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Turkish Online Travel Market
Multinational or local companies, which model will succeed in Turkey


Devrim Dirik
ddirik10@gsb.columbia.edu

Columbia Business School
Final Paper




1. Objectives

This paper analyses Turkish online travel market and viability of local and global business models.

Online travel market which involves selling hotels, airline tickets, packages via a specially designed

web site is the key market of this analysis. The market has a very wide description and setting the

borders is difficult due to sophisticated behavior of the consumers. According to Pearson Dictionary

online travel is defined “The acquisition of information and the purchase of travel-related services

from businesses selling on the Internet”. Expedia, Priceline, Orbitz, Tatil.com, Tatilsepeti.com etc. are

selected companies which represent operators in this market.

Due to limited reports and data about the Turkish market, interviews with market experts and

company representatives will be key resource in the analysis. Porter’s Five Forces is used to analyze

competition in the industry. Special characteristics of the industry, challenges and opportunities in

the market and future expectations regarding viability of business models will be key focus areas.

This analysis concludes that, Turkish market will be dominated by local players in the medium term.

Multinational players will develop strategic partnerships with local operators to penetrate into the

market. This will accelerate their brand building process, but stand alone viability in the medium run

is difficult because of specific challenges of the Turkish market. In the long run, market penetration of

international players is inevitable due to their scale and operational advantages.

2. Online Travel Market in Turkey


Internet and Turkey

Backed by strong economic growth, Internet industry has been developing fast in the last years in

Turkey. Latest figures show that the number of Internet users reached 26.5 million users, 35% of total


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population (Exhibit 1b). In the number of users, the country ranks as the 14th in the world (Exhibit 1a).

Although broadband started in 2003 the number of broadband subscribers reached 5.7 million as of

December 2008 (Exhibit 1c). As Internet penetrates the mass market further, e-commerce has also

observed significant growth and it is expected to reach $8.9 billion in 2009 with a 61% year on year

growth according to estimations of EBay Turkey (Exhibit 4). Global e-commerce players have started

to strengthen their local presence in line with growing market. In 2006, Ticketmaster acquired Biletix

and Google opened Turkish office, one year later EBay bought minority stake in GittiGidiyor.com, a

Turkish online marketplace. In January 2008, German based networking company XING acquired

cember.net, the leading online business network. (Exhibit 2) Among the other global companies,

Facebook showed a spectacular success in Turkish market. As of July 2009, Facebook has 12.4 million

members in Turkey with a 257.4% growth in the last 12 months and that makes Turkey the third

biggest market of the company (Exhibit 3).

According to a study conducted by GfK Turkey in 2006, Internet users belong to upper level of income

and socio economic status (22% of users are university graduates, 39% speaks English, and 77% is less

than 34 years old). Although Internet usage is expected to penetrate into the lower level of the

socioeconomic pyramid in line with rapid growth, Internet users will remain a lucrative market to

focus on.


Online travel market

Despite the growth in e-commerce, global online companies remained hesitant about Turkey and

none of them have entered the market so far. As income levels of Turkish citizens increase day by day

and holiday habits of Turkish people are changing, the online travel market grows. Detailed analysis

regarding characteristics of the market is given in the following sections of the report. Size of Turkish
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online travel market is very difficult to estimate as there are neither official statistics nor any

published reports about the industry. Euromonitor International (Euromonitor) publishes annual

industry reports about domestic, inbound and outbound tourism flows in Turkey and these reports

merged with market experts’ estimations will be used as a basis for further analysis.

According to Euromonitor, there were 20.7 million domestic trips with a total value of 7 billion

Turkish Lira-TL (1 USD ≈ 1.5 TL) in 2007. Expenditure per visit has been declining since 2003 and this

trend is expected to continue due to rising competition among tour operators, hotels, airline and

coach companies. (Exhibit 5a) Outgoing tourism market has also showed significant growth. The

number of outgoing tourists increased by 5% and reached 8.7 million in 2007. The value of the

market is around 3 billion TL. (Exhibit 5b) Turkey is a very attractive tourism destination and it is

attracting more and more tourists every year. However assuming that incoming tourists are using

local agents or companies in their home country to organize their trips, this market is out of scope of

this study.

Interviews conducted with local industry experts confirmed Turkish domestic travel market in line

with Euromonitor’s estimations. However, there are sizable differences in outgoing market. Especially

expenditure per visit value is very difficult to confirm because 349 TL per visit seems very low for an

outgoing visitor.

Definition of online travel bring additional burden while estimating the size of the market in Turkey.

Turkish Airlines, local coach companies, rental car companies, local and international hotels are

collecting a considerable amount of their revenues through their e-commerce operations. According

to the field research conducted by Nielsen for Google Turkey in 2009 (Nielsen field research), 23% of

hotel guests are using Internet in their reservations. Share of online reservations of Turkish Airlines is

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around 10% and this will contribute around 100 million TL to the market. Counting these companies’

revenues will increase share of online travel in the total market. This paper analyses operational

advantages of a local and international online travel companies. Therefore previously cited

companies and their revenues will be kept aside. Revenues of companies which are acting as middle

men to promote travel products (flight, hotel, car rental and other services) online will be key focus

area of this study. If a customer starts his or her transaction online but finishes offline, this

transaction will be also included in Turkish online travel market. According to these assumptions, the

size of online market is estimated around 300,000 trips with 1.2 billion TL (app. 400 TL per trip) in

2008. The figure is still very controversial because of unique consumer behavior in Turkish market.


Special Characteristics of Turkish Travel Market

Having a second small vacation homes or chalets to spend the summer in coastal regions of Turkey is

very widespread phenomena among high and mid income levels of Turkish society. This tendency

curbed development of Turkish travel market. However introduction of all inclusive packages,

increased exposure to Western lifestyles, rise of historical tourism and improved relationship with

neighbors (e.g. Greece, Syria etc.) and introduction of low cost airlines with the positive effect of

flexible payment options (zero interest rate up to one year installment opportunities by credit cards)

have driven many Turks to travel more. Tour operators started to focus on middle income consumer.

Discounts to early birds in all inclusive packages have become very popular in the market. Tour

operators adopted Internet very quickly and started to use Internet for informational and

promotional purposes rather than for online transactions. As a result, selling travel packages online

has become a widespread phenomenon.



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Traditional package holidays are very common in Turkish market. These packages are usually

prepared by travel agents and tour operators. For domestic travelers, packages are usually all-

inclusive, combining transportation and accommodation components; for outgoing travelers

packages include transportation, accommodation, local guidance and even visa handling for the

target country. Travelers usually have no flexibility, package holidays are predetermined. Packages

are also offered on the Internet but offline transaction is still the major part of the deal.

