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EfD 2nd Annual Meeting Collective Forest Tenure Reform in China: Outcomes and Analysis of Driving Forces   Jintao Xu, EEPC Peking University November 5, 2008, Lake View Hotel
Forest Distribution in China
Main Forest Regions
Forest Sector in China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forest Tenure in China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
History of Tenure Reform ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What’s New? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Categorizing Forest Tenure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Survey Time Province County Town Village HH 2006.3-4 Fujian 12 36 72 720 2006.5 Jiangxi 5 15 30 300 2006.10-11 Zhejiang 6 18 36 360 2007.4 Anhui 5 15 30 300 2007.4 Hunan 5 15 30 300 2007.5-6 Liaoning 5 15 30 300 2007.5-6 Shandong 5 15 30 300 2007.8 Yunnan 6 12 30 600 Total 49 141 288 3180
The Change of Area Share by Tenure Type, 2000-2005(6)
Forest Area by Tenure Type  (ha. Village Average)
Results 1 Timber Harvest Before and After by Village
Result 2 Afforestation Before and After by Village
Result 3 Change in Household Income Structure
So What? ,[object Object]
Speculating on Reform Rationale ,[object Object],[object Object]
Failure of Collective Forest Management Fujian’s Trial as Example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential Benefit of Reform ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential Problems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Empirical Analysis of Farmer Collectives’ Choice ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Empirical Analysis (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Econometric Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tenure Change: Impacts of Driving Factors  (2 Provs)(SUR)
Tenure Change: Impacts of Driving Factors  (2 Provs)(Fractional Response)
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications on Regulations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You!
Ongoing and  Future Efforts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent Tenure Reform Participation by Village
Contract Length by Tenure Type Type1:Individual HH  Type2:Villager cluster Type3:Partner  Type4:Outsider contract
Knowledge of Tenure Rights by Household
Source: Data for 1986 was from China Forestry Year Book (CFYB, 1987), China Forestry Publishing House. Data for 2000 was from the survey conducted in 2006. Household-Contracts  in Fujian and Jiangxi, 1986 and 2000
Some Explanations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tenure Change: Impacts of Driving Factors  (2 Provs)(SUR)
Motivating Empirical Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forest Area by tenure type  (ha. Household average)

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