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Spatio-temporal linkage of real and
virtual identity




  Muhammad Adnan (and Paul Longley)
  University College London
Geodemographics

• “Analysis of people by where they live [places]”
                                           (Sleight, 1993:3)

• Social similarity, not locational proximity




                       Home
    Person            Address


                                            Area
Identity of individuals in the real world

• Name (Forename & Surname)

• Surnames have geographic concentrations

• Prospects for linkage with socio-economic data
  • E.g. Analysing the socio-economic circumstances of
    different ethnic groups
An example – gbnames.publicprofiler.org




         Longley                  Cheshire
An example – Output Area Classification




  Kingston upon Hull          Hereford
A socio-economic and ethnic classification
A socio-economic and ethnic classification
Wu
Source: Cheshire and Longley (2011)
Courtesy: James Cheshire




                           12
Wordle.net
The European scale




                     16 countries.

                     400 million people.

                     5.95 million unique
                     surnames



                     Courtesy: James Cheshire
Onomap classification
      Forename-Surname clustering
        (based on Hanks and Tucker, 2000)
                       UK Electoral Roll
                                                         Mateos
                        Pablo
                                                         Garcia

                        Juan                             Pérez
          Forenames                    Surnames
                        Rosa                               ...

                        Marta                            Sánchez

                          ...                           Rodríguez
                                                            ...
  –     Several iterations until self-contained cluster is exhausted
  –     Cluster assigned a cultural, ethnic & linguistic Onomap type
  –     Probability of ethnicity assigned to each name
                                   Mateos et al (2007) CASA Working Paper 116
WorldNames CEL clusters




Source: Mateos et al (2011)
Uncertainty and virtual identity

• Identity increasingly shaped by online activities
   – => value may be leveraged from the fusion of physical
     and virtual data sources
• Data fusion and generalisation to relate physical
  and virtual properties
• Use of residence alongside activity patterns and
  social network information
Most of us have virtual identities

• Email address; social media accounts

• People use different procedures and providers to
  establish virtual identities

• Harvesting these data has interesting potential
  applications
  • Cyber crime
  • Cyber geodemographics (Facebook has already started
    this)
Most of us have virtual identities

• Facebook data mining engine
  • Analyses the words you use and tailors advertisement
    accordingly
Starting Point
http://worldnames.publicprofiler.org




• Worldnames holds data for approximately 1 billion
  population around 28 countries of the world

• Approximately 1.6 million unique users have visited
  the website since 2008
Starting Point
http://worldnames.publicprofiler.org




• Worldnames has been archiving „Surname search‟,
  „Email Address‟, „Gender‟, and „IP Address‟ for
  searches over the past 6 months
   • c. 175,000 records: email validation
   • 150,000 usable „IP Address‟ entries
IP Address to Latitude/Longitude conversion

http://quova.com




An API to convert “IP addresses” to their corresponding
  latitude / longitude values
IP Address to Latitude/Longitude conversion
http://quova.com

A search for an IP Address in UCL (128.40.214.196)
Top Countries
Website was searched from 155 countries over the past
 6 months                 UNITED STATES
                          UNITED KINGDOM
                                                 76708
                                                 21892
                          CANADA                  8154
                          GERMANY                 7158
                          ITALY                   4058
 90000                    AUSTRALIA               2978
                          BRAZIL                  2440
 80000                    FRANCE                  2028
                          ARGENTINA               1958
 70000                    SPAIN                   1830
                          NEW ZEALAND             1236
 60000
                          NETHERLANDS             1074
 50000                    GREECE                  1040
                          SWITZERLAND              992
 40000                    BELGIUM                  940
                          POLAND                   880
 30000                    AUSTRIA                  874
                          MEXICO                   834
 20000
                          IRELAND                  710
                          SWEDEN                   630
 10000