Turkish travelers are lookers more than buyers; they research online but prefer offline systems to

purchase a product. In a typical purchasing action, a customer conducts research online about

different alternatives. After selecting the service he or she sends an inquiry via a form to buy a

package. A follow up call from the agent does not finalize transaction and the customer usually visits

physical office of the agent. The process is very wide among online travelers. According to the Nielsen

field research, only 20% of customers finalize their acquisition via Internet and 71% of them visit the

travel agency to buy a travel package. Customers who are not purchased online stated that they

wanted one to one interaction with the customer representative before reaching a final decision

(53%). In addition to that 38% of them finalized the transaction offline because of their concern

about personal security and trust for online purchases. Lack of fully online transactions is the main

reason which curbs global players’ chance of viability in the market.

Porter’s Five Forces will be used to understand the competitive dynamics in the industry further.


Industry Analysis (Porter’s Five Forces)

Bargaining power of suppliers: Airline companies have very high bargaining power because online

travel operators have not reached a scale which will force these companies. Although private airlines

captures considerable amount of market share, Turkish Airline’s market share is still more than 50%.
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In addition to that, 80% of ticket sales of Turkish airlines are still made via local travel agents. An

online traveler will not able to compete with these travel agents because of ongoing relationship of

these agents with corporate and individual customers. This means that with their limited size, online

travel companies are unable to exert pressure on airlines to receive additional discounts. Car rental

companies usually use their own websites and offline channel to sell their services. Existing online

travel companies do not offer car rental products. On the other hand, hotel market is much more

fragmented with thousand of hotels spread all over Turkey. In domestic market, online travel

companies are able to bargain for special discounts i.e. online travel companies are more powerful

against hotels.

Bargaining power of buyers: Due to transparency of Internet, customers are becoming more and

more powerful. Although threat of substitute product is low, the key problem is retaining customers.

There are no network effects, cost of multi homing is almost zero and price is key decision in

purchasing decision. Existing local companies invest in their brand names to develop a loyal customer

base. One of the representatives of local companies stated that building brand loyalty is very difficult

due to nature of the industry. Especially long holidays are booked once in a year and customers are

not necessarily loyal in their next purchase.

Rivalry among existing competitors is also low due to strong growth in the industry. Majority of

industry experts estimated double digit growth in online travel industry in the next five years not only

due to strong growth in tourism industry but also due to higher online retail adoption. Fast growing

nature of the industry prevented stiff competition among players. Top players in the market are

Tatilsepeti.com, Tatil.com, Gezisitesi.net and BookinTurkey.com. (Exhibit 7) In addition to that, brick

and mortar travel operators (MNG Tour, Jolly Tour, VIP, Setur, Pronto Tour etc), which have

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widespread representative network around Turkey, have also started to sell their products online.

Unlike international travel operators, local companies are not offering online and real-time bookings

over the Internet. Local players offering hotels abroad are using infrastructure of existing global

players. For instance, Tatilsepeti.com is acting as the local partner of Expedia by offering international

hotels via its website and call center. Although Internet enables borderless operation of companies,

literally there are no international online travel companies in Turkey i.e. none of the companies has

established a local physical office. Some of the companies have seized opportunity in Turkish market

and they started to offer their Turkish website as well (Hotels.com, HRS.com). However their

penetration to the market is very limited since they do not have a physical presence.

Threat of new entrants is very high. Industry experts stated that, due to limited control and low cost

of building web sites, even newly licensed operators launch online portals which promote products

online. Sales are shifting to the Net, further improvements in payment systems, travelers growing

experience with online shopping and increased confidence in online security will encourage more

firms to enter online travel business. International companies have major competitive advantages

due to their scale advantage but local companies leverage their local market knowhow to protect the

market. Growing nature of industry will create room and opportunity for both types of companies.

Porter’s five forces analysis shows that the industry is very prone to the entry of new players. Turkish

online travel industry will accommodate more and more players in the future. Representatives of

local companies interviewed for this study stated that many international players have been

analyzing the market and conducting meetings with them to assess opportunities in the market.

However there are specific challenges and opportunities of the Turkish market. An online travel

company should be aware of these trends while conducting market entry strategy to the market.

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                                                    H


                                                    L

                       M                                                       H



                                                        L


Challenges and Opportunities in the Industry

Opportunities                                           Challenges
Strong economic growth: Although the economy is         Economic crisis: Recent economic crisis is expected to
hit by global financial crisis, Turkish economy is      have negative effects. Growth in market might delay.
expected to continue its growth in the medium and
                                                        Mushrooming online travel agents: Due to
long term. Expectations of Euromonitor show
                                                        unregulated industry structure, some companies
significant growth in the next five years.
                                                        defraud online travelers by charging travel costs
Growing usage of Internet: Internet penetration is      without fulfilling obligations. Recently, national
growing in Turkey. Favorable demography of              newspaper published fraud story of an online travel
Internet enabled population (higher income, young,      company which cheated customers and charged 1.5
and willingness to travel) looks promising for online   million TL. These companies damage the reputation
travel companies.                                       of the industry.
Increase air travel: Air travel contributes to online   Decreasing spending per trip: Average expenditure
travel companies’ revenues significantly. Among the     per trip has been decreasing in the market according
type of transportation methods, air travel showed       to Euromonitor. Turkish consumers are becoming
the most significant growth. Increased competition      price sensitive and that can bring online companies
and entry of private competitors made Turkish air       advantage over brick & mortar agencies.
transportation more attractive for middle income
                                                        Security concern: Credit card penetration in Turkey is
travelers.
                                                        high but security in online transactions is still a major
Growing outgoing market: Due to growing                 concern of consumers.
prosperity and changing lifestyle, middle incomes
                                                      Branded operators: Tour operators have especially
also started to travel abroad. Organized tour groups
                                                      captured Turkish outbound travel market and they
are very popular way of outbound travel.
                                                      also started their online operations. In order to
Positive effect of expanding incoming market: As      compete with these players, e-travel companies
the number incoming tourists via air travel increase, should focus on brand building and marketing.
the more competitive prices will be offered to
                                                      Limited size of the market: Average spending per trip
outgoing tourists because airlines offer attractive
                                                      is still low compared to other developed markets.
prices for their return trips to boost utilization of

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their flights.                                           Relationship with hotels: Existing hotel room
                                                         distribution system is based on quotas. Brick and
Improvement in payment conditions: Installment
                                                         mortar travel agencies usually make seasonal
in purchasing by using credit card (zero interest rate
                                                         agreements with local hotels to sell an agreed
up to 1 year installment) boosted especially
                                                         capacity of the hotel. Since online players are unable
outbound travels.
                                                         to create adequate scale, they either act as a
                                                         middleman between customers and brick and mortar
                                                         operators or have their own brick and mortar
                                                         operator to reach an adequate scale.
                                                         Package holidays: Package holidays (travel + all
                                                         inclusive hotels) are very widespread in the market.
                                                         Customers are not very keen on to book their own
                                                         hotels and travel using an online system. Tour
                                                         operators create a number of limited packages and
                                                         sell online.



