32 5 1 1 22 10 2 0 0 00 0 00 00 0 0 A EV S in g g ies rs y s s s er s ion vin AS ion EM gi e nc er nic gi e he ion cl er et at Sa cie i ss W er Ot er ro cy tt tM dit m En En ct Ba ffi Re sm y to on g le lE ar Au er b le an ive rE rC Sm ue En Tr wa at ion we we il F I/ rn g ne ut AM Po in Po te ss Re ct rib Al Fo du st on Di rc pe Su VCs’ investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, Batteries, taking up 72% of the overall investment. 14 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios. All rights reserved
  • 15. 3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of Smart Grid (LEV2-2) Number of Investment Number of Investment Over $100M LEV 1 Total LEV1 LEV2 KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla # Invest # Over $100M Energy Production Renewable Energies 7 7 8 8 4 0 3 1 30 8 Alternative Energies 5 2 4 9 2 0 0 4 20 6 Fossil Fuel Efficiency 4 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 10 4 Energy Consumption EMS 5 6 5 0 1 0 0 0 16 1 Energy Saving 0 1 2 5 0 0 1 0 8 1 Recycling 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 EV 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 3 2 Energy Storage Batteries 3 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 13 0 Advanced Interface Technology AMI/Smart Meters 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 Power Conditioner 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Effective Operation of System Superconducting Transmission 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Power Supply Power Electronics 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 Monitoring&Control of System WASA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Power Supply Distribution Automation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Others Others 0 5 1 9 0 0 0 0 15 0 Total Total 30 23 33 38 11 0 7 6 124 24 Noticeable differences among VCs and their investment areas. →Khosla clearly focuses on energy production while zero investment in the area of EMS. Very few over $100M deals for investments in EMS and batteries. (1 out of 29 deals) 15 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios. All rights reserved
  • 16. 3. Summary of US VCs’ Investment Trends Investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, and Batteries. Energy Production:Various policies and governmental aids enacted to create demands for such energies. EMS: US smart grid was envisioned to avoid huge investment required to replace old distribution lines, emphasizing demand control. Batteries: Batteries are used all phases of smart grid: Generation-Transmission-Consumption. On the other hand, almost zero investment was made into such technological domains as Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply or Superconducting Transmission. Dominated by large companies such as GE, Siemens and Toshiba with long history of joint development with electric companies. While investments deals in energy production tend to require huge capital (over $100M), this is not the case for those of EMS and batteries. 30% of investment deals in energy production are over $100M deals. Only 1 deal out 29 is an over $100M deals in EMS and batteries. 16 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ¹State of California mandates that 33% of electricity must be produced by renewable energies by 2020. All rights reserved
  • 17. 4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups ( Supply Side(Generation- ( Demand Side(Consumption)) ) Transmission-Distribution) Technological Domains Technological Domains Renewable Energies Alternative Energies EMS Fossil Fuels Efficiency WAMS Distribution Automation Superconducting Transmission < AMI・Smart Meters EV Recycle Energy Saving Batteries Batteries Power Electronics Power Conditioners Hypothesis: Demand side of smart grid (especially red-fonted domains) may present more business opportunities for startups than supply side of smart grid. 17 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 18. 4. Analysis of Hypothese ~1~ Smart Grid = Internet of Power Network Especially technological & service domains of EMS are those directly contact with consumers. Power shift from supply side to demand side would occur, once every consumer in would produce and consume energy, becoming so-called prosumers of energy. Nega-watt (savings from energy saving) and Posi-watt (generation from renewable such as PV) would connect to EMS, enabling electricity trade. This new environment, so-called “You Energy (everyone can produce & consume energy)” would create a new paradigm that would foster innovation, growth and employment, incentivizing businesses¹. 18 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. ¹Source: Toshiharu Kato, “Smart Grid Revolutuon.” All rights reserved
  • 19. 4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~ Engineering skill sets needed in the Demand Side overlap with those in IT industry. Most IT companies can enter the Demand side with marketing strategies tailored for the energy industry. Backgrounds of Executives in Smart Necessary skill sets of Grid Companies Smart Grid Engineers Others 12% 、 Renewable Energies (PV, wind power、Geothermal power) ) IT Hardware Additional Telecom skills 30% 8% Electrical Engineering (circuit, etc) ) Finance 6% Network Technology (WAN, LAN, etc ) Skill sets that Control & Communication Technology of Smart Appliance IT engineers Energy 19% already have IT Software WEB Application Technology 25% (e-commerce, power consumption management software) Majority have IT industry backgrounds Similar technological skill sets Source:Greentech Grid “Smart Grid2.0: the Soft Grid” Source:http://engineer.typemag.jp/slive/2011/05/-se5.php http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/smart-grid-2.0- the-soft-grid1/ 19 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 20. 4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~ Supply side businesses such as Energy Production tend to require large amount of capital. Average investment size of Japanese VCs is between $1M and $3M, raising the financial bar for Japanese startups to enter the supply side of smart grid. 20 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 21. 5. Conclusion US VCs’ investment concentrates in the three technological domains: Energy Production (renewable & alternative energies, fossil fuel efficiency), EMS, Batteries. On the other hand, some domains receive no investment, a great split. About 30% of Energy Production are over $100M deals, requiring huge amount of money to run business. This is not the case in the other two domains, EMS and Batteries. Demand side of smart grid seem to present more business opportunities than supply side due to the following three reasons: “direct connections to consumers,” “technological affinity with IT technology,” and “required capital. 21 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved
  • 22. TO BE CONTINUED We will analyze in detail various EMS technologies and companies in those domains 22 ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation. All rights reserved