     0
UK and Ireland
Europe
North America
South America
India, China, Japan, Singapore
Popular Surname Searches
                            SMITH      708
                            JONES      306
                            JOHNSON    258
                            ANDERSON   224
                            WILLIAMS   222
800
                            MILLER     218
                            MARTIN     202
700                         WILSON     194
                            BROWN      194
                            MOORE      188
600
                            THOMAS     178
                            TAYLOR     170
500                         CLARK      164
                            LEE        160
                            ROBERTS    156
400
                            DAVIS      152
                            CAMPBELL   144
300                         LEWIS      138
                            HARRIS     138
                            MITCHELL   136
200


100


  0
Popular Email Domains
                        GMAIL.COM        31842
                        HOTMAIL.COM      22098
                        YAHOO.COM        15542
35000                   AOL.COM           5550
                        COMCAST.NET       2696
30000                   HOTMAIL.CO.UK     1948
                        MSN.COM           1624
                        WEB.DE            1522
25000                   YAHOO.CO.UK       1290
                        GMX.DE            1260
                        SBCGLOBAL.NET     1246
20000
                        BTINTERNET.COM     860
                        HOTMAIL.IT         844
15000                   VERIZON.NET        798
                        GOOGLEMAIL.COM     742
                        LIVE.COM           742
10000
                        COX.NET            708
                        ATT.NET            632
 5000                   MAILINATOR.COM     616
                        LIBERO.IT          616

    0
Popular Email Domains by Surnames

Smith (English)   Jones (Welsh)    Johnson (English)
                  GMAIL.COM        GMAIL.COM
GMAIL.COM
YAHOO.COM         HOTMAIL.COM      HOTMAIL.COM
HOTMAIL.COM       YAHOO.COM        YAHOO.COM
AOL.COM           COMCAST.NET      MSN.COM
MAILINATOR.COM    GOOGLEMAIL.COM   VERIZON.NET



Perez (Spanish)   Gupta (Indian)   Meyer (German)
GMAIL.COM         GMAIL.COM        GMAIL.COM
HOTMAIL.COM       HOTMAIL.COM      HOTMAIL.COM
YAHOO.ES          YAHOO.COM        YAHOO.COM
CHARTER.NET       GOOGLAMAIL.COM   AOL.COM
GRANDECOM.NET     INDIATIMES.COM   GMX.DE
Popular Email Domains by Country

UK              USA            France
GMAIL.COM       GMAIL.COM      HOTMAIL.FR
HOTMAIL.COM     YAHOO.COM      GMAIL.COM
HOTMAIL.CO.UK   HOTMAIL.COM    HOTMAIL.COM
YAHOO.CO.UK     AOL.COM        YAHOO.FR
YAHOO.COM       COMCAST.NET    LAPOSTE.NET



Germany         Brazil         Japan
WEB.DE          HOTMAIL.COM    YAHOO.COM
GMX.DE          GMAIL.COM      YAHOO.CO.JP
T-ONLINE.DE     YAHOO.COM.BR   GMAIL.COM
YAHOO.DE        IG.COM.BR      HOTMAIL.COM
GMAIL.COM       BOL.COM.BR     MSN.COM
Top GoogleMail.com users

Top Surnames
BINDER
WATKINS
WHITE
WOODS
ROBINSON
SLEEMAN
BENNETT
RITCHIE
SHARP
ROLLINGS
GoogleMail.com users
• Surname „Binder‟




   Germany             Switzerland
GoogleMail.com users
• Surname „Binder‟




   Germany             Switzerland
GoogleMail.com users
• Surname „Blackbourn‟




         New Zealand
Who use their surnames as part of their email
address
 • Approximately 40% of the users have their surname
   as part of their email address
   • abbie.harper@hotmail.com (Surname: Harper)
   • helmut.kempe@inode.at (Surname: Kempe)
 • Top Countries
      50
      45
      40
      35
      30
      25
      20
      15
      10
       5
       0
Who use long email addresses ?
• Grand mean average email length of 8 characters
   • Number of characters on the left side of „@‟
   • United Kingdom, USA, Canada, and other European countries


• People from South American countries and India have long
  email addresses (Average length: 13 characters)