2. Advantages of business models


Advantages of a local player

Local taste: Existing local players have localized all their content and operations to suit the Turkish

travelers’ flavor. For instance, if a customer who is willing to travel to Italy enters tatilsepeti.com’s

website, he selects one of existing tours offered by a local operator which is using tatilsepeti.com to

advertise and sell its packages. In addition to flight and hotel accommodation, visa handling, local

guidance, transportation from the airport, transportation between cities in the target country and

travel insurance are all covered by this service. The same products and service are not offered at the

same price by an international operator.

Significant weight of domestic tourism: Although growth in outbound tourism accelerated in the last

years, majority of the travels are either business trips or visits of relatives living outside of Turkey. In

2007 there were 20.7 million domestic trips in Turkish market. Industry experts believe that only 1.5

million out of 8.6 million outgoing trips were leisure travelers. In existing system, business travelers


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are hard to capture by online operators because corporations usually have ongoing relationship with

existing local travel agents with which developing online companies are not able to compete. On the

other hand, travelers visiting their relatives abroad usually buy plane tickets via airline operators’

website, call centers or agents. Local travel agents (both brick & mortar and online) also offer low

price vacation packages with high quality customer service and majority of leisure travelers are

captured by travel agents. Unlike in other European countries where outgoing travel outweighs

domestic travel, Turkish travelers will remain domestic tourism oriented even in the long term. Visa

requirements, language and cultural barriers, low share of customers who can afford outbound

travels will support this trend for a long run.

Existing customer base: Existing online travel companies and tour operators have captured a large

customer base. Although retaining customer loyalty and creating network effect are difficult in the

industry, local companies use marketing tools to improve repurchase rates.

Relationship with local hotels: Although more and more Turkish citizens prefer going abroad,

domestic tourism market will continue to be key segment in the industry. Existing relationship of

companies with local hotels will give them a competitive advantage over new comers to the market.

Searching online - buying offline: Existing local players have either brick & mortar travel companies

or they are in partnership with one of them. This partnership enables them to leverage their online

and offline presence. In addition to that, all online travel companies offer call center solutions to their

customers.

Tailor made payment conditions: Local companies offer zero interest rate up to one year installment

if travelers use their credit cards in payment. For customers who are not keen on paying by credit

card, local companies also accept wire transfer and cash. Usually additional discounts are offered for

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these customers due to less transaction costs. Unless a multinational company opens a local office

and makes special agreements with credit card companies in Turkey to promote payments for

services in installments, it cannot compete with local companies in payment conditions.


Advantages of a multinational player

Global purchasing power: Their scale advantage enables multinational companies to receive lower

prices from suppliers. They offer low-price guarantees and local companies are not able to compete

with them in price in outgoing travel (excluding package tours). Even existing operators in Turkish

market rely on the international players’ infrastructure. Global companies also negotiate with hotels,

airlines and rental car companies to offer better deals for the industry’s overcapacity. By getting

significant discounts from their suppliers, they act as a vast clearing house and attract customers

looking deals. A local company will never have such a purchasing power.

Diversification of risks: In contrast to local players, multinational players are not dependent on a

single market and they diversify their risks by operating in multi markets. An economic slowdown in

Turkey will be compensated by other markets’ performance. On the other hand, local companies

depend on a single market and they are very prone to external pressures (economic crisis, rising fuel

prices etc.) because of their limited resources.

High brand awareness: Global companies pour vast resources to build a strong brand name. Thrust

and brand awareness are very important in online transactions. Because of uncertainty in demand

and other risks involved in the industry, every year Turkish press in covering victims of bankrupted

tourism operators. This image of the industry favors strong brands. A multinational online travel

company will build a strong brand and thrust in the industry in the long run.



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Specialization: International players are able to cater a wider spectrum of travelers by having a wider

portfolio of brands. For example Expedia has Hotwire for budget travelers and Hotels.com for

customers only looking for Hotels. A local company cannot focus on specialization due to lack of

adequate scale.

Learning effect and market know how: A multinational player will bring its globally accumulated

knowhow to the market. Technological improvements will be first adopted by these players and that

will entice Turkish customers.

Diversity of services: Multinational players offer more hotels and vacation packages through their

websites compared to local players. Unless a local player become a partner/affiliate of multinational

online travel operator, the company cannot offer deals for a hotel chain located outside of Turkey. In

addition to that, travelers using multinational companies’ services have maximum control over their

itinerary. Customers can select hotel, flight, car rental, tour guide etc. individually whereas local

companies usually offer “predetermined” vacation packages.

Exhibit 8 summarizes advantages of local and international companies in Turkish market.

3. Future expectations (which model will succeed in Turkey)

Currently, Turkish online travel market is fully controlled by local players. The ratio of fully online

travel bookings is almost ignorable (except flight bookings through local airline companies) and

travelers prefer to finalize their deal offline. Although international companies such as Booking.com,

HRS.com, Hotels.com started to offer their website in Turkish, offline nature of transactions and

previously cited advantages of local players deteriorates these players chance in the market. In order

to compensate for their disadvantages, international companies started to integrate local operators

to their affiliate programs. Tatilsepeti.com became white label partner of Expedia in international

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hotel reservations in 2009. Visitors see Expedia’s hotel offerings available for booking through a

white label portal at Tatilsepeti.com. Local company is also promoting Expedia’s name in its webpage

to gain credibility for the nondomestic hotel reservations. Both local and multinational players are

benefiting from affiliate relationship. This trend is expected to continue and international players

interested in Turkish market are expected to find local partners in Turkey (Exhibit 9).

In the long run, Turkish consumers will become more receptive to online travel booking as their

reliance on online services grows. Key success factors in the market will be customer satisfaction,

price and infrastructure. Scale and infrastructure favor multinational players in the market. By using

their global presence and vast resources, multinational travel operators will improve their websites,

offer lower prices and create trust in their brands. On the other hand, in the short and medium term,

customer satisfaction favors local players which are able to offer better customer service and

payment conditions. Because of relatively small size of Turkish market, multinational players will not

be able to develop tailor made solutions for the market i.e. they will hardly compete with locals in

offering offline service, better payment conditions and customer service. Therefore the success of

local or multinational model depends on the pace of transition of Turkish market from infancy to

maturity. Growing penetration of Internet, rising disposable incomes and emerging travel demand

offer significant growth potential for multinational companies. Existing domestic players and Turkish

style of online travel business will force them to create strategic partnerships and joint ventures with

existing local players.

In the long run, market dominance by multinational players is inevitable due to their operational and

scale advantage. In order to capture market share, these companies should convince the customers

to create their packages dynamically. Offering installment in payments and having local call center

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are inevitable absolute necessities for these operators. In addition to that, business segment, which is

expected to grow rapidly according to Euromonitor’s expectations, will be star market segment. With

its less price sensitive nature, business travelers are more open to bundle products during reservation

and multinational companies should target this segment to generate quick return to their

investments.

Initially, international companies will lack network effect. By partnering with existing travel

companies, multinational companies will penetrate into the market faster. In addition to that,

existing customer base of major credit card companies or GSM operators will provide fuel for growth.

Bundling travel products or offering discounts to the existing customer base of these companies in

line with company’s target customer strategy will accelerate market penetration.




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Appendix

Exhibit 1a: Total number of Internet users, by country, millions, March 2009



   United States
           India
       Germany
          France
    Korea South
            Italy
          Turkey
         Canada
        Vietnam
       Argentina

                    0     50      100      150         200     250    300       350


Exhibit 1b: Top 20 countries with highest Internet penetration, %, March 2009



   United States
         Canada
           Spain
          France
       Argentina
          Turkey
           Brazil
         Mexico
           China
           India

                    0%   10%    20%     30%      40%     50%    60%    70%      80%


Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/top20.htm




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Exhibit 1c: Total number of broadband subscribers, by country, millions, December 2008




             Japan

            France

             Korea

            Canada

            Mexico

            Turkey

            Poland

           Sweden

          Denmark

    Czech Republic

                      0     10      20     30      40      50      60     70     80


Source: OECD Broadband statistics [oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband]



Exhibit 2: Penetration of international players into Turkish e-commerce market




Source: Desk Search




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Exhibit 3: Total number of Facebook users by country, July 2009
                                    users,

 Rank       Country         Number of Facebook users       12 month growth %
  1             USA               69,378,980                    149.50%
  2             UK                18,711,160                     67.50%
  3            Turkey             12,382,320                    257.40%
  4            Canada             11,961,020                     24.30%
  5            France             10,781,480                    338.10%
  6             Italy             10,218,400                    1980.70%
  7        Indonesia               6,496,960                    2997.30%
  8        Australia               6,053,560                     88.20%
  9            Spain               5,773,200                    729.60%
  10      Colombia                 5,760,300                    138.80%
Source: Facebook

Exhibit 4: Turkish e-commerce market total volume & year-on-year growth, millions USD, 2007




Source: Turkish Internet Sector Overview by Sina Afra (EBay Turkey, Member of Board), May 2008

Exhibit 5a: Domestic trips by purpose of visit, total volume, expenditure, expenditure per visit, TL, 2002-2012
                                                                                                ,     2002
                                    2002    2003     2004      2005     2006     2007     2008E     2009E   2010E    2011E     2012E
 Domestic tourism (# of visits)    16,377   16,706   17,399    18,359   19,599   20,723   22,132   23,704   25,418   27,335    29,466
   - Business                       4,635    4,811     5,115    5,508    6,042    6,292    6,623    6,981    7,374    7,815        8,302
   - Leisure                       11,742   11,895   12,284    12,851   13,558   14,431   15,509   16,723   18,044   19,520    21,164
 Domestic Tourist Expenditure       6,241    6,724     6,951    7,120    6,742    7,045    7,398    7,723    8,058    8,389        8,724
 (mn TL)
 Expenditure per visit (TL)          381       402      399      388       344     340      334       326     317      307          296
Source: Euromonitor, Tourism Flows Domestic - Turkey


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Exhibit 5b: Outgoing Trips by Purpose of Visit, Total volume, Expenditure, Expenditure per visit, TL, 2002-2012

 '000 people                        2002    2003     2004    2005      2006    2007    2008E   2009E    2010E     2011E    2012E
 Departures (# of visits)           5,080   5,840    7,548   8,098     8,275   8,671   9,026    9,478   10,023   10,722    11,515
   - Business departures            1,427   1,628    2,085   2,250     2,352   2,439   2,535    2,650    2,780    2,951     3,142
   - Leisure departures             3,653   4,212    5,463   5,848     5,923   6,232   6,491    6,828    7,243    7,771     8,373
 Outgoing tourist expenditure (mn   2,676   2,847    2,998   3,318     2,815   3,026   3,137    3,278    3,439    3,638     3,849
 TL)
 Expenditure per visit (TL)          527      487     397        410    340     349      348     346      343       339        334
Source: Euromonitor, Tourism Outflows Turkey


Exhibit 6: Domestic travelers vs. outgoing travelers in turkey




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Exhibit 7: Major online travel companies in Turkey*
Company                  URL                          Online since      Traffic rank by Alexa    Description

Tatil.com                www.tatil.com                15 May 1997       47,874                   First local online travel company in Turkey founded by GTS
                                                                                                 Travel which also owns internationally active online operators
                                                                                                 e.g. otels.com

Tatilsepeti.com          www.tatilsepeti.com          24 May 2003       25,036                   A specialized portal to sell travel packages of brick and mortal
                                                                                                 operators via its website. The company is also a member of
                                                                                                 Expedia Affiliate Partner Program. Visitors are able to reserve
                                                                                                 hotels via tatilsepeti.com’s website or call center by using
                                                                                                 Expedia’s infrastructure.
Gezitesitesi.net         www.gezisitesi.com           07 Nov 2005       68,708                   Gezisitesi is a subsidiary of local conglomerate Dogan Holding
                                                                                                 which is also active in broadcasting, printing and news media
                                                                                                 sectors.

BookinTurkey.com         www.bookinturkey.com         28 Jan 2000       386,630                  BookinTurkey is another company owned by a local
                                                                                                 conglomerate, Koc Group. The company claims that it is the only
                                                                                                 Turkey Specialist Travel Portal that can get online and real-time
                                                                                                 bookings over the Internet due to its internally developed
                                                                                                 program.
* Most of these companies use Internet to promote their products but they do not allow customers to book real time.

Source: Interviews with industry experts and Alexa.com




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Exhibit 8: Advantages of local and international online travel companies in Turkish market




Exhibit 9: Partnership between local and multinational online travel operators




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Exhibit 10: Interviews conducted for the study*
Name                           Type                           Position                       Company / Institution

Nedim Paltura                  Local online travel company    Founding partner               Tatilsepeti.com

Yavuz Tosun                    Local online travel company    General manager                Gezitesitesi.net

Basak Bilmen                   Local online travel company    General manager                BookinTurkey.com

Giray Hudayioglu               Travel search engine           General manager                Seyahatix.com

Güneş Karamullaoğlu            Academician                    Vice Chair                     Bilkent University, Tourism and Hotel Management Department

Gonul Yildirim                 Media                          PR Manager                     The Travel Media Association of Turkey

Fehmi Kofteoglu               Details of interviewees are kept Editor
                               Media                       Chief                             Turizmgazetesi.com (Local online newspaper for Tourism industry)

Ali Yilmaz            confidential inexpert public version ofIndustry Head
                              Market the                      the paper                      Google

Yalcin Parmaksiz               Market expert                  E-marketing coordinator        EBI

Hakki Arikan                   Market expert                  Marketing manager              EBay Turkey

Cenk Cevik                     Market expert                  Manager, New Technologies      Amadeus Turkey

Guney Yasavur                  Market expert                  Business Development Manager   Superonline

Selcuk Ergin                   Market expert                  Consultant                     Freelance IT Consulting to Travel Operators

Burak Turgut                   Market expert                  General manager                Seyahatfikirleri




                                                                                                                                                                21
Resources:

1. Travel Behavior in Turkey. Istanbul: Nielsen Research, 2009.

2. Afra, Sina. Turkey Internet Sector Overview. Istanbul: Ebay, 2009.

3. Celebi, Erkan. “By changing its Internet address, Anis Tours is faking travelers.” Hurriyet, 3 August 2009: 10.

4. “Pronto Tour will triple its revenues in 5 years”. 18 June 2009. 10 July 2009.