   BRAZIL      ANA.ARAUJO3909@CREASP.ORG.BR (14 characters)
   CHILE       BYRON.DELGADO.INOSTROZA@HOTMAIL.COM (25 characters)
   URUGUAY     DIEGOJAVIERZEBALLOS@GMAIL.COM (17 characters)
   INDIA       GANGULYDEEPANJAN@HOTMAIL.COM (18 characters)
   ARGENTINA   AGUSTINAREYNOZO@GMAIL.COM (13 characters)


• South Indians have longer email address than North Indians
What else we can infer from email addresses
• Internet service provider
   •   A.GOODEVE@AOL. COM
   •   BERRYMANL@BTINTERNET.COM
   •   CARL@VALLEYWISP.NET (Person lives in a rural area of northeast Oregon)


• Country of origin
   •   A.HAKIM26@YAHOO.FR
   •   CBARNES@MEDIAWORKS.CO.NZ


• Probable temporal aspects
   •   ABBY527@OPTONLINE.NET
   •   BERZINSKY102@YAHOO.COM
   •   C.JOHNSTON2@BTINTERNET.COM
What else we can infer from email addresses
• Probable forename of a person
   •   BEVERLY.RICHARDS@YAHOO.COM
   •   BJORN.SOBRY@HOTMAIL.COM
   •   BRANDAN.HOLMES@HOTMAIL.COM


• How up to date someone is with technology
   •   ALEXANDER.BREUSCH@GMAIL.COM
   •   WILLIAM.NEALON@GOOGLEMAIL.COM


• Professional Affiliations
   •   CHRIS@IEEE.ORG
What else we can infer from email addresses
• Work Locations
  •   DOUG.GOODMAN@FOUNDATION.ORG.UK
  •   GRL@KCS.ORG.UK
  •   ERM43@CAM.AC.UK


• Studying
  •   RTRIPOLI@STUDENT.UMASS.EDU
  •   CBALIN01@STUDENTS.BBK.AC.UK
  •   KATHERINE.LITTEN@STUDENT.KIRKWOOD.EDU
Conclusion and future work

• There are some interesting patterns found in the study of
  email addresses
   •   some problems (accuracy of geocoding techniques)


• Prospect of data linkage of data coded to unit postcode level
   •   cluster analysis and data mining techniques


• Future work may involve the data mining of Facebook and
  Twitter data
   •   issues of generalisation



• Visualisation of the data
Thanks for Listening

Any Questions ?
A research agenda




1 Acquire relevant real and virtual data sources and devise DBMS
2 Devise GB-wide classification of NICT usage at neighbourhood
   scale
3 Devise GB-wide classification of social network traffic
4 Develop enhanced worldnames site to harvest real and virtual
   user data
5 Undertake text analysis of worldnames user data and use to link
   classifications (2) and (3)
6 Devise, implement and analyse social networking application and
   cybergeodemographic classification

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Spatio-temporal linkage of real and virtual identity