<http://www.kobiden.com/haber.asp?id=2191&baslik=Pronto+Tur+cirosunu+5+yilda+3e+katlayacak>.

6. “Tourism Flows Domestic – Turkey”. 11 December 2008. 15 July 209. <http://www.euromonitor.com >.

7. “Tourism Flows Inbound – Turkey”. 11 December 2008. 15 July 209. <http://www.euromonitor.com >.

8. Interviews (please see Exhibit 10)




                                                                                                                     22

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Turkish.online.travel.market.2009

  • 1. Turkish Online Travel Market Multinational or local companies, which model will succeed in Turkey Devrim Dirik ddirik10@gsb.columbia.edu Columbia Business School
  • 2. Final Paper 1. Objectives This paper analyses Turkish online travel market and viability of local and global business models. Online travel market which involves selling hotels, airline tickets, packages via a specially designed web site is the key market of this analysis. The market has a very wide description and setting the borders is difficult due to sophisticated behavior of the consumers. According to Pearson Dictionary online travel is defined “The acquisition of information and the purchase of travel-related services from businesses selling on the Internet”. Expedia, Priceline, Orbitz, Tatil.com, Tatilsepeti.com etc. are selected companies which represent operators in this market. Due to limited reports and data about the Turkish market, interviews with market experts and company representatives will be key resource in the analysis. Porter’s Five Forces is used to analyze competition in the industry. Special characteristics of the industry, challenges and opportunities in the market and future expectations regarding viability of business models will be key focus areas. This analysis concludes that, Turkish market will be dominated by local players in the medium term. Multinational players will develop strategic partnerships with local operators to penetrate into the market. This will accelerate their brand building process, but stand alone viability in the medium run is difficult because of specific challenges of the Turkish market. In the long run, market penetration of international players is inevitable due to their scale and operational advantages. 2. Online Travel Market in Turkey Internet and Turkey Backed by strong economic growth, Internet industry has been developing fast in the last years in Turkey. Latest figures show that the number of Internet users reached 26.5 million users, 35% of total 1
  • 3. Final Paper population (Exhibit 1b). In the number of users, the country ranks as the 14th in the world (Exhibit 1a). Although broadband started in 2003 the number of broadband subscribers reached 5.7 million as of December 2008 (Exhibit 1c). As Internet penetrates the mass market further, e-commerce has also observed significant growth and it is expected to reach $8.9 billion in 2009 with a 61% year on year growth according to estimations of EBay Turkey (Exhibit 4). Global e-commerce players have started to strengthen their local presence in line with growing market. In 2006, Ticketmaster acquired Biletix and Google opened Turkish office, one year later EBay bought minority stake in GittiGidiyor.com, a Turkish online marketplace. In January 2008, German based networking company XING acquired cember.net, the leading online business network. (Exhibit 2) Among the other global companies, Facebook showed a spectacular success in Turkish market. As of July 2009, Facebook has 12.4 million members in Turkey with a 257.4% growth in the last 12 months and that makes Turkey the third biggest market of the company (Exhibit 3). According to a study conducted by GfK Turkey in 2006, Internet users belong to upper level of income and socio economic status (22% of users are university graduates, 39% speaks English, and 77% is less than 34 years old). Although Internet usage is expected to penetrate into the lower level of the socioeconomic pyramid in line with rapid growth, Internet users will remain a lucrative market to focus on. Online travel market Despite the growth in e-commerce, global online companies remained hesitant about Turkey and none of them have entered the market so far. As income levels of Turkish citizens increase day by day and holiday habits of Turkish people are changing, the online travel market grows. Detailed analysis regarding characteristics of the market is given in the following sections of the report. Size of Turkish 2
  • 4. Final Paper online travel market is very difficult to estimate as there are neither official statistics nor any published reports about the industry. Euromonitor International (Euromonitor) publishes annual industry reports about domestic, inbound and outbound tourism flows in Turkey and these reports merged with market experts’ estimations will be used as a basis for further analysis. According to Euromonitor, there were 20.7 million domestic trips with a total value of 7 billion Turkish Lira-TL (1 USD ≈ 1.5 TL) in 2007. Expenditure per visit has been declining since 2003 and this trend is expected to continue due to rising competition among tour operators, hotels, airline and coach companies. (Exhibit 5a) Outgoing tourism market has also showed significant growth. The number of outgoing tourists increased by 5% and reached 8.7 million in 2007. The value of the market is around 3 billion TL. (Exhibit 5b) Turkey is a very attractive tourism destination and it is attracting more and more tourists every year. However assuming that incoming tourists are using local agents or companies in their home country to organize their trips, this market is out of scope of this study. Interviews conducted with local industry experts confirmed Turkish domestic travel market in line with Euromonitor’s estimations. However, there are sizable differences in outgoing market. Especially expenditure per visit value is very difficult to confirm because 349 TL per visit seems very low for an outgoing visitor. Definition of online travel bring additional burden while estimating the size of the market in Turkey. Turkish Airlines, local coach companies, rental car companies, local and international hotels are collecting a considerable amount of their revenues through their e-commerce operations. According to the field research conducted by Nielsen for Google Turkey in 2009 (Nielsen field research), 23% of hotel guests are using Internet in their reservations. Share of online reservations of Turkish Airlines is 3
  • 5. Final Paper around 10% and this will contribute around 100 million TL to the market. Counting these companies’ revenues will increase share of online travel in the total market. This paper analyses operational advantages of a local and international online travel companies. Therefore previously cited companies and their revenues will be kept aside. Revenues of companies which are acting as middle men to promote travel products (flight, hotel, car rental and other services) online will be key focus area of this study. If a customer starts his or her transaction online but finishes offline, this transaction will be also included in Turkish online travel market. According to these assumptions, the size of online market is estimated around 300,000 trips with 1.2 billion TL (app. 400 TL per trip) in 2008. The figure is still very controversial because of unique consumer behavior in Turkish market. Special Characteristics of Turkish Travel Market Having a second small vacation homes or chalets to spend the summer in coastal regions of Turkey is very widespread phenomena among high and mid income levels of Turkish society. This tendency curbed development of Turkish travel market. However introduction of all inclusive packages, increased exposure to Western lifestyles, rise of historical tourism and improved relationship with neighbors (e.g. Greece, Syria etc.) and introduction of low cost airlines with the positive effect of flexible payment options (zero interest rate up to one year installment opportunities by credit cards) have driven many Turks to travel more. Tour operators started to focus on middle income consumer. Discounts to early birds in all inclusive packages have become very popular in the market. Tour operators adopted Internet very quickly and started to use Internet for informational and promotional purposes rather than for online transactions. As a result, selling travel packages online has become a widespread phenomenon. 4
  • 6. Final Paper Traditional package holidays are very common in Turkish market. These packages are usually prepared by travel agents and tour operators. For domestic travelers, packages are usually all- inclusive, combining transportation and accommodation components; for outgoing travelers packages include transportation, accommodation, local guidance and even visa handling for the target country. Travelers usually have no flexibility, package holidays are predetermined. Packages are also offered on the Internet but offline transaction is still the major part of the deal. Turkish travelers are lookers more than buyers; they research online but prefer offline systems to purchase a product. In a typical purchasing action, a customer conducts research online about different alternatives. After selecting the service he or she sends an inquiry via a form to buy a package. A follow up call from the agent does not finalize transaction and the customer usually visits physical office of the agent. The process is very wide among online travelers. According to the Nielsen field research, only 20% of customers finalize their acquisition via Internet and 71% of them visit the travel agency to buy a travel package. Customers who are not purchased online stated that they wanted one to one interaction with the customer representative before reaching a final decision (53%). In addition to that 38% of them finalized the transaction offline because of their concern about personal security and trust for online purchases. Lack of fully online transactions is the main reason which curbs global players’ chance of viability in the market. Porter’s Five Forces will be used to understand the competitive dynamics in the industry further. Industry Analysis (Porter’s Five Forces) Bargaining power of suppliers: Airline companies have very high bargaining power because online travel operators have not reached a scale which will force these companies. Although private airlines captures considerable amount of market share, Turkish Airline’s market share is still more than 50%. 5
  • 7. Final Paper In addition to that, 80% of ticket sales of Turkish airlines are still made via local travel agents. An online traveler will not able to compete with these travel agents because of ongoing relationship of these agents with corporate and individual customers. This means that with their limited size, online travel companies are unable to exert pressure on airlines to receive additional discounts. Car rental companies usually use their own websites and offline channel to sell their services. Existing online travel companies do not offer car rental products. On the other hand, hotel market is much more fragmented with thousand of hotels spread all over Turkey. In domestic market, online travel companies are able to bargain for special discounts i.e. online travel companies are more powerful against hotels. Bargaining power of buyers: Due to transparency of Internet, customers are becoming more and more powerful. Although threat of substitute product is low, the key problem is retaining customers. There are no network effects, cost of multi homing is almost zero and price is key decision in purchasing decision. Existing local companies invest in their brand names to develop a loyal customer base. One of the representatives of local companies stated that building brand loyalty is very difficult due to nature of the industry. Especially long holidays are booked once in a year and customers are not necessarily loyal in their next purchase. Rivalry among existing competitors is also low due to strong growth in the industry. Majority of industry experts estimated double digit growth in online travel industry in the next five years not only due to strong growth in tourism industry but also due to higher online retail adoption. Fast growing nature of the industry prevented stiff competition among players. Top players in the market are Tatilsepeti.com, Tatil.com, Gezisitesi.net and BookinTurkey.com. (Exhibit 7) In addition to that, brick and mortar travel operators (MNG Tour, Jolly Tour, VIP, Setur, Pronto Tour etc), which have 6
  • 8. Final Paper widespread representative network around Turkey, have also started to sell their products online. Unlike international travel operators, local companies are not offering online and real-time bookings over the Internet. Local players offering hotels abroad are using infrastructure of existing global players. For instance, Tatilsepeti.com is acting as the local partner of Expedia by offering international hotels via its website and call center. Although Internet enables borderless operation of companies, literally there are no international online travel companies in Turkey i.e. none of the companies has established a local physical office. Some of the companies have seized opportunity in Turkish market and they started to offer their Turkish website as well (Hotels.com, HRS.com). However their penetration to the market is very limited since they do not have a physical presence. Threat of new entrants is very high. Industry experts stated that, due to limited control and low cost of building web sites, even newly licensed operators launch online portals which promote products online. Sales are shifting to the Net, further improvements in payment systems, travelers growing experience with online shopping and increased confidence in online security will encourage more firms to enter online travel business. International companies have major competitive advantages due to their scale advantage but local companies leverage their local market knowhow to protect the market. Growing nature of industry will create room and opportunity for both types of companies. Porter’s five forces analysis shows that the industry is very prone to the entry of new players. Turkish online travel industry will accommodate more and more players in the future. Representatives of local companies interviewed for this study stated that many international players have been analyzing the market and conducting meetings with them to assess opportunities in the market. However there are specific challenges and opportunities of the Turkish market. An online travel company should be aware of these trends while conducting market entry strategy to the market. 7
  • 9. Final Paper H L M H L Challenges and Opportunities in the Industry Opportunities Challenges Strong economic growth: Although the economy is Economic crisis: Recent economic crisis is expected to hit by global financial crisis, Turkish economy is have negative effects. Growth in market might delay. expected to continue its growth in the medium and Mushrooming online travel agents: Due to long term. Expectations of Euromonitor show unregulated industry structure, some companies significant growth in the next five years. defraud online travelers by charging travel costs Growing usage of Internet: Internet penetration is without fulfilling obligations. Recently, national growing in Turkey. Favorable demography of newspaper published fraud story of an online travel Internet enabled population (higher income, young, company which cheated customers and charged 1.5 and willingness to travel) looks promising for online million TL. These companies damage the reputation travel companies. of the industry. Increase air travel: Air travel contributes to online Decreasing spending per trip: Average expenditure travel companies’ revenues significantly. Among the per trip has been decreasing in the market according type of transportation methods, air travel showed to Euromonitor. Turkish consumers are becoming the most significant growth. Increased competition price sensitive and that can bring online companies and entry of private competitors made Turkish air advantage over brick & mortar agencies. transportation more attractive for middle income Security concern: Credit card penetration in Turkey is travelers. high but security in online transactions is still a major Growing outgoing market: Due to growing concern of consumers. prosperity and changing lifestyle, middle incomes Branded operators: Tour operators have especially also started to travel abroad. Organized tour groups captured Turkish outbound travel market and they are very popular way of outbound travel. also started their online operations. In order to Positive effect of expanding incoming market: As compete with these players, e-travel companies the number incoming tourists via air travel increase, should focus on brand building and marketing. the more competitive prices will be offered to Limited size of the market: Average spending per trip outgoing tourists because airlines offer attractive is still low compared to other developed markets. prices for their return trips to boost utilization of 8