  • 1. Spatio-temporal linkage of real and virtual identity Muhammad Adnan (and Paul Longley) University College London
  • 2. Geodemographics • “Analysis of people by where they live [places]” (Sleight, 1993:3) • Social similarity, not locational proximity Home Person Address Area
  • 3.
  • 4. Identity of individuals in the real world • Name (Forename & Surname) • Surnames have geographic concentrations • Prospects for linkage with socio-economic data • E.g. Analysing the socio-economic circumstances of different ethnic groups
  • 5. An example – gbnames.publicprofiler.org Longley Cheshire
  • 6. An example – Output Area Classification Kingston upon Hull Hereford
  • 7. A socio-economic and ethnic classification
  • 8. A socio-economic and ethnic classification
  • 9.
  • 10. Wu
  • 11. Source: Cheshire and Longley (2011)
  • 14. The European scale 16 countries. 400 million people. 5.95 million unique surnames Courtesy: James Cheshire
  • 15. Onomap classification Forename-Surname clustering (based on Hanks and Tucker, 2000) UK Electoral Roll Mateos Pablo Garcia Juan Pérez Forenames Surnames Rosa ... Marta Sánchez ... Rodríguez ... – Several iterations until self-contained cluster is exhausted – Cluster assigned a cultural, ethnic & linguistic Onomap type – Probability of ethnicity assigned to each name Mateos et al (2007) CASA Working Paper 116
  • 16. WorldNames CEL clusters Source: Mateos et al (2011)
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Uncertainty and virtual identity • Identity increasingly shaped by online activities – => value may be leveraged from the fusion of physical and virtual data sources • Data fusion and generalisation to relate physical and virtual properties • Use of residence alongside activity patterns and social network information
  • 20. Most of us have virtual identities • Email address; social media accounts • People use different procedures and providers to establish virtual identities • Harvesting these data has interesting potential applications • Cyber crime • Cyber geodemographics (Facebook has already started this)
  • 21. Most of us have virtual identities • Facebook data mining engine • Analyses the words you use and tailors advertisement accordingly
  • 22. Starting Point http://worldnames.publicprofiler.org • Worldnames holds data for approximately 1 billion population around 28 countries of the world • Approximately 1.6 million unique users have visited the website since 2008
  • 23. Starting Point http://worldnames.publicprofiler.org • Worldnames has been archiving „Surname search‟, „Email Address‟, „Gender‟, and „IP Address‟ for searches over the past 6 months • c. 175,000 records: email validation • 150,000 usable „IP Address‟ entries
  • 24. IP Address to Latitude/Longitude conversion http://quova.com An API to convert “IP addresses” to their corresponding latitude / longitude values
  • 25. IP Address to Latitude/Longitude conversion http://quova.com A search for an IP Address in UCL (128.40.214.196)
  • 26. Top Countries Website was searched from 155 countries over the past 6 months UNITED STATES UNITED KINGDOM 76708 21892 CANADA 8154 GERMANY 7158 ITALY 4058 90000 AUSTRALIA 2978 BRAZIL 2440 80000 FRANCE 2028 ARGENTINA 1958 70000 SPAIN 1830 NEW ZEALAND 1236 60000 NETHERLANDS 1074 50000 GREECE 1040 SWITZERLAND 992 40000 BELGIUM 940 POLAND 880 30000 AUSTRIA 874 MEXICO 834 20000 IRELAND 710 SWEDEN 630 10000 0
  • 31. India, China, Japan, Singapore
  • 32. Popular Surname Searches SMITH 708 JONES 306 JOHNSON 258 ANDERSON 224 WILLIAMS 222 800 MILLER 218 MARTIN 202 700 WILSON 194 BROWN 194 MOORE 188 600 THOMAS 178 TAYLOR 170 500 CLARK 164 LEE 160 ROBERTS 156 400 DAVIS 152 CAMPBELL 144 300 LEWIS 138 HARRIS 138 MITCHELL 136 200 100 0
  • 33. Popular Email Domains GMAIL.COM 31842 HOTMAIL.COM 22098 YAHOO.COM 15542 35000 AOL.COM 5550 COMCAST.NET 2696 30000 HOTMAIL.CO.UK 1948 MSN.COM 1624 WEB.DE 1522 25000 YAHOO.CO.UK 1290 GMX.DE 1260 SBCGLOBAL.NET 1246 20000 BTINTERNET.COM 860 HOTMAIL.IT 844 15000 VERIZON.NET 798 GOOGLEMAIL.COM 742 LIVE.COM 742 10000 COX.NET 708 ATT.NET 632 5000 MAILINATOR.COM 616 LIBERO.IT 616 0