  • 10. Final Paper their flights. Relationship with hotels: Existing hotel room distribution system is based on quotas. Brick and Improvement in payment conditions: Installment mortar travel agencies usually make seasonal in purchasing by using credit card (zero interest rate agreements with local hotels to sell an agreed up to 1 year installment) boosted especially capacity of the hotel. Since online players are unable outbound travels. to create adequate scale, they either act as a middleman between customers and brick and mortar operators or have their own brick and mortar operator to reach an adequate scale. Package holidays: Package holidays (travel + all inclusive hotels) are very widespread in the market. Customers are not very keen on to book their own hotels and travel using an online system. Tour operators create a number of limited packages and sell online. 2. Advantages of business models Advantages of a local player Local taste: Existing local players have localized all their content and operations to suit the Turkish travelers’ flavor. For instance, if a customer who is willing to travel to Italy enters tatilsepeti.com’s website, he selects one of existing tours offered by a local operator which is using tatilsepeti.com to advertise and sell its packages. In addition to flight and hotel accommodation, visa handling, local guidance, transportation from the airport, transportation between cities in the target country and travel insurance are all covered by this service. The same products and service are not offered at the same price by an international operator. Significant weight of domestic tourism: Although growth in outbound tourism accelerated in the last years, majority of the travels are either business trips or visits of relatives living outside of Turkey. In 2007 there were 20.7 million domestic trips in Turkish market. Industry experts believe that only 1.5 million out of 8.6 million outgoing trips were leisure travelers. In existing system, business travelers 9
  • 11. Final Paper are hard to capture by online operators because corporations usually have ongoing relationship with existing local travel agents with which developing online companies are not able to compete. On the other hand, travelers visiting their relatives abroad usually buy plane tickets via airline operators’ website, call centers or agents. Local travel agents (both brick & mortar and online) also offer low price vacation packages with high quality customer service and majority of leisure travelers are captured by travel agents. Unlike in other European countries where outgoing travel outweighs domestic travel, Turkish travelers will remain domestic tourism oriented even in the long term. Visa requirements, language and cultural barriers, low share of customers who can afford outbound travels will support this trend for a long run. Existing customer base: Existing online travel companies and tour operators have captured a large customer base. Although retaining customer loyalty and creating network effect are difficult in the industry, local companies use marketing tools to improve repurchase rates. Relationship with local hotels: Although more and more Turkish citizens prefer going abroad, domestic tourism market will continue to be key segment in the industry. Existing relationship of companies with local hotels will give them a competitive advantage over new comers to the market. Searching online - buying offline: Existing local players have either brick & mortar travel companies or they are in partnership with one of them. This partnership enables them to leverage their online and offline presence. In addition to that, all online travel companies offer call center solutions to their customers. Tailor made payment conditions: Local companies offer zero interest rate up to one year installment if travelers use their credit cards in payment. For customers who are not keen on paying by credit card, local companies also accept wire transfer and cash. Usually additional discounts are offered for 10
  • 12. Final Paper these customers due to less transaction costs. Unless a multinational company opens a local office and makes special agreements with credit card companies in Turkey to promote payments for services in installments, it cannot compete with local companies in payment conditions. Advantages of a multinational player Global purchasing power: Their scale advantage enables multinational companies to receive lower prices from suppliers. They offer low-price guarantees and local companies are not able to compete with them in price in outgoing travel (excluding package tours). Even existing operators in Turkish market rely on the international players’ infrastructure. Global companies also negotiate with hotels, airlines and rental car companies to offer better deals for the industry’s overcapacity. By getting significant discounts from their suppliers, they act as a vast clearing house and attract customers looking deals. A local company will never have such a purchasing power. Diversification of risks: In contrast to local players, multinational players are not dependent on a single market and they diversify their risks by operating in multi markets. An economic slowdown in Turkey will be compensated by other markets’ performance. On the other hand, local companies depend on a single market and they are very prone to external pressures (economic crisis, rising fuel prices etc.) because of their limited resources. High brand awareness: Global companies pour vast resources to build a strong brand name. Thrust and brand awareness are very important in online transactions. Because of uncertainty in demand and other risks involved in the industry, every year Turkish press in covering victims of bankrupted tourism operators. This image of the industry favors strong brands. A multinational online travel company will build a strong brand and thrust in the industry in the long run. 11
  • 13. Final Paper Specialization: International players are able to cater a wider spectrum of travelers by having a wider portfolio of brands. For example Expedia has Hotwire for budget travelers and Hotels.com for customers only looking for Hotels. A local company cannot focus on specialization due to lack of adequate scale. Learning effect and market know how: A multinational player will bring its globally accumulated knowhow to the market. Technological improvements will be first adopted by these players and that will entice Turkish customers. Diversity of services: Multinational players offer more hotels and vacation packages through their websites compared to local players. Unless a local player become a partner/affiliate of multinational online travel operator, the company cannot offer deals for a hotel chain located outside of Turkey. In addition to that, travelers using multinational companies’ services have maximum control over their itinerary. Customers can select hotel, flight, car rental, tour guide etc. individually whereas local companies usually offer “predetermined” vacation packages. Exhibit 8 summarizes advantages of local and international companies in Turkish market. 3. Future expectations (which model will succeed in Turkey) Currently, Turkish online travel market is fully controlled by local players. The ratio of fully online travel bookings is almost ignorable (except flight bookings through local airline companies) and travelers prefer to finalize their deal offline. Although international companies such as Booking.com, HRS.com, Hotels.com started to offer their website in Turkish, offline nature of transactions and previously cited advantages of local players deteriorates these players chance in the market. In order to compensate for their disadvantages, international companies started to integrate local operators to their affiliate programs. Tatilsepeti.com became white label partner of Expedia in international 12
  • 14. Final Paper hotel reservations in 2009. Visitors see Expedia’s hotel offerings available for booking through a white label portal at Tatilsepeti.com. Local company is also promoting Expedia’s name in its webpage to gain credibility for the nondomestic hotel reservations. Both local and multinational players are benefiting from affiliate relationship. This trend is expected to continue and international players interested in Turkish market are expected to find local partners in Turkey (Exhibit 9). In the long run, Turkish consumers will become more receptive to online travel booking as their reliance on online services grows. Key success factors in the market will be customer satisfaction, price and infrastructure. Scale and infrastructure favor multinational players in the market. By using their global presence and vast resources, multinational travel operators will improve their websites, offer lower prices and create trust in their brands. On the other hand, in the short and medium term, customer satisfaction favors local players which are able to offer better customer service and payment conditions. Because of relatively small size of Turkish market, multinational players will not be able to develop tailor made solutions for the market i.e. they will hardly compete with locals in offering offline service, better payment conditions and customer service. Therefore the success of local or multinational model depends on the pace of transition of Turkish market from infancy to maturity. Growing penetration of Internet, rising disposable incomes and emerging travel demand offer significant growth potential for multinational companies. Existing domestic players and Turkish style of online travel business will force them to create strategic partnerships and joint ventures with existing local players. In the long run, market dominance by multinational players is inevitable due to their operational and scale advantage. In order to capture market share, these companies should convince the customers to create their packages dynamically. Offering installment in payments and having local call center 13
  • 15. Final Paper are inevitable absolute necessities for these operators. In addition to that, business segment, which is expected to grow rapidly according to Euromonitor’s expectations, will be star market segment. With its less price sensitive nature, business travelers are more open to bundle products during reservation and multinational companies should target this segment to generate quick return to their investments. Initially, international companies will lack network effect. By partnering with existing travel companies, multinational companies will penetrate into the market faster. In addition to that, existing customer base of major credit card companies or GSM operators will provide fuel for growth. Bundling travel products or offering discounts to the existing customer base of these companies in line with company’s target customer strategy will accelerate market penetration. 14
  • 16. Final Paper Appendix Exhibit 1a: Total number of Internet users, by country, millions, March 2009 United States India Germany France Korea South Italy Turkey Canada Vietnam Argentina 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Exhibit 1b: Top 20 countries with highest Internet penetration, %, March 2009 United States Canada Spain France Argentina Turkey Brazil Mexico China India 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/top20.htm 15
  • 17. Final Paper Exhibit 1c: Total number of broadband subscribers, by country, millions, December 2008 Japan France Korea Canada Mexico Turkey Poland Sweden Denmark Czech Republic 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Source: OECD Broadband statistics [oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband] Exhibit 2: Penetration of international players into Turkish e-commerce market Source: Desk Search 16
  • 18. Final Paper Exhibit 3: Total number of Facebook users by country, July 2009 users, Rank Country Number of Facebook users 12 month growth % 1 USA 69,378,980 149.50% 2 UK 18,711,160 67.50% 3 Turkey 12,382,320 257.40% 4 Canada 11,961,020 24.30% 5 France 10,781,480 338.10% 6 Italy 10,218,400 1980.70% 7 Indonesia 6,496,960 2997.30% 8 Australia 6,053,560 88.20% 9 Spain 5,773,200 729.60% 10 Colombia 5,760,300 138.80% Source: Facebook Exhibit 4: Turkish e-commerce market total volume & year-on-year growth, millions USD, 2007 Source: Turkish Internet Sector Overview by Sina Afra (EBay Turkey, Member of Board), May 2008 Exhibit 5a: Domestic trips by purpose of visit, total volume, expenditure, expenditure per visit, TL, 2002-2012 , 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E Domestic tourism (# of visits) 16,377 16,706 17,399 18,359 19,599 20,723 22,132 23,704 25,418 27,335 29,466 - Business 4,635 4,811 5,115 5,508 6,042 6,292 6,623 6,981 7,374 7,815 8,302 - Leisure 11,742 11,895 12,284 12,851 13,558 14,431 15,509 16,723 18,044 19,520 21,164 Domestic Tourist Expenditure 6,241 6,724 6,951 7,120 6,742 7,045 7,398 7,723 8,058 8,389 8,724 (mn TL) Expenditure per visit (TL) 381 402 399 388 344 340 334 326 317 307 296 Source: Euromonitor, Tourism Flows Domestic - Turkey 17
  • 19. Final Paper Exhibit 5b: Outgoing Trips by Purpose of Visit, Total volume, Expenditure, Expenditure per visit, TL, 2002-2012 '000 people 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E Departures (# of visits) 5,080 5,840 7,548 8,098 8,275 8,671 9,026 9,478 10,023 10,722 11,515 - Business departures 1,427 1,628 2,085 2,250 2,352 2,439 2,535 2,650 2,780 2,951 3,142 - Leisure departures 3,653 4,212 5,463 5,848 5,923 6,232 6,491 6,828 7,243 7,771 8,373 Outgoing tourist expenditure (mn 2,676 2,847 2,998 3,318 2,815 3,026 3,137 3,278 3,439 3,638 3,849 TL) Expenditure per visit (TL) 527 487 397 410 340 349 348 346 343 339 334 Source: Euromonitor, Tourism Outflows Turkey Exhibit 6: Domestic travelers vs. outgoing travelers in turkey 18
  • 20. Exhibit 7: Major online travel companies in Turkey* Company URL Online since Traffic rank by Alexa Description Tatil.com www.tatil.com 15 May 1997 47,874 First local online travel company in Turkey founded by GTS Travel which also owns internationally active online operators e.g. otels.com Tatilsepeti.com www.tatilsepeti.com 24 May 2003 25,036 A specialized portal to sell travel packages of brick and mortal operators via its website. The company is also a member of Expedia Affiliate Partner Program. Visitors are able to reserve hotels via tatilsepeti.com’s website or call center by using Expedia’s infrastructure. Gezitesitesi.net www.gezisitesi.com 07 Nov 2005 68,708 Gezisitesi is a subsidiary of local conglomerate Dogan Holding which is also active in broadcasting, printing and news media sectors. BookinTurkey.com www.bookinturkey.com 28 Jan 2000 386,630 BookinTurkey is another company owned by a local conglomerate, Koc Group. The company claims that it is the only Turkey Specialist Travel Portal that can get online and real-time bookings over the Internet due to its internally developed program. * Most of these companies use Internet to promote their products but they do not allow customers to book real time. Source: Interviews with industry experts and Alexa.com 19
  • 21. Exhibit 8: Advantages of local and international online travel companies in Turkish market Exhibit 9: Partnership between local and multinational online travel operators 20
  • 22. Exhibit 10: Interviews conducted for the study* Name Type Position Company / Institution Nedim Paltura Local online travel company Founding partner Tatilsepeti.com Yavuz Tosun Local online travel company General manager Gezitesitesi.net Basak Bilmen Local online travel company General manager BookinTurkey.com Giray Hudayioglu Travel search engine General manager Seyahatix.com Güneş Karamullaoğlu Academician Vice Chair Bilkent University, Tourism and Hotel Management Department Gonul Yildirim Media PR Manager The Travel Media Association of Turkey Fehmi Kofteoglu Details of interviewees are kept Editor Media Chief Turizmgazetesi.com (Local online newspaper for Tourism industry) Ali Yilmaz confidential inexpert public version ofIndustry Head Market the the paper Google Yalcin Parmaksiz Market expert E-marketing coordinator EBI Hakki Arikan Market expert Marketing manager EBay Turkey Cenk Cevik Market expert Manager, New Technologies Amadeus Turkey Guney Yasavur Market expert Business Development Manager Superonline Selcuk Ergin Market expert Consultant Freelance IT Consulting to Travel Operators Burak Turgut Market expert General manager Seyahatfikirleri 21
  • 23. Resources: 1. Travel Behavior in Turkey. Istanbul: Nielsen Research, 2009. 2. Afra, Sina. Turkey Internet Sector Overview. Istanbul: Ebay, 2009. 3. Celebi, Erkan. “By changing its Internet address, Anis Tours is faking travelers.” Hurriyet, 3 August 2009: 10. 4. “Pronto Tour will triple its revenues in 5 years”. 18 June 2009. 10 July 2009. <http://www.kobiden.com/haber.asp?id=2191&baslik=Pronto+Tur+cirosunu+5+yilda+3e+katlayacak>. 6. “Tourism Flows Domestic – Turkey”. 11 December 2008. 15 July 209. <http://www.euromonitor.com >. 7. “Tourism Flows Inbound – Turkey”. 11 December 2008. 15 July 209. <http://www.euromonitor.com >. 8. Interviews (please see Exhibit 10) 22