  • 34. Popular Email Domains by Surnames Smith (English) Jones (Welsh) Johnson (English) GMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM YAHOO.COM HOTMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM YAHOO.COM YAHOO.COM AOL.COM COMCAST.NET MSN.COM MAILINATOR.COM GOOGLEMAIL.COM VERIZON.NET Perez (Spanish) Gupta (Indian) Meyer (German) GMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM YAHOO.ES YAHOO.COM YAHOO.COM CHARTER.NET GOOGLAMAIL.COM AOL.COM GRANDECOM.NET INDIATIMES.COM GMX.DE
  • 35. Popular Email Domains by Country UK USA France GMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.FR HOTMAIL.COM YAHOO.COM GMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.CO.UK HOTMAIL.COM HOTMAIL.COM YAHOO.CO.UK AOL.COM YAHOO.FR YAHOO.COM COMCAST.NET LAPOSTE.NET Germany Brazil Japan WEB.DE HOTMAIL.COM YAHOO.COM GMX.DE GMAIL.COM YAHOO.CO.JP T-ONLINE.DE YAHOO.COM.BR GMAIL.COM YAHOO.DE IG.COM.BR HOTMAIL.COM GMAIL.COM BOL.COM.BR MSN.COM
  • 36. Top GoogleMail.com users Top Surnames BINDER WATKINS WHITE WOODS ROBINSON SLEEMAN BENNETT RITCHIE SHARP ROLLINGS
  • 37. GoogleMail.com users • Surname „Binder‟ Germany Switzerland
  • 38. GoogleMail.com users • Surname „Binder‟ Germany Switzerland
  • 39. GoogleMail.com users • Surname „Blackbourn‟ New Zealand
  • 40. Who use their surnames as part of their email address • Approximately 40% of the users have their surname as part of their email address • abbie.harper@hotmail.com (Surname: Harper) • helmut.kempe@inode.at (Surname: Kempe) • Top Countries 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
  • 41. Who use long email addresses ? • Grand mean average email length of 8 characters • Number of characters on the left side of „@‟ • United Kingdom, USA, Canada, and other European countries • People from South American countries and India have long email addresses (Average length: 13 characters) BRAZIL ANA.ARAUJO3909@CREASP.ORG.BR (14 characters) CHILE BYRON.DELGADO.INOSTROZA@HOTMAIL.COM (25 characters) URUGUAY DIEGOJAVIERZEBALLOS@GMAIL.COM (17 characters) INDIA GANGULYDEEPANJAN@HOTMAIL.COM (18 characters) ARGENTINA AGUSTINAREYNOZO@GMAIL.COM (13 characters) • South Indians have longer email address than North Indians
  • 42. What else we can infer from email addresses • Internet service provider • A.GOODEVE@AOL. COM • BERRYMANL@BTINTERNET.COM • CARL@VALLEYWISP.NET (Person lives in a rural area of northeast Oregon) • Country of origin • A.HAKIM26@YAHOO.FR • CBARNES@MEDIAWORKS.CO.NZ • Probable temporal aspects • ABBY527@OPTONLINE.NET • BERZINSKY102@YAHOO.COM • C.JOHNSTON2@BTINTERNET.COM
  • 43. What else we can infer from email addresses • Probable forename of a person • BEVERLY.RICHARDS@YAHOO.COM • BJORN.SOBRY@HOTMAIL.COM • BRANDAN.HOLMES@HOTMAIL.COM • How up to date someone is with technology • ALEXANDER.BREUSCH@GMAIL.COM • WILLIAM.NEALON@GOOGLEMAIL.COM • Professional Affiliations • CHRIS@IEEE.ORG
  • 44. What else we can infer from email addresses • Work Locations • DOUG.GOODMAN@FOUNDATION.ORG.UK • GRL@KCS.ORG.UK • ERM43@CAM.AC.UK • Studying • RTRIPOLI@STUDENT.UMASS.EDU • CBALIN01@STUDENTS.BBK.AC.UK • KATHERINE.LITTEN@STUDENT.KIRKWOOD.EDU
  • 45. Conclusion and future work • There are some interesting patterns found in the study of email addresses • some problems (accuracy of geocoding techniques) • Prospect of data linkage of data coded to unit postcode level • cluster analysis and data mining techniques • Future work may involve the data mining of Facebook and Twitter data • issues of generalisation • Visualisation of the data
  • 47. A research agenda 1 Acquire relevant real and virtual data sources and devise DBMS 2 Devise GB-wide classification of NICT usage at neighbourhood scale 3 Devise GB-wide classification of social network traffic 4 Develop enhanced worldnames site to harvest real and virtual user data 5 Undertake text analysis of worldnames user data and use to link classifications (2) and (3) 6 Devise, implement and analyse social networking application and cybergeodemographic classification

Notas del editor

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